Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
environmental change
risks and uncertainties
Stockholm Seminar Prof. Johan Rockstrm
8th June 2010 Stockholm Resilience Centre
KVA Stockholm Environment Institute
5
0
Tipping elements in the Earth system
PNAS Special Feature released December 2009
3 C 6 C
(non-CO2 GHGs are methane (CH4); nitrous oxide (N2O); halocarbons (HCs) which include
CFCs, HCFCs, and HFCs; and tropospheric ozone (O3).
Why have we only seen ~0.7 C
warming so far?
~0.5 C stored in oceans (20 %)
Gt Carbon/yr
7 ocean
6 Fossil CO2 6
5
land
4 4
3
2 2
1
0 0
1970 1980 1990 2000 2004
CO2 from fossil fuels and other sources
CO2 from land use change
CH4 from agriculture, waste and energy
N2O from agriculture and others Adapted from Canadell et al., 2007
F gases
Ocean acidification
Challenge to marine biodiversity and ability of oceans to
function as sink of CO2
Turley et al 2006
(WBGU 2009)