PERIOD

O
X
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
TOTAL
PROMED
IO

REAL

PERIODO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

CANTIDAD
(KM)
320
510
880
600
515
847
1104
693

PROMEDIO DEL
PERIODO

FACTOR
ESTACIONAL

DEMANDAS/FACTOR
ESTACIONAL

417.5
678.5
992
646.5

523.98
513.85
606.44
634.45
843.27
853.40
760.81
732.80

2734.5

0.611
0.993
1.451
0.946
0.611
0. 993
1.451
0.946
8

683.63

Y
320
510
880
600
515
847
1104
693
5469
683.6
3

Promedio del Periodo=

Factor Estacional=

320+ 515
=417.5
2

417.5
=0.611
683.63

Demandas /Factor Estacional=

320
=523.98
0.611

SUMAS
PROMED
IO

b=

PERIOD
O
X
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
36

DEMANDAS/FACTOR
ESTACIONAL
Y
523.98
513.85
606.44
634.45
843.27
853.40
760.81
732.80
5469

4.5

683.63

X^2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
204

XY
523.98
1027.70
1819.32
2537.82
4216.37
5120.39
5325.66
5862.36
26433.60

26433.6084.5683.63
=43.41
20484.52

a=Y b X

a=683.6343414.5
a=488.29

Y =488.29+43.41X

PRONOSTI
FACTO
PRONOSTI
PERIOD
CO
ESTACION
CO
O
TENDENCI
AL
FINAL
A
X
Y
C
Y*C
9
878.96
0.611
536.79

10
11
12

922.36
965.77
1009.18

PERIODO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

PERIOD
O
9
10
11
12

0.993
1.451
0.946

CANTIDAD
REAL
320
510
880
600
515
847
1104
693

PRONOSTI
CO
FINAL
536.79
915.45
1401.42
954.37

915.45
1401.42
954.37