n Año Poblacion r

1 1941 35000 125.00 1941

2 1957 37000 800.00 1957 0 r
3 1962 41000 3500.00 1962 1948 0 125.00
4 1966 55000 3750.00 1966 1958 0 800.00
5 1970 70000 625.00 1970 1968 0 3750.00
6 1978 75000 1250.00 1978 1978 75000 0.00
7 1982 80000 333.33 1982 1988 0 333.33
8 1997 85000 11666.67 1997 1998 0 11666.67
9 2000 120000 1666.67 2000 2008 0 1666.67
10 2018 150000 2018 150000 0.00

1941 125 125

1957 800 800
1962 3500 3750
1966 3750 0
1970 625 333.3
1978 1250 11666.6
1982 333.3 1666.6
1997 11666.6 0
2000 1666.6
2018
To
1941.00 35000
1957.00 37000
1966.00 55000
#N/A 75000
1941.00 80000
1997.00 85000
1957.00 120000
#N/A 150000

1941
1957
1966
#N/A
1941
1997
1957
Datos

Poblacion (hab) r
1940 25887 1610.00
1951 43597 2967.00
1962 76234 1804.00
1974 97882 2125.00
1985 121257 3429.90
1995 155556 4165.80
2000 176385 7902.20
2005 215896

METODO ARITMETICO INTER CENSAL

Poblacion a cada 10 años empezando por el ultimo año

t1 Po to r Poblacion
1945 25887 1940 1610.00 33937
1955 43597 1951 2967.00 55465
1965 76234 1962 1804.00 81646
1975 97882 1974 2125.00 100007
1985 121257 1985 3429.90 121257
1995 155556 1995 4165.80 155556
2005 215896 2005 215896

METODO ARITMETICO POST CENSAL

Año Población r1
1945 33937 2152.80
1955 55465 2618.10
1965 81646 1836.10
1975 100007 2125.00
1985 121257 3429.90
1995 155556 6034.00
2005 215896
Suma 18195.9
Promedio 3032.65
2015 246223
2025 276549
2035 306876
2045 337202
2010 231059
 interpolando 2040 322039
formula 2010 231059
2040 322039

METODO DE LA PARABOLA
Año Población △t
1985 121257 0
1995 155556 10
2005 215896 20
A 130.205
B 2127.85
C 121257.00
2035 553162 50
2045 717666 60
interpolando 2040 635414
formula 2040 632159 55

0 0 1 121257
100 10 1 155556
400 20 1 215896

121257 0 1
155556 10 1
215896 20 1

0 121257 1
100 155556 1
400 215896 1

0 0 121257
100 10 155556
400 20 215896

METODO DE LA CURVA NORMAL LOGISTICA

Año Población condicion
P0 1985 121257 0
P1 1995 155556 10
P2 2005 215896 20
condicion 1 no cumple
condicion 2 no cumple
Ps -6938.313
 a Err:502
b -0.0120
Población t
2015 Err:502 3
2025 Err:502 4
2035 Err:502 5
2045 Err:502 6

2010 Err:502
2040 Err:502

2005
2015
2025
2035
2045
2055
interpolado 2010
2040

METODO DE LA PARABOLA CUBICA

Y
AÑO POBLACION X X2

1 1945 33937 -3 9
2 1955 55465 -2 4
3 1965 81646 -1 1
4 1975 100007 0 0
5 1985 121257 1 1
6 1995 155556 2 4
7 2005 215896 3 9
SUMATORIA 763764 0 28
 a0 a1 a2
763764 -7 0 -28
785670 0 -28 0
3295484 -28 0 -196
5753232 0 -196 0

-763764 -7 0 -28
-785670 0 -28 0
-3295484 -28 0 -196
-5753232 0 -196 0

-763764 0 -28
a0 -785670 -28 0
-3295484 0 -196
-5753232 -196 0

-7 -763764 -28
a1 0 -785670 0
-28 -3295484 -196
0 -5753232 0

-7 0 -763764
a2 0 -28 -785670
-28 0 -3295484
0 -196 -5753232

-7 0 -28
a3 0 -28 0
-28 0 -196
0 -196 0

resumen
2010
1 aritmetico 231059
2 interes simple 255738
3 geometrico 254972
4 parabola 259087
5 incremetos variables 231059
6 curva normal logistica Err:502
7 minimos cuadra arit 227862
8 minimos cuadrad geome 236714
9 parabola cubico 256924
sumatoria Err:502
promedio Err:502
 METODO DE INTERES SIMPLE METODO GEOMETRICO
Año Poblacion r Año
1945 33937 0.0634 1945
1955 55465 0.0472 1955
1965 81646 0.0225 1965
1975 100007 0.0212 1975
1985 121257 0.0283 1985
1995 155556 0.0388 1995
2005 215896 2005
Suma 0.221451081 Suma
Promedio 0.036908514 Promedio
2015 295580 2015
2025 375264 2025
2035 454948 2035
2045 534632 2045
2010 255738 2010
 2040 494790 2040
2010 255738 2010
2040 494790 2040

METODO DE LOS INCREMEN

Año

1945
1955
1965
1975
1985
2015 302277 30 1995
2010 259087 2005
Suma
2010 255831 25
Promedio

2015
2035
interpolando 2045
formula 2040
2010
2040
2010

MINIMOS CUADRADOS CON CRECIEMIENTO ARITMETICO

Año Población X Y(%) LOG Y X2 XY

1945 33937 63.44 1.8023 1.15E+09 2152800

1955 55465 47.20 1.6740 3.08E+09 2618100
1965 81646 22.49 1.3520 6.67E+09 1836100
1975 100007 21.25 1.3273 1.00E+10 2125000
 1985 121257 28.29 1.4516 1.47E+10 3429900
1995 155556 38.79 1.5887 2.42E+10 6034000
2005 215896
Suma 547868 221.45 9.20 5.98E+10 18195900
Promedio 91311 36.91 1.53 9.97E+09 3032650
ARIT GEOM
a 55.8353676 51.76
b -0.0002073 -4.57E-06

años despues
del ultimo poblacion Crecimiento por decada Incremento por decada
censo aritme geome aritme geome aritme
0 215896 215896 11.085 19.285 23932
10 239828 257532 6.124 15.942 14688
20 254515 298586 3.080 13.213 7839
30 262354 338038 1.455 11.032 3817
40 266172 375330 0.664 9.302 1767
50 267938 410243
5 227862 236714
35 264263 356684

1 91311 36.91 1 91311

91311 9966080791 3032650 91311 9966080791

36.91 91311 1.5326 91311

3032650 9966080791 136714.1577 9966080791

1 36.91 1 1.5326
91311 3032650.00 91311.3333333333 136714.1577

X3 X4 X5 X6 XY X2 Y

-27 81 -243 729 -101811.0 305433.0

-8 16 -32 64 -110930.0 221860.0
-1 1 -1 1 -81646.0 81646.0
0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0
1 1 1 1 121257.0 121257.0
8 16 32 64 311112.0 622224.0
27 81 243 729 647688.0 1943064.0
0 196 0 1588 785670.0 3295484.0
 a3 X
0 2005 dato
-196 2015 4
0 2025 5
-1588 2035 6
2045 7

2010 3.5
0 formula 2040 6.5
-196 interpolado 2010 3.5
0 2040 6.5
-1588

0
-196
0 97660.19 -0.000000000276
-1588

0
-196
0 19843.00 -0.000000000233
-1588

0
-196
0 2862.24 -0.000000001164
-1588

-763764
-785670
-3295484 1173.81 0.000000000000
-5753232

2040
322039
494790

635414
356970
Err:502
264263
356684
676363
Err:502
Err:502
 METODO GEOMETRICO
Poblacion r
33937 1.0504
55465 1.0394
81646 1.0205
100007 1.0195
121257 1.0252
155556 1.0333
215896
Suma 6.1883
Promedio 1.0314
294049
400493
545468
742924
254972
 644196
251960
636586

METODO DE LOS INCREMENTOS VARIABLES

Poblacion △1P △2P

33937
55465 21528 4653.0
81646 26181 -7820.0
100007 18361 2889.0
121257 21250 13049.0
155556 34299 26041.0
215896 60340
Suma 181959 38812

Promedio 30327 7762.4

Poblacion m
246223 1
330163 3
383776 4
356970 3.5
231059 0.5
355999 3.5
230089 0.5

XLOGY

61166
92847
110382
132742
 176014
247135

820285
136714
47.425
1.7140 -0.000321857
-1.99E-06
8.80216
120000
Incremento por decada
geome 17.60216
41636
41055
39452
37292
34914

1.5326
136714.2

X3 Y

-916299.0
-443720.0
-81646.0
0.0
121257.0
1244448.0
5829192.0
5753232.0

poblacion
Y
215896
297952
415157
573301
779426

252500
669926
256924
676363
POBLACION FUTURA 264263 hab

RNE
1 DOTACION V promedio
DOTACION 180 l/hab/dia
Q= 47567.34 m3/dia

2 CAUDAL MAXIMO DIARIO

k1= 1.3
Qmd= 61837.542 m3/dia

3 CAUDAL MAXIMO HORARIO

k2= 2.5
Qmh= 4954.93125 m3/hora

4 VOLUMEN DE REGULACION
% 25 NO CAMBIA
Vr= 11891.835 m3

5 VOLUMEN CONTRA INCENDIO

Vmin 3000 m3 SI

6 VOLUMEN RESERVA
Vres= 0 m3
JUSTIFICAR
7 VOLUMEN TOTAL
VT= 14891.835 m3
 RECOMENDACIONES NACIONALES
1 DOTACION
DOTACION 200 l/hab/dia
Q= 52852.6 m3/dia

2 CAUDAL MAXIMO DIARIO

k1= 1.3
Qmd= 68708.38 m3/dia

3 CAUDAL MAXIMO HORARIO

k2= 1.8
Qmh= 3963.945 m3/hora

4 VOLUMEN DE REGULACION
% 25 NO CAMBIA
Vr= 13213.15 m3

5 VOLUMEN CONTRA INCENDIO

P<2000 V= 0 SI
10000<P<100000 GRIFOS Q(l/seg)
2 15
P>100000 GRIFOS Q(l/seg)
RESIDENCIAL 2
15
INDUSTRIAL 3
5
TIEMPO(min)>=2h 2 horas
V= 540 m3

6 VOLUMEN RESERVA
Vres 1 = 4584.383333 m3
Vres 2 = 4538.5395 m3
2<t<4 t= 2 horas
Vres 3 = 4404.383333 m3

Vres= 4584.383333
 7 VOLUMEN TOTAL
VT= 18337.53333 m3
 AWWA

1 DOTACION
DOTACION 567 l/hab/dia
Q= 149837.121 m3/dia

2 CAUDAL MAXIMO DIARIO

k1= 1.5
Qmd= 224755.6815 m3/dia

3 CAUDAL MAXIMO HORARIO

k2= 2.5
Qmh= 15608.03344 m3/hora

4 VOLUMEN DE REGULACION
% 100 NO CAMBIA
Vr= 149837.121 m3

5 VOLUMEN CONTRA INCENDIO

P<=200000 Qci= P NO ES MENOR gal/min Vci= #VALUE!
P>200000 Qci= 17000 gal/min Vci= 7722.216

TIEMPO 2 HORAS

P 264.263 19276.77 GLA/MIN

Vci 8756.436046 m3

6 VOLUMEN RESERVA
Vres= 0 m3
 7 VOLUMEN TOTAL
VT= 158593.557 m3
m3
m3
POBLACION FUTURA Err:502 hab

RNE
1 DOTACION V promedio
DOTACION 180 l/hab/dia
Q= Err:502 m3/dia

2 CAUDAL MAXIMO DIARIO

k1= 1.3
Qmd= Err:502 m3/dia

3 CAUDAL MAXIMO HORARIO

k2= 2.5
Qmh= Err:502 m3/hora

4 VOLUMEN DE REGULACION
% 25 NO CAMBIA
Vr= Err:502 m3

5 VOLUMEN CONTRA INCENDIO

Vmin 3000 m3 SI

6 VOLUMEN RESERVA
Vres= 0 m3
JUSTIFICAR
7 VOLUMEN TOTAL
VT= Err:502 m3
 RECOMENDACIONES NACIONALES
1 DOTACION
DOTACION 200 l/hab/dia
Q= Err:502 m3/dia

2 CAUDAL MAXIMO DIARIO

k1= 1.3
Qmd= Err:502 m3/dia

3 CAUDAL MAXIMO HORARIO

k2= 1.8
Qmh= Err:502 m3/hora

4 VOLUMEN DE REGULACION
% 25 NO CAMBIA
Vr= Err:502 m3

5 VOLUMEN CONTRA INCENDIO

P<2000 V= 0 SI
10000<P<100000 GRIFOS Q(l/seg)
2 15
P>100000 GRIFOS Q(l/seg)
RESIDENCIAL 2
15
INDUSTRIAL 3
5
TIEMPO(min)>=2h 4 horas
V= 1080 m3

6 VOLUMEN RESERVA
Vres 1 = Err:502 m3
Vres 2 = Err:502 m3
2<t<4 t= 2 horas
Vres 3 = Err:502 m3

Vres= Err:502
 7 VOLUMEN TOTAL
VT= Err:502 m3
 AWWA

1 DOTACION
DOTACION 567 l/hab/dia
Q= Err:502 m3/dia

2 CAUDAL MAXIMO DIARIO

k1= 1.5
Qmd= Err:502 m3/dia

3 CAUDAL MAXIMO HORARIO

k2= 2.5
Qmh= Err:502 m3/hora

4 VOLUMEN DE REGULACION
% 100 NO CAMBIA
Vr= Err:502 m3

5 VOLUMEN CONTRA INCENDIO

P<=200000 Qci= Err:502 gal/min Vci= Err:502
P>200000 Qci= Err:502 gal/min Vci= Err:502

TIEMPO 2 HORAS

P Err:502 Err:502 GLA/MIN

Vci Err:502 m3

6 VOLUMEN RESERVA
Vres= 0 m3
 7 VOLUMEN TOTAL
VT= Err:502 m3
m3
m3
 DIAGRMA MASA
CONSUMO
HORA VOLUMEN (m3) SEGUNDOS Q (M3/H)
1 23,000.00 3,600.00 23,000.00
2 41,600.00 3,600.00 41,600.00
3 56,500.00 3,600.00 56,500.00
4 70,100.00 3,600.00 70,100.00
5 85,300.00 3,600.00 85,300.00
6 85,300.00 3,600.00 85,300.00
7 95,600.00 3,600.00 95,600.00
8 99,000.00 3,600.00 99,000.00
9 86,700.00 3,600.00 86,700.00
10 65,700.00 3,600.00 65,700.00
11 83,000.00 3,600.00 83,000.00
12 97,350.00 3,600.00 97,350.00
13 128,700.00 3,600.00 128,700.00
14 123,000.00 3,600.00 123,000.00
15 141,600.00 3,600.00 141,600.00
16 156,500.00 3,600.00 156,500.00
17 90,100.00 3,600.00 90,100.00
18 85,300.00 3,600.00 85,300.00
19 95,600.00 3,600.00 95,600.00
20 199,000.00 3,600.00 199,000.00
21 186,700.00 3,600.00 186,700.00
22 95,700.00 3,600.00 95,700.00
23 53,000.00 3,600.00 53,000.00
24 39,000.00 3,600.00 39,000.00

2283350 TOTAL 2283350

CAUDAL PROMEDIO DIARIO (LT/S) 26427.662037037 26427.66204
CAUDAL PROMEDIO HORARIO (LT/S) 95139.5833333333 PROMEDIO

CAUDAL MAXIMO DIARIO (LT/S

 1 2 3
CONSUMO ACUMULA DISPONIBLE ACUMULAD (2)-(1) 98,279.17 (3)-(1)
23,000.00 95,139.58 72,139.58 193,418.75 170,418.75
64,600.00 190,279.17 125,679.17 288,558.33 223,958.33
121,100.00 285,418.75 164,318.75 383,697.92 262,597.92
191,200.00 380,558.33 189,358.33 478,837.50 287,637.50
276,500.00 475,697.92 199,197.92 573,977.08 297,477.08 2,500,000.00
361,800.00 570,837.50 209,037.50 669,116.67 307,316.67
457,400.00 665,977.08 208,577.08 764,256.25 306,856.25 2,000,000.00
556,400.00 761,116.67 204,716.67 859,395.83 302,995.83
1,500,000.00
643,100.00 856,256.25 213,156.25 954,535.42 311,435.42
708,800.00 951,395.83 242,595.83 ### 340,875.00
1,000,000.00
791,800.00 1,046,535.42 254,735.42 ### 353,014.58
889,150.00 1,141,675.00 252,525.00 ### 350,804.17 500,000.00
1,017,850.00 1,236,814.58 218,964.58 ### 317,243.75
1,140,850.00 1,331,954.17 191,104.17 ### 289,383.33 0.00
1
1,282,450.00 1,427,093.75 144,643.75 ### 242,922.92
1,438,950.00 1,522,233.33 83,283.33 ### 181,562.50
1,529,050.00 1,617,372.92 88,322.92 ### 186,602.08
1,614,350.00 1,712,512.50 98,162.50 ### 196,441.67
1,709,950.00 1,807,652.08 97,702.08 ### 195,981.25
1,908,950.00 1,902,791.67 -6,158.33 ### 92,120.83
2,095,650.00 1,997,931.25 -97,718.75 ### 560.42
2,191,350.00 2,093,070.83 -98,279.17 ### 0.00
2,244,350.00 2,188,210.42 -56,139.58 ### 42,139.58 DESDE HORA COMENZAMO
2,283,350.00 2,283,350.00 0.00 ### 98,279.17

25541950 28541875

VOLUMEN OPERACIONAL 353,014.58 353,014.58

VOLUMEN NETO 98,279.17

VOLUMEN TOTAL MAX 381,556.46
VOLUMEN DE REGULACION

CAUDAL MAXIMO DIARIO (LT/S) 34,355.96

LT/S 7,928.30
M3/H 28,541.88
 72,139.58
Chart Title 53,539.58
38,639.58
25,039.58
2,500,000.00 9,839.58
9,839.58
2,000,000.00 -460.42
-3,860.42
1,500,000.00
8,439.58
29,439.58
1,000,000.00
12,139.58
500,000.00 -2,210.42
-33,560.42
0.00 -27,860.42
1 2 CONSUMO
3 4 5 6ACUMULA DISPONIBLE
7 8 9 10 11 12 ACUMULAD
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
-46,460.42
-61,360.42
5,039.58
9,839.58
-460.42
-103,860.42
-91,560.42
-560.42
ESDE HORA COMENZAMOS ALMACENAR 42,139.58 DESDE ESTA HORA COMENZAMOS
56,139.58
ESDE ESTA HORA COMENZAMOS A ALMACENAR
 HORA Qi (m3/hora) sumatora Qi Q promedio(m3/hora)
1 23,000.00 23,000.00 95139.58
2 41,600.00 64,600.00 95139.58
3 56,500.00 121,100.00 95139.58
4 70,100.00 191,200.00 95139.58
5 85,300.00 276,500.00 95139.58
6 85,300.00 361,800.00 95139.58
7 95,600.00 457,400.00 95139.58
8 99,000.00 556,400.00 95139.58
9 86,700.00 643,100.00 95139.58
10 65,700.00 708,800.00 95139.58
11 83,000.00 791,800.00 95139.58
12 97,350.00 889,150.00 95139.58
13 128,700.00 1,017,850.00 95139.58
14 123,000.00 1,140,850.00 95139.58
15 141,600.00 1,282,450.00 95139.58
16 156,500.00 1,438,950.00 95139.58
17 90,100.00 1,529,050.00 95139.58
18 85,300.00 1,614,350.00 95139.58
19 95,600.00 1,709,950.00 95139.58
20 199,000.00 1,908,950.00 95139.58
21 186,700.00 2,095,650.00 95139.58
22 95,700.00 2,191,350.00 95139.58
23 53,000.00 2,244,350.00 95139.58
24 39,000.00 2,283,350.00 95139.58
SUMA 2283350.00
PROMEDIO 95139.583

consumo promedio diario 26427.662037037 l/seg

maximo horario 55,277.78 l/seg
minimo 6,388.89 l/seg
volumen maximo del reservorio 353,014.58 3000
suma de Qprom SumQi-SumQprom SumQi-SumQprom+Vreserva HORA
95139.58 -72,139.58 182,595.83 1
190279.17 -125,679.17 129,056.25 2
285418.75 -164,318.75 90,416.67 3
380558.33 -189,358.33 65,377.08 4
475697.92 -199,197.92 55,537.50 5
570837.50 -209,037.50 45,697.92 6
665977.08 -208,577.08 46,158.33 7
761116.67 -204,716.67 50,018.75 8
856256.25 -213,156.25 41,579.17 9
951395.83 -242,595.83 12,139.58 10
1046535.42 -254,735.42 0.00 11
1141675.00 -252,525.00 2,210.42 12
1236814.58 -218,964.58 35,770.83 13
1331954.17 -191,104.17 63,631.25 14
1427093.75 -144,643.75 110,091.67 15
1522233.33 -83,283.33 171,452.08 16
1617372.92 -88,322.92 166,412.50 17
1712512.50 -98,162.50 156,572.92 18
1807652.08 -97,702.08 157,033.33 19
1902791.67 6,158.33 260,893.75 20
1997931.25 97,718.75 352,454.17 21
2093070.83 98,279.17 353,014.58 22
2188210.42 56,139.58 310,875.00 23
2283350.00 0.00 254,735.42 24

20
1
0 356,014.58
Qi (m3/hora)q prom
23000 95139.583
41600 95139.583
56500 95139.583
70100 95139.583
85300 95139.583
85300 95139.583
95600 95139.583
99000 95139.583
86700 95139.583
65700 95139.583
83000 95139.583
97350 95139.583 Chart Title
128700 95139.583 250000
123000 95139.583
141600 95139.583 200000

156500 95139.583
150000
90100 95139.583
85300 95139.583
100000
95600 95139.583
199000 95139.583 50000
186700 95139.583
95700 95139.583 0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
53000 95139.583
39000 95139.583 Col umn L Col umn M
HORA sumatora Qi suma de Qprom
1 23000 95139.5833
2 64600 190279.167
3 121100 285418.75
4 191200 380558.333
5 276500 475697.917
6 361800 570837.5
7 457400 665977.083
8 556400 761116.667
9 643100 856256.25 Chart Tit
10 708800 951395.833 2500000
11 791800 1046535.42
12 889150 1141675 2000000
13 1017850 1236814.58
14 1140850 1331954.17 1500000
15 1282450 1427093.75
16 1438950 1522233.33 1000000
17 1529050 1617372.92
500000
18 1614350 1712512.5
19 1709950 1807652.08
0
20 1908950 1902791.67 0 5 10 15
21 2095650 1997931.25 Col umn W
22 2191350 2093070.83
23 2244350 2188210.42
24 2283350 2283350
 Chart Title

5 10 15 20 25 30
Col umn W Col umn X