From: Bacalao, Nelson Sent: Tuesday, December 18, 2018 7:52 PM To: Gregory A. Rivera Chico; Gerard.Gil@ankura.com; Tim Wang; ‘mattl@filsingerenergy.com; jose_perezc40@ yahoo.com; Todd Filsinger; Mary C Zapata ‘Acosta; Efran Paredes Maisonet; Lucas Porter, mattl@filsingerenergy.com ce Saenz, Marcelo; Guha, Mousumi; Henry, Jack (RC-US EM DG PTI NC); Mount, Michael Subject: <>ESM and S452 Base Cases Attachments: PREPA IRP Weekly Call 12_18_2018-PM_version.docx; ESM_NPV_1218.v1.xlsx Please find attached , An update of this morning memo with the results of the S4S2 updated. When we fixed an issue with an H-Class being installed at CS, the case reverted to having both CCGT being installed in 2025. ‘The SJ 6&6 conversion is not dropping now. b, The spreadsheet that provides the analysis of the ESM Case. We are currently assessing the large amount of eakers that are being installed in 2021, beyond the committed decision to replace the Frame 5 units. | think this, has to do with the reduced amount of storage and the fact that the program is retiring the GCs at Aguirre in 2020, ©. Inthe spreadsheet you will also find a tab with the results for EcoEiéctrica until the moment that the program retires it. d. I will send in a separate email the spreadsheet for the S4S2B. | had a call with Tod Filsinger and Jose Perez-Canabal and from that call the following modifications to the ESM plan will be implemented: a, The Frame 5 units at Yabucoa will not be force-installed, but we will keep the F-Class as a committed decision in 2025 b. The CCs at Aguirre will not be allowed to retire and will stay for the duration of the planning period. itis necessary for the MiniGrid operation given that there may not be enough load for AES, CS or Eco to come online. The new CC at CS would allow it, but we will set the ESM case so that Eco stays. ©. EcoEléctrica will be allowed to cycle as required (see below) On the balance of the LTCE's a. The CCs at Aguirre will not be allowed to retire until 2025, when the CC in the south are built. b. We wil review the situation of EcoEléctrica. The CCGT that replaces itis cycling 40 to 42 times per year, which is ‘something that Eco should be able to do. However itis cycling only 1 to 2 times per year. We nead to investigate this, Uelean Cell: #1-713-598-3856 ese eee Eg ego eee