PERIODO TIEMPO INTERVALO N° FALLAS N° SUPERVIVIENTES TASA DE FALLAS

0 - 100 100 12 150 0.00080

100 - 200 200 10 138 0.00072
TAS
200 - 300 300 5 128 0.00039 0.00090
300 - 400 400 4 123 0.00033 0.00080
400 - 500 500 3 119 0.00025 0.00070
0.00060
0.00050
0.00040
0.00030
0.00020
0.00010
0.00000
100
 TASA DE FALLAS EN EL TIEMPO
0.00090
0.00080
0.00070
0.00060
0.00050
0.00040
0.00030
0.00020
0.00010
0.00000
100 200 300 400 500
PERIODO KM INTERVALO N° FALLOS VEHICULOS SUPERV TASA DE FALLAS
0 - 10000 10000 11 10 0.011
10000 - 20000 20000 7 10 0.007
20000 - 30000 30000 5 9 0.0055555556
30000 - 40000 40000 2 9 0.0022222222
40000 - 50000 50000 2 9 0.0022222222
50000 - 60000 60000 1 8 0.00125
60000 - 70000 70000 2 8 0.0025
70000 - 80000 80000 3 8 0.00375
80000 - 90000 90000 2 7 0.0028571429
90000 - 100000 100000 3 7 0.0042857143
100000 - 110000 110000 8 7 0.0114285714
110000 - 120000 120000 4 3 0.0133333333

TASA
0.016
0.014
0.012
0.01
0.008
0.006
0.004
0.002
0
0 0 0 0 0
00 00 00 00 00
10 20 30 40 50
 TASA DE FALLAS
0.016

0.014

0.012

0.01

0.008

0.006

0.004

0.002

0
10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 100000 110000 120000

TASA DE FALLAS
0.016
0.014
0.012
0.01
0.008
0.006
0.004
0.002
0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 00 00
00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10 11 12
00 110000 120000
 i TTF F(t) F(t)% R(t) F(t)
1 10263 0.12962963 12.96%
2 12187 0.31481481 31.48%
3 16908 0.5 50.00%
4 18042 0.68518519 68.52%
5 23271 0.87037037 87.04%

n 5 R(8000) 94.75%
η 18000 F(8000) 5.25%
β 3.6

t R(t) F(t)
0 1 0 R(t)
1000 0.99996973 0.00003027 1
2000 0.999633016 0.00036698 0.9
3000 0.998421253 0.00157875 0.8
4000 0.995559122 0.00444088 0.7
5000 0.990110947 0.00988905 0.6
6000 0.981023772 0.01897623 0.5
7000 0.967179468 0.03282053 0.4
8000 0.947461646 0.05253835 0.3
9000 0.920839758 0.07916024
0.2
10000 0.886469232 0.11353077
0.1
11000 0.843802234 0.15619777
0
12000 0.792698837 0.20730116 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000
13000 0.733523721 0.26647628
14000 0.667210066 0.33278993
15000 0.595271697 0.4047283
16000 0.519747847 0.48025215
17000 0.443073307 0.55692669
18000 0.367879441 0.63212056
19000 0.296746815 0.70325319 F(t)
20000 0.231944255 0.76805574 1
21000 0.175197611 0.82480239 0.9
22000 0.127530511 0.87246949 0.8
23000 0.089207377 0.91079262 0.7
24000 0.059787897 0.9402121 0.6

25000 0.038277449 0.96172255 0.5

26000 0.023337167 0.97666283 0.4

27000 0.013506858 0.98649314 0.3

28000 0.007396992 0.99260301 0.2

29000 0.003820432 0.99617957 0.1

30000 0.00185463 0.99814537 0

t 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00
31000 0.000843314 0.99915669 10 30 50 70 90 110 130 150 170 190 210 230 250 270 290 310 3
 0.2
0.1
0
t 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00
10 30 50 70 90 110 130 150 170 190 210 230 250 270 290 310 3
32000 0.000357914 0.99964209
33000 0.000141275 0.99985873
34000 5.167227E-05 0.99994833
35000 1.744774E-05 0.99998255
36000 5.418278E-06 0.99999458
37000 1.541515E-06 0.99999846
38000 4.002161E-07 0.9999996
39000 9.444284E-08 0.99999991
40000 2.017491E-08 0.99999998
 0 1 0
50 0.99004983 0.00995017

8000

R(t)

15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000

F(t)

00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00
50 170 190 210 230 250 270 290 310 330 350 370 390
 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00
50 170 190 210 230 250 270 290 310 330 350 370 390
 i TTF F(t) F(t)%
1 1.7 0.06730769 6.73%
2 3.5 0.16346154 16.35%
3 5 0.25961538 25.96%
4 6 0.35576923 35.58%
5 8 0.45192308 45.19%
6 9 0.54807692 54.81%
7 11 0.64423077 64.42%
8 13 0.74038462 74.04%
9 18 0.83653846 83.65%
10 22 0.93269231 93.27%

n 10 R(12) 32.32%
η 11 F(12) 67.68%
β 1.4 12

t R(t) F(t)
0 100.00% 0.00% R(t)
2 91.22% 8.78% 100.00%
4 78.46% 21.54% 90.00%
6 65.18% 34.82% 80.00%
8 52.71% 47.29%
70.00%
10 41.68% 58.32%
60.00%
12 32.32% 67.68%
50.00%
14 24.62% 75.38%
40.00%
16 18.46% 81.54%
30.00%
18 13.63% 86.37%
20 9.93% 90.07% 20.00%

22 7.14% 92.86% 10.00%

24 5.07% 94.93% 0.00%

0 10 20 30 40 50
26 3.56% 96.44%
28 2.48% 97.52%
30 1.70% 98.30%
32 1.16% 98.84% F(t)
34 0.78% 99.22% 100.00%
36 0.52% 99.48% 90.00%
38 0.34% 99.66% 80.00%
40 0.23% 99.77%
70.00%
42 0.15% 99.85%
60.00%
44 0.09% 99.91%
50.00%
46 0.06% 99.94%
40.00%
48 0.04% 99.96%
30.00%
50 0.02% 99.98%
52 0.02% 99.98% 20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
0 10 20 30 40 50
 40.00%
30.00%
20.00%

54 0.01% 99.99% 10.00%

56 0.01% 99.99% 0.00%

0 10 20 30 40 50
58 0.00% 100.00%
60 0.00% 100.00%
 R(t)

0 30 40 50 60 70

F(t)

0 30 40 50 60 70
0 30 40 50 60 70
 i TTF Ln(ti) F(t) F(t)%
1 10263 9.23630047 0.16873795 0.12962963 12.96%
2 12187 9.40812509 0.05709836 0.31481481 31.48%
3 16908 9.73554216 0.00782596 0.5 50.00%
4 18042 9.80045765 0.0235254 0.68518519 68.52%
5 23271 10.0549632 0.16637059 0.87037037 87.04%

n 5

x media 9.64707772
s2 varianza 0.10588956
s desviacion 0.32540677
β β 3.9413834
η 17917.3315

grafica analitica desviacion

β 3.6 3.9413834 8.7%
η 18000 17917.3315 0.46%
 i TTF
1 1.7 0.53062825 2.27986778
2 3.5 1.25276297 0.62061054
3 5 1.60943791 0.1858588
4 6 1.79175947 0.0618974
5 8 2.07944154 0.00151245
6 9 2.19722458 0.0245465
7 11 2.39789527 0.12769467
8 13 2.56494936 0.27499326
9 18 2.89037176 0.72219472
10 22 3.09104245 1.10353155

n 10

x media 2.04055136
s2 varianza 0.60030085
s desviacion 0.77479084
β β 1.65535362
η 10.905183

grafica analitica desviacion

β 1.4 1.65535362 15.4%
η 11 10.905183 0.86%
 se dispone de los datos historicos de fallo del sist de refrig de un motor diesel, calcular parametros de weibull, hallar el valor
falla a las 20000h
ANALITICO GRAFICO
ni miles hr LN(ti) F(t) F(t)%
1 3.02 1.10525683 2.25929764 0.04545455 4.55%
2 5.1 1.62924054 0.95866091 0.11038961 11.04%
3 6.51 1.87333946 0.54024469 0.17532468 17.53%
4 7.05 1.95302762 0.42945116 0.24025974 24.03%
5 9.01 2.19833507 0.16811458 0.30519481 30.52%
6 10.2 2.32238772 0.08177605 0.37012987 37.01%
7 15 2.7080502 0.00993956 0.43506494 43.51%
8 16.1 2.77881927 0.0290588 0.5 50.00%
9 18.5 2.91777073 0.09573943 0.56493506 56.49%
10 19.1 2.94968834 0.11650991 0.62987013 62.99%
11 20 2.99573227 0.15006282 0.69480519 69.48%
12 24.9 3.2148678 0.36786039 0.75974026 75.97%
13 25.1 3.22286785 0.37762868 0.82467532 82.47%
14 35.5 3.5695327 0.9238667 0.88961039 88.96%
15 39.9 3.68637632 1.16213461 0.95454545 95.45%

n 15
ANALITICO GRAFICO
x media 2.60835285
s2 varianza 0.54788185
s desviacion 0.74019042 DESVIACION
β β 1.73273363 β 1.8 3.74%
η 18.9436371 η 19 0.30%
0.85 t R(t)=85% 6.63831846 t R(t)=85% 6.92415702
20 F(2000) 33.33% F(2000) 33.40%

ANALITICO GRAFICO
t R(t) F(t) R(t) F(t) 100.00%
0 100.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% 90.00%
2 97.99% 2.01% 98.28% 1.72%
80.00%
4 93.47% 6.53% 94.13% 5.87%
6 87.25% 12.75% 88.20% 11.80% 70.00%

8 79.89% 20.11% 81.00% 19.00% 60.00%

10 71.85% 28.15% 72.98% 27.02% 50.00%
12 63.55% 36.45% 64.58% 35.42%
40.00%
14 55.31% 44.69% 56.15% 43.85%
30.00%
16 47.41% 52.59% 48.00% 52.00%
18 40.04% 59.96% 40.36% 59.64% 20.00%
20 33.33% 66.67% 33.40% 66.60% 10.00%
22 27.37% 72.63% 27.20% 72.80% 0.00%
24 22.16% 77.84% 21.81% 78.19% 0 5 10 15
 20.00%

10.00%

0.00%
0 5 10 15
26 17.71% 82.29% 17.23% 82.77%
28 13.97% 86.03% 13.40% 86.60%
30 10.88% 89.12% 10.28% 89.72%
32 8.37% 91.63% 7.76% 92.24%
34 6.36% 93.64% 5.78% 94.22%
36 4.77% 95.23% 4.25% 95.75% 120.00%
38 3.54% 96.46% 3.07% 96.93%
100.00%
40 2.60% 97.40% 2.19% 97.81%
42 1.88% 98.12% 1.55% 98.45%
80.00%
44 1.35% 98.65% 1.07% 98.93%
46 0.95% 99.05% 0.74% 99.26% 60.00%
48 0.67% 99.33% 0.50% 99.50%
50 0.46% 99.54% 0.33% 99.67% 40.00%

20.00%

0.00%
0 5 10 15
 s de weibull, hallar el valor de t para una confiabilidad del 85%, hallar la probabilidad de
000h

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

F(t)

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
 ITEM CADENA N° CICLOS F(t) F(t)%
1 10 1700 0.06140351 6.14%
2 11 2100 0.14912281 14.91%
3 2 3300 0.23684211 23.68%
4 9 3700 0.3245614 32.46%
5 1 3900 0.4122807 41.23%
6 4 4270 0.5 50.00%
7 6 5640 0.5877193 58.77%
8 3 9800 0.6754386 67.54%
9 7 12900 0.76315789 76.32%
10 8 13200 0.85087719 85.09%
11 5 14000 0.93859649 93.86%

n 11
β 0.74
η 5600
0.85 t R(t)=85% 480.664466
T1 2650 i TTF(ti´)
T2 3800 1 29.63
T3 6300 2 429.63
3 1629.63
1670.37 4 2029.63
5 2229.63
6 2599.63
7 3969.63
8 8129.63
9 11229.63 3.2
10 11529.63
11 12329.63
UNA MANERA DE HALLAR EL PARAMETRO DE UBICACION "�" ES POR MEDIO DEL SOFTWARE MINITAB E
SE PRESENTA A CONTINUACIÓN:
MEDIO DEL SOFTWARE MINITAB EL CUAL
 R1 0.995
R2 0.987
R3 0.973

SERIE 0.9821
CONJUNTO 99.95%
 RA 0.96
RB 0.92
RC 0.85
RD 0.8
RE 0.7
RF 0.7
RG 0.9

TRAMO 1 0.8832
TRAMO 2 0.85
TRAMO 3 A 0.8
TRAMO 3 B 0.91
TRAMO 3 C 0.9
TRAMO 3 0.6552
FINAL 99.40%