REGRESIN

1. Proyectar la Oferta de un cierto producto tomando en cuenta los datos

obtenidos en el estudio de mercado, hallar la ecuacin de regresin.

AO
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994

TIEMPO( OFERTA(
X)
Y)
1
100,000
2
120,000
3
140,000
4
110,000
5
170,000
6
150,000

1995

180,000

1996

200,000

1997

210,000

1998
TOTA
L

10
55

200,000
1,580,00
0

_
Y = Y =1, 580,000 =
10
10

X*Y
100,000
240,000
420,000
440,000
850,000
900,000
1,260,00
0
1,600,00
0
1,890,00
0
2,000,00
0
9,700,00
0

158000

X2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
385

X = X =55
5.5
10
10

VARIANZA
_
2
2
S = X - X2 = 385 - 30.25
n
10

= 8.15

COVARIANZA
__
Cov XY = XY - X.Y = 9, 700,000 (5.5 *1, 580,000)
n

10

= 9, 700,000 869,000
= 101,000
b:
b=

Cov XY = 101,000 = 12,242.42

S2 X 8.25

a:

a=

_
_
YbX

= 158,000 12,242.42 * 5.5

= 158,000 67,333.31
= 90,666.69

RECTA DE REGRESION
Y: a + b X
Y= 90,666.69 + 12,242.42X

250,000
200,000

f(x) = 12242.42x + 90666.67

150,000
100,000
50,000
0
0

10

12