All Rights Reserved Chapter Eleven Liquidity and Reserve Management: Strategies and Policies 11-2 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Liquidity
The Availability of Cash in the Amount and at the Time Needed at a Reasonable Cost 11-3 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Supplies of Liquid Funds Incoming Customer Deposits Revenues from the Sale of Nondeposit Services Customer Loan Repayments Sales of Bank Assets Borrowings from the Money Market 11-4 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Demands for Liquidity Customer Deposit Withdrawals Credit Requests from Quality Loan Customers Repayment of Nondeposit Borrowings Operating Expenses and Taxes Payment of Stockholder Dividends 11-5 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. A Financial Firms Net Liquidity Position
L = Supplies of Liquid Funds - Demands for Liquidity 11-6 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Essence of Liquidity Management Rarely are the Demands for Liquidity Equal to the Supply of Liquidity at Any Particular Moment. The Financial Firm Must Continually Deal with Either a Liquidity Deficit or Surplus There is a Trade-Off Between Liquidity and Profitability. The More Resources Tied Up in Readiness to Meet Demands for Liquidity, the Lower is the Financial Firms Expected Profitability. 11-7 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Why Banks and Their Competitors Face Significant Liquidity Problems Imbalances Between Maturity Dates of Their Assets and Liabilities High Proportion of Liabilities Subject to Immediate Repayment Sensitivity to Changes in Interest Rates Central Role in the Payment Process 11-8 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
When is a financial institution adequately liquid?
A financial institution is adequately liquid if it has adequate cash available precisely when cash is needed at a reasonable cost. Management can monitor the cash position over time and monitor as well what is happening to its cost of funds. One indicator of the adequacy of the liquidity position is its cost - a rising interest cost may reflect greater perceived risk for the borrowing bank as viewed by capital-market investors. 11-9 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Strategies for Liquidity Managers Asset Liquidity Management or Asset Conversion Strategy Borrowed Liquidity or Liability - Management Strategy Balanced Liquidity Strategy 11-10 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Asset Liquidity Management
This Strategy Calls for Storing Liquidity in the Form of Liquid Assets and Selling Them When Liquidity is Needed 11-11 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Liquid Asset Must Have a Ready Market So it Can Be Converted to Cash Quickly Must Have a Reasonably Stable Price Must Be Reversible So an Investor Can Recover Original Investment with Little Risk 11-12 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Options for Storing Liquidity Treasury Bills Fed Funds Sold to Other Banks Purchasing Securities for Resale (Repos) Deposits with Correspondent Banks Municipal Bonds and Notes Federal Agency Securities Negotiable Certificates of Deposits
11-13 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Costs of Asset Liquidity Management Loss of Future Earnings on Assets That Must Be Sold Transaction Costs on Assets That Must Be Sold Potential Capital Losses If Interest Rates are Rising May Weaken Appearance of Balance Sheet Liquid Assets Generally Have Low Returns 11-14 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Borrowed Liquidity Management
This Strategy Calls for the Bank to Purchase or Borrow from the Money Market To Cover All of Its Liquidity Needs 11-15 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Sources of Borrowed Funds Federal Funds Purchased Selling Securities for Repurchase (Repos) Issuing Large CDs (Greater than $100,000) Issuing Eurocurrency Deposits Securing Advance from the Federal Home Loan Bank Borrowing Reserves from the Discount Window of the Federal Reserve 11-16 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Balanced Liquidity Management Strategy
The Combined Use of Liquid Asset Holdings (Asset Management) and Borrowed Liquidity (Liability Management) to Meet Liquidity Needs 11-17 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Guidelines for Liquidity Managers They Should Keep Track of All Fund-Using and Fund-Raising Departments They Should Know in Advance Withdrawals by the Biggest Credit or Deposit Customers Their Priorities and Objectives for Liquidity Management Should be Clear Liquidity Needs Must be Evaluated on a Continuing Basis Liquidity managers should know what other departments within the institution are doing 11-18 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Methods for Estimating Liquidity Needs Sources and Uses of Funds Approach Structure of Funds Approach Liquidity Indicator Approach Signals from the Marketplace 11-19 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Sources and Uses of Funds Loans and Deposits Must Be Forecast for a Given Liquidity Planning Period The Estimated Change in Loans and Deposits Must Be Calculated for the Same Planning Period The Liquidity Manager Must Estimate the Banks Net Liquid Funds By Comparing the Estimated Change in Loans to the Estimated Change in Deposits 11-20 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Liquidity management using sources and uses of funds Suppose that a bank estimates its total deposits for the next six months in millions of dollars will be, respectively $112, $132, $121, $147, $151 and $139, while its loans (also in millions of dollars will total as estimated $87, $95, $201, $113, $101 and $124, respectively, over the same six months. Under the sources and uses of funds approach, when does this bank face liquidity deficits, if any? 11-21 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Sources and Uses of Funds approach Deposits Loans depo loans Deficit/ surplus 112 87 D - L 132 95 20 8 12 121 102 -11 7 -18 147 113 26 11 15 151 101 4 -12 16 139 124 -12 23 -35 11-22 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Structure of Funds A Banks Deposits and Other Sources of Funds Divided Into Categories. For Example: Hot Money Liabilities Vulnerable Funds Stable Funds Liquidity Manager Set Aside Liquid Funds According to Some Operating Rule
11-23 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Structure of funds Suppose that a thrift institutions liquidity division estimates that it holds $19 million in hot money deposits and other IOUs against which it will hold an 80 percent liquidity reserve, $54 million in vulnerable funds against which it plans to hold a 25 percent reserve, and $112 million in stable or core funds against which it will hold a 5 percent liquidity reserve. The thrift expects its loans to grow 8 percent annually; its loans currently stand at $117 million, but have recently reached $132 million. If reserve requirements on liabilities currently stand at 3 percent, what is this depository institutions total liquidity requirement? 11-24 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Structure of funds Total Liquidity Requirement = 0.80 ($19 million - 0.03 x $19 million) + 0.25 ($54 million - 0.03 x $54 million) + 0.05 ($112 million - 0.03 x $112 million) + ($132 million +0.08 x $132 million - $117 million) = $58.83 million 11-25 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Steps needed for the structure of funds approach In the first step, the institution's deposits and other funds sources are divided into categories based on their estimated probability of being withdrawn and, therefore, lost to the bank. Second, the liquidity manager must set aside liquid funds according to some desired operating rules for those categories. Categories can include "hot money" liabilities, vulnerable funds, and stable funds. 11-26 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Problem on liquidity requirement Suppose Abigail Savings Bank's liquidity manager estimates that the bank will experience a $430 million liquidity deficit next month with a probability of 10 percent, a $300 million liquidity deficit with a probability of 40 percent, a $230 million liquidity surplus with a probability of 30 percent, and a $425 million liquidity surplus bearing a probability of 20 percent. What is this savings banks expected liquidity requirement? What should management do? 11-27 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Liquidity requirement answer The bank's expected liquidity requirement is: Expected Liquidity Requirement = 0.10 *(-$430 million) + 0.40 * (-$300 million) + 0.30* ($230 million) + 0.20 * (+$425 million) = -$43 million - $120 million + $69 million + $85 million = -$9 million 11-28 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. The liquidity indicator approach to liquidity management? The liquidity indicator approach uses tell- tale financial ratios (e.g., total loans/total assets or cash assets/total assets) whose changes over time may reflect the changing liquidity position of the financial institution. The ratios are used to estimate liquidity needs and to monitor changes in the liquidity position. 11-29 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Liquidity Indicator Approach Cash Position Indicator Liquid Security Indicator Net Federal Funds Position Capacity Ratio Pledged Securities Ratio Hot Money Ratio Deposit Brokerage Index Core Deposit Ratio Deposit Composition Ratio Loan Commitment Ratio
11-30 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Liquidity indicator approach First National Bank has the following balance sheet cash = 633, Govt. sec= 185, net loans = 3502, fed funds sold = 48. Fed funds purchased = 62, DD= 988, time deposits =2627. How many liquidity indicators can be calculated from these figs. 11-31 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Liquidity indicator answers The liquidity indicators that we can construct from the foregoing figures include: Cash Position Indicator: Cash and Deposits Due from Other Banks $633/Total Assets $4496 = 14.08% Net Federal Funds Position: (Federal Funds Sold Federal Funds Purchases)=($48 - $62)/Total Assets $4496= - .31% 11-32 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Liquidity indicators answers Capacity Ratio: Net Loans and Leases $3,502/Total Assets $4496 = 77.89 percent Deposit Composition Ratio: Demand Deposits $988/Time deposits $2,627 =37.61 percent Liquid Securities Indicator: U.S. Government Securities $185/total assets $4496=4.11 percent
11-33 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Market Signals of Liquidity Management Public Confidence Stock Price Behavior Risk Premiums on CDs Loss Sales of Assets Meeting Commitments to Creditors Borrowings from the Central Bank No financial institution can tell for sure if it has sufficient liquidity until it has passed the market's test. 11-34 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. What is money position management? A money position manager is responsible for ensuring that the institution maintains an adequate level of legal reserves. 11-35 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Legal Reserves
Assets That a Central Bank Requires Depository Institutions to Hold as a Reserve Behind Their Deposits or Other Liabilities 11-36 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. What is the principal goal of money position management? The money-position manager wants to insure the bank has sufficient legal reserves to meet its reserve requirements as imposed by the central bank but holds no more than the legal minimum requirement because excess legal reserves yield no income for the bank. 11-37 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. How is the legal reserve requirement determined? Each reservable liability item is multiplied by the stipulated reserve requirement percentage set by the Federal Reserve Board to derive the bank's total legal reserve requirements. Thus, total required legal reserves equal the reserve requirement on transaction deposits times the daily average amount of net transaction deposits over a designated period plus the reserve requirement on nontransaction reservable liabilities times the daily average amount of nontransaction reservable liabilities. Currently nontransaction liabilities have a reserve requirement of zero. 11-38 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. U.S. Legal Reserve Requirements First $7.8 Million have 0 Legal Reserves 3 Percent of End-of-the-Day Daily Average for a Two Week Period For Transaction Accounts Up To $48.3 Million 10 Percent of End-of-the-Day Daily Average for a Two Week Period For Transaction Accounts For Amounts Over $48.3 Million Transaction Accounts Include Checking Accounts, NOW Accounts and Other Deposits Used to Make Payments The $48.3 Million Amount is Adjusted Annually 11-39 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Required reserves First National Bank finds that its net transactions deposits average $140 million over the latest reserve computation period. Given the reserve requirement ratios imposed by the Federal Reserve as given in the textbook, what is the bank's total required legal reserve? 11-40 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Reserve requirement answer Reserve Requirement = 0.03 * [First $48.3 - $7.8 million of Transaction Deposits] + .10*[Amount of Transaction Deposits in Excess of $48.3 million] = .03 * $40.5 + .10 * ($140 - $48.3) = $1.215 million + $9.17 million = $10.385 million 11-41 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Reserve requirement A U.S. savings bank has a daily average reserve balance at the Federal Reserve Bank in its district of $25 million during the latest reserve maintenance period. Its vault cash holdings have averaged $1 million and the bank's total transaction deposits (net of interbank deposits and cash items in collection) averaged $200 million daily over the latest reserve maintenance period. Does this depository institution have a legal reserve deficiency? How would you recommend that its management responds to the current situation? 11-42 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Reserve requirements - answer The bank's total required legal reserves must be: Required Legal Reserves = 0.03 x [First $48.3 $7.8 million of Transactions Deposits] + 0.10 x [Transactions Deposits Over $48.3 million] = $1.215 million + $15.17 million = $16.385 million The average vault cash of $1 million plus the $25 million at the district Reserve Bank indicates total maintained reserves of $26 million, meaning the bank is over required reserves by $9,615,000. Management will have to plan how to invest this excess reserve taking into account any anticipated drain on funds in the near future and taking into account any reserve deficit in the previous period. 11-43 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Factors to consider in meeting a deficit in legal reserve account? Several factors must be taken into account by the liquidity manager, including current and expected future levels of interest rates, projected changes in monetary policy, the bank's borrowing capacity and current holdings of liquid assets, the bank's forecast of future deposit growth and loan demand, the expected size and duration of any liquidity deficits or surpluses, and his or her knowledge of the future plans of the bank's largest depositors and borrowers with credit lines. 11-44 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Reserve Maintenance Period
The Period of Time Over Which a Bank Must Hold the Required Amount of Legal Reserves that the Law Demands 11-45 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Reserve Computation Period
The Period of Time Over Which a Bank Calculates its Legal Reserve Requirement 11-46 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Factors in Choosing Among Different Sources of Reserves Immediacy of Banks Needs Duration of Banks Needs Banks Access to Market for Liquid Funds Relative Costs and Risks of Alternatives Interest Rate Outlook Outlook for Central Bank Monetary Policy Regulations Applicable for Liquidity Sources 11-47 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. What are clearing balances? Of what benefit can clearing balances be to a depository that uses the Federal Reserve Systems check-clearing network? Any financial institution using the Federal Reserve check clearing system has to maintain a minimum balance with the Federal Reserve. The amount is determined by its estimated check clearing needs and its recent record of overdrafts. The clearing balance can be a benefit because the institution earns credits from holding this balance with the Fed and this credit can be used to pay the fees the Fed charges for services. 11-48 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Clearing balances Suppose a bank maintains an average clearing balance of $5 million during a period in which the Federal funds rate averages 6 percent. How much would this bank have available in credits at the Federal Reserve Bank in its district to help offset the charges assessed against the bank for using Federal Reserve services? Reserve Credit = Avg. Clearing Balance x Annualized Fed Funds Rate x 14 days/360 days = $5,000,000 x .06 x 14/360 = $11,666.67
11-49 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Sweep Account A Contractual Account Between Bank and Customer that Permits the Bank to Move Funds Out of a Customers Checking Account Overnight in Order to Generate Higher Returns for the Customer and Lower Reserve Requirements for the Bank 11-50 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Customer Relationship Doctrine
Management Should Strive to Meet All Good Loans that Walk in the Door in Order to Build Lasting Customer Relationships