i

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

xi
34.4
40.3
40.21
34.19
36.69
39.48
42.62
41.81
42.43
42.31
43.9
44.22
43.23
44.34
45.48
44.57
44.77
44.73
38.73
40.2
42.32
45.53
46.19
50.98
57.05
57.93
54.07

yi
109.93
125.17
136.54
133.75
123.99
121.6
127.39
129.1
131.31
136.63
141.65
142.68
143.79
147.59
153.3
153.97
147.38
159.85
163.94
172.26
174.99
184.15
193.65
207.6
214.75
226
231.46

xi2
1,183
1,624
1,617
1,169
1,346
1,559
1,816
1,748
1,800
1,790
1,927
1,955
1,869
1,966
2,068
1,986
2,004
2,001
1,500
1,616
1,791
2,073
2,134
2,599
3,255
3,356
2,924

xiyi
3,781.59
5,044.35
5,490.27
4,572.91
4,549.19
4,800.77
5,429.36
5,397.67
5,571.48
5,780.82
6,218.44
6,309.31
6,216.04
6,544.14
6,972.08
6,862.44
6,598.20
7,150.09
6,349.40
6,924.85
7,405.58
8,384.35
8,944.69
10,583.45
12,251.49
13,092.18
12,515.04

yi2
12,084.60
15,667.53
18,643.17
17,889.06
15,373.52
14,786.56
16,228.21
16,666.81
17,242.32
18,667.76
20,064.72
20,357.58
20,675.56
21,782.81
23,500.89
23,706.76
21,720.86
25,552.02
26,876.32
29,673.51
30,621.50
33,911.22
37,500.32
43,097.76
46,117.56
51,076.00
53,573.73

X
Y

28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56

53.11
52.93
43.72
47.7
53.13
60.89
69.45
73.69
78.27
75.46
80.7
86.95
90.76
95.28
110.04
139.87
141.5
146.35
168.72
150.96
117.75
118.3
139.7
136.47
128.04
101.36
84.51
88.22
87.25

289.74
364.95
326.48
349.81
349.07
344.84
340.21
318.84
302.78
257.17
257.48
292.68
352.28
348.46
339.1
361.69
340.81
346.95
363.26
316
298.81
320.28
357.78
382.8
393.94
380.24
374.69
381.65
346.3

2,821
2,802
1,911
2,275
2,823
3,708
4,823
5,430
6,126
5,694
6,512
7,560
8,237
9,078
12,109
19,564
20,022
21,418
28,466
22,789
13,865
13,995
19,516
18,624
16,394
10,274
7,142
7,783
7,613

15,388.09
19,316.80
14,273.71
16,685.94
18,546.09
20,997.31
23,627.58
23,495.32
23,698.59
19,406.05
20,778.64
25,448.53
31,972.93
33,201.27
37,314.56
50,589.58
48,224.62
50,776.13
61,289.23
47,703.36
35,184.88
37,889.12
49,981.87
52,240.72
50,440.08
38,541.13
31,665.05
33,669.16
30,214.68

83,949.27
133,188.50
106,589.19
122,367.04
121,849.86
118,914.63
115,742.84
101,658.95
91,675.73
66,136.41
66,295.95
85,661.58
124,101.20
121,424.37
114,988.81
130,819.66
116,151.46
120,374.30
131,957.83
99,856.00
89,287.42
102,579.28
128,006.53
146,535.84
155,188.72
144,582.46
140,392.60
145,656.72
119,923.69

57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85

84.75
67.14
58.56
43.68
51.38
49.92
56.2
62.74
65.32
75.95
76.14
86.19
100
101.64
104.72
105.62
107.43
96.33
98.52
102.73
85.4
77.29
83.32
94.13
99.07
107.94
107.81
109.45
118.01

317.1
223.43
168.6
139.34
146.09
150.35
170.09
199.88
207.23
227.43
236.57
279.65
281.07
285.22
302.8
316.69
335.03
310.63
338.51
351.31
310.15
294.8
305.51
330.39
349.69
376.14
384.19
414.91
433.44

7,183
4,508
3,429
1,908
2,640
2,492
3,158
3,936
4,267
5,768
5,797
7,429
10,000
10,331
10,966
11,156
11,541
9,279
9,706
10,553
7,293
5,974
6,942
8,860
9,815
11,651
11,623
11,979
13,926

26,874.23
15,001.09
9,873.22
6,086.37
7,506.10
7,505.47
9,559.06
12,540.47
13,536.26
17,273.31
18,012.44
24,103.03
28,107.00
28,989.76
31,709.22
33,448.80
35,992.27
29,922.99
33,350.01
36,090.08
26,486.81
22,785.09
25,455.09
31,099.61
34,643.79
40,600.55
41,419.52
45,411.90
51,150.25

100,552.41
49,920.96
28,425.96
19,415.64
21,342.29
22,605.12
28,930.61
39,952.01
42,944.27
51,724.40
55,965.36
78,204.12
79,000.34
81,350.45
91,687.84
100,292.56
112,245.10
96,491.00
114,589.02
123,418.72
96,193.02
86,907.04
93,336.36
109,157.55
122,283.10
141,481.30
147,601.96
172,150.31
187,870.23

86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98

117.33
119.03
124.34
109.79
113.95
121.68
109.08
104.27
88.39
89.9
91.58
94.99
96.44
7,861.91

382.05
27,334.55

Media

80

278.92

447.59
432.3
430.15
404.92
410.29
436.32
410.11
377.15
333.28
342.54
343.26
364.84

13,766
14,168
15,460
12,054
12,985
14,806
11,898
10,872
7,813
8,082
8,387
9,023
9,301
734,780.68

52,515.73
51,456.67
53,484.85
44,456.17
46,752.55
53,091.42
44,734.80
39,325.43
29,458.62
30,794.35
31,435.75
34,656.15
36,844.90
2,445,842.37

200,336.81
186,883.29
185,029.02
163,960.21
168,337.88
190,375.14
168,190.21
142,242.12
111,075.56
117,333.65
117,827.43
133,108.23
145,962.20
8,565,616.32

CALCULO DE LA RECTA POR MINIMOS CUADRADOS

b1

i 1

i 1

i 1

n xi yi x i y i
n

i 1

n xl2

x
i 1

b1

2.4307361405

b0

83.9216452

xi

yi

Estimado yi

ei yi yi

ei2

i y
y

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

34.4
40.3
40.21
34.19
36.69
39.48
42.62

109.93
125.17
136.54
133.75
123.99
121.6
127.39

167.539
181.880
181.662
167.029
173.105
179.887
187.520

(57.609)
(56.710)
(45.122)
(33.279)
(49.115)
(58.287)
(60.130)

3,318.793
3,216.059
2,035.954
1,107.459
2,412.318
3,397.387
3,615.571

(111.385)
(97.044)
(97.262)
(111.895)
(105.819)
(99.037)
(91.404)

(Variacin
Explicada)2
12,406.621
9,417.473
9,459.981
12,520.595
11,197.581
9,808.302
8,354.757

yi y
(168.994)
(153.754)
(142.384)
(145.174)
(154.934)
(157.324)
(151.534)

8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41

41.81
42.43
42.31
43.9
44.22
43.23
44.34
45.48
44.57
44.77
44.73
38.73
40.2
42.32
45.53
46.19
50.98
57.05
57.93
54.07
53.11
52.93
43.72
47.7
53.13
60.89
69.45
73.69
78.27
75.46
80.7
86.95
90.76
95.28

129.1
131.31
136.63
141.65
142.68
143.79
147.59
153.3
153.97
147.38
159.85
163.94
172.26
174.99
184.15
193.65
207.6
214.75
226
231.46
289.74
364.95
326.48
349.81
349.07
344.84
340.21
318.84
302.78
257.17
257.48
292.68
352.28
348.46

185.551
187.058
186.766
190.631
191.409
189.002
191.700
194.472
192.260
192.746
192.648
178.064
181.637
186.790
194.593
196.197
207.841
222.595
224.734
215.352
213.018
212.581
190.193
199.868
213.067
231.929
252.736
263.043
274.175
267.345
280.082
295.274
304.535
315.522

(56.451)
(55.748)
(50.136)
(48.981)
(48.729)
(45.212)
(44.110)
(41.172)
(38.290)
(45.366)
(32.798)
(14.124)
(9.377)
(11.800)
(10.443)
(2.547)
(0.241)
(7.845)
1.266
16.108
76.722
152.369
136.287
149.942
136.003
112.911
87.474
55.797
28.605
(10.175)
(22.602)
(2.594)
47.745
32.938

3,186.684
3,107.815
2,513.628
2,399.135
2,374.496
2,044.158
1,945.735
1,695.094
1,466.090
2,058.047
1,075.740
199.489
87.933
139.249
109.058
6.489
0.058
61.546
1.602
259.482
5,886.259
23,216.462
18,574.029
22,482.676
18,496.909
12,748.856
7,651.653
3,113.351
818.225
103.531
510.853
6.730
2,279.560
1,084.900

(93.373)
(91.866)
(92.158)
(88.293)
(87.515)
(89.922)
(87.223)
(84.452)
(86.664)
(86.178)
(86.276)
(100.860)
(97.287)
(92.134)
(84.331)
(82.727)
(71.083)
(56.329)
(54.190)
(63.572)
(65.906)
(66.343)
(88.731)
(79.056)
(65.857)
(46.995)
(26.188)
(15.881)
(4.749)
(11.579)
1.158
16.350
25.611
36.598

8,718.565
8,439.399
8,493.076
7,795.657
7,658.907
8,085.896
7,607.938
7,132.217
7,510.722
7,426.695
7,443.463
10,172.724
9,464.710
8,488.597
7,111.704
6,843.696
5,052.851
3,172.938
2,936.533
4,041.454
4,343.593
4,401.456
7,873.111
6,249.886
4,337.187
2,208.512
685.796
252.218
22.549
134.073
1.341
267.328
655.938
1,339.429

(149.824)
(147.614)
(142.294)
(137.274)
(136.244)
(135.134)
(131.334)
(125.624)
(124.954)
(131.544)
(119.074)
(114.984)
(106.664)
(103.934)
(94.774)
(85.274)
(71.324)
(64.174)
(52.924)
(47.464)
10.816
86.026
47.556
70.886
70.146
65.916
61.286
39.916
23.856
(21.754)
(21.444)
13.756
73.356
69.536

42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75

110.04
139.87
141.5
146.35
168.72
150.96
117.75
118.3
139.7
136.47
128.04
101.36
84.51
88.22
87.25
84.75
67.14
58.56
43.68
51.38
49.92
56.2
62.74
65.32
75.95
76.14
86.19
100
101.64
104.72
105.62
107.43
96.33
98.52

339.1
361.69
340.81
346.95
363.26
316
298.81
320.28
357.78
382.8
393.94
380.24
374.69
381.65
346.3
317.1
223.43
168.6
139.34
146.09
150.35
170.09
199.88
207.23
227.43
236.57
279.65
281.07
285.22
302.8
316.69
335.03
310.63
338.51

351.400
423.909
427.871
439.660
494.035
450.866
370.141
371.478
423.495
415.644
395.153
330.301
289.343
298.361
296.003
289.927
247.121
226.266
190.096
208.813
205.264
220.529
236.426
242.697
268.536
268.998
293.427
326.995
330.982
338.468
340.656
345.056
318.074
323.398

(12.300)
(62.219)
(87.061)
(92.710)
(130.775)
(134.866)
(71.331)
(51.198)
(65.715)
(32.844)
(1.213)
49.939
85.347
83.289
50.297
27.173
(23.691)
(57.666)
(50.756)
(62.723)
(54.914)
(50.439)
(36.546)
(35.467)
(41.106)
(32.428)
(13.777)
(45.925)
(45.762)
(35.668)
(23.966)
(10.026)
(7.444)
15.112

151.286
3,871.168
7,579.584
8,595.122
17,102.217
18,188.723
5,088.087
2,621.208
4,318.525
1,078.742
1.472
2,493.898
7,284.084
6,937.026
2,529.751
738.397
561.276
3,325.316
2,576.192
3,934.158
3,015.547
2,544.094
1,335.612
1,257.931
1,689.708
1,051.568
189.800
2,109.129
2,094.130
1,272.230
574.369
100.513
55.420
228.380

72.476
144.985
148.947
160.736
215.111
171.942
91.217
92.554
144.572
136.720
116.229
51.377
10.419
19.437
17.079
11.003
(31.803)
(52.658)
(88.828)
(70.111)
(73.660)
(58.395)
(42.498)
(36.227)
(10.388)
(9.926)
14.503
48.071
52.058
59.544
61.732
66.132
39.150
44.474

5,252.752
21,020.572
22,185.158
25,836.029
46,272.943
29,563.912
8,320.513
8,566.197
20,900.920
18,692.420
13,509.209
2,639.604
108.559
377.805
291.706
121.056
1,011.412
2,772.910
7,890.374
4,915.568
5,425.794
3,409.972
1,806.076
1,312.370
107.909
98.527
210.332
2,310.848
2,710.003
3,545.530
3,810.842
4,373.395
1,532.760
1,977.918

60.176
82.766
61.886
68.026
84.336
37.076
19.886
41.356
78.856
103.876
115.016
101.316
95.766
102.726
67.376
38.176
(55.494)
(110.324)
(139.584)
(132.834)
(128.574)
(108.834)
(79.044)
(71.694)
(51.494)
(42.354)
0.726
2.146
6.296
23.876
37.766
56.106
31.706
59.586

76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98

102.73
85.4
77.29
83.32
94.13
99.07
107.94
107.81
109.45
118.01
117.33
119.03
124.34
109.79
113.95
121.68
109.08
104.27
88.39
89.9
91.58
94.99
96.44
7,861.91

351.31
310.15
294.8
305.51
330.39
349.69
376.14
384.19
414.91
433.44
447.59
432.3
430.15
404.92
410.29
436.32
410.11
377.15
333.28
342.54
343.26
364.84
382.05
27,334.55

333.631
291.507
271.793
286.451
312.727
324.735
346.295
345.979
349.966
370.773
369.120
373.252
386.159
350.792
360.904
379.694
349.066
337.375
298.774
302.445
306.528
314.817
318.342
27,334.55

17.679
18.643
23.007
19.059
17.663
24.955
29.845
38.211
64.944
62.667
78.470
59.048
43.991
54.128
49.386
56.626
61.044
39.775
34.506
40.095
36.732
50.023
63.708
0.00

312.541
347.580
529.311
363.261
311.987
622.768
890.706
1,460.057
4,217.760
3,927.176
6,157.554
3,486.646
1,935.175
2,929.822
2,438.974
3,206.547
3,726.328
1,582.090
1,190.636
1,607.623
1,349.206
2,502.273
4,058.730
326,458.4791

###

1.000000

614896.379055

###

96.000000

3400.609157

###

97.000000

R2
r

0.653204
0.808210

54.707
12.583
(7.131)
7.527
33.803
45.811
67.371
67.055
71.042
91.849
90.196
94.328
107.235
71.868
81.980
100.770
70.142
58.451
19.850
23.521
27.604
35.893
39.418
(0.0000)

180.819480

2,992.877
158.320
50.847
56.650
1,142.633
2,098.620
4,538.895
4,496.417
5,046.928
8,436.209
8,135.307
8,897.807
11,499.430
5,165.036
6,720.728
10,154.520
4,919.951
3,416.464
394.040
553.230
762.007
1,288.328
1,553.768
614,896.3791

0.000000

72.386
31.226
15.876
26.586
51.466
70.766
97.216
105.266
135.986
154.516
168.666
153.376
151.226
125.996
131.366
157.396
131.186
98.226
54.356
63.616
64.336
85.916
103.126
0.0000

Grfica
Grfica de
delnea
lnea ajustada
ajustada
yi
yi =
=83.92
83.92+
+2.431
2.431xi
xi

Regres
Regresin
in
IC
ICde
de95%
95%

500
500

S
58.3147
S
58.3147
R-cuad.
65.3%
R-cuad.
65.3%
R-cuad.(ajustado)
65.0%
R-cuad.(ajustado)
65.0%

yi
yi

400
400

300
300

200
200

100
100
50
50

75
75

100
100

125
125

150
150

175
175

xi
xi

Grfica
Grfica de
delnea
lneaajustada
ajustada
yi
yi =
=-- 565.3
565.3+
+196.4
196.4lnx
lnx

500
500

Regresin
Regresin
IC
ICde
de95%
95%
S
S

52.0220
52.0220

Grfica
Grfica de
delnea
lneaajustada
ajustada
yi
yi =
=-- 565.3
565.3+
+196.4
196.4lnx
lnx

500
500

Regresin
Regresin
IC
ICde
de95%
95%
S
52.0220
S
52.0220
R-cuad.
72.4%
R-cuad.
72.4%
R-cuad.(ajus
tado)
72.1%
R-cuad.(ajustado)
72.1%

yi
yi

400
400

300
300

200
200

100
100
3.50
3.50

3.75
3.75

4.00
4.00

4.25
4.25

4.50
4.50

4.75
4.75

5.00
5.00

5.25
5.25

lnx
lnx

Grfica
Grfica de
delnea
lnea ajustada
ajustada
lny
lny=
=2.046
2.046+
+0.8169
0.8169lnx
lnx

6.5
6.5

lny
lny

6.0
6.0

5.5
5.5

Regres
Regresin
in
IC
de
95%
IC de 95%
S
0.209080
S
0.209080
R-cuad.
73.7%
R-cuad.
73.7%
R-cuad.(ajus
tado)
73.5%
R-cuad.(ajustado)
73.5%

S
0.209080
S
0.209080
R-cuad.
73.7%
R-cuad.
73.7%
R-cuad.(ajus
tado)
73.5%
R-cuad.(ajustado)
73.5%

lny
lny

6.0
6.0

5.5
5.5

5.0
5.0

4.5
4.5
3.50
3.50

3.75
3.75

4.00
4.00

4.25
4.25

4.50
4.50

4.75
4.75

5.00
5.00

5.25
5.25

lnx
lnx

Ho: Hiptesis Inicial

Ha Hiptesis alternativa
Evaluamos solo la hiptesis Ho
Pueden ocurrir los siguientes casos:
Ho
Verdadera
Falsa
Aceptar
Bien
Error Tipo I
Rechazar
Error Tipo II
Bien

Conclusin
Este modelo es de una probabilidad de 0.95 en
el modelo funcional de Fisher. Dado que nuestro
grado de libertad en el numerador es 1 y el
grado d libertad de nuestro denominador es 96,
ergo F(1;96)=3.947, y el punto de Fisher es

Este modelo es de una probabilidad de 0.95 en

el modelo funcional de Fisher. Dado que nuestro
grado de libertad en el numerador es 1 y el
grado d libertad de nuestro denominador es 96,
ergo F(1;96)=3.947, y el punto de Fisher es
180.82; debio a que el punto de Fisher es
mayor que F(0.1;96), concluimos que nuestras
hiptesis inicial es rechazable, por lo tanto,
nuestra hiptesis alternativa es la correcta, la
cual consiste en que nuestro modelo, s es
aceptable.

Precio mensual
del Plomo
precio mensual
del Cobre

(Variacin
Total)2
28,558.965
23,640.286
20,273.198
21,075.484
24,004.538
24,750.835
22,962.547

22,447.225
21,789.887
20,247.577
18,844.145
18,562.422
18,261.192
17,248.614
15,781.384
15,613.497
17,303.819
14,178.613
13,221.316
11,377.205
10,802.272
8,982.107
7,271.652
5,087.110
4,118.300
2,800.948
2,252.829
116.986
7,400.476
2,261.575
5,024.828
4,920.464
4,344.922
3,755.976
1,593.289
569.110
473.236
459.844
189.228
5,381.106
4,835.258

3,621.153
6,850.214
3,829.880
4,627.539
7,112.564
1,374.631
395.454
1,710.320
6,218.272
10,790.228
13,228.685
10,264.936
9,171.131
10,552.635
4,539.528
1,457.409
3,079.582
12,171.380
19,483.687
17,644.866
16,531.268
11,844.835
6,247.951
5,140.027
2,651.630
1,793.860
0.527
4.605
39.640
570.064
1,426.272
3,147.886
1,005.272
3,550.494

5,239.736
975.064
252.048
706.816
2,648.751
5,007.830
9,450.955
11,080.935
18,492.198
23,875.201
28,448.226
23,524.204
22,869.309
15,874.997
17,257.031
24,773.507
17,209.772
9,648.351
2,954.577
4,046.998
4,139.124
7,381.563
10,634.976
941,354.8581

58.3147
58.3147
65.3%
65.3%
65.0%
65.0%

52.0220
52.0220

52.0220
52.0220
72.4%
72.4%
72.1%
72.1%

209080
.209080
73.7%
73.7%
73.5%
73.5%

209080
.209080
73.7%
73.7%
73.5%
73.5%