Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Tarea de Proyectos
Tarea de Proyectos
1
2
3
81.2
83.1
80.8
Ao
Demanda
4
83.6
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
15
3
b=
Ao
LCI
LCS
Y'
81.2
166.2
242.4
334.4
431.5
1
4
9
16
25
415
83
1255.7
55
80.9
81.9
83.0
84.1
85.1
86.2
87.3
88.3
89.4
90.5
415.0
Demanda Pronosticada
7
8
87.28
88.35
9
89.42
Ao
Demanda
X2
XY
81.2
83.1
80.8
83.6
86.3
6
86.21
6
85.0
87.5
Limites
7
86.0
88.5
8
87.1
89.6
9
88.2
90.7
s Turisticos
5
86.3
3.24
0.01
4.84
0.36
10.89
Varianza
No Explicada Explicada
(y-y')
(y'-)
0.1
1.4
4.8
0.2
1.3
19.34
7.9
TOTAL
(y-)
11.4
94
92
a
10
90.49
90
88
86
84
82
80
10
89.2
91.7
4
Datos Historicos
6
Pronosticos
8
LCI
10
LCS
12
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
15
3
X2
XY
81.83
81.70
82.50
83.57
85.40
81.83
163.40
247.5
334.27
427.00
1
4
9
16
25
415
83
415
1254
55
Demanda Pronosticada
7
8
86.6
87.5
9
88.4
b=
Ao
Demanda
ymm
81.2
83.1
80.8
83.6
86.3
6
85.7
Ao
LCI
LCS
6
84.42
86.98
Limites
7
85.32
87.88
8
86.22
88.78
9
87.12
89.68
TOTAL
(y-)
Y'
81.200
82.100
83.000
83.900
84.800
85.700
86.600
87.500
88.400
89.300
3.240
0.010
4.840
0.360
10.890
Varianza
No Explicada Explicada
(y-y')
(y'-)
0.0000
1.0000
4.8400
0.0900
2.2500
19.340000
8.1800
ymm
11.2
10
89.3
92.00
10
88.02
90.58
DEMANDA
90.00
88.00
86.00
84.00
82.00
80.00
0
6
AOS
10
DATOS
HISTORICOS
PROYECCIONES
LCI
LCS
12
AOS
ymm
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
15
3
TOTAL
(y-)
Y'
81.2
83.1
80.8
83.6
86.3
81.20
82.45
83.71
85.00
86.30
87.62
88.97
90.33
91.72
93.13
415
83
3.2400
0.0100
4.8400
0.3600
10.8900
Varianza
No Explicada Explicada
(y-y')
(y'-)
0.0000
0.4277
8.4749
1.9481
0.0000
19.3400
10.8506
8.4894
Demanda Pronosticada
7
8
89.0
90.3
9
91.7
10
93.1
9
90.25
93.19
10
91.65
94.60
5
Linea de Tendencia Recta
I
Y = a+ b (x)
81.2
1.534513 Y= 81.2+(1+1.53%)x-1
Ao
Demanda
6
87.62
Ao
LCI
LCS
6
86.15
89.10
Limites
7
87.50
90.44
8
88.86
91.81
TASA
0.01534513
96
94
DEMANDA
92
90
Datos Historicos
88
Pronosticos
86
LCI
84
LCS
82
80
0
AOS
10
12
Ao
Demanda
4
85.3
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
15
3
Y'
65.4
119.4
216.9
341.2
474
1
4
9
16
25
377.5
75.5
1216.9
55
58.6
67.1
75.5
83.9
92.4
100.8
109.3
117.7
126.1
134.6
377.5
Demanda Pronosticada
7
8
109.26
117.7
9
126.14
b=
Ao
Demanda
X2
XY
65.4
59.7
72.3
85.3
94.8
6
100.82
Ao
LCI
LCS
6
96.0
105.7
Limites
7
104.4
114.1
8
112.8
122.6
9
121.3
131.0
eos
5
94.8
TOTAL
(y-)
102.01
249.64
10.24
96.04
372.49
830.42
Varianza
No Explicada Explicada
(y-y')
(y'-)
46.0
54.2
10.2
1.8
5.9
118.1
712.3
94
92
10
134.58
90
88
86
84
82
80
10
129.7
139.4
4
Datos Historicos
6
Pronosticos
8
LCI
10
LCS
12
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
15
3
X2
XY
63.50
65.80
72.43
84.13
91.63
63.50
131.60
217.3
336.53
458.17
1
4
9
16
25
377.5
75.5
377.5
1207
55
Demanda Pronosticada
7
8
105.34
112.8
9
120.26
b=
Ao
Demanda
ymm
65.4
59.7
72.3
85.3
94.8
6
97.88
Ao
LCI
LCS
6
92.83
102.93
Limites
7
100.29
110.39
8
107.75
117.85
9
115.21
125.31
Y'
60.580
68.040
75.500
82.960
90.420
97.880
105.340
112.800
120.260
127.720
TOTAL
(y-)
102.010
249.640
10.240
96.040
372.490
Varianza
No Explicada Explicada
(y-y')
(y'-)
23.2324
69.5556
10.2400
5.4756
19.1844
830.420000
127.6880
702.7
10
127.72
92.00
10
122.67
132.77
DEMANDA
90.00
88.00
86.00
84.00
82.00
80.00
0
6
AOS
10
DATOS
HISTORICOS
PROYECCIONES
LCI
LCS
12
AOS
ymm
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
15
3
Y'
65.4
59.7
72.3
85.3
94.8
65.40
71.76
78.74
86.40
94.80
104.02
114.14
125.24
137.42
150.79
TOTAL
(y-)
102.0100
249.6400
10.2400
96.0400
372.4900
377.5
75.5
830.4200
Varianza
No Explicada Explicada
(y-y')
(y'-)
0.0000
145.4630
41.4769
1.2068
0.0000
188.1467
642.2733
9
137.4
10
150.8
9
131.29
143.56
10
144.65
156.92
Ao
Demanda
6
104.02
Demanda Pronosticada
7
8
114.1
125.2
Ao
LCI
LCS
6
97.89
110.16
Limites
7
108.00
120.27
8
119.11
131.37
TASA
0.09726
96
94
DEMANDA
92
90
Datos Historicos
88
Pronosticos
86
LCI
84
LCS
82
80
0
6
AOS
10
12
Ao
Demanda
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
15
3
Y'
1.7
3.44
5.28
7.52
10.05
1
4
9
16
25
9.07
1.814
27.99
55
1.7
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
9.1
Demanda Pronosticada
7
8
2.126
2.204
9
2.282
b=
Ao
Demanda
X2
XY
1.7
1.72
1.76
1.88
2.01
6
2.048
Ao
LCI
LCS
6
2.0
2.1
Limites
7
2.1
2.2
8
2.2
2.2
9
2.2
2.3
e Clientes
5
2.01
TOTAL
(y-)
0.012996
0.008836
0.002916
0.004356
0.038416
0.06752
Varianza
No Explicada Explicada
(y-y')
(y'-)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
94
92
10
2.36
90
88
86
84
82
80
10
2.3
2.4
4
Datos Historicos
6
Pronosticos
8
LCI
10
LCS
12
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
15
3
ymm
X2
XY
1.7
1.72
1.76
1.88
2.01
1.71
1.73
1.79
1.88
1.97
1.71
3.45
5.36
7.53
9.83
1
4
9
16
25
9.07
1.814
9.07
28
55
Demanda Pronosticada
6
7
8
2.017 2.08466667 2.15233333
9
2.22
Ao
Demanda
Ao
LCI
LCS
6
1.98
2.06
Limites
7
2.05
2.12
8
2.11
2.19
9
2.18
2.26
TOTAL
(y-)
Y'
1.679
1.746
1.814
1.882
1.949
2.017
2.085
2.152
2.220
2.288
0.013
0.009
0.003
0.004
0.038
Varianza
No Explicada Explicada
(y-y')
(y'-)
0.0005
0.0007
0.0029
0.0000
0.0037
0.067520
0.0077
0.1
10
2.28766667
92.00
10
2.25
2.33
DEMANDA
90.00
88.00
86.00
84.00
82.00
80.00
0
6
AOS
10
DATOS
HISTORICOS
PROYECCIONES
LCI
LCS
12
AOS
ymm
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
15
3
Y'
1.7
1.72
1.76
1.88
2.01
1.70
1.77
1.85
1.93
2.01
2.10
2.19
2.28
2.38
2.48
TOTAL
(y-)
0.0130
0.0088
0.0029
0.0044
0.0384
9.07
1.814
Varianza
No Explicada Explicada
(y-y')
(y'-)
0.0000
0.0028
0.0078
0.0023
0.0000
0.0675
0.0129
0.0546
Demanda Pronosticada
7
8
2.2
2.3
9
2.4
10
2.5
9
2.33
2.43
10
2.43
2.53
Ao
Demanda
6
2.10
Ao
LCI
LCS
6
2.05
2.15
Limites
7
2.13
2.24
8
2.23
2.33
TASA
0.04277
96
94
DEMANDA
92
90
Datos Historicos
88
Pronosticos
86
LCI
84
LCS
82
80
0
6
AOS
10
12
Unid.
Ao
Miles de
sacos
Trim4
35
39
44
49
54
59
1
2
3
1
2
Indice
3
Indice Prom.
1
Demanda sin
2
Temporada
3
Ao
Ao1
Demanda
Trim
T1-1
T1-2
T1-3
T1-4
T1-1
T1-2
T1-3
T1-4
T1-1
T1-2
T1-3
T1-4
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
44.0
43.7
43.1
43.9
48.9
48.4
48.1
48.4
52.3
53.1
54.2
52.9
6
24
78
6.5
Total
n
12
b=
581.1
48.4
Concepto
T1-1
x
D. sinTemp.
Indice.Tem
Demanda T.
T2-2
13
55.3
1.433
79.2
650.0
T3-3
14
56.4
0.640
36.1
3928.3
T4-4
15
57.4
0.811
46.6
16
58.5
1.116
65.2
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Prom
44
49
53
63.0
28.0
35.0
49.0
70.0
31.0
39.0
54.0
75.0
34.0
44.0
59.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
0
5
Datos Historicos
Historicos
Y'
(y- )
42.6
43.7
44.7
45.8
46.8
47.9
49.0
50.0
51.1
52.1
53.2
54.2
55.3
56.4
57.4
58.5
59.5
60.6
61.7
62.7
63.8
64.8
65.9
(y-y')
19.83
21.98
27.98
20.23
0.19
0.00
0.13
0.00
15.38
21.93
33.66
19.95
(y'- )
1.87
0.01
2.51
3.43
4.08
0.28
0.79
2.57
1.63
0.96
1.08
1.84
66.9
181.26
21.04
160.22
Varianza, y correlacion
C
94.02
Pronostico de la demanda Temporal
T2-6
T3-7
T4-8
18
19
60.6
61.7
0.640
0.811
38.8
50.0
T1-9
20
62.7
1.116
70.0
T2-10
21
63.8
1.433
91.4
T3-11
22
64.8
0.640
41.5
T4-12
23
65.9
0.811
53.5
24
66.9
1.116
74.7
atos Historicos
10
15
Datos Ajustados
20
25
Pronosticos
30
Unid.
Ao
Miles de
sacos
Trim4
18
20
22
25
28
30
1
2
3
1
2
Indice
3
Indice Prom.
1
Demanda sin
2
Temporada
3
Ao
Ao1
Demanda
Trim
T1-1
T1-2
T1-3
T1-4
T1-1
T1-2
T1-3
T1-4
T1-1
T1-2
T1-3
T1-4
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
22.4
23.2
22.3
22.4
25.2
24.7
24.8
25.1
26.6
26.3
27.2
26.8
6
24
78
6.5
Total
n
12
b=
297.0
24.7
Concepto
T1-1
x
D. sinTemp.
Indice.Tem
Demanda T.
T2-2
13
27.8
1.428
39.7
650.0
T3-3
14
28.3
0.647
18.3
1997.3
T4-4
15
28.7
0.807
23.2
16
29.2
1.118
32.6
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Prom
23
25
26.75
32.0
15.0
18.0
25.0
36.0
16.0
20.0
28.0
38.0
17.0
22.0
30.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
0
5
Datos Historicos
Historicos
Y'
(y- )
22.2
22.6
23.1
23.6
24.0
24.5
25.0
25.5
25.9
26.4
26.9
27.3
27.8
28.3
28.7
29.2
29.7
30.1
30.6
31.1
31.5
32.0
32.5
(y-y')
5.44
2.49
6.03
5.65
0.22
0.00
0.00
0.09
3.50
2.28
6.24
4.40
(y'- )
0.06
0.28
0.67
1.45
1.37
0.04
0.05
0.16
0.49
0.02
0.15
0.23
32.9
36.35
4.96
31.38
Varianza, y correlacion
C
92.92
Pronostico de la demanda Temporal
T2-6
T3-7
T4-8
18
19
30.1
30.6
0.647
0.807
19.5
24.7
T1-9
20
31.1
1.118
34.7
T2-10
21
31.5
1.428
45.0
T3-11
22
32.0
0.647
20.7
T4-12
23
32.5
0.807
26.2
24
32.9
1.118
36.8
atos Historicos
10
15
Datos Ajustados
20
25
Pronosticos
30
Unid.
Ao
Miles de
sacos
39
42
45
1
2
3
1
2
Indice
3
Indice Prom.
1
Demanda sin
2
Temporada
3
Ao
Ao1
Demanda
Trim
T1-1
T1-2
T1-3
T1-4
T1-1
T1-2
T1-3
T1-4
T1-1
T1-2
T1-3
T1-4
6
Total
n
Trim4
25
26
28
12
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
78
6.5
35.7
34.9
36.1
35.3
38.0
37.3
37.5
38.0
40.2
41.9
40.4
40.7
456.0
38.0
3049.0
650.0
b=
Concepto
T1-1
x
D. sinTemp.
Indice.Tem
Demanda T.
T2-2
13
41.9
1.343
56.2
T3-3
14
42.5
0.859
36.5
T4-4
15
43.0
0.693
29.8
16
43.6
1.105
48.2
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
zada
Prom
36
38
40.75
48.0
30.0
25.0
39.0
51.0
32.0
26.0
42.0
54.0
36.0
28.0
45.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
0
Datos Historicos
e Datos Historicos
Y'
(y- )
34.7
35.3
35.9
36.5
37.1
37.7
38.3
38.9
39.5
40.1
40.7
41.3
41.9
42.5
43.0
43.6
44.2
44.8
45.4
46.0
46.6
47.2
47.8
48.4
(y-y')
(y'- )
5.08
9.40
3.78
7.36
0.00
0.54
0.25
0.00
4.90
15.37
5.67
7.38
1.02
0.16
0.02
1.51
0.76
0.19
0.64
0.79
0.53
3.40
0.08
0.30
59.75
9.40
50.35
10
T1-9
20
46.0
1.105
50.9
T2-10
21
46.6
1.343
62.6
T3-11
22
47.2
0.859
40.5
T4-12
23
47.8
0.693
33.1
24
48.4
1.105
53.5
10
Datos Historicos
15
Datos Ajustados
20
25
Pronosticos
30
RESTAURANTE
VISITAS
RETAURANTE
(MILES
VISITAS/MES)
AREA DEL
RESTAURANTE
(KM)
VISITAS A ZONA
(MILES
VISITAS/MES)
A
B
C
D
Y
11
9
16
12
X
0.3
0.2
0.4
0.3
X
6
5
8
7
REGRESION MULTIPLE
REST
A
B
C
D
TOTAL
y
11
9
16
12
48
12
X
6
5
8
7
26
E
F
G
H
4a+1.2b+26b=48
1.2a+0.38b+8.1b=15.1
26a+8.1b+174b=323
b =20
b =1
y=-0.5+20X+1X
X
11
13
15
17
XY
3.3
1.8
6.4
3.6
15.1
XY
66
45
128
84
323
Y=a+bx+bx
PROCESAMIENTO DE DATOS
Y
(X)
0.09
0.04
0.16
0.09
0.38
XX
1.8
1
3.2
2.1
8.1
(X)
36
25
64
49
174
11.5
8.5
15.5
12.5
DESVIACION
NO
EXPLICADA
TOTAL
(y- )
(y-y')
1
0.25
9
0.25
16
0.25
0
0.25
26
1
26
Explicada
25
0.25
Desviacin (s)
Intervalo de Confianza
LCI(Y)
LCS(Y)
20.00
21.00
24.00
25.00
28.00
29.00
32.00
33.00
0.50
98.1%
No Explicada
PESO KILOS)
ALTURA(M)
EDAD(AOS)
A
B
C
D
Y
30
35
25
40
X
1.1
1.2
1
1.3
X
7
10
8
11
REGRESION MULTIPLE
NIOS
A
B
C
D
Total
y
30
35
25
40
130
32.5
X
7
10
8
11
36
4a+4.6b+152b=130
4.6a+5.34b+42b=152
36a+42b+334b=1200
b =50
b =0
y=-255+50X+0X
X
11
12
13
14
XY
33
42
25
52
152
XY
210
350
200
440
1200
Y=a+bx+bx
DE PROCESAMIENTO DE DATOS
Y
(X)
1.21
1.44
1
1.69
5.34
XX
7.7
12
8
14.3
42
(X)
49
100
64
121
334
30
35
25
40
DESVIACION
NO
EXPLICADA
TOTAL
(y- )
(y-y')
6.25
0
6.25
0
56.25
0
56.25
0
125
0
125
Explicada
125
Desviacin (s)
Intervalo de Confianza
LCI(Y)
LCS(Y)
37.50
37.50
42.50
42.50
47.50
47.50
55.00
55.00
0.00
100.0%
No Explicada