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ECONOMIC REFORMS
Indias economy went through several episodes of economic liberalization in the 1970s and the 1980s under Prime Minsters Indira Gandhi and, later,Rajiv Gandhi. However, these attempts at economic liberalization were half hearted,selfcontradictory, and often self-reversing in parts.
In contrast, the economic reforms launched in the 1990s (by Prime Minister P V Narasimha Rao and Dr. Manmohan Singh as his Finance Minister) were much wider and deeper and decidedly marked a U-turn in the direction of economic policy followed by India during the last forty years of centralized economic planning.
The root cause of the twin crisis could be traced to macro-economic mismanagement throughout the 1980s as reflected in an unsustainably high fiscal deficit, in particular the revenue deficit and the monetized deficit. The central governments fiscal deficit alone peaked at 7.9 percent as a percentage of GDP in 1989-90. Foreign-exchange reserves dwindled to a low of US$2.2 billion(with less than 15 days cover against annual imports).
Prime Minister Narasimha Rao converted the prevailing economic crisis into an opportunity to launch massive economic reforms. First, he introduced an economist (rather than a politician) into the Cabinet as Finance Minister and gave the new Minister his full support, allowing him to evolve and implement pathbreaking economic reforms. The government took two years to get over the immediate macroeconomic crisis, initially with the help of a balance of payments loan facility from the International Monetary Fund
The fundamental objective of economic reforms is to bring about rapid and sustained improvement in the quality of the people of India.
Central to this goal is the rapid growth in incomes and productive employment The only durable solution to the curse of poverty is sustained growth of incomes and employment.
Such growth requires investment: in farms, in roads, in irrigation, in industry, in power and, above all, in people.
And this investment must be productive. Successful and sustained development depends on continuing increases in the productivity of our capital, our land and our labour.
The most damaging feature of the 1991 crisis was high price level. During 1985-90, the GDP grew at average rate of 5.7% but money supply increased at 15.7% per annum. This excess liquidity led to high price rise which touched 17%
Trends in Wholesale price Index and Consumer Price Index 1989-90 1990-91 (a) WPI (1981-82 = 100) All Commodities 1. Primary articles 2. Fuel, power and light 8.1 % 3.6% 2.3% 13.5 % 18.9% 19.2% 9.6%
5.4%
13.7%
ECONOMIC REFORMS
Macroeconomic Crisis of the Early 1990--Three Aspects 1. Fiscal Imbalance 2. Fragile Balance of Payment Situation 3. Inflationary Pressures
ECONOMIC REFORMS
In response to the crisis situation of 1990-91 the government decided to introduce economic policy reforms which consisted of two distinct strands 1. Macroeconomic Stabilization 2. Structural Reforms The stabilization deals with demand management, structural reforms deal sectoral adjustments designed to tackle the problems on the supply side of the economy.
COMPONENTS OF NEW ECONOMIC POLICY 1991 The new economic policy has four components: 1. Liberalization 2. Privatisation 3. Globalization 4. Stabilization Together called as Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP)
Pre-reform strategies
Minimise PSBR
Tax reforms
Structural Reforms
Since july 1991 comprehensive structural reforms have been undertaken to improve the supply-side of the economy. 1. Trade and capital flows reforms 2. Industrial deregulation 3. Public sector reforms and disinvestment 4. Financial sector reforms
Consequently , foreign currency reserves have stock piled Price level too has been brought down to less than 8% Poverty level came down Overall increase in productivity, quality and competitiveness of Indian goods and services
The Central governments fiscal deficit continues to be high and this is reflected in continuing inflationary pressure Foreign exchange front may not continue to be comfortable for all the days to come Weakness in reforms is already visible and the process of reforms is not complete even though reforms are decade old. Many area need policy changes The reforms have hit the labour hard
Globalization
The IMF defines globalization as the growing interdependence of countries worldwide through increasing volume and variety of cross border transactions in goods and services and of international capital flows, and also through the more rapid and widespread diffusion of technology
Globalization of Business
Globalization is an attitude of mind- it is a mindset which views the entire world as a single market so that the corporate strategy is based on the dynamics of the global business envionment
Globalization encompasses the following: Doing, or planning to expand, business globally Giving up the distinction between the domestic market and foreign market and developing a global outlook of the business Locating the production and other physical facilities on a consideration of the global business dynamics, irrespective of national consideration
Basing product development and production planning on the global market considerations Global sourcing of factors of production, ie raw materials, components, machinery, technology, finance ect., are obtained from the best source anywhere in the world Global interaction of organizational structure and management culture
Drivers of Globalization
International Trade (lower trade barriers and more competition) Financial flows (foreign direct investment, technology transfers / licensing, portfolio investment and debt) Communications (traditional media and internet) Technological advances in transportation, electronics, bioengineering and related fields Population mobility, especially of labour
Levels of Globalisation
Globalisation at world level globaliastion of production and globalisation of finance Globalisation at the level of a specific country Globalisation at the level of a specific industry Globalistion at the level of a specific company
Globalization
The IMF defines globalization as the growing interdependence of countries worldwide through increasing volume and variety of cross border transactions in goods and services and of international capital flows, and also through the more rapid and widespread diffusion of technology
Globalization of Business
Globalization is an attitude of mind- it is a mindset which views the entire world as a single market so that the corporate strategy is based on the dynamics of the global business environment
Globalization encompasses the following: Doing, or planning to expand, business globally Giving up the distinction between the domestic market and foreign market and developing a global outlook of the business Locating the production and other physical facilities on a consideration of the global business dynamics, irrespective of national consideration
Basing product development and production planning on the global market considerations Global sourcing of factors of production, ie raw materials, components, machinery, technology, finance ect., are obtained from the best source anywhere in the world Global interaction of organizational structure and management culture
Drivers of Globalization
International Trade (lower trade barriers and more competition) Financial flows (foreign direct investment, technology transfers / licensing, portfolio investment and debt) Communications (traditional media and internet) Technological advances in transportation, electronics, bioengineering and related fields Population mobility, especially of labour
Levels of Globalisation
Globalisation at world level globaliastion of production and globalisation of finance Globalisation at the level of a specific country Globalisation at the level of a specific industry Globalistion at the level of a specific company
Globalization in India
Indias economic integration with the rest of the world was very limited because of the restrictive economic policies until 1991. With the new economic policy in 1991, globalization of Indian firms are expanding their overseas business by different strategies
Obstacles To Globalization
Government Policy and Procedures High Cost Poor Infrastructure Resistance to change Poor Quality Image Supply Problems Small Size
Lack of Experience Limited R & D and Marketing Research Growing Competition Trade Barriers
Effects of Globalization
Effects on the external sector Effects on the Indian Enterprise
Globalization in India
Indias economic integration with the rest of the world was very limited because of the restrictive economic policies until 1991. With the new economic policy in 1991, globalization of Indian firms are expanding their overseas business by different strategies
Obstacles To Globalization
Government Policy and Procedures High Cost Poor Infrastructure Resistance to change Poor Quality Image Supply Problems Small Size
Lack of Experience Limited R & D and Marketing Research Growing Competition Trade Barriers
Effects of Globalization
Effects on the external sector Effects on the Indian Enterprise
Globalization means free movement of capital, goods, technology, ideas and people. Any globalization that omits the last one is partial and non sustainable ---- Branko Milanovic
Globalization is the process of integrating various economies of the world without creating hindrances in the free flow of goods and services, technology, capital and even labour or human capital. The term globalization has therefore four parameters: 1. Reduction of trade barriers to permit free flow of goods and services among nation-states; 2. Creation of environment in which free flow of capital can take place among nation-states; 3. Creation of environment, permitting free flow of technology; and 4. From the point of view of developing countries, creation of environment in which free movement of labour can take place in different countries in the world Thus basically globalization signifies a process of industrialization plus liberalization
In nutshell , globalization is considered as the engine of growth, $technical advancement, raising productivity, enlarging employment and bringing about poverty reduction along with modernization
1. Increase of imports far greater than increase in exports YEAR Exports Imports Total Trade Net Current External trade market price) ( as percentage of GDP at balance invisible account debt
balance
1990-91 1995-96
2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
5.8 9.1
9.9 9.4 10.6 11.1 12.2 13 14 14.1 15.4 14.4
8.8 12.3
12.6 11.8 12.7 13.3 17.1 19.5 20.9 21.9 25.1 23.1
14.6 21.4
22.5 21.2 23.3 24.4 29.3 32.5 34.9 36 40.5 37.5
-3 -3.2
-2.7 -2.4 -2.1 -2.2 -4.9 -6.5 -6.9 -7.8 -9.7 -8.7
-.1 1.6
2.1 3.1 3.4 4.6 4.5 5.2 5.8 6.3 7.4 6.4
-3.1 -1.7
-.6 +.7 +1.3 +2.3 -0.4 -1.1 -1.1 -1.4 -2.4 -3.1
28.7 27
23.3 21.2 20.3 17.8 18.5 17.2 17.9 19.0 20.5 20.1
2. Foreign Investment Flows Foreign investment takes two forms foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign portfolio investment (FPI) FDI helps to increase the productive capacity of the economy , while FPI a more speculative nature and is thus volatile There exist a gap between approved FDI and actual inflows. If globalization has to make an impact and prove its efficiency , the gap has to be reduced FDI inflows and outflows: Whereas the Government of India has been initiating measures to attract FDI inflows into India, certain Indian firms have been undertaking investment projects in other countries. This has resulted in FDI outflows. Thus Net FDI inflow = FDI inflows FDI outflows
FDI INFLOWS AND OUTFLOWS IN INDIA Figures in brackets are percentage of FDI inflows
YEAR INFLOWS (1) 1,676 (100.0) 2,633 (100.0) 2,168 (100.0) 2,319 (100.0) OUTFLOWS (2) 96 (5.7) 47 (1.8) 80(3.7) 509 (21.9)
US$ million
NET FDI INFLOWS (3 = 2-1) 1,580 (94.3) 2,586 (98.2) 2,088 (96.3) 1,810 (78.1)
2001
2002 2003 2007
3,403 (100.0)
3,449 (100.0) 4,269 (100.0) 25,122 (100.0)
1,397 (41.0)
1,107 (32.1) 913 (21..4) 17,281 (68.8)
2,006 (58.9)
2,342 (67.9) 3,356(78.6) 7,841 (31.2)
2008
2009
40,418 (100.0)
34,613 (100.0)
18,499 (45.8)
14,897 (43.0)
21,919 (54.2)
19,716 (57.0)
The consequence of the larger FDI outflows after 2000 has been a sizable reduction in net FDI inflows. Ultimately , it is the net FDI inflow which increases the rate of investment and the productivity of the Indian economy. Beside this, FDI investment is used to nullify the comparative cost advantage, more especially cheap labour as well as raw materials by transferring production processes to developing economies. FDI inflows are not all growth-oriented as advocated by proglobalizers lobby, a big part of the inflows is used to destroy the comparative cost advantage of developing countries. The MNCs undertake outsourcing and insist on Just-In- Time delivery and thereby enhance their profits from the production processes established in developing countries.
3. Employment, Flexibility and Impact on Labour: World Commission on social Dimension of Globalization states for the world as a whole the latest estimates show that open unemployment has increased over the last decade to about 188 million in 2003 Employment situation in India during the era of Globalization: The employment situation in India has worsened in the era of globalization. The rate of growth of employment which was 2.04% during 1983-94 declined to low level of 0.98 in 1994-2000. This was a consequence of a negative growth rate of employment in agriculture. The neglect of agriculture and shedding excess load in the employment of public sectors by imposing continuous ban on recruitment and not filling up even the positions vacated by retirement of public sector employers
Globalization pushed workers from the organized sector to unorganized sectors. Globalization increased the process of informalization of the economy. The problems of unemployment, casualization, lower wages, part-time jobs, less or no security in jobs have manifested themselves in a much greater degree. The bargaining power of trade unions has been considerably reduced and they are to accept concession bargaining instead of collective bargaining
Mandays lost strikes lockout 1976 and 1990 54.9% 45.1% 1991 and 2000 39.2% 60.8%
Inequality and Poverty: ILO Report (2004) states income inequality has increased in some industrialized countries, reflected in an increase in the share of capital in national income as well as an increase in wage inequality between mid-1980s and the mid 1990s Poverty declined from 36% in 1993-94 to 26.1 in 1999-2000 but significant increase in rural-urban inequalities at all India level Slowing down of the process of Poverty Reduction: The growth rate of GDP was higher in 1990s than in 1980s. The paradox of higher growth of GDP and lower rate of poverty reduction is the direct result of unequal distribution of rich and marginalized section of the population. The main reason for the slow decline in poverty reduction is geographical pattern of growth promoted by policies of LPG.
Double Standards of Developed Countries: Developed countries demand so many concession and reductions in tariffs from developing countries, but are they encouraging free flow of trade, capital and technology across states ; or they using globalization to their advantage? Feminization of labour in low wage jobs: Since majority of women are working in the informal sector, they are most affected by the forces of free trade and are driven into low-end jobs. By exploiting home-based workers, the employers are able to reduce their costs to the minimum. The unfair treatment of women labour which has been caused by globalization calls for remedial actions
Goal of full employment and decent work sidelined under Globalization: ILO has been pleading for the promotion of opportunities for men and women to obtain decent and productive work in conditions of freedom, equality, security and human dignity Weakening of the welfare state in favour of markets: Pressure by MNCs, the IMF and World Bank forced government to take decision about privatization of public enterprise , opening of FDI in several sectors such as retail trade, consumer goods hurting small and medium enterprise leading to closure and resultant unemployment Globalization has led to more insecurity for workers, increased militancy of employers against workers and enhanced the phenomenon of lock outs
Failed to provide infrastructural facilities to rural areas Globalization bypassed the agricultural sector 60% of population Powerful MNCs replaced public monopolies to private monopolies D. Narashima Reddy in his presidential address to Indian Society of Labour Economics (2004) concluded that markets have a place but the task is to place the markets in their place. Markets should not be allowed to destroy the social fabric, which even the state cannot reconstruct easily. Markets need to be regulated in order to prevent them from causing social disruption. The task of ensuring decent work in third world is a task of restoring the state its rightful place in development
Objectives
Self-reliance to build on the many sided gains already made Encouragement to Indian entrepreneurship , promotion of productivity and employment generation Development of indigenous technology through greater investment in R&D and bringing in new technology to help Indian manufacturing units attain world standards. Increasing the competitiveness for the benefit of the common man
Incentives for the industrialisation of back ward areas Enhanced support to the small scale sector Ensure running of public sector undertakings (PSUs) on business lines and cut their losses. Protect the interests of workers Abolish the monopoly of any sector in any field of manufacturing except on strategic or security grounds To link indian economy to the global market so that we acquire the ability to pay for imports, and to make us less dependent on aid
Importance of SSI in India: 95% of the industrial units 40% of output in manufacturing sectors 35% of total exports Employment of about 18 million people
PROMOTIONAL MEASURES
Number of measures have been taken by the governments, central and state, to protect this sector from the onslaught of the large sector and to promote its growth. 1. Reservation of products 2. Reservation and Preference in Government Procurement 3. Infrastructural and Institutional support(DIC, KVIC) 4. Machinery on Hire Purchase (NSIC) 5. Marketing Assistance(SIDO, KVIC etc) 6. Financial Assistance
.contd
7. Training ( EDII) 8. Supply of raw materials
Industrial Estate programme EPZs / SEZs Industrial parks Integrated Infrastructural Development Scheme Cluster development Industrial Growth Centres Schemes
Industrial sickness
Causes of sickness Preventive and curative measures
According to Companies Act, 2002 "`Sick Industrial Company' means an industrial company which has i) The Accumulated losses in any financial year equal to 50 per cent or more of its average net worth during four years immediately preceding such financial year; or ii) Failed to repay its debts within any three consecutive quarters on demand made in writing for its repayment by a creditor or creditors of such company."
c) Marketing and Sickness : This is another part which always affects the health of any sector as well as SSI. This including wrong demand forecasting, selection of inappropriate product mix, absence of product planning, wrong market research methods, and bad sales promotions.
d) Inappropriate Personnel Management: The another internal reason for the sickness of SSIs is inappropriate personnel management policies which includes bad wages and salary administration, bad labour relations, lack of behavioural approach causes dissatisfaction among the employees and workers. e) Ineffective Corporate Management: Another reason for the sickness of SSIs is ineffective or bad corporate management which includes improper corporate planning, lack of integrity in top management, lack of coordination and control etc.
External causes for sickness a) Personnel Constraint: The first for most important reason for the sickness of small scale industries are non availability of skilled labour or manpower wages disparity in similar industry and general labour invested in the area. b) Marketing Constraints: The second cause for the sickness is related to marketing. The sickness arrives due to liberal licensing policies, restrain of purchase by bulk purchasers, changes in global marketing scenario, excessive tax policies by govt. and market recession. c) Production Constraints: This is another reason for the sickness which comes under external cause of sickness. This arises due to shortage of raw material, shortage of power, fuel and high prices, import-export restrictions. d) Finance Constraints: The another external cause for the sickness of SSIs is lack of finance. This arises due to credit restrains policy, delay in disbursement of loan by govt.
EXIT Policy
The action plan entails closure of sick units, both in public and private sectors. Exit policy refers to the policy regarding the retrenchment of the surplus manpower resulting from restructuring of industrial units or the workers becoming unemployed by the closure of sick units.
According to Sudipto Mundle , 2.4 million surplus manpower in the industrial sector in India Business today estimated tat 1.8 million of the total of over 10 million government staff, including administrative staff and workers in departmental undertakings( like railways, telecom etc) was excess NATIONAL RENEWAL FUND An important step taken by Central Government to benefit workers affected by industrial restructuring, modernisation or closure of the unit was the establishment of NRF which was operationalised in 1992 Objectives : 1. To provide assistance to cover the cost of retraining and redeployment of employees arising as a result of modernisation and technological upgradation
2. To provide funds for compensation to employees affected by restructuring or closure of industrial units, both in public and private sectors 3. To provide funds for employment generation schemes in the organised and unorganised sectors to provide social safety net for labour
EXIM POLICY
contd
Market acess intitative schemes Focus on service exports Concessions and exemptions
contd
5. Identifying and nurturing special focus areas which would generate additional employment opportunities, particularly in semi-urban and rural areas 6. Facilitating technological and infrastructural upgradation of all the sectors of the Indian economy, especially through import of capital goods and equipment 7. Avoiding inverted duty structures and ensuring that domestic sectors are not
contd
8. Reviatilising the Board of Trade by redefining its role, and inducing into it experts on trade policy 9. Upgrading the infrastructural network related to the entire foreign trade chain, to international standards
MODULE 5
INFRASTRUCTURAL DEVELOPMENT IN INDIAN ECONOMY Development of Infrastructure is a sine qua non of economic development. Industrial progress depends on the development of power and electricity generation, transport and communications.
1. Problems and Issues in Railway Development 2. Road Development 3. Water Transport 4. Air Transport 5. Communications
2. Natural Resource Management Resources are generally defined as all those things available in mans physical environment on which he depends for the satisfaction of some want or other. NATURAL RESOURCES AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT The classical economists had interpreted development or under development of particular regions in terms of availability of natural resources. a) Land resources b) Water resource and National policy c) Forest resource and Government policy d) Mineral resources and Government Policy e) Ecological Imbalance and its causes and remedies
Sustainable development can be achieved only if the environment is covered and improved. Therefore, a development path is sustainable if only if the capital assets remains constant or rises over time
A) GROWTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION: 1. Water pollution 2. Air pollution 3. Soil degradation 4. Deforestation 5. Loss of Biodiversity 6. Atmospheric changes green house effect and ozone depletion
. cotd
B) THE BURDEN OF POPULATION ON ENVIRONMENT: - Rural population and environment Urban Population and environment