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Real lending rates have always been among the highest in Central and Eastern Europe
Real lending rate (nominal minus GDP deflator), average 2005-2010, %
GEO ALB MDA AZE HRV ROM CZE HUN SVK SVN BGR MNE BIH LTU LVA EST RUS UKR BLR -5 0 5 10 15
Access to financing is identified as one of the most problematic factors for doing business
Ease of access to loans ranking, Global Competitiveness Index 2011-2012
MNE BGR SVK EST CZE AZE POL GEO LVA ROM HRV RUS HUN SVN MDA LTU ALB BIH UKR 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Though much lower than pre-crisis levels the difference between nominal and real lending interest rates denotes a strong inflationary environment
The share of bank loans to GDP, nominal and real interest rates for bank credits in national currency, %
Bank loans to GDP Nominal lending rate 40.2 32.0 Real lending rate 39.8 41.6 38.0
45
40 35 30 27.5 29.1
34.5 31.5
33.9
29.5
25
20 15
25.2
10
5 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (e)
Lending interest rates have traditionally been higher for households than for firms
Monthly lending interest rates, average, for credits to companies and households, %
Source: EBRD
MNE
ALB
BGR
LVA CZE SVN LTU
HUN
POL 0 5 10 15 20
Consequence: The of banking loan portfolios in Moldova has traditionally been one of the highest among the region
Share of non-performing loans in total gross loans, average 2005-2010, %
MDA ROM MNE LTU POL LVA ALB HRV RUS BIH HUN SVK BGR CZE GEO BLR EST SVN 0 2 4 6 8 10
The main outcome: narrow access of firms and households to banking credits
The share of bank credits in GDP, average for the period 2005-2010, %
Paradox: high liquidity levels paralleled with low banking sector penetration
Correlation between the banking liquidity and the share of banking credits in GDP, average for the period 2005-2010, %
The Global Competitiveness Index confirms the lending rates issue in Moldova
Access to financing is constantly recognized as one of the most problematic factor for doing business in Moldova Moldovas rank according to the ease of access to loans, in fact, decreased in comparison with the pre-crisis level: 102nd place out of 134 according to the 2008-2009 issue, compared to 109th place out of 142 in the 2011-2012 issue.
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