UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE INGENIERIA

FACULTAD DE CIENCIAS Y SISTEMAS

INGENIRIA DE SISTEMAS

Formulacin y Evaluacin de Proyectos

CEMENTERIO PARQUE EN LA SOLEDAD

Integrantes:
Xolieth del Carmen Mendoza Arostegui
Ral Jos Ordoez Gmez
Cristiano Ricardo Centeno Sandoval

Grupo:
5N1-IS
Docente:
Msc. Roberto Jos Aguilera Lpez

Fecha:
Managua, 21 de Mayo del 2013

POBLACION POR SECTORES TOTAL

SECTOR
POBLACION
Norte
187,134
Noroeste
22,428
Centro Norte
18,194
Centro
9,640
Suroeste
24,050
Sureste
9,671
TOTAL
271,117

MERCADOS OBJETIVOS
GSE
PORCENTAJE
ABC1
4.2
C2
16.8
C3
22.3
TOTAL
43.3
Tabla No. 2

Tabla No. 1

TASAS DE CRECIMIENTO
TASA CRECIMIENTO POBLACION
TASA MORTALIDAD
TASA DE NATALIDAD
Tabla No. 3

1.67
0.57
2.24

PROYECCION
POBLACION

Sector
Norte

Ao 0

Ao 1

Ao 2

Ao 3

Ao 4

Ao 5

Ao 6

Ao 7

Ao 8

Ao 9

Ao 10

187,134

190,259

193,436

196,667

199,951

203,290

206,685

210,137

213,646

217,214

220,842

Noroeste

22,428

22,803

23,183

23,571

23,964

24,364

24,771

25,185

25,605

26,033

26,468

Centro
Norte
Centro

18,194

18,498

18,807

19,121

19,440

19,765

20,095

20,430

20,772

21,119

21,471

9,640

9,801

9,965

10,131

10,300

10,472

10,647

10,825

11,006

11,190

11,376

Suroeste

24,050

24,452

24,860

25,275

25,697

26,126

26,563

27,006

27,457

27,916

28,382

Sureste

9,671

9,833

9,997

10,164

10,333

10,506

10,681

10,860

11,041

11,226

11,413

271,117

275,645

280,248

284,928

289,686

294,524

299,443

304,443

309,528

314,697

319,952

TOTAL

Tabla No. 4
PROYECCION SEGMENTOS

GSE

Ao

POBLACION TOTAL

ABC1 (4,2 %)

C2 (16,8 %)

C3 (22,3 %)

TOTAL (43,3 %)

271,117

11,387

45,548

60,459

117,394

275,645

11,577

46,308

61,469

119,354

280,248

11,770

47,082

62,495

121,347

284,928

11,967

47,868

63,539

123,374

289,686

12,167

48,667

64,600

125,434

294,524

12,370

49,480

65,679

127,529

299,443

12,577

50,306

66,776

129,659

304,443

12,787

51,146

67,891

131,824

309,528

13,000

52,001

69,025

134,025

314,697

13,217

52,869

70,177

136,264

10

319,952

13,438

53,752

71,349

138,539

Tabla No. 5

ESTIMADOS NO INSCRITOS

Ao TOTAL MERCADO OBJETIVOS

0

117,394

SIN INSCRIBIR
(62.73%)
73,641

CON INTERES EN INSCRIBIRSE

(49.28%)
36,290

119,354

74,871

36,896

121,347

76,121

37,513

123,374

77,392

38,139

125,434

78,685

38,776

127,529

79,999

39,423

129,659

81,335

40,082

131,824

82,693

40,751

134,025

84,074

41,432

136,264

85,478

42,124

10

138,539

86,906

42,827

Tabla No. 6
INTERESADOS EN INSCRIBIRSE (FAMILIAS)
Ao

DEMANDA PARTICULAR

DEMANDA FAMILIAR

DEMANDA ESPERADA (5%)

36,290

8,343

417

36,896

8,482

424

37,513

8,624

431

38,139

8,768

438

38,776

8,914

446

39,423

9,063

453

40,082

9,214

461

40,751

9,368

468

41,432

9,525

476

42,124

9,684

484

10

42,827

9,845

492

Tabla No. 7