Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Poblacion
49220
69695
99996
130000
Aos
1988
1995
2005
2013
Formula General
PF = P0 (1+r)^t
r =( (PF/P0)^(1/t))-1
Poblacion
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
P6
Tiempo
7
17
25
10
18
8
P0
49220
49220
49220
69695
69695
99996
PF
69695
99996
130000
99996
130000
130000
r
0.050945033
0.042577373
0.039613881
0.036759684
0.035240389
0.033344401
P1 =
P2 =
P3 =
P4 =
P5 =
P6 =
Ecuacion
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
(1+r1)^(t)
(1+r2)^(t)
(1+r3)^(t)
(1+r4)^(t)
(1+r5)^(t)
(1+r6)^(t)
1988
1995
1988
1988
Tiempo
2005
2013
2013
2013
7
10
17
7
10
8
8
18
0.050945033
0.036759684
0.042577373
0.050945033
2013
Tiempo
10
0.036759684
0.033344401
0.033344401
0.035240389
a= (r^t)*(r^t)
4.01264E-24
6.88495E-27
7.58969E-36
6.25814E-36
r = (a)^(1/(t+t)
0.042046632
0.035200599
0.039373948
0.039071296
0.050945033
Intervalo de r
0.036759684
P7 =
P8 =
P9 =
P10 =
Ecuacion
130000
130000
130000
130000
(1+r7)^(t)
(1+r8)^(t)
(1+r9)^(t)
(1+r10)^(t)
1988
Ecuacion
130000
P 11 =
(1+r11)^(t)
+ x *b
b = XY - a x
X^2
X =(aos )
-25
-18
-8
0
-51
a=
5.113943352
b=
0.016120514
Y=Log(Pblacion )
XY
4.692141609
-117.3035402
4.843201622
-87.1776292
4.999982628
-39.99986102
5.113943352
0
-244.4810305
0.037816363
P 12 =
Ecuacion
130000
Eleccion de la ecuacion
(1+r12)^t
X^2
625
324
64
0
1013
a
0.033344401 6.13217E-36
r = (a)^(1/(t+t+t)
0.039039528
t
Ecuacion
Censo
PF1
PF2
PF3
PF4
PF5
PF6
PF7
PF8
PF9
PF10
PF11
PF12
0
2013
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
-8
2005
99996
87358.13171
93127.29546
95272.33176
97390.93784
98540.2579
99996
93507.42966
98570.56249
95448.41865
95671.05672
95694.45986
96600.4705
-18
1995
69695
53150.0061
61375.35803
64602.01993
67879.3293
69695
72033.03647
61940.48162
69743.23501
64870.98154
65211.93608
65247.83402
66646.00225
-25
1988
49220
37535.5951
45839.08839
49220
52721.87398
54690.66094
57255.35193
46426.34549
54743.23844
49504.84229
49866.58878
49904.71872
51396.14038
Diferencia
348911
308043.7329 4.08673E+04
330341.7419 18569.25812
339094.3517 9816.648314
347992.1411 918.8588826
352925.9188 -4014.918846
359284.3884 -10373.38839
331874.2568 17036.74324
353057.0359 -4146.035941
339824.2425 9086.757516
340749.5816 8161.418417
340847.0126 8063.987395
344642.6131 4268.386875
IXI
40867.26709
18569.25812
9816.648314
918.8588826
4014.918846
10373.38839
17036.74324
4146.035941
9086.757516
8161.418417
8063.987395
4268.386875
#N/A
PF(2008) =
PF (2011) =
Ecuacion Elegida
130000 *( 1+r11)^t
120,698.63
t (aos) =
2011
t (2011) =
-2
t(periodo de diseo)=
Ecuacion proyectada a 30 aos
PF(2031) =
120698.6255599 * (1+r11)^t
PF(2031) =
367,551.11
Complejidad
PARA LA GRAFICA N 01
x
2007
2031
MEDIA ALTA
y
7825
34760
X
1988
1995
2005
2013
2011
2031
Y
3783
3841
6242
7825
10033
34760
DOTACION NETA
Nivel de complejidad del sistema
bajo
medio
medio alto
alto
Dotacion NETA
125
(L/hab.dia)
PERDIDAS
25%
Dotacion BRUTA
166.6666667
30
Coeficiente de consumo mximo horario, k2 ,segn el Nivel de Complejidad del Sistema y el tipo
de red de distribucion
Nivel de complejidad del sistema
red secundaria
red matriz
Bajo
medio
medio alto
alto
1.3
1.3
1.2
1.2
Bajo
medio
medio alto
alto
1.6
1.6
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.45
1.45
1.4
1.4
67.05
100.58
145.84
red matriz
140.81
Poblacion
49220
69695
99996
130000
Aos
1988
1995
2005
2013
Formula General :
P F = P0 *(1+rt)
r= ((PF/P0)-1)*(1/t)
Poblacion
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
P6
Tiempo
7
17
25
10
18
8
P0
49220
49220
49220
69695
69695
99996
PF
69695
99996
130000
99996
130000
130000
r
0.05942706
0.06068313
0.06564811
0.04347658
0.04807056
0.0375065
2005
2013
2013
2013
P1 =
P2 =
P3 =
P4 =
P5 =
P6 =
Ecuacion
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
7
10
17
7
10
8
8
18
0.05942706
0.04347658
0.06068313
0.05942706
0.04347658
0.0375065
0.0375065
0.04807056
r=
0.05004442
0.04082321
0.05326661
0.05125038
2013
Tiempo
10
(1+r1 * t)
(1+r2 * t)
(1+r3 * t)
(1+r4 * t)
(1+r5 * t)
(1+r6 * t)
Tiempo
P7
P8
P9
P10
=
=
=
=
Ecuacion
130000
130000
130000
130000
(1+r7 * t)
(1+r8 * t)
(1+r9 * t)
(1+r10 * t)
1988
= a
bx
Intervalo de r
0.05942706 0.04347658 0.0375065
r
0.04603229
P 11 =
Ecuacion
130000
(1+r11 * t)
b = XY - a X
X
r 12 = b / P0
a = P0
X =(aos )
-25
-18
-8
0
-51
a=
130000
b=
3302.094768
r 12 =
0.025400729
P 12 =
Ecuacion
130000
Y=(Poblacion )
49220
69695
99996
130000
XY
-1230500
-1254510
-799968
0
-3284978
X^2
625
324
64
0
1013
-18
1995
69695
-9059.32548
-11998.5181
-23616.5786
28264.811
17514.8863
42234.7894
12896.0489
34473.6903
5356.14033
10074.107
22284.4459
70562.2942
-25
1988
49220
-63137.95205
-67220.16397
-83356.3592
-11298.87366
-26229.3246
8103.874155
-63137.95205
-2675.430189
-43116.47177
-36563.74028
-19604.93631
47447.6308
(1+r12 *t)
Eleccion de la Ecuacion
t
Ecuacion
Censo
PF1
PF2
PF3
PF4
PF5
PF6
PF7
PF8
PF9
PF10
PF11
PF12
PF(2008) =
PF (2008) =
0
2013
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
130000
-8
2005
99996
68195.85534
66889.54753
61725.96505
84784.36043
80006.61613
90993.23973
77953.79951
87543.86234
74602.72903
76699.60311
82126.42038
103583.2419
Ecuacion Elegida
130000 *( 1+r12 * t)
113,489.53
Diferencia
IXI
348911
125998.578 2.22912E+05 222912.422
117670.866 231240.134 231240.134
84753.0272 264157.973 264157.973
231750.298 117160.702 117160.702
201292.178 147618.822 147618.822
271331.903 77579.0967 77579.0967
157711.896 191199.104 191199.104
249342.122 99568.8776 99568.8776
166842.398 182068.602 182068.602
180209.97
168701.03
168701.03
214805.93
134105.07
134105.07
351593.167 -2682.16683 2682.16683
t (aos) =
2008
t (2008) =
-5
t(periodo de diseo)=
Ecuacion proyectada a 30 aos
30
PF(2028) =
113489.5261599 * (1+r12 * t)
PF(2028) =
199,971.03
Nivel de complejidad
ALTA
X
2007
2031
X
1993
2001
2005
2007
2011
2031
Y
7825
19842
Dotacion NETA
125
(L/hab.dia)
PERDIDAS
25%
Dotacion BRUTA
166.6666667
coeficiente de consumo
maximo diario - k1
1.3
1.3
1.2
1.2
38.28
45.93
68.90
66.60
64.30
Y
3783
3841
6242
7825
9521
19842
Poblacion
Aos
1988
49220
1995
69695
2005
99996
2013
130000
Ecuacion Parabolica
49220
69695
99996
130000
120000
y = 6.1824x2 + 2881.7x + 49220
Y = A + B X + C X^2
100000
Ecuacion 1
80000
1988
X
0
7
17
1995
X^2
0
49
289
2005
Y
49220
69695
99996
60000
40000
20000
0
A=
B=
C=
85063
1069
30.64
10
12
14
16
18
140000
120000
Ecuacion 2
1988
X
0
7
25
A=
B=
C=
1995
X^2
0
49
625
2013
Y
49220
69695
130000
85063
1186
17.64
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0
0
10
15
20
25
30
Ecuacion 3
1988
X
0
17
25
2005
X^2
0
289
625
A=
B=
C=
140000
2013
Y
49220
99996
130000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
85063
1615
4.635
20000
0
Ecuacion 4
A=
B=
C=
10
15
20
25
30
140000
1995
X
0
10
18
2005
X^2
0
100
324
2013
Y
69695
99996
130000
97167
2049
5.118
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
10
15
20
BX^2 + CX^3 = XY - AX
C = 0
A=
130000
X3
-15625
-5832
-512
0
-21969
X4
390625
104976
4096
0
499697
X
-25
-18
-8
0
-51
Y
49220
69695
99996
130000
348911
XY
-1230500
-1254510
-799968
0
-3284978
A=
B=
C=
X2
625
324
64
0
1013
YX2
30762500
22581180
6399744
0
59743424
130000
3859.005956
25.6794134
Eleccion de la ecuacion
t
t
t
ECUACION
CENSO
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
0
18
25
-8
10
17
2013
130000
130938
147313
90544.875
135707.232
130000
2005
99996
112090.96
124993.96
88160.315
118168.8
100771.4348
-18
0
7
-25
-7
0
1995
1988
69695
49220
94047.36
85063
100270.36
85063
86013.915
85063
97167
83074.782
68858.02274 49574.48449
Y5
Y4
Y1,Y2,Y3
SUMA
348911
422139.32
457640.32
349782.105
434117.814
349203.942
DIFE
Y1
IXI
-73228.32 73228.3200
-108729.32 108729.3200
-871.105
871.1050
-85206.814 85206.8140
-292.94204
292.9420
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Ecuacion Elegida
Y5 = 143415 + 2075,90779X + 8,76119X^2
A=
B=
C=
A=
B=
C=
A=
B=
C=
A=
B=
C=
A=
B=
C=
85063
1069
30.64
85063
2049
17.64
85063
103.4
4.635
97167
2049
5.118
130000
3859.005956
25.6794134
Y (2031)=
232,341.55
Nivel de complejidad
MEDIA ALTA
Y
7825
56582
X
1993
2001
2005
2007
2011
2031
Y
3783
3841
6242
7825
12283
56582
DOTACION NETA
Nivel de complejidad del
sistema
CURVA DE POBLACION
140000
120000
POBLACION(hab)
100000
CENSOS
80000
GEOMETRICO
ARITMETICO
PARABOLICO
60000
40000
20000
0
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
TIEMPO(aos)
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
CURVA DE CRECIMIENTO
140000
ARITMETICO+ARITMETICO!
GEOMETRICO
PARABOLICO
CENSOS
120000
POBLACION(habitantes)
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
TIEMPO (aos)
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
140000
130000
120000
110000
POBLACION REAL
ARITMETICO
GEOMETRICO
100000
PARABOLICO
90000
80000
70000
1993
2001
2005
2007
Ecuacin
censo
ARITMETICO
GEOMETRICO
PARABOLICO
m=0
m = 10
m = 20
m = 30
m = 40
m = 50
Pf12
Pf11
Y5
2011
2021
2031
2041
2061
2055
1993
3783
2001
3841
2005
6242
2007
7825
1887
3279
3776
5280
5390
3889
6977
6911
6146
7825
7825
7825
143415.000
145994.84
150313.02
156369.54
164164.4
173697.6
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
143415
145994.84
150313.02
156369.54
164164.4
173697.6
0.2
0