Está en la página 1de 11

A

344.80
1028.40
675.10
356.00
717.30
138.50
494.80
592.80
309.00
546.90
533.80
527.20
567.10
341.60
431.20
495.30
393.30
669.60
326.80
628.60
594.10
589.90
440.80

B
351.00
1073.40
634.20
452.80
761.20
100.10
595.40
602.20
282.70
578.70
519.20
510.00
517.60
334.50
428.90
471.90
419.20
637.90
360.10
771.20
658.60
583.50
499.90

N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23

702.30
1989 1061.90
1990 418.40

591.69
711.13
497.40

280.20

451.50

1992 1160.80

1988

1991
1993

686.90

743.97
586.58

1994

717.8

596.84

Y = 358.434 + 0.332X

PROM
DESV.
Sxy =
Sx2 =
Sy2 =
r=
r2 =
b=
a=

X
344.80
1028.40
675.10
356.00
717.30
138.50
494.80
592.80
309.00
546.90
533.80
527.20
567.10
341.60
431.20
495.30
393.30
669.60
326.80
628.60
594.10
589.90
440.80

Y
351.00
1073.40
634.20
452.80
761.20
100.10
595.40
602.20
282.70
578.70
519.20
510.00
517.60
334.50
428.90
471.90
419.20
637.90
360.10
771.20
658.60
583.50
499.90

X2
118887.04
1057606.56
455760.01
126736.00
514519.29
19182.25
244827.04
351411.84
95481.00
299099.61
284942.44
277939.84
321602.41
116690.56
185933.44
245322.09
154684.89
448364.16
106798.24
395137.96
352954.81
347982.01
194304.64

Y2
123201.00
1152187.56
402209.64
205027.84
579425.44
10020.01
354501.16
362644.84
79919.29
334893.69
269568.64
260100.00
267909.76
111890.25
183955.21
222689.61
175728.64
406916.41
129672.01
594749.44
433753.96
340472.25
249900.01

X*Y
121024.80
1103884.56
428148.42
161196.80
546008.76
13863.85
294603.92
356984.16
87354.30
316491.03
277148.96
268872.00
293530.96
114265.20
184941.68
233732.07
164871.36
427137.84
117680.68
484776.32
391274.26
344206.65
220355.92

11742.90

12144.20

6716168.13

7251336.66

6952354.50

510.56
320.81
32695.70
31334.91
36482.32
0.3078
0.0947
0.332
358.434

528.01
346.15

1200.00
1000.00

ESTACION B

AO
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

800.00
600.00
400.00
200.00
0.00
0.00

200.00

400.00

X-X
-165.76
517.84
164.54
-154.56
206.74
-372.06
-15.76
82.24
-201.56
36.34
23.24
16.64
56.54
-168.96
-79.36
-15.26
-117.26
159.04
-183.76
118.04
83.54
79.34
-69.76

(X - X)2
27476.67
268157.37
27073.13
23889.06
42741.07
138429.29
248.41
6763.27
40626.78
1320.53
540.06
276.86
3196.67
28547.78
6298.15
232.89
13750.11
25293.45
33768.06
13933.24
6978.79
6294.70
4866.58

Y-
-177.01
545.39
106.19
-75.21
233.19
-427.91
67.39
74.19
-245.31
50.69
-8.81
-18.01
-10.41
-193.51
-99.11
-56.11
-108.81
109.89
-167.91
243.19
130.59
55.49
-28.11

(Y - )2
31332.1
297451.7
11276.6
5656.3
54378.2
183105.9
4541.6
5504.3
60176.4
2569.6
77.6
324.3
108.3
37445.6
9822.5
3148.2
11839.3
12076.1
28193.3
59142.0
17054.1
3079.3
790.1

(X - X)(Y - )
29341.12
282424.96
17472.62
11624.32
48209.77
159208.08
-1062.15
6101.43
49444.63
1842.08
-204.71
-299.65
-588.50
32695.40
7865.35
856.27
12759.00
17477.02
30855.05
28706.09
10909.48
4402.63
1960.89

0.00

720702.89

0.00

839093.46

752001.19

400.00

600.00
ESTACION A

800.00 1000.00 1200.00

A
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

PRUEBA DE HELMERT (PRUEBA ESTADISTICA NO PARAMTRICA)


NUMERO DE VALORES
DESVIACIONES
DATOS
OBSERVADO
1
-22.43
N
1977
386.1
2
-22.43
N
1978
386.1
3
-22.43
N
1979
386.1
4
-22.43
N
1980
386.1
5
-22.43
N
1981
386.1
6
-22.43
N
1982
386.1
7
-22.43
N
1983
386.1
8
-22.43
N
1984
386.1
9
-22.43
N
1985
386.1
10
-22.43
N
1986
386.1
11
-22.43
N
1987
386.1
12
-22.43
N
1988
386.1
13
-22.43
N
1989
386.1
14
386.10
P
1990
386.1
15
-22.43
N
1991
386.1
16
-22.43
N
1992
386.1
17
-22.43
N
1993
386.1
18
-22.43
N
1994
386.1
19
-22.43
N
1995
386.1
20
241.47
P
1996
650
21
193.67
P
1997
602.2
22
637.50
P
1998
637.5
23
-55.03
N
1999
353.5
24
-48.43
N
2000
360.1
25
-22.43
N
2001
386.1
26
-22.43
N
2002
386.1
27
-22.43
N
2003
386.1
28
-22.43
N
2004
386.1
29
-22.43
N
2005
386.1
30
-22.43
N
2006
386.1
PROMEDIO
NUMERO DE SECUENCIAS
408.526667
CONCLUSION: (21 5.385) LA SERIE DE
NUMERO DE CAMBIOS
S-C
DATOS NO ES HOMOGNEA; ES DECIR LA
SERIE DE DATOS ES INCONSISTENTE.
Error mximo = +(N-1)0.5
AO

SECUENCIA
O CAMBIO
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
C
C
S
S
S
S
C
S
S
C
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
25
4
21
5.385

A
1

PRUEBA DE SECUENCIAS (PRUEBA ESTADISTICA NO PARAMTRICA)


AO

NUMERO DE
VALORES
ORDENADO DE
SECUENCIA
MENOR
A MAYOR
DATOS
OBSERVADOS

2
3
1977
1
386.10
4
1978
2
386.10
5
1979
3
386.10
6
1980
4
386.10
7
1981
5
386.10
8
1982
6
386.10
9
1983
7
386.10
10
1984
8
386.10
11
1985
9
386.10
12
1986
10
386.10
13
1987
11
386.10
14
1988
12
386.10
15
1989
13
386.10
16
1990
14
386.10
17
1991
15
386.10
18
1992
16
386.10
19
1993
17
386.10
20
1994
18
386.10
21
1995
19
386.10
22
1996
20
650.00
23
1997
21
602.20
24
1998
22
637.50
25
1999
23
353.50
26
2000
24
360.10
27
2001
25
386.10
28
2002
26
386.10
29
2003
27
386.10
30
2004
28
386.10
31
2005
29
386.10
32
2006
30
386.10
MEDIANA
33
386.1
34 CONCLUSION: LA SERIE DE DATOS ES No
35 HOMOGNEA; ES DECIR ES INCONSISTENTE PORQUE
36 NO SE ENCUENTRA DENTRO DEL RANGO (12 - 19).

353.50
B
360.10
B
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
386.10
A
602.20
A
637.50
A
650.00
A
NUMERO DE SECUENCIAS
NUMERO DE CAMBIOS
U

U
S
C
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
28
1
12 - 19

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
650.00
602.20
637.50
353.50
360.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10

353.5
360.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
386.1
602.2
637.5
650

20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

PRUEBA ESTADISTICA PARAMETRICA: PRUEBA T DE STUDENT


VALORES

1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006

16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
650.00
602.20
637.50
353.50
360.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10

PERIODO

1
2

13
17

PARAMETROS CALCULADOS
PROM
S
S2

386.1
425.6765

t cal =
PERIODO 1

NUMERO

AO DE DATOS OBSERVADOS

t cal =

0
98.32

+
+

n S2

0
0
9666.8224 164335.981

. .
+ .

+
+

t cal = -1.40000
t tabla = 1.701
|t cal | t tabla

PERIODO 2

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

CONCLUSION: LA SERIE ES
HOMOGENEA EN LA MEDIA A UN
NIVEL DE SIGNIFICACION DEL 5%.

PRUEBA ESTADISTICA PARAMETRICA: PRUEBA DE CRAMER


NUMERO

VALORES

AO DE DATOS OBSERVADOS

1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982

1
2
3
4
5
6

386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10

10 1983

386.10

11 1984

386.10

1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993

9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10

1994

18

386.10

22 1995
23 1996
24 1997
25 1998
26 1999
27 2000
28 2001
29 2002
30 2003
31 2004
32 2005
33 2006

19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

386.10
650.00
602.20
637.50
353.50
360.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10

12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

PERIODO

1
TOTAL

13
30

PARAMETROS CALCULADOS
PROM
S
S2

386.1
408.527

=
PERIODO 1

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

0
75.7

n S2

0
5730.49
=

. .
.

tk = -0.29626
tk2 = 0.08777

0
171914.7


( +

/

*
( + .

0.08777

tk cal = 0.42
tk tabla = 1.683
Con 30 + 13 - 2 = 41 y 5% de nivel de
significacin de la tabla T de Student.
| tk cal | tk tabla
CONCLUSION: LA SERIE ES HOMOGENEA
EN LA MEDIA A UN NIVEL DE
SIGNIFICACION DEL 5%.

PRUEBA ESTADISTICA PARAMETRICA: PRUEBA DE FISHER


NUMERO
DE DATOS

VALORES
OBSERVADOS

1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10

12 1985

386.10

13
14
15
16

1986
1987
1988

10
11
12

386.10
386.10
386.10

1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
650.00
602.20
637.50
353.50
360.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
386.10
408.53

PARAMETROS CALCULADOS
PERIODO

1
2

PERIODO 1

AO

17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34

n
13
17

PROM

S2

n S2

386.1
425.6765

0
98.32

0
9666.8224

0
164335.981

Fd = #DIV/0!

NO EXISTE

Fd tabla = 2.604
GDL (n1 = 12 ; n2 = 16)

Fd Fd tabla

PERIODO 2

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

CONCLUSION: LA SERIE ES HOMOGENEA EN


LA VARIANZA A UN NIVEL DE SIGNIFICACION
DEL 5%.

HUARAZ
RECUAY
AO YUNGAY
1
1977 386.1
661.9
797.4
2
1978 386.1
661.9
797.4
3
1979 386.1
661.9
566.4
4
1980 386.1
661.9
747.3
5
1981 386.1
661.9
852
6
1982 386.1
661.9
897.4
7
1983 386.1
661.9
613.3
8
1984 386.1
661.9
1114.5
9
1985 386.1
661.9
728
10
1986 386.1
661.9
812.6
11
1987 386.1
661.9
873.9
12
1988 386.1
661.9
839.4
13
1989 386.1
661.9
816.8
14
1990 386.1
661.9
639.5
15
1991 386.1
661.9
576
16
1992 386.1
661.9
514.4
17
1993 386.1
661.9
1227.8
18
1994 386.1
661.9
884.5
19
1995 386.1
661.9
759.7
20
1996 650
641.5
832
21
1997 602.2
751.9
710.8
22
1998 637.5
974.1
1068.5
23
1999 353.5
910
963.2
24
2000 360.1
814.6
822.4
25
2001 386.1
661.9
797.4
26
2002 386.1
661.9
797.4
27
2003 386.1
661.9
797.4
28
2004 386.1
661.9
797.4
29
2005 386.1
661.9
797.4
30
2006 386.1
661.9
797.4

12255.80
20639.60
24239.60
408.53
687.99
807.99
PROM

1845.40
1845.40
1614.40
1795.30
1900.00
1945.40
1661.30
2162.50
1776.00
1860.60
1921.90
1887.40
1864.80
1687.50
1624.00
1562.40
2275.80
1932.50
1807.70
2123.50
2064.90
2680.10
2226.70
1997.10
1845.40
1845.40
1845.40
1845.40
1845.40
1845.40

PROM
57135.00

57135.00

19045

PROM

615.13
615.13
538.13
598.43
633.33
648.47
553.77
720.83
592.00
620.20
640.63
629.13
621.60
562.50
541.33
520.80
758.60
644.17
602.57
707.83
688.30
893.37
742.23
665.70
615.13
615.13
615.13
615.13
615.13
615.13
19045.00
634.83

1200

1000

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

PRECIPITAC
AREA DEL
ION MEDIA
POLIGONO
ESTACION
ANUAL
(Km2)
(mm)

E1
E2
E3

400
495
702

66.049
67.29
83.942
261.422

PP * AREA
DEL
POLIGONO

26419.6
33308.55
58927.28
152158.5

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

1989

1988

1987

1986

1985

1984

1983

1982

1981

1980

1979

1978

1977

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

YUNGAY

HUARAZ

RECUAY

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