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Cash Flow
A revenue or expense stream that changes a cash account over a given period.
Classified as :
Operational cash flows: Cash received or expended as a result of the company's internal business activities. Investment cash flows: Cash received from the sale of long-life assets, or spent on capital expenditure.
Financing cash flows: Cash received from the issue of debt and
equity, or paid out as dividends, share repurchases or debt repayments.
= EBITDA - Depreciation and amortization = EBIT - Taxes = Net income + Depreciation and amortization = operating cash flow - Capital expenses - Change in Working capital = Free cash flow to equity
= EBT
- Taxes = Net income + Depreciation and amortization = operating cash flow -Preferred dividends - Capital expenses
+ Interest expenses(1- tax rate) +Principal repayments - New debt issues +Preferred dividend OR Free cash flow to firm =EBIT (1- tax rate) +Depreciation - Capital Expenditure - Working capital needs
Assumptions
1. The firm is an all-equity firm and has no debt in its capital structure
2.
3. 4.
5.
6.
The model
The value of equity, under the constant growth model, is a function of 1. The expected FCFE in the next period (FCFE1) 2. The stable growth rate (g) 3. The required rate of return (ke)
P0 = FCFE1 / (ke - g)
4.
Assumptions
1.
2.
3. 4. 5.
The model
P0 = FCFE1 / (1+ke)1 + Pn/ (1+ke) n
Pn
Ke
3.
4.
Transitional period
Steady state period
Determine the terminal value (at the beginning of mature growth stage)
and discount it together with all preceding free cash flows to the present.
Firm value(V) = [FCFFt / (1 + WACC)t)] + [FCFFt / 1+WACC)n ] + FCFFn+1 / [(WACC - g) (1+WACC)n] : t = 1 to n. Terminal Firm Value = FCFFn+1 / (WACC - g)
Assumptions:
1. Capital Spending versus Depreciation In the high growth phase, capital spending is likely to be much larger than depreciation. In the transitional phase, the difference is likely to narrow. Finally, the difference between capital spending and depreciation will be lower still in stable growth, reflecting the lower expected growth rate. 2. Risk In the context of the CAPM, as the growth rate declines, the beta of the firm can be expected to change. Over time, as these firms get larger and more diversified, the average betas of these portfolios move towards one.
Example
1) FCFF 2002 = $50 million. 2) Market value of debt = $300 million. 3) Shares outstanding = 40 million. 4) Growth rates: 2003 2003-2004: 30%. 2005-2006: 15% Growth 30% After 2006: 5%. rate 5) WACC = 12%. FCFF(mn) 65
2004
30% 84.5
2005
15% 97.2
2006
15% 111.8
2007
5% 117.4
Firm value(V) = FCFFt / (1 + WACC)t) + *FCFFt + FCFFn+1 / [(WACC - g) (1+WACC)n] : t = 1 to n. Terminal Firm Value = FCFFn+1 / (WACC g) 1) TV2006 = $117.4/(0.12 - 0.05) = $1,677 million. 2) V2002 = $65.0/1.121 + $84.5/1.122 + $97.2/1.123 + ($111.8 + $1,677)/1.124 = $1,331.4 million. 3) Equity value = $1,331.4 - $300 = $1,031.4 million. 4) Equity value per share = $1,031.4 / 40 = $25.78.
distribution
Dividends are the cash flows actually paid to
stockholders
Difference between Free Cash Flow to Equity
Internal Factors
Liquidity Position Desire of Control
Nature of Earnings
Desire of Shareholders
University Qs
1. Write short note on Free Cash Flow. 2. Discuss concept of free cash flow and describe process of its computation.
Thank you