Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Manajemen Risiko
Yusuf Zalaya
16 September 2017
Risk As a Scientific Method
Kemungkinan Akibat
Risk Management Process AS/NZS 4360
Identify risks
Analyse risks
Evaluate risks
Assess risks
Treat risks
Establish the context
External context - The organisational context
The risk management context - Develops criteria
Decide the structure
Identify risks
What can happen?
How can it happen?
Analyse Risk
Determine existing control
Evaluate Risk
Compare againts criteria
Set risk priorities
yes
Assess risk Accept
Risk?
no
TREAT Risk
1. Identify treatment option 4. Prepare treatment plan
2. evaluate treatment options 5. Implement Plan
3. select treatment options
Evaluated and ranked risk
Risk Treatment Process
Risk yes
Acceptable
Accept
N0
Identify
Communication and consult Treatment Reduce Reduce Transfer in
Avoid
options Likelihood Consequences full or in part
Prepare
Treatment Prepare treatment plans
Plans
Implement
Treatment Reduce Reduce Transfer in
Avoid
Likelihood Consequences full or in part
plans
N0
Latar Belakang
Unsafe Act /
Condition
KECELAKAAN
ACCIDENT MODEL
CEDERA
RISK ASSESSMENT
Probability = all causes start from underlying causes through
immediate causes (semua penyebab mulai dari penyebab yang mendasari
melalui penyebab langsung)
Qualitative
Semi Quantitative
Quantitative
Risk Models
Matrix Model (qualitative)
A (Almost certain) H H E E E
B (Likely) M H H E E
C (moderate) L M H E E
D (unlikely) L L M H E
E (rare) L L M H H
Weightings are assigned to each risk variable. Bobot diberikan pada setiap
variabel risiko.
Generally intolerable Risk cannot be justified
High Except in extraordinary
Risk
circumstances
ALARP Concept
Risk Mapping
33 32
RiskMAP Unacceptable
87 11 53
10.00
35
8.50 168
160128
163 138 126 16 14 9
141 47 15 3 70 121 64 69
158
8.00
145 97 99 62
1 95 75 54 36
7.00
71
5.00
2.50
.50 Acceptable
0
0 0.001 0.010 0.100 0.250 0.500 0.850 1.000
PROBABILITY/LIKELIHOOD
Selection of The Risk Techniques
When the need is to. Technique to use
Study specific events. perform post-incident Event trees. fault trees,
investigations, compare risks of specific failures. FMEA. PRA, HAZOP
calculate specific event probabilities
Existing level
(By considering the existing program)
Predictive Level
(By considering recommended program)
RISK CONTROL
Eliminasi
1
2 Substitusi
Rekayasa/
3 Engineering
Pengendalian
4 Administratif
Alat Pelindung
5 Diri
RISK CONTROL
HIERARCHY OF CONTROL PROBABILITY CONSEQUENCES
ENGINEERING CONTROL
ADMINISTRATIVE
CONTROL
TRAINING/PROMOTION
PPE/APD
TERIMA
KASIH