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ENE FEB MAR APR MAY

1963 288 350 432 453 204


1964 23 98 171 200 110
1965 48 104 99 156 113
1966 66 152 177 170 278
1967 281 282 363 281 564
1968 278 278 338 615 326
1969 269 303 308 480 413
1970 263 338 579 488 680
1971 636 645 713 500 677
1972 390 282 203 362 783
1973 305 146 512 734 299
1974 485 461 422 671 543
1975 218 575 456 453 630
1976 485 455 347 576 395
1977 177 549 389 287 692
1978 80 308 424 472 479
1979 230 521 492 672 299
1980 99 225 269 260 363
1981 395 346 457 514 593
1982 288 791 654 778 907
1983 62 108 428 552 473
1984 288 643 293 585 854
1985 156 143 519 377 381
1986 294 188 317 686 592
1987 296 149 283 418 556
1988 312 466 273 811 186
1989 506 454 696 384 531
1990 290 352 411 468 467
1991 235 308 450 306 286
1992 326 241 225 383 588
1993 511 524 341 420 693
1994 581 510 632 494 551
1995 35 167 469 567 753
1996 288 344 686 380 557
1997 291 546 329 416 371
1998 198 435 485 639 123
1999 627 743 776 587 461
2000 353 521 677 356 446
JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV
152 132 57 80 140 108
99 192 131 143 192 131
283 198 333 234 243 248
198 75 243 297 396 523
212 74 203 411 518 908
315 270 203 263 533 398
357 15 555 443 450 555
488 323 332 608 873 911
198 143 758 627 627 624
332 90 539 368 543 516
582 285 912 705 716 698
171 183 242 540 803 714
182 572 294 522 872 642
47 3 125 164 627 375
330 311 273 300 534 1068
377 402 215 348 662 483
158 273 471 323 545 345
219 137 330 490 412 843
530 219 457 699 493 902
550 58 64 663 596 435
231 164 200 365 773 482
503 218 259 685 1090 816
233 139 405 461 245 387
267 120 601 491 851 57
153 299 258 518 574 182
387 161 1066 454 738 768
395 285 372 570 762 544
270 199 354 416 543 540
360 185 79 339 336 344
107 48 198 240 175 453
47 297 202 638 341 703
185 295 194 196 399 459
182 309 458 407 449 320
264 170 320 342 320 357
283 20 93 444 177 333
107 152 245 258 566 600
456 74 278 363 770 594
536 254 132 412 531 522
DIC Anual
173 2567
186 1673
204 2261
735 3308
420 4514
246 4059
451 4597
594 6473
486 6632
179 4584
761 6651
440 5672
662 6075
273 3869
152 5060
425 4672
54 4380
437 4082
559 6165
158 5942
404 4239
302 6534
380 3826
163 4627
307 3991
585 6206
434 5933
393 4702
631 3857
395 3379
275 4990
247 4742
576 4690
399 4424
18 3319
209 4014
951 6677
384 5120
ENE FEB MAR APR MAY
1965 181 110 163 396 350
1966 108 121 209 261 172
1967 220 220 248 264 416
1968 156 224 192 309 218
1969 179 182 155 399 279
1970 252 253 358 334 449
1971 344 300 395 449 581
1972 224 183 233 206 330
1973 68 53 80 155 260
1974 205 274 237 397 372
1975 132 203 296 210 379
1976 237 252 313 413 581
1977 114 145 124 226 304
1978 134 122 202 337 307
1979 139 107 194 341 368
1980 139 174 151 218 242
1981 111 158 140 237 416
1982 266 230 238 421 435
1983 155 147 177 354 338
1984 272 265 185 260 324
1985 199 137 135 182 329
1986 172 208 308 315 300
1987 149 168 128 237 339
1988 143 136 112 184 238
1989 210 197 281 184 405
1990 186 178 208 304 406
1991 129 130 185 212 270
1992 144 119 118 184 165
1993 161 164 300 372 408
1994 202 199 255 366 391
1995 131 102 186 276 320
1996 173 263 290 256 398
1997 286 238 189 236 323
JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV
306 282 248 178 204 358
234 292 272 209 257 277
549 468 280 196 208 280
378 486 248 273 343 289
327 230 237 183 449 356
437 349 354 281 381 381
401 421 360 293 362 346
307 349 249 224 199 322
260 294 332 410 302 295
330 376 258 279 330 354
417 325 343 329 431 473
511 470 255 233 268 243
363 304 252 243 329 359
330 249 200 212 181 170
394 212 206 254 218 340
370 234 181 169 212 161
335 339 204 214 225 268
276 375 227 198 291 199
253 270 276 172 206 181
412 348 252 319 395 432
340 294 356 231 264 275
494 461 218 171 472 282
245 319 300 184 261 215
378 500 278 296 244 346
379 346 226 232 283 275
306 322 223 198 221 195
270 387 309 243 188 252
206 257 252 140 145 192
306 263 209 200 206 336
395 290 234 223 206 253
329 359 286 190 212 222
346 440 258 210 253 208
261 371 196 161 177 203
DIC Anual
237 251
336 229
194 295
200 276
315 274
307 345
253 375
171 250
301 234
183 300
452 332
167 329
189 246
190 220
190 247
164 201
188 236
220 281
239 231
269 311
219 247
186 299
193 228
308 263
192 267
182 244
183 230
215 178
251 265
180 266
207 235
241 278
111 229
Anual normal Normal acum. lognormal
2160 0.000091 0.989570 0.000000000007461
1950 #NAME? #NAME? 0.000000000008251
1893 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1808 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1800 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1740 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1725 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1719 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1710 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1619 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1584 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1545 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1541 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1541 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1539 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1485 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1452 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1431 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1368 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1361 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1335 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1285 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1280 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1251 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1238 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1215 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1201 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1182 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1149 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1140 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1125 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
848 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
837 0.000166 #NAME? #NAME?

1452 MEDIANA
1456 MEDIA
304.62 DESVIACIN
1540.5 MODA
92793.280952 varianza
0.2091914917 Cv

Q m3/s Funcin normal


2160 0.9895696158
1950 0.9475031046
1893 0.9242128365
1808 0.8756094638
1800 0.8704865838
1740 0.8242613089
1725 0.8112429177
1719 0.8058732847
1710 0.7976464587
1619 0.7029381262
1584 0.6626162155
1545 0.6146981966
1541 0.6090381256
1541 0.6090381256
1539 0.6071462249
1485 0.5376911373
1452 0.4945294496
1431 0.4666728132
1368 0.3861121839
1361 0.3776626444
1335 0.3453894401
1285 0.2869675538
1280 0.2809598181
1251 0.2502981596
1238 0.2373308448
1215 0.2142585244
1201 0.2008717579
1182 0.1843053602
1149 0.156632363
1140 0.1496489199
1125 0.138260728
848 0.0228767149
837 0.0209955978

Valor medio 1456.1772727273


Desviacin Estandar 304.6198958566
mediana 1452
moda 1540.5
Coeficiente de sesgo 0.0917121312

Coeficiente 475.5612058707
Coeficiente 13.9686699336

parmetro Gumbel
parmetro 237.51
parmetro 1319.0865007273
parametros para log gumbel
parmetro 0.1702263348
parmetro 7.1630181582
GUMBEL
lognormal acum f(x) F(x) M
0.000000991719429 0.00006362 0.95946996 1
0.000000990072515 0.00008761 0.94371807 2
#NAME? 0.00009546 0.93850368 3
#NAME? 0.00010846 0.92979712 4
#NAME? 0.00010967 0.92897913 5
#NAME? 0.00011985 0.92209751 6
#NAME? 0.00012252 0.92027978 7
#NAME? 0.00012361 0.91954139 8
#NAME? 0.00012525 0.91842154 9
#NAME? 0.00014310 0.90616078 10
#NAME? 0.00015039 0.90109914 11
#NAME? 0.00015901 0.89506723 12
#NAME? 0.00016004 0.89434938 13
#NAME? 0.00016004 0.89434938 14
#NAME? 0.00016038 0.89410907 15
#NAME? 0.00017311 0.88510853 16
#NAME? 0.00018131 0.87926141 17
#NAME? 0.00018677 0.87534161 18
#NAME? 0.00020363 0.86310892 19
#NAME? 0.00020551 0.86172810 20
#NAME? 0.00021297 0.85623595 21
#NAME? 0.00022780 0.84519769 22
#NAME? 0.00022945 0.84396311 23
#NAME? 0.00023827 0.83729867 24
#NAME? 0.00024225 0.83427139 25
#NAME? 0.00024978 0.82851495 26
#NAME? 0.00025444 0.82492249 27
#NAME? 0.00026056 0.82017175 28
#NAME? 0.00027188 0.81130751 29
#NAME? 0.00027499 0.80884663 30
#NAME? 0.00028034 0.80459848 31
#NAME? 0.00038701 0.71253461 32
#NAME? 0.00039151 0.70827220 33
33
LN Q Lognormal Gumbel Log Gumbel
7.6778635007 0.9718603695 0.971418715 0.9525779797
7.5755846516 0.9250962086 0.932204682 0.9152125194
7.5459181512 0.9039301766 0.914621975 0.8999042619
7.499699954 0.8626927664 0.879928396 0.8707793198
7.4955419439 0.8584642453 0.876324838 0.8678051165
7.4616403922 0.820717661 0.843698647 0.8411088142
7.4529823295 0.8101450932 0.834402017 0.8335490101
7.4494980054 0.805784283 0.830546249 0.8304165964
7.4442486495 0.7991003803 0.824611966 0.8255978254
7.3892550734 0.7212047658 0.753162804 0.7674113134
7.3677085724 0.6871171435 0.720513409 0.7404819016
7.3427791893 0.6455989775 0.679575465 0.7062116649
7.339862318 0.640613811 0.674572867 0.7019788752
7.339862318 0.640613811 0.674572867 0.7019788752
7.3388881338 0.6389434562 0.672892487 0.7005547034
7.3031700512 0.5761175613 0.608168064 0.6447008374
7.2806971954 0.535458013 0.564716972 0.6059730185
7.265919114 0.5084897457 0.535237395 0.5790593492
7.2211050982 0.4269825594 0.443135563 0.4912054312
7.2161586742 0.4181116147 0.432859666 0.4810168542
7.1966865708 0.383633905 0.392509749 0.4401915518
7.1584361733 0.3187421502 0.315116941 0.3579784283
7.1542246556 0.3118841176 0.306858706 0.3488841907
7.1316985105 0.2763448035 0.263953631 0.3005919098
7.1215755028 0.2610474139 0.245477026 0.279249276
7.1024993558 0.2334509459 0.212252722 0.2400466683
7.0907016405 0.2172284217 0.192854601 0.2166821388
7.0752169729 0.1969570408 0.168846662 0.1873151819
7.0466472778 0.1626927965 0.129188243 0.1379250461
7.0387835414 0.153986729 0.119370829 0.1255931543
7.0252716124 0.1397602709 0.103627834 0.1058108296
6.7424678147 0.008721317 0.000690283 7.29159E-006
6.7294655833 0.0074085242 0.000489649 2.85141E-006

7.2612745008
0.2182388907
7.2806971954
7.339862318
-0.5155056551

15.0519623586
-0.0562516912
UMBEL HISTOGRAM
PROB.EMP PROB.EMP % rango
0.03 2.94 0.03 800-1000
0.06 5.88 0.03 1000-1200
0.09 8.82 0.03 1200-1400
0.12 11.76 0.03 1400-1600
0.15 14.71 0.03 1600-1800
0.18 17.65 0.03 1800-2000
0.21 20.59 0.03 2000-2200
0.24 23.53 0.03
0.26 26.47 0.03
0.29 29.41 0.03
0.32 32.35 0.03
0.35 35.29 0.03 Tr
0.38 38.24 0.03
0.41 41.18 0.03
0.44 44.12 0.03
0.47 47.06 0.03
0.50 50.00 0.03
0.53 52.94 0.03
0.56 55.88 0.03
0.59 58.82 0.03
0.62 61.76 0.03
0.65 64.71 0.03
0.68 67.65 0.03
0.71 70.59 0.03
0.74 73.53 0.03
0.76 76.47 0.03
0.79 79.41 0.03
0.82 82.35 0.03
0.85 85.29 0.03
Distribucion norma
0.88 88.24 0.03
0.91 91.18 0.03 0.000180

0.94 94.12 0.03 0.000160


0.97 97.06 0.03 0.000140
0.000120
0.000100
0.000080
0.000060
0.000040
0.000020
0.000000
600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
0.000100
0.000080
0.000060
0.000040
0.000020
0.000000
600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Distribucion lognorm
0.000000000009000
0.000000000008000
0.000000000007000
0.000000000006000
0.000000000005000
0.000000000004000
0.000000000003000
0.000000000002000
0.000000000001000
0.000000000000000
600 800 1000 1200 1400

Funcion de distribucio
0.00050000

0.00040000

0.00030000
Funcion de densidadd 0.00020000

0.00010000

-
500 1000 1500 2000 25

Caudal m3/s
HISTOGRAMA
marca de clas# datos f(x) F(X)
900 2 0.06 0.06 Histograma
1100 4 0.12 0.18
1300 9 0.27 0.45
0.30
1500 8 0.24 0.70 0.25
1700 6 0.18 0.88 0.20
1900 3 0.09 0.97 0.15
0.10
2100 1 0.03 1.00 f(x) 0.05
33 0.00

34 Rango

Funcin de distribucin ac
caudales
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
Frecuencia relativa acumulada 0.20
0.00

Distribucion normal Distribucion normal


1.200000
1.000000
0.800000
0.600000
funcion relativa acumulada
0.400000
0.200000
0.000000
0 200

Caudal m3
1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400
funcion relativa acumulada
0.400000
0.200000
0.000000
0 200

Caudal m3
1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400

Distribucion lognormal Funcin de Probabilidad Log


0.000000992000000

0.000000991500000

0.000000991000000

0.000000990500000

0.000000990000000

0.000000989500000

0.000000989000000
1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 500 1000 1500

n de distribucion Gumbel Funcion de distib


1.20000000
50000
1.00000000
40000
0.80000000
30000
0.60000000
funcion de distribucion Gumbel Funcion de densidad
20000 0.40000000
10000 0.20000000

- 0.00000000
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 500 1000 1

Caudal m3/s Caudal m3


Histograma

Rango

Funcin de distribucin acumulada


caudales
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
iva acumulada 0.20
0.00

Caudal
m3/s

stribucion normal acumulada


1.200000
1.000000
0.800000
Normal acumulada
0.600000 frecuencia relativa
iva acumulada
0.400000 acumulada

0.200000
0.000000
0 2000 4000

Caudal m3/s
iva acumulada frecuencia relativa
0.400000 acumulada

0.200000
0.000000
0 2000 4000

Caudal m3/s

de Probabilidad Log Normal acumulada


00000

00000

00000
Column R
00000

00000

00000

00000
500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Funcion de distibucion LogGumbel


1.20000000
1.00000000
0.80000000
0.60000000 Gumbel acumulado
densidad
Frecuencia relativa acumulada
0.40000000
0.20000000
0.00000000
500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Caudal m3/s
GUMBEL

TR 34

KT 2.28784185

S 3.06020701

Se 162.27518

a 237.511158

B 1319
PEARSON

Caudal Q funcin de distribucin


ln Q
m3/s acumulada

variable
reducida y

2160 7.6778635007 -7.6461583515


1950 7.5755846516 -9.464394337
1893 7.5459181512 -9.9917829316
1808 7.499699954 -10.8134150678
1800 7.4955419439 -10.8873330259
1740 7.4616403922 -11.4900091584
1725 7.4529823295 -11.6439256463
1719 7.4494980054 -11.7058673232
1710 7.4442486495 -11.7991864
1619 7.3892550734 -12.7768205829
1584 7.3677085724 -13.1598579734
1545 7.3427791893 -13.6030336811
1541 7.339862318 -13.6548876118
1541 7.339862318 -13.6548876118
1539 7.3388881338 -13.6722059213
1485 7.3031700512 -14.307174966
1452 7.2806971954 -14.7066803922
1431 7.265919114 -14.969393941
1368 7.2211050982 -15.766063603
1361 7.2161586742 -15.8539973848
1335 7.1966865708 -16.2001577048
1285 7.1584361733 -16.8801443283
1280 7.1542246556 -16.955013503
1251 7.1316985105 -17.3554662657
1238 7.1215755028 -17.5354254353
1215 7.1024993558 -17.8745467428
1201 7.0907016405 -18.0842775969
1182 7.0752169729 -18.3595523016
1149 7.0466472778 -18.8674427211
1140 7.0387835414 -19.0072382774
1125 7.0252716124 -19.2474431263
848 6.7424678147 -24.2749150442
837 6.7294655833 -24.506058876

Valor medio 1456 7.2612745008


Desviacin Estandar 304.62 0.2182388907
mediana 1452 0.0007
moda 137.9 0.0006
0.0005
0.0004
funcion de 0.0003
0.0002
0.0007
0.0006
Coeficiente de asime1.98114996 -0.5155056551 0.0005
0.0004
parmetro 15.0519624 funcion de 0.0003
parmetro 0.05625169 0.0002
xo 8.10797284 0.0001
0
600 800
PEARSON TIPO 3

ncin de distribucin
acumulada
Funcin Log
variable Factor de
Funcion Pearson tipo III Pearson tipo
estandarizada z Frecuencia
III
1.9088669232 1.91 0.000000 0.0006081974
1.4402114567 1.44 0.000000 0.0004188069
1.3042755553 1.30 0.000000 0.0002927849
1.0924975489 1.09 0.000000 0.0001212703
1.0734449862 1.07 0.000000 0.0001094241
0.918103509 0.92 0.000000 3.9433159E-005
0.878431099 0.88 0.000000 2.8609922E-005
0.8624654567 0.86 0.000000 2.4943868E-005
0.8384122007 0.84 0.000000 2.0102210E-005
0.5864242258 0.59 0.000000 0.000000884
0.4876952553 0.49 0.000000 1.3918726E-007
0.3734654636 0.37 0.000000 7.7117140E-009
0.3600999663 0.36 0.000000 5.1079094E-009
0.3600999663 0.36 0.000000 5.1079094E-009
0.3556361231 0.36 0.000000 4.4324730E-009
0.1919710564 0.19 0.000000 2.6048578E-012
0.0889974032 0.09 0.000000 1.1436640E-016
0.0212822431 0.02 0.000000 3.5173881E-025
-0.1840616149 -0.18 0.000000 #VALUE!
-0.2067267958 -0.21 0.000000 #VALUE!
-0.2959505971 -0.30 0.000000 #VALUE!
-0.471219072 -0.47 0.000000 #VALUE!
-0.4905168134 -0.49 0.000000 #VALUE!
-0.5937346453 -0.59 0.000000 #VALUE!
-0.6401196301 -0.64 0.000000 #VALUE!
-0.7275291061 -0.73 0.000000 #VALUE!
-0.7815878267 -0.78 0.000000 #VALUE!
-0.8525406602 -0.85 0.000000 #VALUE!
-0.9834508519 -0.98 0.000000 #VALUE!
-1.0194835518 -1.02 0.000000 #VALUE!
-1.0813970308 -1.08 0.000000 #VALUE!
-2.3772421332 -2.38 0.000000 #VALUE!
-2.4368201094 -2.44 0.000000 #VALUE!

Logpearson tipo III


0.0007
0.0006
0.0005
0.0004
pearson tip
funcion de 0.0003
0.0002
Logpearson tipo III
0.0007
0.0006
0.0005
0.0004
pearson tip
funcion de 0.0003
0.0002
0.0001
0
600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400

Caudal m3/s
Funcin
acumulada

0.0006082
0.001027
0.00131979
0.00144106
0.00155048
0.00158992
0.00161853
0.00164347
0.00166357
0.00166446
0.0016646
0.0016646
0.00166461
0.00166461
0.00166462
0.00166462
0.00166462
0.00166462
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!

pearson tipo III


pearson tipo III

400
DISTRIBUCION NORMAL

Media 1456
Desviacion 299.968937
Minimo 837
Maximo 2160
Rango 1323
Numero Datos 33
N. Intervalos (Sturges) 12.538475
N. Intervalos (Raiz N) 5.74456265
Tamao Intervalo 105.539151

Intervalo Lim Inferior Lim Superior


1 837 942 889
2 942 1048 995
3 1048 1153 1101
4 1153 1259 1206
5 1259 1364 1312
6 1364 1470 1417
7 1470 1575 1523
8 1575 1681 1628
9 1681 1787 1734
10 1787 1892 1839
11 1892 1998 1945
12 1998 2103 2050
13 2103 2209 2156

Frecuencia
12 Distribucion Normal

10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
DISTRIBUCION LOG GUMBEL

m Qmax Probabilidad
1 2160 0.0303030303
2 1950 0.0606060606
3 1893 0.0909090909
4 1808 0.1212121212
5 1800 0.1515151515
6 1740 0.1818181818
7 1725 0.2121212121
8 1719 0.2424242424
9 1710 0.2727272727
10 1619 0.303030303
11 1584 0.3333333333
12 1545 0.3636363636
13 1541 0.3939393939
14 1541 0.4242424242
15 1539 0.4545454545
16 1485 0.4848484848
17 1452 0.5151515152
18 1431 0.5454545455
19 1368 0.5757575758
20 1361 0.6060606061
21 1335 0.6363636364
22 1285 0.6666666667
23 1280 0.696969697
24 1251 0.7272727273
25 1238 0.7575757576
26 1215 0.7878787879
27 1201 0.8181818182
28 1182 0.8484848485
29 1149 0.8787878788
30 1140 0.9090909091
31 1125 0.9393939394
32 848 0.9696969697
33 837 1
DISTRIBUCION LOG NORMAL

m Qmax Probabilidad
1 2160 0.0303030303
2 1950 0.0606060606
3 1893 0.0909090909
4 1808 0.1212121212
5 1800 0.1515151515
6 1740 0.1818181818
7 1725 0.2121212121
8 1719 0.2424242424
9 1710 0.2727272727
10 1619 0.303030303
11 1584 0.3333333333
12 1545 0.3636363636
13 1541 0.3939393939
14 1541 0.4242424242
15 1539 0.4545454545
16 1485 0.4848484848
17 1452 0.5151515152
18 1431 0.5454545455
19 1368 0.5757575758
20 1361 0.6060606061
21 1335 0.6363636364
22 1285 0.6666666667
23 1280 0.696969697
24 1251 0.7272727273
25 1238 0.7575757576
26 1215 0.7878787879
27 1201 0.8181818182
28 1182 0.8484848485
29 1149 0.8787878788
30 1140 0.9090909091
31 1125 0.9393939394
32 848 0.9696969697
33 837 1
Frecuencia F observada For acum Fer acum For acum - Fer acum
Err:502 0.0606060606 0.06060606 0.04332827 0.0172777906
Err:502 Err:502 0.06060606 0.0866824661 0.0260764055
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 0.1563345524 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 0.2553321465 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 0.3798137152 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 0.5182904865 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 0.654573271 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 0.7732313058 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 0.8646309366 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 0.9269155954 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 0.9644651252 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 0.9844919123 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 0.9939411606 Err:502
33
estadistico s-k 0.0476981565
Nivel signif 0.05
Grado Libertad 100
Est x tabla 0.2367456121
Hipotesis Se Acepta

10 11 12 13
Probabilidad Probabilidad de Tiempo de
en % no excedencia retorno aos Log Gumbel P(x)-Po(x)
3.03 0.9696969697 33 0.9525779797 0.01711899
6.06 0.9393939394 16.5 0.9152125194 0.02418142
9.09 0.9090909091 11 0.8999042619 0.0091866472
12.12 0.8787878788 8.25 0.8707793198 0.008008559
15.15 0.8484848485 6.6 0.8678051165 -0.019320268
18.18 0.8181818182 5.5 0.8411088142 -0.022926996
21.21 0.7878787879 4.71 0.8335490101 -0.0456702223
24.24 0.7575757576 4.13 0.8304165964 -0.0728408389
27.27 0.7272727273 3.67 0.8255978254 -0.0983250981
30.3 0.696969697 3.3 0.7674113134 -0.0704416165
33.33 0.6666666667 3 0.7404819016 -0.0738152349
36.36 0.6363636364 2.75 0.7062116649 -0.0698480285
39.39 0.6060606061 2.54 0.7019788752 -0.0959182691
42.42 0.5757575758 2.36 0.7019788752 -0.1262212994
45.45 0.5454545455 2.2 0.7005547034 -0.155100158
48.48 0.5151515152 2.06 0.6447008374 -0.1295493222
51.52 0.4848484848 1.94 0.6059730185 -0.1211245336
54.55 0.4545454545 1.83 0.5790593492 -0.1245138947
57.58 0.4242424242 1.74 0.4912054312 -0.066963007
60.61 0.3939393939 1.65 0.4810168542 -0.0870774603
63.64 0.3636363636 1.57 0.4401915518 -0.0765551882
66.67 0.3333333333 1.5 0.3579784283 -0.024645095
69.7 0.303030303 1.43 0.3488841907 -0.0458538876
72.73 0.2727272727 1.38 0.3005919098 -0.0278646371
75.76 0.2424242424 1.32 0.279249276 -0.0368250336
78.79 0.2121212121 1.27 0.2400466683 -0.0279254562
81.82 0.1818181818 1.22 0.2166821388 -0.034863957
84.85 0.1515151515 1.18 0.1873151819 -0.0358000304
87.88 0.1212121212 1.14 0.1379250461 -0.0167129249
90.91 0.0909090909 1.1 0.1255931543 -0.0346840634
93.94 0.0606060606 1.06 0.1058108296 -0.045204769
96.97 0.0303030303 1.03 7.29158787E-006 0.0302957387
100 0 1 2.85140854E-006 -2.8514085397E-006

estadistico s-k 0.0302957387


Nivel signif 0.05
Grado Libertad 100
Est x tabla 0.2367456121
Hipotesis Se Acepta

Probabilidad Probabilidad de Tiempo de


en % no excedencia retorno aos Log Normal P(x)-Po(x)
3.03 0.9696969697 33 0.9718603695 -0.0021633998
6.06 0.9393939394 16.5 0.9250962086 0.0142977308
9.09 0.9090909091 11 0.9039301766 0.0051607325
12.12 0.8787878788 8.25 0.8626927664 0.0160951124
15.15 0.8484848485 6.6 0.8584642453 -0.0099793968
18.18 0.8181818182 5.5 0.820717661 -0.0025358428
21.21 0.7878787879 4.71 0.8101450932 -0.0222663053
24.24 0.7575757576 4.13 0.805784283 -0.0482085254
27.27 0.7272727273 3.67 0.7991003803 -0.071827653
30.3 0.696969697 3.3 0.7212047658 -0.0242350688
33.33 0.6666666667 3 0.6871171435 -0.0204504768
36.36 0.6363636364 2.75 0.6455989775 -0.0092353411
39.39 0.6060606061 2.54 0.640613811 -0.0345532049
42.42 0.5757575758 2.36 0.640613811 -0.0648562353
45.45 0.5454545455 2.2 0.6389434562 -0.0934889107
48.48 0.5151515152 2.06 0.5761175613 -0.0609660462
51.52 0.4848484848 1.94 0.535458013 -0.0506095282
54.55 0.4545454545 1.83 0.5084897457 -0.0539442912
57.58 0.4242424242 1.74 0.4269825594 -0.0027401352
60.61 0.3939393939 1.65 0.4181116147 -0.0241722208
63.64 0.3636363636 1.57 0.383633905 -0.0199975414
66.67 0.3333333333 1.5 0.3187421502 0.0145911831
69.7 0.303030303 1.43 0.3118841176 -0.0088538146
72.73 0.2727272727 1.38 0.2763448035 -0.0036175308
75.76 0.2424242424 1.32 0.2610474139 -0.0186231715
78.79 0.2121212121 1.27 0.2334509459 -0.0213297338
81.82 0.1818181818 1.22 0.2172284217 -0.0354102398
84.85 0.1515151515 1.18 0.1969570408 -0.0454418893
87.88 0.1212121212 1.14 0.1626927965 -0.0414806753
90.91 0.0909090909 1.1 0.153986729 -0.0630776381
93.94 0.0606060606 1.06 0.1397602709 -0.0791542103
96.97 0.0303030303 1.03 0.008721317 0.0215817133
100 0 1 0.0074085242 -0.0074085242
estadistico s-k 0.0215817133
Nivel signif 0.05
Grado Libertad 100
Est x tabla 0.2367456121
Hipotesis Se Acepta
DISTRIBUCION LOG NORMAL

Media 1456
Desviacion 299.9689373037
Minimo 837
Maximo 2160
Rango 1323
Numero Datos 33
N. Intervalos (Sturges) 12.5384749528
N. Intervalos (Raiz N) 5.7445626465
Tamao Intervalo 105.5391508917

Intervalo Lim Inferior Lim Superior


1 837 889 942
2 942 995 1048
3 1048 1101 1153
4 1153 1206 1259
5 1259 1312 1364
6 1364 1417 1470
7 1470 1523 1575
8 1575 1628 1681
9 1681 1734 1787
10 1787 1839 1892
11 1892 1945 1998
12 1998 2050 2103
13 2103 2156 2209
DISTRIBUCION LOG GUMBELL

Media 1456
Desviacion 299.9689373037
Minimo 837
Maximo 2160
Rango 1323
Numero Datos 33
N. Intervalos (Sturges) 12.5384749528
N. Intervalos (Raiz N) 5.7445626465
Tamao Intervalo 105.5391508917

Intervalo Lim Inferior Lim Superior


1 837 889 942
2 942 995 1048
3 1048 1101 1153
4 1153 1206 1259
5 1259 1312 1364
6 1364 1417 1470
7 1470 1523 1575
8 1575 1628 1681
9 1681 1734 1787
10 1787 1839 1892
11 1892 1945 1998
12 1998 2050 2103
13 2103 2156 2209
7.2612745
0.21823889

Frecuencia LN Lim Inf LN Lim Sup distr lim inferior distr lim superior
Err:502 6.72946558 6.848259118 0.0074085242 0.0292127207
Err:502 6.84825912 13.6965182361 0.0292127207 0.0798598023
Err:502 6.9544273 20.6509455345 0.0798598023 0.1669556952
Err:502 7.05039781 27.7013433444 0.1669556952 0.2860206802
Err:502 7.13795913 34.8393024749 0.2860206802 0.4222463746
Err:502 7.21846694 42.0577694138 0.4222463746 0.5577427068
Err:502 7.2929734 49.3507428105 0.5577427068 0.6783053139
Err:502 7.36231149 56.7130543045 0.6783053139 0.7763945258
Err:502 7.42715199 64.1402062946 0.7763945258 0.8506171049
Err:502 7.48804298 71.6282492793 0.8506171049 0.9035547904
Err:502 7.54543811 79.1736873939 0.9035547904 0.9395239345
Err:502 7.59971709 86.7734044811 0.9395239345 0.9630066322
Err:502 7.65120092 94.4246054004 0.9630066322 0.9778398206
33
parmetro Gumbel
parmetro a 237.51
parmetro b 1319.0865007273
parametros para log gumbel
parmetro a 0.1702263348
parmetro b 7.1630181582

Frecuencia LN Lim Inf LN Lim Sup distr lim inferior distr lim superior
2 6.72946558 6.848259118 0.0000 0.0017
0 6.84825912 13.6965182361 0.0017 1.0000
3 6.9544273 20.6509455345 0.0332 1.0000
5 7.05039781 27.7013433444 0.1440 1.0000
4 7.13795913 34.8393024749 0.3139 1.0000
3 7.21846694 42.0577694138 0.4858 1.0000
5 7.2929734 49.3507428105 0.6275 1.0000
2 7.36231149 56.7130543045 0.7333 1.0000
4 7.42715199 64.1402062946 0.8090 1.0000
2 7.48804298 71.6282492793 0.8623 1.0000
2 7.54543811 79.1736873939 0.8996 1.0000
0 7.59971709 86.7734044811 0.9260 1.0000
1 7.65120092 94.4246054004 0.9448 1.0000
33
E
0.71953848 2 2.2786574002
1.67135369 0 1.6713536928
2.87416447 3 0.0055092816
3.9291445 5 0.2918527164
4.49544792 4 0.0546038221
4.47137896 3 0.4841808466
3.97856603 5 0.2622370317
3.23694399 2 0.472677453
2.44934511 4 0.9817034697
1.74694362 2 0.0366568955
1.18698175 2 0.5568734864
0.77492902 0 0.7749290226
0.48949522 1 0.5324160958
Suma (D) 8.4036512143

Chi Cuadrado 18.3


Grados de
libertad 10
parmetros de la
funcin log
normal 2
nivel de
significancia 0.5
Dato Superior 0.95

D MENOR que Chi cuadrado


E
0.0561 2 67.3573477718
32.9439 0 32.9439
31.9044 3 26.1864927521
28.248 5 19.1330184084
22.6413 4 15.3479732034
16.9686 3 11.4989914289
12.2925 5 4.326260423
8.8011 2 5.2555886435
6.303 4 0.8414737427
4.5441 2 1.4243623182
3.3132 2 0.5204920439
2.442 0 2.442
1.8216 1 0.3705679403
Suma (D) 187.6484686761

Chi Cuadrado 18.3


Grados de
libertad 10
parmetros de la
funcin log
normal 2
nivel de
significancia 0.5
Dato Superior 0.95
D MAYOR que Chi cuadrado
1.2

0.8

funcin 0.6
de densidad

0.4

0.2

0
700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900
caudal m3/s
Log Gumbel

Probabilidad

For acum

Log Normal

1700 1900 2100 2300

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