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Serie anual de precipitacion maxima diaria (mm) para distintas duraciones

Estacion Urubamba
Elevacion 3550 msnm.

Duracion (min) / precipitacion (mm)


Año
5 10 15 20 25 30 60 90 120
92 93 3.8 7.4 10 13.2 16 17.5 20.9 23.2 25.2
93 94 4.8 8.1 9.1 11.4 12.4 13.7 22.7 27.1 30
94 95 4.3 6.9 9.6 11.9 13.2 14.9 21.4 27.5 29.95
95 96 3.8 6.8 9.1 10.6 12.1 13.1 16.8 18.8 19.5
96 97 3.6 5.9 8.4 10.7 12.2 13.2 17.8 20.6 21.7
97 98 5.8 8.8 12 13.2 16.4 18.7 23.9 23.9 23.85
98 99 4.1 6.9 7.4 7.65 7.65 7.65 8.75 10.5 11.95

Determine las curvas PDF para periodos de retorno de 5, 10, 20, 30 ,50, 100, 200 y 500 años

Duracion (min) / precipitacion (mm


Año m
5 10 15 20 25 30 60 90
92 93 1 5.80 8.80 12.00 13.20 16.40 18.70 23.90 27.50
93 94 2 4.80 8.10 10.00 13.20 16.00 17.50 22.70 27.10
94 95 3 4.30 7.40 9.60 11.90 13.20 14.90 21.40 23.90
95 96 4 4.10 6.90 9.10 11.40 12.40 13.70 20.90 23.20
96 97 5 3.80 6.90 9.10 10.70 12.20 13.20 17.80 20.60
97 98 6 3.80 6.80 8.40 10.60 12.10 13.10 16.80 18.80
98 99 7 3.60 5.90 7.40 7.65 7.65 7.65 8.75 10.50
PROMEDIO 4.31 7.26 9.37 11.24 12.85 14.11 18.89 21.66
DESV. ESTA. 0.77 0.95 1.43 1.90 2.91 3.58 5.14 5.84
CV 0.18 0.13 0.15 0.17 0.23 0.25 0.27 0.27

Tr Px Y 5 10 15 20 25 30 60 90
5 0.20 1.50 4.87 7.94 10.40 12.61 14.95 16.69 22.59 25.86
10 0.10 2.25 5.32 8.50 11.24 13.72 16.65 18.78 25.60 29.29
20 0.05 2.97 5.75 9.03 12.05 14.79 18.29 20.79 28.48 32.57
30 0.03 3.38 5.99 9.34 12.51 15.40 19.23 21.95 30.14 34.45
50 0.02 3.90 6.30 9.72 13.09 16.17 20.40 23.39 32.22 36.81
100 0.01 4.60 6.72 10.24 13.87 17.21 21.99 25.34 35.01 40.00
200 0.01 5.30 7.14 10.75 14.65 18.24 23.57 27.29 37.80 43.17
500 0.00 6.21 7.69 11.43 15.68 19.60 25.65 29.85 41.48 47.35
Duracion(min)/Intencidad (mm/h
5 10 15 20 25 30 60 90
58.40 47.65 41.61 37.82 35.87 33.37 22.59 17.24
63.78 50.98 44.97 41.16 39.96 37.56 25.60 19.52
68.95 54.19 48.19 44.37 43.89 41.58 28.48 21.71
71.92 56.03 50.04 46.21 46.14 43.90 30.14 22.97
75.64 58.33 52.36 48.52 48.96 46.79 32.22 24.54
80.65 61.43 55.48 51.62 52.77 50.69 35.01 26.66
85.64 64.53 58.60 54.72 56.56 54.57 37.80 28.78
92.23 68.61 62.70 58.81 61.57 59.70 41.48 31.57

CURVAS IDF
100.00
90.00
80.00
70.00
INTENCIDAD mm/h
60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
TIEMPO mIm

Y X X^2
n D (min) I(mm/h) 1/I X^2 XY
1 5 75.64 0.013221 0.0002 0.066
2 10 58.33 0.017144 0.0003 0.171
3 15 52.36 0.019099 0.0004 0.286
4 20 48.52 0.020612 0.0004 0.412
5 25 48.96 0.020423 0.0004 0.511
6 30 46.79 0.021373 0.0005 0.641
7 60 32.22 0.031041 0.0010 1.862
8 90 24.54 0.040745 0.0017 3.667
9 120 19.76 0.050603 0.0026 6.072

1600

1400 f(x) = 36
R² = 0.9
10 180 14.99 0.06671 0.0045 12.008
11 240 11.65 0.085854 0.0074 20.605 1600
12 300 10.12 0.098782 0.0098 29.635 1400 f(x) = 36
13 360 9.12 0.109614 0.0120 39.461 R² = 0.9
1200
14 480 7.01 0.142651 0.0203 68.472
15 600 5.70 0.175537 0.0308 105.322 1000

16 720 4.83 0.207008 0.0429 149.046 800


17 1440 2.41 0.415456 0.1726 598.257 600

400
∑ 4695 1.535872 0.3075294 1036.495
∑/n 276.1765 0.090345 0.01809 60.97032 200

0
0 0.05

A∑X/n + B∑X^2/n = 0 1
A+0.09B=276.18 2
A∑X/n + B∑X^2/n = 0
0.09A+0.018B=60.97
A 3628.1
B -51.61 D=(a*1/I)-b
D
a 3628.1
b 51.61 I=a/b+D
I

Y X X^2
n D (min) I(mm/h) 1/I X^2 XY
1 5 80.65 0.012399 0.0002 0.062
2 10 61.43 0.016278 0.0003 0.163
3 15 55.48 0.018023 0.0003 0.270
4 20 51.62 0.019371 0.0004 0.387
5 25 52.77 0.01895 0.0004 0.474
6 30 50.69 0.019728 0.0004 0.592
7 60 35.01 0.028561 0.0008 1.714
8 90 26.66 0.037503 0.0014 3.375
9 120 21.48 0.046557 0.0022 5.587
10 180 16.31 0.061304 0.0038 11.035 1600
11 240 12.60 0.079381 0.0063 19.052 1400 f(x) = 390
12 300 10.98 0.091084 0.0083 27.325 R² = 0.998
1200
13 360 9.94 0.100652 0.0101 36.235
14 480 7.60 0.13163 0.0173 63.182 1000
15 600 6.17 0.161985 0.0262 97.191 800
16 720 5.24 0.190802 0.0364 137.378
600

400

200
1000

800

600
17 1440 2.59 0.386443 0.1493 556.478
400
∑ 4695 1.420652 0.2640532 960.4997 200
∑/n 276.1765 0.083568 0.0155325 56.49998
0
0 0.05

A∑X/n + B∑X^2/n = 0 1
A+0.09B=276.18 2
A∑X/n + B∑X^2/n = 0
0.09A+0.018B=60.97
A 3909.3
B -50.515 D=(a*1/I)-b
5 -2.043
a 3909.3 10 13.12
b 50.515 15 19.94
20 25.21
I=a/b+D 25 23.57
5 75.3464 30 26.61
10 90.5084 60 61.14
15 97.3331 90 96.09
20 102.599 120 131.5
25 100.954 180 189.1
30 103.998 240 259.8
60 138.526 300 305.6
90 173.482 360 343
120 208.878 480 464.1
180 266.531 600 582.7
240 337.199 720 695.4
300 382.948 1440 1460
360 420.354
480 541.456
600 660.122
720 772.778
1440 1537.6

PROBLEMA Apartir de las relaciones IDF ….

reordenamiento
Patrón Bloque PATRON TORMENTA CRÍ
T(min) I(mm/h) P(mm) critico alterno 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
10 58.89 9.81 1.27 0.67 0.00

20 50.66 16.89 1.67 0.81


2.00
30 44.46 22.23 2.30 1.00
4.00

6.00
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
0.00

2.00

40 39.60 26.40 3.35 1.27 4.00


50 35.71 29.76 5.34 1.67
60 60 32.51 32.51 9.81 2.30 6.00
70 29.83 34.81 7.07 3.35
80 27.57 36.76 4.17 5.34 8.00

90 90 25.62 38.43 2.75 9.81


10.00
100 23.93 39.88 1.95 7.07
110 22.45 41.16 1.45 4.17 12.00
120 21.14 42.28 1.13 2.75
130 19.98 43.28 1.00 1.95
140 18.93 44.18 0.90 1.45 BLOQUE ALTERNO
150 18.00 44.99 0.81 1.13 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
160 17.15 45.72 0.73 0.90 0.00
170 16.37 46.39 0.67 0.73
2.00
180 15.66 46.99 0.61 0.61
4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00
precipitacion (mm)
180 240 300 360 480 600 720 1440
27.6 34.5 39.8 43.1 46.3 47.3 48.3 48.3
34.5 35.25 35.6 37.5 37.75 37.8 37.75 38.65
35.2 36.8 39.4 41.3 42.05 42.1 42.3 42.3
21.7 21.95 22 22 21.95 22 21.95 25.85
22.2 22.45 22.5 22.5 27.55 27.6 27.55 27.55
26.6 27.9 27.9 28.7 29.5 29.8 29.75 39.9
14.8 20.65 24.5 25.6 30.95 33.3 34.05 37.25

00 y 500 años

n (min) / precipitacion (mm) CURVAS PDF


120 180 240 300 360 480 600 720 1440 80.00
30.00 35.20 36.80 39.80 43.10 46.30 47.30 48.30 48.30
70.00
29.95 34.50 35.25 39.40 41.30 42.05 42.10 42.30 42.30
25.20 27.60 34.50 35.60 37.50 37.75 37.80 37.75 39.90 60.00

23.85 26.60 27.90 27.90 28.70 30.95 33.30 34.05 38.65 50.00
21.70 22.20 22.45 24.50 25.60 29.50 29.80 29.75 37.25 40.00
19.50 21.70 21.95 22.50 22.50 27.55 27.60 27.55 27.55
30.00
11.95 14.80 20.65 22.00 22.00 21.95 22.00 21.95 25.85
23.16 26.09 28.50 30.24 31.53 33.72 34.27 34.52 37.11 20.00
6.31 7.28 6.98 7.86 8.95 8.62 8.75 9.04 7.96 10.00
0.27 0.28 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.21
0.00
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 140

120 180 240 300 360 480 600 720 1440


27.71 31.33 33.52 35.90 37.97 39.93 40.57 41.03 42.85
31.40 35.59 37.60 40.50 43.21 44.97 45.69 46.32 47.51
34.94 39.68 41.52 44.91 48.23 49.82 50.61 51.40 51.98
36.98 42.03 43.77 47.44 51.12 52.60 53.43 54.32 54.55
39.52 44.97 46.59 50.62 54.74 56.08 56.97 57.97 57.77
42.96 48.94 50.39 54.89 59.61 60.78 61.73 62.89 62.10
46.38 52.89 54.17 59.16 64.47 65.45 66.48 67.80 66.43
50.90 58.10 59.17 64.78 70.87 71.63 72.75 74.27 72.13
on(min)/Intencidad (mm/h)
120 180 240 300 360 480 600 720 1440
13.85 10.44 8.38 7.18 6.33 4.99 4.06 3.42 1.79
15.70 11.86 9.40 8.10 7.20 5.62 4.57 3.86 1.98
17.47 13.23 10.38 8.98 8.04 6.23 5.06 4.28 2.17
18.49 14.01 10.94 9.49 8.52 6.58 5.34 4.53 2.27
19.76 14.99 11.65 10.12 9.12 7.01 5.70 4.83 2.41
21.48 16.31 12.60 10.98 9.94 7.60 6.17 5.24 2.59
23.19 17.63 13.54 11.83 10.74 8.18 6.65 5.65 2.77
25.45 19.37 14.79 12.96 11.81 8.95 7.27 6.19 3.01

CURVAS IDF

400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600
TIEMPO mIm

TALBOT
1600

1400 f(x) = 3628.146844036x - 51.6100302035


R² = 0.9990437433
TALBOT
1600

1400 f(x) = 3628.146844036x - 51.6100302035


R² = 0.9990437433
1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45

TALBOT= 100 AÑOS


1600

1400 f(x) = 3909.3050467899x - 50.5153569689


R² = 0.9988046565
1200

1000

800

600

400

200
1000

800

600

400

200

0
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45

ATRON TORMENTA CRÍTICA


0 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180
0 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180

BLOQUE ALTERNO
50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180
CURVAS PDF

TR = 5
TR = 10
TR = 20
TR = 30
TR = 50
TR = 100
TR = 200
TR =500

600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600


19.7616243 14.9901948 11.6477176
10.1232596 9.12293166 7.0101357 5.69681 4.83072362 2.4069935
Duracion (min) / precipitacio
Año m
5 10 15 20 25 30 60 90
92 93 1 4.19 7.10 9.17 10.92 12.37 13.52 18.04 20.68
93 94 2 4.87 7.94 10.42 12.60 14.94 16.68 22.58 25.85
94 95 3 5.31 8.50 11.24 13.72 16.65 18.78 25.58 29.27
95 96 4 5.57 8.81 11.71 14.35 17.61 19.96 27.27 31.20
96 97 5 5.75 9.03 12.04 14.79 18.28 20.79 28.46 32.55
97 98 6 5.88 9.20 12.29 15.13 18.80 21.43 29.37 33.59
98 99 7 5.99 9.34 12.49 15.40 19.22 21.94 30.11 34.44
8 6.30 9.62 13.06 16.17 20.40 23.39 32.18 36.80
9 6.72 10.24 13.83 17.21 21.98 25.34 34.97 39.98
10 7.14 10.75 14.60 18.24 23.56 27.28 37.76 43.15
11 7.68 11.43 15.61 19.60 25.65 29.84 41.43 47.33
PROMEDIO 5.95 9.27 12.41 15.28 19.04 21.72 29.80 34.08
DESV. ESTA. 1.00 1.24 1.84 2.48 3.80 4.67 6.69 7.63
CV 0.17 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.22

Tr Px Y 5 10 15 20 25 30 60 90
1 2 0.50 0.37 5.78 9.07 12.10 14.88 18.42 20.96 28.70 32.82
2 5 0.20 1.50 6.66 10.16 13.73 17.07 21.78 25.09 34.61 39.57
3 10 0.10 2.25 7.25 10.88 14.81 18.53 24.00 27.82 38.53 44.03
4 15 0.07 2.67 7.58 11.29 15.42 19.35 25.26 29.36 40.74 46.55
5 20 0.05 2.97 7.81 11.58 15.84 19.92 26.13 30.44 42.29 48.31
6 25 0.04 3.20 7.99 11.80 16.17 20.36 26.81 31.27 43.48 49.67
7 30 0.03 3.38 8.13 11.97 16.44 20.72 27.36 31.95 44.45 50.77
8 50 0.02 3.90 8.54 12.47 17.18 21.73 28.90 33.84 47.15 53.85
9 100 0.01 4.60 9.08 13.15 18.19 23.08 30.96 36.38 50.79 58.01
10 200 0.01 5.30 9.62 13.82 19.19 24.43 33.03 38.91 54.42 62.14
11 500 0.00 6.21 10.34 14.70 20.51 26.21 35.75 42.26 59.21 67.60

Duracion(min)/Intencidad (
5 10 15 20 25 30 60 90
1 69.38 54.40 48.41 44.63 44.20 41.91 28.70 21.88
2 79.98 60.95 54.93 51.22 52.26 50.17 34.61 26.38
3 87.00 65.29 59.24 55.58 57.60 55.64 38.53 29.35
4 90.96 67.74 61.68 58.04 60.61 58.72 40.74 31.03
5 93.73 69.45 63.38 59.77 62.72 60.88 42.29 32.21
6 95.87 70.78 64.69 61.09 64.35 62.55 43.48 33.11
7 97.61 71.85 65.76 62.17 65.67 63.90 44.45 33.85
8 102.45 74.84 68.74 65.18 69.35 67.67 47.15 35.90
9 108.98 78.88 72.75 69.24 74.31 72.76 50.79 38.67
10 115.49 82.90 76.75 73.28 79.26 77.83 54.42 41.43
11 124.07 88.21 82.03 78.62 85.79 84.51 59.21 45.07

CURVAS IDF
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
90.00
80.00

I(mm/h)
70.00
60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

T(min)

a 5131.6
b 47.25
Y X X^2
n D (min) I(mm/h) 1/I X^2 XY TALBOT
1 5 102.45 0.0098 0.0001 0.049 98.21 1600
2 10 74.8431 0.0134 0.0002 0.134 89.63
1400 f(x) = 5131.64956
3 15 68.7363 0.0145 0.0002 0.218 82.44
4 20 65.1814 0.0153 0.0002 0.307 76.31 1200 R² = 0.997626953

5 25 69.3482 0.0144 0.0002 0.360 71.03 1000


6 30 67.6707 0.0148 0.0002 0.443 66.43
800
7 60 47.1492 0.0212 0.0004 1.273 47.85
8 90 35.902 0.0279 0.0008 2.507 37.39 600
9 120 28.9113 0.0346 0.0012 4.151 30.68 400
10 180 22.067 0.0453 0.0021 8.157 22.58
200
11 240 16.733 0.0598 0.0036 14.343 17.86
12 300 14.7129 0.068 0.0046 20.390 14.78 0
0 0.05 0
13 360 13.4745 0.0742 0.0055 26.717 12.60
14 480 10.1529 0.0985 0.0097 47.277 9.73
15 600 8.25169 0.1212 0.0147 72.712 7.93
16 720 7.02763 0.1423 0.0202 102.453 6.69
17 1440 3.37457 0.2963 0.0878 426.721 3.45

∑ 4695 1.0714 0.151771 728.2119 D=(a*1/I)-b


∑/n 276.176 0.063 0.008928 42.83599 D
I=a/b+D
A∑X/n + B∑X^2/n = 0 1 I
A+0.09B=276.18 2
A∑X/n + B∑X^2/n = 0
0.09A+0.018B=60.97

PROBLEMA Apartir de las relaciones IDF ….

reordenamiento
Patrón Bloque PATRON TORMENTA
T(min) I(mm/h) P(mm) critico alterno 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
0.00
10 89.63 14.94 1.75 0.90
20 76.31 25.44 2.31 1.09
2.00
30 66.43 33.21 3.21 1.36
40 58.81 39.21 4.76 1.75 4.00
50 52.77 43.97 7.78 2.31
60 60 47.85 47.85 14.94 3.21 6.00
70 43.77 51.06 10.50 4.76
80 40.33 53.77 6.00 7.78 8.00

90 90 37.39 56.08 3.87 14.94


10.00
100 34.85 58.08 2.71 10.50
110 32.63 59.83 2.00 6.00 12.00
120 30.68 61.36 1.54 3.87
130 28.95 62.73 1.36 2.71
140 27.41 63.95 1.22 2.00 BLOQUE ALTE
150 26.02 65.04 1.09 1.54 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10
160 24.76 66.03 0.99 1.22 0.00
170 23.62 66.93 0.90 0.99
2.00
180 22.58 67.74 0.82 0.82
4.00

6.00

8.00
0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00
racion (min) / precipitacion (mm)
120 180 240 300 360 480 600 720 1440
22.13 24.87 27.35 28.93 30.04 32.31 32.80 33.04 35.81
27.70 31.30 33.52 35.88 37.95 39.92 40.54 41.03 42.84
31.39 35.57 37.60 40.48 43.19 44.97 45.67 46.32 47.50
33.48 37.97 39.90 43.08 46.15 47.81 48.56 49.30 50.13
34.93 39.66 41.51 44.90 48.22 49.81 50.59 51.39 51.97
33.06 40.95 42.76 46.30 49.81 51.34 52.15 53.00 53.39
36.97 42.01 43.77 47.44 51.11 52.59 53.41 54.31 54.54
39.52 44.95 46.58 50.61 54.72 56.07 56.95 57.96 57.76
42.95 48.91 50.38 54.90 59.60 60.76 61.72 62.88 62.09
46.37 52.86 54.16 59.16 64.45 65.44 66.47 67.78 66.41
50.88 58.08 59.15 64.79 70.86 71.61 72.75 74.25 72.11
36.31 41.56 43.33 46.95 50.55 52.06 52.87 53.75 54.05
8.30 9.50 9.10 10.26 11.68 11.25 11.43 11.79 10.39
0.23 0.23 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.19

120 180 240 300 360 480 600 720 1440


34.95 40.00 41.84 45.27 48.64 50.21 51.00 51.82 52.35 CURVAS PD
42.28 48.40 49.89 54.34 58.96 60.15 61.10 62.24 61.53 120.00
47.14 53.96 55.21 60.35 65.80 66.74 67.79 69.14 67.61
49.88 57.10 58.22 63.73 69.66 70.45 71.57 73.04 71.04 100.00
51.79 59.30 60.32 66.11 72.36 73.05 74.21 75.76 73.44
53.27 60.99 61.94 67.93 74.44 75.05 76.25 77.86 75.29 80.00
54.47 62.36 63.26 69.42 76.13 76.68 77.90 79.57 76.80
60.00
57.82 66.20 66.93 73.56 80.85 81.22 82.52 84.33 80.99
62.34 71.38 71.89 79.15 87.21 87.35 88.74 90.75 86.65
40.00
66.84 76.53 76.82 84.72 93.55 93.45 94.94 97.15 92.28
72.78 83.33 83.34 92.07 101.91 101.50 103.13 105.59 99.72
20.00

uracion(min)/Intencidad (mm/h) 0.00


120 180 240 300 360 480 600 720 1440 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1

17.47 13.33 10.46 9.05 8.11 6.28 5.10 4.32 2.18


21.14 16.13 12.47 10.87 9.83 7.52 6.11 5.19 2.56
23.57 17.99 13.80 12.07 10.97 8.34 6.78 5.76 2.82
24.94 19.03 14.55 12.75 11.61 8.81 7.16 6.09 2.96
25.90 19.77 15.08 13.22 12.06 9.13 7.42 6.31 3.06
26.64 20.33 15.48 13.59 12.41 9.38 7.62 6.49 3.14
27.24 20.79 15.81 13.88 12.69 9.59 7.79 6.63 3.20
28.91 22.07 16.73 14.71 13.47 10.15 8.25 7.03 3.37
31.17 23.79 17.97 15.83 14.53 10.92 8.87 7.56 3.61
33.42 25.51 19.21 16.94 15.59 11.68 9.49 8.10 3.85
36.39 27.78 20.83 18.41 16.98 12.69 10.31 8.80 4.15

VAS IDF

0 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400

T(min)

TALBOT=50 AÑOS
00

00 f(x) = 5131.6495667343x - 47.2481817774


00 R² = 0.997626953

00

00

00

00

00

0
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35

A 5131.60
B -47.25 D=(a*1/I)-b
5 2.84
a 5131.6 10 21.31
b 47.25 15 27.41
20 31.48
I=a/b+D 25 26.75
5 111.444 30 28.58
10 129.92 60 61.59
15 136.012 90 95.68
20 140.083 120 130.24
25 135.353 180 185.30
30 137.187 240 259.43
60 170.193 300 301.53
90 204.289 360 333.59
120 238.85 480 458.18
180 293.902 600 574.63
240 368.031 720 682.95
300 410.139 1440 1473.42
360 442.194
480 566.79
600 683.24
720 791.559
1440 1582

PATRON TORMENTA CRÍTICA


50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180

BLOQUE ALTERNO
50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180
CURVAS PDF
TR=2
TR=5
TR=10
TR=15
TR=20
TR=25
TR=30
TR=50
TR=10
0
TR=20
0
TR=50
0
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
19.7616243 14.9901948
11.6477176
Duracion (min) / precipitacion (mm)
Año m
10 20 30 40 80 120 240 360
1920 1930 1 56 19 24 31 23 35 24 41
1930 1940 2 26 18 36 29 20 29 34 42
1940 1950 3 5 57 41 58 19 46 33 44
1950 1960 4 19 11 11 10 3 18 52 39
1960 1970 5 34 41 5 55 22 53 58 31
1970 1980 6 23 21 50 13 10 50 11 49
1980 1990 7 16 36 27 41 23 26 31 31
1990 2000 8 58 32 6 4 4 51 56 52
2000 2010 9 39 13 11 53 58 8 14 8
PROMEDIO 30.67 27.56 23.44 32.67 20.22 35.11 34.78 37.44
DESV. ESTA. 17.89 15.13 16.35 20.50 16.25 16.05 17.38 13.11
CV 0.58 0.55 0.70 0.63 0.80 0.46 0.50 0.35

Tr Px Y 10 20 30 40 80 120 240 360


1 50 0.02 3.90 77.06 66.80 65.84 85.83 62.36 76.74 79.86 71.44
2 10 0.10 2.25 54.02 47.31 44.78 59.43 41.43 56.06 57.47 54.55
3 5 0.20 1.50 43.55 38.45 35.21 47.43 31.92 46.67 47.29 46.88
4 2 0.50 0.37 27.73 25.07 20.76 29.30 17.56 32.48 31.92 35.29

Duracion(min)/Intencidad (mm/h)
10 20 30 40 80 120 240 360
1 462.36 200.41 131.69 128.75 46.77 38.37 19.97 11.91
2 324.10 141.93 89.57 89.14 31.07 28.03 14.37 9.09
3 261.27 115.35 70.43 71.14 23.94 23.33 11.82 7.81
4 166.38 75.22 41.52 43.95 13.17 16.24 7.98 5.88

CURVA IDF
500.00
450.00
400.00
350.00
300.00
I(mm/h)

250.00
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 70

T(min)
100.00
50.00
0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 70

T(min)

a 5131.6
b 47.25
Y X X^2
n D (min) I(mm/h) 1/I X^2 XY TALBOT
1 10 462.365 0.0022 0.0000 0.022 89.63 700
2 20 200.415 0.005 0.0000 0.100 76.31
600 f(x) = 3890.7350270687
3 30 131.69 0.0076 0.0001 0.228 66.43 R² = 0.9857815977
4 40 128.75 0.0078 0.0001 0.311 58.81 500
5 80 46.768 0.0214 0.0005 1.711 40.33
6 120 38.3688 0.0261 0.0007 3.128 30.68 400
7 240 19.9657 0.0501 0.0025 12.021 17.86 300
8 360 11.906 0.084 0.0071 30.237 12.60
9 480 9.09862 0.1099 0.0121 52.755 9.73 200
10 600 6.14981 0.1626 0.0264 97.564 7.93 100

0
0 0.02 0.04

∑ 1980 0.4765 0.049368 198.0747 D=(a*1/I)-b


∑/n 116.471 0.028 0.002904 11.65145 D

I=a/b+D
A∑X/n + B∑X^2/n = 0 1 I
A+0.09B=276.18 2
A∑X/n + B∑X^2/n = 0
0.09A+0.018B=60.97
PROBLEMA Apartir de las relaciones IDF ….

reordenamiento
Patrón Bloque PATRON TORMENTA
T(min) I(mm/h) P(mm) critico alterno 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
0.00
10 89.63 14.94 1.75 0.90
20 76.31 25.44 2.31 1.09
2.00
30 66.43 33.21 3.21 1.36
40 58.81 39.21 4.76 1.75 4.00
50 52.77 43.97 7.78 2.31
60 60 47.85 47.85 14.94 3.21 6.00
70 43.77 51.06 10.50 4.76
80 40.33 53.77 6.00 7.78 8.00

90 90 37.39 56.08 3.87 14.94


10.00
100 34.85 58.08 2.71 10.50
110 32.63 59.83 2.00 6.00 12.00
120 30.68 61.36 1.54 3.87
130 28.95 62.73 1.36 2.71
140 27.41 63.95 1.22 2.00 BLOQUE ALTE
150 26.02 65.04 1.09 1.54 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10
160 24.76 66.03 0.99 1.22 0.00
170 23.62 66.93 0.90 0.99
2.00
180 22.58 67.74 0.82 0.82
4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00
m)
480 600
38 28
16 16
56 42
46 18
7 39
29 45
22 22
23 4
45 18
31.33 25.78
15.98 13.77
0.51 0.53

480 600 CURVA PDF


72.79 61.50 100.00
52.20 43.76 90.00
42.84 35.69 80.00
28.71 23.52 70.00 T=50 AÑOS
60.00 T=10 AÑOS
h) 50.00
TR=5 AÑOS
480 600 TR=2 AÑOS
40.00
9.10 6.15
30.00
6.52 4.38
20.00
5.36 3.57
10.00
3.59 2.35
0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700

500 600 700


500 600 700

462.365 200.41469 131.69 128.75 46.77 38.3688384 19.9656802

TALBOT=50 AÑOS
00

00 f(x) = 3890.7350270687x + 12.5876255674


R² = 0.9857815977
00

00

00

00

00

0
0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18

A 5131.60
B -47.25 D=(a*1/I)-b
5 -36.15
a 5131.6 10 -21.65
b 47.25 15 -8.28
20 -7.39
I=a/b+D 25 62.47
5 72.4539 30 86.49
10 86.9602 60 209.77
15 100.323 90 383.76
20 101.212 120 516.75
25 171.08 180 787.18
30 195.099 240 #DIV/0!
60 318.376 300 #DIV/0!
90 492.365 360 #DIV/0!
120 625.353 480 #DIV/0!
180 895.787 600 #DIV/0!
240 #DIV/0! 720 #DIV/0!
300 #DIV/0! 1440 #DIV/0!
360 #DIV/0!
480 #DIV/0!
600 #DIV/0!
720 #DIV/0!
1440 #DIV/0!

PATRON TORMENTA CRÍTICA


50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180

BLOQUE ALTERNO
50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180
T=50 AÑOS
T=10 AÑOS
TR=5 AÑOS
TR=2 AÑOS
11.9060096 9.09862304 6.14981186

19.7616243 14.9901948
11.6477176

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