ESTACION : La Pampilla

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
16:27
16:46 19 19 1.40 1.40 4.42 0.10 0.044025157 11.46 4.754716981
18:00 74 93 9.80 11.20 7.95 0.47 0.352201258 56.08 38.03773585
18:18 18 111 8.70 19.90 29.00 0.56 0.625786164 66.93 67.58490566
19:06 48 159 9.40 29.30 11.75 0.80 0.921383648 95.88 99.50943396
19:23 17 176 1.50 30.80 5.29 0.88 0.968553459 106.13 104.6037736
19:46 23 199 1.00 31.80 2.61 1.00 1 120.00 108
20:00

Intensidad m m /h
X Y
HIETOGRAMA Tr = 10
0:00 0 20
0:00 15.70093458
0:30 15.70093458 15.70
15
0:30 11.89 30
1:00 11.89 11.89

1:00 3.36 60
10

1:30 3.36
1:30 1.57 905 5.15 4.82 4.82
2:00 1.57 3.36 3.02 3.02
2.46
2:00 2.46 120 1.57
0 0.00
3:00 2.46 0:00 4:48 9:36 14:24 19:12 0:00 4:48
3:00 5.15 180 Hora
6:00 5.15
6:00 3.02 360
12:00 3.02
12:00 4.82
0:00 4.82
0:00 0.00
0:00 0.00 1440
0 0 0
El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones 0.0208333 30 0.3271028
0.0416667 60 0.5747664
i10= 29.00 mm/h i10= 29.00 mm/h 0.0625 90 0.6448598
0.0833333 120 0.6775701
i30= 22.10 mm/h i30= 29.00*18/30 + 11.75*12/30 = 22.10 mm/h. 0.125 180 0.728972
0.25 360 0.8364486
i60= 16.93 mm/h i60= 29.00*18/60 + 11.75*42/60 = 16.93 mm/h. 0.5 720 0.8995327
1 1440 1
i120= 12.63 mm/h i120= 29.00*18/120 + 11.75*48/120 + 7.95*54/120 = 12.63 mm/h.

i180= 10.32 mm/h i180= 29.00*18/180 + 11.75*48/180 + 7.95*74/180 + 5.29*17/180 + 4.42*19/180 + 2.5*4/180 = 10.32 mm/h.
 i180=

ESTACION : Chiguata

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
12:00
16:48 288 288 0.10 0.10 0.02 0.64 0.002808989
17:12 24 312 9.90 10.00 24.75 0.70 0.280898876
17:20 8 320 9.00 19.00 67.50 0.71 0.533707865
17:36 16 336 9.00 28.00 33.75 0.75 0.786516854
18:40 64 400 6.60 34.60 6.19 0.89 0.971910112
19:28 48 448 1.00 35.60 1.25 1.00 1
20:00
7.466666667
In t e n s id a d m m /h

X Y
12:00 0.02
16:48 0.02
16:48 24.75
HIETOGRAMA 17:12 24.75
80.00
17:12 67.50
70.00 67.50 17:20 67.50
60.00
50.00
17:20 33.75
40.00 17:36 33.75
33.75
30.00
24.75 17:36 6.19
20.00
10.00 18:40 6.19
6.19
0.00 1.25
18:40 1.25
16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00
Hora 19:28 1.25
19:28 0.00
20:00 0.00
20:00 0.00
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10  60.75 mm/h i10  67.50*8/10+33.75*2/10 = 60.75 mm/h

i30  40.95 mm/h i30  67.50*8/30+33.75*16/30+24.75*6/30 = 40.95 mm/h

i60  29.14 mm/h i60  67.50*8/60+33.75*16/60+24.75*24/60+6.19*12/60 = 29.14 mm/h

i120  i120 
i120  17.33 mm/h i120  67.50*8/120+33.75*16/120+24.75*24/120+6.19*64/120 +1.25*8/120 = 17.33 mm/h

i180  11.67 mm/h i180  67.50*8/180+33.75*16/180+24.75*24/180+6.19*64/180 +1.25*20/180 = 11.67 mm/h

 1.2

0.8

0.6 Colu
mn I

0.4

0.2

0
- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20

48
0
15.700935 15.7009346
27.588785 11.8878505
30.953271 3.36448598
32.523364 1.57009346
34.990654 2.46728972
40.149533 5.1588785
43.17757 3.02803738
48 4.82242991
48
 ESTACION : La Pampilla

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
16:27
16:46 19 19 1.40 1.40 4.42 0.10 0.044025157 11.46 4.754716981
18:00 74 93 9.80 11.20 7.95 0.47 0.352201258 56.08 38.03773585
18:18 18 111 8.70 19.90 29.00 0.56 0.625786164 66.93 67.58490566
19:06 48 159 9.40 29.30 11.75 0.80 0.921383648 95.88 99.50943396
19:23 17 176 1.50 30.80 5.29 0.88 0.968553459 106.13 104.6037736
19:46 23 199 1.00 31.80 2.61 1.00 1 120.00 108
20:00
In t e n s i d a d m m /h

X Y
1.2
16:27 4.42
16:46 4.42
16:46 7.95 1
HIETOGRAMA 18:00 7.95
35.00
18:00 29.00 0.8
30.00 29.00 18:18 29.00
25.00 18:18 11.75 0.6 Colu
20.00 mn I
19:06 11.75
15.00
11.75 19:06 5.29
10.00
7.95 0.4
5.00 4.42 5.29 19:23 5.29
2.61
0.00 19:23 2.61
16:00 17:00 18:00
Hora
19:00
19:46 2.61 0.2
19:46 0.00
20:00 0.00 0
20:00 0.00 - 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10= 29.00 mm/h i10= 29.00 mm/h

i30= 22.10 mm/h i30= 29.00*18/30 + 11.75*12/30 = 22.10 mm/h.

i60= 16.93 mm/h i60= 29.00*18/60 + 11.75*42/60 = 16.93 mm/h.

i120= 12.63 mm/h i120= 29.00*18/120 + 11.75*48/120 + 7.95*54/120 = 12.63 mm/h.

i180= 10.32 mm/h i180= 29.00*18/180 + 11.75*48/180 + 7.95*74/180 + 5.29*17/180 + 4.42*19/180 + 2.5*4/180 = 10.32 mm/h.
 ESTACION : Chiguata

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
12:00
16:48 288 288 0.10 0.10 0.02 0.64 0.002808989
17:12 24 312 9.90 10.00 24.75 0.70 0.280898876
17:20 8 320 9.00 19.00 67.50 0.71 0.533707865
17:36 16 336 9.00 28.00 33.75 0.75 0.786516854
18:40 64 400 6.60 34.60 6.19 0.89 0.971910112
19:28 48 448 1.00 35.60 1.25 1.00 1
20:00
7.466666667
In t e n s id a d m m /h

X Y
12:00 0.02
16:48 0.02
16:48 24.75
HIETOGRAMA 17:12 24.75
80.00
17:12 67.50
70.00 67.50 17:20 67.50
60.00
50.00
17:20 33.75
40.00 17:36 33.75
33.75
30.00
24.75 17:36 6.19
20.00
10.00 18:40 6.19
6.19
0.00 1.25
18:40 1.25
16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00
Hora 19:28 1.25
19:28 0.00
20:00 0.00
20:00 0.00
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10  60.75 mm/h i10  67.50*8/10+33.75*2/10 = 60.75 mm/h

i30  40.95 mm/h i30  67.50*8/30+33.75*16/30+24.75*6/30 = 40.95 mm/h

i60  29.14 mm/h i60  67.50*8/60+33.75*16/60+24.75*24/60+6.19*12/60 = 29.14 mm/h

i120  17.33 mm/h i120  67.50*8/120+33.75*16/120+24.75*24/120+6.19*64/120 +1.25*8/120 = 17.33 mm/h

i120  i120 

i180  11.67 mm/h i180  67.50*8/180+33.75*16/180+24.75*24/180+6.19*64/180 +1.25*20/180 = 11.67 mm/h

 Colu
mn I

0.80 1.00 1.20

 ESTACION : La Pampilla

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
16:27 199 35 3.316666667
16:46 19 19 1.40 1.40 4.42 0.10 0.044025157 19.00 1.54
18:00 74 93 9.80 11.20 7.95 0.47 0.352201258 93.00 12.33
18:18 18 111 8.70 19.90 29.00 0.56 0.625786164 111.00 21.90
19:06 48 159 9.40 29.30 11.75 0.80 0.921383648 159.00 32.25
19:23 17 176 1.50 30.80 5.29 0.88 0.968553459 176.00 33.90
19:46 23 199 1.00 31.80 2.61 1.00 1 199.00 35.00
20:00
In t e n s id a d m m /h

X Y
1.2
16:27 4.42
16:46 4.42
16:46 7.95 1
HIETOGRAMA 18:00 7.95
35.00
18:00 29.00 0.8
30.00 29.00
18:18 29.00
25.00 18:18 11.75 0.6 Colu
mn I
20.00
19:06 11.75
15.00
19:06 5.29
10.00
11.75
0.4
5.00
7.95
5.29
19:23 5.29
4.42
2.61
0.00 19:23 2.61
16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00
19:46 2.61 0.2
Hora
19:46 0.00
20:00 0.00 0
20:00 0.00 - 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10= 29.00 mm/h i10= 29.00 mm/h

i30= 22.10 mm/h i30= 29.00*18/30 + 11.75*12/30 = 22.10 mm/h.

i60= 16.93 mm/h i60= 29.00*18/60 + 11.75*42/60 = 16.93 mm/h.

i120= 12.63 mm/h i120= 29.00*18/120 + 11.75*48/120 + 7.95*54/120 = 12.63 mm/h.

i180= 10.32 mm/h i180= 29.00*18/180 + 11.75*48/180 + 7.95*74/180 + 5.29*17/180 + 4.42*19/180 + 2.5*4/180 = 10.32 mm/h.
 ESTACION : Chiguata

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
12:00
16:48 288 288 0.10 0.10 0.02
17:12 24 312 9.90 10.00 24.75
17:20 8 320 9.00 19.00 67.50
17:36 16 336 9.00 28.00 33.75
18:40 64 400 6.60 34.60 6.19
19:28 48 448 1.00 35.60 1.25
20:00
In t e n sid a d m m /h

X Y
12:00 0.02
16:48 0.02
16:48 24.75
HIETOGRAMA 17:12 24.75
80.00
17:12 67.50
70.00 67.50 17:20 67.50
60.00
17:20 33.75
50.00
40.00 17:36 33.75
33.75
30.00
24.75
17:36 6.19
20.00
18:40 6.19
10.00
6.19
0.00 1.25 18:40 1.25
16:00 17:00
Hora
18:00 19:00
19:28 1.25
19:28 0.00
20:00 0.00
20:00 0.00
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10  60.75 mm/h i10  67.50*8/10+33.75*2/10 = 60.75 mm/h

i30  40.95 mm/h i30  67.50*8/30+33.75*16/30+24.75*6/30 = 40.95 mm/h

i60  29.14 mm/h i60  67.50*8/60+33.75*16/60+24.75*24/60+6.19*12/60 = 29.14 mm/h

i120  17.33 mm/h i120  67.50*8/120+33.75*16/120+24.75*24/120+6.19*64/120 +1.25*8/120 = 17.33 mm/h

i120  i120 

i180  11.67 mm/h i180  67.50*8/180+33.75*16/180+24.75*24/180+6.19*64/180 +1.25*20/180 = 11.67 mm/h

 Colu
mn I

0.80 1.00 1.20

 ESTACION : La Pampilla

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
16:27 199 77.84 3.316666667
16:46 19 19 3.43 3.43 10.82 0.10 0.044025157 19.00 3.43
18:00 74 93 23.99 27.42 19.45 0.47 0.352201258 93.00 27.42
18:18 18 111 21.30 48.71 70.99 0.56 0.625786164 111.00 48.71
19:06 48 159 23.01 71.72 28.76 0.80 0.921383648 159.00 71.72
19:23 17 176 3.67 75.39 12.96 0.88 0.968553459 176.00 75.39
19:46 23 199 2.45 77.84 6.39 1.00 1 199.00 77.84
20:00
In t e n s id a d m m /h

X Y
1.2
16:27 10.82
16:46 10.82
16:46 19.45 1
HIETOGRAMA 18:00 19.45
18:00 70.99 0.8
70.99
18:18 70.99
18:18 28.76 0.6 Colu
mn I
19:06 28.76
28.76
19:06 12.96
19.45 0.4
10.82 12.96 19:23 12.96
6.39
19:23 6.39
16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00
19:46 6.39 0.2
Hora
19:46 0.00
20:00 0.00 0
20:00 0.00 - 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10= 70.99 mm/h i10= 29.00 mm/h

i30= 54.10 mm/h i30= 29.00*18/30 + 11.75*12/30 = 22.10 mm/h.

i60= 41.43 mm/h i60= 29.00*18/60 + 11.75*42/60 = 16.93 mm/h.

i120= 30.91 mm/h i120= 29.00*18/120 + 11.75*48/120 + 7.95*54/120 = 12.63 mm/h.

i180= 25.27 mm/h i180= 29.00*18/180 + 11.75*48/180 + 7.95*74/180 + 5.29*17/180 + 4.42*19/180 + 2.5*4/180 = 10.32 mm/h.
 ESTACION : Chiguata

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
12:00
16:48 288 288 0.10 0.10 0.02
17:12 24 312 9.90 10.00 24.75
17:20 8 320 9.00 19.00 67.50
17:36 16 336 9.00 28.00 33.75
18:40 64 400 6.60 34.60 6.19
19:28 48 448 1.00 35.60 1.25
20:00 7.466666667
In t e n sid a d m m /h

X Y
12:00 0.02
16:48 0.02
16:48 24.75
HIETOGRAMA 17:12 24.75
80.00
17:12 67.50
70.00 67.50 17:20 67.50
60.00
17:20 33.75
50.00
40.00 17:36 33.75
33.75
30.00
24.75
17:36 6.19
20.00
18:40 6.19
10.00
6.19
0.00 1.25 18:40 1.25
16:00 17:00
Hora
18:00 19:00
19:28 1.25
19:28 0.00
20:00 0.00
20:00 0.00
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10  60.75 mm/h i10  67.50*8/10+33.75*2/10 = 60.75 mm/h

i30  40.95 mm/h i30  67.50*8/30+33.75*16/30+24.75*6/30 = 40.95 mm/h

i60  29.14 mm/h i60  67.50*8/60+33.75*16/60+24.75*24/60+6.19*12/60 = 29.14 mm/h

i120  17.33 mm/h i120  67.50*8/120+33.75*16/120+24.75*24/120+6.19*64/120 +1.25*8/120 = 17.33 mm/h

i120  i120 

i180  11.67 mm/h i180  67.50*8/180+33.75*16/180+24.75*24/180+6.19*64/180 +1.25*20/180 = 11.67 mm/h

 19 3.42691824
93 27.4153459
111 48.711195
159 71.7205031
176 75.3922013
199 77.84

Colu
mn I

0.80 1.00 1.20

 i T d log i log T log d ( log T ) 2 ( log d )2 log T log d log ilog T log ilog d
Y X1 X2 X1 2
X22 X1X2 YX1 YX2

1 17.81 2 10 1.2507 0.3010 1.0000 0.0906 1.0000 0.3010 0.3765 1.2507 1

2 17.81 2 30 1.2507 0.3010 1.4771 0.0906 2.1819 0.4447 0.3765 1.8474 2
3 16.26 2 60 1.2111 0.3010 1.7782 0.0906 3.1618 0.5353 0.3646 2.1536 3
4 13.33 2 120 1.1248 0.3010 2.0792 0.0906 4.3230 0.6259 0.3386 2.3387 4
5 10.00 2 180 1.0000 0.3010 2.2553 0.0906 5.0863 0.6789 0.3010 2.2553 5
6 38.71 5 10 1.5878 0.6990 1.0000 0.4886 1.0000 0.6990 1.1098 1.5878 6
7 26.61 5 30 1.4250 0.6990 1.4771 0.4886 2.1819 1.0325 0.9961 2.1050 7
8 19.25 5 60 1.2844 0.6990 1.7782 0.4886 3.1618 1.2429 0.8978 2.2839 8
9 15.16 5 120 1.1807 0.6990 2.0792 0.4886 4.3230 1.4533 0.8253 2.4549 9
10 11.24 5 180 1.0508 0.6990 2.2553 0.4886 5.0863 1.5764 0.7345 2.3698 10
11 50.72 10 10 1.7052 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.7052 1.7052 11
12 28.43 10 30 1.4538 1.0000 1.4771 1.0000 2.1819 1.4771 1.4538 2.1474 12
13 19.32 10 60 1.2860 1.0000 1.7782 1.0000 3.1618 1.7782 1.2860 2.2867 13
14 15.20 10 120 1.1818 1.0000 2.0792 1.0000 4.3230 2.0792 1.1818 2.4573 14
15 11.27 10 180 1.0519 1.0000 2.2553 1.0000 5.0863 2.2553 1.0519 2.3724 15
16 61.98 25 10 1.7923 1.3979 1.0000 1.9542 1.0000 1.3979 2.5055 1.7923 16
17 28.88 25 30 1.4606 1.3979 1.4771 1.9542 2.1819 2.0649 2.0418 2.1575 17
18 19.79 25 60 1.2964 1.3979 1.7782 1.9542 3.1618 2.4857 1.8124 2.3053 18
19 15.62 25 120 1.1937 1.3979 2.0792 1.9542 4.3230 2.9066 1.6687 2.4819 19
20 11.43 25 180 1.0580 1.3979 2.2553 1.9542 5.0863 3.1527 1.4791 2.3862 20
21 67.76 50 10 1.8310 1.6990 1.0000 2.8865 1.0000 1.6990 3.1108 1.8310 21
22 28.89 50 30 1.4607 1.6990 1.4771 2.8865 2.1819 2.5096 2.4818 2.1577 22
23 20.99 50 60 1.3220 1.6990 1.7782 2.8865 3.1618 3.0210 2.2461 2.3507 23
24 16.59 50 120 1.2198 1.6990 2.0792 2.8865 4.3230 3.5325 2.0725 2.5363 24
25 11.86 50 180 1.0741 1.6990 2.2553 2.8865 5.0863 3.8316 1.8248 2.4224 25
26 71.79 100 10 1.8561 2.0000 1.0000 4.0000 1.0000 2.0000 3.7121 1.8561 26
27 29.06 100 30 1.4633 2.0000 1.4771 4.0000 2.1819 2.9542 2.9266 2.1615 27
28 23.20 100 60 1.3655 2.0000 1.7782 4.0000 3.1618 3.5563 2.7310 2.4280 28
29 18.30 100 120 1.2625 2.0000 2.0792 4.0000 4.3230 4.1584 2.5249 2.6249 29
30 12.64 100 180 1.1017 2.0000 2.2553 4.0000 5.0863 4.5105 2.2035 2.4847 30
39.8025 35.4846 51.5384 52.0996 94.5177 60.9605 48.3408 65.5922
Sumatoria Y X1 X2 X12 X22 X1X2 YX1 YX2

log i logt log d log2t log2d logt*logd logi*logt logi*logd

ao a1 a2
Sumatoria y n x1 x2
39.8025 30 35.4846 51.5384

x1y x1 x12 x1x2

48.3408 35.4846 52.0996 60.9605

x2y x2 x1x2 x22

65.5922 51.5384 60.9605 94.5177

ao a1 a2
1.98022 0.124563 0.466142

a o =log k 95.5476478

a1 =m
a1 =m 0.124563

a2 =n 0.466142 m
kT
i=
dn
0.124563
95 .5476 T
i=
d 0.466142

Intensidad-Duracion-Tiempo de Retorno
d T T T T T T
min años años años años años años
2 5 10 50 100 475
5 49.192 55.140 60.112 73.456 80.080 97.234
10 35.610 39.916 43.515 53.175 57.970 70.387
15 29.478 33.042 36.021 44.017 47.987 58.265
30 21.339 23.919 26.076 31.864 34.737 42.178
60 15.447 17.315 18.876 23.066 25.146 30.533
120 11.182 12.534 13.664 16.698 18.203 22.103
180 9.256 10.375 11.311 13.822 15.068 18.296
360 6.701 7.511 8.188 10.006 10.908 13.245
1440 3.511 3.936 4.291 5.243 5.716 6.941
Intensidad mm/h

Precipitación-Duración-Tiempo de Retorno
d T T T T T T
min años años años años años años
2 5 10 50 100 475
5 4.099 4.595 5.009 6.121 6.673 8.103
10 5.935 6.653 7.253 8.862 9.662 11.731
15 7.369 8.260 9.005 11.004 11.997 14.566
30 10.669 11.959 13.038 15.932 17.369 21.089
60 15.447 17.315 18.876 23.066 25.146 30.533
120 22.364 25.068 27.329 33.395 36.407 44.205
180 27.769 31.126 33.933 41.466 45.205 54.888
360 40.204 45.065 49.129 60.034 65.448 79.467
1440 84.272 94.461 102.979 125.839 137.187 166.572
Precipitación mm
Cu rv a In te ns id a d Dura c ió n P e rio do de Re to rn o

6 0 .0 0 0

5 0 .0 0 0

4 0 .0 0 0
In te n s id a d (mm/h )

3 0 .0 0 0

r= 5 a ñ o s
T

2 0 .0 0 0

1 0 .0 0 0

0 .0 0 0

0 50 1 00 15 0 20 0 2 50 3 00 35 0 40 0

Du ra c io n (min )
 Curva Intensidad Duración Periodo de Retorno

70.000
Intensidad (mm/h)

60.000

50.000

40.000

Tr= 10 años
1

30.000

20.000

10.000

0.000
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Duracion ( min)
 Cu rv a In te ns id a d Du ra c ió n Pe rio d o d e Re to rn o

1 2 0 .0 0 0

1 0 0 .0 0 0

8 0 .0 0 0
In te n s id a d (mm/h )

r4 7 5 a ñ o s
T
6 0 .0 0 0

4 0 .0 0 0

2 0 .0 0 0

0 .0 0 0

0 50 100 15 0 2 00 25 0 30 0 35 0 40 0
Dura c io n (min )
 Duracion (minutos)
AÑO 5 10 20 45 80 120
mm/h mm/h mm/h mm/h mm/h mm/h
1954 96 54 28 14 10 7
1955 96 48 44 27 26 24
1956 150 93 60 33 19 13
1957 90 66 43 25 19 15
1958 68 41 28 13 11 8
1959 118 70 54 27 16 11
1960 85 43 21 9 5 4
1961 162 11 62 51 45 40
1962 96 60 35 27 17 15
1963 120 105 53 25 14 10

probabilidad
Weibull

Numero Tiempo Duracion (minutos)

Orden Retorno 5 10 20 45 80 120
Años mm/h mm/h mm/h mm/h mm/h mm/h
1 11.00 162 105 62 51 45 40
2 5.50 150 93 60 33 26 24
3 3.67 120 70 54 27 19 15
4 2.75 118 66 53 27 19 15
5 2.20 96 60 44 27 17 13
6 1.83 96 54 43 25 16 11
7 1.57 96 48 35 25 14 10
8 1.38 90 43 28 14 11 8
9 1.22 85 41 28 13 10 7
10 1.10 68 11 21 9 5 4

i T d log i log T log d ( log T ) 2 ( log d )2 log T log d log ilog T log ilog d
Y X1 X2 X12 X22 X1X2 YX1 YX2

1 162 11.0000 5 2.2095 1.0414 0.6990 1.0845 0.4886 0.7279 2.3010 1.5444
2 105 11.0000 10 2.0212 1.0414 1.0000 1.0845 1.0000 1.0414 2.1049 2.0212
3 62 11.0000 20 1.7924 1.0414 1.3010 1.0845 1.6927 1.3549 1.8666 2.3320
4 51 11.0000 45 1.7076 1.0414 1.6532 1.0845 2.7331 1.7216 1.7783 2.8230
5 45 11.0000 80 1.6532 1.0414 1.9031 1.0845 3.6218 1.9819 1.7216 3.1462
6 40 11.0000 120 1.6021 1.0414 2.0792 1.0845 4.3230 2.1652 1.6684 3.3310
7 150 5.5000 5 2.1761 0.7404 0.6990 0.5481 0.4886 0.5175 1.6111 1.5210
8 93 5.5000 10 1.9685 0.7404 1.0000 0.5481 1.0000 0.7404 1.4574 1.9685
9 60 5.5000 20 1.7782 0.7404 1.3010 0.5481 1.6927 0.9632 1.3165 2.3134
10 33 5.5000 45 1.5185 0.7404 1.6532 0.5481 2.7331 1.2240 1.1243 2.5104
11 26 5.5000 80 1.4150 0.7404 1.9031 0.5481 3.6218 1.4090 1.0476 2.6928
12 24 5.5000 120 1.3802 0.7404 2.0792 0.5481 4.3230 1.5393 1.0219 2.8697
13 120 3.6700 5 2.0792 0.5647 0.6990 0.3188 0.4886 0.3947 1.1740 1.4533
14 70 3.6700 10 1.8451 0.5647 1.0000 0.3188 1.0000 0.5647 1.0419 1.8451
15 54 3.6700 20 1.7324 0.5647 1.3010 0.3188 1.6927 0.7346 0.9782 2.2539
16 27 3.6700 45 1.4314 0.5647 1.6532 0.3188 2.7331 0.9335 0.8082 2.3663
17 19 3.6700 80 1.2788 0.5647 1.9031 0.3188 3.6218 1.0746 0.7221 2.4336
18 15 3.6700 120 1.1761 0.5647 2.0792 0.3188 4.3230 1.1740 0.6641 2.4453
19 118 2.7500 5 2.0719 0.4393 0.6990 0.1930 0.4886 0.3071 0.9102 1.4482
20 66 2.7500 10 1.8195 0.4393 1.0000 0.1930 1.0000 0.4393 0.7994 1.8195
21 53 2.7500 20 1.7243 0.4393 1.3010 0.1930 1.6927 0.5716 0.7575 2.2433
22 27 2.7500 45 1.4314 0.4393 1.6532 0.1930 2.7331 0.7263 0.6288 2.3663
23 19 2.7500 80 1.2788 0.4393 1.9031 0.1930 3.6218 0.8361 0.5618 2.4336
24 15 2.7500 120 1.1761 0.4393 2.0792 0.1930 4.3230 0.9135 0.5167 2.4453
25 96 2.2000 5 1.9823 0.3424 0.6990 0.1173 0.4886 0.2393 0.6788 1.3855
26 60 2.2000 10 1.7782 0.3424 1.0000 0.1173 1.0000 0.3424 0.6089 1.7782
27 44 2.2000 20 1.6435 0.3424 1.3010 0.1173 1.6927 0.4455 0.5628 2.1382
28 27 2.2000 45 1.4314 0.3424 1.6532 0.1173 2.7331 0.5661 0.4901 2.3663
29 17 2.2000 80 1.2304 0.3424 1.9031 0.1173 3.6218 0.6517 0.4213 2.3417
30 13 2.2000 120 1.1139 0.3424 2.0792 0.1173 4.3230 0.7120 0.3814 2.3161
31 96 1.8300 5 1.9823 0.2625 0.6990 0.0689 0.4886 0.1834 0.5202 1.3855
32 54 1.8300 10 1.7324 0.2625 1.0000 0.0689 1.0000 0.2625 0.4547 1.7324
33 43 1.8300 20 1.6335 0.2625 1.3010 0.0689 1.6927 0.3415 0.4287 2.1252
34 25 1.8300 45 1.3979 0.2625 1.6532 0.0689 2.7331 0.4339 0.3669 2.3111
35 16 1.8300 80 1.2041 0.2625 1.9031 0.0689 3.6218 0.4995 0.3160 2.2915
36 11 1.8300 120 1.0414 0.2625 2.0792 0.0689 4.3230 0.5457 0.2733 2.1652
37 96 1.5700 5 1.9823 0.1959 0.6990 0.0384 0.4886 0.1369 0.3883 1.3855
38 48 1.5700 10 1.6812 0.1959 1.0000 0.0384 1.0000 0.1959 0.3294 1.6812
39 35 1.5700 20 1.5441 0.1959 1.3010 0.0384 1.6927 0.2549 0.3025 2.0089
40 25 1.5700 45 1.3979 0.1959 1.6532 0.0384 2.7331 0.3239 0.2739 2.3111
41 14 1.5700 80 1.1461 0.1959 1.9031 0.0384 3.6218 0.3728 0.2245 2.1812
42 10 1.5700 120 1.0000 0.1959 2.0792 0.0384 4.3230 0.4073 0.1959 2.0792
43 90 1.3800 5 1.9542 0.1399 0.6990 0.0196 0.4886 0.0978 0.2734 1.3660
44 43 1.3800 10 1.6335 0.1399 1.0000 0.0196 1.0000 0.1399 0.2285 1.6335
45 28 1.3800 20 1.4472 0.1399 1.3010 0.0196 1.6927 0.1820 0.2024 1.8828
46 14 1.3800 45 1.1461 0.1399 1.6532 0.0196 2.7331 0.2312 0.1603 1.8948
47 11 1.3800 80 1.0414 0.1399 1.9031 0.0196 3.6218 0.2662 0.1457 1.9819
48 8 1.3800 120 0.9031 0.1399 2.0792 0.0196 4.3230 0.2908 0.1263 1.8777
49 85 1.2200 5 1.9294 0.0864 0.6990 0.0075 0.4886 0.0604 0.1666 1.3486
50 41 1.2200 10 1.6128 0.0864 1.0000 0.0075 1.0000 0.0864 0.1393 1.6128
51 28 1.2200 20 1.4472 0.0864 1.3010 0.0075 1.6927 0.1124 0.1250 1.8828
52 13 1.2200 45 1.1139 0.0864 1.6532 0.0075 2.7331 0.1428 0.0962 1.8416
53 10 1.2200 80 1.0000 0.0864 1.9031 0.0075 3.6218 0.1644 0.0864 1.9031
54 7 1.2200 120 0.8451 0.0864 2.0792 0.0075 4.3230 0.1796 0.0730 1.7571
55 68 1.1000 5 1.8325 0.0414 0.6990 0.0017 0.4886 0.0289 0.0759 1.2809
56 11 1.1000 10 1.0414 0.0414 1.0000 0.0017 1.0000 0.0414 0.0431 1.0414
57 21 1.1000 20 1.3222 0.0414 1.3010 0.0017 1.6927 0.0539 0.0547 1.7202
58 9 1.1000 45 0.9542 0.0414 1.6532 0.0017 2.7331 0.0684 0.0395 1.5776
59 5 1.1000 80 0.6990 0.0414 1.9031 0.0017 3.6218 0.0788 0.0289 1.3302
60 4 1.1000 120 0.6021 0.0414 2.0792 0.0017 4.3230 0.0861 0.0249 1.2518
89.7153 23.1250 86.3548 14.3865 138.5910 33.2825 37.8900 119.7961
Sumatoria Y X1 X2 X12 X22 X1X2 YX1 YX2

log i logt log d log2t log2d logt*logd logi*logt logi*logd

a0 a1 a2
Sumatoria y n x1 x2
89.715295968 60 23.1249549 86.3548375

x1y x1 x12 x1x2

37.890042176 23.1249549 14.3864681 33.2825288

x2y x2 x1x2 x22

119.79612688 86.3548375 33.2825288 138.590959

a0 a1 a2
2.1948 0.6262 -0.6519

n= 0.6519
a o =log k K 156.60297207 kT
m 156 . 6029 T 0 . 6262
m 0.6262 i= i=
dn d 0 . 6519
 d T T T T T T
min años años años años años años
2 5 10 50 100 475
5 -2.637 -3.399 14.811 19.799 21.947 26.776
10 12.870 -2.510 19.405 25.940 28.755 35.082
15 14.913 -1.914 22.486 30.059 33.320 40.652
30 18.923 -0.744 28.532 38.141 42.280 51.583
60 23.692 0.648 35.723 47.754 52.935 64.583
120 29.363 2.303 44.274 59.185 65.606 80.042
180 33.165 3.412 50.007 66.849 74.103 90.408
360 40.629 5.590 61.261 81.893 90.779 110.754
1440 60.060 77.424 90.560 121.059 134.195 163.722

-0.220