Perodo Demanda Pronstico Error Error absoluto Error cuadrado

i Di Fi Di - Fi I Di - Fi I (Di - Fi )2
Jan-15 120
Feb-15 100
Mar-15 150 110.00 40.00 40.00 1600.00
Apr-15 120 123.33 -3.33 3.33 11.11
May-15 100 122.50 -22.50 22.50 506.25
Jun-15 125 118.00 7.00 7.00 49.00
Jul-15 175 119.17 55.83 55.83 3117.36
Aug-15 100 127.14 -27.14 27.14 736.73
Sep-15 125 123.75 1.25 1.25 1.56
Oct-15 100 123.89 -23.89 23.89 570.68
27.22 180.95 6592.70

Nmero de perodos en los que puede calcular el error = 8

DAM = 22.62
DE = 28.71
Sesgo = 3.40
SR = 1.20
 orden = 3
Perodo Demanda Pronstico Error Error absoluto Error cuadrado
i Di Fi Di - Fi I Di - Fi I (Di - Fi )2
Jan-15 120
Feb-15 100
Mar-15 150
Apr-15 120 123.33 -3.33 3.33 11.11
May-15 100 123.33 -23.33 23.33 544.44
Jun-15 125 123.33 1.67 1.67 2.78
Jul-15 175 115.00 60.00 60.00 3600.00
Aug-15 100 133.33 -33.33 33.33 1111.11
Sep-15 125 133.33 -8.33 8.33 69.44
Oct-15 100 133.33 -33.33 33.33 1111.11
-40.00 163.33 6450.00

Nmero de perodos en los que puede calcular el error = 7

DAM = 23.33
DE = 30.36
Sesgo = -5.71
SR = -1.71
 orden = 5
Perodo Demanda Pronstico Error Error absoluto Error cuadrado
i Di Fi Di - Fi I Di - Fi I (Di - Fi )2
Jan-15 120
Feb-15 100
Mar-15 150
Apr-15 120
May-15 100
Jun-15 125 118.00 7.00 7.00 49.00
Jul-15 175 119.00 56.00 56.00 3136.00
Aug-15 100 134.00 -34.00 34.00 1156.00
Sep-15 125 124.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Oct-15 100 125.00 -25.00 25.00 625.00
5.00 123.00 4967.00

Nmero de perodos en los que puede calcular el error = 5

DAM = 24.60
DE = 31.52
Sesgo = 1.00
SR = 0.20
 t = 0.40
t-1 = 0.35
t-2 = 0.25
orden = 3
Perodo Demanda Pronstico Error Error absoluto Error cuadrado
i Di Fi Di - Fi I Di - Fi I (Di - Fi )2
Jan-15 120
Feb-15 100
Mar-15 150
Apr-15 120 125.00 -5.00 5.00 25.00
May-15 100 125.50 -25.50 25.50 650.25
Jun-15 125 119.50 5.50 5.50 30.25
Jul-15 175 115.00 60.00 60.00 3600.00
Aug-15 100 138.75 -38.75 38.75 1501.56
Sep-15 125 132.50 -7.50 7.50 56.25
Oct-15 100 128.75 -28.75 28.75 826.56
-40.00 171.00 6689.88

Nmero de perodos en los que puede calcular el error = 7

DAM = 24.43
DE = 30.91
Sesgo = -5.71
SR = -1.64
 t = 0.40
t-1 = 0.30
t-2 = 0.20
t-3 = 0.05
t-4= 0.05
orden = 5
Perodo Demanda Pronstico Error Error absoluto Error cuadrado
i Di Fi Di - Fi I Di - Fi I (Di - Fi )2
Jan-15 120
Feb-15 100
Mar-15 150
Apr-15 120
May-15 100
Jun-15 125 117.00 8.00 8.00 64.00
Jul-15 175 116.50 58.50 58.50 3422.25
Aug-15 100 141.00 -41.00 41.00 1681.00
Sep-15 125 128.50 -3.50 3.50 12.25
Oct-15 100 126.25 -26.25 26.25 689.06
-4.25 137.25 5868.56

Nmero de perodos en los que puede calcular el error = 5

DAM = 27.45
DE = 34.26
Sesgo = -0.85
SR = -0.15
 = 0.1
Perodo Demanda Pronstico
Di - Fi * (Di - Fi) Fi + * (Di-Fi)
i Di Fi
Jan-15 120 20.00 2.00 102.00 100.00
Feb-15 100 -2.00 -0.20 101.80 102.00
Mar-15 150 48.20 4.82 106.62 101.80
Apr-15 120 13.38 1.34 107.96 106.62
May-15 100 -7.96 -0.80 107.16 107.96
Jun-15 125 17.84 1.78 108.95 107.16
Jul-15 175 66.05 6.61 115.55 108.95
Aug-15 100 -15.55 -1.56 114.00 115.55
Sep-15 125 11.00 1.10 115.10 114.00
Oct-15 100 -15.10 -1.51 113.59 115.10

Nmero de perodos en los que puede calcular el error = 10

DAM = 21.71
DE = 28.71
Sesgo = 13.59
SR = 6.26
Error Error absoluto Error cuadrado
Di - Fi I Di - Fi I (Di - Fi )2
20.00 20.00 400.00
-2.00 2.00 4.00
48.20 48.20 2323.24
13.38 13.38 179.02
-7.96 7.96 63.33
17.84 17.84 318.19
66.05 66.05 4363.13
-15.55 15.55 241.85
11.00 11.00 121.08
-15.10 15.10 227.91
135.87 217.08 8241.75
MODELO DAM DE Sesgo SR
MeAr 22.62 28.71 3.40 1.20
ProMoSi.3 23.33 30.36 -5.71 -1.71
ProMoSi.5 24.60 31.52 1.00 0.20
ProMoPo.3 24.43 30.91 -5.71 -1.64
ProMoPo.5 27.45 34.26 -0.85 -0.15
MeSuExSi 21.71 28.71 13.59 6.26