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RETAIL REPORT
TABLE OF CONTENT
I. Overview of Vietnam’s retail sector
II. Eco nom ic Status
III. Retail Market Size
IV. Retail Market Players
The economic growth, rising middle class, urbanization and higher standards and
demands for sanitation and hygiene keeps on fueling its growth in Vietnam’s retail industry.
VIETNAM (2016) CURRENT GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
202.616 BILLION
ECONOMIC STATUS
Domestic Product (GDP) of Vietnam started to flourish
by 2000. By 2016, Vietnam’s GDP is at 202.616 billion
USD.
VIETNAM (2017)
VIETNAM’S POPULATION GROWTH
ECONOMIC STATUS
WHAT DRIVES VIETNAM’S ECONOMIC GROWTH?
2016 GDP WEIGHT (%)
ECONOMIC STATUS
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishery 11% 15%
Mining
Manufacturing 8%
Utilities
Construction
39%
Trade and Services
Tax Excluded Subsidy 6% 5% 16
%
Trade and Services continue to be the main economic driver for Vietnam at 38.57%. This can be attributed to
the strong domestic consumption. The industry sector, at 34.6% continues to contribute a lot, with robust growth
on mining, manufacturing, utilities and construction.
WHAT DRIVES VIETNAM’S ECONOMIC GROWTH?
2016 vs FORECASTED 2017 GDP GROWTH
ECONOMIC STATUS
Tax Excluded Subsidy
Construction
Utilities
Manufacturing
-6.00% -4.00% -2.00%
Mining 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00%
ECONOMIC STATUS
44.7 Billion US Dollars. Imports, on the
March 2017
Amount U SD
other hand has a growth rate of 24.9%
YOY amounting to 46.6 Billion US Dollars.
Exports
4.5 The surge in exports is because of the
44.7 billion huge demand for electronics, computers
Imports 6.9% and components driven by the foreign-
46.6 billion invested manufacturing sector. Top exports
markets of Vietnam in 2016 are US, China
and Japan.
Whereas, the largest source of Vietnam’s imports are: Chins, Korea and Japan. Most of the imported items in
2016 consisted of machinery, equipment, electronics and computers which is heavily related to export assembly.
40
30
25
20
15
10
5
Unlike most of its neighboring countries, convenience stores in Vietnam accounts for the lowest sales among
retailing channels. In 2015 alone, sales among convenience stores accounted only to 2.3 trillion VND, while
hypermarkets accounted to 27.2 trillion VND and supermarket with the highest sales at 39.8 trillion VND.
However, it is also worth noting that modern retail sales in Vietnam is in a steady growth every year, growing
from 30.9 trillion VND in 2011 to 69.2 trillion VND in 2015 – A 124% growth rate in 5 years.
TRADITIONAL RETAIL CHANNEL SALES (Trillion VND)
1000
On the other hand, other grocery retailers (wet markets, food stalls, etc) account for the largest sales among
traditional markets. In 2015, other grocery retailers account for 895.6 trillion VND, followed by independent
small grocers at 374.6 trillion VND and lastly, food/drink/tobacco specialists at 32 trillion VND.
Similar with modern retailing channels, the growth among traditional market channels continue to grow
progressively.
Source: Euromonitor, USDA
TRADITIONAL RETAIL VS MODERN RETAIL (Trillion VND)
25%
20%
15%
10%
2012 2013 2014 2015
5%
Modern Retailing Channel Traditional Market Channel
0%
Despite both channels’ steady growth in the past years, the growth rate of its traditional market is declining in
comparison to modern retail. Modern retail experienced a steep growth rate by 2014 at 28%. However declined
the following year at 18%.
Traditional Retailing declined from 2012 having the growth rate of 24% down to 8% by 2015.
SUPERMARKETS AND HYPERMARKETS
Primarily,
Vietnamese dishes are composed mainly of fresh fruits and vegetables, making wet markets the most convenient
place to purchase fresh goods for everyday consumption. In addition to this, traditional retail outlets also pose as
a more viable option for most Vietnamese shoppers.
However, it is evident that modern retailing
6%
5
Work Life Balance
Source: Nielsen
8
2014
7
7.067
4
2002
3
4.698
2
Health consciousness ranks 1st on top 5 concerns by Vietnamese people according to a research conducted by Nielsen. In
addition to this, the latest data released by the world bank proves the growth on healthcare
spending in Vietnam (% of GDP).
A S E A N Healthcare Spending ( % of GDP)
0
2011 2012 2013 2014
Vietnam Malaysia Philippines Indonesia Thailand
In comparison to its neighboring Asian countries, Vietnam has the highest spending on healthcare particularly
due to its high demand from citizens. Spending on healthcare grew by 241% over the past decade.
C. BEVERAGE TOPS IN CONTRIBUTION AMONG ALL CATEGORIES
8%
15%
6%
15%
4%
Beverage Food Milk Base Home Care
2%
Personal Care Cigarette Baby Care
0%
Q1 - 15 Q2 - 15 Q3 - 15 Q4 - 15 Q1 - 16 Q2 - 16 Q3 - 16 Q4 - 16
With the maturing life stages (more and more family are having no dependent
children), kids will have less influence in determining purchase priorities. Baby
formula or children’s snack and beverage is starting to be bought seldom on retail
stores.
The number of Old and Single among the population has the highest growth rate in Vietnam while Families
that have dependent kid/s has the lowest growth rate and is forecasted to even drop further.
Families with Source: Cimigo
Moreover…
3%
6.0%
6%
4.0%
0.0%
15% 2.0% Q1 - Q2 - Q3 - Q4 - Q1 - Q2 - Q3 - Q4 -
- 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16
15% -4.0%
2.0%
Source: Nielsen
D. E-COMMERCE IS A RETAIL CHANNEL THAT HALF VIETNAM’S
POPULATION IS UNFAMILIAR OF
94.9
50.05 47.19
3 Million Million
Million
Pen et ration
50%
Pen et ration
53%
Urbanization
VIETNAM - PHILIPPINES
45.00% 80.00%
40.00% 70.00%
35.00%
30.00%
60.00%
25.00%
20.00% 50.00%
15.00%
10.00% 40.00%
5.00% 30.00%
0.00%
20.00%
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
10.00%
PHILIPPINES VIET PHILIPPINE VIETN
0.00%
NAM S AM
1990
Despite their similarities, it can also be noted that the ratio of adults to children in Vietnam is 3:1 whereas in the
Philippines it is at 2:1. This denotes that there are fewer families in Vietnam with dependent children, highly affecting
the purchase priorities.
VIETNAMESE PEOPLE TEND TO SPEND MORE ON
HEALTHCARE COMPARED TO FILIPINOS
COMPARISON
8% 7% Based on the data released by the World
7% 5% Bank, among the neighboring countries,
6% Vietnam has the most percentage in its
5%
GDP allotted for healthcare, characterized
by the population’s demand. Furthermore,
4%
health and wellness is a booming sector in
3%
Indonesia Malaysia Thailand
Vietnam.
2%
1%
0%
COMPARISON
50% 126%
Penetrati Penetratio
on n
Mobile Subscription
Penetration R a t e
Source: wearesocial
TIME SPENT ON INTERNET USAGE
COMPARISON
Average time spent Average time spent
via PC or Tablet via mobile phone
On average, Filipinos spend more time on their computers and mobile phones compared to Vietnamese people.
This implies the inclination to purchase services or goods online is stronger in the Philippines
compared to Vietnam.
Source: wearesocial
CONCLUSION
TRADES AND SERVICES
Vietnam’s GDP growth can be attributed to its strong trade and services
sector, further fueled by Foreign Direct Investments and Free Trade
Agreements.
TRADITIONAL MARKET
FAMILIES