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Distribution Analysis: GEV Distribution

First Moment
Second Moment
Third Moment
Skew
Distribution Method
Number of Points
Maximum
Minimum

24.649
72.973
557.735
0.8947
GEV
39
52.2
12.9

Values and Prediction


WEIBULL
POINT
NUMBER PROBABILIT
1
0.025

ACTUAL
DATA
12.90

WEIBULL
PREDICTED STANDARD POINT
DEVIATION NUMBER PROBABILIT
DATA
11.2096
21
0.525
1.6904
12.8156
22
0.550
0.6844

ACTUAL
DATA
25.80
26.00

PREDICTED STANDARD
DEVIATION
DATA
24.0426
1.7574
24.5628
1.4372

0.050

13.50

0.075

13.70

13.9254

0.2254

23

0.575

26.20

25.0965

1.1035

0.100

14.60

14.8163

0.2163

24

0.600

26.30

25.6466

0.6534

0.125

15.50

15.5824

0.0824

25

0.625

26.60

26.2161

0.3839

0.150

15.80

16.2678

0.4678

26

0.650

27.20

26.8088

0.3912

0.175

16.10

16.8973

0.7973

27

0.675

28.10

27.4289

0.6711

0.200

16.50

17.4863

0.9863

28

0.700

29.30

28.0817

1.2183

0.225

16.70

18.0452

1.3452

29

0.725

29.40

28.7736

0.6264

10

0.250

17.20

18.5813

1.3813

30

0.750

30.40

29.5128

0.8872

11

0.275

17.60

19.1003

1.5003

31

0.775

30.80

30.3100

0.4900

12

0.300

18.00

19.6064

1.6064

32

0.800

31.20

31.1793

0.0207

13

0.325

18.30

20.1032

1.8032

33

0.825

31.20

32.1403

0.9403

14

0.350

18.40

20.5937

2.1937

34

0.850

31.50

33.2217

1.7217

15

0.375

20.00

21.0804

1.0804

35

0.875

31.60

34.4670

2.8670

16

0.400

21.80

21.5656

0.2344

36

0.900

31.80

35.9487

4.1487

17

0.425

22.50

22.0515

0.4485

37

0.925

38.60

37.8002

0.7998

18

0.450

24.50

22.5402

1.9598

38

0.950

42.80

40.3162

2.4838

19

0.475

25.30

23.0335

2.2665

39

0.975

52.20

44.4117

7.7883

20

0.500

25.40

23.5337

1.8663

Return Periods
RETURN EXCEEDENC CALCULATE
E
PERIOD
D VALUE
500
0.998
57.7114
200

0.995

53.1446

100

0.99

49.5026

50

0.98

45.6828

25

0.96

41.6607

10

0.9

35.9487

0.8

31.1793

0.5

23.5337

En base a reporte de sofware SMADA

Distribution Analysis: Normal Distribution


First Moment
Second Moment
Third Moment
Skew
Distribution Method
Number of Points
Maximum
Minimum

24.649
72.973
557.735
0.8947
Normal
39
52.2
12.9

Values and Prediction


WEIBULL
POINT
NUMBER PROBABILIT
1
0.025

ACTUAL
DATA
12.90

WEIBULL
PREDICTED STANDARD POINT
DEVIATION NUMBER PROBABILIT
DATA
7.9021
21
0.525
4.9979
10.5945
22
0.550
2.9055

ACTUAL
DATA
25.80
26.00

PREDICTED STANDARD
DEVIATION
DATA
25.1831
0.6169
25.7198
0.2802

0.050

13.50

0.075

13.70

12.3493

1.3507

23

0.575

26.20

26.2612

0.0612

0.100

14.60

13.6996

0.9004

24

0.600

26.30

26.8094

0.5094

0.125

15.50

14.8211

0.6789

25

0.625

26.60

27.3670

0.7670

0.150

15.80

15.7950

0.0050

26

0.650

27.20

27.9366

0.7366

0.175

16.10

16.6657

0.5657

27

0.675

28.10

28.5214

0.4214

0.200

16.50

17.4606

0.9606

28

0.700

29.30

29.1250

0.1750

0.225

16.70

18.1976

1.4976

29

0.725

29.40

29.7521

0.3521

10

0.250

17.20

18.8894

1.6894

30

0.750

30.40

30.4080

0.0080

11

0.275

17.60

19.5454

1.9454

31

0.775

30.80

31.0998

0.2998

12

0.300

18.00

20.1724

2.1724

32

0.800

31.20

31.8369

0.6369

13

0.325

18.30

20.7761

2.4761

33

0.825

31.20

32.6317

1.4317

14

0.350

18.40

21.3609

2.9609

34

0.850

31.50

33.5024

2.0024

15

0.375

20.00

21.9305

1.9305

35

0.875

31.60

34.4763

2.8763

16

0.400

21.80

22.4880

0.6880

36

0.900

31.80

35.5979

3.7979

17

0.425

22.50

23.0362

0.5362

37

0.925

38.60

36.9482

1.6518

18

0.450

24.50

23.5776

0.9224

38

0.950

42.80

38.7029

4.0971

19

0.475

25.30

24.1144

1.1856

39

0.975

52.20

41.3953

10.8047

20

0.500

25.40

24.6488

0.7512

Return Periods
RETURN EXCEEDENC CALCULATE
E
PERIOD
D VALUE
500
0.998
49.2382
200

0.995

46.6561

100

0.99

44.5252

50

0.98

42.1965

25

0.96

39.6072

10

0.9

35.5979

0.8

31.8369

0.5

24.6488

En base a reporte de sofware SMADA

Distribution Analysis: Gumbel Distribution


First Moment
Second Moment
Third Moment
Skew
Distribution Method
Number of Points
Maximum
Minimum

24.649
72.973
557.735
0.8947
Log Normal
39
52.2
12.9

Values and Prediction


WEIBULL
POINT
NUMBER PROBABILIT
1
0.025

ACTUAL
DATA
12.90

WEIBULL
PREDICTED STANDARD POINT
DEVIATION NUMBER PROBABILIT
DATA
12.0345
21
0.525

ACTUAL
DATA
25.80

PREDICTED STANDARD
DEVIATION
DATA
23.7856

0.050

13.50

13.3822

22

0.550

26.00

24.2943

0.075

13.70

14.3407

23

0.575

26.20

24.8184

0.100

14.60

15.1249

24

0.600

26.30

25.3607

0.125

15.50

15.8087

25

0.625

26.60

25.9243

0.150

15.80

16.4274

26

0.650

27.20

26.5130

0.175

16.10

17.0011

27

0.675

28.10

27.1314

0.200

16.50

17.5423

28

0.700

29.30

27.7849

0.225

16.70

18.0596

29

0.725

29.40

28.4803

10

0.250

17.20

18.5589

30

0.750

30.40

29.2264

11

0.275

17.60

19.0451

31

0.775

30.80

30.0346

12

0.300

18.00

19.5218

32

0.800

31.20

30.9201

13

0.325

18.30

19.9920

33

0.825

31.20

31.9044

14

0.350

18.40

20.4583

34

0.850

31.50

33.0186

15

0.375

20.00

20.9229

35

0.875

31.60

34.3110

16

0.400

21.80

21.3879

36

0.900

31.80

35.8622

17

0.425

22.50

21.8552

37

0.925

38.60

37.8231

18

0.450

24.50

22.3267

38

0.950

42.80

40.5324

39

0.975

52.20

45.0715

19

0.475

25.30

22.8042

20

0.500

25.40

23.2898

Return Periods
RETURN EXCEEDENC CALCULATE
E
PERIOD
D VALUE
500
0.998
61.403
200

0.995

55.4598

100

0.99

50.9909

50

0.98

46.518

25

0.96

42.0036

10

0.9

35.8622

0.8

30.9201

0.5

23.2898

En base a reporte de sofware SMADA

Distribution Analysis: Normal Distribution


First Moment
Second Moment
Third Moment
Skew
Distribution Method
Number of Points
Maximum
Minimum

24.649
72.973
557.735
0.8947
3 Parameter Log Normal
39
52.2
12.9

Values and Prediction


WEIBULL
POINT
NUMBER PROBABILIT
1
0.025

ACTUAL
DATA
12.90

WEIBULL
PREDICTED STANDARD POINT
DEVIATION NUMBER PROBABILIT
DATA
11.4006
21
0.525

ACTUAL
DATA
25.80

PREDICTED STANDARD
DEVIATION
DATA
23.9901

0.050

13.50

12.9189

22

0.550

26.00

24.5089

0.075

13.70

13.9841

23

0.575

26.20

25.0417

0.100

14.60

14.8473

24

0.600

26.30

25.5910

0.125

15.50

15.5943

25

0.625

26.60

26.1601

0.150

15.80

16.2660

26

0.650

27.20

26.7524

0.175

16.10

16.8852

27

0.675

28.10

27.3724

0.200

16.50

17.4664

28

0.700

29.30

28.0252

0.225

16.70

18.0192

29

0.725

29.40

28.7172

10

0.250

17.20

18.5506

30

0.750

30.40

29.4568

11

0.275

17.60

19.0658

31

0.775

30.80

30.2546

12

0.300

18.00

19.5689

32

0.800

31.20

31.1249

13

0.325

18.30

20.0634

33

0.825

31.20

32.0877

14

0.350

18.40

20.5519

34

0.850

31.50

33.1720

15

0.375

20.00

21.0369

35

0.875

31.60

34.4227

16

0.400

21.80

21.5207

36

0.900

31.80

35.9141

17

0.425

22.50

22.0053

37

0.925

38.60

37.7851

18

0.450

24.50

22.4925

38

0.950

42.80

40.3456

39

0.975

52.20

44.5769

19

0.475

25.30

22.9843

20

0.500

25.40

23.4828

Return Periods
RETURN EXCEEDENC CALCULATE
E
PERIOD
D VALUE
500
0.998
0
200

0.995

54.0231

100

0.99

49.9966

50

0.98

45.911

25

0.96

41.7247

10

0.9

35.9141

0.8

31.1249

0.5

23.4828

En base a reporte de sofware SMADA

Distribution Analysis: Normal Distribution


First Moment
Second Moment
Third Moment
Skew
Distribution Method
Number of Points
Maximum
Minimum

24.649
72.973
557.735
0.8947
Gumbel
39
52.2
12.9

Values and Prediction


WEIBULL
POINT
NUMBER PROBABILIT
1
0.025

ACTUAL
DATA
12.90

WEIBULL
PREDICTED STANDARD POINT
DEVIATION NUMBER PROBABILIT
DATA
12.4771
21
0.525

ACTUAL
DATA
25.80

PREDICTED STANDARD
DEVIATION
DATA
23.9671

0.050

13.50

13.8477

22

0.550

26.00

24.4605

0.075

13.70

14.8053

23

0.575

26.20

24.9693

0.100

14.60

15.5806

24

0.600

26.30

25.4963

0.125

15.50

16.2518

25

0.625

26.60

26.0448

0.150

15.80

16.8561

26

0.650

27.20

26.6186

0.175

16.10

17.4142

27

0.675

28.10

27.2223

0.200

16.50

17.9391

28

0.700

29.30

27.8617

0.225

16.70

18.4395

29

0.725

29.40

28.5437

10

0.250

17.20

18.9219

30

0.750

30.40

29.2773

11

0.275

17.60

19.3910

31

0.775

30.80

30.0742

12

0.300

18.00

19.8505

32

0.800

31.20

30.9502

13

0.325

18.30

20.3035

33

0.825

31.20

31.9274

14

0.350

18.40

20.7527

34

0.850

31.50

33.0379

15

0.375

20.00

21.2003

35

0.875

31.60

34.3316

16

0.400

21.80

21.6485

36

0.900

31.80

35.8919

17

0.425

22.50

22.0993

37

0.925

38.60

37.8752

18

0.450

24.50

22.5546

38

0.950

42.80

40.6321

39

0.975

52.20

45.2816

19

0.475

25.30

23.0163

20

0.500

25.40

23.4864

Return Periods
RETURN EXCEEDENC CALCULATE
E
PERIOD
D VALUE
500
0.998
61.9906
200

0.995

55.9468

100

0.99

51.3657

50

0.98

46.7678

25

0.96

42.1358

10

0.9

35.8919

0.8

30.9502

0.5

23.4864

En base a reporte de sofware SMADA

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