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Dividend Policy
What is It?
Retained Earnings
Corporate Profits After Tax
Dividends
Dividend Payments
Mechanics of Cash Dividend Payments
Declaration Date
this is the date on which the Board of Directors meet and declare the dividend. In their resolution the
Board will set the date of record, the date of payment and the amount of the dividend for each share
class.
when CARRIED, this resolution makes the dividend a current liability for the firm.
Date of Record
is the date on which the shareholders register is closed after the trading day and all those who are listed
will receive the dividend.
Ex dividend Date
is the date that the value of the firm’s common shares will reflect the dividend payment (ie. fall in value)
‘ex’ means without.
At the start of trading on the ex-dividend date, the share price will normally open for trading at the
previous days close, less the value of the dividend per share. This reflects the fact that purchasers of
the stock on the ex-dividend date and beyond WILL NOT receive the declared dividend.
Date of Payment
is the date the cheques for the dividend are mailed out to the shareholders.
Dividend Policy
Dividends, Shareholders and the Board of Directors
D1 P
[ 22-1] P0 1
(1Ke )
M&M’s Dividend Irrelevance Theorem
M&M, Dividends, and Firm Value
Multiply by the number of shares outstanding (m) to
convert the single stock price model to a model to
value the whole firm:
m 1
(D P1)
[ 22-2] 0
mP V0
(1Ke)
M&M’s Dividend Irrelevance Theorem
Assumptions
No Taxes
Perfect capital markets
large number of individual buyers and sellers
costless information
no transaction costs
mD1 X 1 nP1 I1
M&M’s Dividend Irrelevance Theorem
M&M, Dividends, and Firm Value
If a firm pays out dividends that exceeds its free cash flow (X –
I), then it must issue new common shares to pay for these
dividends.
Substituting into Equation 22 – 2 we get:
X11
I [(
mn 1
)P V]
0
1
[ 22-4] V
(
1K)
The value of the firm is the value of the next period’s free cash
flow (X1 –I1) plus the next period’s equity market value…
M&M’s Dividend Irrelevance Theorem
M&M, Dividends, and Firm Value
The firm value is determined as the present value of the free cash
flows to the equity holders:
Value has
nothing
Xt It
[ 22-5] V0 to do with
t1 (
1 K) t dividends
The dividend is equal to the free cash flow each period, and
dividends are therefore a residual after the firm has taken care of
all of its investment requirements – this is the Residual Theory of
Dividends
M&M’s Dividend Irrelevance Theorem
Residual Theory of Dividends
22 - 4 FIGURE
OPTIMAL INVESTMENT
Rate of
MC=MR
Return
IOS
WACC
ROEBVPS
InvROEK
[ 22-6] 1
P ( 2 e)
Ke
(1K
)
e K
e
Myron Gordon suggests that dividends are more stable than capital
gains and are therefore more highly valued by investors.
22 - 5 FIGURE
OPTIMAL INVESTMENT
D1
P0
Gordon
M&M
P1 P0
P0
The “Bird-in-the-Hand” Argument
M&M versus Gordon’s Bird in the Hand Theory
Conclusions:
Firms cannot change underlying operational characteristics
by changing the dividend
The dividend should reflect the firm’s operations through the
residual value of dividends
Dividend Policy in Practice
[ 22-7] ΔD
t *
β(D
t -D1)
t-
Dividend Policy in Practice
Lintner’s Work on Dividend Adjustment
The target dividend Dt* Lintner suggested is a function of the
firm’s optimal payout rate of the firm’s underlying earnings (Et)
leading to the following equation:
t
D
a(
1b)
D cE
[ 22-8]
t-
1 1
Implications
The speed of dividend adjustment is only about 30
percent
Firms are very reluctant to fully adjust
Firms do not follow a policy of paying a constant
proportion of earnings out as dividends
Transactions Costs
Underwriting costs are very high, providing a strong
incentive for firms to finance growth out of free cash
flow
Facing these high underwriting costs firms:
With high growth rates have little incentive to pay dividends
With volatile earnings conserve cash from year to year to finance
projects and therefore pay very conservative dividends
Relaxing the M&M Assumptions
Welcome to the Real World!
Dividends and Signalling
Under conditions of information asymmetry, shareholders and the
investing public watch for management signals (actions) about what
management knows.
Management is therefore very cautious about dividend changes…
they don’t want to create high expectations (this is the reason for
extra or special dividends) that will lead to disappointment, and they
don’t want to have investors over react to negative earnings
surprises (the sticky dividend phenomenon)