Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Probabilidad
Teorema de Conjunto
P ( AnB)
P ( AoB )
P ( AoB ) P ( A) P ( B ) P ( A B )
P( A)
1
x 1
0.25
n 4
P( B)
x 1
0.25
n 4
P ( A B ) P ( A) P ( B )
P ( A B ) 0.25 0.25 0.50
TABLA DE PROBABILIDAD
P ( A C ) P ( A) P (C )
P ( A C ) 0.25 0.50 0.75
DATOS MUESTRA
P ( B C ) P ( B ) P (C )
(5,1)
(10,1)
(5,2)
(10,2)
E5W2
E5W1
agua
construccion
energia
P(C )
x 2
0.50
n 4
const.1
const.4
const.5
suministro
PROBABILIDAD
TEOREMA DE MONTECARLO
SUCESO SIMPLE
PROBABILIDAD
ESTIMADA POR
CLIENTE
DATOS MUESTRA
SUCESO SIMPLE
E5W1
E10W1
E5W2
E10W2
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.6
E5W1
E10W1
E5W2
E10W2
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.6
NUMEROS ALEATORIOS
E10W2
0.1
0.1
<= RDN<
<= RDN<
E10W1
0.2
0.6
<= RDN<
<= RDN<
const.2
const.3
const.6
red
principal
PROBABILIDAD
ESTIMADA POR
CLIENTE
ACUMULADA
0.1
0.2
0.4
1.00
EATORIOS
0.1
0.2
0.4
1.00
INSTITUTO P
ESCUELA SUPERIOR DE INGENIE
ACADE
PROBABILIDAD
DISTRIBUCION PARA SIMULACION
X
p(x)
Fr
1
2
3
4
5
6
1/6
1/6
1/6
1/6
1/6
1/6
LANZAMIENTO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
RND
0.43649035
0.45517889
0.63729448
0.66258213
0.19634892
0.88527404
0.35287671
0.67095962
0.29115043
0.60421393
0.01585474
0.79373099
0.15817509
0.26441486
0.34210906
0.96395156
0.06613005
0.85155145
0.58697773
0.53450521
0.44921452
0.1667
0.1667
0.1667
0.1667
0.1667
0.1667
fra
0.1667
0.3333
0.5000
0.6667
0.8333
1.0000
RND*2
INT(RND*6)
2.6189421
2
2.73107332
2
3.82376685
3
3.97549275
3
1.17809351
1
5.31164425
5
2.11726029
2
4.02575769
4
1.74690256
1
3.62528356
3
0.09512843
0
4.76238597
4
0.94905056
0
1.58648913
1
2.05265438
2
5.78370937
5
0.39678033
0
5.10930867
5
3.52186636
3
3.20703126
3
2.69528713
2
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
0.94186744
0.35457587
0.89027203
0.41270356
0.51251381
0.7893182
0.9641753
0.53517398
0.91363036
0.79463292
0.47188102
0.06395638
0.71595223
0.73117814
0.38590022
0.17510224
0.43668165
0.15119688
0.75407635
0.31854163
0.71420037
0.31766846
0.44301555
0.39830369
0.01746934
0.50294638
0.75734756
0.6349833
0.14548674
0.84104802
0.00049335
0.13253849
0.3159476
0.11584948
0.31432459
0.27143596
0.37098185
0.19160368
0.22792918
0.68080975
0.73631946
0.21331111
0.75193404
0.62663422
0.81666161
5.65120466
2.12745522
5.34163216
2.47622139
3.07508284
4.73590918
5.7850518
3.21104387
5.48178215
4.76779753
2.83128613
0.3837383
4.29571338
4.38706881
2.31540133
1.05061345
2.6200899
0.90718128
4.52445809
1.9112498
4.28520223
1.90601077
2.65809328
2.38982213
0.10481605
3.01767826
4.54408535
3.80989981
0.87292046
5.04628811
0.00296008
0.79523091
1.89568563
0.69509691
1.88594756
1.62861577
2.2258911
1.14962207
1.3675751
4.08485849
4.41791675
1.27986667
4.51160422
3.75980532
4.89996967
5
2
5
2
3
4
5
3
5
4
2
0
4
4
2
1
2
0
4
1
4
1
2
2
0
3
4
3
0
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
4
4
1
4
3
4
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
0.14597881
0.85122196
0.61330612
0.58879928
0.50205702
0.63598043
0.97248043
0.40736575
0.5728998
0.30866621
0.2520924
0.41243739
0.37189306
0.47709502
0.10588539
0.28593328
0.14285998
0.5704998
0.92649153
0.53297569
0.57483075
0.48868782
0.81602862
0.12032874
0.12140893
0.31329735
0.85901863
0.75943606
0.59115876
0.79325369
0.64491945
0.73936254
0.65847038
0.89335148
0.87587285
5.10733174
3.67983671
3.53279568
3.01234209
3.81588256
5.83488258
2.44419448
3.4373988
1.85199727
1.5125544
2.47462433
2.23135837
2.86257012
0.63531237
1.71559967
0.85715985
3.42299881
5.55894915
3.19785416
3.4489845
2.93212693
4.89617173
0.72197242
0.72845359
1.87978411
5.15411175
4.55661637
3.54695254
4.75952212
3.86951672
4.43617523
3.95082231
5.36010885
0
5
3
3
3
3
5
2
3
1
1
2
2
2
0
1
0
3
5
3
3
2
4
0
0
1
5
4
3
4
3
4
3
5
Teorema de
Intervalo
Montecarlo
0<RND<=0.1667
0<RND<=1/6
0.1667<RND<=0.33331/2<RND<=2/6
0.3333<RND<=0.50002/6<RND<=3/6
0.5000<RND<=0.66673/6<RND<=4/6
0.6667<RND<=0.83334/6<RND<=5/6
0.8333<RND<=1.00005/6<RND<=6/6
INT(RND*6)+1
3
3
4
4
2
6
3
5
2
4
1
5
1
2
3
6
1
6
4
4
3
0
0.1667
0.3333
0.5000
0.6667
0.8333
p(x)a
1
2
3
4
5
6
1/6
1/6
1/6
1/6
1/6
1/6
0.1667
0.3333
0.5000
0.6667
0.8333
1.0000
Intervalo de clase
LIM inf
1/2
2/6
3/6
4/6
6/6
5/6
6
3
6
3
4
5
6
4
6
5
3
1
5
5
3
2
3
1
5
2
5
2
3
3
1
4
5
4
1
6
1
1
2
1
2
2
3
2
2
5
5
2
5
4
5
1
6
4
4
4
4
6
3
4
2
2
3
3
3
1
2
1
4
6
4
4
3
5
1
1
2
6
5
4
5
4
5
4
6
Intervalo de clase
FRECUENCIA
LIM suo
Fr
1/6 0.1667
15
1/6 0.3333
16
1/6 0.5000
18
1/6 0.6667
21
1/6 0.8333
17
1/6 1.000
13
SUMA
100
INSTITUTO POLI
ESCUELA SUPERIOR DE INGENIERIA
ACADEMIA
PROBABILIDAD
DISTRIBUCION PARA SIMULACION
X
p(x)
W1
W2
1/2
1/2
LANZAMIENTO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
RND
0.01145064
0.65956237
0.2429701
0.79230248
0.83918894
0.29524404
0.41619104
0.58973152
0.15894638
0.204138
0.54762462
0.66929521
0.61289312
0.31762542
0.37368721
0.49019605
0.66037555
0.58590075
0.6668051
0.04246889
0.91915436
0.08358124
0.56432008
0.07186326
0.5599074
0.29821031
0.6253678
0.96910676
0.91189107
0.13615455
0.96657926
0.46009505
0.01407069
Fr
fra
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
1.0000
Teorema de
Montecarlo
0<RND<=0.2
0.2<RND<=1.0
RND*2
INT(RND*2) INT(RND*2)+1
0.02290128
0
1
1.31912475
1
2
0.48594021
0
1
1.58460496
1
2
1.67837787
1
2
0.59048807
0
1
0.83238207
0
1
1.17946303
1
2
0.31789277
0
1
0.40827599
0
1
1.09524925
1
2
1.33859041
1
2
1.22578624
1
2
0.63525084
0
1
0.74737442
0
1
0.9803921
0
1
1.3207511
1
2
1.17180151
1
2
1.3336102
1
2
0.08493778
0
1
1.83830872
1
2
0.16716247
0
1
1.12864017
1
2
0.14372652
0
1
1.1198148
1
2
0.59642062
0
1
1.2507356
1
2
1.93821352
1
2
1.82378215
1
2
0.2723091
0
1
1.93315851
1
2
0.9201901
0
1
0.02814139
0
1
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
0.28457271
0.11865641
0.59291503
0.65374457
0.56341482
0.52606568
0.36306041
0.59121755
0.01578453
0.54101645
0.74728645
0.17625085
0.3919199
0.49667828
0.94014549
0.71353085
0.1334788
0.20775118
0.91814055
0.76679669
0.74754562
0.68734854
0.81016041
0.17901043
0.51936115
0.45345138
0.6336782
0.13225091
0.79117022
0.44484406
0.95855339
0.38970402
0.65157306
0.62139594
0.78695013
0.80079509
0.24065962
0.73552137
0.71717964
0.66505274
0.86201237
0.92649629
0.55084169
0.37758186
0.5700799
0.56914542
0.23731282
1.18583006
1.30748914
1.12682964
1.05213137
0.72612082
1.1824351
0.03156906
1.08203291
1.49457289
0.3525017
0.78383979
0.99335656
1.88029098
1.42706171
0.26695761
0.41550235
1.8362811
1.53359338
1.49509123
1.37469707
1.62032081
0.35802086
1.03872229
0.90690276
1.26735639
0.26450182
1.58234045
0.88968812
1.91710678
0.77940804
1.30314612
1.24279189
1.57390027
1.60159018
0.48131924
1.47104274
1.43435929
1.33010548
1.72402474
1.85299257
1.10168338
0.75516372
1.14015981
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
0.09021728
0.71871694
0.67658623
0.21710555
0.32762025
0.72336913
0.44551007
0.48165318
0.32158616
0.13806504
0.50778579
0.92793507
0.43953596
0.98264784
0.76984442
0.08244361
0.30204834
0.24867875
0.26451396
0.27100031
0.71306653
0.37105634
0.18043456
1.43743388
1.35317245
0.4342111
0.65524049
1.44673826
0.89102014
0.96330636
0.64317231
0.27613008
1.01557157
1.85587014
0.87907192
1.96529568
1.53968884
0.16488722
0.60409668
0.4973575
0.52902793
0.54200061
1.42613306
0.74211268
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
Intervalo
0<RND<=1/2
1/2<RND<=2/2
1
2
p(x)a
W1
W2
0.2
0.8
Intervalo de clase
LIM inf
LIM suo
0
0.2
0.2
1
FRECUENCIA
Fr
16
70
86