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Crack the Case 2010

David Ohrvall, Founder MBACASE

Crack the Case agenda g

Overview & Core Skills Practice


8 75 minutes 8 Overview 8 CLASSIC skills 8 Market sizing cases

Structures & Techniques

Practice Integrated Thinking

8 45 minutes 8 60 minutes 8 Video highlights 8 1 mini-business case 8 Case Path structure 8 1 full business case 8 FRAME & MVM

15 min.

David Ohrvall

participate i i

think big picture


be serious serious, have fun
4

CASES are EVERYWHERE


Consulting
i Strategy/ IT/ Operations i Market entry i Profit maximization i Declining market i Organizational redesign g g

Finance
i M&A transactions i Private equity buy-outs i Business sell offs sell-offs i Time value of money

Marketing
i New product i Lagging product i New industry i Branding remedies

Industry
i Airlines i Health care i Internet / telecomm i Internal strategy

What the world sees

What you are made of

What do cases really test?

C
Communication

L
Logic

A
Analytical

SS
Social Skills

IC
Integration & Creativity

Which skills matter?

Pre & Post Interview

Behavioral Questions

Market Sizing g & Estimation

Mini Business Case

Full Business Case

C
Communication

L
Logic

A
Analytical

SS
Social Skills

IC
Integration & Creativity

Be answer first!

Answer First

C
Communication

L
Logic

A
Analytical

SS
Social Skills

IC
Integration & Creativity

Show breadth and depth

Breadth

Depth

C
Communication

L
Logic

A
Analytical

SS
Social Skills

IC
Integration & Creativity

Our client wants to open a chocolate store. p


Time
Short Term Mid Term id Long Term

Financial Goals
Break Even ROI O Profit Margin

Competitors
Boutiques Gift Shops Gif Sh Ice Cream

Product Quality
Organic Cocoa C Consistency

Distribution
Central Regional i l

Does our client have a deadline ?

What is our ROI goal?

Do you have data on competitors?

What are the product standards?

Will we make on site or distribute it?

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Build a data foundation

Comfort Scale Accuracy y Estimating

C
Communication

L
Logic

A
Analytical

SS
Social Skills

IC
Integration & Creativity

Estimate first
$# %
Candidates must be able to manipulate simple numbers. b

Towels Unlimited Inc.


Sales are $.5B. Profit margin is 30%. Profit may have fallen 30%. Total Rev $500M 100% Total Costs $350M 70% Total Profit $150M 30% $ Goals
Stop the Bleeding!

$45M ~10% Rev

When asked, they should be ready to go into detail.

simple equations break even analysis reading charts and data


13

Be client ready

Work toward toward, consistent normal pre and post p p interview skills

C
Communication

L
Logic

A
Analytical

SS
Social Skills

IC
Integration & Creativity

Save your creativity

Pull together facts and data quickly

Develop interesting and g applicable solutions Creativity!

C
Communication

L
Logic

A
Analytical

SS
Social Skills

IC
Integration & Creativity

1. 1 Breadth and depth should be your highest practice priorities 2. Analytical skills pick-up quickly 3. Frequent practice and wide exposure are most important for integration and creativity

16

2
Homework

1. 1 Read Business Week (or other business magazine) 2. Assess a story: - whats the main issue? - write down issues to consider - write out questions you have - list data you need to solve

17

Lets do a case!

Pre & Post Interview

Behavioral Questions

Market Sizing g & Estimation

Mini Business Case

Full Business Case

C
Communication

L
Logic

A
Analytical

SS
Social Skills

IC
Integration & Creativity

You need to SPEAK


Market Si i / E ti M k t Sizing/ Estimation Cases ti C Counting # of toothbrushes sold regularly g y Measuring How many square feet of windows are in Seattle Usage How fast do consumers go g through a bottle of hair spray?

Communicate your comfort with numbers, ambiguity and logic


19

SPEAK is a guide

S P E A K

tate your assumptions ick your metrics stimate quickly with round #s ti t i kl ith d# ssess your approach and answer h d eep exceptions and next steps in mind

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How much shampoo do people use in a downtown hotel each day?

tate your assumptions


i We are counting hotel supplied shampoo only i Downtown hotels have 20 floors i Shampoo bottles from the hotel are 1 ounce i 15 rooms per floor i 75% average occupancy i Customers open 1 bottle per day

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ick your metrics


i Ounces or units of product used i Others include: i Population Dont use this one every time i Observation (people entering a store) i Time i Distance i Geography

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stimate quickly and with round #s


i 20 floors x 15 rooms = 300 rooms i 300 rooms x 75% occupancy = 225 i 225 x 1 oz bottles = 225 ounces per day

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ssess your approach and answer


i 225 ounces = 28, 8 oz bottles (visually makes sense) iV Very simple approach i l h i How else could you have approached it?

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eep exceptions and next steps in mind


i 60% of people use hotel shampoo i 225 x 60% = 135 ounces (divide for bottles) i Some people take extra bottles from hotel i Floor lay-out may vary i Next steps: i Look into wall mounted pumps (no waste) i Survey customers to understand needs i Consider 2 sizes of bottles

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Market Sizing Practice


iPractice with a partner Practice i1 person gives the case using the answer key y i1 person receives the case using white paper iTake about 10 minutes for each case iTrack areas where you need to improve Track

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1. 1 Market sizing cases will test your communication and analytics 2. Use SPEAK as a guideline at first 3. Be ready to analyze the problem with different approaches

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3
Homework

1. 1 Find some market sizing cases 2. Practice using SPEAK to get yourself warmed up 3. Speak out loud for all your work 4. Try your own style over time and practice solving the same case different ways diff t
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Todays workplan y p

Overview & Core Skills Practice


8 75 minutes 8 Overview 8 CLASSIC skills 8 Market sizing cases

Structures & Techniques

Practice Integrated Thinking

8 45 minutes 8 60 minutes 8 Video highlights 8 1 mini-business case 8 Case Path structure 8 1 full business case 8 FRAME & MVM

15 min.

29

Business cases are the most common


Strategy
Merge, Acquire, JV g , q , Growth Strategy New Product/ Bus New Market (Geo)

Ops & Org


Maximize Profit Change Price New Processes Restructure Team

External Forces
Competitor Attack p Market Shift

Most cases follow a similar pattern


30

MBACASE Path: Most any case you receive will follow this flow
Qualitative

Integration & I t ti Creativity Start Logic & Breadth So what?

Warm-up Warmth & Client Ready

Data End

Quantitative

Depth & Analytical A l i l C a t/ Chart/ Table Data Dump

Insight!

Estimate E ti t Solve for X


31

Equations

Meet Shari & Sameer


Interviewer Shari Rogge-Fidler, ex-BCG MBACASE coach (calm, pointed, analytical)
To watch this video go to www.mbacase.com. Click on the image of David holding the slide. Go to Video 3.

Candidate Sameer (eager, analytical, suffers from some SSdisorders)

1 - Transition
Qualitative

Integration & I t ti Creativity Start Logic & Breadth

Warm-up Warmth & Client Ready

4 5
So what? Data End

1
Quantitative

2 3
Depth & Analytics A l ti C a t/ Chart/ Table Data Dump

Insight!

Estimate E ti t Solve for X

Equations

1 - Transition

2 & 3 Question & Recap


Qualitative

Integration & I t ti Creativity Start Logic & Breadth

Warm-up Warmth & Client Ready

4 5
So what? Data End

1
Quantitative

2 3
Depth & Analytics A l ti C a t/ Chart/ Table Data Dump

Insight!

Estimate E ti t Solve for X

Equations

2 Question

3 - Recap

4 & 5 Initial data & plan


Qualitative

Integration & I t ti Creativity Start Logic & Breadth

Warm-up Warmth & Client Ready

4 5
So what? Data End

1
Quantitative

2 3
Depth & Analytics A l ti C a t/ Chart/ Table Data Dump

Insight!

Estimate E ti t Solve for X

Equations

4 Initial data

5 - Plan

6,7 & 8 Shari pushback


Qualitative

Integration & I t ti Creativity Start Logic & Breadth

Warm-up Warmth & Client Ready

4 5
So what? Data End

1
Quantitative

2 3
Depth & Analytics A l ti C a t/ Chart/ Table Data Dump

Insight!

Estimate E ti t Solve for X

Equations

6 Data?

7 Plan?

8 What do you mean?

9 Diving into data


Qualitative

Integration & I t ti Creativity Start Logic & Breadth

Warm-up Warmth & Client Ready

4 5
So what? Data End

1
Quantitative

2 3
Depth & Analytics A l ti C a t/ Chart/ Table Data Dump

Insight!

Estimate E ti t Solve for X

Equations

9 Diving into data

10, 11, 12 Integration


Qualitative

Integration & I t ti Creativity Start Logic & Breadth

Warm-up Warmth & Client Ready

4 5
So what? Data End

1
Quantitative

2 3
Depth & Analytics A l ti C a t/ Chart/ Table Data Dump

Insight!

Estimate E ti t Solve for X

Equations

10 Integrate & End

11 Wrap up

12 Get practical

13 Wrap up
Qualitative

Integration & I t ti Creativity Start Logic & Breadth

Warm-up Warmth & Client Ready

4 5
So what? Data End

1
Quantitative

2 3
Depth & Analytics A l ti C a t/ Chart/ Table Data Dump

Insight!

Estimate E ti t Solve for X

Equations

13 Wrap up

1. 1 Expect to be put on the spot and challenged 2. Use the interviewers questions as a way to show ti t h confidence 3. Structure and data are used at every step
53

4
Homework

1. 1 Make a list of the worst questions an interviewer could ask you 2. Lay out answers y 3. Lay out tactics. Where would you move the discussion? What data would you ask for?
54

MBACASE Path: Most any case you receive will follow this flow
Qualitative

F R A
Start Logic & Breadth

Integration & I t ti Creativity

Warm-up Warmth & Client Ready

So what?
Quantitative

Data End

Depth & Analytical A l i l Data Dump

Insight!

C a t/ Chart/ Table

Estimate E ti t Solve for X


55

Equations

The FRAME Method co s s s o consists of 5 skills you need to build s s eed o u d

orm a Plan

ead Your Audience

A nchor a Hypothesis M ine for Data E


nd the Case!
56

The FRAME Method co s s s o consists of 5 skills you need to build s s eed o u d

orm a Plan

Listen & take notes Group your thoughts Think holistically y Present your plan

57

Listen & take notes

iUse only 2-3 loose pieces of paper Use 2 3 iWrite the bare minimum think white board Prepare to show your work Develop a consistent system youll use every time Use your notes!

58

Develop your own consistent approach

Facts

Plan

Data

59

Whats your objective with every case?

Maximize the Value M i i th V l of the Company p y

60

Develop an integrated mental map Maximum Value Model ( a u a ue ode (MVM) ) C I

Zone 5 Z

T
Zone 4
Finance

Zone 3
Organization

Zone 2 Zone 1
Strategy Operations

Customer

Volume People Mix Price Systems Fixed Variable

CA$H
Measure

D/E

Processes

61

Waterfall each zone adds value

Zone 4 Zone 3 Zone 2 Zone 1

62

Strategy increase, change, shrink

Zone 4 Zone 3 Zone 2 Zone 1


Strategy

63

Operations revenue and cost

Zone 4 Zone 3 Zone 2 Zone 1


Strategy Operations

Volume Mix Price


Customer

Fixed Variable

64

Organization people, systems, p o esses a d easu e e processes and measurement

Zone 4 Zone 3
Organization

Zone 2 Zone 1
Strategy Operations

Customer

Volume People Mix Price Systems Fixed Variable

Measure

Processes

65

Finance cash, debt, equity

Zone 4 Zone 3
Organization Finance

Zone 2 Zone 1
Strategy Operations

Customer

Volume People Mix Price Systems Fixed Variable

CA$H
Measure

D/E

Processes

66

External Forces

Zone 5 Z

Suppliers Public Economy Competitors

Technology Legal g Auditing Industry

67

Maximum Value Model (MVM)

Zone 5 Z

T
Zone 4
Finance

Zone 3
Organization

Zone 2 Zone 1
Strategy Operations

Customer

Volume People Mix Price Systems Fixed Variable

CA$H
Measure

D/E

Processes

68

The FRAME Method co s s s o consists of 5 skills you need to build s s eed o u d

orm a Plan

Listen & take notes Group your thoughts Think holistically y Present your plan

69

Use your plan to connect and explain

Plan Facts
Group A
Why? Data? ? Questions?

Main Idea

Group B

Group C

Group D

Data

70

Use your plan to connect and explain

Plan Facts R T T Data C

P V VC FC

issue driver

71

Always Fresh (www.mbacase.com)

i Subsidiary of $30B consumer products conglomerate y $ p g i Successful line of deodorant/anti-perspirant spray, roll-on and stick i Team is ready to go abroad and youre the team leader you re i Is international expansion a good idea? Which countries are best?

How do I start in a simple p and common sense way?

72

Move through your mental map

Zone 5 Z

C
3

T
Zone 4
Finance

Zone 3
Organization

Zone 2 Zone 1
Strategy Operations

4 1 2
C R Volume People Mix Price Systems Fixed Variable .

CA$H
Measure

Customer

D/E

Processes

73

Lay out your notes and be ready to share

Always Fresh Go international stick/spray/roll-on which market? Go/ No Go Strategic

Go international?

Revenue
Wheres

Compet
Response? Presence

Organiz
history?

R C T T

$30B conglom

Why? Goals? l?

demand?

Other prod V & P

Estimate by country

launches?

place by country?

org i in

Goals

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Read your audience at all times


iNote his or her style Note
- Chatty Charlie vs. Data Maam vs. Silent Partner

iExpect changes in style throughout the interview


- Relaxed to intense to relaxed again is common

iRespond!
- Stay nimble: speed up, slow down, listen intently up down - Track with the interviewer at all times

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Anchor a hypothesis

iThis approach speeds up your thinking This iPut a mental stake in the ground on what you think solve to prove or disprove it p p iYou do not have to state your hypothesis!
Main Question A
Why? y Data? Q ti ? Questions? C FC
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P R V T VC

issue driver

Where would you like to go first?

Always Fresh Go international stick/spray/roll-on which market? Go/ No Go Strategic

Go international?

Previous experience with team and distribution is vital

Revenue
Wheres

Compet
Response?

Organiz
history?

R C T T

$30B conglom

Why?

Goals

Presence Goals? l? High demand is by country the keyOther prod Estimate to V&P finding launches? g the Product is P d ti right market differentiable; can take competitors competitors share

demand?

place by country?

org i in

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Mine for an answer (find data!)


Demand exists and can be estimated ti t d
iDo people p p want this product? iDemand by country? iPrice? iWhere is there growth?

Product is differentiable

Team support is vital


iIs the team in place? Do we have experience? iHow will we sell and distribute the product? iFinancing in i i i place?

iWhat is unique about product? iHow can we differentiate? iHistorical competitor response?

Find specific answers to your questions


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Mine for an answer (continued)

Big markets: Brazil Japan and Germany Brazil,

Price differentiation: Spray is higher Brazil and Japan are fragmented, share gains are B il dJ f t d h i possible No deodorant type is dominant by country

Entering all three countries will bring in annual revenue of $183M


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End the case!

iPlan the end long before the time is up Plan iBe concise and answer the main question q iTie data to your recommendations dont answer just from your gut!

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The FRAME Method

orm a Plan

ead Your Audience

A nchor a Hypothesis M ine for Data E


nd the Case!
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1. 1 FRAME will help you pinpoint your weaknesses 2. Anchoring a hypothesis helps y you focus and speed up. You p p dont have to say it. 3. Mining for data and answers requires you to own the problem. bl
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6
Homework

1. 1 Practice a few cases and then assess your performance using the FRAME structure. Where did you have trouble? 2. Download Always Fresh and do the full case with a partner (2x).

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Todays workplan y p

Overview & Core Skills Practice


8 75 minutes 8 Overview 8 CLASSIC skills 8 Market sizing cases

Structures & Techniques

Practice Integrated Thinking

8 45 minutes 8 60 minutes 8 Video highlights 8 1 mini-business case 8 Case Path structure 8 1 full business case 8 FRAME & MVM

15 min.

84

Crack the Case 2010


David Ohrvall, Founder MBACASE

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