An Abortive Revolution?
1
‘When Hosni Mubarak was president of Egypt, I never, tobe honest,
steached any imporance this ole in governing Egypt ns ey sa
sed bythe many referencesin newspapers aed again i oe and
Soregn commentaries, othe fact that he did this or refsed to da that
that be favored certain couse of action and ha his ministers ad
sds pot ino ff or that he died another esa so thee i
ines and aides droped it Yes, perhaps he did havea oe ip at
‘eo suchas sending an Fypean abso toon county ete then
‘nother (suming the wo counties were ony of mades importance)
‘appointing rend of his sonora relative of his wie comme fob
"hey wanted but I'm confident tthe had noinfene ove the poe
‘ant mater tht made up Egypt’ foreign ae domestic policy or even in
sch eer ates
That beats I formed certain impresson of the man when he
appeced on the pli scene as vice present, an inpeeson dee
from th many stories and reports sour hi afer be assumed hat post
‘ion ad before he took office. The stores and repens aleonsient ith
one anaes, concerned hisleel of neligence, he limits of ners
td his hobbies, what di and didnot attrac hs actention andthe a
rising comments he mode when he was ving a facery ot mecting almporane wold gure. Al ofchem painted coherent pete ding co
the conelasion that Tachedabour beveled bites They ag,
the same wn edo acertain conception ofthe enent to whith bender
stood is el stature and the limits of his ables. A complete pare
‘ookshape, ot onto ispee rex atication-iitd ais sda
ited rasp ofthe ray of thane aie,
My thoughts were simlr with respect this younger son Gama
There 8 of couse the dfereneof ae, upbringing, nd education that
‘ach ciel and he eieeace beeen the sia whic exh row op
at I concluded that he sos abies were bound tbe limited ure
andthe alle stateot comments, andides abated thm i nat
really orgnstewithhim. There were peeplewho hada definite ares in
conveying an realistic image of Gama adhe had Been prompted aed
trina o perform patel ets nd make etn statements hugh t
wasn allan easy tsk prompt and rin him
“There wee certain figures who were often refered to a having eal
‘acecv authori with postions cer inthe secetatitof he lng
Paty oF she presidency and some of thet ames may not have beck
‘wey known or ven mentioned in che newspapes had mo dobsta
‘tis rou of people had mch restr infance than the present os
son, but I ended consider them tobe arying ot pics athe chan
‘aking them, and I silleewe that I was right So who wee the people
‘who wece ely making decisions nd deciding policy?
‘Thee wer of corse the ig businessmen, who hadan interest nce
ng Egypsin poly reponal and fregn aswel s domes move tna
«erin dtecton sha served their economic interests, Some of hem were
‘well town and beld plea postions, whl thers ttl appeared ia
bli despite theirinpartance. In my epnion, and the opin af ay
lather, thee people mere much close o bing the eller of gp
But I would acach greater inportace to faces that were comply
nknown ow, ven the held importa positon ia the vats aed
‘variously aed, secricy agencies These were the peopl sl oat ro
cle ay rss of meapected problem tha nce aid atemon or
incervenson any signcanebreach of ecu or theat othe teins ws
hole These people must ave had great uence ove thse memoned
«at, fom the president and his amy to those who ad gest wee
and ag companies, bese ofthe crcial ably to prone the ee
snd security inloding the security ef these major ten
266 Whatever Happened to the Beyptian Revolution?
Feat waste case andi cers extenl powers had a lea interest
{reserving the regime and maieaining Envi foreign and dome
policy i was they must have ben working to ensue they had acess
"othe ics that made che importa decisions sad must ave had rep,
senate ine these various secu agencies Egyptians, of our,
‘busin constant contact with foreign powers and with the abit to wer
stand quickly and serve che intrest of these power
‘That was how [conceived the station belare the evolution of Janay
25 Bxenseverl monster the eon eth evenswe sa unflé
and alter wha was somesimes called procraination, fut degen,
‘ncomprehensblehehuio incompetence, or inexperience [sinned
‘ocho chat my conception ofthese of afar before the revoiion
‘ofJamsry 5 would serve wel describe what happened ater terval
tion, sit seemed beter sued han anyother conception te expan the
‘mysteries we encountered day afer dyin the vation of pelt end
dyin Egypt So‘ seems to me that she people who make important
‘nd tefl decisions are sil the very same peopl. Ther ave of couric
been many changes in cveumstnces besa of the evolution and these
peopl have toate into account he posit of use protest a the
“hung in the mood of the vous sectors of Egyptian soviet they
‘esi in opinion, governed by the sume inportantconsidetations
efor, foreign an domestic: foregnconsidratins connected with he
Interests of certain coantse that are greatly interested in was happen,
ingin Egy, especialy the United Stats an nk and domes eo.
rations tat inde, fst, those sme feign ftrest and, second, the
Incerests of big bsinssnen in Ep
‘This analysis beter able to explain many ofthe mysteriesof there
son. Why, for example, was thee the artsned pretense tha the for
‘er resident and his family were abou o undergo jut ial and would
swerve st pend for what the he done, whe daysand weeks passed
with progress only ta nals pace toward iposing such «peal? And
why the pretense thatthe money smgaled rad woud be returel 0
"yypt and then the mater was completly frgoste or steps were aken
hen eas already co lt? Why this eniene toward ol tepime people
(ox file hey ae called taking pat in the new lection Why tae
Ingo lng estore eet in he stcts despite ts crucial importance
‘economic activi, ineling tours to rerun to normal aswel"simportanc or making people fel sf? Why has frm of censorship
‘guia been inposed on newspaper and television, with this writer banned
and that roaster taken of the a? The exper are many and people
have ated aking bout them constantly td al of them sggest hat
te fill of Hes Mubarak s presen dao 8 limply the fl of it
‘gime. The reason is wat Tied to expla: che man himself wo in
theenst important, nor were the other people who fave ben ase
ton rial. The relly inportan people are xi their jibe and noone
fas touched them, so they ae sllenercsing thir sae ol ome er
ingthe same oli purposes,
2
‘Thecalfora"saation government” fest made shor before the demon:
stration nd svi that began om November 9, ot and then epested
‘nti te cad ofthat month what some people elle te second Faypian
revolton, was widely weleomed by Faypins, excep of couse bythe
people fom whom we wanted to save Faypt When this cond revoke
‘on egan, there were loud cal fora salaton goverment o epithe
ovement of Essa Shara which, besides lng oun the county had
slloned innocent reoatonres tobe besten anil,
"Nevertheless, Task mye, "Who or whats the perso othe body
thar we ar calling oo proce a aaton gorerament” If the appeal
seit ar he military counel, which el he ultimate thot in
‘he ln then id we ely exec thie coun meet this demand?
‘The January 2 elution payed ts part o bringing the president
‘dow, abd the mitary coun then asumed poe then treed out
thar the fist goverment formed by this caunll fe the president
stepped down, the goverment of Ahmad Shik waa grest disappoint
ment and people soon demande that the county bested from When
‘hemiltary come formed anew goverment, the oreroment of ssn
‘Sharaf things ony grew woe. The revoatonaries then demanded cw
“shation goverment, but what ras thereto make people lee tha the
salty council woul ke the ight choice this ime?
“es the evlionaves had lesred that leston and this ime they
‘kena nation to asaationgoeenment, thi the military cour.
til step down, because ly hs time there were serious suspicion that
the council was not well iteniond nt chokes and was deliberately
‘choosing weak government for reasons that were unceat AST sought
the esplination, I inevitably cemembored Karl Macc les analy
ofthe ste
Tn fc, Mar’ ides on the clas anal ofthe stat tl sf fr
‘exepresng what ishappening inthe word ncuding what hs happened
nds happening a Egy, Yes, many Macusts have habit been over
‘crthoate about ujuifaly imposing class-based analy on histor
‘leven whetbermajoror miner Mar hinselé by vite ofthe cum.
‘ances of hit tine, dd nor grasp the deve effet the th phenomena
Dfclonlsmand dependency wealdhaneon the eure ofeventin coun
ties such a ou, sine Marc analy faced on indstily developed
ounses tat esjyed poi independence Mare ako didnt ive ong,
2ough to wines the cnerhelminggromtiof he mide clas, 0 es
the dss srg a confined othe eagle herwen the bones an the
proletariat, «specially nds worker Ht al ths dest extce the
pony that Mart cla based analy of the sate can throw af
lghe on modern Egyptian histor: incling the Mubarak psd an the
revolition against him
Mary’ ideson the sobjec can Be summarized ths: itis serious non
toimagine thatthe sate, ny stat, ean be npc toward social lass
"Those in power in any country ia any age represent the cass ha cco
nomll dominant, and they we the power ofthe sae, especialy the
policed the amo preserve her economic domination, dt onze
tha their el continues to enjoy its pegs by oppreng the clases
tht are wronged and exploited and by enti any arempe by the
dass trite up apis them
‘Marxand Maret repeatedly ridiculed those who sai ha the tate
transcends class and who submited thei grievances to the tate i the
hope tht their demands wold be answered. The eleged ve up thee
rieges nly under pressure and by force. When they are eed wo gre
lp cher privileges Because cey come uae great pressure, they never
cease ying to recover thee postion of power whatever bral ac of
once his requires:
rom this perspective Ihave looked at che reign of Hossi Mubarak,
vshich lasted hey yess a the evolution gain him on Jamsry 3,
Femoral on Febnany saad then at the ten months tht followed
dwn eh actions of che matary cael ringtone en months aed
‘he ntue of the goveraments et po replce Mubarak governmentsound that his iporeane ites of Mane’ des throw a revealing ight
lonthesecvents
‘rom his predeceso, Anwar a Sad, Hos Mubarak inher cas
thar was amazing fr economic dominant ambitions, ts dete,
nation wo acquis more wealth nd power, andthe extent to which wat
vwling to engage i corptin to make ew economic at, Thi la
‘ms elatvely new in Exyprian history and didnot have strom inks 0
the cls that wat economical dome i the pvc ofthe mona
Als Nase allowed itt emerge and grow onlin his ae year after
‘he devastating blow he received from abroad wth the defeat of 1963
Bet his cls ourshed and gave biz to a econd eneation nthe ce
‘of Anwar ala, who hin shazed the sae ialtns and apie
tions The Open Door pole Sada launched helped ths caso gow aid
‘strengthen, a di thesopporeandencougenetthispaley and hiss
scene rom external forces especially the Unite Sates nd nal
hich Saat was happy’to become dependent These foreign power id
ot ajet tothe corruption practice by thi ew ls and even eco
aged the chs remain compe aa wy to underpin ts dependence.
‘Under Hosni Mabarak ths clase rectived yet more farsa was
ven every posible opporanty to engage incorpo, though pe
‘is to et up seam investment companies, mane kos that Were
‘hen sige bros, cureney manipulation the appropriation of sate
‘med a pl dds, and gpd election
‘Ths class moiized ll he power ofthe tate to serve interes
cuactly at Marx predited™the army the pol, the juicy mins
‘es, and prime ministers un when Mura’ lst governmeat took
ofc under Prime Miter Ahmad Nai the powers he sate sted
‘in concert wih ths las in away hat was wnpeceented in Egype, We
sora ual ad overcojanction beweea those with money and thee in
power tothe extent tha miss mee srigndo people ws pate
businesses and companies fll within that minis area of epi
Jy A power contrvutontothiscenjnction came fom the econo
poll and security support eat freien powers, the United Sates
and Ite get his las that the regimes plenrmenon tat Ws
unknown in Karl Mary’ tine, ndhence he veld
(On Jenary 2,201, things apparently came wa ead The resentment
and sence of injostice among the eppresed clases had peaked. Is tae
that che thousands upon thousand who gathered inthe anes id not
hong to one class. I fe, the relation ook sy spi i he
‘way peopl diferent cases coalesced uranic hae fhe
class thathad corrupted and-wrecked the contr Alte cases tha ook
ain he revolution he middleclass ad the aris sections of he
lower clss—complained of notice and oppression and they al ame
out no the squares leas no lnger aqucstinn, a twas ia Masa tie,
lof strogle beeween the protarat an the capitals oer low mages
and the appropriation of surplus value. Ie had become stage in which
the exploitation of workers was combined withthe explitation of con
sumer, in which the oppression of worker wet and in hand with he
‘oppression of peasants and withthe hardships imposed on the fais
of sehoalehldren by the cost of pvt lessons, din which economic
“eppression was combined we paycholgial oppression
The face that che arian ia the revelation cane om a mat
plicit of economic backround and had sued many diferent fos
fof oppression may have Seen an inptat reason why the revoion
tries Found it so ero reach consensus om specie objectives. But
‘here mas another importa thing that tthe fansay 2 evolutions
sat isadvanrage, and that mas the assampion tit the sae wad ot
‘ake sides smong diferent classes and thatthe members of the mitary
‘coun who were finds and olesgue of herr te evoltonais
‘ranted depos, could ur ther backs overnight on the clas 0 which
eylonged
“The pasing of ney ewo yeas since the Jaa 25 revolution have
been enough to realize ths mistake. The bt beatings and klgs chat
‘the revolutions fae on November 9, 201 and nthe following dye
were also enough to show that the state cannot he eva haf
Faypt ugeetly needs sahation that aaton wll ao come abou by pot
‘lng the request to she very las fom whone rae the est of the people
tro tobe ved
5
Awol yar afi the eens of Janay 25.201, condoning kd
vastly diferent fom wha anyone cold ave expected inthe er days
ofthe revwution. On Fabry 1 01, che present was seesremoved he plan ops the presidency ti son wis completely ban
ned andso may beauifl hig scemed posible Bat very soon hings
lgan to deteriorate, and the eevolasonais’ confidence nthe military
council hich assumed the powers ofthe presides, pratually eroded,
‘The fie prime mine, chosen bythe military, ily proved great
dsappointment and was soon vba sack of sympathy forthe re0-
lation. When became cea that peuple wate him dsmsised, be was
replaced by a man who had been a member ofthe plies committe of|
‘he ruling partyin Mabank’ era, which ws chaired by Mubaras on,
Under then pine minster senerlmporant pores. sch
‘gnats and Saance,wereeneratedo people who occupied the sae
‘er siilaly important postions before the revoation This continued for
Several mouths, and eres whea members ofthe cabinet wee replaced by
‘thers, no seal change was obzeredin the poe they implemented
‘Teople were amazing inclined 0 find excises fr sch slow change,
swells forthe wrong decisions being nae, Pople wondered, "Cau
be thar chore making the dvsion lak experience bec they haves
teen powe ogg” Bu the expeeace ofthe 1952 evolution was ery
ere: The army ofcers whole the eater evolution an tok power
had jostas ele experience and were alo mach younger: Apparently igh
hopes and the fear of wha the consequences might be the elution
fled were sucenty stong cere, making people accept what in
‘othe circumstances they would have been rican aCe
"Then came the referendum of March sor, when the people were
‘ake vote for api he amendnen of sll umber of ales
intheexsig constcon, ope again sere tobe geninel happy to
prtcipte, and long ques formed oat ofthe paling staions made
‘pofmenand women who ha never voted nay ection or reerendum
fe their entre les Many were quit sured to hear some people sy
thar otingno"inthereferadum amounted opposition othe fons
antic inte old constitution dat tated est ee principles of Islamic
lew were toe the main sure of lepton Tas nel awl ot
(Cops stare vf somewhat inated elng ha grew song t
increas evidence bil op oss tat che amiss a the sepa
{hyo the Supreme Counel of the Ames Fores SCAP,
"There aho seemed abe a eloctance o take the necesy steps so
restore wand order inthe streets, casing shup deli in peoples
Feling of scary andin the How of tuts othe county as welas an
‘nevtable dterioeton in economic cottons, In te ety dys afte
the fil of Hosni Maura, i was announced that mesures were to Be
taken to trace the public funds that had ben emberled or song ost
fgype by the Mubarak fay and his entourage so that theses could
be retire the state AS me pated, however, people hear ess ad
lessof this mate andsome European goverment which wre allegedly
invoed inthe tempt to recover te lly proesed sts, plc