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Analisis de Consistencia PDF
Analisis de Consistencia PDF
APROVECHAMIENTOS
HIDROELECTRICOS
Ingeniera Civil - Huancavelica
Profesor de Curso:
Ivn Ayala Bizarro
|
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
INTRODUCCIN:
OBJETIVOS:
MARCO TEORICO:
ANLISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
Una serie de tiempo de datos hidrolgicos es relativamente constante si los
datos son peridicamente proporcionales a una serie de tiempo apropiado
simultneamente (Chang y Lee 1974). La consistencia relativa significativa que
los datos hidrolgicos en una observacin cierta estacin son generados por el
mismo mecanismo que genera similares datos de otras estaciones. Es una
prctica comn para verificar la coherencia en relacin con el doble de la masa
de anlisis. Para determinar la consistencia relativa, se comparan las
observaciones a partir de una cierta estacin con la media de las observaciones
de varias estaciones cercanas. Este medio se llama la base o patrn es difcil
decir cuntas estaciones el modelo debe e incluir. Las estaciones cuanto menor
los datos determinados influir en la consistencia y la valides de la media
patrn. Doble masa de anlisis, es comprobacin requiere eliminar del patrn
los datos de una determinada estacin y comparndolos con los datos restantes.
Si estos datos son consistentes con los totales generales de la zona, que se
vuelven a incorporar en el patrn no se puede hacer un anlisis de doble masa,
sin embargo se pueden detectar cambios similares que ocurrieron en las
estaciones de forma simultnea. Por ejemplo si al mismo tiempo todas las
estaciones en la regin comenzaron a registrar los datos que fueron del 50% que
es demasiado grande, la doble curva de la masa no muestra un cambio
significativo.
Del anlisis visual grafico se tomaran los datos en 02 series ya que existe un
pequeo salto en el grfico de curva masa.
ANLISIS ESTADSTICO
Despus de obtener de los grficos construidos para el anlisis visual y de los de
doble masa, los perodos de posible correccin, y los perodos de datos que se
mantendrn con sus valores originales, se procede al anlisis estadstico de
saltos, tanto en la media como en la desviacin estndar.
Anlisis de Saltos: Consistencia de la Media a) Clculo de la media y de la
desviacin estndar para las sub-muestras, segn: b) Clculo del (tc) calculado
segn:
ANLISIS DE SALTOS
1. Consistencia de la Media
ANLISIS DE TENDENCIAS
1. Tendencia en la Media
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
b. Evaluacin de la tendencia Tm
Donde:
tc= valor del estadstico t calculado, n = nmero total de datos, R = coeficiente
de correlacin
Clculo de t:
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
Este anlisis se utiliza para tener una cierta confiabilidad en la informacin, as como
tambin, para analizar la consistencia en relacion a errores, que pueden producirse
durante la obtencin de los datos.
ANALISIS ESTADISTICO
1. ANLISIS DE SALTOS.
ANALISIS DEL TRAMO 1 Y 2
Tc= -2.3514
Tc= < Tt
NO SE DEBE
CORREGIR
3341.7 6326.6
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
1.8932
Tabla de distribucin f
CONCLUSIONES
Las fallas en este tipo de anlisis, son los causas del cambio a que estn
expuestas las informaciones hidrolgicas, por lo cual su estudio y
prctica, es de mucha importancia para determinar los errores
sistemticos que puedan afectarlas.
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
ANEXOS
1. Seudocdigo del programa Tratamiento de Datos Hidrolgicos
clear all
clc
fi = fopen('DATOS_CORREGIDOS.txt','wt'); % 'wt' means "write text"
fprintf(fi,'#######################################################
\n');
fprintf(fi,'#######################################################
\n');
fprintf(fi,' UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE HUANCAVELICA \n');
fprintf(fi,' ESCUELA ACADEMICA PROFESIONAL DE INGENIERIA CIVIL \n');
fprintf(fi,' APROVECHAMIENTOS HIDROELECTRICOS \n');
fprintf(fi,'TEMA : TRATAMIENTO DE DATOS \n');
fprintf(fi,'ALUMNO : TORRES CONDORI EDWIN \n');
fprintf(fi,'DOCENTE : ING.AYALA BIZARRO Ivan A. \n');
fprintf(fi,'CICLO : X \n');
fprintf(fi,'#######################################################
\n');
fprintf(fi,'#######################################################
\n');
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TIEMPO=(inicio:1/12:(inicio+n)-(1/12));
PRECIPITACION=reshape(A',1,n*12);
curvamasa=cumsum(PRECIPITACION);
plot(TIEMPO,PRECIPITACION,'r.-'),title('POLIGONO DE
FRECUENCIA'),xlabel('TIEMPO (TIEMPO)'),ylabel('PRECIPITACIONES (mm)');
grid on
clf
plot(TIEMPO,curvamasa,'r.-'),title('ANALISIS GRAFICO CURVA
MASA'),xlabel('TIEMPO (TIEMPO)'),ylabel('PRECIPITACIONES (mm)');
grid on
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if (abs(tc)<=(Tt));
fprintf(fi,'las medias son estadisticamente iguales*****
NO NECESITA CORRECION: \n');
else
fprintf(fi,'las medias son estadisticamente
diferentes***** NECESITA CORRECION: \n');
end
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ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
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end
fprintf(fi,'GRADOS DE LIBERTAD DEL NUMERADOR: %g\n',GLN);
fprintf(fi,'GRADOS DE LIBERTAD DEL DENOMINADOR: %g\n',GLD);
fprintf('GRADOS DE LIBERTAD DEL NUMERADOR: %g\n',GLN);
fprintf('GRADOS DE LIBERTAD DEL DENOMINADOR: %g\n',GLD);
%4. conclusiones
% VERIFICAMOS SI HAY CORRECCION
if (abs(tc)<=(Tt)&(abs(fc)<=(Ft)));
fprintf(fi,'>>>>>>NO REALIZAR UN PROCESO DE CORRECION DE LOS
DATOS!!!!: \n');
else
fprintf(fi,'>>>>>>EXISTEN ERRORES::::!!!!CORREGIR!!!!\n\n');
% ELIMINACION DE SALTO
fprintf(fi,'ELIMINACION DE SALTOS\n');
fprintf(fi,'#######################################################
\n');
fprintf(fi,'#######################################################
\n');
fprintf(fi,'- ENERO FEBRERO MARZO ABRIL MAYO JUNIO JULIO AGOSTO
SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE\n');
for(i=1:DATO_1);
XT1(i)=((SERIE1(i)-
DATO_SERIE_1)/DESVIACION1)*DESVIACION2+DATO_SERIE_2;
end
q=0;
for(i=1:p);
fprintf(fi,'% g ', A(i,1));
for(j=1:12);
q=q+1;
fprintf(fi,'%4.3f ', XT1(q) );
end
fprintf(fi,'\n' );
end
for(i=1:DATO_2);
XT2(i)=((SERIE2(i)-
DATO_SERIE_2)/DESVIACION2)*DESVIACION1+DATO_SERIE_1;
end
q=0;
VECRYC=XT1;
for (i=DATO_1+1:n*12);
q=q+1;
VECRYC(i)=XT2(q);
end
% fin
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Resultados corregidos