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InstituteforEconomicDevelopmentandRealEstateResearch

March14,2011

Mr.DavidBowman
DirectorofResearchandSpecialProjects
DisasterRecoveryUnit,OfficeofCommunityDevelopment
PostOfficeBox94095
BatonRouge,LA708049095

DearMr.Bowman,

WearepleasedtodeliverourfinalreportfocusingonmarkettrendsandconditionsintheNew
Orleansregion.Thisisfinalreport,whereappropriateandpossible,incorporatessuggestions
basedoncommentsreceivedfromthosewhoreviewedthedraftversionofthedocument.

Wehaveenjoyedworkingwithyouonthischallengingassignmentandlookforwardtohearing
fromyouifyouhaveanyquestionsorifwecanbeoffurtherassistance.

Sincerely,

IvanJ.Miestchovich,Jr.,Ph.D.
DirectorandAssociateProfessorofFinance

413 Kirschman Hall 2000 Lakeshore Drive New Orleans, LA 70148 504.280.1408 Fax: 504.280.3952
A Member of the Louisiana State University System Committed to Equal Opportunity

TableofContents

ExecutiveSummary:OverviewofCurrentMarketConditions..............................................................7
Forward:OverviewandMethodology................................................................................................11
Purpose...................................................................................................................................................11
AffordableHousingNeedsversusHousingDemand..............................................................................11
Sources....................................................................................................................................................13
LimitationsoftheReport........................................................................................................................15
HistoryoftheRentalMarketinNewOrleansMetropolitanArea.......................................................16
Graph1:ApartmentOccupancyandPermitHistory..........................................................................16
Pre1970s...............................................................................................................................................17
Table1:ProfileofRenterOccupiedHousing......................................................................................17
Table2:AgeofStructure,RenterOccupiedHousing.........................................................................18
Table3:UnitsinStructureandAgeofStructure................................................................................18
The1970s...............................................................................................................................................19
The1980s...............................................................................................................................................20
The1990sandBeyond...........................................................................................................................21
Table4:AverageOccupancyNewOrleansMetropolitanArea,1974to2010...................................23
Table5:HousingProductionandWageandSalaryEmploymentHistorybyDecade........................24
ResidentialConstruction,20032010...............................................................................................25
SingleFamilyNewConstruction.............................................................................................................25
Table6:ResidentialBuildingPermits:SingleFamilyHousing,2000November2010.....................28
MultiFamilyNewConstruction..............................................................................................................28
Table7:ResidentialBuildingPermits:MultiFamilyHousing,2000November2010......................29
ApartmentOccupancyTrends:20042010......................................................................................31
OccupancyTrends:MarketRateUnits...................................................................................................31
Table8:HouseholdEstimatesforNewOrleansMetroArea..............................................................35
Table9:ApartmentOccupancySummary,20042010.....................................................................37
Table10:ApartmentOccupancySummaryofUnitsReportingOccupancyEachSurveyPeriod,2004
2010....................................................................................................................................................38
OccupancyTrends:AgeandSizeofProperty.........................................................................................39

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics


Table11:MarketRateApartmentOccupancybyComplexSizebyArea,2010.................................40
Table12:MarketRateApartmentOccupancybyAgebyParish,2010..............................................40
OccupancyTrends:MixedIncomeProperty...........................................................................................41
Table13:NewOrleansMixedIncomeProperties:OccupancySummaryTotalUnits,2010...........41
Table14:NewOrleansMixedIncomeProperties:OccupancyandRentSummaryMarketRate
Units,2010..........................................................................................................................................41
Table15:NewOrleansMixedIncomeProperties:OccupancySummaryRentAssistedUnits,2010
............................................................................................................................................................42
ApartmentRentTrends:20042010................................................................................................43
RentTrends:MarketRateUnits.............................................................................................................43
Table16:ApartmentRentSummary,20042010.............................................................................45
Graph2:NewOrleansMetroRentTrends,20042010....................................................................45
Table17:ApartmentRentSummaryofUnitsReportingOccupancyEachSurveyPeriod,2004
2010....................................................................................................................................................46
Graph3:ApartmentOccupancyandRentTrends,19732010.........................................................46
RentTrends:MixedIncomeProperty.....................................................................................................47
Table18:NewOrleansMixedIncomePropertiesMarketRateRentSummary,2010......................48
RentTrends:SubsidizedHousing............................................................................................................49
Table19:2010RentLimitsIncomeCategories(inclusiveofutilities)..............................................49
Table20:MultiFamilyDevelopmentUnitsRentingorUnderConstruction,byIncomeRangeand
UnitType,NewOrleans......................................................................................................................49
Table21:MultiFamilyUnitsRentingorUnderConstruction,byIncomeRangeandUnitType,New
OrleansMetroArea............................................................................................................................50
ProfileofSubsidizedRentalHousing..................................................................................................51
Table22:DescriptiveProfileofRentalAssistancePrograms.............................................................52
Table23:IncomeDistributionbyTenureinNewOrleans..................................................................53
Graph4:CostofRenting,2004vs.2009.............................................................................................54
LowIncomeHousingTaxCredit(LIHTC)Properties...............................................................................54
Table24:SubsidizedMultiFamilyDevelopmentUnitsPostKatrina.................................................55
Table25:LIHTC/Piggyback/LHFANewOrleansPipelinebyPlanningDistrict....................................55
Table26:MixedFinanceDevelopments(nonPublicHousing)..........................................................56
Table27:MixedIncomePublicHousingRedevelopment..................................................................57
Table28:MixedFinanceDevelopmentsPlacedinService.................................................................58

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics


PublicHousingCommunities..................................................................................................................58
Table29:PublicHousingStatusReportNewDevelopments..........................................................58
TenantbasedSection8Vouchers..........................................................................................................59
Table30:TenantbasedVouchersbyPlanningDistrict,2010............................................................60
ProfileoftheRentalHousingStockandStormDamage......................................................................62
Table31:UnitsperStructureOccupiedRentalUnits......................................................................62
StormDamageSummaryandRebuildingProfile....................................................................................63
Table32:KatrinasDamagetoRentalStockbyPlanningDistrict.......................................................64
SmallScaleRentalProperties.............................................................................................................66
Table33:SummaryofRentsforSmallRentals,Field,PhoneandInternetSurvey............................67
Map1:LandscapeofRentalUnitsinNewOrleansbyPlanningDistrict.............................................68
Table34:ParcelLevelAnalysisoftheRentalMarket,December2010.............................................69
Graph5:OccupiedRentalUnitsbyStructureType............................................................................69
Map2:Owneroccupiedunitsin2005;CurrentlyActivebutNoHomesteadExemption..................70
(unitseitherunderrenovation,forsale/lease,orrented).................................................................70
RoadHomeSmallRentalProgram..........................................................................................................70
Map3:RoadHomeSmallRentalParticipantsbyStatus....................................................................71
Table35:SummaryofSmallRentalProgrambyParish......................................................................72
Table36:SummaryofSmallRentalProgrambyPlanningDistrictinNewOrleans............................73
ProfileofMLSSingleFamilyHomeRentals............................................................................................74
Table37:SummaryofSingleFamilyHomesRented,NewOrleansRegionbyParishandSector:
20082010...........................................................................................................................................76
Table38:SummaryofSingleFamilyHomesListedforRent,NewOrleansRegionbyParishand
Sector,AsofFebruary15,2011..........................................................................................................77
SingleFamilyPriceandSalesActivityTrends:2000to2010................................................................78
RegionalOverview..................................................................................................................................78
Table39:SummaryofForeclosureFilings,NewOrleansRegion,2009to2010................................80
Table40:ExistingHousingPriceTrends,NewOrleansMetropolitanArea........................................81
Table41:UnitsSoldandDaysonMarketSingleFamilyResidential,NewOrleansMetropolitanArea
............................................................................................................................................................82
Graph6:SingleFamilyAveragePriceandUnitsSold,MetroNewOrleans:20042010.................83
Graph7:SingleFamilyAveragePriceandUnitsSold,JeffersonParish:20042010........................83

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics


Graph8:SingleFamilyAveragePriceandUnitsSold,OrleansParish:20042010..........................84
Graph9:SingleFamilyAveragePriceandUnitsSold,St.TammanyParish:20042010.................84
Graph10:Employment20012010,Quarter1:Orleans,JeffersonandSt.TammanyParishes......85
OrleansParishSalesActivitybyCondition:20002010........................................................................85
Table42:PricePerSquareFootbyCondition,CityofNewOrleans..................................................87
Graph11:PricePerSquareFootbyCondition,CityofNewOrleans.................................................87
Table43:AverageDaysonMarketbyCondition,CityofNewOrleans..............................................87
Graph12:AverageDaysonMarketbyCondition,CityofNewOrleans............................................88
Table44:AverageSalePricebyCondition,CityofNewOrleans.......................................................88
Graph13:AverageSalePricebyCondition,CityofNewOrleans......................................................89
RelevancetoRentalMarket....................................................................................................................89
Table45:MonthsSupplyofSingleFamilyInventory.........................................................................90
FirstTimeHomebuyers...........................................................................................................................90
Table46:MortgageDenialsbyParish,2009......................................................................................91
Graph14:HouseholdsbyAgeandTenure,NewOrleansMSA..........................................................92
Graph15:AgeDistributionofRenters,NewOrleansMSA.................................................................92
RebuildingandtheRoadHomeProgram...............................................................................................93
Table47:RoadHomeHomeownerProgramSummaryofGrantAmountbyParish.......................93
Table48:RoadHomeHomeownerProgramSummarybyPlanningDistrict...................................94
SummaryofKeyMarketConditionsbyPlanningDistrict....................................................................96
Table49:HousingPriceandRentbyPlanningDistrict.......................................................................97
Table50:ActivityLevelsbyPlanningDistrict......................................................................................98
Table51:QualityofLifeIndicatorsbyPlanningDistrict.....................................................................99
Table52:FundsInvestedbyPlanningDistrict..................................................................................100
Map4:ResidentialVacancyinNewOrleansbyPlanningDistrict....................................................102
ProjectedRenterDemandandUnitAbsorption:2010to2015.........................................................103
Table53:ProjectedHouseholdGrowth,20102015........................................................................106
Table54:EstimatedSupply,DemandandAbsorptionforRenterUnits,ModerateGrowthScenario,
20102015.........................................................................................................................................107
Table55:IncomeDistributionofFutureRenters,ModerateGrowthScenario...............................107
Table56:FamilyTypeofFutureRenters,ModerateGrowthScenario............................................108

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics


Table57:EstimatedSupply,DemandandAbsorptionforRenterUnits,HighGrowthScenario,2010
2015..................................................................................................................................................110
Table58:EstimatedIncomeDistributionofFutureRenters,HighGrowthScenario.......................110
Table59:EstimatedFamilyTypeofFutureRenters,HighGrowthScenario....................................111
Graph16:ChangeinHouseholds,19902009.................................................................................112
Conclusion.......................................................................................................................................113
Acknowledgments...........................................................................................................................115
APPENDIX........................................................................................................................................116
TableA1:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentOccupancyHistory,19741979..............117
TableA2:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentOccupancyHistory,19801989...........117
TableA3:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentOccupancyHistory,19901999.............118
TableA4:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentOccupancyHistory,20002008...........119
TableA5:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentRentHistory,19741979.....................120
TableA6:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentRentHistory,19801989......................120
TableA7:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentRentHistory,19901999......................121
TableA8:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentRentHistory,20002008.....................121
TableA9:PermitandEmploymentTrends,NewOrleansMetropolitanArea:19702009..........122
TableA10:NewOrleansApartmentSurveySummary,MarketRateOccupancy,UnitsAvailableand
UnitsOffline:20082009................................................................................................................123
TableA11:NewOrleansApartmentSurvey,MarketRateRentSummary:20082010...............124
TableA11:Continued:NewOrleansApartmentSurvey,MarketRateRentSummary:20082010
..........................................................................................................................................................125
TableA11:Continued:NewOrleansApartmentSurvey,MarketRateRentSummary:20082010
..........................................................................................................................................................126
TableA12:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2000.....................................................................127
TableA12Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2000...................................................128
TableA13:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2004.....................................................................129
TableA13Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2004...................................................130
TableA14:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2006.....................................................................131
TableA14:Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2006..................................................132
TableA15:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2007.....................................................................133
TableA15:Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2007..................................................134
TableA16:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2008.....................................................................135
NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics


TableA16:Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2008..................................................136
TableA17:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2009.....................................................................137
TableA17:Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2009..................................................138
TableA18:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2010.....................................................................139
TableA18:Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2010..................................................140
TableA19:RoadHomeSmallRentalSummarybyAffordabilityandBedroomSize......................141
MapofLHFAHousingProjects..........................................................................................................145
CityofNewOrleansPlanningDistrictSummaryData.....................................................................147
SummaryofPlanningDistrict1.............................................................................................................147
SummaryofPlanningDistrict2.............................................................................................................153
SummaryofPlanningDistrict3.............................................................................................................159
SummaryofPlanningDistrict4.............................................................................................................164
SummaryofPlanningDistrict5.............................................................................................................171
SummaryofPlanningDistrict6.............................................................................................................176
SummaryofPlanningDistrict7.............................................................................................................182
SummaryofPlanningDistrict8.............................................................................................................187
SummaryofPlanningDistrict9.............................................................................................................192
SummaryofPlanningDistrict10...........................................................................................................198
SummaryofPlanningDistrict12...........................................................................................................205
SummaryofPlanningDistrict13...........................................................................................................210
St.BernardParishSummaryData..................................................................................................213
SummaryofArabi,LA...........................................................................................................................213
SummaryofChalmette,LA...................................................................................................................216
SummaryofMeraux,LA........................................................................................................................219
SummaryofPoydras,LA.......................................................................................................................222
SummaryofViolet,LA...........................................................................................................................225

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

ExecutiveSummary:OverviewofCurrentMarketConditions
ThereiscurrentlyaminoroversupplyofrentalhousingintheNewOrleansareastemmingfromthe
unsubsidizedrentalmarket,butunlikepastconstructionsurges,therecentbuildingboomthatthearea
experiencedhasbeencomparativelyshortlivedandshouldnotcreateasignificantenoughsurplusto
createseriousorprolongedimbalancesinthemarket.Themostrecentconstructionpushiswinding
down,withthemajorityofprojectsalreadybuiltandinleaseuporunderconstruction.Sofar,the
markethasaddedenoughrenterstomaintainanoccupancyrateabove85%,andrecentsurveys
conductedforthisprojectandthirdpartysourcesshowthatoccupancyrateshaveincreasedoverthe
pastyear,nowfallingbetween88%and90%.A93%to94%averageoccupancyleveltypicallyreflectsa
morebalancedmarketandisaconditionthatisachievablewithintheNewOrleansrentalmarketover
thenextfewyearsundernormalgrowthassumptionsforthelocalandregionaleconomy.Rising
occupancyratesandabsorptionofvacantinventorywillalsobehelpedbytherelativelylowvolumesof
newunitsexpectedtoenterthesupplypipeline.Inshort,themarketissignalingcautionaswemove
forwardoverthenexttwotothreeyears.Thisdoesnotmeanthattheadditionofnewinventoryisnot
warrantedbutthatitsentryshouldbetargetedtofillveryspecificnichesnichespotentiallydefinedby
geographicallocationorpricepoint.Thefactthatsomerentalunitsareperformingbetterthanothers
suggeststhatthesefactorsshouldbeexaminedaspartoftheduediligenceprocessandthatrental
demandwithintheregionisnotuniform.
Therecentconstructionofsubsidizedapartmentsisnottheprimarycauseofthisoversupply.Thesmall
rentalmarketandtheforsalemarketarealsocompetingwiththeolderapartmentpropertiesthat
sufferfromvaryinglevelsofphysicaldeteriorationandfunctionalobsolescenceandwhichmaynotbe
abletoofferthesamemixandqualityofamenitiesandinteriorfinishesasthoseinthenewlybuilt
inventory.Thistooisnodifferentthantheexperienceofpriorconstructionsurgecyclesinthelocal
apartmentmarket.Overtime,existingpropertiesadapttothecompetitiveenvironmentthrough
renovationsandothercapitalimprovementswhichmaketheirrentalcommunitiesmoreattractive.
Throughageospatialanalysisofparcellevelactivity,combinedwithdatafromtheAssessorsoffice,
fieldandphonesurveys,andinformationprovidedbythevariousgovernmentalhousingagencies,we
wereabletoidentifyalargeportionoftherentalmarket.Whatwefoundisaveryactiverentalmarket
outsideofthelargemultifamilycomplexes.Therecoveryofsmallerunitsthetraditionaldoubles,
triplexesandfourplexessoprevalentinNewOrleansprestormhasexceededexpectations,somewhat
fueledbytheSection8voucherprogram,whosegenerousrentshavemaderenovationwithoutsubsidy
feasible.Muchofthisrebuildinghastakenplaceoutsideofthesubsidizedprograms,andistherefore
notdirectlytrackedbyanycity,parishorstateagency.Thislevelofanalysisalsoincludessinglefamily
homes,manyofwhichwereoccupiedbyownersprestormbutarenowbeingrented.Thissurgeinfor
salehomesmovingintorentalinventoryisareflectionofcurrenteconomicconditionscoupledwith
postKatrinarealities.Thereisanoversupplyofforsalehousingaswell,leadingmanyownerstorent
ratherthanwaitforextendedperiodstosell,significantlyreducetheiraskingpriceoroffercostly
concessionstoprospectivebuyers.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics


Inthisoverallrelativelyweakmarket,someareasareperformingfarbetterthanothers.Thistooisno
differentthantheexperienceofpreviouscycles.Rentsandoccupancyratesarehighestinthe
CBD/FrenchQuarter,andarestableinMidCity,MetairieandthewestbankofJeffersonParish.The
rentalmarketisweakerinKennerandNewOrleansEast,withaverageoccupancyrateslessthan85%,
andisparticularlyweakinAlgiers,withoccupancyrateslessthan80%.Thisdiscrepancyisdueprimarily
tolocationandtheconditionofthehousingstock.Therehasbeenagreaterlevelofactivityand
investmentwithinthecoreofNewOrleansdrivensignificantlybythemassivepublicinvestmentfocused
onpoststormrebuildingandredevelopment.Thishasfueleddemandfortheareaasaprimarynucleus
ofeconomicactivityandcommercefortheregion.Atthesametime,crimeactivityandtheperception
ofcrimehasincreasedinNewOrleansEast,KennerandAlgiers,thusreducingtheirattractionand
demandforhousing,bothrentalandforsale.
Aspreviouslynoted,occupancyratesinthefuturewilllargelybedeterminedbyhouseholdandjob
growth.CurrentestimatesprovidedbyNielsenClaritasforecastthat10,000newrenterhouseholdswill
beaddedtotheregionoverthenextfiveyears,a1.6%annualgrowthrate.Underthisgrowthscenario,
therewillstillbeanexcessofrentalhousingbutatmuchhealthieroccupancyratesabove90%.These
estimatesaremodest,nottakingintoaccounttwofutureeconomicdriversfortheregionthebio
medicaldistrictexpansionindowntownNewOrleansandtheredevelopmentoftheMarineCorps
Reserveheadquarters(FederalCity)inAlgiers.Thesetwoinitiativesareinvestingmorethan$3billionin
construction,andaccordingtoeconomicimpactanalysescommissionedbytheBioDistrictandFederal
City,shouldcreate12,000directjobsand30,000jobsoverallwhenbothprojectshavereached
maturity.Withthisinmind,thestudyalsoprovidesahighgrowthscenariowhichassumesanoverall
annualrenterhouseholdgrowthrateof3.0%.ThisrateislowerthanthegrowthrateofNewOrleans
from2009to2010(4.2%)butexceedstheregionalgrowthrateoverthissameperiod(1.8%).Thereare,
however,economiccloudsonthehorizonwhichcouldoffsetsomeofthegrowthinducedbythese
majoreconomicdevelopmentprojects.MostnotablyaretheimpendingclosureofAvondaleShipyards
andtheassociatedlossofabout5,000jobsandtheongoingreinventionoftheMichoudAssembly
FacilityasNASAphasesoutitsshuttleprogram.Bothsitesarebeingaggressivelymarketednationally
andgloballybystate,regionalandlocaleconomicdevelopmentorganizationswithsomenotable
success.Also,therearenoshortagesofunrestinstrategiccornersoftheworldwhichcouldhavetrickle
downeffectsontheNewOrleanseconomy,particularlyitstrade,tourismandenergysectors.
Thestudydoesnotattempttoestimaterenterdemandunderalowornogrowthscenario.This
conditionwouldonlyoccurunderstrainedeconomicconditions,withincreasingunemploymentandjob
losses.Underthisscenario,thedemandforrentalunitswouldlikelygoup,ashouseholdslosetheir
homesorcannotaffordtoenterhomeownership.Theextentofthisdynamic,inwhichtotalnumberof
rentersincreasesinaperiodofpopulationloss,hasnotbeenthoroughlystudiedtosufficientlydevelop
ademandscenariofortheNewOrleansregion.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

KeyConclusions:

ThereisasmalloversupplyofrentalhousingintheNewOrleansmarket,buttheseverityofthe
surplusissmallincomparisontootherperiodsthatfollowedbuildingboomsintheregion.
Rentaloccupancyrateshaverecoveredandarenownearinghealthylevels.
Basedondaysonthemarketandtheoverallvolumeofsalesactivity,thereappearstobean
oversupplyofforsalehousingintheregion.
Thereisageographicaldynamictothehealthoftherentalmarketassomesubareasoftheregion
areexperiencingstrongrentsandoccupancyrateswhileothersarestruggling.
Theregionaleconomyandaccompanyingdemographictrendswillinfluencethehealthofthe
rentalmarketthrough2015.Amoderategrowthscenariowouldresultinasmallsurplusinrental
units,yetoccupancyrateswouldremainhealthynonetheless.Amoreoptimistic,highgrowth
scenariowouldyieldamoderateregionalshortfallinrentalunitsbasedontheanticipatedpipeline
ofnewrentalunitsinthecomingyears.

Cumulatively,thediversehousingmarkettopicsthatthisreportcoversprovideanoverallportraitofthe
presenthealthoftheregionalrentalmarket.Theyalsoinformthetwoaforementionedgrowth
scenariosthroughtheyear2015.Thefactthatthisreportcoverssuchatremendousbreadthoftopics
influencestheorganizationofthedocument.Thereportisnotstructuredasasinglethesisornarrative.
Rather,eachofthedisparate(yetrelated)housingtopicsisdealtwithindividually,andkeyconclusions
havebeenprovidedwithineachsectiontohelpthereaderarriveatthemostsalientinformation.The
structureofthereportculminatesinthediscussionofthemoderateandhighgrowthscenariosandtheir
implicationsforfinancinganddevelopingadditionalrentalsupplyinthecomingyears.Withthese
scenariosinhandalongwiththeaccompanyingdataonrents,occupancytrends,theforsalemarket,
andavarietyofothercriticaltopicspolicymakers,financialstakeholders,anddevelopersnowhavean
extensivebodyofresearchandanalysistoinformforthcomingdecisionsregardingrentalhousinginthe
NewOrleansregion.
Thereportisorganizedasfollows:

Forward:OverviewandMethodologysummaryofthepurposeofthereport,the
limitationsofhousingmarketstudies,andadiscussionofthemethodologiesdeployedto
arriveatthereportskeyconclusions
RentalMarketHistoryoverviewoftherentalmarketintheNewOrleansregion,witha
particularfocusonthepast40years;thisanalysisplacesthetrendsinconstruction,
occupancy,andrentsthatthemarkethaswitnessedinrecentyearsinabroaderhistorical
context
RecentConstructionTrendsexaminationofthegeographicaldynamicsofrecent
constructiontrendsacrosstheregionandofthevolumeofconstructionactivityforboth
singlefamilyandmultifamilyunits

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

RentalOccupancyTrendsanalysisofrecentrentaloccupancylevelsalonganumberof
variables,suchasgeographicallocation,marketratevs.mixedincomestatus,andageand
sizeofproperties
RentTrendsanalysisofrecentrenttrendsintheregionalonganumberofvariables,
suchasgeographicallocationandmarketratevs.mixedincomevs.subsidizedstatus
SubsidizedRentalHousingdiscussionofwhatconstitutesaffordablehousingandthe
profileofsubsidizedhousingintheregion,includingtaxcreditproperties,publichousing,
andsection8
ProfileoftheRentalHousingStockandStormDamageanalysisofthephysicalprofileof
rentalhousingintheregionandthedamageinflictedbyKatrina
SmallRentalStockprofileofsmallscaleapartmentstructures(i.e.14units)withinthe
region
ForSaleTrendsdiscussionofmajortrendsintheregionalforsalemarketand
implicationsfortherentalmarket
NewOrleans:PlanningDistrictAnalysisprofileofrealestateactivity,hurricane
recovery,publicinvestments,andqualityoflifeforeachofthe13planningdistrictsin
NewOrleans
ProjectedDemandScenariosrentaldemandscenariosthrough2015
Conclusion

Finally,attheconclusionofthedocumentisanappendixwithacompleteinventoryofthetabulardata
thathaveinformedthefindingsandconclusionswithinthisreport.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

10

Forward:OverviewandMethodology
Purpose
ThisstudywascommissionedbyOCD/DRUprimarilytoanswerthefollowingquestion:Istherean
oversupplyofrentalhousinginNewOrleans,andifso,howlongwillitlast?Thisquestionwas
addressedbysurveyingsubsidizedandnonsubsidizedapartmentcomplexestoestimatetheoverall
rentalvacancyrate.Thisinformationwascombinedwithtwohouseholdgrowthscenariostodetermine
theabsorptionofvacant,livableunitsovertime.
Underlyingthisprimaryquestionareseveralrelatedissuesthatemergedbeginningin2008,coinciding
withthelargenumberofnewunitsplacedinservicepostKatrina.First,therewasgrowingconcern
amonglandlordsandpublicofficialsthatthehurricanerecoveryprogramswereaddingunneededrental
unitsattheexpenseoftheexistingstock.Therewaswidespreadbeliefthatwithasurplusofrental
units,themarketwasmovingtowardsthenew,multifamilyconstruction,puttingownersofolder,
undamagedbuildingsatadisadvantage.Thisreportaimstoaddressthisconcernbyexaminingwhere
therentalmarketexistsoutsideofthelargercomplexes,andtowhatextentitexistswithinsmaller
structuresorsinglefamilyhomes.Onthesamenote,manyalsoassumedthatunitsdevelopedusingtax
creditswerepullingfromthesamemarketofpotentialrentersasnonsubsidizedapartments.To
addressthisconcern,thereportlooksatincomeincomparisontorentdistributionpreandpost
Katrina.Finally,amidstgrowingconsensusthatthereisashiftinlocationalpreferencespostKatrina,the
studyexaminesaseriesofindicatorsforeachplanningdistrictinNewOrleans,includingproperty
values,jobs,andoverallactivitylevels,toassesswhichareasareinhigherdemand.

AffordableHousingNeedsversusHousingDemand
Therearetwolegitimateapproachestomarketstudiesthathappentoconflictwithoneanotherinthis
market.Thefirstmarketstudyforaffordablehousinglargelyfocusesonthehousingneedsofcurrent
residentscombinedwithfuturepopulationgrowth.Existinghouseholdsthatarecostburdened,defined
aspayingmorethan30%oftheirincomeonhousingexpenses,areconsideredinneedofaffordable
housingandareakeyfactorintheoveralldemandestimates.Thisinformationisreportedbyboththe
U.S.CensusandHUDandusedinmostmarketstudiesforsubsidizedhousingdevelopments.Itisalso
thebasisforwhichHUDissuesCommunityDevelopmentBlockGrantfundsaspartofajurisdictionor
statesConsolidatedPlan.Whatisgenerallynotfactoredintothisapproachistheexcesssupplyonce
costburdenedhouseholdsmoveoutoftheirmoreexpensiveunitandintothenewlybuilt,more
affordablehome.
Theotherformofmarketstudyismoremarketdrivenanddoesnotspecificallyfocusonasubsection
oftheexistingpopulation.Itstrictlyfocusesonthehousingneedsofnewhouseholdsovertimeminus
anyunitsthatbecomeobsoletethroughadaptivereuseordemolition.Marketstudiesthatusethis
approacharemoreconcernedwithpopulationgrowthratherthantheneedsofcurrenthouseholds,and
usealoworstablevacancyrateasjustificationfornewconstruction.Thisapproachisgenerallyusedfor

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

11


marketrateconstructionorbymunicipalities/regionstodeterminetheirhousingandlandneedsover
time.
Traditionally,thehousingneedfocusedmarketstudymakessense.Theprimarygoalofsubsidized
housingistoprovidemoreaffordableoptionstotheexistingpopulation.Andwithlimitedresources
allocatedtoaffordablehousingdevelopment,theextentofnewconstructionisgenerallynotsignificant
enoughtoimpacttheoverallmarketandthereforeisnotaprimaryconcernrelativetotheexisting
housingstock.Forexample,Louisianaonlyreceivesroughly$8millioninLowIncomeHousingTax
Credits(LIHTCs)everyyear,equivalenttofewerthan500units.Dispersedthroughoutthestate,these
unitsposeminimalcompetitiontotheexistinghousingstock.Additionally,thismethodmakesitfeasible
forcommunitieswithstagnantpopulationgrowthandsignificanthousingproblemstoaccesssubsidized
housingfunds.Manyruralcommunitiesstrugglewithadilapidatedhousingstockandareinneedof
subsidizedhousing,withlocalwagesunabletosupportmarketratedevelopment.Anaffordable
housingdrivenmarketstudywoulddocumentaffordablehousingneedintheseareas,whereasamore
traditionalmarketstudywouldnotshowoveralldemand.
InthepostKatrinarebuildinglandscape,almostalloftherebuildingfundsforrentalhousingfallintothe
subsidizedhousingcategory.Marketstudiesforthesedevelopmentshavefollowedaffordablehousing
marketanalysisguidelines,showingapersistentneedforaffordablehousingoptionsinreactiontothe
postKatrinarentincreases.Atthesametime,theconstructionofnewrentalunitshasexceededrenter
householdgrowth,increasingoverallvacancyrates.Thevacancyratepoststormfelltolessthan2%;
reportssince2008haveshownthevacancyrateconsistentlyhigherthan8%.1
ThesetwoapproachestomarketanalysishavecollidedinNewOrleans,leadingtothedilemmaof
showingadocumentedneedformoreaffordablehousingwhilesimultaneouslyshowinganoversupply
ofhousingoverall.Bothsituationsaretrue.Tworecentlyreleasedreports,HousingProductionNeeds:
ThreeScenariosforNewOrleans2,andthe2010LouisianaHousingNeedsAssessment3,bothillustrate
thisdichotomy.Thefirstreport,usingvacancydataprovidedbythe2008AmericanCommunitySurvey
andemploymentprojectionsfromtheLouisianaWorkforceCommissionfor2006through2016,
estimatesasurplusinhousingoverallbutasubstantialshortageofsubsidizedhousinginthecoming
years.ThesecondreportemphasizesrecentlyreleasedHUDdataonaffordablehousingneeds,showing
anincreaseincostburdenedhouseholdsoverthelastdecadedespiteasurplusofrentalhousing.
Thisreportdoesnotfactorinaffordablehousingneedsaspartofthedemandsideoftheanalysis.In
keepingwiththescopeofwork,housingdemandasdefinedinthisstudyprimarilyreliesontheaddition
ofnewhouseholdsminusnewhousingsupply,factoringinlossofunitsovertimeandtargetedvacancy

VacancyratesreportedbyLarrySchedler&Associates,Inc.,UniversityofNewOrleansInstituteforEconomic
DevelopmentandRealEstateResearch,U.S.CensusandREIS,Inc.
2
AllisonPlyer,ElaineOrtiz,MargeryAustinTurnerandKathrynL.S.Pettit,HousingProductionNeeds:Three
ScenariosforNewOrleans,AnnualReport,2009,available
https://gnocdc.s3.amazonaws.com/reports/GNOCDCHousingProductionNeeds2009.pdf.
3
LouisianaHousingFinanceAgency,LouisianaHousingNeedsAssessment2010producedbyGCR&Associates,
Inc.,availablehttp://www.lhfa.state.la.us/aboutus/NeedsAssessment.php.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

12


rates.Whilethereisawelldocumentedneedformoreaffordablehousingwithinthearea,thisneedis
notequatedwithanimmediatedemandforadditionalunitswithinthisdocument.

Sources
Thestudyusesavarietyofprimaryandsecondarydatatoaddresscurrentandfuturesupply,demand,
pricesandlocationalcharacteristicsofthehousingmarket.
ExistingSupplyThestudyusesindividualprojectdataasreportedbytheLHFA,OCDandHANOto
determinethestatus,affordabilityandunitsizeofsubsidizedhousing.ThisincludesGOZoneandPer
Capitataxcreditprojects,HOMEprojects,Piggybackprojects,theRoadHomeHomeownerandSmall
RentalPrograms,publichousing,tenantandprojectbasedSection8vouchers,andanyadditional
housingprogramsundertheLHFAasreportedbytheLHFAPipelineReporteffectiveSeptember2010.
GCRgeoreferencedalladdressesusingGIStechnologytodetermineplanningdistrictsandplace,andall
reporteddataforparishes,planningdistrictsandthemetroareaarebasedonaggregatedsummariesof
theprovidedmicrodata.Additionally,GCRreviewedtheunitandaffordabilitysummarieswithinall
LIHTCapplicationstodeterminetheaffordabilityandunitsizeoftaxcreditprojects.
ThesupplyandrentsformarketratemultifamilyhousingwereproducedbytheUNOInstitutefor
EconomicDevelopmentandRealEstateResearchthroughasurveyconductedinNovemberand
Decemberof2010.TheInstitutehasbeenperformingannualmarketassessmentsfortheNewOrleans
metropolitanareasince1973andcurrentlymanagesthelargestsurveyinventoryofmultifamily
propertiesintheregion.Forthisstudy,theInstituteaugmentedtheircurrentsurveydatatoinclude
mixedincomeandtaxcreditprojectsfundedthroughtheLHFAandOCD.
Forthesmallrentalmarket,thestudyutilizesfieldandonlinesurveysofsmallrentalproperties,parcel
levelassessmentrecords,RoadHomeSmallRentaldata,Section8voucherlocations,parcellevel
activity,andrecentlyreleaseddatafromtheAmericanHousingSurvey.Theassessmentrecords
providedaddresslevelinformationonpropertiesthatwereresidentialanddidnothavehomestead
exemptions,whichareonlyapplicabletoowneroccupiedhomes.Ifapropertyfitthiscategory,itcould
eitherbearentalunitorcurrentlyvacant.(Weassumetherearenoerrorsinreporting,andthatall
owneroccupiedhomesarereceivingahomesteadexemption).Toexcludeprestormowneroccupied
homesunderrenovation,thestudyonlyexaminespropertiesthatwereactivebothprestormandin
2010andthatdidnothaveahomesteadexemptionprestormorin2010.Thisinformationwas
combinedwithvoucherlocations,theUNOapartmentinventory,fieldsurveys,propertieslistedwithin
theSmallRentalProgram,andallsubsidizedhousingasreportedbytheLHFAandOCD,todevelopa
parcellevelframeworkoftheNewOrleansrentalmarketandaggregationsattheplanningdistrictlevel.
Itisalsoimportanttonotethatthesampleofpropertiesincludedinthesurveysisnotbasedonrandom
selectionbutupontheabilitytosecurecooperationtoobtainaccuratedescriptiveinformation.Assuch,
noattestationofstatisticalsignificanceismadeorinferredinthisreport.
ExistingDemandExistingrentaldemandisdefinedasthetotalnumberofrentalunitsmultipliedby
theoccupancyrate.Theoccupancyrateisbasedonsurveyresultsformultifamilyhousingconductedin

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

13


SeptemberthroughDecemberof2010.Whereavailable,occupancyrateswereverifiedbyaccounting
foractiveandnonactiveaddresseswithinaprojectsfootprint.ThiswasaccomplishedusingGIS
technology,inwhichparcelboundariesweredrawnoverexistingmultifamilydevelopments.Active
addressesasreportedbyGCRsActivityIndexwerecomparedtothetotalnumberofunitswithinthe
propertyand,witholderproperties,thehistoricoccupancyratesasreportedbyUNO.Basedonthese
surveys,thestudyusesavacancyratebetween7%and12%.ThestudydoesnotusetheU.S.Census
reportedoccupancyrateof15.2%,duetotheageofthedata(twelvemonthaverageversus4thquarter
2010),thegeography(metrowideversussubarea)andthefactthatitcapturespropertiescurrentlyina
leaseupstage(i.e.propertiesrecentlyaddedtothemarketthathavenothadthetimetorenttheir
units),whichisexcludedfromtheUNOsurvey.4Theoccupancyrateformultifamilyhousingwas
appliedtoallhousingunits.
FutureSupplyItisimpossibletopredictwhatthefuturehousingmarketwilllooklikewithperfect
accuracy.ThisisparticularlytrueinNewOrleans,wheretherebuildingactivitiesofsmalllandlordsand
homeownersarenotcapturedbybuildingpermitstatisticsorhousingmarketreports.Toestimate
futuresupply,thisstudylooksatprojectsorpropertiescurrentlyinthepipelineasreportedbytheLHFA,
OCD,HANOandregionalmarketanalysts.ItassumesthatallLHFAprojectswillbeconstructed,despite
thepossibilitythatmanywillnotmeettheirplacedinservicedeadline,andthattheSmallRental
Programwillcontinueitscurrentpaceofconstructionactivity.
FutureDemandThisreportreliesonawidelyused3rdpartynationaldemographicsfirm,Nielsen
ClaritasInc.,forthebaselinehouseholdgrowthestimates.ThisdatasourceisusedbytheStateof
Vermont,Boston,TheReinvestmentFund,NewOrleansandLosAngeles,amongstothers,todetermine
futurehousingneeds.Thestudyalsoprovidesalternativegrowthscenariosbasedonjobprojectionsand
economicdevelopmentopportunities.
PlanningDistricts/PlacesThereportincorporatesextensivesubparishinformationtogaugethe
extentofrecoveryandviabilitywithinspecificareas.Thisincludespropertyvaluesandchangeinhome
pricesasreportedbytheNewOrleansMetropolitanAreaAssociationofRealtors;residentialand
commercialvacanciesasreportedbyGCRsActivityIndex;totaljobs,retailestablishmentsandgrocery
storesasreportedbyDunandBradstreet;andrecoveryinvestments/economicdevelopmentinitiatives
asreportedbyFEMA,OCDandlocalsources.
LimitationsoftheDataManyofthefindingswithinthisreportarebasedonphonesurveysandare
limitedtotheaccuracyandhonestyofthoseindividualsprovidingtheinformation.Thisincludesthe
rents(whichmayormaynotincludeconcessions)andtheoccupancyrates.Additionally,becauseweare
stillinaperiodofpostKatrinarecovery,withtheRoadHome,GoZoneandFEMA/CDBGinfrastructure
projectsstillunderway,therearequalityoflifeissuesthathaveyettobeaddressedwhichwillhavea
significantimpactonfuturehouseholdprojections.Finally,therearearangeofpossibilitiesregarding
futurehousingsupplythatalsorelyontheabovementionedamenitiesplusthefinancialrealitiesof
todaysmarket.

U.S.Census,HousingVacanciesandHomeownership,2010.Availableat:
http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/housing/hvs/annual10/ann10ind.html.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

14

LimitationsoftheReport
Aswithanyresearcheffort,therearelimitationswhichshouldbeacknowledgedandaddressedforthe
readersandusersofthisreport.Theyareasfollows.Realestatemarketsareconstantlychanging.They
areaffectedbyadiversesetofforcesandcircumstancesincludingdemographicandeconomicgrowth
trends,consumerpreferences;theavailabilityandcostoffinancingandproduction,andtheregulatory
andtaxclimate.Thesedynamicsareextremelyfluid;consequently,realestatemarketsarehighly
unpredictable.ThisisparticularlytrueinpostKatrinaNewOrleans,anenvironmentthatiswithout
modernAmericanprecedent.Fortunately,thefiveyearsthathaveelapsedsinceKatrinahaveprovideda
clearerpictureoftheregionsrebuildingprocessandtheemergingnewnormalforthelocalreal
estatemarket.
Whiletheselimitationsshouldbeacknowledged,thisanalysisoftheNewOrleansapartmentmarkethas
entailedthevigorousanddiligentcollectionofanexhaustivesuiteofdata;ithasutilizedreadily
acceptedmethodologiesandtoolstoanalyzetheinformation;andithasincorporatedtheexperience
andgoodjudgmentofitsauthorstoarriveatitsfindingsandconclusions.Finally,itshouldbenotedthat
thisreportfocusesonanoverallassessmentofapartmentmarketconditionsintheregionandatthe
levelofindividualparishesandplanningdistrictsinNewOrleans.Thisreportdoesnotaddressthe
market,economicorfinancialfeasibilityofanyindividualproperties,projectsordevelopmentseither
existing,underconstructionorproposed.Theseareissueswhichindividualdevelopersorproject
proponentswouldorshouldhaveotherwiseaddressedintheirownduediligence.

KeyPointsStudyOverviewandMethodology:

ThisreportwasundertakenasaresultofconcernsaboutanoversupplyintheNewOrleans
regionalrentalmarketandaccompanyingdeclinesinoccupancyratesandrents.
Realestatemarkets,ingeneral,andrealestateforecasts,inparticular,areinherently
unpredictableduetoavarietyoffactorsthataffectthesupplyofanddemandforrealestate.
ThisunpredictabilityisparticularlyacuteinpostKatrinaNewOrleans.
Thedatacollectionandmethodologiesdeployedforthisreportarebothcomprehensiveand
robust,andthereportreliesonamixtureofprimaryandsecondarydata.
Thepurposeofthisreportisnottoanalyzetheviabilityofaparticularprojectbuttoprovidean
overall,comprehensiveevaluationoftherentalmarketfortheregion.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

15

HistoryoftheRentalMarketinNewOrleansMetropolitanArea
TheapartmentmarketintheNewOrleansregionoverthepastfortyyearshasbeencharacterizedbya
relativelylow,steadypaceofconstructionpunctuatedbyshorttermincentivedrivensurgesofnew
inventoryproduction.Atleasttwoofthesesurgesleftexcessiveinventoryoverhangsintheirwake
whichwereeventuallyabsorbedthroughtheprocessofnormalmarketgrowthdynamics.Thereturnto
abalancedmarketintwoearlierhistoricperiodsofthehousingmarket,however,wasnotwithoutits
economicdislocationsandthefinancialpainusuallyassociatedwithrisingvacanciesandfallingrents
suchasforeclosures,bankruptciesandtheoccasionalfailureofabankorsavingsandloan.
Unfortunately,thereisalwayssomeeconomicfalloutinthewakeofsuchextraordinaryexcesses.
Thankfully,themostrecentpostKatrinasurgedoesnotappeartobeonthewaytoproducingsimilar
marketimbalancesanditsassociateddamage.
ThelongtermcyclesfortheNewOrleansregionillustratedinGraph1anditssupportingtables(See
AppendixTablesA1throughA4)wouldbesomewhatsimilartothoseonemightobserveinmanyother
majorurbanareasforthesametimeperiodwiththepossibleexceptionofthemostrecentcyclewhich
followedthisareasuniqueeventHurricaneKatrinaandthedevastatingfloodingwhichitproduced.As
thegraphicshows,therearethreerathernotableperiodsduringwhichtheinventoryofapartmentsin
theNewOrleansregiongrewsignificantly.Eachoftheseperiodsandtheiraftermatharebriefly
discussedinthematerialwhichfollows.Eachcyclehasbeendrivenbyitsownuniquecircumstances
thatgenerallyreflectbroadermacroeconomictrendsatthelocalandnationallevelsduringthese
periods.
Graph1:ApartmentOccupancyandPermitHistory
NewOrleansMetro1970to2010
12,000
11,000

REITs
&FHA

100.0%
95.0%

10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000

90.0%

DEREG,
S&Ls,&
1981
TAXACT

85.0%
80.0%

6,000

PostK
GO
Zone
LIHTCs

5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000

75.0%
70.0%
65.0%
60.0%

1986TAX
REFORM

55.0%

1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1893
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

50.0%

Permits

Occupancy

Source:USCensusBureau,ResidentialPermits;Occupancy FiguresfromUNORealEstateCenterSurveys

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

16

Pre1970s:Althoughsomelarger(100+unit)propertieswerebuiltintheNewOrleansareapriortothe
1970s,thepreponderanceoftheregionsrentalstockwasconcentratedinbuildingswithunder50
unitsandparticularlyinthecategoryofduplextofourplexpropertiesthatmadeupthecoreofthe
momandpopsmallinvestorownedrentals.Tables1and2summarizetheageandsizecharacteristics
oftherentalmarketasofthe1970U.S.CensusofHousing.Renteroccupieddwellingswith50ormore
unitsaccountedfor5.4%ofthetotalinventoryintheregionand4.8%oftherentalstockinOrleans
Parish.Thetwotofourunitcategorymadeup44.6%oftheregionstotalrenteroccupiedhousingstock
withanother30.7%categorizedassinglefamilydetachedorattachedunits.InOrleansParish,twoto
fourunitdwellingsaccountedfor48.8%ofallrenteroccupiedunitsin1970whilesinglefamilyrentals
comprised26.7%ofthetotalstock.Forthemostpart,thisrentalmarketfunctionedfairlywellwithfew,
ifany,extraordinaryperiodsofinventoryadditionspriortothe1970s.Thisinfactcontributedtoa
relativelyaged1970rentalhousingstockintheregion,with45%builtin1939orearlier.Therental
housingstockwasevenolderinOrleansParishwith54.1%builtduringthissameperiod.Most
developmentandconstructionofapartmentswasdrivenbylocalinterestswithrelativelyfewoutside
(i.e.nationalorregional)multifamilydevelopersshowingmuchinterestintheNewOrleansregion.The
primaryreasonstypicallyespousedforthisrelativelackofinterestwereanextremelyconservative
lendingcommunityandcomparativelylowrentlevelsthatshowedonlymodestupwardgrowth
potential.Theformercanbeattributedtoarelativelyarchaiclegalandstateregulatorystructurethat
impededbankgrowthandexpansion,whilethelatteristypicallyattributedtothedominanceofmom
andpoprentalpropertyownerswhowerereluctanttoraiserentsforfearoflosinggoodlongterm
tenants,someofwhommayhavebeenimmediatefamilymembersorrelatives.Thisisthehistoric
backdropforthefirstsurgeofnewapartmentconstructionintheNewOrleansregion.
Table1:ProfileofRenterOccupiedHousing
NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaandOrleansParish,1970Census

MetroArea
SizeCharacteristics

OrleansParish

Total

Percent
ofTotal

Total

Percent
ofTotal

1UnitDetached

32,679

21.1%

18,437

15.6%

1UnitAttached

14,936

9.6%

13,063

11.1%

2Units

44,205

28.5%

37,180

31.5%

3and4Units

24,887

16.1%

20,378

17.3%

5to9Units

14,229

9.2%

12,227

10.4%

10to19Units

9,511

6.1%

7,185

6.1%

20to49Units

5,393

3.5%

3,562

3.0%

50orMoreUnits

8,418

5.4%

5,675

4.8%

MobileHomeorTrailer

643

0.4%

155

0.1%

TotalUnits

154,901

117,862

Source:U.S.BureauoftheCensus,1970CensusofHousing

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

17

Table2:AgeofStructure,RenterOccupiedHousing
NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaandOrleansParish,1970Census

MetroArea
Percent
Total
ofTotal

YearBuilt

OrleansParish
Percent
Total
ofTotal

1965toMarch1970

17,734

11.4%

7,507

6.4%

19601964

14,938

9.6%

7,724

6.6%

19501959

24,104

15.6%

16,063

13.6%

19401949

28,363

18.3%

22,839

19.4%

1939orEarlier

69,762

45.0%

63,729

54.1%

Total

154,901

117,862

Source:U.S.BureauoftheCensus,1970CensusofHousing

Table3:UnitsinStructureandAgeofStructure
NewOrleansSMSAandtheCityofNewOrleans:1970

NewOrleansSMSA
Total
1969toMarch1970

Percent
1unit
oftotal

Percent
2units
oftotal

Percent 2and4 Percent 5to9


oftotal
units oftotal
units

Mobile
Percent
Percent 10t019 Percent 20ormore Percent
homeor
oftotal
oftotal
units oftotal
units
oftotal
trailer

3,104

2.00%

542

0.35%

482

0.31%

677

0.44%

199

0.13%

417

0.27%

739

0.48%

48

0.03%

1965to1968

14,630

9.44%

2,652

1.71%

2,790

1.80%

2,228

1.44%

1,228

0.79%

1,596

1.03%

3,949

2.55%

187

0.12%

1960to1964

14,938

9.64%

3,933

2.54%

2,883

1.86%

1,480

0.96%

1,027

0.66%

1,175

0.76%

4,284

2.77%

156

0.10%

1950to1959

24,104

15.56%

9,048

5.84%

4,923

3.18%

3,811

2.46%

2,575

1.66%

1,187

0.77%

2,396

1.55%

164

0.11%

1940to1949
1939orearlier
Total

28,363

18.31%

9,474

6.12%

8,525

5.50%

4,946

3.19%

2,985

1.93%

1,523

0.98%

882

0.57%

28

0.02%

69,762
154,901

45.04%
100.0%

21,966
47,615

14.18%
30.7%

24,602
44,205

15.88%
28.5%

11,745
24,887

7.58%
16.1%

6,215
14,229

4.01%
9.2%

3,613
9,511

2.33%
6.1%

1,561
13,811

1.01%
8.9%

60
643

0.04%
0.4%

TheCityofNewOrleans
Total

Percent
1unit
oftotal

Percent
2units
oftotal

Percent 3and4 Percent 5to9


oftotal
units oftotal
units

Mobile
Percent
Percent 10to19 Percent 20ormore Percent
homeor
oftotal
oftotal
units oftotal
units
oftotal
trailer

1969toMarch1970

1,343

1.14%

206

0.17%

321

0.27%

217

0.18%

110

0.09%

186

0.16%

286

0.24%

17

0.01%

1965to1968

6,164

5.23%

938

0.80%

1,553

1.32%

505

0.43%

512

0.43%

775

0.66%

1,850

1.57%

31

0.03%

1960to1964

7,724

6.55%

1,520

1.29%

1,591

1.35%

685

0.58%

638

0.54%

542

0.46%

2,718

2.31%

30

0.03%

1950to1959

16,063

13.63%

4,249

3.61%

3,445

2.92%

3,155

2.68%

2,281

1.94%

848

0.72%

2,062

1.75%

23

0.02%

1940to1949

22,839

19.38%

6,215

5.27%

7,232

6.14%

4,511

3.83%

2,707

2.30%

1,353

1.15%

817

0.69%

0.00%

63,729
117,862

54.07%
100.0%

18,372
31,500

15.59%
26.7%

23,038
37,180

19.55%
31.5%

11,305
20,378

9.59%
17.3%

5,979
12,227

5.07%
10.4%

3,481
7,185

2.95%
6.1%

1,504
9,237

1.28%
7.8%

50
155

0.04%
0.1%

1939orearlier
Total

Source:U.S.CensusBureau.1970CensusofHousing.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

18

The1970s:Theyears1971and1972standaloneasthoseproducingthehighesteverlevelsofmulti
familyhousingproductionintheNewOrleansregion.In1971,arecord10,604multifamilyunitswere
permittedfornewconstructionfollowedbyanother9,579unitsin1972.Theentiretyofthiscycle
startedin1969andlastedthroughtheearlypartof1974.In1975,thebottomfelloutofthepermitted
newconstructionwhenthenumberofunitsfellto748.
Therewereseveralforcesatworkduringthe1970to1974periodthatdrovetheseyearsof
unprecedentednewconstructionintheregionwhenatotalof32,442unitswerepermittedandadded
totheinventoryofavailablemultifamilyhousing.Thetwomostformidableonthesupplysidewere
directlyrelatedtotheavailabilityoffinancialcapital:theemergenceofREITsandFHAinsuredloan
programs.OnthedemandsidewasaneconomythatwassteadilygrowingandaBabyBoomgeneration
thatwasmakingitsinitialentryintothehousingmarketascustomers.Inthefirsthalfofthedecade,
totalemploymentgrewatanaverageannualrateof2.13%followedbya2.77%annualrateforthe
energysectordriveneconomicexpansionofthe1975to1979period.
RealEstateInvestmentTrusts(REITs)wereacreationoftheTaxCodedesignedtoattractand
accumulatecapitalfromlowthresholdinvestorswhohadaninterestinrealestateinvestment.Abetted
bythegeneralrealestateinvestmentbuzzoftheearly1970s,REITsbecametherepositoriesof
significantfinancialresources.Thiscreatedanenvironmentoftoomuchcapitalchasingtoofewviable
realestateopportunitiescouldunfold.Thisimbalancewascompoundedbyamenuoffederalinsured
loanprogramsaspartofPresidentJohnsonsGreatSocietyinitiativeandbylaxriskunderwritingand
duediligence.
Theconfluenceofthesesupplysideelementsiswhatdrovetheconstructionof32,442unitsintheNew
Orleansregionbetween1970and1974.AlthoughincreasedhouseholdformationratesbyBaby
Boomersandrelativelystablejobgrowthintheregionhelpedabsorbsomeofthisnewconstruction,its
volumeoutstrippeddemandanddroveoccupancyratesandaverageaskingrentsdown.
Thisflurryofnewconstructioncametoanabruptstopinlate1974andinto1975asaresultofthree
majorevents:PresidentNixonsmoratoriumonallFHAinsuredloanprograms;OPECsfirstoilembargo
inOctober1973andtheaccompanyingdeeprecession;andskyrocketingprojectdefaultsand
foreclosures.
IntheNewOrleansarea,themajorityofthe1970ssurgeinnewapartmentconstructionoccurredin
geographicareasthatofferedanabundanceofrelativelyinexpensiveland.Theseincludethewestbank
ofJeffersonParish(i.e.Gretna,HarveyandMarrero),easternOrleansParish,Algiers(thewestbankof
OrleansParish)andsomeareasontheeastbankofJeffersonParish,particularlyKenner.Asthetrends
documentedinTable5illustrate,whilethemarketasawholemayhavebeenoverbuiltimmediately
followingthisnewconstructionsurge,individualareaswereinsomecasessignificantlyoverwhelmed
withnewinventorywhichrequiredextendedperiodsoftimetoreturntheselocalizedmarketstosome
senseofbalance.Forexample,averageoccupancyratesatyearend1974fellto73%intheLakeForest
areaand71.9%inAlgiersinOrleansParish,whileintheHarveyCanalEast(Gretna)sectorofJefferson
Parishitdroppedto74.4%.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

19


Asbadastheoveralloverhangofinventorywasintheregion,itcouldhavebeenworsebutforthe
strongenergysectorinducedjobgrowththatensuedformostofthebalanceofthedecade.While
hurtingtherestofthenationaleconomy,theOPECoilembargohelpedsouthLouisianaanditsentire
offshoredrillingapparatus.Jobgrowthacceleratedformostofthebalanceofthedecadeasoilprices
continuedtoriseandtherapidexpansionofoffshoreoilexplorationandproductionintheGulfof
Mexicounfolded.Thisjobgrowthdrovedemandforhousingandfueledabsorptionofalloftheexcess
inventoryasaverageoccupancyratesroseto98%andabovebytheendofthedecade.Thisgrowth,
togetherwitharecoveryinrentlevels,fueledaresurgenceofnewconstructioninthe1977to1979
periodwhenanother13,700unitsofnewmultifamilyhousingwereaddedtoinventory.
The1980s:Theoilboomfueledsurgeinnewconstructionwasextendedintotheearly1980sbytwo

majorfactors:deregulationoffinancialintermediaries,particularlythrifts(i.e.savingsandloansand
mutualsavingsbanks)andpassageofthe1981TaxAct.Inmanyrespects,S&Lsbecametothe1980s
whatREITsweretothe1970s,andbothwereaidedandabettedbysignificantchangestothefederal
Taxcode.Theresultswerelargelythesame:overzealousnewconstructionfollowedbyfalling
occupancyandrentlevels.
Becauseoftheeffectsofrisinginflationandinterestrates,Congressundertookasignificantoverhaulof
theregulationsgoverningdepositoryinstitutions.Thiserasedbarrierstowhatwasallowablebetween
commercialbanksandthrifts,andthenewlyderegulatedthriftsembarkedonloanactivityforwhich
theyhadlittleunderstandingorexperience.
Foravarietyofreasons,thriftsengagedinanumberofhighriskrealestatedeals,includingspeculative
apartmentconstruction.Carelesslendingpractices,insufficientduediligence,andasuddenscarcityof
brokereddepositsculminatedinthefailure,closure,orforcedmergerofseveralthousandthriftsacross
theU.S.andabout20to25intheNewOrleansareaalone.
Compoundingtherecklesslendingpracticesofthriftsweretwomajorprovisionsofthe1981TaxAct:
accelerateddepreciationandshelteringofactiveincomewithpassivelosses.Theseincentiveshelpedto
fuelexcessivenewconstructionacrossthespectrumofrealestateproperties,includingmultifamily
apartments.
Thiscyclepeakedin1983andproducedatotalofabout19,546unitsbetween1981and1985.Asinthe
1970s,muchofthisnewconstructionwasconcentratedinthesamegeographicsubmarkets(i.e.
easternNewOrleans,Algiers,Gretna,etc.)andunfortunatelyhadthesameeffect(fallingoccupancy
ratesandrents).InOrleansParish,forexample,occupancyratesattheendof1986averaged79.0%in
LakeForest,69.5%inN.O.Eastand77.5%inAlgiers,whileintheGretnasectoritdroppedto79.5%.
Becausethe1980swerecharacterizedbyamoredifficulteconomicenvironmentintheNewOrleans
region(i.e.theprecipitousdeclineoftheoilandgasindustry)ittooklongerforexcessinventoriestobe
absorbedandforthemarkettoreturntomorebalancedconditioncharacterizedbygraduallyrising
rentsandmoreprofitableoperatingmargins.
Thenewconstructionsurgeofthe1980sendedabruptlywiththepassageofthe1986TaxReformAct,
whichstrippedrealestateoftheaccelerateddepreciationandpassivelossprovisionsthathad

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

20


stimulatedtheconstructionboom.Althoughconstructioncametoanearhalt,thedamagehadalready
beendone,andseveralthousandnewapartmentswerebeingaddedtoinventoryatatimewhenthe
regionalandstateeconomieswereenteringtheworststagesofanenergysectorinduceddecline.
Between1984and1987,themetropolitanarealostover50,000wageandsalaryjobs,whileatthestate
level,thejoblossesexceeded160,000.Totalemploymentintheregiongrewatanaverageannualrate
of0.12%from1980to1984andthencontractedatarateofjustunder0.5%annuallyduringthesecond
halfofthedecade.Atitsworst,averageapartmentoccupancyintheregiondippedtojustabove80%,
andrentsturneddownsharply.Ittookthebetterpartoftenyears(1986to1997)foraverage
occupancytoreach95%andtostayatthatlevelwithanyconsistency.

The1990sandBeyond:Themostrecentcycleactuallystartedinthelate1980s(probably1987)after
theworstoftheenergysectorcrashsubsidedandtheregionenteredamorestable,albeitsomewhat
slowgrowth,economicenvironment.Thelate1980sandearly1990scouldbestbecharacterizedas
pickingupthepiecesofthebadlydamagedrealestatesector.Oneofthemajorplayersinthiscleanup
activitywasthegovernmentcreatedResolutionTrustCorporation(RTC),whichwasdesignedtomarket
(typicallyatdeepdiscounts)foreclosedassetsoffailedinstitutions.Awidevarietyofpropertiesinthe
NewOrleansareawerehandledbyRTCduringthisrecoveryandcleanupperiod,includinganumberof
multifamilyapartmentcomplexes.
Althoughtherealitycheckimposedbythesecostlyfinanciallessonswerenotnecessarilythesolereason
fortherelativelylowlevelsofnewapartmentconstructionforabouttwentyyears(1986to2006)they
nodoubtcontributedtoreluctanceonthepartofbothlendersandinvestorstoaddsignificantlytothe
inventoryofavailablesupply.From1986to2006therewereonlythreeyearswhenpermitsfornew
multifamilyconstructionapproachedorexceeded1,000unitsinthemetropolitanarea(1996,2001and
2002).
Itshouldalsobenotedthatjobgrowththroughmuchofthe1990sandearly2000swassomewhat
anemicintheNewOrleansregion.The1990swereparticularlydifficultwithannualaveragegainsinthe
rangeof0.5%to1.0%andequallysluggishpopulationgrowth.Infact,OrleansandJeffersonParishes
bothlostpopulationduringthedecadewhichdidrelativelylittletospuraggressiveexpansionofthe
apartmentmarketsinventory.
Jobgrowthtowardtheendofthe1990spickedupsomewhat,particularlyintheservicessectordirectly
orindirectlyrelatedtotourismandtheconvention/groupmeetingsbusiness.Steadyexpansioninthese
sectorscametoanabruptpauseafterthe9/11terroristattacksandwerejustbeginningtorecover
fairlywellwhenthelocalmarketwashitwithanothersevereshock,HurricaneKatrina.
Theeconomicdislocationscausedinitiallybythestormanditsfloodingweresignificantandrippled
througheverysectoroftherealestatemarket.Intheapartmentsector,themostevidentimpactwas
damagedordestroyedbuildingswhichreducedavailableinventorydrivingrentsmuchhigherthantheir
prestormlevels.
Theresponsefromaproductionstandpointhadbeenfueledbyapackageoffinancingtoolsand
strategiesthatcreatedthefirstsignificantupturninnewmultifamilypermitsinover20years.And,
NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

21


sincethepermitvolumesshowninGraph1reflectonlynewconstruction,itunderstatesthefull
magnitudeoftherebuildingeffortthathasunfoldedoverthepastfourplusyears.Thevolumeofunits
producedthroughredevelopment,rehabilitationandadaptivereuseofexistingbuildings(whichinnot
reflectedinthenewconstructionpermits)iscoveredlaterinthisreport.Theboomletinnew
constructionpostKatrinaoccurredin2007and2008andthereaftersubsided.Thisnewconstructionhas
beenenabledbyGOZoneincentivessuchasexpandedaccesstoLowIncomeHousingTaxCredits
(LIHTCs),bonusdepreciation,generousallocationsoftaxexemptbondsanddirectCDBGfundingtofill
financinggaps.Rebuildingandrestoringapartmentinventorieshasalsobeenaidedbyinitiativessuchas
theLRAsSmallRentalProgram(alsodiscussedinmoredetaillater)aswellasanunprecedented
infusionofgrantandphilanthropicfundingfromfoundationsandawiderangeofnonprofitsfromacross
theU.S.
Astherecenthistoricalpatternofaverageoccupancyratesillustrates,unlikepreviousperiods,thetwo
yearsurgeinnewconstructionhasnotbeendisruptivetotheregionalmarketsfundamentalbalance.
Althoughaverageoccupancytrendeddownwardin2008,ithassincerecoveredrestingatabout89.5%
asofyearend2010.Thereboundinthemarketsoveralloccupancylevelscanprobablybeattributedin
someparttotherelativelysmallvolumeofnewunitspermittedwhencomparedtoperiodsinthe
1970sand1980s.And,althougheconomicandjobgrowthoverthepasttwoyearshasbeensomewhat
anemic,householdformationsandthecontinuedreturnofpreviouslydisplacedfamiliesandindividuals
hashelpedtofueldemandforhousing,particularlyapartmentsinOrleansParish.
Inamacrosense,itisfairlysafetosaythatthemostrecentmultifamilyapartmentboomletofnew
constructionhasnotbeensignificantlydamagingordisruptivetothemarketsoverallbalanceashas
beenthecaseinpriorperiodsofsurgesofnewinventoryadditions.Thisisnottosaythatsome
geographicsectorsoftheregionsapartmentmarketareweakerthanothersintermsofoccupancyand
rentpatternsdocumentedoverthepast18to24months.Thesemarkettrendswillbemorefully
discussedinthisreport.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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Table4:AverageOccupancyNewOrleansMetropolitanArea,1974to2010

Year

Occupancy

Year

Occupancy

1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993

87.1%
95.1%
98.2%
98.2%
97.7%
98.5%
97.9%
95.2%
93.9%
86.0%
85.6%
81.1%
79.4%
82.2%
87.2%
87.3%
93.4%
91.5%
93.2%

1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005(PreK)
2005(PostK)
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

94.1%
92.5%
91.5%
92.5%
97.8%
94.0%
95.3%
95.5%
95.3%
94.3%
94.9%
93.7%
94.8%
92.2%
89.7%
86.7%
87.7%
89.0%

Note:Occupa ncyda ta does noti ncl udeel derl ya ndl owi ncome
s ubs i zedhous i ng.
Source:Ins ti tuteforEconomi cDevel opmenta ndRea l Es ta te
Res ea rch.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

23


Table5:HousingProductionandWageandSalaryEmploymentHistorybyDecade
NewOrleansAreaHousingMarket,19702009
PermitsIssued

Total

Single Multi
Family Family

Permits
AnnualAverage

Total

Employment*

Muli
Single Multi Familyasa Period
Family Family %ofTotal Beginning

UnemploymentRate

Period
End

Total
Change

Average
Annual
Change

Average
Annual Beginning Endof
%
ofPeriod Period
Change

Change

Range

1970
1974

58,504 26,062 32,442 11,701

5,212

6,488

55.45

457,888

506,549

48,661

9,732

2.13

NA

NA

1975
1979

44,914 28,794 16,120

8,983

5,759

3,224

35.89

520,111

592,183

72,072

14,414

2.77

7.46

5.95

(1.51)

1980
1984

45,309 24,759 20,550

9,062

4,952

4,110

45.4

612,889

616,468

3,579

716

0.12

5.91

8.94

3.04

1985
1989

19,600 14,747

4,853

3,920

2,949

971

24.8

602,972

588,278

(14,694) (2,939) (0.49) 10.35

6.76

(3.59) 6.7610.54

1990
1994

15,817 14,345

1,472

3,163

2,869

294

9.3

598,593

618,093

19,500

3,900

0.65

6.02

8.48

2.46

6.029.09

1995
1999

21,603 18,002

3,601

4,321

3,600

720

16.7

630,917

652,580

21,663

4,333

0.69

7.52

4.53

(2.99)

4.537.52

2000
2004

24,918 20,744

4,174

4,984

4,149

835

16.8

656,124

651,658

(4,466) (893) (0.14) 4.68

5.06

0.38

4.685.53

2005
2009

25,454 18,794

6,660

5,091

3,759

1,332

26.2

594,688

555,100

(39,588) (7,918) (1.33) 8.28

5.06

6.38

3.448.28

NA

NA
5.957.56
5.9110.70

*2009employmentdataisestimated

Source:U.S.DepartmentofCommerce,C40ConstructionPermitSeriesandtheLouisianaWorkforceCommission,LaborMarket

Informationreports.

KeyConclusionsHistoryoftheRentalMarketintheNewOrleansRegion:

Priortotheearly1970s,therentalmarketintheNewOrleansregionwasdominatedbysmallone
tofourunitstructuresandwascharacterizedbystablerentsandoccupancylevels.
TheNewOrleansmarketexperiencedthreemajorapartmentbuildingboomsbetween1970and
2005:intheearly1970s,late1970s,andearlytomid1980s.
Ineachcase,majorbuildingactivitywasfollowedbydecliningoccupancylevelsandaskingrents.
Thesesurpluseswereabsorbedrelativelyquicklyinthe1970sandearly1980sduetoan
expandingeconomy,butthe1980sbuildingboomresultedinasustainedoversupplyofrental
housingduetotheoilbust.
PriortoKatrina,the1990sand2000swerecharacterizedbyslow,steadyapartmentconstruction.
ThedevelopmentincentivesthatfollowedHurricaneKatrinaproducedaboomletinapartment
constructionthatwasofashorterdurationandasmallervolumethanpreviousbooms.
Intermsofoccupancyandrentlevels,theeffectsofthisrecent,smallerconstructionsurgehave
beenmuted,andtherentalmarketappearstoberegainingequilibrium.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

24

ResidentialConstruction,20032010
Theebbandflowofnewconstructionrespondstoandanticipatesmanyforcesatworkinthenational,
regionalandlocaleconomicframeworks.Newsupply,forexample,enterstheinventorypipeline
anticipatingeconomicgrowthandtheaccompanyingformationandinmigrationofhouseholdsneeding
shelter.Suchgrowthistypicallylinkedtopopulationgainsthataredrivenbyeconomicforcessuchas
expandedjobopportunities,businessandindustrialexpansionandrisingincomelevels.Newsupply,as
previouslydiscussed,isalsoinfluencedbytheflowsoffinancingavailabletoaccommodateboth
producersandconsumersaswellastheoccasionalextraordinarypackagesofincentivesusedto
encouragedecisionsthatmightnototherwisebemadeordelayedtoalaterdate.Interventionsby
agenciessuchastheFed(toreduceborrowingcosts)andHUD(tobroadenthescopeandavailabilityof
financing)generallydoagoodjobtoaccomplishtheformer,whileCongressionalchangestotheTax
Codeaddressthelatterasinthefirsttimehomebuyertaxcredit.
Newinventoryadditionsmayalsobeimpededbyanumberoffactorsaswell.Fundamentaltonew
residentialconstructionistheavailabilityoflandsuitablylocatedandappropriatelyzonedtosupport
communitydevelopment.Shortagesoflandeitherbyphysicalorlegal/regulatoryrestrainthasthe
potentialofslowingifnotredirectingpatternsofnewresidentialconstruction.Althoughsuchrestraints
maytypicallybeassociatedwithmultifamilyproductsresistedbymanycommunities,thesprawland
unfetteredextensionofinfrastructureandservicesareoftenraisedasreasonstoslowtheissuanceof
permitsfornewconstructionortoimposeoutrightmoratorialinkedtooverburdenedsewerandwater
systems.
Tables6and7summarizenewconstructiontrendsbyparishfortheNewOrleansmetropolitanarea
coveringtheperiod2000throughNovember2010.ThisinformationisdrawnfromtheC40construction
seriespublishedbytheU.S.Censusbaseduponreportsreceivedfrompermitissuingjurisdictions
throughouttheregion.Thissourceisgenerallyconsideredtobethebestmeasureofnewsupplyin
housingmarketanalyses.
Ifpermitsfornewresidentialconstructionareareflectionofalocalmarketsrelativeeconomic
strength,thenmuchofthelastdecadewouldgenerallybecharacterizedasanemic.Withtheexception
oftwoyears(2006and2007)whichwerenotablyinfluencedbytheextraordinaryconditionsimposed
byHurricaneKatrina,newconstructionintheregionhasbeenonasteadydownwardslopingpath.The
twomajorsectorsofnewconstruction,singleandmultifamilyarediscussedinthesectionswhich
follow.

SingleFamilyNewConstruction
NewsinglefamilyhomeproductionintheNewOrleansregionpeakedin2004at5,792unitspermitted
and,withtheexceptionofpostKatrina2006,hassteadilytrendeddownwardeachyearthroughtheend
ofthedecade.Overall,singlefamilypermittednewconstructionaveraged4,139unitsannuallyoverthe
2000to2009period.Since2007,annualpermitlevelshavegenerallyfallenbelowtheaverageannual
productionpaceand2010islikelytoendinasimilarmannerwhenallreportshavebeentabulated.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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VolumethroughNovember2010stoodat1,713unitsor289units(14.4%below)thepacesetforthe
sameperiodin2009.Extrapolatingthroughtheendoftheyearputsannualsinglefamilyhome
productionatabout2,150to2,200unitsfor2010orabout2%below2009salreadylowlevels.Forthe
mostpart,thesubstantialdeclineinnewresidentialhomeconstructionintheregionmayverywellhave
beenstemmedbythegradualselloffoflingeringunsoldinventory(bothnewandused),someofwhich
wasnodoubtinfluencedbyfirsttimehomebuyertaxincentivesavailablethroughthefirstandpartof
thesecondquartersoftheyear.Otherfactorsthathavehelpedincludecontinuingrepopulationofthe
region,particularlyinOrleansParish,andthepersistenceofhistoricallylowhomemortgageinterest
ratesthathavebeenimpactedbymassivemarketinterventionbytheFed.
Thegeographicdistributionofnewsinglefamilyhomeconstructionintheregionhaschanged
significantlyoverthepastfewyears.PriortoandjustafterHurricaneKatrina,newsinglefamily
constructionwasheavilyconcentratedinfastgrowingSt.TammanyParish.Infact,fortheperiod2000
through2007,51%ofallpermitsfornewsinglefamilyconstructionwereissuedinSt.TammanyParish
withannualsharesrangingfrom40.2%in2007to54.6%in2004.Drawnbytheprospectofowninga
largerhomewithmorelandareainacommunitywithoneoftheconsistentlytoprankedpublicschool
systems,householdshavebeensteadilymigratingtoSt.TammanyParishsincethe1970s.Although
primarilyabedroomcommunityforthoseworkinginOrleansandJeffersonParishes,St.Tammany
Parishsgrowthandmaturationhavealsofueledanexpandinganddiversifyingeconomicbasethathas
attractedbusinessexpansionsandrelocationsfromwithintheregionaswellasfromothermarketsin
theU.S.Thisunfoldingmaturationofitseconomicbasestartedduringtheearly1990s,gained
momentumduringtheearlypartofthe2000sandhasacceleratedsinceKatrinain2005.Thislatest
phaseofitsmaturationisbestevidencedbytherelocationofmajoremployersfromtheSouthshore
suchasChevronOil,LLOGandLOOPandtheentryofGlobalstar,formerlybasedinSiliconValley.These
arealltrendsthathavefueledSt.Tammanysgrowthandthathavedrivendemandtosupportnew
residentialsinglefamilyhomeproductionandsales.ThissectoroftheSt.Tammanyresidentialmarket,
however,isnotwithoutitsdifficulties.
ApostKatrinasurgeofnewpermitsin2005and2006of2,468and2,659units,respectively,filledthe
pipelineofnewhomesbeyonditscapacitytobeeffectivelyabsorbedeveninthecontextof
extraordinarypoststormgrowthfromhurricanedisplacedhouseholds.And,althoughrepresentinga
significantdrop(39%)innewpermits,the1,631unitsaddedin2007onlyhelpedtoexacerbatethe
marketsoverhangofunsoldinventory.UnlikeotherareasoftheU.S.wheresubprimelendingfedthe
tidalwaveofnewconstruction,itwasexcessiveandunrealisticexpectationsinastormshockedmarket
thatdrovesubdivisiondevelopmentandnewhomeconstructiontounsustainablelevelsinSt.Tammany
ParishandotherNorthshorecommunities.
Therealitiesofslowergrowthandresettlementofpreviouslydisplacedhouseholdstogetherwithan
abruptpullbackofdevelopmentandconstructionlendinghavecombinedtodrivenewhome
constructioninSt.TammanyParishdowntolevelsnotseensincetheoilandgasrecessionofthe1980s.
Indeed,theSt.Tammanyhousingmarkethasexperiencedaprofoundadjustment.Permitsfornew
singlefamilyconstructionfellto933unitsin2008down65%from2006spoststormpeak)andagainto
592unitsin2009.And,althoughtheworstofthedownturnmaybeover,permitactivitythrough
NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

26


November2010of529units(comparedto541unitsforthesameperiodin2009)indicatethatthe
yearstotalproductionisnotlikelytoexceed575to600units.Thiswouldjustaboutequal2009stotal
permitvolumebutisstillwellbelowaverageannualproductionvolumesforthedecade.
JeffersonParishsnewsinglefamilyhomeconstructionhasalsofollowedapatternsimilartoSt.
Tammanysforthepastdecade.Aftersteadilyrisingintheearlypartofthedecade,permitsfornew
constructionexceeded1,000unitsintheyearsjustbeforeKatrina1,168in2003and1,173in2004.
ThisvolumeofnewconstructionhadbecomesomewhatofararityinJeffersonwhichhadurbanized
rapidlyonitseastbankduringthe1960to1990periodleavingfewtractsofunderdevelopedland.This
pusheddevelopmenttoitslessaccessiblewestbankwherenewsubdivisiongrowthalongtheLapalco
Boulevardcorridorwasmostevidentduringthepastdecadeorso.
Sincepeakingin2004,permitsfornewsinglefamilyconstructionforthemostpartsteadilyedgeddown
throughtheendof2009andarelikelytocontinuedoingsothrough2010.Theonlyexceptiontothis
patternwasaslightuptickinpermitsto798in2007,apostKatrinayearwhereexpectationsofagrowth
pushfuelednewinventoryadditions.Thereafter,permitvolumesfellto565unitsin2008(down29%
from2007)and350unitsin2009(down56%fromthe2007poststormpeakand56%belowthe
decadesannualaveragepaceofnewconstructionof802units).PermitsissuedthroughNovember
signalyetanotheryeartoyeardeclinefor2010,droppingtoabout260unitsor26%below2009.This
continuedslowdowncanprobablybeattributedtoJeffersonParishsgradualpopulationdeclines,its
somewhatstalledeconomyandalingeringexcessofavailablesinglefamilyhomesforsaleinmost
sectorsofthemarketbothgeographicallyandbypricerange.Theseareconditionsnotlikelytochange
significantlyovertheshorttermandthusnewhomeconstructionwillprobablyremainbelowaverage
forthenexttwelvetoeighteenmonthsinJeffersonParish.
PriortoKatrina,newhomeconstructioninOrleansParishgenerallylaggedbehindfastgrowingSt.
TammanyParishanditsmoreimmediatesuburbanneighborJeffersonParish.From2000to2004,
permitsfornewsinglefamilyhousinginOrleansParishaveraged465unitsannually.Bycomparison,
averageannualproductionvolumesduringthesameperiodaveraged2,326unitsinSt.TammanyParish
and938unitsinJeffersonParish.InOrleansParish,permitspeakedduringthisprestormperiodat552
unitsin2004astheydidlikewiseinthesetwosuburbanparishes.
In2005,permitsinOrleansParishcametoavirtualstandstillafterAugustwithatotalof413units
permittedforconstructionduringtheyear.Thereafter,astherebuildingoftheCityunfolded,the
volumeofpermitsissuedrecoveredto468in2006androsesharplyto1,026unitsin2007.Thiswas
significantlyhigherthanthevolumeofpermitsissuedinJeffersonParish(798)andapproachedthe
1,631unitspermittedinSt.TammanyParish.Sincethen,permitsinOrleanstotaled882in2008(down
14%from2007)andthenincreasedto947unitsin2009,theonlyyeartoyeargainreportedamongthe
regionseightparishes.Itisalsointerestingtonotethatthis2009volumeinOrleansParishwas
significantlyhigher(60%)thanthenumberofunitspermittedinSt.TammanyParishandalmosttriple
thevolumereportedforJeffersonParishin2009.And,althoughtherehasbeenagradualslowdownin
permitsissuedthroughNovemberof2010,itappearsthatthetotalvolumeofnewsinglefamilyhomes
enteringthesupplypipelinefortheyearwillrangefrom825to850units.Thiswillonceagainsurpass

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

27


theanticipatednew2010inventoryadditionsinbothSt.TammanyandJeffersonParishesandisfurther
evidenceoftheongoingandgradualrebuildingthroughouttheCity.
Table6:ResidentialBuildingPermits:SingleFamilyHousing,2000November2010
PreKatrina

PostKatrina

Area
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

Aug2005
YTD

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

NovYTD NovYTD
2009

2010

TotalPermits

Change

2000
2004

2005
2009

2008
2009

AverageAnnual Change
Volume
YTD
2000
2004

2004 Nov.2009
2009 Nov2010

NewOrleansMetro
Jefferson

699

715

937

1,168

1,173

818

912

707

798

565

350

321

238

4,692

3,332

215

938

666

(83)

Orleans

348

455

438

530

552

412

413

468

1,026

882

947

881

756

2,323

3,736

(65)

465

747

(125)

Plaquemines

(21)

118

125

107

202

155

73

73

99

147

91

62

56

35

707

472

29

141

94

St.Bernard

96

117

104

98

95

54

46

125

214

99

33

31

22

510

517

66

102

103

(9)

St.Charles

174

196

216

319

319

205

309

574

126

100

115

85

84

1,224

1,224

(15)

245

245

(1)

St.James
St.John

14

19

31

29

94

172

185

55

47

41

NA

NA

242

243

280

265

237

159

267

283

57

86

91

87

49

187

500

37

100

NA

1,267

784

(5)

253

157

(38)

St.Tammany

1,798

1,648

2,244

2,775

3,167

2,091

2,468

2,659

1,631

933

592

541

529

11,632

8,283

341

2,326

1,657

(12)

NewOrleansMetroTotal

3,489

3,518

4,357

5,386

5,792

3,812

4,660

5,100

4,054

2,803

2,231

2,002

1,713

22,542

18,848

572

4,508

3,770

(289)

13,109

13,274

15,225

18,478

20,684

13,908

20,206

23,806

16,640

11,689

10,755

10,167

9,689

80,770

83,096

934

16,154

16,619

(478)

StateofLouisiana

Source:USCensusBureau,ResidentialBuildingPermits
2003annualdataisbasedonthe19,000placeseries;2004throughYTDNovember2010annualdataisbasedonthe20,000placeseries.
Monthlydata,usedherefortheNovember2009YTDcolumn,doesnotcontainalloftheplacesincludedintheannualdata.
St.CharlesParishdataexcludesfourormorefamilybuildings.Lafourchedataexcludesthreeandfourfamilybuildings.
August2005dataisbasedonyeartodateimputationand,insomecases,exceedsannualestimationsfor2005.Thisisbecausereportingfromlocalpermittingagenciesismorecompletewiththeannualdata.

MultiFamilyNewConstruction
Aspreviouslydiscussed,thevolumeofnewmultifamilyapartmentsenteringtheinventorypipeline
duringanyparticulartimeperiodcanbedrivenbyavarietyoffactorsthatmayormaynotbefully
reflectiveofanticipatedgrowthandthusdemand.Thesewouldinclude,butnotnecessarilybelimited
to,specialfinancingprogramsorotherfinancingincentivesandfavorabletreatmentwithintheIRSTax
Code.Fortheprestormperiodofthelastdecade(2000to2004),therewasnotthesamelevelofsuch
specialfinancingortaxincentivestosubstantiallyinfluencenewmultifamilyhousingproduction.This
characteristicofthepreKatrinahousingmarketisgenerallyreflectedinthenumberofpermitsissued
forunitsbuiltinmultifamilybuildings.Duringthepoststormperiod,however,thevolumeofpermits
issuedrosesharplyintheregion,particularlyinOrleansandSt.TammanyParishes,fueledlargelyby
financingenhancementsandfavorabletaxtreatmentsdesignedtoattractcapitaltotherebuildingand
redevelopmentprocess.
From2000to2004,permitsfornewmultifamilyconstruction(whichmayinclude2+unitbuildingssold
ascondominiumsorfeesimpletownhouse)averaged833unitsannuallyintheeightparishregion.
Orleans,St.TammanyandJeffersonParishesaccountedforthemajority(96%)ofthisnewproduction
whichpeakedat1,057unitsin2002.Likewise,productionduringthisprestormperiodalsopeakedin
2002inJeffersonParish(367units)andSt.TammanyParish(483units).Otherparishesintheregion
accountedforrelativelysmalladditionstomultifamilyhousinginventoryduringthisperiod.
PostKatrinamultifamilyproductiongainedmomentumin2006with659unitspermittedthroughout
theregionandthensurgedto3,025and2,037unitsin2007and2008,respectively,astherecovery
relatedincentiveswerefullyrolledoutandutilizedbydevelopers.However,unlikeprevioussurgesof
incentednewapartmentconstruction,thisonewascomparativelyshortlivedreflectingtheshort
timeframeinwhichmanyofthesesubsidizedpropertieshadtobebuiltaspartoftheLIHTCprogram.In

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

28


2009totalmultifamilypermitsissueddroppedto646unitsintheregion,virtuallyallofwhich(614
units)wereforpropertieslocatedinOrleansParish.Thewindingdownofsomeincentivestogetherwith
lingeringfinancialmarketdifficultiesbroughtpermitsfornewmultifamilytoanearhaltin2010
throughouttheregionwiththeexceptionofOrleansParish.Butevenhere,the174unitsissuedthrough
November(83%oftheregionstotal)representsasharppullbackfromtheproductionlevelsofthe
previousthreeyearsinOrleansParish,anindicationthatconstructionactivityaspartofthepoststorm
rebuildingprocessmaybenearingitsend.Between2005and2009,atotalof5,085unitswere
permittedfornewconstructioninOrleansParishorabout1,017unitsonanaverageannualbasis.This
represented76.4%oftheregionstotalmultifamilyproductionforthefiveyearperiod.Bycomparison,
the1,097unitspermittedinSt.TammanyParishduringthissameperiodaccountedfor16.5%ofthe
regionstotalproductionwhiletheJeffersonParishvolumeof346unitsmadeup5.1%oftheregion
wideadditionofnewmultifamilyinventory.St.Bernardandothersuburbanparisheshaveaccounted
forrelativelyfewnewlybuiltmultifamilyunitssince2007.
Thebuildingpermits,asreportedbytheU.S.CensusBureau,arefornewconstruction,andexcludethe
thousandsofstormdamagedrentalunitsrehabilitatedsince2005.Themajorityoflargescalemulti
familyunitsrepairedpostKatrinaareincludedintheLHFApipelinedata(Table25);aportionofsmall
scalerentalunitsthathavecomebackonlinearecapturedintheanalysisofhomesteadexemptions,
surveysandvouchers,asseeninthemapsandtableswithinthesmallrentaldiscussionstartingonpage
66.
Table7:ResidentialBuildingPermits:MultiFamilyHousing,2000November2010

PreKatrina

PostKatrina

Area
2000

2001

2002

Aug2005

2004

2003

YTD

2005

2006

2008

2007

2009

NovYTD NovYTD
2009

2010

TotalPermits

Change

2000
2004

2008
2009

2005
2009

AverageAnnual Change
Volume
YTD
2000
2004

2004 Nov.2009
2009 Nov2010

NewOrleansMetro
Jefferson

Orleans

Plaquemines
St.Bernard

St.Charles

118

521

367

27

44

37

32

79

204

22

20

1,077

346

182

215

69

(20)

331

172

178

387

335

204

204

355

2,220

1,692

614

586

174

1,403

5,085

1,078

281

1,017

(412)
32

13

32

18

12

46

10

78

16

16

12

14

16

25

30

0
NA

St.James

NA

40

NA

NA

48

10

St.John

30

24

53

28

11

221

193

483

348

273

43

41

208

709

135

1,518

1,097

131

304

219

(2)

694

939

1,057

772

702

304

293

659

3,025

2,037

646

1,611

2,379

3,200

3,742

2,305

1,400

2,605

4,865

6,739

4,616

1,758

St.Tammany
NewOrleansMetroTotal
StateofLouisiana

612

210

4,164

6,660

1,391

833

1,332

(402)

1,519

848

13,237

20,583

2,858

2,647

4,117

(671)

Source:USCensusBureau,ResidentialBuildingPermits
2003annualdataisbasedonthe19,000placeseries;2004throughYTDNovember2010annualdataisbasedonthe20,000placeseries.
Monthlydata,usedherefortheNovember2009YTDcolumn,doesnotcontainalloftheplacesincludedintheannualdata.
St.CharlesParishdataexcludesfourormorefamilybuildings.Lafourchedataexcludesthreeandfourfamilybuildings.
August2005dataisbasedonyeartodateimputationand,insomecases,exceedsannualestimationsfor2005.Thisisbecausereportingfromlocalpermittingagenciesismorecompletewiththeannualdata.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

29

KeyConclusionsRecentConstructionTrends:

Since2000,thepeakyearforsinglefamilypermitactivitywithintheregionwasin2004.Single
familyactivityhassteadilydeclinedsince2007andisatlessthan40%ofthe2004levelofactivity.
SinglefamilypermitactivityhasexperiencedaprecipitousdeclineinJeffersonandSt.Tammany
parishessinceKatrinawhileOrleansParishhasoccupiedanincreasingshareofsinglefamilypermit
activityinrecentyears.
TherewasapostKatrinaboomletinmultifamilyconstructionbetween2006and2008,but
multifamilyactivitysubsidedin2009and2010.
Thebulkofmultifamilyunitspermittedbetween2005and2009intheregionwereinOrleans
Parish.
MultifamilypermitactivityisatanearstandstillinthemetropolitanareaexceptinOrleansParish,
though2010levelsarewellbelow2009levelsinOrleansaswell.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

30

ApartmentOccupancyTrends:20042010
Justasthereisanebbandflowofconstructionactivityonthesupplysideofthehousingmarket,there
arecomplimentaryandreactionaryflowsonthedemandsideoftheequation.Theseactivityflowsor
marketindicatorsareusuallymeasuredintermsofchangesinrentsandpatternsinoccupancyand
absorptionrates.Occupancyratestypicallymeasureinventoryutilizationlevelsasofapointintime,
whileabsorptionratesmeasurespaceconsumptionoveraspecifictimeperiod(i.e.week,month,year,
etc.).Theanalysiswhichfollowandthatissummarizedintheaccompanyingtablesfocusesondemand
ebbsandflowsasreflectedbyreportedoccupancyrates.Theanalysisaddressesoveralloccupancyin
theregionasawholeandbyspecificgeographicsubsectorswithinitfocusingprimarilyonmarketrate
multifamilypropertieslocatedinOrleans,JeffersonandSt.TammanyParishes.Asubcomponentofthe
analysisaddressesaportionofthelocalhousinginventorythatiscategorizedasaffordableandmixed
income.Thesampleofpropertiesconsistsprimarilyofthosecontainingtwentyormoreunitswiththe
largestportionofthepropertiessurveyedhaving100ormoreunits.

OccupancyTrends:MarketRateUnits
TheoccupancytrendssummarizedinTable9reflectratherwellthesomewhaterraticshiftsininventory
utilizationratesthatwouldgenerallybeexpectedinaregionvisitedbyoneofthemostdestructive
naturaldisastersinU.S.history.Thecombinationofeconomicdislocations,populationdisplacements
andhousinginventorydamageanddestructionproducedchangesinoccupancyratesfromoneperiod
tothenextthatweresharpandsomewhatunprecedentedintheNewOrleansmarket.And,although
somelevelofstabilityappearstobereturningasthemarketsettlesintoitsnewnormal,the
opportunityforyetfurtheradjustmentsremainsonthehorizonasnewinventoryawaitsentryintothe
productionpipelineandtheloominguncertaintiesassociatedwithnationalandglobaleconomic
conditionsunfoldandproducetheirimprintsonthelocalmarketparticularlyintermsofjobcreation
andpopulationmigration.
AfterhittingapostKatrinaaverageof95%,occupancyratesfromthe2006to2008periodsteadily
edgeddownwardintheNewOrleansregion.Byyearend2008,averageapartmentoccupancyhadfallen
to86.9%followingtwopreviousyearconsecutivedecreasedto91.9%and90.1%in2006and2007,
respectively.In2009,averagereportedoccupancyedgedupintheregionto88.3%andbyyearend
2010ithadrisento89.5%.
Withintheregion,particularlyinOrleans,JeffersonandSt.TammanyParishes,themovementof
averageoccupancyratesisadirectreflectionofhowthemarketrespondedtotheunprecedented
Katrinaimposeddislocationandsubsequentrecoveryandrebuilding.JeffersonParishsexperienceis
quiteillustrativeofwideswingsintheforcesofsupplyanddemand.
In2004andintheperiodjustpriortoKatrina,apartmentmanagersandownersofpropertieslocatedin
JeffersonParishreportedaverageoccupancyratesof94.7%and94.6%,respectively,withmost
geographicsubsectorshavingaverageoccupancyratesof94%to95%orabove.Bymostmeasuresof
strength,JeffersonParishsapartmentmarketwouldgenerallybecharacterizedasverystabletostrong.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

31


Aspreviouslydiscussed,thisisaconditionwhichthissectoroftheregionalmarkethastypicallyenjoyed
forthebetterpartoftwotothreedecadesevenwithshortperiodsofoverbuildingtakeninto
consideration.
IntheperiodimmediatelyfollowingHurricaneKatrina,averageapartmentoccupancyinJefferson
soaredtonearasaturationlevelof99.6%parishwideandto100%inthreeofitssubsectors.The
reasonsareabundantlyclearasthosedisplacedfromfloodedhomesinportionsofJeffersonParishas
wellasOrleansandSt.Bernardsecuredshorttermimmediateshelterastheybegantheprocessof
rebuilding.ThismadeuponesegmentofdemandforrentalunitsinJefferson.Asecondsegment
includedthemanywhodescendedupontheregionintheweeksandmonthsimmediatelyfollowingthe
stormtoassistintherecovery,cleanupandrebuildingprocess.Thisincludedconstructionanddisaster
recoverycrewsnototherwisehousedintemporaryquartersorlodgingfacilitiesaswellas
representativesfrominsurancecompaniesandawidearrayofgovernmentagencies.Theneedfor
shelterwasimmediateandacuteandformanyintheseimmediatepostdisastermonths,price(rent)
wasnoobject.Itshouldalsobenoted,thatalthoughJeffersonParishsapartmentinventorydidnot
sufferthesamelevelofdamageinflictedonunitsinneighboringOrleansParish,someunitswere
temporarilyunavailable.Thiswasdueinlargeparttowinddamageandcomparativelylight(twotofour
inches)offloodingonthegroundfloorsofsomegardenapartmentslocatedinMetairie.
SincethepostKatrinanearsaturationpeak,averageoccupancylevelssteadilyfellinJeffersonParish
reaching88.1%atyearend2009.Declineswereparticularlysharpinsomegeographicsubmarketsof
Jefferson.InKenner,forexample,averageoccupancyfellfromapostKatrinahighof98.8%toayear
end2009averageof81.9%,whileintheRiverRidgesector,averageoccupancyoverthesameperiod
droppedfrom100%to85.4%in2009.Thesepatternsarereflectiveofseveralforcesthatthroughthe
endof2009didnotnecessarilyfavorstrongdemandforrentalapartmentsinJeffersonParish.
AsownersofrelativelylightlyfloodedhomesinJeffersonwereabletocompleterepairsoftheir
property(withorwithoutinsuranceproceeds)theywereabletovacatetheirtemporarilysecuredrental
apartments.Also,asrecoveryandinitialcleanupphaseswounddown,shorttermlaborandsupport
crewsvacatedapartmentsinJeffersonParish.Thesetrendshadparticularinfluencemovingthroughthe
endof2006andinto2007.Thereafter,therestorationandrebuildingofhomesandrentalpropertiesin
manyOrleansParishneighborhoodsallowedthoseoccupyingJeffersonParishlocatedrentalunitsto
returnhomeortoneighborhoodsfromwhichtheyweredisplaced.Thisgainedmomentumduring2007
andinto2008particularlyinresponsetofundsavailablethroughtheRoadHomeandSmallRental
programs.Thesefueledasteadyincreaseinnewhousinginventorywhichwasfurthersupplementedby
theintroductionofadditionalapartmentinventorylinkedtotaxincentedfinancingprogramsand
rebuildingeffortsfundedthroughinsuranceproceedsandSBAloans.Theseforceshelpedtofurther
draindemandfromJeffersonParishsapartmentinventoryandthusdrivethegradualdecreasein
averageoccupancylevels.FurtheraggravatingthesituationinJeffersonwasalackofreplacement
demandduetostagnantpopulationandemploymentgrowthoverthepasttwotothreeyears.Katrina,
ineffect,createdashorttermdemandbubbleinJeffersonParishsapartmentmarketsectorwhichhad
notbeensustainedbynecessarymarketfundamentals.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

32


During2010,thedemandforrentalapartmentsinJeffersonParishstrengthenedasaverageoccupancy
roseto96.4%.Thisimprovementwasconsistentacrosseachoftheparishssubmarketswiththemost
notablestrengtheningoccurringintheWestMetairieareawhereaverageoccupancyrosefrom87.9%in
2009toayearend2010levelof91.6%.SimilarresurgencesindemandalsooccurredintheKenner
sector(81.9%to83.9%)andEastMetairie(91.5%to94.5%)ontheeastbankandintheHarveyCanal
East/Gretnaareaonthewestbankfrom91.1%to92.2%.Althoughtheseoccupancyratesremainwell
belowtheirpostKatrinapeaks,theyareinmostinstancesreturningtolevelswhichweremoretypicalin
2004andjustpriortoKatrina.Despiteitslackofpopulationgrowthanditssomewhatstagnantjob
gains,Jeffersonisthesecondmostpopulousparish(accordingtothe2010Census)inthestatewitha
relativelystablecoreofmajoremployersandbusinesscenters.Theseprovidejobsatawiderangeof
salarylevelsincludingservicebasedretailemploymentwhichdrivesdemandforrentalhousing.Asthe
regionaleconomygrowsandexpands,theseemployersarelikelytocreatemorejobsthatwillhelp
supportandsustaindemandforrentalunitsacrossJeffersonParish.
St.TammanyParishreflectssomesimilaritiestoJeffersoninthemovementsofsupplyanddemandin
thepostKatrinaregionalhousingmarket.Betweentheendof2004andjustpriortoKatrina,average
apartmentoccupancyinSt.TammanyParishdroppedfrom95.6%to88.4%.Thiswaslargelytheresult
oftheadditionofnewinventorywhichbegantoenterthesupplypipelineinmid2003andwas
completedduringthemiddleof2004.Thisproducedaveryshorttermperiodofinventoryoverhand
whichwasquicklyremediatedintheweeksandmonthsfollowingKatrina.Intheimmediateperiod
followingthestorm,parishwideaverageapartmentoccupancyinSt.Tammanyroseto98.7%as
dislocatedhouseholdsmovedtotheNorthshorefromflooddamagedneighborhoodsinOrleansandSt.
BernardParishes.Thissurgeofgrowthheldaverageoccupancyratesatjustunder98%throughtheend
of2006andstartedtodriftdowninapatternsimilartotheexperienceofJeffersonParishasdislocated
householdsreturnedtotheirhomesontheSouthshoreandasacohortofnewapartmentconstruction
beganenteringthesupplypipeline.Thesepropertieshavetakenadvantageofpoststormfinancingand
taxtreatmentincentivesandhavegrowntheavailabilityofnewrentalapartmentsinboththeeastand
westsectorsoftheSt.TammanyParishmarket.Atthesametime,population,householdand
employmentgrowthratesintheparishhaveallslowedsomewhat.Theseforcescombinedtopush
averageoccupancydownto91.3%in2007andthento81.6%in2008.Sincethen,theparishsslowbut
steadygrowthandvirtualhalttonewmultifamilyconstructionhavecombinedtoabsorbtheoverhang
ofnewinventoryandpushaverageapartmentoccupancyto88.3%atyearend2009andto91.0%by
theendof2010.Goingforward,withvirtuallynonewunitsintheconstructionpipeline,average
apartmentoccupancyshouldcontinuetoedgeupwardoverthenext12to18months.Severalnew
propertieshavebeenproposed,butfacedifficultiesinsecuringthenecessaryfinancing.Theexception
tothisisthe240unitBrookstoneParkApartmentsthatisunderconstructionona14.7acreparceljust
southofCovingtonneartheintersectionofI12andLAHighway21.Thefirstphasewillconsistof128
unitswithphasetwocomprisingthebalanceof112units.Phasetwowillnotbegin,however,untilthe
128unitsinphaseonehasreachedastabilizedoperatinglevel.Thispropertywillcontainamixofone,
twoandthreebedroomunitsranginginsizefrom645to1,287squarefeetwithrentsrangingfrom
$1.08to$1.29persquarefoot.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

33


InOrleansParish,theapartmentmarketwasfunctioninginarelativelybalancedstatejustpriorto
Katrina.In2004,yearendapartmentoccupancyaveraged94.8%whileintheprestormmonthsof2005
averagereportedoccupancystoodat94.5%.Forthemostpart,averageoccupancyratesacrosseachof
theparishsgeographicsubmarketsexceeded90%withmostatorabove95%.Thestormhadthe
immediateeffectofrearrangingapartmentinventoriesandabruptlyshiftingresidentswhoremainedin
theregiontounitsinsectorsoftheparishwherestormandflooddamagewaslesssevere.Asaresult,
averageoccupancyratesexperiencedwideswingsduringtheimmediatepostKatrinaand2006
reportingperiods.Averageoccupancyroseto88.2%in2006(from87.5%inpostKatrina2005)andthen
turneddownto84.4%asnewandrehabilitatedinventorybeganenteringthesupplypipeline.These
additionstoinventoryhave,inthemajorityofinstances,beendrivenbythemixoftaxandfinancing
incentivesmadeavailabletohelpintherebuildingeffort.Anotherportionoftheadditionalinventory
resultedfrominitiativessuchastheSmallRentalProgramoftheLRAaswellasthereinvestmentof
insuranceproceedsandothercapitalbyindividualpropertyowners,andmorerecently,thelarge
numberofforsalehomesthathaveenteredtherentalmarket.
Evenwiththeseadditionstoinventory,thesteadyreturnandgrowthofpopulationandhouseholdsin
thecityhashelpedtodrivedemandforrentalapartments.Theresulthasbeenanincreaseinaverage
apartmentoccupancyto85.3%atyearend2008followedbyariseto86.7%in2009and87.2%atthe
endof2010.And,consideringthesharpreductioninnewconstructioninthepipeline,parishwide
apartmentoccupancyratesarelikelytocontinueedgingupthrough2011andinto2012.Thisisnotto
say,however,thatsomegeographicsectorsoftheOrleansParishmarketarewithoutsomechallenges.
ThestrongestperformingsectorsaretheUptown,MidCityandWarehouseDistrictareas,andas
evidencedbyourfieldsurveysofsmallrentalproperties,thesouthernportionoftheBywaterplanning
district.Eachofthesehavereportedaverageoccupancyratesatorabove92%andhaveshown
consistentimprovementsince2008whenthemarketwasconfrontedwiththeneedtoabsorbawaveof
newinventoryadditionswhichcontinuedthroughmuchof2009.Thesesectorsshareonesignificant
commontrait,namelyaccesstocoresofeconomicactivityandemploymentopportunities.Thisincludes
theCBD,theredevelopingmedicalcenterandtheUptown(St.CharlesAvenue/MagazineStreet)
corridor.Theseareallwellservedbypublictransitthusmakingthemreadilyaccessibletoapartment
residentslivinginthesesectorsofthemarket.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

34

The2010CensusandtheNewOrleansRegion
TheU.S.Censusrecentlyreleased2010datafortheNewOrleansmetropolitanarea.Thislongawaited
informationprovidesthecommunitywithabenchmarkofsizestatusinrelationtotenyearsago,andmore
importantly,howfartheregionhascomeintermsofrebuildingduringthepostKatrinaperiod.Priortohaving
accesstothisinformation,GCRdevelopedameasureforassessingpopulationrecovery.ReferredtoasanActivity
Index,itcombinesseveralsourcesofinformationtodeterminewhetherthereisresidentialactivityataparticular
address.Thisincludesgarbagepickup,utilityusage,maildelivery,voterregistrationandspotsurveys.In
comparingthisdatatothe2010Census,oneseesasizeabledifferenceinOrleans,JeffersonandSt.Bernard
parishes.Thisdiscrepancyisnotaresultoferrorfromeithersource;eachdatasourcerepresentssomething
slightlydifferenttheCensussurveyspeoplewhereastheActivityIndexsurveysplaces.Whatisparticularly
significantaboutthisdiscrepancyisthevolumeofhomesthatareactivewithoutoccupants.Thispool,consisting
ofmorethan18,000units,includesthosepropertiescurrentlybeingrebuiltaswellasthosealreadyrebuiltbut
vacant,waitingtoberentedorsold,orthosenotusedasfulltimeresidences.Whatisalsoofsignificanceisthe
levelofrecoverythathastakenplacethusfar,particularlyinNewOrleans,where80%ofthecityflooded.The
populationgrowthoverthepastfiveyearshasexceededinitialexpectationsandisatestamenttothe
communityswilltorebuild.Althoughgrowthhastaperedinrecentyears,itremainsmorerobustthanregional
growth,withthecitysresidentialactivityincreasingby7%in2009and4%in2010.

Table8:HouseholdEstimatesforNewOrleansMetroArea
Census

ActivityIndex

Census

Difference

2010

ActivityIndex
and2010
Census

2000

Aug05

Jun06

Jun07

Jun08

Jun09

Jun10

NewOrleans

188,251 185,896

94,895

119,671 135,318 144,869 150,881 142,158

6.1%

8,723

Jefferson

176,234 182,718 172,720 176,459 178,553 178,679 178,630 169,647

5.3%

8,983

Plaquemines

9,021

9,170

6,502

7,397

7,575

7,606

7,788

8,077

3.6%

289

St.Bernard

23,156

25,264

6,638

11,021

12,852

13,493

14,251

13,221

7.8%

1,030

St.Charles

16,422

17,804

17,986

18,080

18,215

18,216

18,177

18,557

2.0%

380

St.JohntheBaptist

14,283

15,990

16,397

16,572

16,484

16,446

16,283

15,965

2.0%

318

St.Tammany

69,253

n/d

87,521

Source:U.S.Census2010andGCRActivityIndex

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

n/a

35

Challenges,however,areevidentinseveralsectorsoftheOrleansParishmarket.TheseincludeAlgiers
(onthewestbank)andtheLakeForestandN.O.Eastsectors.AverageoccupancyreportedinAlgiers
throughtheendof2010was76.7%,thelowestofanygeographicsectorintheregionandsomewhat
reminiscentofoccupancylevelsreportedforthisareaduringtheoverbuildingandweakeconomy
periodsoftheearly1970sandearly1980s.Thisiswellbelowtheareas2004levelof94.0%andmuch
weakerthantheimmediatepostKatrinalevelof98.8%.Thissectorbenefitedgreatlyfollowingthe
stormsinceitwasnotinundatedwithfloodwatersandsufferedrelativelylittlewinddamage.
Consequently,itsavailablestockofhousingwasquicklyabsorbedbythoseneedingshelterasaresultof
beingdisplacedorhavingbeenrelocatedtotheregiontoassistwiththerecoveryandrebuildingeffort.
Likeotherareaswithsimilarexperiences,asthesedemandforceslessenedtheinventoryutilization
ratesbegantosoften.TheseconditionsarefurthercomplicatedbythefactthattheAlgiersareaisnotas
readilyaccessibletoemploymentcentersontheeastbankoftheriverandthatsomeemployers(i.e.
LOOP)haverelocatedoutofthearea.TheAlgiersareaisalsodominatedbyolderrentalapartment
stockwhich,insomecases,maynotbeasattractivetoprospectiverenterswhencomparedto
competitivepropertiesenjoyingbetteraccesstojobopportunities.Fieldsurveysconductedinthe
summerof2010furthercorroboratethedeclineofcertainAlgiersproperties.Severalbuildingswithin
gardencomplexeswereshutteredandboardedupwhiledeferredmaintenanceissuesanddisrepair
wereevidentinatleasttwoofthelargercomplexes,furtherlimitingdemandinthearea.However,the
developmentoftheFederalCityprojectisexpectedtocreatesignificantjobgrowththatwillbereadily
accessibletoAlgiersareaapartmentresidentsandthushelptopushoccupancyrateshigher.
Asimilarsituationwithrespecttoaccesstoemploymentandeconomicactivitycentersisalsoprobably
impactingapartmentdemandandoccupancylevelsintheLakeForestandN.O.Eastsectors.Although
the82%averageoccupancyreportedforLakeForestisbelowtheparishwidelevelof87.2%,itdoes
representasteadyimprovementsince2008whennewandrebuiltunitsreenteredtheareasrental
inventory.Giventhevirtualabsenceofcommercialandbusinessactivityinthearea,thisshouldbe
consideredasignofstrengthforthissectorofthemarketbolsteredbythesignificantreturnof
homeownerstothearea,asseenthroughthestrongrebuildingactivityamongstRoadHomegrant
recipients.Asofficeandretaillocationsrepopulatethisonceseriouslydamagedpartofthecity,demand
forrentalapartmentsandrisingaverageoccupancyratesshouldbecomeevenmoresustainable.This
willonlygainmorestrengthandmomentumaspublicandinstitutionalinvestmentstorestore
infrastructureandmedicalservicestotheareaunfold.Theseinvestmentswillhaveatwofoldbenefitto
thisareaofthecity.Theywillhelptobothimprovethequalityoflifeandbroadenjobopportunitiesfor
thoseattractedtothearea.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

36


Table9:ApartmentOccupancySummary,20042010
NewOrleansMetropolitanArea
OccupancyRates
2004

PreKatrina

Post
Katrina

NewOrleans
A Uptown
B MidCity/Gentilly/Lakefront
C LakeForest
D NOEast
E Algiers
M WarehouseDistrict
ParishTotal

98.0%
91.0%
93.7%
95.5%
94.0%
96.5%
94.8%

100.0%
88.9%
95.5%
95.8%
90.7%
96.0%
94.5%

100.0%
99.0%
50.0%
NA
98.8%
89.7%
87.5%

95.0%
88.5%
63.3%
NA
100.0%
94.0%
88.2%

87.5%
94.8%
79.9%
NA
87.8%
71.8%
84.4%

93.0%
77.6%
72.2%
NA
94.5%
89.0%
85.3%

NA
90.6%
80.1%
NA
83.3%
92.7%
86.7%

92.8%
91.9%
82.0%
84.0%
76.7%
95.9%
87.2%

St.Tammany
F EastSt.Tammany
N WestSt.Tammany
ParishTotal

92.7%
98.5%
95.6%

87.0%
89.8%
88.4%

97.3%
100.0%
98.7%

98.4%
97.4%
97.9%

88.7%
93.9%
91.3%

91.3%
71.8%
81.6%

87.9%
88.6%
88.3%

88.7%
93.3%
91.0%

Jefferson
G Kenner
H WestMetairie
I EastMetairie
J RiverRidge
K HarveyCanalWest
L HarveyCanalEast
ParishTotal

94.0%
94.7%
97.7%
90.7%
95.3%
95.8%
94.7%

92.9%
95.0%
98.0%
90.4%
96.0%
95.1%
94.6%

98.8%
99.9%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
98.6%
99.6%

96.3%
91.9%
97.8%
95.9%
85.0%
94.9%
93.6%

93.8%
94.6%
92.9%
91.5%
100.0%
88.6%
93.6%

86.2%
90.4%
92.8%
88.9%
NA
92.1%
90.1%

81.9%
87.9%
91.5%
85.4%
91.0%
91.1%
88.1%

83.9%
91.6%
94.5%
89.5%
NA
92.4%
90.4%

NewOrleansMetroTotal
94.9%
ExcludingRentAssisted/FederallySubsidized

93.7%

94.8%

92.2%

89.7%

86.7%

87.7%

89.0%

RentAssisted/FederallySubsidized
includingElderly

96.6%

96.9%

98.5%

88.5%

95.9%

89.9%

95.9%

96.1%

NewOrleansMetroTotal

95.0%

93.9%

95.0%

91.9%

90.1%

86.9%

88.3%

89.5%

Area

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Source:SurveyofpropertyownersandmanagerscompiledbytheUNOInstituteforEconomicDevelopment&RealEstateResearch

Note:Theadjacentmap

depictstheapartment
areasusedbyUNOto
disaggregatetheregional
rentalmarket.Datahave
beenreportedforthese
geographiesinthisreport
tofacilitatelongitudinal
comparisonswithprior
yearsdataonoccupancy
andrentlevelscollected
throughUNOsrental
surveys.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

37


Table10:ApartmentOccupancySummaryofUnitsReportingOccupancyEachSurveyPeriod,
20042010
NewOrleansMetropolitanArea
NumberofUnitsReportingOccupancy
Post
Katrina
2006
2007
2008

2009

2010

2004

PreKatrina

172
1,651
6,006
940
3,783
1,084
13,636

172
1,507
6,006
940
3,783
1,084
13,492

172
861
6,006
940
2,357
1,100
11,436

172
1,639
6,022
940
2,689
881
12,343

172
1,495
5,493
944
3,750
1,114
12,968

172
1,493
4,803
1,060
3,741
1,114
12,383

135
1,260
3,344
738
2,601
849
8,927

495
1,552
3,793
206
2,223
1,510
9,779

St.Tammany
F EastSt.Tammany
N WestSt.Tammany
ParishTotal

825
668
1,493

825
668
1,493

1,377
689
2,066

1,447
858
2,305

1,423
837
2,260

1,560
1,125
2,685

1,623
1,222
2,845

1,290
1,445
2,735

Jefferson
G Kenner
H WestMetairie
I EastMetairie
J RiverRidge
K HarveyCanalWest
L HarveyCanalEast
ParishTotal

3,321
8,277
1,878
2,836
556
5,023
21,891

3,321
8,277
1,878
2,836
556
5,023
21,891

996
6,900
1,280
2,703
384
2,586
14,849

3,728
8,156
1,946
3,140
556
5,196
22,722

4,098
7,936
1,629
3,625
100
5,236
22,624

4,181
7,929
1,895
3,655
484
5,115
23,259

4,086
7,257
1,688
3,547
100
3,895
20,573

4,096
7,641
1,705
3,594
0
4,621
21,657

NewOrleansMetroTotal
37,020
ExcludingRentAssisted/FederallySubsidized

36,876

28,351

37,370

37,852

38,327

32,345

34,171

2,322

2,322

982

1,812

1,762

1,902

1,282

2,855

39,342

39,198

29,333

39,182

39,614

40,229

33,627

37,026

Area
NewOrleans
A Uptown
B MidCity/Gentilly/Lakefront
C LakeForest
D NOEast
E Algiers
M WarehouseDistrict
ParishTotal

RentAssisted/FederallySubsidized
includingElderly
NewOrleansMetroTotal

Source:SurveyofpropertyownersandmanagerscompiledbytheUNOInstituteforEconomicDevelopment&RealEstateResearch

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

38

OccupancyTrends:AgeandSizeofProperty
Tables11and12summarize2010occupancyratesforapartmentsintheNewOrleansregionby
propertysizeandage.Thissampleonlyincludespropertiesforwhichasizeclassificationandagewere
providedbytheownersormanagers.Itshouldalsobenotedthatthechronologicalagereportedmay
notfullyreflectapropertyseffectiveageinthatmanyinthesamplehavebeensubjecttosignificant
renovationsinthepast30years,particularlyfollowingHurricaneKatrina.However,thesetablesreveal
someusefulobservationsregardingtheregionsrentalstockwithinlargerapartmentproperties.
Overall,averageoccupancyishighestamongsmaller(under100unit)properties(93.2%)andtrends
downwardascomplexsizesbecomelargerfallingto91.8%for100to299unitcommunitiesandto
86.3%inthosewith300+apartments.ThispatternisconsistentforpropertiesinbothOrleansandSt.
TammanyParishes,butnotinJefferson.InOrleansParish,averageoccupancyamongthesmallest
developmentsizecategoryaveraged95.5%atyearend2010,whileamongthoseinthe100to299unit
and300+unitsizecategoriesreportedoccupancylevelsaveraging92.4%and85.0%,respectively.The
lattercategorywassignificantlyinfluencedbythe76.7%averageoccupancyreportedinAlgiers,allof
whichwerepropertieswith300ormoreunits.
InJeffersonParish,thesmallerpropertiesreportedanaverageoccupancyrateof91.1%in2010,while
thosewith100to299and300+unitsreportedoccupancyratesasagroupof92.1%and87.6%,
respectively.Oneofthelowestaverageoccupancyratesforanysizecategoryofpropertywasthe70.6%
intheKennersectorforapartmentcommunitieswith300ormoreunits.Insomecasesthisincluded
olderlowtomoderateincomepropertiesdevelopedduringthe1970sand1980s,someofwhichsuffer
fromdeferredmaintenanceandfunctionalobsolescence.
Baseduponthehistoricalapartmentconstructionpatternspreviouslydiscussed,itshouldnotbe
surprisingthatalargeportionofthereportinginventoryofunits(96properties)werebuiltpriorto1980
andthatthesecondlargestgroup(49properties)wasbuiltbetween1980and1989.Onaverage,this
middleagedgroupofpropertiesreportedthehighestaverageoccupancyrate(92.8%)followedbythe
newest(1990orlater)segmentat90.4%.Notsurprisingly,thelowestaverageoccupancy(88.4%)was
recordedfortheoldestinventoryintheapartmentstockthoseunitsbuiltpriorto1980.Although
thesepropertiesmaytendtoofferlowerrents,theywouldtypicallyhavethemostdeferred
maintenanceandbeinthemostneedofupgradeandmodernizationtobringthemuptocurrent
competitivestandards.Theslightlyloweraverageoccupancyratesforthenewestportionoftherental
stockcouldverywellbeattributedtosomeresistancetothehigherrentschargedbysuchproperties.
ThemajorexceptiontothispatternisOrleansParishwheretherecententryofneworreentryof
renovatedpropertieshasbeenratherwellreceivedbythelocalmarket.Thisisparticularlytruebased
uponoccupancylevelsforanewlyemerginggroupofrentalcommunitiesgenerallyreferredtoasmixed
incomeproperties.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

39


Table11:MarketRateApartmentOccupancybyComplexSizebyArea,2010
NewOrleansMetropolitanArea

PropertySizebyUnits
Under100units

Occupancy
NewOrleans
A Uptown
B MidCity
C LakeForest
D NOEast
E Algiers
M WarehouseDistrict
ParishTotal
St.Tammany
F EastSt.Tammany
N WestSt.Tammany
ParishTotal

100299units

Properties
Reporting

Occupancy

300+units

Properties
Reporting

97.0%
93.5%

1
2

91.3%
89.3%
90.3%
94.0%

3
4
3
1

96.0%
95.5%

3
6

97.0%
92.4%

4
15

86.0%
100.0%
93.0%

3
1
4

90.0%
92.0%
91.0%

6
5
11

Occupancy

Properties
Reporting

95.8%
75.8%

2
4

76.7%
91.6%
85.0%

3
1
10

Jefferson
G Kenner
H WestMetairie
I EastMetairie
J RiverRidge
K HarveyCanalWest
L HarveyCanalEast
ParishTotal

91.2%
90.5%
95.1%
82.9%

5
32
12
7

90.0%
92.5%
92.3%
93.9%

5
27
3
11

70.6%
93.4%
94.0%
89.0%

5
5
1
3

96.0%
91.1%

3
59

92.0%
92.1%

17
63

91.0%
87.6%

3
17

NewOrleansMetro

93.2%

69

91.8%

89

86.3%

27

Table12:MarketRateApartmentOccupancybyAgebyParish,2010
NewOrleansMetropolitanArea

Parish

Pre1980
Properties
Occupancy
Reporting

PropertybyYearBuilt
19801989
Properties
Occupancy
Reporting

1990andlater
Properties
Occupancy
Reporting

Orleans

85.5%

12

89.4%

92.6%

10

Jefferson

90.0%

81

92.6%

40

89.7%

St.Tammany

89.7%

96.5%

88.9%

NewOrleansMetro

88.4%

96

92.8%

49

90.4%

27

Source:SurveyofpropertyownersandmanagerscompiledbytheUNOInstituteforEconomicDevelopment&Real
EstateResearch

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

40

OccupancyTrends:MixedIncomeProperty
Theemergentsegmentofmixedincomeapartmentcommunitiesisdrivenbyfinancingstructures
(includingLIHTCs)whichrequiretheintroductionofrentassistedunitsalongsidethosewhichrentat
fullmarketrates.ThisisthedominantHUDmodelforreplacingdilapidatedandfailedoldmodel
publichousingcommunitiesandamajorcomponentofinventorybeingaddedwithamyriadoftaxand
otherfinancingincentives.Theseproperties,forthemostpart,arechangingthelandscapeofrental
housingacrosstheU.S.andintheNewOrleansregion,particularlypostKatrina.
Tables13through15summarizeoccupancyratesforasampleof2,374mixedincomeunitslocatedin
propertiesinOrleansParish.Theoverallaverageoccupancyforthepropertiesasawholeis93%,while
theratesforthemarketandassistedunitsare93.1%and93.0%,respectively.Inessence,themarketat
thispoint,makesnodistinctionbetweenthesetwodifferentunitclassesembodiedwithinthesame
properties.Althoughthereareminorvariationsbysubmarketarea,theydonotappeartobedivergent
enoughtoimplythatoneproductisnecessarilymoreorlessacceptabletoconsumerswhoqualifyfor
either.
Table13:NewOrleansMixedIncomeProperties:OccupancySummaryTotalUnits,2010

Area

OccupancyRate

TotalUnits

A Uptown
B MidCity/Gentilly/Lakefront
M WarehouseDistrict

93.4%
89.7%
95.9%

655
1,014
705

ParishTotal

93.0%

2,374

Table14:NewOrleansMixedIncomeProperties:OccupancyandRentSummaryMarket
RateUnits,2010

Area

OccupancyRate

AverageRent

TotalMarket
RateUnits

Uptown

90.3%

$1,443

360

MidCity/Gentilly/Lakefront

92.0%

$1,202

603

97.0%

$1,288

456

93.1%

$1,350

1,419

M WarehouseDistrict

ParishTotal

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

41

Table15:NewOrleansMixedIncomeProperties:OccupancySummaryRentAssistedUnits,
2010

Area
OccupancyRate
TotalUnits

A Uptown
97.3%
295

MidCity/Gentilly/Lakefront

87.8%

411

M WarehouseDistrict

94.0%

249

ParishTotal

93.0%

955

Source:SurveyofpropertyownersandmanagerscompiledbytheUNOInstitutefor

EconomicDevelopment&RealEstateResearch

KeyConclusionsRecentApartmentOccupancyTrends:

OccupancyratesthroughouttheregionhitapostKatrinapeakof95%immediatelyafterKatrina,
duetotheconstrainedsupplyofrentalhousingandthetremendousnumberofdisplaced
householdsandtemporaryworkers.
Occupancyratesdeclinedfrom2006to2008withtheadditionofsubstantialapartmentinventory,
buttheyrosein2009and2010.Occupancyratesarenearingahealthymarketequilibriumof93
94%.
Since2005,occupancyrateshavefluctuatedgreatly,particularlyatthelevelofsubmarketareas
(e.g.Kenner,NewOrleansEast,etc.).
WhiletheNewOrleansmarkethaspostedstronggainsinoccupancysince2007,thereareareasof
weakerdemand,suchasLakeForest,NewOrleansEast,andAlgiers.
Datafromthe2010CensusshowcontinuedpopulationgainsinOrleansParishbutamajor
discrepancybetweenthenumberofhouseholdsandthenumberofhousingunitsshowing
residentialactivity.Thissuggeststhatanumberofhousesarestillbeingrenovated,arevacant,
orareoccupiedbytemporaryresidents.
Occupancyratestendtobehighestforthesmallestproperties(under100units)andforproperties
builtbetween1980and1989.Theoccupancyrateforthisagecohortmaybeduetothese
apartmentsamenitiesandrelativeaffordability.
Occupancyrateshavebeenstrongformixedincomeproperties.Occupancyratesformarketrate
andincomerestrictedunitsarenearlyidentical.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

42

ApartmentRentTrends:20042010
Inadditiontooccupancyandabsorptionrates,anothercriticalmeasuresofrentalmarketdemandis
averagerent.Aswithoccupancytrends,thefollowinganalysisofrenttrendsaddressesoccupancy
withintheregion,withinitsconstituentparishes,andwithinindividualsubsectors.Thisanalysisalso
focusesonsubsidizedandmixedincomeproperties.Thesampleofpropertiesconsistsprimarilyof
thosecontainingtwentyormoreunitswiththelargestportionofthepropertiessurveyedhaving100or
moreunits.

RentTrends:MarketRateUnits
Intypicallybalancedhousingmarketsrentlevelsgraduallyriseinresponsetosteadyorgrowing
apartmentdemanddrivenbyemployment,householdandincomegrowth.Thisiscertainlyapattern
reflectedinlongtermtrendsfortheNewOrleansregionandnottoodissimilarfromcomparable
marketswhensizeanddemographiccompositionaretakenintoconsideration.Nominalaskingrentsfor
unitsinlargerpropertiesintheNewOrleansregionhavegraduallyrisenonanannualaveragebasis
sincetheearly1970s.Theseincreaseshave,aswouldbeexpected,beeninterruptedormoderatedby
periodsofexcesssupplyasreflectedbyaslowingofdemandanddecreaseinaverageoccupancy.
However,forthemostpart,theseadjustmentperiodswererelativelyshortlivedandgradualrentgains
resumed.ThissomewhattypicalpatternwasabruptlyalteredbythedamageanddestructionKatrina
inflictedontheregionshousingstock,particularlyitsrentalapartmentinventory.(SeeGraph2).It
shouldbenotedthataskingrentsdonotnecessarilyequatetoactual,contractoreffectiverents
receivedbypropertyownerssincetheydonotusuallytakeintoconsiderationthenumberordollar
valueofdiscounts,specialoffersorconcessionsthatmayhavebeenmadeavailable.
Intheperiodimmediatelyfollowingthestormaskingrentsspikedby36.5%risingfromanaverageof
$679in2004to$927in2005justafterKatrina.Aspreviouslydiscussed,thisimmediatepoststorm
periodwascharacterizedbyanunprecedentedrushtosecurehousingbythosedisplacedorwhomoved
intotheregionquicklytoparticipateintheinitialrecoveryandrebuildingefforts.Thissurgeindemand
absorbedjustaboutalloftheregionsavailableapartmentinventoryandpushedrentsupatarecord
paceasformanyprice(rent)wasnoobject.Thisspikemoderatedsomewhatin2006,butresumedin
2007and2008asaskingrentsroseto$993and$1,030,respectively.
Althoughextraordinarybyhistoricalstandards,theserentincreaseshavebecomelayeredintotherental
housingstructureofthelocalmarketandformthebasisfortheemergentcomplexfundingstrategies
linkedtofinancingtheconstructionofnewinventory.Thisinturnhasgivenrisetodevelopment
strategiesusingLIHTCsandothersourcesofnonconventionalfinancingwhichbydesignmandatethe
inclusionofaffordableunits.Thesefinancingstrategies,inturn,affectthelevelofmarketraterentsthat
mustbeachievedtoproduceaneconomicallyfeasibleproduct.Althoughthisstudyhasnotspecifically
addressedthispoint,thereisafairlywidespreadbeliefthatthevaluesattachedtovouchersbasedupon
immediatepoststormrentspikescontinuetosupportrelativelyhighaskingrentlevelsacrossthe
market.Thedifficultyhereisthatwhenincentivesandthemassivevolumeofgovernmentfunded
rebuildingeffortsplayout,marketfundamentalsmightnotbestrongenoughtosustainthese
NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

43


historicallyhighapartmentrentlevels.Ataminimum,thiscouldbedamagingtopropertyownersof
bothlargeandsmallproperties,whofaceamuchdifferentandhigheroperatingcoststructure(i.e.
insurance,taxes,utilities,etc.).Theserisksnodoubtwouldbemitigatedbyastrongerpaceofeconomic,
jobandincomegrowthoverthelongtermwhichwouldsustaindemandandsupportrentpaymentsthat
providesufficientoperatingmarginsforpropertyownerswhilereducingtherenttoincomepayment
burdenonrenterhouseholds.Therecoveryandrebuildinginvestmentsbythepublicsectorare
providingtheresourcesuponwhichtobuildasoundeconomicdevelopmentinfrastructure.The
challengeforlocalandstateleadersistoeffectivelyleveragetheseresourcesandnotsquanderthe
opportunitytoattractprivatecapitalinasustained,longtermmanner.Thiswouldincludethereturnof
equityanddebtfrommoretraditionalsourcesthosenotrequiringgovernmentinterventionor
incentivesinordertoproducenewrentalhousing.Areturntoalessdependentfinancingenvironment
wouldproduceamorebalancedandtypicalmarketmoredirectlyinfluencedbytheforcesofsupplyand
demand.
Averageaskingrentintheregionthroughyearend2009droppedto$934orby9.3%whencomparedto
yearend2008.Thisispartlyattributedtosamplinganomaliescausedbynoncooperativeproperty
owners/managersandarollbackofaskingrentsinsectorsofthemarketadjustingtotheentryofnew
inventory,particularlyintheWarehouseDistrictinNewOrleansandontheNorthshoreinSt.Tammany
Parish.IntheWarehouseDistrictsectors,averagingaskingrentdroppedfrom$1,763to$1,465(16.9%),
whileinSt.TammanyParishitdroppedfrom$1,038to$897orby13.6%.InJeffersonParish,average
reportedrentsedgeddownfrom$951atyearend2008to$929attheendof2008orby2.3%.The
declineinrentsinJeffersonParishwasmostnotableintheEastMetairie(down6.3%)andHarveyCanal
East/Gretna(down8.0%)sectors.
Askingrentsintheregionrosetoanaverageof$972throughtheendof2010orby4.1%.Rentgains
werereportedforpropertiesinOrleansandSt.TammanyParisheswhileinJeffersonaveragerents
continuedinaslightlydownwardtrend.Thepresenceofnewinventoryinthemixofunitsofferedis
quiteevidentintheUptown,MidCityandWarehouseDistrictsectorsofOrleansParishandhelpedpush
theaverageaskingrentto$1,126atyearend2010(up7.5%over2009).SimilarlyinSt.TammanyParish,
theentryofnewproduct,particularlyinthewesternsector,pushedaverageaskingrentto$953byyear
end2010,anincreaseof6.2%over2009.
InJeffersonParish,themovementtohigheraverageoccupancylevelswasgenerallyfacilitatedbymore
aggressiveandcompetitivepricing.Overall,parishwideaverageaskingrentedgeddownfrom$929to
$914orby1.6%withpropertiesinallsubsectorsreportingeitherreductionsorremainingmostly
unchangedsinceyearend2009.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

44


Table16:ApartmentRentSummary,20042010
NewOrleansMetropolitanArea
AverageRentalRates
2004

PreKatrina

Post
Katrina

$756
$888
$565
$559
$635
$1,362
$767

$791
$959
$584
$575
$660
$1,337
$791

$834
$1,584
$768
NA
$735
$1,243
$1,055

$895
$1,407
$793
NA
$698
$1,402
$1,000

$927
$1,404
$826
NA
$808
$1,660
$1,150

$914
$1,402
$813
NA
$802
$1,763
$1,166

$1,078
$1,100
$793
NA
$789
$1,465
$1,047

$1,325
$1,117
$751
$712
$786
$1,749
$1,126

St.Tammany
F EastSt.Tammany
N WestSt.Tammany
ParishTotal

$700
$725
$709

$887
$763
$803

$944
$1,025
$981

$982
$964
$966

$982
$1,094
$969

$969
$1,094
$1,038

$915
$891
$897

$895
$980
$953

Jefferson
G Kenner
H WestMetairie
I EastMetairie
J RiverRidge
K HarveyCanalWest
L HarveyCanalEast
ParishTotal

$635
$702
$664
$626
$539
$595
$658

$688
$661
$699
$690
$527
$627
$735

$923
$759
$738
$790
$459
$803
$784

$827
$834
$867
$857
$725
$816
$850

$819
$929
$877
$864
$900
$840
$931

$826
$918
$922
$844
NA
$904
$951

$830
$928
$864
$849
$900
$832
$929

$811
$913
$853
$794
NA
$831
$914

NewOrleansMetroTotal

$679

$747

$927

$904

$993

$1,030

$934

$972

Area
NewOrleans
A Uptown
B MidCity/Gentilly/Lakefront
C LakeForest
D NOEast
E Algiers
M WarehouseDistrict
ParishTotal

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Source:SurveyofpropertyownersandmanagerscompiledbytheUNOInstituteforEconomicDevelopment&RealEstateResearch

Graph2:NewOrleansMetroRentTrends,20042010
$1,200
$1,150
$1,100
$1,050
$1,000
$950
$900

Metro

$850

Orleans

$800

Jefferson

$750

St.Tammany

$700
$650
$600
$550
$500
2004

PreKatrina

Post
Katrina

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Source:SurveyofpropertyownersandmanagerscompiledbytheUNOInstituteforEconomicDevelopment&RealEstate
Research

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

45

Table17:ApartmentRentSummaryofUnitsReportingOccupancyEachSurveyPeriod,
20042010
NewOrleansMetropolitanArea
NumberofUnitsReportingRent

Post

2004

PreKatrina

Katrina

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

172
1,651
6,006
940
3,783
1,084
13,636

172
1,507
6,006
940
3,783
1,084
13,492

172
711
302
0
2,073
411
3,669

172
1,161
1,221
0
1,645
1,114
5,313

172
1,161
2,457
0
2,670
1,114
7,574

172
1,342
3,733
0
2,437
1,114
8,798

135
1,286
3,780
0
2,659
1,135
8,995

497
1,553
3,799
206
2,222
1,517
9,794

St.Tammany
F EastSt.Tammany
N WestSt.Tammany
ParishTotal

825
668
1,493

1,415
1,126
2,541

1,287
638
1,925

1,371
638
2,009

1,324
869
2,193

1,523
1,125
2,648

1,623
1,222
2,845

1,291
1,450
2,741

Jefferson
G Kenner
H WestMetairie
I EastMetairie
J RiverRidge
K HarveyCanalWest
L HarveyCanalEast
ParishTotal

3,321
8,277
1,878
2,836
556
5,023
21,891

3,837
8,406
1,975
3,655
556
4,995
23,424

2,854
6,831
1,140
3,522
384
2,365
17,096

3,728
7,173
1,812
3,607
100
4,243
20,663

4,148
7,585
1,629
3,625
100
4,227
21,314

4,095
7,435
1,802
3,655
0
3,388
20,375

4,097
7,335
1,695
3,547
100
4,652
21,426

4,117
7,747
1,739
3,595
0
4,941
22,139

NewOrleansMetroTotal

37,020

39,457

22,690

27,985

31,081

31,821

33,266

34,674

Area
NewOrleans
A Uptown
B MidCity/Gentilly/Lakefront
C LakeForest
D NOEast
E Algiers
M WarehouseDistrict
ParishTotal

Source:SurveyofpropertyownersandmanagerscompiledbytheUNOInstituteforEconomicDevelopment&RealEstateResearch

Graph3:ApartmentOccupancyandRentTrends,19732010
NewOrleansMetropolitanArea
$1,100

100.0%

$1,000

95.0%

$900

90.0%

$800

85.0%

$700

80.0%

$600
75.0%
$500
70.0%

$400

65.0%

$300

60.0%

$100

55.0%

$0

50.0%
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1893
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

$200

Rent

Occupancy

Source:SurveyofpropertyownersandmanagerscompiledbytheUNOInstituteforEconomicDevelopment&RealEstateResearch

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

46

RentTrends:MixedIncomeProperty
Theentryofmixedincomehousingcommunitiesisnotonlychangingtheproductprofileofthelocal
apartmentmarket,butisalsohavinganotableinfluenceontherentprofileofthemarketrate
inventory.Table18summarizestheyearend2010askingrentsforthe1,422marketrateunitslocated
inmixedincomedevelopmentsinOrleansParish.Theseunitsarewithinpropertieslocatedinthe
Uptown,MidCity/GentillyandWarehouseDistrictsectorsofthemarketandrepresentacrosssection
ofdifferentproducttypesthathaveenteredthemarketoverthepastseveralyears.
Overall,mixedincomepropertyrentsaveraged$1.14persquarefoot(PSF)or$1,350attheendof2010.
Onarentpersquarefootbasis,thisisabout16%higherthantheaveragerentproductivityreportedfor
allmarketraterentalpropertiesincludedinthesamplelocatedinOrleansParish.UsingrentPSFhelps
tonormalizethecomparisonwithotherunitsinthemarketandineffectprovidesacontrolfor
variationsinunitsize.ThehigherPSFrentsareusuallyassociatedwithvariationsinpropertyageand
thuscostsassociatedwithnewerconstructionaswellasfordifferencesinfactorssuchaslocation,
servicesofferedandamenitypackages.Thisrelationshipappearstoholdtrueforefficiencyandone
bedroomunitsandtoaslightlylesserdegree(10%to13%higher)forthreebedroomapartments.Two
bedroommodelsofferthewidestpremiumoverparishwideaskingrentspersquarefootat24%to
27%.
Whetherthesespreadsinaskingrentsremainsteadyorbegintonarrowwillbedrivenbyunfolding
marketdynamics.Newlybuiltmarketrateunitsaretypicallyintheuppertierofaskingrentsduetocost
andfinancingconsiderations.Overtimethegapsbetweennewlybuiltandexistinginventoryarelikely
tonarrowasolderandobsoletepropertiesareupgradedtomorecloselymirrorcurrentmarket
standards.Thisisaprocessthattypicallyevolvesoveranumberofyearsandthroughseveralmarket
cycles.Propertiesthatarenotsufficientlybroughttomarketstandardswilleventuallydropoutofthe
marketrateinventoryandeventuallyoutoftherentalstockentirely.Theseunitsleavethemarketto
accommodatereplacementinventoryorfortheadaptationofsitestohigherandbetteruses.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

47


Table18:NewOrleansMixedIncomePropertiesMarketRateRentSummary,2010
AverageSize AverageRent AvgPrSq/Ft
NumberofUnits
Area

ReportingRent

NewOrleansTotal

(SquareFeet)

(Dollars)

(Cents)

1,422

1,183

$1,350

$1.14

Efficiencies

Flat

528

$969

$1.84

1BR

Flat

671

717

$974

$1.36

1BR

Townhouse

2BR/1.XBA

Flat

52

1,086

$1,445

$1.33

2BR/1.XBA

Townhouse

10

1,900

$2,090

$1.10

2BR/2.xBA

Flat

360

1,147

$1,386

$1.21

2BR/2.xBA

Townhouse

211

1,118

$1,087

$0.97

3BR

Flat

44

1,322

$1,396

$1.06

3BR

Townhouse

54

1,315

$1,302

$0.99

4BR

Flat

13

1,512

$1,500

$0.99

4BR

Townhouse
362

1,276

$1,443

$1.13

147

693

$998

$1.44

AUptown
Efficiencies

Flat

1BR

Flat

1BR

Townhouse

2BR/1.XBA

Flat

14

1,400

$1,650

$1.18

2BR/1.XBA

Townhouse

10

1,900

$2,090

$1.10

177

1,081

$1,173

$1.09

14

1,307

$1,304

$1.00

603

1,126

$1,202

$1.07

226

766

$889

$1.16

20

1,025

$1,291

$1.26

2BR/2.xBA

Flat

2BR/2.xBA

Townhouse

3BR

Flat

3BR

Townhouse

4BR

Flat

4BR

Townhouse

BMidCity/Gentilly/Lakefront
Efficiencies

Flat

1BR

Flat

1BR

Townhouse

2BR/1.XBA

Flat

2BR/1.XBA

Townhouse

2BR/2.xBA

Flat

262

1,141

$1,265

$1.11

2BR/2.xBA

Townhouse

34

1,154

$1,000

$0.87

3BR

Flat

21

1,349

$1,467

$1.09

3BR

Townhouse

40

1,322

$1,300

$0.98

4BR

Flat

4BR

Townhouse

MWarehouseDistrict/CBD

457

1,002

$1,288

$1.29

Efficiencies

Flat

528

$969

$1.84

1BR

Flat

298

692

$1,034

$1.49

1BR

Townhouse
18

834

$1,395

$1.67

98

1,152

$1,507

$1.31

23

1,294

$1,325

$1.02

13

1,512

$1,500

$0.99

2BR/1.XBA

Flat

2BR/1.XBA

Townhouse

2BR/2.xBA

Flat

2BR/2.xBA

Townhouse

3BR

Flat

3BR

Townhouse

4BR

Flat

4BR

Townhouse

Source:SurveyofpropertyownersandmanagersandInternetresearchcompiledbythe
UNOInstituteforEconomicDevelopment&RealEstateResearch

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

48

RentTrends:SubsidizedHousing
Themultifamilyconstructionboomthatbeganin2006andisnowstartingtowaneispredominantly
attributedtoapartmentdevelopmentsfundedthroughtheLowIncomeHousingTaxCredit(LIHTC)
ProgramandRoadHomesSmallRentalandPiggybackprograms.Allthreeprogramsprovidedsome
formofequityortaxincentivetoaprojectinexchangeforlowerrents.Asaresult,rentsarenotadirect
reflectionofdemand,aswithnonsubsidizedunits,butarelargelypredeterminedbythefederal
programfinancingthedevelopment.Themaximumrentforaunitfundedwithtaxcreditsis60%ofArea
MedianIncome(AMI),roughlyequivalentto$650foraonebedroomapartment.Athirdto50%ofall
LHFAfundedunitstargetedthisincomegroup.AlargeshareofLHFAprojectsalsoreceivedCommunity
DevelopmentBlockGrant(CDBG)dollarsthroughthePiggybackPrograminexchangeforamorediverse
mixofincomesamongsttenants.Thisincludesmuchdeeperaffordabilitythresholds(lessthan30%AMI)
andnonsubsidizedunits.ThemajorityofdeeplyaffordableunitsarefundedwithSection8vouchersor
serveaspublichousingunits,andthereforeareopentoarangeofincomes.Forthepurposesofthis
study,theyarecategorizedwithinthelessthan30%AMIrange,whichisthepredominantincomegroup
amongvoucherholdersandpublichousingresidents.
Thenonsubsidizedunitsarepricedaccordingtoa)themarketoftheirparticularareaandb)the
demandfornonsubsidizedhousingwithinasubsidizeddevelopment.Asanexample,wecancompare
themixedincomeredevelopmentoftheSt.Bernardpublichousingcomplex(ColumbiaParc)withNine
27,amixedincomemidrisebuildinglocateddowntown.AonebedroomapartmentatColumbiaParc
rentsfor$750permonth,significantlylessthanthe$1100foraonebedroomatNine27.Thisreflects
thepricingofdifferentmarkets(MidCity/GentillyversusCBD)andthestructureoftheparticular
development.ColumbiaParctargetsarangeofincomegroups(20%ofAMIandup)whereasNine27
targetshouseholdsearning50%ofAMIandabove.
Table19:2010RentLimitsIncomeCategories(inclusiveofutilities)
30%AMI
50%AMI
60%AMI
80%AMI

1BR
$367
2BR
$413
3BR
$459
4BR
$495
Source:NovogradacandCompany

$612
$688
$765
$826

$735
$826
$918
$991

$858
$980
$1,102
$1,224

Table20:MultiFamilyDevelopmentUnitsRentingorUnderConstruction,byIncomeRange
andUnitType,NewOrleans

<30%AMI
30%50%AMI
50%60%AMI
60%80%AMI
>80%AMI
1BR
1,125
365
1,120
52
589
2BR
530
238
1,160
136
653
3BR
464
194
718
9
323
4BR
135
50
124
14
50
Total
2,254
847
3,122
211
1,615
Source:GCRandAssociatesanalysisofLHFAPipelineReport,September2010andGCRanalysisofRentalIncome
worksheetswithinindividualLIHTCapplications.Dataexcludes191unitsnotdefinedbyincomeorbedroomsize.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

Total
3,251
2,717
1,708
373
8,049

49


Table21:MultiFamilyUnitsRentingorUnderConstruction,byIncomeRangeandUnitType,
NewOrleansMetroArea

1BR
2BR
3BR
4BR
Total

<30%AMI
1,147
538
470
149
2,304

30%50%AMI
411
345
273
100
1,129

50%60%AMI
1,242
1,698
1,043
243
4,226

60%80%AMI
66
145
9
18
238

>80%AMI
753
957
428
131
2,269

Total
3,619
3,683
2,223
641
10,166

Source:GCRandAssociatesanalysisofLHFAPipelineReport,September2010andGCRanalysisofRentalIncome
worksheetswithinindividualLIHTCapplications.Dataexcludes322unitsnotdefinedbyincomeorbedroomsize.

KeyConclusionsRecentRentTrends:

Ingeneral,rentshaverisengraduallyintheNewOrleansregionsincethemid1970s.However,
immediatelypriortoKatrina,rentsbegantoriseatasteeperrate,andtherewasasubstantial
postKatrinaincreaseinrents.
Marketraterentspeakedin2008withanaverageaskingrentofover$1,000.Rentshavesubsided
somewhatoverthepasttwoyears,buttheyremainwellabovepreKatrinalevels.Thispatternis
generallytrueforthethreeparishesthathavethelargestnumberofrentalunitsintheregion:
Orleans,Jefferson,andSt.Tammany.
Marketrateunitswithinmixedincomedevelopmentsarerentingata16%premiumabovemarket
rateunitsgenerally.Thispremiummaybeassociatedwithanewervintageofconstruction,
building/apartmentamenities,andlocationadvantages.
ThroughtheLowIncomeHousingTaxCreditprogram,theCDBGPiggybackprogram,andthe
redevelopmentofpublichousing,atremendousinventoryofsubsidizedunitshasreachedthe
marketinrecentyears.Theseunitsvarysubstantiallybyincomemixandbythepricingofmarket
rateunitswithinmixedincomedevelopments.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

50

ProfileofSubsidizedRentalHousing
Thedefinitionofaffordablehousingvaries,makingitdifficulttodiscussingeneraltermsamonglocal
housingadvocates,stakeholdersandlegislators.Inmanycircles,itissynonymouswithsubsidized
housing,orhousingthatisbuiltusingsomeformofpublicsubsidyinexchangeforasetnumberof
unitsreservedforlowincomehouseholds.Forthepurposeofthisstudy,affordablehousingisdefined
ashousingaffordabletolowincomehouseholds,regardlessofsubsidy,whilesubsidizedhousingwill
strictlyrefertogovernmentsubsidizedhousing.Affordableisdefinedashousingcostswhichareless
than30%ofgrosshouseholdincome.Affordablehousing,insomecontextsmayalsorefertoworkforce
housingorunitsthatarewithinthefinancialreachofvariousjobsectorsofalocalmarket,particularly
thoseessentialtotheprovisionofcommunityservices(i.e.teachers,police,firemen,etc.)ortofilling
positionsthatarecrucialtocoresectorssuchastourism/hospitality(i.e.services,retail,entertainment,
etc).Inthiscontext,thelinkagesofaffordablehousingandeconomicdevelopmentaresomewhat
obviousandstrategicallyimportanttoacommunity.
TherearethreeformsofsubsidizedhousingintheU.S.tenantbased,projectbasedandgovernment
owned.Tenantbasedsubsidies,orSection8vouchers,aregrantsadministeredbyHUDtolocal
housingauthoritiestosubsidizerentsforlowincomehouseholds.Thesesubsidiesareattachedtoa
household,notaunit,andarethereforeflexibletomovefromplacetoplace.Projectbasedrefersto
subsidiesofferedfornewconstructionorsubstantialrehabilitation,wherethedeveloper/property
ownerreservesasetnumberofunitsforlowincomehouseholdsinexchangeforequityinvestment.The
equitycancomedirectlyfromthegovernment,aswithCommunityDevelopmentBlockGrant(CDBG)
funds,orthroughaninvestor,whoprovidescapitaltoaprojectinexchangefortaxincentives.Thelatter
referstotheLowIncomeHousingTaxCredit(LIHTC)Program,thelargestfacilitativeincentivefor
affordablehousinginthecountry.ItisadministeredthroughtheU.S.Treasury,whichofferstaxcredits
toStatehousingfinanceagencies,whothenawardthesecreditstoprojectsonacompetitivebasis.The
developersareabletosellthesecreditstoinvestorsinexchangeforequity.Finally,governmentowned
housingissynonymouswithpublichousing,inwhichHUD,throughalocalhousingauthority,builds,
ownsandmanageshousingforlowincomehouseholds.HUDscurrentstrategytoprovidesuch
affordablehousingistodosowithinthecontextofmixedincomecommunitieswhereresidentsoccupy
eithermarketrateorrentassistedunitsdependingontheirrespectiveincomequalifications.Another
keyelementofthisdevelopmentstrategyistoreducehousingdensitiesinanefforttofurthermitigate
concentrationsoflowincomehouseholdsandtocreateamoreattractivelivingenvironmentinwhichall
residentscantakeprideandownership.Thesecommunitiesarealsodevelopedwithasetofself
containedamenitiesandservicessomeofwhicharefocusedonintegratingthedevelopmentsmore
closelytothefabricoftheneighborhoodinwhichtheyarelocated.
Theincomesofhouseholdsthatusetheseprogramsvarygreatly.ForLIHTCdevelopments,the
affordabilitythresholdisusuallysetat60%ofAreaMedianIncome(AMI),whilethemajorityofthe
householdswhoresideinpublichousingorwhoreceiveavoucherearnlessthan30%AMI.Followingis
asummaryoftypicalincomecategories,theearningsandrentsassociatedwitheachcategory,andthe
subsidizedhousingprogramsthatservethesevariousincomegroups.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

51


Table22:DescriptiveProfileofRentalAssistancePrograms

1personIncome
1person(Studio)
MaxAffordableRent
Familyof4Income
Familyof4(3BR)
MaxAffordableRent

ExtremelyLow
Income
30%AMI
$12,870
$321

VeryLowIncome

LIHTClimit
60%AMI
$25,740
$643

Low
Income
80%AMI
$34,320
$858

Median
Income
100%AMI
$42,900
$1,072

50%AMI
$21,450
$536

$18,360
$459

$30,600
$765

$33,060
$918

$48,960
$1,224

$61,200
$1,530

AfterHurricaneKatrina,thefederalgovernmentprovidedsubstantialresourcestotheGulfCoastto
rebuildhousingbymeansofCDBGfundsandaboostintaxcreditsforparishesandcountiesthat
sufferedhurricanedamage.Intotal,Louisianahasinvestedapproximately$12billioninhousing
recoveryanddevelopment,withroughly75%ofthisconcentratedwithintheNewOrleansregion,with
thebulkofthesefundsdedicatedtotheRoadHomeHomeownerProgram.Duetothedensityofthecity
andthepreexistingcountofrentalunits,themajorityofthesefundsweretargetedwithinNewOrleans
proper.Inall,8,240rentalunitshavebeendevelopedorareunderconstructioninthecityusingsome
formofsubsidy.Theextentofstrictlymarketraterentaldevelopmenthasbeenminimalsince2005,
consistingofapproximately700unitswithintheCentralBusinessDistrict(CBD).Giventhefloodofnon
conventionalfinancingthatwashedintotheCityandsurroundingregiontofacilitatetherebuilding
process,theretreattothesidelinesforconventionallendersandinvestorsshouldcomeasnosurprise.
Astheseprogramsruntheircourse,areturnofconventionalfinancingsourcesandFHAinsured
mortgagesislikelyandisalreadyevidentinsuburbansectorsofthemarketsuchasSt.TammanyParish.
Therewillalwaysbeaplaceforthecreativelayeredfinancingwhichhasdrivenmuchofthenew
inventoryexpansionoverthepastfouryears.However,marketstendtoreturntolevelsofnatural
balance,andNewOrleansisnotlikelytobeanydifferentgoingforward.Theextraordinary
circumstanceswhichcreatedtheneedforthesefinancingstructures,however,willprobablycontribute
toaslightlylongerpathofreturntothisnewbalance.Continuedturmoilinglobalandnationalfinancial
marketsmayalsoextendthetimeittakestoattractprivatecapitalasaprimaryvehicleforfinancing
rentalhousingcommunities.
InlightofarecentstudypublishedbytheBureauofGovernmentalResearch(BGR)titled,TheHouse
thatUncleSamBuilt,whichdocumentswithsomeconcernasignificantincreaseinsubsidizedhousing
postKatrina,itisrelevanttoexaminewhetherNewOrleansissaturatedwithsubsidizedhousing.5This
requiresamorecompleteunderstandingoftheincomerestrictionsthatarerequiredforsubsidy.
Becauseoftheaforementioneddistinctionbetweenaffordableandsubsidized,itispossiblefor
subsidizedunitstorentformorethanmarketrateunits.HUDandtheLIHTCrestrictionssetrentlimits
atroughly$600to$800foraonebedroomunit,whichrepresentsthe50%to60%AMIrange.Basedon
theincomedistributionofrenters,halfofallrenterhouseholdsearnlessthan50%AMIandwouldhave

BureauofGovernmentalResearch,TheHouseThatUncleSamBuilt:TheContinuedExpansionofSubsidized
HousinginNewOrleans,May2009.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

52


difficultyaffordingaunitwiththislevelofsubsidy.Totargetagreatershareofthemarket,therecovery
programsprovidedadditionalsubsidyinexchangeforevenlowerrents.BoththeRoadHomePiggyback
ProgramandtheSmallRentalProgramincludehousingforhouseholdsearninglessthan50%AMI.
Table23:IncomeDistributionbyTenureinNewOrleans

<30%AMI

Owners
10.0%
Renters
29.6%
AllHouseholds
19.8%
PercentageofOwnersthatarelow
35.3%
income
PercentageofRentersthatarelow
67.9%
income
Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.analysisofHUDCHAS2009data

30% 50%
AMI
9.6%
20.6%
15.1%

50% 80%
AMI
15.7%
17.7%
16.7%

>80%AMI
64.7%
32.1%
48.4%

BeforeKatrina,therewasanabundanceofmarketrate(i.e.nonsubsidized)housingthatwasaffordable
tohouseholdsearninglessthan50%AMI.In2004,28%ofrentalunitscostlessthan$500permonth;
todayonly12%chargelessthan$500permonth,despitetheoverallincreaseinsubsidizedhousing.The
greatestdecreaseinrentalsupplyiswithinhousingpricedbetween$500and$800permonth,generally
thepricepointtargetedbysubsidizedhousing.Almosthalfofallunitswerepricedinthisrangepre
Katrinacomparedtooneinsixtoday,withthebulkoftheseunitsshiftingintoahigherrentcategory.It
ispresumedthatthesepricechangesreflecttherecentriseinoperatingexpenses(insurance,utilities,
etc.)andtheimprovementsmadepoststorm.Theissuetodayisthatthemajorityofrenterscannot
affordtheseunits,whichiswhythelackofaffordablehousingremainsaproblemdespitesubsidized
buildingprograms.MarketraterentalhousingwasaffordabletomostrentersbeforeHurricaneKatrina
withoutsubsidyandnowisnot.Inreality,themajorityofsubsidizedunitsareunaffordableforathirdof
therentalmarket.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

53


Graph4:CostofRenting,2004vs.2009

25.0%

20.0%

15.0%

10.0%

5.0%

0.0%

2004

2009

Source:U.S.CensusAmericanHousingSurvey,2004and2009

Withnewlybuiltsubsidizedhousingpricedcomparablytowhatwasavailableprestorm(without
subsidy),thereislittleevidencetosupporttheclaimthatgovernmentsponsoredbuildingactivityhas
createdaglutoflowpricedrentalhousing.Infact,thesubsidizedrebuildingprogramshavecontributed
toalargesegmentoftheregionsworkforcehousing(housingpricedbetween$500and$800per
month)thatwouldnotbeavailableotherwise.Therealtopicofconcernisthemismatchbetweenwhat
rentersearnandtheoversupplyofrentalunitspricedabove$800permonth.Currentestimates
providedbyHUDfindthat70%ofrentersearninglessthan50%AMIarepayinganexcessiveamounton
housingrelativetotheirincomes.6

LowIncomeHousingTaxCredit(LIHTC)Properties
TheprimaryvehicleforrecentmultifamilyconstructionhasbeenthroughtheLIHTCProgram,including
theannualallocationoftaxcreditsandtheboostintaxcreditsthatcamewiththeGulfOpportunity
Zone(GOZONE)Program.Additionally,HOMEfunds,bonds,and4%taxcreditsplayedasignificantpart
infundingmultifamilyconstruction.Since2006,theLouisianaHousingFinanceAgencyhasfunded
approximately140projectsintheNewOrleansmetroarea,with104ofthoseprojectscenteredinNew

HUDComprehensiveHousingAffordabilityStrategy(CHAS),2009.DataaggregatedbyGCR&Associates,Inc.
CHASdatabasedonAmericanCommunitySurveydatafor2005to2007.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

54


Orleans,totaling9,452units.Ofthose9,000+units,2,644unitsareacomponentofpublichousing
redevelopmentsponsoredbytheHousingAuthorityofNewOrleans(HANO)includingthe
redevelopmentoftheBigFourintomixedincomecommunities.Theremaining6,800unitsrepresenta
diversemixofrentalhousingoptionscateringtoamixofhouseholdtypesandincomes.Table24
summarizestheLIHTCawardpipelinebyparishintheregion.
Table24:SubsidizedMultiFamilyDevelopmentUnitsPostKatrina
LIHTC/Piggyback/LHFAHousingPipelinebyParish

Renting
UnderConstruction
Planned
Orleans
5,755
2,485
1,492
Jefferson
1,209
33
151
Plaquemines
0
32
44
St.Bernard
0
0
288
St.Charles
0
21
0
St.JohntheBaptist
0
0
0
St.Tammany
786
144
218
Total
7,750
2,715
2,193
Source:GCRandAssociatesanalysisofLHFAPipelineReport,September2010

Total
9,732
1,393
76
288
21
0
1,148
12,658

PlanningdistrictswiththehighestconcentrationsofLIHTCfundedpropertiesincludeMidCity(2,842
units),theGardenDistrict/CentralCity(1,785units),NewOrleansEast(1,044units)andAlgiers(1,044
units).Overall,thesefourareasoftheCityaccountforjustover71%ofallLIHTCprojectsapprovedfor
fundingbytheLHFAandthatareatonestageofdevelopmentoranother.InAlgiers,alloftheunits
approvedandinthepipelinearetargetedtolowincomehouseholds,whileNewOrleansEastandMid
Cityunitstargetedtolowincomeresidentsaccountfor81%and71%oftheinventorypipeline,
respectively.Citywide78%or7,373oftheunitsscheduledforentryintothemarketaretargetedtolow
incomeresidents7.
Table25:LIHTC/Piggyback/LHFANewOrleansPipelinebyPlanningDistrict
PlanningDistricts
MarketRate

1
212

2
665

3
88

4
815

6
88

7
0

8
12

9
199

10
0

11

12
0

13

Total
2,079

PlacedinService

201

316

79

469

126

1,191

UnderConstruction
FinancingClosedorNot
Closed/notbrokenground

11

262

201

88

73

635

LowIncome

87

145

12

253

498

1,120

276

2,027

375

473

113

845

602

1,044

7,373

PlacedinService

278

850

218

763

313

314

89

796

206

774

4,601

UnderConstruction
FinancingClosedorNot
Closed/notbrokenground

184

178

375

62

159

49

396

160

1,563
1,209

36

92

58

889

24

110

TotalUnits

710

1,785

364

2,842

463

473

125

1,044

602

1,044

9,452

PlacedinService

479

1,166

297

1,232

313

314

89

922

206

774

5,792

UnderConstruction
FinancingClosedorNot
Closed/notbrokenground

195

440

576

150

159

122

396

160

2,198

36

179

67

1,034

36

110

1,462

Note:Doesnotinclude280scatteredsiteunitswithinmultipleplanningdistricts.
Source:GCRandAssociatesanalysisofLHFAPipelineReport,September2010,andindividualLIHTCapplications.

ThisfigurereferstothetotalpercentageofrentrestricteduniteswithinLIHTCproperties.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

55


Onequarterofthesepipelineprojectsaremixedfinancedevelopments,whereacombinationofCDBG
funds,taxcreditsandprivateequityarepackagedtogethertofinancemultifamilyhousingwitha
varietyofunittypesandrents.Theseincludethefollowingdevelopments:

Table26:MixedFinanceDevelopments(nonPublicHousing)
DevelopmentName

Status

MarketRate
Units

LowIncome
Units

Total
Units

Planning
District

22

VeryLow
Income
Units
15

BluePlateLofts

notclosed

35

72

GCHPMLK
Douglas&Andry

notclosed

21

15

34

70

notclosed

18

Eleven37

underconst.

28

10

11

49

St.JoeLofts

underconst.

11

10

40

61

1A

TheMusesII

underconst.

41

11

52

CrescentGardenHomes

underconst.

86

57

143

TheMuses

underconst.

135

76

211

ChateauCarre

underconst.

88

31

31

150

GeorgetownManor

underconst.

73

23

26

122

PalmettoAptHomes

PIS

74

25

25

124

ConstanceLofts

PIS

27

10

13

50

1A

Nine27

PIS

60

16

76

1A

200Carondelet

PIS

114

38

38

190

1A

FalstaffApartments

PIS

72

73

147

ThePreserve

PIS

109

37

37

183

TheCrescentClub

PIS

136

50

42

228

TheMarquisApartments

PIS

150

50

50

250

WalnutSquareApartments

PIS

125

42

42

209

Total

1,378

521

506

2,405

Source:GCRandAssociatesanalysisofLouisianaHousingFinanceAgencyPipelineReport,September2010

Additionally,theHousingAuthorityofNewOrleans(HANO)hasincorporatedmixedfinance
developmentsintotheirrevitalizationplansforpublichousing.Thisincludesthedemolitionand
redevelopmentoftheBigFourinitiatedin2007St.Bernard,C.J.Peete,B.W.CooperandLafitteas
wellastheSt.Thomasredevelopmentthatbeganinthe1990sandcontinuestoday.Overall,thereare
1,801unitsintheseredevelopedpublichousingcommunitieswithatotalof675marketrateunitsor
about37.5%ofthisnewinventory.Thebalanceismadeupofunitstargetedtoverylowincome
households(29%)andlowincomehouseholds(33.6%).

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

56


Table27:MixedIncomePublicHousingRedevelopment
DevelopmentName

Status

MarketRate
Units

VeryLow
IncomeUnits

LowIncome
Units

Total
Units

Planning
District

Underconst.

74

60

134

BWCooperII

closed

123

136

151

410

St.BernardII

underconst.

17

16

16

49

St.BernardI

LafitteBlocks13

underconst.

156

150

160

466

CJPeeteI

PIS

130

157

173

460

RivergardenCSII

PIS

186

62

62

310

Total

675

521

605

1,801

Source:GCRandAssociatesanalysisofLHFAPipelineReport,September2010andindividualLIHTCapplications

WiththeexceptionofWalnutSquare,allofthemixedfinancedevelopmentsinNewOrleansare
concentratedintheEastBankofNewOrleanswestoftheInnerHarborNavigationalCanal(IHNC)which
separatestheLower9thWardandNewOrleansEast.(SeemapinAppendix).Inordertoattractmarket
raterenters,thedevelopersconstructedtheunitsandprovidedamenitiesinawaythatissimilartonon
subsidizedapartments,offeringsuperiorinteriorfeaturesandpublicamenitiesthanthoseavailablein
100%affordabledevelopments.Thisincludeshigherendfinisheslikesolidcountertops,maplecabinets,
inunitwashersanddryersandstoragespace,aswellaspublicamenitieslikeswimmingpools,
clubhousesandsecuredentry.
Thevastmajorityofmixedfinanceprojects(notincludingpublichousinginitiatives)havealready
openedorarecurrentlyunderconstruction.Thisincludesallbut49ofthemarketrateunits.
MarketRateunitsrenting

867

MarketRateunitsunderconstruction

462

MarketRateunitspending

49

AccordingtoarecentsurveyconductedbyGCRandtheUniversityofNewOrleans,allofthemixed
financedevelopmentshaveoccupancyratesatorabove90%.Accordingtorecentsurveydatacollected
bytheLouisianaOfficeofCommunityDevelopment,theoveralloccupancyrateformarketrateunitsis
89%whiletheoveralloccupancyrateforaffordableunitsis96%,makingtheoveralloccupancyrate
92%.ThisisinlinewithUNOssurveyinformation,whichfindsanoccupancyrateof93%fortheareas
mixedincomedevelopments.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

57


Table28:MixedFinanceDevelopmentsPlacedinService
DevelopmentName

OccupancyRate(December2010)

TheMuses

91%

PalmettoApartmentHomes

90%

ConstanceLofts

92%

Nine27

100%

200Carondelet

93%

FalstaffApartments

95%

ThePreserve

94%

TheCrescentClub

98%

TheMarquisApartments

100%

WalnutSquareApt

98%

Source:LouisianaOfficeofCommunityDevelopment,December2010,andphonesurveysconductedbyGCR&Associates,Inc.
andtheUniversityofNewOrleansInstituteforEconomicDevelopmentandResearchinDecember,2010

PublicHousingCommunities
TheredevelopmentofpublichousingintomixedincomecommunitiesisaninitiativepromotedbyHUD
sincethemid1990s.InitiallypartoftheHOPEVIProgram,thistypeofredevelopmentisnowsupported
byavarietyoffundingsources,includingLIHTC,historictaxcredits,CDBGfundsandProjectbased
Section8vouchers.Todate,HANOhasredevelopedthreepublichousingcomplexesintomixedincome
communities,includingSt.Thomas(nowRiverGarden),St.Bernard(nowColumbiaParc)andC.J.Peete
akaMagnolia(nowHarmonyOaks)withconstructionunderwayatLafitteandB.W.Cooper.Accordingto
currentoccupancydatareportedbypropertymanagers,thesedevelopmentsarequitesuccessful,with
occupancyratesatRiverGardenatapproximately92%andtenantcommitmentsfortheremaining
propertiesexceedingavailableunits.Moresignificantly,themarketrateandLIHTCunitsareleasingup
quickly,indicatingthehighqualityoftheredevelopmentandcontinueddemandforworkforcerental
housingincentrallylocatedareas.8Intotal,HANOcurrentlyoperatesroughly2,000publichousingunits
inNewOrleans.9Theremainingunits(consistingofLIHTCandmarketrateunits)aremanagedbythird
partymanagementfirms.
Table29:PublicHousingStatusReportNewDevelopments

Total

<30%AMI
954
30%50%AMI
280
50%60%AMI
735
50%80%AMI
52
Market
623
Total
2,644
Source:LHFAPipelineReport,September2010

UnderConstructionor
AlreadyBuilt

PendingPISExtension
andFinancing

428
242
539
45
444
1,698

526
38
196
7
179
946

8
9

HousingAuthorityofNewOrleans,phoneinterviewJanuary24,2011.
HousingAuthorityofNewOrleans,summarydatabyproject,effectiveNovember2010.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

58

TenantbasedSection8Vouchers
ThemostsignificantcontributortoaffordablehousingsupplyinNewOrleansistheTenantbased
Section8HousingProgram.Priortothestorm,thecityhadcloseto9,000Section8voucherholdersand
roughly5,000occupiedpublichousingunits.Today,thecityhasmorethan15,000Section8voucher
holdersand2,000occupiedpublichousingunits,markinganoverallincreaseof3,500subsidized
householdsundertheHousingAuthorityofNewOrleans.10Intotal,HANOserves17,636households,a
verylargeportionoftherentersinthecityandagreaterpercentageofrentersthanwasservedpre
storm.
TheSection8Programworksinaveryuniqueandflexibleway,differingfromthetypicalunderstanding
ofsubsidizedhousing.Households,usuallyearninglessthan30%AMI,areprovidedwithavoucherthat
coversthedifferencebetweenwhattheycanaffordtopayandwhatisavailableontheopenmarket.
HUDhasestablishedthat30%ofahouseholdsincomegoestowardsrentandutilities,andthe
remainingbalanceispaidbyHUDdirectlytothelandlordviathelocalhousingauthority.Becauseany
landlordcanrentorchoosenottorenttoaSection8voucherholder,thereisnodirectcorollary
betweenavoucherandafixedorhardaffordableunit,whichisguaranteedtorentonlytolow
incomehouseholdsforasetnumberofyears.Underthissystem,theoverallnumberofunitsrentedto
voucherholderscandecrease.Thiscanoccurwhenalandlordchoosestonolongerleasetoavoucher
holder,whenavoucherholderleavesthecity,takinghisorhervoucherwiththem,orwhenthefunds
committedtotheprogramcoverfewerunits.Asaresultofthisflexibility,wedonotdefinevouchersas
affordableunitspersebutstillincorporatethemintotheoverallschemaofsubsidizedhousing.
Aspartofthisstudy,the15,000+voucherlocationsweregeocodedandmappedrelativetotheir
neighborhoodsandinrelationtothecityslargescalemultifamilyproperties.Thiswasaccomplishedby
overlayingthegeoreferencedvoucherdataontotheparcelfootprintsofthelargercomplexes.The
analysisissomewhatlimitedbecauseitdoesnotincludeanyofthevouchersadministeredbyhousing
authoritieswithinJeffersonParish,therebyexcludingthelargercomplexesinMetairieandKenner.
Additionally,duetotheconfidentialityrequirementsfortheTenantbasedVoucherProgram,thisreport
doesnotidentifywhichmultifamilycomplexeshostlargeconcentrationsofvouchers.Butthedatadoes
revealanextremelysalientpointthevastmajority(+14,000)tenantbasedvouchersarebeingutilized
insmallerstructures,whichincludesmallcomplexes,doublesandtriples,andsinglefamilyhomes.We
alsoseeasignificantconcentrationofvoucherswithintheNewOrleansEast,MidCityandAlgiers
planningdistricts.Fromthisanalysis,wewereabletodeterminethefollowing:

AlargenumberofsmallscalerentalunitshavereturnedtothemarketpostKatrinawithout
usingrecoverysubsidies;
Thesesmallscalerentalunitsareincompetitionwithlargercomplexes;
Themajorityofnewermultifamilycomplexesaremaintaininghealthyoccupancyrateswithout
tenantbasedvoucherassistance;and
ThepreferredhousingtypeinNewOrleansmaybeforsmallerscalerentalunits.

10

HousingAuthorityofNewOrleans,summarydatabyproject,effectiveNovember2010.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

59


AnotherusefulindicatoristheusagerateforSection8vouchers.Whatoftenoccursintightmarketsis
thathouseholdswithvoucherscannotfindlandlordswillingtoparticipateintheprogram.Thereare
someareasofthecountrywhereoneinfouroroneinthreehouseholdswithvoucherscannotuse
them.ThisisnotthecaseinNewOrleans,withanoverallusagerateabove90%.Thisisoneindicator
thatthecityhasaweakmarketforrentalhousing.11

Table30:TenantbasedVouchersbyPlanningDistrict,2010
PlanningDistrict
Count
NotDefined
341
23
1FrenchQuarter/CBD
1,434
2GardenDistrict/CentralCity
1,341
3Uptown
2,866
4MidCity
91
5Lakeview
1,702
6Gentilly
1,348
7Bywater
298
8Lower9thWard
3,923
9NewOrleansEast
183
10VillageDeL'Est
n/a
11Viavant/VenetianIsles
2,128
12Algiers
n/a
13EnglishTurn
GrandTotal
15,680
Source:HousingAuthorityofNewOrleans,December2010;AnalysisprovidedbyGCR&Associates,Inc.

11

HUDusesvoucherutilizationratesasonemeasurefordeterminingtheadequacyofaffordablehousingsupply.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

60

KeyConclusionsProfileofSubsidizedHousing:

Approximately75%ofthe$12billiondedicatedforposthurricanehousingrecoveryhasbeen
expendedintheNewOrleansarea.ThemajorityofthesefundshavebeenspentinOrleansParish.
MostofthelargescalemultifamilyhousingactivitysinceKatrinahasbeenunderwrittenthrough
governmentsubsidiesandincentives.
WhileconcernshavebeenraisedaboutanoversaturationofsubsidizedhousinginOrleansParish,
higherposthurricanerentshaverenderedmarketratehousingunaffordable.Manynew
subsidizedunitsarecomparableinpricingtothemarketrateunitsthatwereavailablepriorto
Katrina.
Thereappearstobeadearthofaffordablehousingforverylowincomeindividuals,asovertwo
thirdsofrentersearninglessthan50%AMIarepayinganexcessiveamountoftheirincomeson
housing.
TheLowIncomeHousingTaxCredit(LIHTC)programhasbeentheprimaryvehicleforthe
constructionofaffordablehousingpostKatrina.
ThemixedincomeredevelopmentofHANOsmajorpublichousingdevelopmentshasproven
successfulinattractingbothmarketrateandincomerestrictedtenants.Theongoing
redevelopmentofSt.Bernard,Lafitte,C.J.Peete,andB.W.Cooperwilladdsubstantialinventoryto
thedeeplyaffordablehousingmarket.
TheSection8programoccupiesanenhancedroleintheprovisionofaffordablehousinginNew
Orleans.Thecityhasapproximately66%moreSection8vouchersinusethanitdidbefore
Katrina.
Ananalysisofthelocationofvoucheruserssuggeststhatmanystormdamagedrentalunitswere
restoredwithoutarecoverysubsidy;newmultifamilycomplexesenjoystrongoccupancyrates
withouttheuseofvouchers;thepreferredhousingtypeamongvoucherrecipientsappearstobe
smallscaleunits.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

61

ProfileoftheRentalHousingStockandStormDamage
Unlikemanyareasofthecountry,themajorityoftherentalhousingstockinNewOrleanswas
integratedwithinitsneighborhoods,alongwithsinglefamilyhomes,shotgundoubles,triplexes,
fourplexesandavarietyofbuildingscontainingfewerthantenlivingunits.Thisisnotuncommonforan
oldercitysuchasNewOrleansandwasthefavoredformofrentalhousing,with66%ofallrentersliving
instructuresthathadfourunitsorfewerin2000.Therewasalsoasignificantnumberofhouseholds
livingwithinlargerstructures,orstructuresthathadfiftyormoreunits.In2000,almost12,000
householdslivedwithinlargecomplexes,equivalentto12%ofallrenters.Almosthalf(44%)ofthese
renterswerelivinginpublichousingcomplexes,andtheremainderwerelargelyconcentratedwithin
themultifamilycomplexesinNewOrleansEastandAlgiers.In1970,overthreefourthsofrenter
householdsinNewOrleanslivedinbuildingsoffourorfewerunits,whilethoseoccupyinglarger(50+
unit)buildingsaccountedfor4.8%ofallrenterhouseholdsintheCity.Thissignificantshifttowards
largercomplexescanbeattributedtothesurgesofnewmultifamilyinventoryadditionsduringthe
1970sand1980swhichproducedthemajorityofthelarger(100+unit)propertieslocatedintheCity
andtheregionasawhole.Accordingtothe2009AmericanHousingSurveyofNewOrleans,the
distributionofrenterhouseholdsacrosspropertiesofdifferentsizesonceagainmirrorsthe1970profile,
with79%ofrenterhouseholdsoccupyingbuildingswithfourorfewerlivingunits.Thisisadirect
reflectionofthedamagetotherentalhousingstockinflictedbyKatrina,particularlythelossofunitsin
larger(50+unit)propertieswherenowabout6%ofrenterhouseholdsreside.
Ofparticularnote,theshareofrenterhouseholdsoccupyingsinglefamilyhomesissubstantiallyhigher
todaythanin2000,andinfactexceeds2000levels.Thisillustratesthetransitionofmanyowner
occupiedhomestorentalunits,anissuethatisfurtherelaborateduponwithintheSmallScaleRental
Propertiessectionofthisreportbeginningonpage66.
Table31:UnitsperStructureOccupiedRentalUnits
Source:U.S.Census2000and2009CensusAmericanHousingSurveyforNewOrleans

2000

Count Percent
SingleFamily 14,551
14%

Townhome
18,514
18%
24units
34,509
34%
59units
8,993
9%
1019units
7,352
7%
2049units
4,862
5%
50+units
11,701
12%
Other
234
0%
Total
100,716 100%

2009Estimate Change20002009
Count Percent
Count
Percent
14,800 25%
249
11%
11,300 19%
(7,214)
1%
20,800 35%
(13,709)
1%
3,200
5%
(5,793)
4%
3,100
5%
(4,252)
2%
2,500
4%
(2,362)
1%
3,400
6%
(8,301)
6%
0
0%
(234)
n/a
59,100 100% (41,616)
n/a

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

62

StormDamageSummaryandRebuildingProfile
HurricaneKatrinaseverelydamagedordestroyed37%ofthecitysrentalstock.Thisincludedthelarge
complexesinNewOrleansEast,themajorityofthepublichousingstockandthesmall,momandpop
rentalslocatedwithinthedenserneighborhoods.InMidCityalone,morethan10,000rentalunitswere
removedfromthemarket.ThisincludedthedamageincurredattheSt.Bernard,B.W.Cooper,and
Lafittepublichousingcomplexesaswellasthemanydoublesandthreeunitbuildingsconcentratedin
MidCityneighborhoodslikeBayouSt.John.Thelossof7,700rentalunitsinNewOrleansEast
represented,forthemostpart,ahandfuloflargecomplexesconstructedinthemid1970sand1980s.
Manyofthesedevelopmentsconsistedofmorethan250unitsinagardenapartmentlayout.Morethan
2,500oftheseunitswereownedand/orfundedbyHUDprograms(i.e.Section221(d)3,221(d)4,202
and236),withonlyafraction(1/3)currentlyplannedforredevelopment.12Theseverityofdamageto
therentalhousingstockasaresultofHurricaneKatrinavariedacrosstheCityinrelationtotheextent,
depthanddurationoffloodingincurred.DamagewasparticularlyintenseintheLower9thWardwhere
theequivalentof76.8%oftherentalstockcountedinthe2000Censuswasseverelydamagedor
destroyed.VeryclosebehindweretheLakeviewarea(69.2%),NewOrleansEast(65.1%)andGentilly
(59.2%).AreassuchasUptownandtheGardenDistricthadcomparativelymoderatedamage(24.1%and
11.8%,respectively).Intermsofthenumberofunitsdamagedordestroyed,theMidCityandNew
OrleansEastareashadthelargestnetlossofrentalhousinginventoryat10,768and7,701units,
respectively.AlthoughthedamageinflictedbyKatrinasfloodingaffectedabroadcrosssectionofthe
population,someofthegreatestdamageoccurredinneighborhoodsthatwerealreadyeconomically
fragileandleastabletobeginrebuildingwithoutsignificantcommitmentsofcapital.Thistendedto
comeintheformofapackageofincentivefinancingprogramspackagedwithintheGOZonelegislation.

12

HUDsummaryofpreKatrinahousingprofileinNewOrleansEastandstatussummaryeffectiveNovember,
2008.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

63


Table32:KatrinasDamagetoRentalStockbyPlanningDistrict

SeverelyDamaged/Destroyed
RentalUnits

Uptown
GardenDistrict
FrenchQuarter/CBD
MidCity
Bywater
Gentilly
Lower9thWard
Lakeview
NewOrleansEast
VillagedeL'Est
VenetianIsles
Algiers
NewAurora/EnglishTurn
Total

3,450
1,680
32
10,768
3,499
2,765
2,084
1,282
7,701
970
42
224
26
34,523

AllRentalUnits
PercentofRentalUnits
(2000Census) SeverelyDamagedorDestroyed
14,300
14,288
1,944
22,061
8,596
4,669
2,715
1,852
11,837
1,713
430
8,680
300
93,385

24.1%
11.8%
1.6%
48.8%
40.7%
59.2%
76.8%
69.2%
65.1%
56.6%
9.8%
2.6%
8.7%
37.0%

Source:HUDDamageEstimatesforHurricanesKatrina,RitaandWilma,February2006.

Therecoveryprogramsthatweredevelopedtorebuildlostrentalstockfallundertwocategories:new
constructionorextensiverehabilitationforlargescalemultifamilydevelopment;andgrantassistance
toexisting,smallscalelandlords.TheGulfOpportunity(GO)Zonelegislationincentivizedprivate
developerstoacquirelandandbuildmultifamilydevelopmentsinstormdamagedareaswhiletheState
usedCDBGfundstofinancetheRoadHomeProgram,whichprovidedgapfundstoGOZoneprojects
(PiggybackProgram)orprovidedgrantassistancetosmalllandlordstorebuildthesmaller,2to4unit
perstructure,rentalstock(SmallRentalProgram).
Todate,thebulkoftherebuildingfundsforrentalhousinghavegonetothelargerdevelopments,most
notablytheLowIncomeHousingTaxCredit(LIHTC)Program.Thisprogramhasawardedtaxcreditsto
12,681unitsintheNewOrleansMSA;ofwhich9,732areconcentratedinNewOrleansand85%are
currentlyinoperationorunderconstruction.13ComparedtotheLIHTCProgram,theRoadHomeSmall
RentalProgramhasamuchsmallershareoftherebuildingeffort,providingcommitmentlettersto
landlordsfor8,524units,with3,162currentlybeingrented.14Butthisisnottosaythatsmallscale
rentalshavenotreturnedtothemarket;onthecontrary,whilelittlesubsidyhasbeenchanneledtothe
rebuildingoftwotofourunitcomplexes,thereisstillanactivemarketwithinthisgroup,with
constructioncostsfundedthroughinsuranceproceeds,equityandprivatemortgagefinancing.This
conclusionwasreachedthroughananalysisofTenantbasedSection8vouchers,NewOrleans
AssessorsDataandthe2009U.S.CensusAmericanHousingSurveyfortheNewOrleanshousing
market.Themethodologyfordeterminingthisnonsubsidizedrebuildingactivityisfurtherdiscussed
withintheSmallscaleRentalsectionofthisreport(page66).Historically,smallrentalpropertieshave

13

LHFAPipelineReport,September2010.

14

Source:LAOCDRoadHomeSmallRentalmicrodata;analysisprovidedbyGCR&Associates,Inc.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

64


beenthepredominantcomponentoftherentalstockinNewOrleans,contributingtothesupplyof
affordableunitswhileofferingagreaterflexibilityandlessstringentregulatoryenvironmentthanlarger
complexes.Thesepropertiesaresoprevalentastobeanintegralpartoftheneighborhoodfabric,and
theirreturntocommerceordecaywillpresumablydeterminethefuturehealthofmanyneighborhoods.
TheintegrationofvariedhousingstylesandtenuretypesisverymuchwhatgivestheCityitsunique
characterandqualityoflife.Asimportantasthissegmentofthehousingmarketis,however,itisalso
themostchallengingtomonitorandassess.
Thedataarelimitedforsmallrentalsinmanyrespectsduetothefactthatthereisnocomprehensive
programfortrackingrentalhousinginformationandnocentralrepositoryofinformationpertainingto
rentalhousing.Inlieuofcompleteinformation,thisstudycombinesavarietyofdatasourcesintoa
geospatialcontext.Thesourcesofinformationincludeprimarydatacollectionofoccupancyandrent
data,Assessorsrecords,GCRsActivityIndex15,andinformationfromthevariousgovernmententities.
Theendresultisasampleofmorethan20,000parcelsthatrepresentsomeformofrentalactivityfor
smallerproperties.Althoughnotasdesirableasacensusoftheentirestock,thisisenoughofasample
toinfersomebroadertrendsregardingtherecoveryofpropertiesinthisportionoftheCitysrental
housinginventory.Theresultsofthisanalysisarepresentedwithinthefollowingsection.

KeyConclusionsProfileoftheRentalHousingStockandStormDamage:

BeforeKatrina,therentalmarketinNewOrleanswasdominatedbysmallerapartmentbuildings
with66%ofrentersresidingin14unitstructuresintheyear2000.
ThatpercentagehasincreasedsinceKatrinaas79%ofallrentersnowresidein14unitbuildings.
Thisisareflectionofthesignificantdamagetolargerapartmentbuildings.
Basedonthisdata,newmultifamilydevelopmentisnottheprimarycontributortoanincreased
rentalvacancyrate.
NewOrleansalsonowhasasubstantiallyhigherpercentageofrentalunitsinsinglefamily
structuresperhapsareflectionofasluggishforsalehousingmarket.
Katrinadestroyedorseverelydamagedover37%ofthecitysrentalstock,thoughthedegreeof
damagevariedsignificantlybysubarea.
TherecoveryofthesmallrentalstockhasbeenabettedbytheStatesSmallRentalProgram,but
manyownersofsmallscalerentalpropertieshaverebuiltthroughothermeans.
TheincreaseinSection8vouchersisalsoalikelycontributortotherecoveryofsmallrentals.
Marketrateunitswithinmixedincomedevelopmentsarerentingata16%premiumabovemarket
rateunitsgenerally.Thispremiummaybeassociatedwithanewervintageofconstruction,
building/apartmentamenities,andlocationadvantages.
ThroughtheLowIncomeHousingTaxCreditprogram,theCDBGPiggybackprogram,andthe
redevelopmentofpublichousing,atremendousinventoryofsubsidizedunitshasreachedthe
marketinrecentyears.Theseunitsvarysubstantiallybyincomemixandbythepricingofmarket
rateunitswithinmixedincomedevelopments.

15

TheGCRActivityIndexisameasuredevelopedtoindicatewhetheraparticularaddressorparcelshowsanysign
ofactivity.Itincludesutilityinformation,postalservicedeliverydata,garbagecollection,voterregistrationand
ongoingspotsurveys.TheIndexistrackedonamonthlybasisforalladdressesandparcelswithinNewOrleans,St.
BernardParish,JeffersonParishandaportionofSt.TammanyParish.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

65

SmallScaleRentalProperties
ThesmallscalerentalmarketwasthebackboneofNewOrleansrentalstockprestorm,withtwooutof
threerenterslivinginastructurewithfourunitsorfewer.Themajorityoftheseunitswererendered
uninhabitablebyKatrina,andtherateoftheirrecoveryhasnotbeenasreadilytrackedasthelarger
developmentsortherebuildingofowneroccupiedhomes.Thiscanbeattributedtothestructureof
rentalrecoveryprograms,whichbytheirnaturefavoredlargerdevelopments,andthelimitedresources
allocatedtosmallerstructures.
Theassistanceprogramsforrentalhousing,namelytheGOZonetaxcreditprogramandtheRoadHome
SmallRentalProgram,didnotprovidefederalrecoveryfundstothemajorityofpreKatrinarentalunits.
Theprocessforreceivingrebuildingfundswasnotasofright,butacompetitiveprocesswithmultiple
fundingrounds,oftentimesrequiringcomplexapplicationsandlengthyreviewprocesses.Also,dueto
thecomplexityoffinancingstructures,manylandlordsanddeveloperscouldnotsecurethefinancing
necessarytobreakground.Forthelargerdevelopments,GOZonedeveloperswererequiredtofind
LIHTCinvestorstofundtheirprojects,adifficulttaskafterthecollapseofthecreditmarkets.Although
thisdidnotinhibitdevelopersfromapplyingtotheprogram,thedifficultiesassociatedwiththelackof
capitalcausedsomeprojectstowithdraw.InthecaseoftheSmallRentalProgram,smallscalelandlords
wererequiredtoaccessinterimconstructionloansanddidnotreceivegrantproceedsuntiltheunitwas
rented.Theprogramhassincebeenrevisedtoincludeinterimconstructionfinancingbutthisprevious
requirementofaconstructionloanisconsideredtheprimaryreasonfortheprogramsineffectiveness
duringthefirsttwoyearsofoperation.Manymomandpoplandlordswerenotfinanciallyqualifiedto
readilyaccessconstructionloans.Asaresult,approximately6,000rentalunitswithinthetwotofour
unitstructuresareparticipatingintheSmallRentalProgram,asmallfractionofNewOrleansrental
stock.Probablythemostsignificantreasonforthislimitedparticipationistherentrestrictionin
exchangeforsubsidy.Underprogramguidelines,propertyownersareunderacovenantthatcapsrents
toaspecificincomelevel;ifthelandlorddoesnotfollowtherestrictions,heorsheisrequiredtopay
backthesoftsecondmortgagethatwouldhaveotherwisebeenforgivenafteratenyearperiod.With
increasingancillarycosts(insurance,utilities)andhigherrisksassociatedwithowningpropertyinNew
Orleans,thelimitedpotentialcashflowembeddedwithintheSmallRentalProgramlikelydeterred
manyparticipants.
Asaresult,onlyafractionoftherentalmarketparticipatedinarecoveryprogram,renderingthedata
providedbythirdpartysourcesincomplete.Theonlyinformationreadilytrackedisthesubsidized
developments(LIHTC,CDBGandSmallRental)andthelargescalemultifamilycomplexesthathave
beenapartofUNOsrentalsurveyspreandpostKatrina.Thestatusoftheother30,000+smallrental
unitsthatdidnotreceivepublicassistanceisstilllargelyunknowninanycompletesense.
Tosupplementtheinformationreadilyavailable,thisstudyperformedafield,phoneandinternetsurvey
ofthesmallscalerentalmarket,resultinginasampleof1,800smallscalerentalsthroughoutthecity.
ThisincludedlistingsprovidedbyLatterandBlum,Prudential,craigslist.org,GambitWeekly,Times

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

66


Picayune,andfieldsurveyswithineachplanningdistrictoveratwoweekperiod.Theinformationis
accurateanduptodateasoflateSeptemberthroughearlyOctober,2010.

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Table33:SummaryofRentsforSmallRentals,Field,PhoneandInternetSurvey
Studio
1BR
2BR
3BR
4BR
5BR
SampleSize
$750
$1,458
$2,210
n/a
n/a
n/a
50
$714
$818
$1,005
$1,843
$1,238
n/a
218
$492
$775
$985
$1,119
$1,918
$1,250
244
$750
$805
$878
$1,059
$1,235
$1,512
283
n/a
$845
$1,021
$1,530
$1,663
n/a
42
$450
$734
$850
$1,226
$1,464
$1,350
102
$592
$661
$829
$1,063
$1,224
$1,350
178
n/a
$503
$796
$1,082
$1,072
n/a
39
$600
$701
$893
$1,190
$1,370
$1,425
185
n/a
$400
$725
$1,168
$1,300
$1,600
15
n/a
n/a
n/a
$1,100
n/a
n/a
1
n/a
$768
$988
$1,188
$1,473
$1,836
116
$515
$850
$965
$1,350
n/a
n/a
5

Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.basedonfield,phoneandinternetsurveys,effectiveSeptemberandOctober,2010.

Surveydatawerefurtheraugmentedwithapproximately14,000voucherscurrentlybeingusedwithin
smallerstructures.Finally,theoverallassessmentoftherentalmarketincorporatedactiveresidential
propertiesthatdidnothaveahomesteadexemptionineither2005or2010.Thismicrodatawas
providedbytheLouisianaTaxCommissionandtiedattheaddressleveltoGCRsActivityIndex,theLHFA
andOCDdata,Section8vouchers,andallsurveydata.
WehaveconcreteevidencethatState,voucherandsurveyaddressesrepresentrentalproperties,but
theAssessorsdatarelyonseveralkeyassumptionstomakethatdetermination.Theanalysisis
conservativeinapproachandlikelyexcludesmanypropertiesthatarecurrentlyservingasrentalunits.
First,itassumesthatifapropertyisa)classifiedasresidential;b)wasactivein2005and2010;andc)
hadnohomesteadexemptionin2005or2010,thenitisarentalproperty.Thismethodologyassumes
thatallhomeownerswhoqualifyforahomesteadexemptionarereceivingone,andlikewiseall
landlordswhodonotqualifyarenotreceivingone.Traditionally,onecouldeasilyassumethatactive
residentialpropertieswithouthomesteadexemptionscapturedthebulkofrentalpropertyinthecity.
ThisisnotthecasepostKatrina,asthousandsofactivehomeswithoutahomesteadexemptionmaybe
intheprocessofrenovationormaybevacantandforsale.Inneitherconditionwouldthestructurebea
rentalproperty.Anypropertiesthatconvertedtorentalunitssince2005areexcludedfromthispool
unlessthereisavoucherassociatedwithit.Finally,itshouldbementionedthattheassumedrental
marketreliesondataprovidedbytheNewOrleansAssessorsofficeandGCRsActivityIndex,both
susceptibletoerrorfromthirdpartysources.
Thefollowingmap(Map1)representsthevarietyofrentalunitscapturedinthisanalysis,including
largescalemultifamilyunits,smallrentalsthatweresurveyedorparticipatedinsomeformofsubsidy,

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

67


andactivepropertieswithoutahomesteadexemptioninboth2005and2010.Theanalysiswas
providedattheparcelleveltoillustratethesizeofmanymultifamilydevelopmentsandavoiddouble
countingofmultipleunitswithinthesamestructure.Fromthisgeospatialanalysis,weseea
widespreadrentalmarket,withsubstantialactivitytakingplaceinMidCity,theBywater,Gentillyand
specificareasofUptown.
Map1:LandscapeofRentalUnitsinNewOrleansbyPlanningDistrict

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

68


Table34:ParcelLevelAnalysisoftheRentalMarket,December2010
ResidentialActivityNewOrleans
PlanningDistrict
PD1
PD2
PD3
PD4
PD5
PD6
PD7
PD8
PD9
PD10
PD11
PD12
PD13
Citywide

TotalResidential
Parcels
964
7,686
17,077
11,616
8,744
13,718
8,990
4,635
18,095
2,097
322
12,509
337
106,790

TotalActiveResidential
Parcels
930
6,517
15,072
8,762
6,413
9,439
6,160
1,571
13,686
1,750
257
11,654
330
82,541

ParcelsidentifiedasRental
Residential
601
3,476
5,408
5,857
1,778
3,293
4,213
2,095
4,500
409
35
2,675
36
34,376

Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.usingdataprovidedbytheLouisianaHousingFinanceAgency,LouisianaOfficeofCommunity
Development/DisasterRecoveryUnit,UniversityofNewOrleansInstituteforEconomicDevelopmentandResearch,Housing
AuthorityofNewOrleans,LouisianaTaxCommission,GCRActivityIndexandprimarydatacollection.

Onecomponentoftherentalmarketmissingfromthisanalysis,atleastfromageospatialperspective,
istheinventoryofrentalpropertiesthatcamefromtheforsalemarket.Asstatedearlierinthereport,a
largenumberofsinglefamilypropertiesthatwereonceowneroccupiedhaveenteredtherentalmarket
duetotherecentfinancialdownturnandthepossibleoversupplyofforsaleproperties.Themostrecent
AmericanHousingSurveydataillustratethispoint;therearemoresinglefamilypropertiesforrent
todaythanin2000despitethelossofpopulationpostKatrina.
Graph5:OccupiedRentalUnitsbyStructureType

40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0

2000
2009estimate

Source:U.S.CensusandCensusAmericanHousingSurvey,2009

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

69


Thisstudyalsolookedattheowneroccupiedpropertiesprestormthatappeartohavebeena)rebuilt
butarenolongerowneroccupiedorb)areintheprocessofrebuilding.Whilethismapcertainly
overstatestheextentofownedhomesthatmayhaveenteredtherentalmarket,itdoesconveythe
extenttowhichrebuilt/rebuildinghomes,atonetimeowneroccupied,havemovedintoanother
segmentofthemarket(eithervacantorforrent).
Map2:Owneroccupiedunitsin2005;CurrentlyActivebutNoHomesteadExemption
(unitseitherunderrenovation,forsale/lease,orrented)

RoadHomeSmallRentalProgram
AsignificantportionofthesmallrentalmarketisreturningtocommerceviatheRoadHomeSmall
RentalProgram.Table35summarizesthenumberofunitsincludedinthisprogrambyparish,statusand
targethouseholdincomegroup.Map3graphicallyshowstheirlocationinNewOrleansacrosseach
planningdistrict.Overall,thereare8,524unitscoveredbythisprogram,37.1%ofwhich(or3,162units)
haveclosed.ThehighestgeographicconcentrationisinOrleansParish(6,895unitsor80.1%ofthetotal)
followedbySt.Bernardwith792units(9.3%)andJeffersonwith652units(7.6%ofthetotal).Theother
parishesintheregionaccountforrelativelyfewunitssincetheseareaseitherhavefewsmallrental
propertiesintheoverallhousinginventoryand/orhadrelativelymoderatestormdamage.Theextensive
damagetotheCitystwotofourunitpropertiesandtheirimportancehistoricallytoprovidingasource
ofmoderatelypricedrentalhousingexplainsnotonlythegeographicconcentrationbutalsothehigh
NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

70


concentrationofunitstargetedtolowincomehouseholds.Overall,6,037units(71%ofthetotal)are
targetedtoverylowincomehouseholdswhileinOrleansParishthereare4,888suchunitswhichalso
accountsfor71%ofthetotal.InSt.BernardParish,608unitsaretargetedtoverylowincome
households(77%ofthetotal),whileinJeffersonthistargetsegmentmakesup61%oftheunits
approvedfortheRoadHomeSmallRentalProgram.
Notsurprisingly,thehighestconcentrationsofsmallrentalpropertiestakingadvantageoftheRoad
HomeProgramareinhistoricallylowandmoderateincomeneighborhoods.TheseincludeMidCity,
BywaterandCentralCity.Thisisareflectionofthehousingstockintheseareas,namelysmallrental
units,andalsopointstothefundingstructureoftheprogramitself.Inordertoreceivethemaximum
grant,theunitwouldneedtobeaffordabletoaverylowincomehousehold.Thisisequivalentto$515
foraonebedroomunitand$620foratwobedroomunit.Whenfactoringintheincreasedinsurance
andutilityexpenses,manylandlordscouldearnmoreincomewithoutthegrant,usingtraditional
financingbutcharginghigherprices.ThreefourthsoftheunitsinBywateraretargetedtoverylow
incomehouseholdswhileinMidCityandNewOrleansEastareas,similarlytargetedunitsaccountfor
69%and72%,respectively.
Map3:RoadHomeSmallRentalParticipantsbyStatus

Source:LouisianaOfficeofCommunityDevelopment/DisasterRecoveryUnit,SmallRentaldataeffectiveNovember,2010.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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Table35:SummaryofSmallRentalProgrambyParish
RoadHomeSmallRentalClosed(NewOrleansMSA)

VeryLow
Income
JeffersonParish
168
OrleansParish
1,708
PlaqueminesParish
3
St.BernardParish
351
St.TammanyParish
33
GrandTotal
2,263

LowIncome
92
536
3
97
10
738

ModerateIncome
19
132
1
5
4
161

Total
279
2,376
7
453
47
3,162

RoadHomeSmallRentalNotClosed(NewOrleansMSA)

VeryLow
LowIncome
Income
JeffersonParish
230
102
OrleansParish
3,180
989
PlaqueminesParish
15
3
St.BernardParish
257
67
St.TammanyParish
92
12
GrandTotal
3,774
1,173

ModerateIncome
41
350
15
9
415

Total
373
4,519
18
339
113
5,362

RoadHomeSmallRentalAll(NewOrleansMSA)

VeryLow
Income
JeffersonParish
398
OrleansParish
4,888
PlaqueminesParish
18
St.BernardParish
608
St.TammanyParish
125
GrandTotal
6,037

LowIncome
194
1,525
6
164
22
1,911

ModerateIncome
60
482
1
20
13
576

Total
652
6,895
25
792
160
8,524

Source:LAOCDRoadHomeSmallRentalmicrodata;analysisprovidedbyGCR&Associates,Inc.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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Table36:SummaryofSmallRentalProgrambyPlanningDistrictinNewOrleans

RoadHomeSmallRentalClosed(NewOrleans)
VeryLow
Low
Income
Income
NoDesignation
3
4
PlanningDistrict1
0
0
PlanningDistrict2
128
56
PlanningDistrict3
188
47
PlanningDistrict4
363
109
PlanningDistrict5
42
19
PlanningDistrict6
156
55
PlanningDistrict7
212
73
PlanningDistrict8
175
33
PlanningDistrict9
391
115
PlanningDistrict10
26
4
PlanningDistrict12
24
21
PlanningDistrict13
0
0
GrandTotal
1,708
536

Moderate
Income
0
0
10
16
38
4
15
3
7
27
0
12
0
132

Total
7
0
194
251
510
65
226
288
215
533
30
57
0
2,376

RoadHomeSmallRentalNotClosed(NewOrleans)
VeryLow
Low
Moderate
Income
Income
Income
NoDesignation
110
28
18
PlanningDistrict1
2
1
0
PlanningDistrict2
252
87
40
PlanningDistrict3
338
132
41
PlanningDistrict4
750
262
91
PlanningDistrict5
48
29
29
PlanningDistrict6
245
66
18
PlanningDistrict7
592
148
46
PlanningDistrict8
426
76
19
PlanningDistrict9
350
113
40
PlanningDistrict10
8
10
1
PlanningDistrict11
1
0
0
PlanningDistrict12
58
37
7
PlanningDistrict13
0
0
0
GrandTotal
3,180
989
350

Total
156
3
379
511
1,103
106
329
786
521
503
19
1
102
0
4,519

RoadHomeSmallRentalAll(NewOrleans)
VeryLow
Low
Income
Income
NoDesignation
113
32
PlanningDistrict1
2
1
PlanningDistrict2
380
143
PlanningDistrict3
526
179
PlanningDistrict4
1,113
371
PlanningDistrict5
90
48
PlanningDistrict6
401
121
PlanningDistrict7
804
221
PlanningDistrict8
601
109
PlanningDistrict9
741
228
PlanningDistrict10
34
14
PlanningDistrict11
1
0
PlanningDistrict12
82
58
PlanningDistrict13
0
0
GrandTotal
1,525
482

Total
163
3
573
762
1,613
171
555
1,074
736
1,036
49
1
159
0
6,895

Moderate
Income
18
0
50
57
129
33
33
49
26
67
1
0
19
0
4,888

Source:LouisianaRecoveryAuthority

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

73

ProfileofMLSSingleFamilyHomeRentals
Asidefromextensive,costly,andtimeconsumingfieldsurveys,oneofthemostcomprehensivesources
ofinformationregardingthesinglefamilyrentalmarketistheMultipleListingService(MLS).Itprovides
arelativelygoodsnapshotofpropertiesrentedandofferedforrentbygeographicareaandunittypefor
situationsinwhichtheownerhasenlistedtheassistanceofalicensedagentorbrokertorentrather
thansellahome.AlthoughtheMLSisagoodsourceofinformationforunderstandingthissegmentof
therentalmarket,itisfarfromperfectandnodoubtsignificantlyunderstatesthenumberofunitsin
thispoolofhousinginventory.Thereasonsforthisareratherstraightforward.First,mostproperty
ownerswhofinditnecessaryordesirabletorenttheirhomeswillattempttodosothemselvesthus
avoidingpaymentofacommission.Second,beforeownerswouldresorttoanMLSlisting,theymayalso
attempttouseanapartmentfindersserviceorentertheirpropertyintooneofseveralonlinedatabases
(i.e.Craigslist).Third,thelistingofforrenthomeswilltypicallybydesignbebiasedtowardtheupper
endofprice/rentlevelsinthemarket.Therefore,manymoderatetolowpricedsinglefamilyrentalswill
beunderrepresented.Fourth,itisalsopossiblethatpropertiesofferedunderdistressedconditions(i.e.
bankownedforeclosureunits)willalsonotbeadequatelyrepresentedsincemanyinstitutionsarelikely
tohandlethesetransactionsinternallythroughtheirLiquidations/REO/CollectionsDepartment.Inshort,
thenumbersshownonTables37and38,whileillustrativeofsinglefamilyrentalactivity,onlypartially
describeitsextentthroughouttheregionalmarket.
Overall,thenumberofsinglefamilyhomesrentedwithbrokerassistancehasrisenoverthelastthree
yearsfrom1,688unitsin2008to1,923unitsin2010orbyjustunder14%.Thelargestincrease(10.1%)
occurredmostrecentlybetween2009and2010.Overthesameperiod,averagerentsforsinglefamily
unitshavefallenfrom$1,479($0.85PSF)to$1,325($0.78PSF)orby10.4%.
St.TammanyParishoverthepastthreeyearshastypicallyaccountedforaboutonehalfofthebroker
assistedsinglefamilyrentalsintheNewOrleansregion.Thisisnotsurprisinggiventheexcesssupplyof
singlefamilyunitsbuiltintheparishpostKatrinaandthepreviouslymentionedbiasofMLSrental
listingstohigherpricedproperties.Since2008,thenumberofsinglefamilyMLSrentalsinSt.Tammany
Parishrosebyjustunder17%(from790to924)asaveragemonthlyrentsfellfrom$1,653($0.90PSF)to
$1,368($0.74PSF)orby17.2%.Thisexperiencecorrelatesfairlywellwiththepricecompressionand
extendedmarketingtimeswhichhavecharacterizedthesinglefamilysalemarketoverthepastthree
yearsandisconsistentwithadistressedmarketexperiencinganunwelcomeriseinforeclosurefilings.
BrokerassistedhomerentalsinOrleansParishhaveedgedupfrom299in2008to327in2010orby
about9.4%.Overall,theserentalshavetypicallyaccountedforabout17%to18%ofallsuchunitsinthe
MLSfortheNewOrleansarea.Again,becauseoftheinherentbiastowardhigherpricedproperties,the
Citysrelativesharemeasuredbythisdatabaseisunderstated.UnliketheSt.Tammanyexperience,
averagerentshaveremainedrelativelystableoverthepastthreeyearsatabout$1,595or$0.86PSF.
Thisappearstobetrueacrossallgeographicsectorsofthemarketwithinthecity.
JeffersonParishsbrokerassistedsinglefamilyrentalsrosefrom578in2008to635in2010orbyjust
under10%numberssimilartothoseinNewOrleans.Atthesametime,however,averagerentsfell

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

74


from$1,434($0.83PSF)to$1,346($0.80PSF)orby6.1%.Decreasesinaveragehomerentalsfrom2008
to2010weregenerallyconsistentacrossthevariousgeographicsubmarketsinJefferson.
ActiveMLSlistingsthroughFebruary15,2011intheNewOrleansareatotaled345atanaverageasking
rentof$1,667($0.84PSF).St.TammanyParishcontinuestoaccountforthelargestshareabout44%
with151unitsofferedatanaveragerentof$1,643($0.81PSF).JeffersonParishs121listings(35%of
thetotal)areofferedatanaveragerentof$1,632($0.88PSF),whileinOrleansParishthe69listings
postedthroughmidFebruaryhavemonthlyrentsaveraging$2,044or$1.03PSF.TheUptown/CBD
sectorofthemarkethasthehighestaskingrentsoftheentireregionat$2,747or$1.35PSF.
Althoughgrossmonthlyrentsaretypicallyhigherthanthoseofacomparablebedroom/bathunit
offeringinanapartmentcommunity,rentsPSFoflivingareaarequitecompetitiveandtheyarelikelyto
becomemoresoiftheoverhangofunsoldhomesremainshigh.Rentcompressioninthissectorofthe
housingstockcouldalsobecomemorenoticeableifthenumberofforeclosuresandotherdistressed
conditionspersistforanextendedperiodoftime.Thiscouldpushevenmoresinglefamilyunitsintothe
rentalstockthuskeepingmarketwidevacancyratesabove8%to9%.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

75


Table37:SummaryofSingleFamilyHomesRented,NewOrleansRegionbyParishand
Sector:20082010
Average Average Average

Parish/Year/Sector
Jefferson
2008
Kenner

Metairie
Harahan/RiverRidge
Westbank
2009
Kenner
Metairie
Harahan/RiverRidge
Westbank
2010
Kenner
Metairie
Harahan/RiverRidge
Westbank
Orleans
2008
Algiers
Uptown/CBD
MidCity/Lakefront/Gentilly
NOEast
2009
Algiers
Uptown/CBD
MidCity/Lakefront/Gentilly
NOEast
2010
Algiers
Uptown/CBD
MidCity/Lakefront/Gentilly
NOEast
St.Bernard
2008
2009
2010
St.Tammany
2008
EastSt.Tammany
WestSt.Tammany
2009
EastSt.Tammany
WestSt.Tammany
2010
EastSt.Tammany
WestSt.Tammany
Region
2008
2009
2010

No.

Size

Rent

RentPSF

578
74
280
65
159
564
82
265
51
166
635
89
283
65
198

1,728
1,856
1,779
1,427
1,700
1,751
1,995
1,815
1,530
1,594
1,677
1,829
1,717
1,448
1,628

$1,434
$1,561
$1,495
$1,264
$1,337
$1,395
$1,556
$1,495
$1,247
$1,200
$1,346
$1,411
$1,434
$1,217
$1,234

$0.83
$0.84
$0.84
$0.89
$0.79
$0.80
$0.78
$0.82
$0.81
$0.75
$0.80
$0.77
$0.84
$0.84
$0.76

299
53
102
123
21
309
52
102
129
26
327
54
101
131
41

1,860
1,964
1,866
1,829
1,759
1,902
2,141
1,853
1,879
1,724
1,851
2,106
1,665
1,876
1,897

$1,595
$1,468
$1,773
$1,548
$1,331
$1,605
$1,530
$1,793
$1,551
$1,282
$1,592
$1,471
$1,787
$1,608
$1,214

$0.86
$0.75
$0.95
$0.85
$0.76
$0.84
$0.71
$0.97
$0.83
$0.74
$0.86
$0.70
$1.07
$0.86
$0.64

21
20
37

1,538
1,647
1,439

$1,235
$988
$994

$0.80
$0.60
$0.69

790
361
429
854
406
448
924
456
468

1,847
1,858
1,837
1,864
1,853
1,874
1,839
2,245
1,852

$1,653
$1,305
$1,946
$1,559
$1,227
$1,891
$1,368
$1,247
$1,486

$0.90
$0.70
$1.06
$0.84
$0.66
$0.99
$0.74
$0.56
$0.80

1,688
1,747
1,923

1,743
1,791
1,702

$1,479
$1,387
$1,325

$0.85
$0.77
$0.78

Source:NewOrleansMetropolitanAssociationofRealtors

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

76


Table38:SummaryofSingleFamilyHomesListedforRent,NewOrleansRegionbyParish
andSector,AsofFebruary15,2011

Parish/Sector
Jefferson
Kenner
Metairie
Harahan/RiverRidge
Westbank
Orleans
Algiers
Uptown/CBD
MidCity/Lakefront/Gentilly
NOEast
St.Bernard
St.Tammany
EastSt.Tammany
WestSt.Tammany
Region

No.
121
19
46
14
42
69
19
18
22
10
4
151
78
73
345

Average Average Average


RentPSF
Size
Rent
1,856
$1,632
$0.88
1,945
$1,578
$0.81
2,172
$2,098
$0.97
1,668
$1,409
$0.84
1,532
$1,220
$0.80
1,979
$2,044
$1.03
2,307
$2,237
$0.97
2,038
$2,747
$1.35
1,824
$1,632
$0.89
1,588
$1,322
$0.83
2,067
$1,350
$0.65
2,037
$1,643
$0.81
1,984
$1,525
$0.77
2,094
$1,770
$0.85
1,985
$1,667
$0.84

Source:NewOrleansMetropolitanAssociationofRealtors

KeyConclusionsSmallRentalProperties:

Becauseinformationislimitedonsmallrentalproperties,thisreportconductedasurveyofthe
smallrentalmarketresultinginasamplesizeof1,800smallscalerentalunitsthroughoutOrleans
Parish.
Basedonthissurveyandotherformsofanalysis,thesmallrentalmarketisvibrantthroughoutthe
city,withmajorpocketsofactivityinMidCity,Bywater,Gentilly,andportionsofUptown.
Ananalysisofactiveunitsthatwereowneroccupiedin2005yetthatnolongerhaveahomestead
exemptionillustratestheextenttowhichformerlyowneroccupiedhousesarenowpotentially
beingrented.Thisphenomenonextendsthroughoutthecityandisdocumentedinthemost
recent(2009)AmericanHousingSurveyofNewOrleans.
Thenumberofsinglefamilyhomeslistedforrentbyarealestatebrokerhasincreasedby14%
overthepastthreeyears,suggestingagainthatmanyowneroccupiedhomesaretransitioning(at
leasttemporarily)torenteroccupiedstatus.
Rentspersquarefootforbrokerlistedsinglefamilyhomesarecompetitivewithotherrental
products.Anincreaseinhomeforeclosurescouldaddthesestructurestotherentalmarket,
therebyincreasingtherentalvacancyrate.
Approximately37%oftherentalunitsparticipatingintheSmallRentalProgramhaveclosedon
theirassistancepackage.
Over80%ofthesmallrentalparticipantsareinOrleansParish.Withinthecity,theseunitstendto
beconcentratedwithintraditionallylowerincomeareas.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

77

SingleFamilyPriceandSalesActivityTrends:2000to2010
RegionalOverview
Historically,singlefamilyhomeshaverepresentedasignificantportionofthehousingstockintheNew
Orleansregionoccupiedbyrenterhouseholds.In1970,aspreviouslydiscussed,singlefamilyattached
anddetachedunitsaccountedfor30.7%ofalltherenteroccupiedhousingstockinthemetropolitan
areaand26.7%inOrleansParish.Thispredatedthetwodecadesofmultifamilyconstructionsurges
whichintroducedalargenumberofnewrentalunitsprimarilyinbuildingswith100+units.These
increasesinnewinventoryduringthe1970sand1980sreducedtherelativesharethatonefamily
dwellingscontributedtotherentalstockinNewOrleansto14.0%bythe2000Census.Inspiteofits
decliningimportance,singlefamilystructuresremainedarelativelysignificantcomponentoftheCitys
rentalhousingstock.Thestormdestroyedorsignificantlydamagedtolargerproperties,particularlyin
NewOrleansEast,onceagainincreasedtheshareofrenteroccupiedunitswithinsinglefamilybuildings
to25%by2009.Thislevelisrelativelyclosetowhereitwasalmost40yearsearlierin1970.Asnewly
builtandredevelopedpropertiesenterthemarket,particularlythelargercomplexesfinancedwithtax
orotherincentives,theshareofrenterhouseholdsoccupyingsinglefamilydwellingsislikelytotrend
downward.However,singlefamilyhomeswillcontinuetocompriseasubstantialshareoftherental
housingstock.
Anothernotableaspectofthissegmentoftherentalstockisthatsinglefamilyhomesbecomerental
unitsforavarietyofreasonsoverextendedperiodsoftimeandinarelativelysubtlemanner.Amajor
forcepushingsinglefamilyhomesintotherentalstockiseconomicconditionsthatmakeitdifficultfor
ownerstoselltheirhomesduetoanecessaryrelocationforjob,duetootherpersonalreasonssuchasa
changeinlocation,orduetohousingstylepreference.Theabilitytosellineitherofthesecontextsis
oftenlinkedtothemarketsoveralllevelofeconomicandjobcreatingactivity;growthfundamentals
thatattractnetinflowsofnewhouseholds;andrisinglevelsofincomewhichallowshouseholdsto
extractequityfromtheirhomesandeithertradeuptoalargehomeorinthecaseofthegrowingcohort
ofagingBabyBoomersdownsizetoadifferenthousingstylesandcommunitytypeastheynear
retirement.WhilethecollapseofthehousingpricesinmanyareasoftheU.S.hasreducedtheabilityof
manytoselltheirhomes,theNewOrleansareahasgenerallyescapedtheworstofthiscycle,aperiod
whichhasalsobeencharacterizedbywidespreadunderwatermortgagesandhighlevelsof
foreclosureactivity.TheNewOrleansregionhaslargelybeenbypassedbythesetrendssinceitwasnot
particularlyafflictedbythequestionablefinancialinstrumentsthatinflictedthisdamage,namelysub
primemortgagelendingandrelatedformsofspecioushomemortgagefinance.Inaway,the
dislocationsanddisruptionscausedbyKatrinalargelyinsulatedtheNewOrleansregionfromthe
questionableoriginationandunderwritingpracticesthatcharacterizedmuchofthesubprimelending
activitythatsweptacrossthecountryfrom2003to2007.
Thisisnottosaythattheregionhasnotbeenimpactedbythegeneraldownturnofhousingpricesand
relatedrealestateinducedweaknessesinthenationaleconomy.Housingpricesintheregionhavein
facttrendeddownwardsince2006comingofftheirpostKatrinapeaks,andthevolumeofunitssoldhas
NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

78


alsoconsistentlyedgeddownoverthesameperiod,flatteningoutsomewhatthroughtheendof2010.
ThepostKatrinaspikeswereparticularlyevidentinsuburbanparishessuchasJeffersonandSt.
Tammanywhichwerenotseriouslyinundatedwithfloodwaterandwhichquicklyattracteddislocated
residentsfromOrleansandSt.BernardParisheswhoinmanycasespaidanimmediatepostdisaster
premiumtosecureaplacetolivewhiletheirprimaryresidenceunderwentrepairs.Inmostsuburban
parishesthespikesweredoubledigitratesofincreasewhichtendedtoberelativelyshortlivedevents.
Between2004and2005,averagesinglefamilyhomepricesintheregionalmarketrosefrom$185,547
to$211,818orbyjustunder14.2%andthenby5.2%from2005to2006.Inadditiontosuburban
parishesthatexperiencedheftygains,portionsoftheCity,particularlyitstraditionalfootprintalongthe
river,alsosawaveragehomepricesrisesignificantlyover2004(21.9%)ashouseholdsclamoredto
secureaplacetolivewithlittleconsiderationgiventothepricepaid.
SincethepostKatrinaspike,whichwasevidentinthemarketspricingstructurethroughthemiddleof
2007,priceshavetendedtoleveloutorgraduallyedgedownwardparticularlyinsuburbanparisheslike
JeffersonandSt.Tammany.Bothhaveexperienceddecreasesinaveragepricesince2007althoughthe
paceofpricecompressionslowedduring2010.InSt.TammanyParish,forexample,averagehome
priceshavefallenfromtheir2007peakof$248,605to$223,543(orby10.1%)throughtheendof2010,
whileinJeffersonaveragepriceshavedroppedfrom$215,547in2007to$184,286(14.5%)in2010.
DrivenlargelybyhomepriceappreciationinOrleansParish,theaveragesalespricerosebyjustunder
4.9%throughtheendof2010from$204,021to$214,000.Averagepricesdroppedby1.5%inJefferson
Parishthroughyearend2010whileinSt.Tammanytheyfellby0.51%whencomparedto2009.Inboth
parishes,priceweaknessisparticularlynotableamonglarger(4BR+)homeswhicharetypicallyatmore
expensivelevelsandwhichtakelongertosell.InJeffersonParish,forexample,theaveragepriceofa
singlefamilyhomewithfourormorebedroomsdroppedby7.4%(from$283,330to$262,400)between
2008and2009,whileinSt.TammanyParishsimilarlysizedunitaveragepricesfellbyanaverageof4.9%
overthesameperiodfrom$305,590to$290,469.InSt.TammanyParish,however,pricesofsmaller
singlefamilyhomessince2008havefallenataslightlyfasterpacethanthoseatthelargerandmore
expensiveendoftheinventoryscale.Thiswasparticularlytruebetween2008and2009whenpricesof
homeswithtwoorfewerbedroomsfellby19.6%andthosewiththreebedroomsdroppedby7.5%.
Althoughthesalesrecordsdonotreflectit,thereisgoodreasontobelievethatmanyhomesthatsold
atthesediscountswereoriginallypurchasedatpremiumsbystormdislocatedhouseholdsandarenow
beingliquidated.Thosenotwillingtoincuracapitallossaremorelikelytoplacemanyoftheseunitsin
therentalstock.
TheSt.TammanyParishtrendsareadirectreflectionofanoverabundanceofnewinventorywhich
outstrippedthisparishsconsistentlyhealthygrowthrate,whileinJeffersonParishthedeclinescanbe
attributedtoalocaleconomywhichhasseenflattonogrowthforseveralyearsandthelossof23,000
peopleand6,590householdsbetween2000and2010.Inbothcases,however,theseconditionsare
producinganuncomfortableriseinforeclosureactivityaswellasariseinthenumberofunitsentering
therentalstockduetotheinabilitytosellortosellwithoutexperiencingasignificantcapitalloss.
AlthoughstillsomewhatbelowtheforeclosureratesreportedfortheU.S.asawhole,foreclosurefilings
intheNewOrleansregionhaverisenoverthepasttwoyearstosignalsomelevelsofconcern.Through

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theendof2010,RealtyTracreportedthatthenumberofforeclosuresintheNewOrleansarearoseto
7,822(up36.3%from2009)andrepresentedarateofoneforevery57householdsintheregion.By
comparison,theU.S.averageasofyearend2010wasoneforevery45households,whileinLouisiana
theratestoodatoneforevery120households.ForeclosurefilingsinOrleansParishrosefrom2,290in
2009to2,449in2010orby6.9%pushingtheratetooneforevery47households,whileinSt.Tammany
Parishfilingsroseby51.6%(1,284to1,946)producingarateofonein50households.Bothofthese
ratesaredisturbinglyclosetothenationalaverageandJeffersonParishs44.8%increaseinfilings(from
2,111to3,056)placesitsratewithinstrikingdistanceoftheU.S.experienceaswell.Risinglevelsof
foreclosureactivitytypicallyproducetwomajoreffectsonlocalhousingmarkets:1)furtherprice
compressionasmorehomesaresoldunderdistressedconditionsand2)furtherincreasesinvacant
homeinventorymuchofwhichisreturnedtocommerceasrentalunitsifonlytemporarily.Bothof
thesecanbeverydestabilizingtomarketsasawholebutparticularlytoindividualneighborhoodswhere
foreclosureactivitymightbeconcentrated.
Table39:SummaryofForeclosureFilings,NewOrleansRegion,2009to2010
PercentChange
Householdsin
Parish
Filings2010
Filings2009
20092010
Foreclosure2010
Orleans
2,449
2,290
+6.9%
1in47
St.Tammany
1,946
1,284
+51.6%
1in50
Jefferson
3,056
2,111
+44.3%
1in59
St.Charles
262
26
+100plus%
1in77
St.Bernard
54
19
+100plus%
1in159
St.John
54
10
+100plus%
1in325
Plaquemines
1
1

1in8,867
NewOrleans
7,822
5,741
+32.6%
1in57
Louisiana
15,753
11,750
+34.1%
1in120
UnitedStates
2.87million
2.8million
+2.5%
1in45
Source:RealtyTrac

Thesepatternstypicallygainmomentumasthegapbetweenunitsavailableforsaleandthoseactually
soldwidensandaveragemarketingtime(reflectedbyDaysonMarketorDOM)extends.Intheregion
overall,DOMhaslengthenedfromanaverageof55in2006to111throughtheendof2010.This
doublingofmarketingtimesisalsoconsistentwithasteadydropinunitsaleswhichpeakedin2006at
13,168unitsfallingto6,891unitssoldthrough2010,adecreaseof47.7%.Thedeclineinunitsalesis
alsoareflectionofreducedavailabilityofforsaleinventoriesassellerswithdrawtheirforsaleofferings
fromthemarketinanattempttoawaittherecoveryofamorefavorableandattractivepricing
structure.Theseunitsmay,iftheownerrelocates,beplacedintotherentalhousingstockinanattempt
tomitigatethemonthlycostsofownership.Thenextsectionfocusesspecificallyonhomesalesin
OrleansParish.

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Table40:ExistingHousingPriceTrends,NewOrleansMetropolitanArea
Parish

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Jefferson

$179,761

$200,408

$211,053

$215,547

$199,070

$187,095

$184,286

East

$224,518

$244,909

$249,025

$256,192

$237,063

$217,708

$218,374

West

$126,843

$143,635

$163,114

$164,250

$148,888

$141,631

$134,763

Orleans

$201,706

$237,768

$226,716

$189,610

$205,970

$214,358

$254,309

Westbank

$190,390

$193,308

$213,884

$213,343

$183,344

$172,640

$162,649

Central

$232,208

$283,020

$262,938

$238,085

$253,689

$262,298

$312,332

Eastern

$120,533

$135,941

$79,731

$82,513

$102,532

$113,856

$112,513

Plaquemines

$214,892

$241,293

$273,391

$286,753

$255,402

$302,976

$225,916

St.Bernard

$103,192

$114,433

$49,791

$76,913

$98,151

$100,772

$102,744

St.Tammany

$187,072

$213,013

$238,178

$248,605

$240,014

$224,688

$223,543

Eastern

$151,166

$168,443

$180,772

$193,166

$187,487

$175,060

$172,815

Western

$217,926

$245,389

$291,212

$291,817

$272,834

$256,172

$255,616

MetroNewOrleans

$185,547

$211,818

$222,826

$213,069

$210,122

$204,021

$214,000

Parish

Percent
Change04
vs.05

Percent
Change05
vs.06

Percent
Change06
vs.07

Percent
Change07
vs.08

Percent
Change08
vs.09

Percent
Change09
vs.10

Jefferson

11.49%

5.31%

2.13%

7.64%

6.02%

1.50%

East

9.08%

1.68%

2.88%

7.47%

8.16%

0.31%

West

13.24%

13.56%

0.70%

9.35%

4.87%

4.85%

Orleans

17.88%

4.65%

16.37%

8.63%

4.07%

18.64%

1.53%

10.64%

0.25%

14.06%

5.84%

5.79%

Central

21.88%

7.10%

9.45%

6.55%

3.39%

19.08%

Eastern

12.78%

41.35%

3.49%

24.26%

11.04%

1.18%

Plaquemines

12.29%

13.30%

4.89%

10.93%

18.63%

25.43%

St.Bernard

10.89%

56.49%

54.47%

27.61%

2.67%

1.96%

St.Tammany

13.87%

11.81%

4.38%

3.46%

6.39%

0.51%

Eastern

11.43%

7.32%

6.86%

2.94%

6.63%

1.28%

Western

12.60%

18.67%

0.21%

6.51%

6.11%

0.22%

MetroNewOrleans

14.16%

5.20%

4.38%

1.38%

2.90%

4.89%

Westbank

Source:NewOrleansMetropolitanAssociationofRealtors

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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Table41:UnitsSoldandDaysonMarketSingleFamilyResidential,NewOrleans
MetropolitanArea
Unit
Sales

2006
Average
Price

Days on
Market

Unit
Sales

2007
Average
Price

Days on
Market

Unit
Sales

2008
Average
Price

Days on
Market

East Jefferson

2,713

$249,025

54

1,777

$256,192

77

1,441

$237,063

98

West Jefferson

2,149

$163,114

53

1,408

$164,250

70

1,091

$148,888

87

4,862

$211,053

54

3,185

$215,547

74

2,532

$199,070

93

712

$213,884

65

462

$213,343

96

353

$183,344

113

2,127

$262,938

62

1,771

$238,085

95

1,393

$254,400

105

462

$79,731

60

904

$82,513

80

575

$102,532

82

3,301

$226,716

62

3,137

$189,610

90

2,321

$205,970

100

Plaquemines Parish

133

$273,391

63

72

$286,753

82

79

$255,402

98

St. Bernard Parish

197

$49,791

53

365

$76,913

77

318

$98,151

82

AREA
Jefferson Parish

Parish Total
Orleans Parish
Westbank Orleans
Central Orleans
Eastern N.O.
Parish Total

St. Tammany Parish


E. St. Tammany

2,245

$180,772

43

1,357

$193,166

78

896

$187,487

91

W. St. Tammany

2,430

$291,212

47

1,741

$291,817

79

1,434

$272,834

98

Parish Total

4,675

$238,178

45

3,098

$248,605

79

2,330

$240,014

95

New Orleans Metro

13,168

$222,826

55

9,857

$213,069

80

7,580

$210,122

93

Unit
Sales

2009
Average
Price

Days on
Market

Unit
Sales

2010
Average
Price

Days on
Market

East Jefferson

1,552

$217,708

99

1,386

$218,374

95

West Jefferson

1,045

$141,631

86

954

$134,763

84

2,597

$187,095

93

2,340

$184,286

90

308

$183,344

125

290

$162,649

100

1,398

$262,298

100

1,311

$312,332

90

539

$113,856

93

349

$112,513

104

2,245

$214,358

106

1,950

$254,309

98

68

$302,976

111

73

$225,916

139

317

$100,772

107

282

$102,744

132

AREA
Jefferson Parish

Parish Total
Orleans Parish
Westbank Orleans
Central Orleans
Eastern N.O.
Parish Total
Plaquemines Parish
St. Bernard Parish
St. Tammany Parish
E. St. Tammany

878

$175,060

99

870

$172,815

97

W. St. Tammany

1,384

$256,172

104

1,376

$255,616

95

Parish Total

2,262

$224,688

102

2,246

$223,543

96

New Orleans Metro

7,489

$204,021

104

6,891

$214,000

111

Source: New Orleans Metropolitan Association of Realtors

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

82


Graph6:SingleFamilyAveragePriceandUnitsSold,MetroNewOrleans:20042010

$220,000

16,000

$205,000

14,000

$190,000

12,000

$175,000

10,000

$160,000

8,000

AvePrice

$145,000

6,000

UnitsSold

$130,000

4,000

$115,000

2,000

$100,000

0
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Source:NewOrleansMetropolitanAssociationofRealtors

Graph7:SingleFamilyAveragePriceandUnitsSold,JeffersonParish:20042010

$220,000

6,000

$210,000

5,000

$200,000

4,000

$190,000

3,000

AvePrice
UnitsSold

$180,000

2,000

$170,000

1,000

$160,000

0
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Source:NewOrleansMetropolitanAssociationofRealtors

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

83


Graph8:SingleFamilyAveragePriceandUnitsSold,OrleansParish:20042010
$275,000

3,500

$250,000

3,000

$225,000

2,500

$200,000

2,000

$175,000

1,500

$150,000

1,000

$125,000

500

$100,000

AvePrice

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

UnitsSold

2010

Source:NewOrleansMetropolitanAssociationofRealtors

Graph9:SingleFamilyAveragePriceandUnitsSold,St.TammanyParish:20042010
5,000

$275,000

4,500

$250,000

4,000
$225,000

3,500
3,000

$200,000
$175,000

2,500

AvePrice

2,000

UnitsSold

1,500

$150,000

1,000
$125,000

500

$100,000

0
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Source:NewOrleansMetropolitanAssociationofRealtors

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

84


Graph10:Employment20012010,Quarter1:Orleans,JeffersonandSt.TammanyParishes

300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
Q1/2001 Q1/2005

August
Q1/2006 Q4/2007 Q4/2008 Q4/2009 Q1/2010
2005

Jefferson

212,974

210,801

214,370

183,587

200,936

199,505

193,761

190,052

Orleans

261,646

242,843

241,264

142,812

170,544

173,630

169,368

170,148

St.Tammany

57,840

67,369

69,457

65,704

75,516

74,785

75,287

73,947

Source:LaborMarketStatistics,QuarterlyCensusofEmployment&WagesProgram

OrleansParishSalesActivitybyCondition:20002010
Althoughtheymaytakelongertosell,singlefamilyhomesinOrleansParishthatareconsideredtobein
Averageconditionorbetterhavegenerallyexperiencedthemostconsistentaveragepriceandpriceper
squarefoot(PSF)appreciationsince2004immediatelyprecedingHurricaneKatrina.Propertiesratedas
Poorhavehadamoreerraticpricehistoryoverthe2004to2010period,althoughsuchproperties
generallysellfaster(seeTables42through44andGraphs11through13).Theerraticpricehistoryfor
Poorconditionpropertiesafter2004isnodoubtinfluencedbytheabundanceofflooded,gutted(and
maybenotgutted)unitsthatenteredtheinventoryofforsalehousing.Theseunitsmayhavesparked
interestamongmanywhosawanopportunitytoownpropertyinneighborhoodswhichhadbeen
unaffordablepriortoKatrina.Thisisratherclearin2006whentheaveragepriceofsuchunitsroseto
$84,455andthenleveledoutto$66,378and$62,104in2007and2008,respectively.Atthesametime,
averagemarketingtimesroseto94and90days,upsignificantlyfrom53daysin2005and41daysin
both2000and2004.Theseextendedmarketingtimesalsoreflectsomeresistancetohigherpricesfor
thesePoorqualityhomesaswellasperiodsofuncertaintythatsettledupontheCityastherecovery
processunfolded.Theseuncertainconditionsincludedseeminglyinterminabledelaysindeployingmuch
neededfinancialresourcesaswellasanynumberofmixedsignalsabouthowresourceswouldbe
focusedinsupportoftheredevelopmenteffort.Theinitialuptickintheaveragepriceofforsalehomes
isalsoindicativeofneighborhoodsthatattractedthemostimmediateinterestofthosewhosawa
uniquebuyingopportunity(i.e.Lakeview,Lakeshore,LakeVistaandMidCity)whichhistoricallyhave
hadslightlylargehomesonmoreexpensiveland.
NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

85


ThedownwarddriftofpricesforPoorconditionspropertiesin2009and2010($48,296and$48,015,
respectively)illustratestheentryofsmallerhomesinlessdesirableneighborhoodsintheCity.Thefact
thattherehavebeenpurchasesintheseneighborhoods,however,alsoconstitutesavoteofconfidence
intheseareas.Inmanycases,thesepurchaseshavebeeninfluencedbypoststormfinancingassistance
forfirsttimehomebuyersaswellastheuntiringeffortsoflocalneighborhoodorganizations,nonprofits
andhousingadvocatestorestorestabilityandasenseofcommunitytoareasbadlydamagedbyKatrina.
OnaPSFbasis,pricesforPoorandFairqualitysinglefamilyhomesspikedin2006andhavesinceleveled
outoredgeddownthrough2010.Since2004,forexample,thePSFforPoorqualityunitssoldinNew
Orleansfellfrom$39.51to$26.58orbyalmostathird.Thisisyetanotherindicationthatmore
propertiespurchasedinthisconditionaremorewidelyspreadacrossarangeofneighborhoodsand
possiblyinvolvingagreaternumberofmoreseverelydamaged(i.e.flooded)homesthanwasthecase
preKatrinain2004.However,at$26.58PSF,thisrepresentsformanyanunprecedentedopportunityto
becomeahomeownerortoacquirepropertyasaninvestmentatalowenoughleveltoofferattractive
upsideprofitpotential.
ThehighestpriceappreciationintheOrleansParishmarkethasbeenimbeddedamongexisting
propertiesratedVeryGoodorExcellentandthoseclassifiedasNew.Since2004,homesclassifiedas
beinginVeryGoodconditionhaveseentheiraveragepricerisefrom$172,027($129.17PSF)to
$284,005($123.03PSF)orby65.1%,whiletheaveragemarketingtimeforsuchpropertiesrosefrom55
daysto107days.However,thisincludesapostKatrinapricespikethathassincemoderatedfromthe
2006peakof$265,745resultinginanappreciationrateofjustunder7%since2006forthisqualityof
homesoldthrough2010.
Similarly,homesratedasbeinginExcellentconditionexperiencedasignificant(42%)riseinprice
between2004and2006onlytoseethispoststormpremiummoderatefrom2007through2009.
Overall,since2006theaveragepriceforthiscategoryofsinglefamilyhomefellby7.5%throughtheend
of2010.
Notsurprisingly,thehighestaveragePSFhastypicallybeenrecordedforNewpropertiessold.These
propertieshavealsoonaveragetakenthelongesttosell.TheaveragePSFforNewhomessoldthrough
theendof2010was$143.98inNewOrleansascomparedto$142.83PSFand$123.03PSFfor
propertiesofExcellentorVeryGoodcondition.Theirtotalprice,however,hasconsistentlybeen
somewhatlowerthanexistinghomessoldinExcellentconditionanduntil2010,theytooksignificantly
longertomarket.Infact,theaverageDOMforNewunitsspikedin2008and2009(181and188days,
respectively)astheinventorysurgeofnewlyconstructedunitsworkeditswaythroughthepipeline,
settlingbacktoamoretypical101daysin2010.Thisadjustmentwaslikelyinfluencedbyacurtailment
ofnewconstructionaswellastaxcreditincentiveswhichwereavailabletohomebuyersthroughApril
2010.
Forthemostpart,thesepricingpatternsarereflectiveofthesomewhatuniqueconditionsthathave
impactedtheCityshousinginventorypostKatrinaandtheequallyuniquerebuildingand
redevelopmentpatternsthathaveunfoldedsince2006.Thesehavebeenlargelyinfluencedbytherate

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

86


andpatternsofrepopulationaswellasbytheavailability,costandtypeoffinancialresourceswhich
havefueledtheredevelopmenteffort.Goingforward,itwouldbereasonabletoexpectsimilarly
disparatetrendsasyetmoreunitsreentertheCityshousinginventory,particularlyRoadHome
acquiredpropertiesthatarebeingreleasedforsalebytheLouisianaLandTrustthroughlocal
organizationssuchastheNewOrleansRedevelopmentAuthority.
TablesintheAppendixofthisreportsummarizepricetrendsbyconditionforeachoftheCitysthirteen
planningdistrictsfortheperiod2000to2010.

Table42:PricePerSquareFootbyCondition,CityofNewOrleans
Condition
2000
2004
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
$28.45
$46.02
$36.09
$33.96
$28.10
$26.58
Poor
$39.51
$39.79
$59.68
$43.67
$42.96
$40.55
$40.52
Fair
$53.39
$60.08
$84.29
$82.92
$84.80
$73.88
$72.44
Average
$78.37
$74.13
$129.17 $125.80 $118.42 $155.19 $123.03
VeryGood
$97.17
$87.71
$158.56 $146.10 $138.46 $133.89 $142.82
Excellent
$122.12
$89.39
$132.91 $132.09 $121.53 $133.19 $143.98
New
$124.84
Graph11:PricePerSquareFootbyCondition,CityofNewOrleans
$180
$160
$140
$120
$100
$80
$60
$40
$20
$0
2000
Poor

2004
Fair

2006

2007

Average

2008

VeryGood

2009

2010

Excellent

New

Table43:AverageDaysonMarketbyCondition,CityofNewOrleans
Condition
2000
2004
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Poor
41
41
53
94
90
85
76
Fair
81
51
56
88
87
99
98
Average
64
58
70
106
107
97
92
VeryGood
42
55
67
91
104
104
107
Excellent
58
59
64
86
103
103
93
New
99
97
115
108
181
188
101

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

87

Graph12:AverageDaysonMarketbyCondition,CityofNewOrleans
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2000

2004

Poor

Fair

2006

2007

Average

2008

VeryGood

2009

2010

Excellent

New

Table44:AverageSalePricebyCondition,CityofNewOrleans
Condition
2000
2004
2006
2007
2008
2009
Poor
$45,503 $58,322 $84,455 $66,378 $62,104 $48,296
Fair
$62,046 $78,557 $130,895 $90,871 $86,304 $82,354
Average
$99,641 $130,643 $173,130 $157,332 $165,381 $159,642
VeryGood $134,934 $172,027 $265,745 $267,754 $244,612 $255,449
Excellent
$197,506 $265,892 $377,093 $344,178 $320,345 $295,115
New
$193,660 $276,975 $301,478 $245,517 $214,303 $269,895
Total
$154,322 $201,970 $226,952 $189,168 $205,490 $213,939

2010
$48,015
$80,098
$134,512
$284,005
$348,890
$319,752
$247,043

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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Graph13:AverageSalePricebyCondition,CityofNewOrleans
$400,000
$350,000
$300,000
$250,000
$200,000
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
$0
2000

2004

2006

2007

2008

Poor

Fair

Average

Excellent

New

Total

2009

2010

VeryGood

Source:NewOrleansMetropolitanAssociationofRealtors

RelevancetoRentalMarket
Therecentdownturninthehousingmarkethashadanimpactontherentalmarketoverall.Thestability
oftheforsalehousingmarketisintrinsicallytiedtotherentalmarketforavarietyofreasons.First,
tighterlendingrequirementswillmakeitmoredifficultforfirsttimehomebuyerstopurchaseahome.
Thelaxlendingcriteriathatmarkedmuchofthisdecadeallowedyounghouseholdswithlittletono
downpaymentandlessthanperfectcredittheopportunitytopurchaseahome.Thisisnolongerthe
case,withbanksnowrequiringcloserto20%indownpaymentandmuchhighercreditscorestoqualify
forahomemortgage.Despitethefactthatitisanexcellenttimetopurchaseahome,withhomeprices
todayslightlylowerthanin2007andinterestratesathistoriclows,thestringentlendingcriteriawill
makeitdifficultformanyrenterstoenterintohomeownership.Therelativelyhighcostofrentinginthis
marketlimitstheamountofsavingsfordownpaymentandthelackoflongtermcredithistoryandjob
stabilityformanyyounghouseholdsweakenscreditscores.Andgiventheincreasingregulatoryscrutiny
lendersnowface,theabilityofmanytoqualifyforhomemortgagesisnotlikelytobecomeanyless
difficultintheforeseeablefuture.
Thegraphicbelowshowsaverysignificantshiftofhouseholdersbetween25and35yearsoldmoving
intohomeownership.Undercurrenteconomicconditions,thisshiftwillpresumablybelesspronounced
inthecomingyears,withagreatershareofyoungrenterhouseholdsremainingintherentalhousing
market,therebyweakeningdemandfornewhomepurchases.Thiswillbemadeevenmorechallenging
forthosewhohavedifficultyenteringtheworkforceatwagelevelsthatwouldenablethemtoqualify
forahome.Consequently,manyyounghouseholdswillnotbeinapositiontotakeadvantageofbuying

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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opportunitiesinmanyredevelopingneighborhoodsinNewOrleansandwillbeforcedtorentlongeror
possiblyrelocatetofindmoreattractivejobandhousingoptions.Longterm,thiswillextendthe
repopulationandrebuildingprocessthusloweringtheaverageannualabsorptionpotentialforboth
newandexistinghousinginventoryintheCity.Thiswouldonlyservetopushpricesdownandforce
moresellersintotheroleoflandlordatleastonaninterimbasis.
Table45:MonthsSupplyofSingleFamilyInventory

TotalSales2009
SalesperMonth
CurrentSupply(MLS)
12monthAbsorptionRate
MonthsSupply

2,242
187
1,633
73%
9

Anotherwayinwhichtheforsalemarketaffectstherentalmarketissimplyamatterofsupplyand
demand.Theaveragenumberofdayshomesareonthemarketisindicativeofdemand;anddata
throughtheendof2009suggeststhereisanoversupplyofhousingforsale,withanestimatednine(9)
monthsofsupplycomparedtoamoretypicalfour(4)monthssupply.AccordingtotheU.S.Census
estimatesforamonthssupplyofhousingonanationalbasis,thisrateissimilartonationalfiguresan
indicationthattheregionisnotimmunetothenationaldownturninthehousingmarket.Whatthis
meansforNewOrleansisthatsomeproductwithintheforsalemarketistransferringovertotherental
market,ashomeownerswhocannotselltheirhomeopttorentasameanstoreducecostsand
minimizelosses.ThisisdocumentedintheNewOrleansAssessorsdata,whichillustratesashiftin
activeresidentialpropertieswithoutahomesteadexemptionwithintraditionalsinglefamily
neighborhoods,aswellastherecentlyreleasedAmericanHousingSurveyforNewOrleans,showinga
significantriseintheshareofrentalunitswithinsinglefamilyhomes.
Basedonthisinformation,itisincreasinglyevidentthathistoricallyowneroccupiedunitsareplayinga
significantroleintheincreaseofrentalsupply,exacerbatingthesurplusproblem.Thisismorelikely
manifestedwithinthedemandfornonsubsidizedunits,pullingmarketraterentersfromapartment
complexestosinglefamilyhomeswithyardsandotheramenitiesatcomparablepricepoints.

FirstTimeHomebuyers
Despitethedocumentedoversupplyofforsalehousing,thereremainsademandfromhomeownership
asexistingrenterhouseholdsbecomeowners.Insomerespects,thesurplusofhousingforsaleandthe
slightdecreaseinpricesindicatesabuyersmarketinwhichitisanidealtimetoenterintothe
homeownershiprealm.Atthesametime,theoverallincreaseinpricespostKatrinacoupledwithmore
stringentlendingpoliciesmeansthatmanyrenterhouseholdsthatwouldnormallytransitioninto
homeownershiparenotabletodoso.Thisisparticularlytrueformoderateincomehouseholdswith
limitedbudgetsorsavingsfordownpayments.Priortothemortgagecrisis,manyhouseholdsacquired
mortgageswithpoorcreditand/orlittletonomoneydownthrough80/20loansandadjustablerate
mortgages.Duetothetoxicityofmanyoftheseloansandtheresultantforeclosurespike,themarket
hassinceretractedtheselendingpractices,makingitmoredifficultforrenterstobecomeowners.The

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currentHomeMortgageDisclosureActdatarevealsthatoneinfourmortgageapplicationsintheregion
weredeniedin2009,withhigherdenialratesforminorityapplicants.16
Table46:MortgageDenialsbyParish,2009
MortgageApplicationsFHA,FSH/RHS&VAandConventional

Originated
Denied
Jefferson
2,706
567
Orleans
2,512
612
St.Bernard
318
87
St.Charles
434
117
St.John
360
97
St.Tammany
2,201
485
Plaquemines
137
91
Total
8,668
2,056

DenialRate
21.0%
24.4%
27.4%
27.0%
26.9%
22.0%
66.4%
23.7%

Source:HomeMortgageDisclosureAct,2009

Similartomuchofthecountry,firsttimehomebuyerstendtohavesmallerhouseholdsizes,lower
incomesandareyoungerthanthegeneralbuyer.AsGraph14illustrates,40%ofrenterhouseholds
betweenadulthoodandage35transitionintohomeownership.Accordingtoarecentsurveyconducted
bytheNationalAssociationofHomebuilders,30%to40%ofnewhomesalesarefromfirsttime
homebuyers.17IfweapplythisfiguretotheNewOrleansregion,then2,000to2,800ofthehomesales
in2010werefromfirsttimehomebuyers.Usingthemortgagedenialfigure,anadditional450to650
rentersweredeniedamortgageandwerenotabletoaccesshomeownership.Continuedfinancial
literacytraining,softsecondmortgagesandcreditrepairassistanceshouldassistthesehouseholdsin
purchasingahome,alleviatingaportionoftheoversupplyinforsalehousing.
Itshouldalsobenotedthatthesupplyofhomesforsalepricedbelow$150,000hassignificantly
decreasedsinceKatrina,makingitfinanciallydifficultformoderateincomehouseholdstopurchasea
home.AccordingtoMLSdataforOrleansParish,40%ofsoldhomesin2004thatwereinVeryGood,
ExcellentorNewConditionsoldforlessthan$150,000;todaythatfigureis23%.Appliedto2009figures,
thismarksalossof235unitsaffordabletomoderateincomehouseholds.

16

JamesR.Hagerty,U.S.DataShowHighMortgageDenialRatesforBlacks,WallStreetJournal,October6,2009,
retrievedMarch12,2011,http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125434471703353677.html.
17
HeatherTaylor,CharacteristicsofNewandFirstTimeHomebuyers,NationalAssociationofHomebuilders,
September1,2010,retrievedMarch2011,http://www.nahb.org/generic.aspx?genericContentID=143996.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

91

Graph14:HouseholdsbyAgeandTenure,NewOrleansMSA
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
15to24 25to34 35to44 45to54 55to59 60to64 65to74 75to84 85years
years
years
years
years
years
years
years
years andover

Renter

Owner

Source:U.S.Census2000

Graph15:AgeDistributionofRenters,NewOrleansMSA
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Under25
years

25to34

35to44

45to54

2000

55to64

65to74

75years
andover

2009

Source:U.S.Census2000and2009AmericanHousingSurvey,NewOrleans

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

92

RebuildingandtheRoadHomeProgram
TheRoadHomeHomeownerProgram,commonlyreferredtoastheRoadHomeProgram,isthe
largestsourceofrecoveryfundsfordamagedhousingstockpostHurricanesKatrinaandRita.Itisnota
rebuildingprogramperse;itsoriginalintentionwastocompensatehomeownersfortheirfinancialloss.
Asaresult,homeownerswouldbecompensatedwhethertheychosetorebuild(Option1)orselltheir
propertytothestate(Option2orOption3).Thecompensationcalculationwasbasedonthelesserof
theprestormvalueorestimatedcostofdamageminusandinsuranceorFEMAproceeds,witha
maximumamountof$150,000.Householdswithincomesatorbelow80%AMIqualifiedforan
additionalgranttocovergaprebuildingcosts.HomeownerswhochoseOption2,definedassellingthe
hometotheStateofLouisianaandrelocatingsomewherewithinthestate,receivedfullbenefit,while
Option3applicants,whosoldtheirhomesandrelocatedoutofstate,werepenalized40%ofprestorm
valuewhencalculatingthefinalgrantamount.
Withthecompensationstructurebasedonprestormvalueratherthanreplacementcost,themajority
ofhomeownerscouldnotrebuildusingRoadHomeproceedsalone,requiringthemtotapintosavings
oracquireadditionalfinancing.Theprogramwaslateraugmentedtoincludeadditionalgrantsforlow
incomehomeownerswhodidnothaveadequatefundstorebuild.AsofJanuary,2010,almost$9billion
hasbeendisbursedthroughoutLouisiana,ofwhich$6.8isconcentratedintheNewOrleans
metropolitanareaand$3.8billionisconcentratedwithintheCityofNewOrleans.18
Table47:RoadHomeHomeownerProgramSummaryofGrantAmountbyParish

Option1

Option2

Option3

Total

Jefferson
Orleans
Plaquemines
St.Bernard
St.JohntheBaptist
St.Tammany
GrandTotal

$1,247,786,646
$3,322,836,189
$152,358,606
$607,762,061
$30,986,668
$658,748,985
$6,020,479,155

$13,391,957
$321,245,071
$13,996,882
$295,164,688
$0
$11,437,030
$655,235,628

$2,198,699
$108,651,276
$837,718
$46,473,210
$0
$1,779,749
$159,940,652

$1,263,377,303
$3,752,732,536
$167,193,206
$949,399,960
$30,986,668
$671,965,763
$6,835,655,435

Source:RoadHomedataprovidedbyLouisianaOfficeofCommunityDevelopment/DisasterRecoveryUnit;dataeffective
September,2010

Morethanfiveyearsafterthestorm,thereareasignificantnumberofhomeownerswhohaveyetto
rebuild.Therearealargenumberoflegitimatereasonsforwhythisisthecase,includingcontractor
fraud,adelayinreceivinggrantassistance,titleandrelatedlegalissues,etc.Butthereisalsoa
significantportionofOption1homeownerswhohavesincedecidedtorelocateelsewhereandhaveno
intentionofrebuilding.TheStateiscurrentlyintheprocessofreachingouttoOption1householdswho
havenotyetrebuilt,offeringcasemanagementservicesforthosefacingdifficultyintherebuilding

18

LouisianaOfficeofCommunityDevelopment/DisasterRecoveryUnit,dataavailableviawww.road2la.org

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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process,andworkingtowardstransferringtheremainderofpropertiestotheStateasanOption2or3.
Inessence,theseblightedhomesareleavinggapsintheformandfabricofneighborhoodsthroughout
thecity.Theresultisaredevelopmentpatternlookingverymuchlikethemuchdreadedjacko
lanterneffectofvacantandabandonedpropertymixedinamongresidentswhohavetakenthe
initiativeandrisktorebuild.Theseareconditionsthatwouldbeunattractivetobothexistingand
prospectivehomeowners,andhavetheeffectofreducingneighborhoodpropertyvalues,possibly
pushingevenmoreunitsintotherentalstockifpropertiesbecomeincreasinglydifficulttosell.While
theRoadHomeOption1propertiesareafractionoftheoverallblightprobleminthecityofNew
Orleans,itistheonetargetmostreadilyremediedthroughexistingcovenantswithintheprogram.
Althoughthereisnocurrentconsensusonhowthisproblemwillbesolved,itisrelevanttothisstudy
becausethesedamagedhomescontributetoneighborhoodblight,whichinturnaffectstheoverall
desirabilityandrecoveryofanarea.InGentillyandtheLower9thWard,forexample,vacantRoadHome
propertiescomprise17.5%and27.9%ofallhousingstock,respectively.Bothoftheseareasalsoindicate
loweractivitylevelsforallresidentialandcommercialuses.SimilarlytroublingnumbersofvacantRoad
HomepropertiesarelocatedinNewOrleansEast(13%),Lakeview(12.5%)andBywater(10.3%).
Table48:RoadHomeHomeownerProgramSummarybyPlanningDistrict
PlanningDistrict

1FrenchQuarter/CBD
2GardenDistrict/CentralCity
3Uptown
4MidCity
5Lakeview
6Gentilly
7Bywater
8Lower9thWard
9NewOrleansEast
10VillageDeL'Est
11Viavant/VenetianIsles
12Algiers
13EnglishTurn
Undefined
Total

Homeowners
WhoChoseto
Rebuild
(Option1)

Active
Option1
Addresses

Percent
Option1
Active

Properties
Soldto
State

18
1,496
3,851
4,046
3,249
7,293
3,512
1,994
10,222
1,401
328
2,608
37
7
40,080

12
935
3,157
3,155
2,413
5,765
2,503
1,055
8,460
1,217
208
2,367
32
6
31,297

66.7%
62.5%
82.0%
78.0%
74.3%
79.0%
71.3%
52.9%
82.8%
86.9%
63.4%
90.8%
86.5%
85.7%
78.1%

0
41
162
257
581
1,260
458
746
993
47
29
20
0
0
4,594

Inactive
RoadHome
Addressesas
%all
Residential
0.3%
4.2%
3.3%
5.6%
12.5%
17.5%
10.3%
27.9%
13.0%
7.5%
29.6%
1.6%
0.9%
n/a
8.8%

Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.usingdataprovidedbyActivityIndexandRoadHomedataprovidedbyLouisianaOfficeof
CommunityDevelopment/DisasterRecoveryUnit

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

94

KeyConclusionsSingleFamilyHousingMarket:

Whiletheregionhasnotexperiencedtheseverehousingmarketdeclinethatotherareasofthe
countryhave,bothsalespricesandunitssoldhavedecreasedsincethepostKatrinapeakin2006.
PriceshavebeenparticularlyvolatileinsuburbanmarketssuchasSt.TammanyandJeffersonthat
didnotexperiencethesamelevelofdamageasOrleansandSt.Bernard.Inthesecommunities,
initialpricespikeshavebeencounteractedbysubsequentdeclinesinvalue.
DrivenlargelybyOrleansParish,singlefamilyhousingpricesincreasedfrom2009to2010.
Whilestillslightlylowerthannationalaverages,foreclosurefilingswithinthemetroareahave
risensubstantiallyandarenearnationallevelsinmanyparisheswithintheregion.
WithinOrleansParish,thegreatestandmostconsistentincreasesinpriceshavebeenforthose
housesthatareinaverageorbettercondition.Thepricehistoryofpoorconditionhomes(manyof
themlikelyflooded)hasbeenmoreerraticsinceKatrina.
Changingeconomicanddemographicconditionsandtighterlendingpracticeswilllikelykeepmany
householdsintherenterratherthanhomeownerstatusinthecomingyears.
Daysonthemarketdatasuggestanoversupplyofforsalehousing.Whilefourmonthsconstitutes
atypicalsupplyofforsalehomes,theregioncurrentlyhasanestimatedninemonthsofsupply.
Thisisaninventorythatissimilartonationalfigures.
WhilemostRoadHomeoption1homeownershaverebuilt,asubstantialnumberhavenot.This
hasimplicationsfortheresidentialmarketaswellasforthehealthandappealofneighborhoods
strugglingwiththejackolanterneffectofblightedstructuresandvacantlots.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

95

SummaryofKeyMarketConditionsbyPlanningDistrict
Undercurrentconditions,itisunlikelythattherewillbeashortageofrentalhousingintheNewOrleans
areaoverthenextfiveyears.Therefore,developerscannotrelyondemandalonetodeterminetheir
successbutmustalsofactorintheirprojectsparticularattributesrelatedtolocation,featuresand
targetmarkets.Toaddressthemostcriticalissuelocationthisreportidentifiesfourcriticalindicators
withwhichtomeasuredesirabilityofanarea,asfollows:

Valueofhousing,asmeasuredbysalepricesandrents
Areaactivity,asmeasuredbyoccupiedresidentialandcommercialaddresses
Neighborhoodlivability,asmeasuredbyrestaurants,retail,grocerystoresandnumberof
workers
Publicandprivateinvestment,asmeasuredbytheRoadHomeProgram,LHFAfundedmulti
familydevelopments,FEMARecoveryProjectsandprivateinvestment

Thefirstindicator,Valuation,reconfirmswhatmostNewOrleaniansalreadyknowthattheFrench
Quarter,GardenDistrict,Uptown,LakeviewandEnglishTurnPlanningDistrictsarethehighestpriced
marketsbothforhomeownershipandrentalunits.Whatisperhapsmoreinterestingisthechangethat
hasoccurredinthemarketssinceHurricaneKatrina.Thebestmeasureforthiswouldbeacomparison
ofhomescategorizedbythesellingagentsasinexcellentcondition,meaningnewlyremodeledand
updatedwithallsystemsinworkingorder.Thismeasureispreferredoverthecompletepooloflisted
homesduetotheglutofhomesinpoororbelowaverageconditionthatenteredthemarketafter2005,
skewingtheresults.ThesedatashowthattheFrenchQuarter,CBDandBywaterallincreasedinvalueby
30%to40%,whereasLakeviewandEnglishTurnhavelostvalue.Evenmorestriking,theLower9thWard
increasedsubstantiallyoverthistimeperiod.ThismaybeduetoashiftinsalesactivitytowardstheHoly
Crossneighborhood,anareawithhigherpropertyvalues,orareflectionofanimprovedhousingstock
broughtaboutbysignificantcapitalinvestment.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

96


Table49:HousingPriceandRentbyPlanningDistrict

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

in
average
sale
price,
'04'09

in
Average
SalePrice,
Homein
Excellent
Condition,
'04'09

in
Median
Average
Rent,
SalePrice
1BR,
persq.ft.,
2010
Homein
Excellent
Condition,
0409
FrenchQuarter/CBD
$884,375
30.1%
51.7%
$1,400
32.3%
GardenDistrict/CentralCity
$340,362
8.4%
12.0%
$750
15.2%
Uptown
$352,093
7.9%
12.2%
$788
8.1%
MidCity
$142,484
12.5%
10.4%
$750
22.7%
Lakeview
$248,074
18.2%
8.1%
$895
7.9%
Gentilly
$127,094
6.5%
7.2%
$750
3.1%
Bywater
$130,286
8.0%
51.9%
$650
45.5%
Lower9thWard
$46,810
9.9%
48.2%
$502
40.9%
NewOrleansEast
$113,348
6.6%
6.5%
$700
9.2%
VillageDeL'Est
$58,129
43.6%
18.3%
$400
19.2%
Viavant/VenetianIsles
$235,865
40.5%
21.6%
n/a
17.8%
Algiers
$141,673
6.3%
4.2%
$700
4.3%
EnglishTurn
$492,938
16.0%
12.8%
$850
11.0%
Source:UniversityofNewOrleansInstituteforEconomicDevelopmentandRealEstateResearchandGCR
&Associates,Inc.,MLSmicrodatafrom2004through2010providedbyNewOrleansMetropolitan
AssociationofRealtors;medianrentdeterminedusingfield,phoneandinternetsurveys.

PlanningDistrict

Average
Sale
Price,
Single
Family
Home,
2009

Average
SalePrice,
Single
Family
Homein
Excellent
Condition,
2009
$1,054,772
$460,528
$431,068
$205,134
$305,032
$181,395
$283,576
$127,800
$157,893
$135,633
$257,228
$186,924
$516,139

Thesecondindicator,Activity,ismeasuredthroughanindexwhichfactorsinseveralcriteriausedto
determinewhetherornotahouseholdorbusinessiscurrentlyoccupyinganaddress.Thesefactors
includethefollowing:

Addresscurrentlyreceivesmail,asdeterminedbytheU.S.PostalService;
Addressactivelyusesutilityservices,asdeterminedbyelectricityandwaterusage;and
AddressiscurrentlyandregularlyhavinggarbagecollectedbytheCity,asdeterminedby
theCityssanitationproviders.

Fromthisdata,itisnotsurprisingtoseethattheareaswhichreceivedtheleastfloodingarethemost
active.Thishasbeendocumentedsince2007,asvariousresearchershaveattemptedtotrackrecovery
ratesbyneighborhood.Whatisinterestingaboutthisdata,particularlytheresidentialactivity,isthe
changethathasoccurredinheavilyfloodedareassince2008,threeyearsafterthestorm.Itwasatthis
pointthatextensiverebuildingactivitygainedmomentumthroughtheGOZoneandRoadHome
recoveryprograms.Anownersdecisiontorebuild,afterlivingelsewherefortwotothreeyears,is
reflectiveofthatindividualsownassessmentregardingtheviabilityofhisorherneighborhood.When
wecomparetherebuildingratesafter2008,weseethatNewOrleansEastrecoveredatafasterrate
thaneitherLakevieworGentillyinbothresidentialandcommercialactivity,andnowexceedsboth
planningdistrictsinthepercentageofresidentialaddressesthatareactive.Therehavealsobeen

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

97


substantialincreasesinresidentialactivitywithintheLower9thWardsince2008.Althoughthisarea
remainstheleastactivesectionofthecity(32%ofallresidentialaddressesareactive),therecent
changeindicatesthecommitmentmanyhouseholdshavetoreturn.Againnotsurprising,thewestbank
ofthecity(AlgiersandEnglishTurn)havelostresidentsinrecentyearsasdisplacedhouseholdshave
returnedtorecoveringneighborhoods.

PlanningDistrict

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Table50:ActivityLevelsbyPlanningDistrict
Residential

Commercial

FrenchQuarter/CBD
GardenDistrict/CentralCity
Uptown
MidCity
Lakeview
Gentilly
Bywater
Lower9thWard
NewOrleansEast
VillageDeL'Est
Viavant/VenetianIsles
Algiers
EnglishTurn

All
1,899
14,193
26,260
20,387
11,296
15,944
14,230
6,029
21,155
3,086
504
16,054
566

Active %Active
1,818
95.7%
11,648
82.1%
22,451
85.5%
14,866
72.9%
8,095
71.7%
10,941
68.6%
9,565
67.2%
1,948
32.3%
15,789
74.6%
2,183
70.7%
371
73.6%
14,558
90.7%
549
97.0%

%
Change
'08'10
7.9%
8.2%
2.8%
15.1%
14.0%
16.0%
11.6%
41.4%
18.3%
9.2%
13.5%
0.9%
0.7%

All Active
1,790 1,570
1,660 1,331
1,244 1,031
2,366 1,601
361
262
479
293
1,039 726
232
87
994
644
178
132
34
18
613
518
19
18

%Active
87.7%
80.2%
82.9%
67.7%
72.6%
61.2%
69.9%
37.5%
64.8%
74.2%
52.9%
84.5%
94.7%

%
Change
'08
'10
0.3%
3.9%
5.6%
3.2%
0.6%
0.4%
3.5%
9.2%
7.7%
1.1%
3.2%
8.8%
13.8%

Source:GCRActivityIndex;comparesNovember2010withAugust2005.

ThethirdindicatormeasuresacertainQualityofLife,definedinthisreportasameasureofaccessto
retailestablishments,grocerystoresandrestaurantsaswellastheopportunitytoliveincloseproximity
toworkcenters.Thefollowingsummaryillustratesthetotalnumberofcommercialproperties;retail
andrestaurantestablishments;earningsatthoseestablishments;andcountsofemployeeswithineach
planningdistrict(allindustries).Again,aswouldbeexpected,theFrenchQuarterandCBDhavethe
greatestconcentrationofemployees,retailopportunities,restaurantsandretailearnings.Thedatadoes
revealsomesurprises,though,withMidCitycomparabletotheGardenDistrictandUptownintermsof
establishmentsandexceedingthesetwolocationsintotalretailearnings.Additionally,NewOrleansEast
andAlgiersarecomparableinthenumberofestablishments,despiteNewOrleansEastreceiving
substantialfloodingin2005whileAlgiersremainedrelativelyunscathed.(TheearningsinNewOrleans
Eastareconsiderablyhigherperestablishmentduetothelargenumberofcardealershipsinthearea.)
Unfortunately,similartotheresidentialrecovery,veryfewrestaurantsorretailestablishmentshave
returnedtotheLowerNinthWard.
Akeyindicatorforqualityoflifeisonesabilitytoliveincloseproximitytojobopportunities.Basedon
thedata,themajorityofjobsinNewOrleansareconcentratedintheFrenchQuarter/CBDfollowedby
MidCityandUptown.Notsurprisingly,theseareasarethemostindemand,commandinghigherrents

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andhomesaleprices.Manylowwageworkersarenotabletoaffordlivingintheseareasandresortto
lessexpensiverentalunitsinAlgiersandNewOrleansEast,locationsthatoftentimesrequireextensive
commutetimes.
Table51:QualityofLifeIndicatorsbyPlanningDistrict
PlanningDistrict

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

FrenchQuarter/CBD
GardenDistrict/CentralCity
Uptown
MidCity
Lakeview
Gentilly
Bywater
Lower9thWard
NewOrleansEast
VillageDeL'Est
Viavant/VenetianIsles
Algiers
EnglishTurn

%ofPre
Katrina
Commercial
Properties
Currently
Active

Totalretail
establishments,
restaurantsand
grocerystores

Earningsretail
establishments,
restaurantsand
grocerystores

Employees

87.7%
80.2%
82.9%
67.7%
72.6%
61.0%
69.9%
37.5%
64.8%
74.2%
52.9%
84.5%
94.7%

930
372
338
317
71
61
174
6
164
46
6
144
4

$1,041,089,000
$606,197,000
$715,494,000
$1,008,541,000
$133,650,000
$100,371,000
$539,943,000
$4,847,000
$875,845,000
$76,652,000
$6,609,000
$363,071,000
$1,854,000

77,670
14,413
24,339
45,092
4,123
7,904
7,127
816
8,746
6,613
54
8,297
73

Source:GCRActivityIndexandGCR&Associates,Inc.analysisofDunandBradstreetmicrodata,2010.

Finally,thefourthindicatorreflectstheamountofFundsInvestedineachplanningdistrictasreported
bythehousingrecoveryprograms(LHFAandRoadHome),FEMArecoveryprojectsandthegovernment
sponsoredeconomicdevelopmentinitiativeswithintheBioDistrict,CBDandFederalCity.Fromthis
data,itcanbeseenthatbothNewOrleansEastandGentillyreportingasignificantamountofrecovery
spending(exceeding$1billioneach),largelyareflectionofhomeownersrebuildingdamagedhomes
usingfundsfromtheRoadHomeProgram.Alternatively,thebulkoffundsintheGardenDistrict/Central
Cityweredirectedatlargescalemultifamilyconstruction,whichincludestheMuses,HarmonyOaks
andRiverGardenmixedincomedevelopments.Theareaswiththemostsignificantinfrastructureand
economicdevelopmentinterestareintheFrenchQuarter/CBD,AlgiersandMidCity.Overall,MidCity
hasexperiencedthelargestinfluxofrebuildinginvestment,withextensiveresidentialandcommercial
development.ThisincludestheLSUVAComplex,ontheborderofMidCityandtheCBD,andthemixed
incomeresidentialdevelopmentsaroundTulaneAvenue(e.g.ThePreserve,TheMeridian,TheMarquis).
Infact,morethanonefourthofthe$11.3billioninvestedinthecity(notincludingleveerepair)iswithin
PlanningDistrict4.

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Table52:FundsInvestedbyPlanningDistrict
Total
Development
Cost,LHFA
Developments
BuiltorUnder
Construction

Total
Development
Cost,Small
RentalUnits
(Closed)

EstimatedCost
ofDamage,
ActiveRoad
HomeOption1
Properties

Public
Investment

Total

1 FrenchQuarter/CBD

$163,206,077

$0

$57,557

475,321,304

$800,084,938

2 Garden
District/CentralCity
3 Uptown

$346,637,162

$19,948,549

$116,434,336

35,387,733

$518,407,780

$36,054,449

$29,842,079

$487,847,810

29,342,431

$583,086,769

4 MidCity

$403,347,504

$59,362,848

$521,021,709

2,128,624,789

$3,112,356,850

5 Lakeview

$0

$7,828,280

$552,854,394

87,920,480

$648,603,154

6 Gentilly

$59,928,672

$30,624,938

$1,125,056,124

55,824,269

$1,271,434,003

7 Bywater

$71,839,279

$32,559,316

$427,390,218

35,934,473

$567,723,286

8 Lower9thWard

$16,641,207

$26,083,116

$187,914,424

31,879,586

$262,518,333

9 NewOrleansEast

$167,119,300

$78,404,207

$1,809,616,386

74,095,390

$2,129,235,283

$54,378,396

$4,356,173

$216,978,877

1,700,000

$277,413,446

$0

$0

$69,557,661

2,517,204

$72,074,865

$119,650,783

$6,634,846

$122,723,308

790,995,687

$1,040,004,624

$0

$0

$3,776,359

$3,776,359

PlanningDistrict

10 VillageDeL'Est
11 Viavant/Venetian
Isles
12 Algiers
13 EnglishTurn

Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.analysisofFEMArecoveryinvestments;,LHFAPipelineReport,September2010;
microdataprovidedbytheLouisianaOfficeofCommunityDevelopment/DisasterRecoveryUnitfortheRoadHome
HomeownerandSmallRentalProgram;constructioncostestimatesprovidedbytheBioDistrict,Downtown
DevelopmentDistrictandFederalCityfortheLSU/VAHospitals,CancerResearchCenter,BioInnovationCenter;
expansionofWorldWarIIMuseum;andFederalCity.

Insummary,themajorityoftheplanningdistrictshaverecoveredsubstantiallysincethestorm,but
therearesignsthatindicatethemarketisrecalibratingtowardsthecenterofthecity.Homepriceshave
significantlyincreasedinareaseastoftheriverthatdidnotsubstantiallyflood,whilethewestbankhas
declinedinfavordespitereceivinglimitedflooddamage.Jobs,retailandnonresidentialpublic
investmentsareconcentratingwithintheCBDandMidCityareas,furtheringdemandforthisarea.The
exceptiontothisisFederalCityinAlgiers,whichmaysucceedinrekindlinggrowthonthewestbankif
properlyintegratedwiththecommunity.
Thecityshistoricallyblack/AfricanAmericanmiddleandupperclasscommunitiesNewOrleansEast
andGentillyshowpositivesignsofrecovery,bothintermsofactivityandhomevalue.Similarto

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Lakeview,bothareasserveassuburbantypecommunitieswithinthecity,allbuiltinlowlyingareasand
thussignificantlyfloodedduringKatrina.Thethreeareashaverecoveredapproximately70%oftheir
housingstock,yetLakeviewhasfaredsomewhatbetterinthereturnofitsneighborhoodretailand
services,with73%ofpreKatrinacommercialaddressesactivetoday,comparedtolessthan65%for
GentillyandNewOrleansEast.Investorsandresidentshavefrequentlymentionedthisgapaslimitation
forcontinuedgrowth,particularlyinNewOrleansEast,wherealargenumberofbigboxand
neighborhoodretailersonceaggregated.Withlaggingcommercialgrowth,combinedwiththelarge
volumeofvacantpropertiesandthelikelyinfluxofrentalhousinginhomesonceowned,thesetwo
planningdistrictsaresusceptibletoadownturninfutureyears.
Thecityspredominantlywhite,upperclasssuburbantypecommunitiesLakeviewandEnglishTurn
continuetobeindemand,asreflectedinthesalepricesofrecentrealestatetransactions,butappearto
belosingfavor,withhomepricesdroppingbetween8%and11%overafiveyearperiod.Thismaynot
becauseforalarm,consideringthelossinhomevaluesacrossthecountryinrecentyears,butitis
significantincomparisontotheotherplanningdistricts.Incomparison,Uptownremainshighlyvalued
andstable,withmodestlyincreasingpropertyvaluesandalargeportionofthecitysworkforce(12%).
Basedonseveralindicators,itappearstheAlgiersPlanningDistrictislosingfavor,withdecreasesin
population,commercialactivityandaveragesaleprices.Thefactthatpricesforhomesinexcellent
conditionincreasedoverthefiveyearperiodimpliesthedeclinemaystemfromanaging,henceless
desirablehousingstock.Thisisfurthersubstantiatedwiththehighvacancyratesformultifamily
developmentsinthearea,themajorityofwhichwereconstructedtwentytothirtyyearsago.With
increasedeconomicdevelopmentactivitywithinFederalCityandsubstantialconversionofolder
housingandcommercialstock,Algiershasthecapacitytoreversethisdecline.
Unfortunately,theLowerNinthWardistheoneplanningdistrictthathastrulystruggledinitsrecovery,
withanestimated30%ofitspopulationback.Itscommercialactivityislessthan40%,andaveragesale
priceshavedeclinedoverthelastfiveyears.Thatbeingsaid,therearesomepositivesigns.Homeprices
forhomesinexcellentconditionhaveincreasedsignificantly,andpopulationgrowthsince2008has
exceededallotherplanningdistricts.Althoughthisplanningdistrictrepresentsafractionofitspre
stormpopulation,theserecentchangesindicatecontinuedgrowth.Howlongandtowhatextentthis
growthwillcontinueisunknown,butpresumablywillbedeterminedbymacrolevelevents(newjobs,
communityservices,infrastructureinvestment)coupledwiththepersonaldecisionsofthosewhowere
displacedfromtheLowerNineandfacethepossibilityofreturn.

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Map4:ResidentialVacancyinNewOrleansbyPlanningDistrict

Note:Mapindicatesinactive
parcelsbyPlanningDistrict.

Source:GCRActivityIndex,November2010.

KeyConclusionsMarketConditionsbyNewOrleansPlanningDistrict:

Giventhatthereislikelyasmallsurplusofrentalhousingintheregionalmarket,developersand
policymakersmustcarefullyconsiderthelocationbasedcharacteristicsofproposedprojects.The
qualityoflifeandthemarketdemandwithinvariousareasofthecityofNewOrleansvarywidely.
Thisanalysisfactoredinamyriadofplanningdistrictspecificcharacteristicsincludingvaluation,
changesinresidentialactivity,qualityoflife,andmajorpublicinvestment.
Alongthesemeasures,recoveryisprogressingineveryareaofthecity,butcertaincommunities
theLowerNinthWardchiefamongthemfacemoreformidablerecoverychallengesthanothers
do.

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ProjectedRenterDemandandUnitAbsorption:2010to2015
Aswasstatedpreviouslyinthisreport,housingmarketsarenotperfectlysynchronizedwithdemandbut
insteadfunctioninacyclicalmanner,markedbyperiodsofrobustresidentialconstructionactivity
followedbylullsinnewdevelopmentasexcesshousingsupplyisabsorbed.Thisisthethirdconstruction
boominNewOrleanssincethe1970s,anditisrelativelymodestincomparisontothepreviousbuilding
cycles.LargelyfueledbypostKatrinarecoveryinvestments,thebuildingmomentumisstartingtowane,
andtheregionisnowleftwithamanageablesurplusofvacant,livablehousingunits.Manyofthese
vacantunitswillbeabsorbedoverthenextfewyearsastheregionaddshouseholds,buttherateat
whichsurplusisabsorbedisdependentonthehouseholdgrowthrate.Projectinghouseholdgrowth
postKatrinahasbeenadifficulttask,andhaslargelyreliedonacombinationofrecoverytrends
(householdsreturningand/orrebuildingtheirhomes)andeconomicdrivers.
Housingmarketsarebestcharacterizedasaconstantlychangingmixofmovingpartsthataresubjectto
awiderangeofunpredictableforces,someofwhichcanbequantifiedandcalibrated,inaneffortto
makesomeguardedandinformedstatementsaboutthefuture.Theseforecastscanthenbeusedto
framedecisionsbythosewhohavevestedfinancialinterestsinthehousingmarketsperformancegoing
forward.Sincethemarketissubjecttowidevariationandthusgreatuncertainty,thesupplydemand
analysiswhichfollowsassumesatleasttwogrowthscenarios(ModerateandHigh)toevaluatethe
estimatedflowsofinventoryintothemarketandabsorptionofitoverthe2010to2015period.These
forecastsareinformedbythevariouspreviouslydiscussedelementsofthishousingmarketanalysisand
provideabasisforestimatingtheextenttowhichtherentalmarketmightbeoverorunderbuiltbythe
middleofthedecade.Theseforecastsarepresentedattheparishlevelforthesevenparishregionand
provideamacroassessmentofinventoryutilizationwithwhichtoevaluatetheadvisabilityofmaking
newinvestmentsdesignedtobringnewsupplyintothepipeline.
Growthratesandthushousingdemandareultimatelydrivenbyanexpandingeconomicbasethat
providesnewjobs,fuelsincreasesinhouseholdincomeandattractsgreaterprivateinvestment.Since
Katrina,muchoftheregionseconomicactivityhasbeeninducedbytherebuildingandredevelopment
effortintheCityaswellasexpansionsintosuburbanparishesintheregiontoaccommodatethe
movementofpeopleandbusinessesfromoneareatoanother.Thisactivityhasbeenfueledbymassive
infusionsofcapitaltorebuild/replacedestroyedhousing,institutionalbuildingsandinfrastructure.By
someestimates,thereareapproximately$25to$30billionofinfusedinvestmentsthatareworking
theirwaythroughtheeconomyoverthenextfiveyears.19Additionally,poststorminvestmentsin
facilitiessuchastheBioInnovationCenterandtheLouisianaCancerResearchCenterwillprovidea
strategicnucleusfortheredevelopingBiomedicalDistrictthatwillbeanchoredbyanewLSU/VA

19

Thisincludes$15billioninvestedbytheU.S.ArmyCorpsofEngineersfortheNewOrleansMetroAreaHurricane
ProtectionSystem;$7billioninRoadHomefunds;$1.8billionfortheNewOrleansRecoverySchoolProgram;$2
billionfortheHueyP.LongBridgeandTwinspanexpansion;$2billioninmultifamilydevelopment,including
publichousingredevelopment;$1.5billioninFEMAinfrastructurefunding;and$2billionforFederalCityandthe
LSU/VAHospitalComplex.

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medicalcentercomplex,whilethedevelopmentoftheFederalCityprojectinAlgierswillsolidifythe
presenceofgovernmentagenciesandthemilitaryintheregionformanyyearsintothefuture.
Ofcoursetheseverypositiveeconomicdriversmaybesomewhatoffsetoverthenextfiveyearsby
unfoldingeventsthatcouldlowerjobgrowthexpectationsandinfactprovideperiodsofslowtono
growthintheregion.Thisincludes,forexample,theimpendingclosureofAvondaleShipyards(currently
scheduledfor2013)andtheconcurrentlossof5,000jobsandtherepositioningoftheMichoud
AssemblyFacility(MAF)asNASApursuesalternativestothespaceshuttlevehicle.Tomitigatethe
impactofpotentialjoblossesassociatedwiththeseevents,LouisianaEconomicDevelopment(LED)
togetherwithregionalandlocaleconomicdevelopmentagenciesthroughouttheregionareaggressively
marketingthesetwofacilitiesonanationalandglobalscale.Onerecentsuccesswastheattractionof
EuropeanbasedBladeDynamicstotheMAFtomanufactureequipmentforalternativeenergywind
farms.Thiswillbringanimmediate150to200jobstothefacilityandasmanyas600jobsasdemandfor
thecompanysproductgrows.
AformidableunknownforthepresentisthelongtermeffectsoftheBPoilspill.Damagetoseveral
sectorsofthefishingandshellfishharvestingindustryhasbeensevere,andthespillsultimateimpacts
maypotentiallybelongterm.TheBPspillhasalsoimpactedsegmentsofthetourismandhospitality
industryandhasforcedmarketersintoanaggressivemindsettoreestablishtheregionsbrandidentity
andallayfearsoffoodcontaminationandcontaminationinNewOrleansitself.,.Overcomingnegative
perceptionsgeneratedbyfivemonthsofnonstopmediacoveragetakestimeandsignificantfinancial
investments.WhileBPhascommittedconsiderablefinancialresourcestomitigatethespillsimpacts,
thepassageoftimeistheultimatethoughnotnecessarilythefastestresolutiontomanyofthespills
effects.Atthispoint,thehospitalityindustryhasweatheredthespillaswellascouldbeexpectedandis
positionedtomakeanevenstrongercomebackifthenationalandglobaleconomiescontinueto
recover.Thisrecoveryisabsolutelycrucialtoaresurgenceofconventionandgroupmeetingsbookings
whichbringhighpercapitaspendingvisitorstothecityandsurroundingregion.
Thefilm,videoanddigitalmediasectorisanotherwhichprovidesupsidegrowthopportunityforthe
regionalmarket.Thestatehasaggressivelycourtedthisindustrysectorwithgeneroustaxcredits
designedtoattractnewinvestmentandthecreationofnewhighpayingjobs.Thereare,however,
doubtsinthemindsofsomelawmakersthatthesectorsjobcreatingpotentialhasnotlivedupto
expectationsandthatinaperiodofstatefiscalcrisis,generoustaxcreditsarealuxurythatLouisiana
cannotafford.Theupcominglegislativesessionmightverywellseeproposalstosuspendorreduce
theseandothertaxcreditsasameansoffillingagaping$1.6billionholeinthe20112012state
operatingbudget.Anysuchmovecouldverywellslowinvestmentsinthissectorwiththeaccompanying
lossofjobs.
TheLouisianaWorkforceCommission(LWC)recentlyreleasedtheiremploymentprojectionsfor2008
through2018byregionallabormarketareas(RLMAs).TheNewOrleansRLMAincludesallofthe
parisheswithinthemetropolitanareaalongwithSt.JamesParish.Themethodologyisbasedon
historicaldataandannouncedeconomicdevelopmentprojectsasofApril,2010,furthersupplemented
withinputfromregionalbusinessmeetingsandcommentsfromsignificantLouisianafirms.Usingthis

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104


methodology,theLWCestimatesthattheNewOrleansregionalemploymentwillgrowatanannualrate
ofonly0.3%significantlylessthanthe0.8%projectedforLouisianaandthelowestgrowthrateofany
economicregioninthestate.Theprojectedstategrowthrateislessthantheprojectednationalgrowth
rateof1.0%,meaningLouisianaisexpectedtorecoverfromtherecessionataslowerratethanthe
countryasawhole.
Thecurrentprojectionsestimateanadditional17,180jobsoverthenexttenyears,withsubstantial
gainsinwhitecollarandserviceindustryjobscounterbalancedwithsignificantjoblossinbluecollar
industries.Accordingtotheseprojections,theNewOrleansRLMAisslatedtogainanadditional28,600
jobsinhealthcare,professionalservices,educationandtourismindustrieswhilelosingroughly10,500
jobsinmanufacturing,construction,oilandgasandtransportation.Usingtheseestimates,combined
withthestandardratioof2.11forjobstohouseholds,theLEDdataindicatesanincreaseof21,500
householdsoverthenextfiveyears,whichislessthanthemoderategrowthscenariosuppliedinthis
analysis.Asmentionedpreviously,aneconomicdownturnispossiblegiventherecentlyannounced
manufacturinglossesandramificationsoftheBPoilspill.Thisanalysisdoesnotincludeabreakdownof
projectedrentersunderthisscenario,assumingtheshiftsineconomicstabilitywillcauseanincreasein
renterdemand,withmorerentersstrugglingtoenterhomeownershipandexistinghomeownersor
forcedtorelinquishtheirhomes.

A. SupplyDemandAnalysisModerateGrowthScenario
ThecurrentmoderategrowthscenarioutilizeshouseholdprojectionsproducedbyNielsenClaritas
Inc.(Claritas),anationaldemographicfirm,asthebaselineforhouseholdgrowth.Theseprojections
weredevelopedusingtheU.S.Census,postalserviceinformation,constructionstatisticsproduced
byHanleyWood,inputfromlocalgovernmententities,Equifax,andconsultationwithlocaldata
experts.20AccordingtotheClaritasestimates,theNewOrleansMSAwilladd28,795households(of
which10,508willberenters)overthenextfiveyears,representinganannualgrowthrateof1.3%
Whilethisgrowthrateexceedsthegrowthratefrom1990to2000,thechangeinhouseholdssince
2005indicatesacontinuingrepopulationaspartofthepostKatrinarecoveryprocess.Byall
accounts,NewOrleanshasexceededexpectationsofitsrecoveryandcontinuestoaddnew
householdsatarateexceedingpreKatrinagrowthrates.BasedontheActivityIndex,theestimated
householdgrowthratefrom2008to2009,andfrom2009to2010,was7%and5%,respectively.In
lightofthiscontinuedpopulationgrowthaspartoftheregionsongoingrecovery,andwithan
estimated35,000fewerrenterhouseholdstodaythanpreKatrina,the1.3%annualchange
constitutesaconservativeandreasonableestimate.
Usingtheassumptionsoffuturesupplyandobsoletionratesestablishedinthisreport,this
moderategrowthscenarioproducesestimatesoflikelysupplyoverhangorsurplusbytheyear2015
forbothOrleansandJeffersonParishes.InOrleansParishthepotentialsurplusisestimatedat2,786

20

NielsenClaritas,PopFactsDemographicsMethodology,
http://www.tetrad.com/pub/documents/popfactsmeth092010.pdf.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

105


unitswhileinJeffersonParishthepotentialsurplusisestimatedat1,046units.Inbothcases,neither
oftheseestimatesshouldbeconsideredexcessiveorproblematicasoccupancyratesshouldremain
above90%.Slightincreasesingrowthrates,afasterrateofinventoryremovalorthereductionin
anticipatedentriesofproposedinventorytothesupplypipelineallhavethepotentialofshrinking
theseestimatedsupplysurpluses.Forexample,ifthereportednumberofrentalunitscategorizedas
unitswithseverephysicalproblemswereremovedfromthemarketaltogether(atotalof4,909
units),therewouldbeashortageofcloseto1,500unitsby2015.21Alternatively,asignificantshiftof
forsalepropertiesintotherentalmarketornewdevelopmentnotcurrentlyinthepipelinecan
increasethissurplus.Ineachoftheotherparishesintheregion,theestimatesthrough2015
indicateroomfortheadditionofnewinventorytofillanticipatedrenterhousingshortages.The
highestsupplygapisestimatedforSt.Tammany(996units)followedbySt.Bernard(357units)
andSt.JohntheBaptistParish(179units).

Table53:ProjectedHouseholdGrowth,20102015

2010

2015

Change

Households

Renters

Owners

Households

Renters

Owners

Households

Renters

Owners

Orleans

141,177

67,140

74,037

154,590

73,556

81,034

13,413

6,416

6,997

Jefferson

172,889

57,304

115,585

175,673

58,248

117,425

2,784

944

1,840

Plaquemines

7,565

2,348

5,217

8,198

2,548

5,650

633

200

433

St.Bernard

15,458

5,687

9,771

17,996

6,625

11,371

2,538

938

1,600

St.Charles

17,791

3,068

14,723

18,411

3,177

15,234

620

109

511

St.JohntheBaptist

16,060

3,397

12,663

16,777

3,549

13,228

717

152

565

St.Tammany

86,247

18,553

67,694

94,337

20,302

74,035

8,090

1,749

6,341

TOTAL

457,187

157,497

299,690

485,982

168,005

317,977

28,795

10,508

18,287

Source:NielsenClaritas,Inc.

21

Accordingtothe2009CensusAmericanHousingSurvey,1,520rentalunitsinOrleans,2,853rentalunitsin
Jefferson,and314rentalunitsinSt.Tammanyweredeterminedtohaveseverehousingproblems.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

106


Table54:EstimatedSupply,DemandandAbsorptionforRenterUnits,ModerateGrowth
Scenario,20102015
Minus
supply
for
healthy
turnover
(7%)
5,341

Minus
Units
Leaving
Market
(0.75%)
572

Supply
9,202

Demand
6,416

Surplus
2,786

Parish
Orleans

Estimated
Occupancy
Rate
88%

Current
Vacant
Units
(estimate)
9,155

Under
Construction
2,302

Anticipated
2015
3,658

Vacant+
Under
Construction
+
Anticipated
15,115

Jefferson

90%

6,367

33

524

6,924

4,457

478

1,990

944

1,046

Plaquemines

93%

177

32

62

271

177

19

75

200

125

St.Bernard

93%

428

627

1,055

428

46

581

938

357

St.Charles

93%

231

21

252

231

25

109

113

St.Johnthe
Baptist
St.Tammany

93%

256

256

256

27

27

152

179

91%

1,835

167

331

2,333

1,427

153

753

1,749

996

Total

18,449

2,555

5,202

26,205

12,316

1,320

12,570

10,508

2,062

EstimatedoccupancyratesforOrleans,JeffersonandSt.TammanyarebasedonUniversityofNewOrleans(UNO)InstituteforEconomicDevelopment
andRealEstateResearchMultiFamilySurvey,conductedFall2010.7%vacancyrateassumedforlesspopulatedparishesbasedonhistoricoccupancy
ratesforthemetropolitanareaasdeterminedbyUNOsurveysconductedsince1978.
2

BasedonestimateoftotalrentersbyparishprovidedbyNielsenClaritas,Inc.2010dividedbyestimatedoccupancyrate.

IncludesmultifamilyhousingfundedthroughtheLouisianaHousingFinanceAgency.Source:LHFAPipelineReport,September2010.Basedoncurrently
availableinformation,therearenomarketratemultifamilydevelopmentsintheconstructionphaseatthistime.Thisfiguredoesnotincludescattered
siterentalpropertiesthatmaybeintheprocessofconstructionbutarenotmonitoredbyanypublicorprivateorganization.
4
Sources:LHFAPipelineReport,September2010,LouisianaOfficeofCommunityDevelopmentSmallRentalStatusReport,November 2010,andthe
HousingAuthorityofNewOrleansStatusUpdate,December2010.AnticipatedfigureassumestheSmallRentalProgramwilladdapproximately600units
peryearoverthenextfiveyears,comparabletohistorictrends,andallLHFAandHANOdevelopmentswithtaxcreditsthathavenotbegunconstruction
willbeconstructedby2015.FigurealsoincludesHANO'sFloridaredevelopmentandpublicscatteredsiteproperties.Figuredoesnotincludethe
redevelopmentofIbervilleorpendingdowntowndevelopmentsthathavenotbeenawardedtaxcreditsorobtainedconstructionfinancing.Figurealso
doesnotincludemarketratesmallscaledevelopmentthatiscurrentlynotmonitoredbyanypublicorprivateorganization.
5

Representsastandardobsoletionrateforunitsthatbecomeuninhabitableovertime.Thisincludespropertiesthataredemolishedtomakewayfornew
developmentandpropertiesthatarenolongermarketableduetodeterioratedconditionorlongstandingneglect.

EstimatedrenterhouseholdgrowthprovidedbyNielsenClaritasInc.2010.

Table55:IncomeDistributionofFutureRenters,ModerateGrowthScenario
Parish

<30%AMI

30%50%AMI

50%80%AMI

Orleans
1,901
1,322
1,134
Jefferson
208
163
183
Plaquemines
26
34
59
St.Bernard
195
166
202
St.Charles
25
14
13
St.JohntheBaptist
41
27
33
St.Tammany
309
318
384
Total
2,705
2,044
2,009
Source:Incomedistributionbytenureuses HUDCHAS2009incomedistributiondata.

>80%AMI

Total

2,059
390
81
374
57
51
737
3,750

6,416
944
200
938
109
152
1,749
10,508

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

107


Table56:FamilyTypeofFutureRenters,ModerateGrowthScenario
Renters
Parish

Orleans
Jefferson
Plaquemines
St.Bernard
St.Charles
St.JohntheBaptist
St.Tammany
Total

Large
family

337
67
22
86
15
15
104
645

Non
family,
elderly

827
100
13
124
8
9
216
1,298

Nonfamily,
nonelderly

2,783
366
39
255
32
49
608
4,133

Small
family,
elderly

328
43
20
46
4
2
85
527

Small
family,non
elderly

Total

2,141
369
107
426
49
76
736
3,904

6,416
944
200
938
109
152
1,749
10,508

Source:FamilytypebytenurebasedonHUDCHAS2009data.
1

LargeFamilydefinedashouseholdoffiveormorerelatedpersons.

NonFamilyElderlydefinedashouseholdofoneormoreunrelatedpersonsinwhichheadofhouseholdis62
yearsofageorolder
3
NonFamilyNonElderlydefinedashouseholdwithoneormoreunrelatedpersons
4

SmallFamilyNonElderlydefinedashouseholdoftwotofourrelatedpersonswhereheadofhouseholdisless
than62yearsold
5
SmallFamilyElderlydefinedashouseholdwithtwotofourrelatedpersonswhereheadofhouseholdis62
yearsofageorolder

B. SupplyDemandAnalysisHighGrowthScenario
Thedemandforhousing,eitherrentalsorhomeownership,willultimatelydependonlocal
economicconditions.FortunatelytheNewOrleansmetropolitanareawasabletoavoidthebruntof
theGreatRecession,withunemploymentpeakingat8.1%in2010,stillbelowthenationalrateof
10.6%.Theconstructionindustry,particularlyinfrastructure,wasasignificantcontributortothe
regionseconomy,withmorethan$18billionbeinginvestedinnewlevees,roads,bridgesand
pumpingstations.22Themajorityofthisworkwillcontinueinto2014.Accordingtorecentdata
providedbytheLouisianaEconomicOutlookfor20112012,theNewOrleansMSAisprojectedto
add8,300jobsthrough2012,evenwhentakingintoaccounttheclosureofAvondaleShipyardsand
reuseoftheMichoudAssemblyFacility/LockheedMartincampusinNewOrleansEast.23Thereare
severalfirmsexpandingormovingintothearea,includingBladeDynamics,whichwillultimatelyadd
600manufacturingandengineeringjobs,aswellasanexpansionoftheFolgersCoffeeplant,which
willaddanadditional450jobs.24BeyondLouisianaEconomicDevelopmentslistofpending

22

NewOrleansCityBusiness,TopTenConstructionProjects,2010,February22,2010,retrievedFebruary2,
2011,http://neworleanscitybusiness.com/wpfiles/events/construction2010.pdf.
23
LouisianaStateUniversityE.J.OursoCollegeofBusiness,LouisianaEconomicOutlook,20112012,October14,
2010,retrievedFebruary2,2011,
http://www.lsu.edu/ur/ocur/lsunews/MediaCenter/News/2010/10/item20422.html.
24
LouisianaEconomicDevelopment,projectedemploymentexpansionsandrelocationsfor20102011,data
providedSeptember,2010.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

108


relocations/expansions,therearetwodevelopmentstakingplacethatarenotyetreflectedinjob
forecastsbutwilladdasubstantialnumberofjobstothearea.
First,theFederalCitydevelopmentintheAlgiersneighborhoodofNewOrleansisestimatedtoadd
atotalof10,000jobsoncetheprojectiscompletedin2023.25Thefirstphaseofthedevelopment,a
newheadquartersfortheMarineReserveandafacilityfortheNewOrleansbasedCoastGuard,will
becompletedin2012,retaining1,900militarypositionsandcreatinganadditional300positions.
Thiswillbefollowedbyadditionalofficespacetoaccommodateciviliancontractorsandother
governmentagencies.Thescopeofthisphasehasnotbeenfullydefined.
Second,thebiomedicaldistrictindowntownNewOrleansisslatedforsignificantinvestmentwithin
itshospitalsandresearchfacilities.Morethan$2billionhasbeencommittedoriscurrentlygoing
towardsconstructionofanewLSUteachinghospital,VAHospital,theLouisianaCancerResearch
Centerandanincubatorforbiomedicalresearchanddevelopment(theBioInnovationCenter).A
recenteconomicimpactanalysisconductedbyDr.JamesRichardsonofLSUprovidesconservative
estimatesof9,800directjobgrowthandanoveralljobgrowthof22,000attributabletothe
BiomedicalDistrict.TheBioInnovationCenterandtheLouisianaCancerResearchCenterareboth
scheduledtobeginoperationsin2011andthetwohospitalsarescheduledtoopenin2014.
Althoughwecurrentlydonotknowwhatthefullimpactwillbefromthesetwoinitiatives,itis
reasonabletoassumethattheNewOrleansareahasthepotentialtoexceedthecurrentgrowth
projectionof1.3%.Forthehighgrowthscenario,weassumeanannualgrowthrateof3%forNew
OrleansandSt.Tammanyparishesanda1%growthrateforJeffersonParish.Thesuccessofthese
twoinitiativeswillultimatelybebasedonprivateinvestmentandcorporaterelocations,whichhave
moretodowiththenationaleconomyandthequalityoflifeinNewOrleansthanthevalueof
construction.Withthatsaid,thehighgrowthscenarioexampleillustrateshowminorchangesin
populationgrowthwilldeterminewhetherornottherewillbeasurplusorshortfallofrental
housing.Usingthesemodestlyhighergrowthrates,andundercurrentprojectionsforconstruction
activityanddevelopment,themetropolitanareawouldhaveapotentialshortfallof5,401rental
unitsbytheendof2015.

25

AlexandraStroud,FederalCityisMorethanaReorganizedMilitaryBase,itsaNewTownCenterforAlgiers,
TheExaminer,April10,2010,retrievedFebruary2,2011,http://www.examiner.com/realestateinnew
orleans/federalcityismorethanareorganizedmilitarybaseitsanewtowncenterforalgiers.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

109


Table57:EstimatedSupply,DemandandAbsorptionforRenterUnits,HighGrowthScenario,
20102015

Anticipated
2015
3,658

Minus
supplyfor
healthy
turnover
(7%)
5,341

Minus
Units
Leaving
Market
(0.75%)
572

Supply
9,202

33

524

6,924

4,457

478

177

32

62

271

177

93%

428

627

1,055

93%

231

21

93%

256

91%

1,835

18,449

Estimated
Occupancy
Rate
88%

Current
Vacant
Units
(estimate)
9,155

Under
Construction
2,302

90%

6,367

93%

Parish

Vacant+
Under
Construction
+
Anticipated
15,115

Demand
10,694

Surplus
1,492

1,990

2,923

933

19

75

200

125

428

46

581

938

357

252

231

25

109

113

256

256

27

27

152

179

167

331

2,333

1,427

153

753

2,955

2,202

2,555

5,202

26,205

12,316

1,320

12,570

17,971

5,401

Orleans
Jefferson
Plaquemines
St.Bernard
St.Charles
St.Johnthe
Baptist
St.Tammany
Total
1

EstimatedoccupancyratesforOrleans,JeffersonandSt.TammanybasedonUniversityofNewOrleansRealEstateResearchCenter
multifamilysurvey,conductedFall2010.

BasedonestimateoftotalrentersbyparishprovidedbyNielsenClaritas,Inc.2010dividedbyestimatedoccupancyrate
IncludesmultifamilyhousingfundedthroughtheLouisianaHousingFinanceAgency.Source:LHFAPipelineReport,September2010.
Basedoncurrentlyavailableinformation,therearefourmultifamilymarketratedevelopmentsintheconstructionphaseatthistime
representinglessthan500units.Thisfiguredoesnotincludescatteredsiterentalpropertiesthatmaybeintheprocessofconstruction
butarenotmonitoredbyanypublicorprivateorganization.
4
Sources:LHFAPipelineReport,September2010,LouisianaOfficeofCommunityDevelopmentSmallRentalStatusReport,November
2010,andtheHousingAuthorityofNewOrleansStatusUpdate,December2010.AnticipatedfigureassumestheSmallRentalProgramwill
addapproximately600unitsperyearoverthenextfiveyears,comparabletohistorictrends,andallLHFAandHANOdevelopmentswith
taxcreditsthathavenotbegunconstructionwillbeconstructedby2015.FigurealsoincludesHANO'sFloridaredevelopmentandpublic
scatteredsiteproperties.FiguredoesnotincludetheredevelopmentofIbervilleorpendingdowntowndevelopmentsthathavenotbeen
awardedtaxcreditsorobtainedconstructionfinancing.Figurealsodoesnotincludemarketratesmallscaledevelopmentthatiscurrently
notmonitoredbyanypublicorprivateorganization.
3

Representsastandardobsoletionrateforunitsthatbecomeuninhabitableovertime.Thiscanincludepropertiesthataredemolishedto
makewayfornewdevelopmentandpropertiesthatarenolongermarketableduetodeterioratedconditionorlongstandingneglect.
6
Estimatedrenterhouseholdgrowthat3%forOrleansandSt.Tammany;1%forJefferson.UsedNielsenClaritasestimatesforallother
parishes.

Table58:EstimatedIncomeDistributionofFutureRenters,HighGrowthScenario
Parish
Orleans
Jefferson
Plaquemines
St.Bernard
St.Charles
St.JohntheBaptist
St.Tammany
Total

<30%AMI

30%50%AMI

50%80%AMI

>80%AMI

Total

3,168
645
26
195
25
41
522
4,622

2,203
505
34
166
14
27
537
3,486

1,891
566
59
202
13
33
650
3,414

3,432
1,207
81
374
57
51
1,246
6,449

10,694
2,923
200
938
109
152
2,955
17,971

Source:IncomedistributionbytenureusesHUDCHAS2009incomedistributiondata.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

110


Table59:EstimatedFamilyTypeofFutureRenters,HighGrowthScenario
Parish
Orleans
Jefferson
Plaquemines
St.Bernard
St.Charles
St.Johnthe
Baptist
St.Tammany
Total

Largefamily

Nonfamily,
elderly

561

1,379

Non
family,non
elderly
4,638

206

310

1,133

Small
family,
elderly
547

Small
family,non
elderly
3,568

Total

10,694

132

1,142

2,923

22

13

39

20

107

200

86

124

255

46

426

938

15

32

49

109

15

49

76

152

175

365

1,028

144

1,243

2,955

1,081

2,208

7,175

894

6,612

17,971

Source:FamilytypebytenurebasedonHUDCHAS2009data.
1

LargeFamilydefinedashouseholdoffiveormorerelatedpersons.

NonFamilyElderlydefinedashouseholdofoneormoreunrelatedpersonsinwhichheadofhouseholdis62yearsof
ageorolder
3

NonFamilyNonElderlydefinedashouseholdwithoneormoreunrelatedpersons

SmallFamilyNonElderlydefinedashouseholdoftwotofourrelatedpersonswhereheadofhouseholdislessthan62
yearsold
5
SmallFamilyElderlydefinedashouseholdwithtwotofourrelatedpersonswhereheadofhouseholdis62yearsofage
orolder

ItisalsoworthconsideringthelongtermpopulationtrendsofNewOrleans,theregionandthestateas
awholeincomparisonwithsimilarareasoverthepasttwentyyears.Theregionandstateexperienced
almoststagnantgrowthpreKatrinadespitethenationalmigrationthattookplaceinthe1990sand
2000s,whereasubstantialnumberofcompaniesandhouseholdsmovedsouth.Thereareseveralplaces
thatwerecomparableinsizetoNewOrleansasof1990thathaveexperiencedtremendousgrowth,
relyingontheirculture,institutions,qualityoflifeandwarmerclimatetoattractnewbusinessesand
residents.TheexamplesusedinGraph16Orlando,Jacksonville,NashvilleandAustinwereallsmaller
insizein1990buthavegrownatarapidrateoverthelasttwentyyearsandnowfarexceedNew
Orleansinsize.TheNewOrleansregiondidnotparticipateinthisexpansivegrowthforamyriadof
reasons.Thelimitationsoftheareascurrentindustriesareapredominantfactor,butcertainqualityof
lifeindicators(crimeandschools,mostnotably)alsoservedasadeterrentforcorporaterelocations.
CapitalizingonthepostKatrinarecovery,theCity,StateandFederalresourcesareintendedtonotjust
rebuildtheregionbutalsotoimprovetheoverallqualityoflife.Thisshouldalsohavetheeffectof
improvingtheeconomicprospectsoftheregion.Tensofbillionsinconstructionactivityaretargeted
towardshighwagegrowthindustries,newhousing,schools,parksandpublicfacilities,asacatalystfor
growthsimilartotheregionssouthernneighbors.Consequently,itcouldbearguedthatNewOrleans
mightverywellbepositionedtoenjoygrowthcomparabletotheexperienceofsomeofitssistercities
intheSouthandSouthwest.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

111


Graph16:ChangeinHouseholds,19902009
2009
NewOrleansMSA
OrlandoMSA
NashvilleMSA
JacksonvilleMSA
AustinMSA

2000

1990
435,086
505,579
455,178
401,659

740,669
625,248

598,055
479,569
375,831
505,657
425,584
343,526
614,047
471,855
303,871

KeyConclusions ProjectedRenterDemandandUnitAbsorption,2010to2015:

ThefundamentaldriversofdemandforrentalhousingintheNewOrleansregionwillbeeconomic
growthandanaccompanyingincreaseinhouseholds.
UnderamoderategrowthscenarioutilizinghouseholdprojectionsfromNielsenClaritasthere
wouldbeaminorsurplusofrentalhousinginthemetropolitanregion,thoughoccupancyrates
wouldbeabove90%.
Underasomewhatmoreaggressivescenarioonethathingesonstrongereconomicand
populationgrowththeregionwouldhaveanapartmentdeficitofapproximately5,400unitsin
2015.
Ifkeypotentialeconomicdriversintheregiontrulytakeholdsuchasthebiomedicalindustry,
thefilmindustry,andtheFederalCitycomplextheregioncouldmorecloselymimicthegrowth
patternsexperiencedbyothersoutherncitiesoverthepasttwentyyears,therebyproducinga
strongerrentalmarketthaneventhehighgrowthscenariowithinthisreport.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

112

Conclusion
IncentivedrivensurgesofnewapartmentconstructionarepartofthehistoryoftheNewOrleans
housingmarket.Thereweretwoextraordinaryperiodsofnewinventoryadditionsinthe1970sand
1980swhichaddedrecordnumbersofnewmultifamilyunitsinarelativelybriefperiod(threetofour
years).Theseinflowsofnewunitswerefollowedbyadjustmentperiodswhichsawoccupancyandrents
fallasthenormalcourseofpopulationandeconomicgrowthrestoredbalancetothemarketplace.
Theseadjustmentperiodswerenotwithoutfinancialpainforinvestorsandlenderswhichinsomeways
contributedtothedifficultyinattractingprivatecapitaltodevelopandbuildnewapartmentproperties
duringthe1990s.
Themostrecentsurgeofincentivedrivennewsupplyhasnotapproachedvolumelevelsreachedinthe
pastnorhasitgeneratedextraordinaryimbalancessuchasthoseexperiencedduringthe1970sand
1980s.Newinventoryadditions,bothmarketrateandsubsidized,arebeingwellreceivedasindicated
bytheirabsorptionratesduringinitialrentupandtheirnownearstabilized93%averageoccupancy.
ThisismostnotableinpropertieslocatedintheCBD,UptownandMidCitysectorsofthemarketwhere
themajorityofthenewconstructionhasoccurred.
Olderandlesscompetitivelypositionedapartmentcommunitiesarefacingchallengesinattractingand
retainingtenants,particularlyintheAlgiers,KennerandNewOrleansEastsectorsofthemarket.To
someextent,thecompetitivedifficultiessomepropertiesfacearesomewhatselfinflictedasaresultof
poorordeferredmaintenanceandafailuretoremediatefunctionalobsolescenceortoupgrade
amenitiesandservicesoffered.Thecompetitivenessoftheseolderproperties(manywhichwerebuilt
duringthe1970sand1980s)isbeingfurtherweakenedbyabetterthanexpectedrecoveryand
rebuildingofsmall(twotofourunit)rentalpropertiesandtheentryofslowtosellsinglefamilyhomes
intotherentalstock.Thelatterarecompetitivelypricedtoattracthouseholdswhoseneedsarebetter
servedbyapropertyinalowerdensitylivingenvironment,offeringaprivateyardandmorestorage
spaceaswellasproximityandaccessibilitytoneighborhoodlevelservicesandconveniences,schools
andpublictransportation.Onetofourfamilyrentalunitssatisfytheseconsumerpreferencesandare
welldistributedacrossavarietyofneighborhoodsthroughouttheNewOrleansregion.
AlthoughthemajorityoftheCitysplanningdistrictshaveexperiencedsignificantrecoverysincethe
stormthereareseveralthathaverecoveredmorequicklyandmoreextensivelythanothers.Thisis
particularlytrueintheCBD,GardenDistrict/CentralCityandMidCityareas,wheresignificantcapital
investmentshavebeenfocusedtorebuildcriticalelementsoftheregionsinstitutionalandcommercial
infrastructure.Thesesameareashavealsobeentherecipientsofmanynewlydevelopedhousing
communitiesthathavetakenadvantageofpoststormfinancialincentivestoofferhighqualityliving
environmentsthatarereadilyaccessibletotheCityscoreofbusinessandcommercialactivityaswellas
aneclecticmixofrestaurantsandentertainmentvenuesthatverymuchcontributetotheNewOrleans
identity.Housingdemandintheseareasremainscomparativelystrongwhenmeasuredintermsof
prices,rentandoccupancylevels.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

113


ThereareareasoftheCity,however,thatcontinuetostrugglethroughtheredevelopmentand
rebuildingprocessorthathavelostmomentuminthepasttwoyearsasotherstrongerareashave
movedforwardmorerapidly.AreaswhichfallintothefirstcategoryincludetheLower9thWardand
NewOrleansEast,whileAlgiersfallsintothesecondcategory.Despitethebesteffortsofabroadcross
sectionofinterests,theLower9thWardhasrecoveredabout30%ofitsprestormpopulationandabout
40%ofitsbusinessandcommercialactivity.ThisareawaseconomicallystressedbeforeKatrinaandthe
extensivefloodinganddestructionitexperiencedonlyaddedmoreinjurytoastrugglinggroupof
neighborhoods.Theircontinuedrecoveryandrebuildingwillbeachallengeandwilllikelytakelonger
thanotherareasoftheCity.
NewOrleansEast,althoughithasregainedabout70%ofitsprestormpopulationlagsbehindinits
recoveryofbusinessandcommercialactivityaswellastherestorationofcriticalcommunityservices
suchashospitals.Consequently,thearealackssomeessentialelementsofneighborhoodcohesionthat
provideforabetterqualityoflifeforitsresidentsandthatprovideacriticalmassofjobsand
employmentopportunitiesforthosewholiveinorwouldbeattractedtothearea.Thisisespecially
problematicforrenterhouseholdsseekingjobsinsectorssuchasretail,restaurantsorserviceswhere
opportunitiesarecurrentlysomewhatlimited.Thisimpactsnewlybuiltandrebuiltapartment
communitiesinthisareaoftheCity.
Algiers,whichreceivedanimmediatepoststormsurgeofgrowth,isnowlaggingbehindotherplanning
districtsintermsofpopulationgrowth,housingdemandandcommercialactivity.Itschallenges
regardinghousingdemandarebestevidencedbyweakenedaveragesalespricesforsinglefamilyhomes
aswellasdecliningaveragerentandoccupancylevelsinrentalapartments.Astroublingasthesetrends
aretheymayverywellberelativelyshortlivedastheAlgiersareabeginstorealizetheeconomic
benefitsoftheFederalCitydevelopment.Thisisalongtermprojectthatwillhelpstabilizetheareas
economyandprovideawiderangeofcivilianjobopportunitiesforresidents.Intheshortterm,
however,competitivepressuresarelikelytocreatemorerentandoccupancychallengesforproperty
owners.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

114

Acknowledgments
Theauthorsofthisreportbenefittedfromthetremendouscooperationoftheownersandmanagersof
apartmentpropertiesthroughouttheNewOrleansarea.Tothem,weexpressourgreatappreciation
andgratitude.Wewouldalsoliketoexpressourappreciationtoorganizationsoragencieswhich
providedinformationusedinthisreport.ThisincludestheLHFA,OCD/DRU,theHousingAuthorityof
NewOrleans(HANO),theLouisianaStateTaxCommissionandtheNewOrleansMetropolitan
AssociationofRealtors(NOMAR).

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

115

APPENDIX

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

116


TableA1:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentOccupancyHistory,19741979
Parish/Area

Units

1974
Occupancy

Units

1975
Occupancy

Units

1976
Occupancy

Units

1977
Occupancy

Units

1978
Occupancy

Units

1979
Occupancy

OrleansParish

NA

78.1%

NA

85.4%

12,531

94.6%

13,101

98.4%

13,101

98.4%

12,015

JeffersonParish

NA

87.5%

NA

88.8%

15,462

95.6%

16,705

97.9%

16,705

97.9%

19,152

96.0%
97.2%

St.TammanyParish

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

80

100.0%

NewOrleansMetroTotal

NA

82.8%

NA

87.1%

27,993

95.1%

29,806

98.2%

29,806

98.2%

31,247

97.7%

ExcludingElderly&Fed.Subsidized
Elderly

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

Fed.Subsidized

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NewOrleansMetroTotal

NA

82.8%

NA

87.1%

27,993

95.1%

29,806

98.2%

16,705

98.2%

31,247

97.7%

TableA2:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentOccupancyHistory,19801989
Parish/Area
OrleansParish
JeffersonParish
St.TammanyParish
NewOrleansMetroTotal

Units

1980
Occupancy

Units

1981
Occupancy

Units

1982
Occupancy

Units

1983
Occupancy

Units

1984
Occupancy

8,704

98.3%

9,369

96.6%

8,954

96.3%

11,300

93.8%

14,126

85.2%

14,572

97.2%

16,873

97.5%

18,039

95.0%

18,624

95.4%

20,012

89.9%

80

100.0%

199

99.5%

912

94.2%

854

92.4%

949

83.0%

23,356

98.5%

26,441

97.9%

27,905

95.2%

30,778

93.9%

35,087

86.0%

ExcludingElderly&Fed.Subsidized
Elderly

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

Fed.Subsidized

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

23,356

98.5%

26,441

97.9%

27,905

95.2%

30,778

93.9%

35,087

86.0%

NewOrleansMetroTotal

Parish/Area

Units

1985
Occupancy

OrleansParish

14,842

JeffersonParish
St.TammanyParish
NewOrleansMetroTotal

Units

1986
Occupancy

84.6%

16,740

20,209

88.3%

814

84.0%

35,865

Units

1987
Occupancy

78.9%

20,376

23,995

82.7%

432

77.3%

85.6%

41,167

Units

1988
Occupancy

77.8%

21,827

25,643

84.7%

887

75.6%

79.6%

46,906

Units

1989
Occupancy

81.9%

22,273

80.0%

34,488

85.8%

35,601

87.6%

416

88.9%

460

87.6%

79.4%

56,731

85.5%

58,334

85.1%

ExcludingElderly&Fed.Subsidized
Z Elderly

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

1,923

97.5%

1,909

92.6%

Y Fed.Subsidized

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

35,865

85.6%

41,167

79.6%

46,906

79.4%

58,654

91.5%

60,243

88.8%

NewOrleansMetroTotal

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

117


TableA3:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentOccupancyHistory,19901999
Parish/Area

Units

1990
Occupancy

Units

1991
Occupancy

Units

1992
Occupancy

Units

1993
Occupancy

Units

1994
Occupancy

OrleansParish

18,482

78.5%

14,198

88.1%

13,098

84.7%

15,379

88.5%

15,100

89.4%

JeffersonParish

24,077

89.0%

19,609

92.7%

21,382

91.5%

21,002

92.7%

20,936

94.5%

888

94.4%

371

99.5%

735

98.4%

758

98.4%

735

98.5%

43,447

87.3%

34,178

93.4%

35,215

91.5%

37,139

93.2%

36,771

94.1%

1,940

92.7%

1,468

95.0%

1,924

96.7%

1,789

98.0%

1,789

98.0%

NA

NA

NA

NA

636

98.3%

636

96.8%

636

96.8%

45,387

90.0%

35,646

94.2%

37,775

94.5%

39,564

95.3%

39,196

95.8%

St.TammanyParish
NewOrleansMetroTotal

ExcludingElderly&Fed.Subsidized
Elderly
Fed.Subsidized
NewOrleansMetroTotal

Parish/Area

Units

1995
Occupancy

Units

1996
Occupancy

Units

1997
Occupancy

Units

1998
Occupancy

Units

1999
Occupancy

OrleansParish

15,162

90.7%

14,193

87.7%

14,567

87.6%

14,075

89.4%

14,146

JeffersonParish

20,948

94.9%

20,908

94.3%

21,933

95.0%

21,759

95.7%

21,653

95.3%

740

92.0%

752

92.5%

788

95.0%

812

97.8%

842

95.1%

36,850

92.5%

35,853

91.5%

37,288

92.5%

36,646

97.8%

36,641

94.0%

1,828

96.8%

1,790

96.9%

1,790

98.2%

1,904

96.9%

1,904

98.0%

636

96.7%

636

99.2%

636

99.6%

636

97.7%

636

97.7%

39,314

94.5%

38,279

94.8%

39,714

95.7%

39,186

97.6%

39,181

95.9%

St.TammanyParish
NewOrleansMetroTotal

91.6%

ExcludingElderly&Fed.Subsidized
Elderly
Fed.Subsidized
NewOrleansMetroTotal

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

118


TableA4:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentOccupancyHistory,20002008
Parish/Area

Units

2000
Occupancy

Units

2001
Occupancy

Units

2002
Occupancy

Units

2003
Occupancy

Units

2004
Occupancy

OrleansParish

14,136

93.9%

13,618

94.2%

13,618

93.8%

14,041

94.4%

14,111

94.8%

JeffersonParish

25,970

94.3%

23,197

94.2%

23,197

94.1%

22,138

94.1%

21,928

94.7%

1,172

97.8%

1,239

98.2%

1,239

96.2%

1,570

94.5%

2,066

95.6%

41,278

95.3%

38,054

95.5%

38,054

94.7%

37,749

94.3%

38,105

95.0%

1,906

97.6%

1,910

97.8%

1,910

96.0%

1,911

94.1%

1,909

94.8%

636

96.0%

636

96.1%

636

95.0%

636

99.6%

636

99.6%

43,820

96.1%

40,600

96.2%

40,600

95.1%

40,296

95.6%

40,650

96.1%

St.TammanyParish
NewOrleansMetroTotal

ExcludingElderly&Fed.Subsidized
Elderly
Fed.Subsidized
NewOrleansMetroTotal

Parish/Area

2005(PreK)
Units Occupancy

2005(PostK)
Units Occupancy

Units

2006
Occupancy

Units

2007
Occupancy

Units

2008
Occupancy

OrleansParish

11,436

94.5%

3,033

87.5%

12,343

88.2%

12,252

84.4%

10,007

85.3%

JeffersonParish

14,849

94.6%

10,789

99.6%

22,722

93.6%

20,757

93.6%

22,481

90.1%

2,066

88.4%

1,962

98.7%

2,305

97.9%

2,260

91.6%

2,685

81.6%

28,351

92.5%

15,784

95.3%

37,370

93.2%

35,269

89.9%

35,173

85.7%

St.TammanyParish
NewOrleansMetroTotal

ExcludingElderly&Fed.Subsidized
Elderly

458

94.5%

NA

0.0%

117

77.0%

1,522

91.7%

1,123

81.0%

Fed.Subsidized

524

100.0%

105

100.0%

248

100.0%

380

100.0%

380

98.7%

29,333

94.9%

15,889

97.6%

37,735

91.0%

37,171

92.9%

36,676

87.8%

NewOrleansMetroTotal

Source:UniversityofNewOrleansRealEstateResearchCenter,NewOrleansMetropolitanRealEstateMarketAnalysisReports

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

119


TableA5:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentRentHistory,19741979
1974
Parish/Area

Units

1975
Rent

Units

1976
Rent

Units

1977
Rent

Units

1978
Rent

Units

1979
Rent

Units

Rent

OrleansParish

NA

NA

NA

NA

12,531

$217

13,101

$217

13,101

$217

12,015

$249

JeffersonParish

NA

NA

NA

NA

15,462

$181

16,705

$216

16,705

$216

19,152

$263

NA

$217

29,806

$217

St.TammanyParish

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NewOrleansMetroTotal

NA

NA

NA

NA

27,993

$199

0 NA
29,806

80 NA
31,167

$256

TableA6:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentRentHistory,19801989
1980
Parish/Area
OrleansParish

Units

1981
Rent

Units

1982
Rent

Units

1983
Rent

Units

1984
Rent

Units

Rent

8,704

$269

9,369

$326

8,954

$347

11,300

$360

14,126

$396

14,572

$291

16,873

$322

18,039

$340

18,624

$357

20,012

$349

199

$351

912

$361

854

$338

949

$369

$280

26,441

$333

27,905

$349

30,778

$352

35,087

$371

JeffersonParish
JeffersonParish
St.TammanyParish
NewOrleansMetroTotal

80 NA
23,356
1985

Parish/Area

Units

1986
Rent

Units

1987
Rent

Units

1988
Rent

Units

1989
Rent

Units

Rent

OrleansParish

14,842

$396

16,740

$376

20,376

$396

21,827

$360

22,273

$361

JeffersonParish

20,209

$347

23,995

$334

25,643

$356

34,488

$349

35,601

$355

814

$362

432

$342

887

$325

416

$314

460

$342

35,865

$368

41,167

$351

46,906

$359

56,731

$341

58,334

$353

St.TammanyParish
NewOrleansMetroTotal

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

120


TableA7:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentRentHistory,19901999
1990
Parish/Area

Units

1991
Rent

Units

1992
Rent

Units

1993
Rent

Units

1994
Rent

Units

Rent

OrleansParish

18,482

$362

14,198

$416

13,098

$414

15,379

$433

15,100

$436

JeffersonParish

24,077

$378

19,609

$405

21,382

$427

21,002

$423

20,936

$440

888

$352

371

$364

735

$379

758

$393

735

$423

43,447

$364

34,178

$395

35,215

$407

37,139

$416

36,771

$433

St.TammanyParish
NewOrleansMetroTotal

1995
Parish/Area

Units

OrleansParish

15,162

JeffersonParish
St.TammanyParish
NewOrleansMetroTotal

1996
Rent

Units

1997
Rent

$450

14,193

20,948

$458

740

$444

36,850

$451

Units

1998
Rent

$471

14,567

20,908

$472

752

$461

35,853

$468

Units

1999
Rent

$491

14,075

21,933

$485

788

$482

37,288

$486

Units

Rent

$497

14,146

$508

21,759

$496

21,653

$506

812

$492

842

$504

36,646

$495

36,641

$506

TableA8:NewOrleansMetropolitanAreaApartmentRentHistory,20002008
2000
Parish/Area

Units

2001
Rent

Units

2002
Rent

Units

2003
Rent

Units

2004
Rent

Units

Rent

OrleansParish

14,136

$528

13,618

$547

13,618

$585

14,041

$590

14,111

$767

JeffersonParish

25,970

$589

23,197

$604

23,197

$545

22,138

$566

21,928

$658

1,172

$541

1,239

$560

1,239

$618

1,570

$651

1,493

$709

41,278

$553

38,054

$570

38,054

$583

37,749

$602

37,532

$711

St.TammanyParish
NewOrleansMetroTotal

Parish/Area

2005(PreK)
Units
Rent

2005(PostK)
Units
Rent

2006
Units

2007
Rent

Units

2008
Rent

Units

Rent

OrleansParish

11,436

$818

3,033

$1,055

12,343

$1,000

12,252

$1,150

10,007

JeffersonParish

14,849

$699

10,789

$784

22,722

$850

20,757

$872

22,481

$950

2,541

$803

1,993

$981

2,009

$966

2,260

$961

2,685

$1,014

28,826

$773

15,815

$940

37,074

$939

35,269

$994

35,173

$1,044

St.TammanyParish
NewOrleansMetroTotal

Source:UniversityofNewOrleansRealEstateResearchCenter,NewOrleansMetropolitanRealEstateMarketAnalysisReports

$1,167

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

121


TableA9:PermitandEmploymentTrends,NewOrleansMetropolitanArea:19702009

Year

Single
Family

Multifamily

Total

Multfamily
Percent of Employment
Total

Total
Change

Ten Year
Average

Percent
Change

1970

5,361

3,836

9,197

41.7

457,888

1,814

-8.83

1971

5,379

10,604

15,983

66.3

459,400

1,512

0.33

1972

7,417

9,579

16,996

56.4

474,487

15,087

3.28

1973

4,409

7,039

11,448

61.5

494,110

19,623

4.14

1974

3,496

1,384

4,880

28.4

506,549

12,439

2.52

1975

3,970

748

4,718

15.9

520,111

13,562

2.68

1976

5,640

1,673

7,313

22.9

539,259

19,148

3.68

1977

7,169

5,825

12,994

44.8

554,492

15,233

2.82

1978

6,397

3,884

10,281

37.8

576,220

21,728

3.92

1979

5,618

3,990

9,608

41.5

592,183

15,963

Total Change Emp


Total Permits Issued:
1970's

136,109
54,856

48,562

103,418

2.77

13,611

2.63

Ten Year
Average

13.01

47.0

Average
Employment: 1970's

517,470

1980

4,319

4,114

8,433

48.8

612,889

20,706

1981

3,568

3,358

6,926

48.5

627,275

14,386

2.35

1982

4,119

2,463

6,582

37.4

619,602

(7,673)

-1.22

1983

6,853

6,452

13,305

48.5

604,548

(15,054)

-2.43

1984

5,900

4,163

10,063

41.4

616,468

11,920

1.97

1985

4,196

3,110

7,306

42.6

602,972

(13,496)

-2.19

1986

3,271

603

3,874

15.6

583,813

(19,159)

-3.18

1987

3,089

189

3,278

5.8

572,236

(11,577)

-1.98

1988

2,216

481

2,697

17.8

580,952

8,716

1.52

1989

1,975

470

2,445

19.2

588,278

7,326

Total Change Emp


Total Permits Issued
1980's

(3,905)
39,506

25,403

64,909

3.50

1.26

(391)

-0.06

Ten Year
Average

16.12

39.1

Average Change in
Employment: 1980's

600,903

1990

1,979

303

2,282

13.3

598,593

10,315

1.75

1991

2,340

140

2,480

5.6

600,109

1,516

0.25

1992

3,031

261

3,292

7.9

601,447

1,338

0.22

1993

3,373

260

3,633

7.2

605,518

4,071

0.68

1994

3,622

508

4,130

12.3

618,093

12,575

2.08

1995

3,268

752

4,020

18.7

630,917

12,824

2.07

1996

3,682

1,055

4,737

22.3

634,950

4,033

0.64

1997

3,597

460

4,057

11.3

644,294

9,344

1.47

1998

3,678

731

4,409

16.6

651,425

7,131

1.11

1999

3,777

603

4,380

13.8

652,580

1,155

Total Change Emp


Total Permits Issued:
1990's

64,302
32,347

5,073

37,420

0.18

6,430

1.03

Ten Year
Average

3.81

13.6

Average Change in
Employment: 1990's

623,793

2000

1,691

694

2,385

29.1

656,124

4,699

0.54

2001

3,518

949

4,467

21.2

655,362

(762)

-0.12

2002

4,357

1,057

5,414

19.5

647,894

(7,468)

-1.14

2003

5,386

772

6,158

12.5

649,034

1,140

0.18

2004

5,792

702

6,494

10.8

651,658

2,624

0.40

2005

4,660

293

4,953

5.9

594,688

(56,970)

-8.74

2006

5,100

659

5,759

11.4

519,982

(74,706)

-12.56

2007

4,041

3,025

7,066

42.8

552,958

32,976

6.34

2008

2,793

2,037

4,830

42.2

2009

2,231

646

2,877

22.5

565,316
12,358
555,100 * (10,216)

-1.81

Total Change Emp


Total Permits Issued:
2000's

(96,325)
39,569

Average Change in
Employment: 2000's

10,834

50,403

2.23

(9,633)

-1.59

21.5

604,812

-3.04

*2009 employment data is estimated

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

122


TableA10:NewOrleansApartmentSurveySummary,MarketRateOccupancy,Units
AvailableandUnitsOffline:20082009
Occupancy

2010
Total Units
Surveyed

Total Units
Not
Responding

Units
Offline

Units to be
Demolished

2008

2009

2010

New Orleans
A Uptown
B Mid-City
C Lake Forest
D NO East
E Algiers
M Warehouse District
Parish Total

93.0%
77.6%
72.2%
NA
94.5%
89.0%
85.3%

NA
90.6%
80.1%
NA
83.3%
92.7%
86.7%

92.8%
91.9%
82.0%
84.0%
76.7%
95.9%
87.2%

534
1,704
4,316
322
3,189
1,517
11,582

37
150
517
116
966
0
1,786

2
2
6
0
0
7
17

495
1,552
3,793
206
2,223
1,510
9,779

St. Tammany
F East St. Tammany
N West St. Tammany
Parish Total

91.3%
71.8%
81.6%

87.9%
88.6%
88.3%

88.7%
93.3%
91.0%

1,291
1,450
2,741

0
0
0

1
5
6

1,290
1,445
2,735

Jefferson
G Kenner
H West Metairie
I East Metairie
J River Ridge
K Harvey Canal West
L Harvey Canal East
Parish Total

86.2%
90.4%
92.8%
88.9%
NA
92.1%
90.1%

81.9%
87.9%
91.5%
85.4%
91.0%
91.1%
88.1%

83.9%
91.6%
94.5%
89.5%
NA
92.4%
90.4%

4,165
7,929
1,836
3,657
484
5,332
23,403

0
170
97
62
100
415
844

69
118
34
1
384
296
902

4,096
7,641
1,705
3,594
0
4,621
21,657

New Orleans Metro Total


Excluding Rent Asst./Fed. Subsidized

86.7%

87.7%

89.0%

37,726

2,630

925

34,171

Rent Assisted/Federall Subsidized


Including Elderly

88.6%

95.6%

96.1%

3,256

401

2,855

New Orleans Metro Total

86.8%

88.3%

89.5%

40,982

3,031

925

Source: Survey of property owners and managers compiled by the UNO Institute for Economic Development & Real Estate Research

Total Units
Available
Reporting

37,026

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

123


TableA11:NewOrleansApartmentSurvey,MarketRateRentSummary:20082010
Number of Units

Average Size

Reporting Rent
Area

Average Rent

(Square Feet)

Ave Rent Change

(Dollars)

2008 vs. 2009

2008

2009

2010

2008

2009

2010

2008

2009

2010

8,798

8,995

Dollars

Percent

($120)

-10.27%

Avg Pr Sq/Ft

2009 vs. 2010


Dollars

(Cents)

Percent

2008

2009

2010
$0.98

New Orleans
New Orleans Total

9,794

1,071

1,067

1,144

$1,166

$1,047

$1,126

7.55%

$1.09

$0.98

Efficiencies

Flat

345

386

382

495

481

493

$817

$737

$784

($80)

-9.82%

$47

6.34%

$1.65

$1.53

1 BR

Flat

3,769

3,494

4,151

730

749

703

$1,064

$871

$815

($194)

-18.19%

($55)

-6.35%

$1.46

$1.16

$1.16

1BR

Tow nhouse

175

205

295

978

989

997

$1,159

$1,170

$1,025

$11

0.91%

($145)

-12.36%

$1.18

$1.18

$1.03

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

1,238

1,546

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

2 BR/2.x BA

$1.59

1,302

935

939

997

$884

$1,034

$100

12.71%

$150

16.95%

$0.84

$0.94

$1.04

312

625

398

1,088

1,156

1,247

$861

$830

$1,116

($32)

-3.66%

$287

34.54%

NA

$0.72

$0.89

2,063

2,106

2,358

1,067

1,011

1,025

$1,146

$1,083

$1,149

($63)

-5.51%

$66

6.11%

$1.07

$1.07

$1.12

Tow nhouse

545

158

333

1,257

1,331

1,277

$1,394

$1,365

$1,363

($29)

-2.10%

($2)

-0.12%

NA

$1.03

$1.07

3 BR

Flat

334

408

353

1,418

1,393

1,406

$1,494

$1,321

$1,328

($173)

-11.58%

$7

0.55%

$1.05

$0.95

$0.94

3 BR

Tow nhouse

17

67

203

1,674

1,551

1,639

$1,778

$1,160

$1,483

($617)

-34.72%

$322

27.79%

$1.06

$0.75

$0.90

4 BR

Flat

13

NA

NA

1,512

NA

NA

$1,500

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$0.99

4 BR

Tow nhouse

NA

NA

1,290

NA

NA

$785

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$0.61

$1,325

$165

18.02%

A - Uptown

$784

$79

172

135

497

768

722

1,102

22.86%

$1.19

$1.49

$1.20

Efficiencies

Flat

103

103

103

415

415

415

$700

$715

$715

$15

2.14%

$0

0.00%

$1.69

$1.72

$1.72

1 BR

Flat

52

18

165

780

875

739

$1,008

$1,235

$1,057

$227

22.52%

($178)

-14.41%

$1.29

$1.41

$1.43

1BR

Tow nhouse

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

2 BR/2.x BA

Tow nhouse

3 BR

Flat

3 BR

Tow nhouse

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse

B - Mid-City

NA

$914

NA

$1,078

NA

$247

14

NA

1,400

NA

$1,650

NA

NA

NA

$1.18

10

NA

NA

1,900

NA

NA

$2,090

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$1.10

17

14

14

1,108

875

875

$1,033

$1,285

$1,285

$252

24.39%

$0

0.00%

NA

$0.93

NA

$1.47

$1.47

177

NA

NA

1,081

NA

NA

$1,173

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$1.09

14

NA

NA

1,307

NA

NA

$1,304

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$1.00

1,342

1,286

1,553

944

968

1,049

$1,402

$1,100

$1,117

($302)

-21.54%

$17

1.57%

$1.49

$1.14

$1.07

Efficiencies

Flat

134

134

134

510

510

510

$1,163

$875

$935

($288)

-24.76%

$60

6.86%

$2.28

$1.72

$1.83

1 BR

Flat

515

502

592

763

763

764

$1,844

$845

$878

($999)

-54.18%

$33

3.91%

$2.42

$1.11

$1.15

1BR

Tow nhouse

26

845

NA

NA

$1,200

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$1.42

NA

NA

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

198

218

138

923

949

1,042

$765

$911

$972

$146

19.08%

$61

6.70%

$0.83

$0.96

$0.93

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

420

2 BR/2.x BA

Tow nhouse

3 BR

Flat

3 BR

Tow nhouse

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse

383

548

1,159

1,119

$1,187

$1,204

$1.02

$1.08

34

NA

NA

1,154

NA

NA

$1,000

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$0.87

49

49

67

1,461

1,159

1,461

1,429

$1,975

$1,466

$1,683

$1,533

($292)

($279)

-14.78%

-19.03%

($150)

$17

-8.91%

1.43%

$1.35

$1.26

$1.15

$1.07

40

NA

NA

1,322

NA

NA

$1,300

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$0.98

Area
C - Lake Forest
Efficiencies

Flat

1 BR

Flat

Number of Units

Average Size

Average Rent

Reporting Rent

(Square Feet)

(Dollars)

Ave Rent Change


2008 vs. 2009

2008

2009

2010

2008

2009

2010

2008

2009

2010

Dollars

3,733

3,780

3,799

1,024

1,095

1,021

$813

$793

$751

($20)

1,335

1,339

1,406

679

682

672

$665

$615

$605

($50)

90

NA

NA

1,013

NA

NA

$745

NA

(Cents)

Dollars

Percent

2008

2009

-2.46%

($42)

-5.24%

$0.79

$0.72

$0.74

-7.52%

($10)

-1.63%

$0.98

$0.90

$0.90

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

2010

1BR

Tow nhouse

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

562

648

702

946

1,034

1,019

$839

$777

$756

($62)

-7.39%

($21)

-2.70%

$0.89

$0.75

$0.74

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

267

580

299

1,100

1,108

1,086

$824

$777

$712

($47)

-5.70%

($65)

-8.37%

$0.75

$0.70

$0.66

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

1,082

998

1,145

1,000

997

1,003

$791

$744

$740

($47)

-5.94%

($4)

-0.54%

$0.79

$0.75

$0.74

2 BR/2.x BA

Tow nhouse

355

34

1,049

1,120

NA

$769

$795

NA

$26

3.38%

NA

NA

$0.73

$0.71

NA

3 BR

Flat

132

167

157

1,370

1,372

1,334

$989

$952

$950

($37)

-3.74%

($2)

-0.21%

$0.72

$0.69

$0.71

3 BR

Tow nhouse

14

NA

1,350

NA

NA

$890

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$0.66

NA

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse
0

206

NA

NA

886

NA

NA

$712

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$0.80

52

NA

NA

570

NA

NA

$570

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$1.00

D - N.O East

Percent

Avg Pr Sq/Ft

2009 vs. 2010

$0.74

Efficiencies

Flat

1 BR

Flat

1BR

Tow nhouse

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

46

NA

NA

720

NA

NA

$720

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$1.00

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

44

NA

NA

800

NA

NA

$800

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$1.00

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

2 BR/2.x BA

Tow nhouse

3 BR

Flat

3 BR

Tow nhouse

58

NA

NA

1,050

NA

NA

$687

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$0.65

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse

NA

NA

1,290

NA

NA

$785

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$0.61

2,437

2,659

2,222

1,083

1,085

1,102

-$13

-1.58%

($3)

-0.37%

$0.74

$0.73

$0.71

($24)

E - Algiers
Efficiencies

550

518

518

$802
$498

$789
$540

$786

Flat

98

138

138

$516

$42

8.43%

1 BR

Flat

1,298

1,138

1,109

722

733

752

$629

$610

$611

-$19

-3.02%

$1

0.16%

$0.87

$0.83

$0.81

1BR

Tow nhouse

58

58

1,000

888

888

$660

$709

$700

$49

7.42%

($9)

-1.27%

-4.44%

$0.66

$0.91

$0.80

$0.79

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

478

662

384

935

937

965

$749

$713

$710

-$36

-4.81%

($3)

-0.42%

$0.80

$0.76

$0.74

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

45

45

45

1,075

1,203

1,203

$898

$882

$862

-$16

-1.78%

($20)

-2.27%

$0.84

$0.73

$0.72

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

287

403

300

978

998

1,005

$723

$766

$775

$43

5.95%

$9

1.17%

$0.74

$0.77

$0.77

2 BR/ 2.Xba

Tow nhouse

123

57

55

1,180

1,330

1,330

$1,025

$871

$851

-$154

-15.02%

($20)

-2.30%

$0.87

$0.65

$0.64

3 BR

Flat

102

118

45

1,404

1,367

1,468

$857

$918

$965

$61

7.12%

$47

5.12%

$0.61

$0.67

$0.66

3 BR

Tow nhouse

40

88

1,900

1,791

1,791

$1,175

$1,091

$1,084

-$84

-7.15%

($7)

-0.64%

$0.62

$0.61

$0.61

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

$1.04

$1.00

124


TableA11:Continued:NewOrleansApartmentSurvey,MarketRateRentSummary:2008
2010
Area
M - Warehouse District

Number of Units

Average Size

Average Rent

Reporting Rent

(Square Feet)

(Dollars)

Ave Rent Change


2008 vs. 2009

2008

2009

2010

2008

2009

2010

2008

2009

2010

1,114

1,135

1,517

1,117

1,069

1,275

$1,763

$1,465

$1,749

10

11

505

482

528

$908

$818

Dollars
($298)

Percent
-16.88%

Avg Pr Sq/Ft

2009 vs. 2010

(Cents)

Dollars

Percent

2008

2009

2010

$283

19.35%

$1.58

$1.37

$1.37

Efficiencies

Flat

$969

($90)

-9.91%

$151

18.46%

1 BR

Flat

569

497

827

706

692

721

$1,175

$1,048

$1,171

($127)

-10.81%

$123

11.74%

$1.66

$1.51

$1.62

1BR

Tow nhouse

147

147

147

1,090

1,090

1,090

$1,617

$1,630

$1,630

$13

0.80%

$0

0.00%

$1.48

$1.80

$1.50

$1.70

$1.50

$1.84

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

$1.67

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

2 BR/ 2.Xba

Tow nhouse

3 BR

Flat

3 BR

Tow nhouse

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse
2,648

18

18

NA

834

834

NA

$1,135

$1,395

NA

NA

$260

22.91%

NA

$1.36

257

308

351

1,092

1,025

1,123

$1,718

$1,433

$1,742

($285)

-16.59%

$309

21.56%

$1.57

$1.40

$1.55

67

67

67

1,543

1,543

1,543

$2,388

$2,428

$2,428

$40

1.68%

$0

0.00%

$1.55

$1.57

$1.57

51

74

84

1,437

1,372

1,394

$2,153

$1,729

$1,863

($424)

-19.69%

$134

7.75%

$1.50

$1.26

$1.34

13

13

1,447

1,512

2,726

$2,380

$1,500

$3,039

($880)

-36.97%

$1,539

102.60%

$1.64

$0.99

$1.11

13

NA

NA

1,512

NA

NA

$1,500

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$0.99

2,845

-$141

-13.55%

$0.85

St. Tammany
St. Tammany Total

2,741

1,087

1,045

1,120

$1,038

$897

$953

$55

6.17%

$0.96

$0.86

Efficiencies

Flat

20

20

21

650

650

620

$725

$725

$691

$0

0.00%

($35)

-4.76%

$1.12

$1.12

$1.11

1 BR

Flat

1,095

1,235

1,135

764

754

775

$816

$725

$771

-$91

-11.16%

$46

6.35%

$1.07

$0.96

$0.99

1,183

1,183

1,183

$1,275

$1,050

23.81%

1BR

Tow nhouse

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

19

19

19

$1,300

-$225

-17.65%

$250

285

203

133

1,011

881

885

$922

$696

$705

-$227

-24.57%

$10

1.37%

$0.91

$0.79

$0.80

84

52

52

1,090

930

930

$925

$850

$850

-$75

-8.11%

$0

0.00%

$0.85

$1.08

$0.91

$0.89

$0.91

$1.10

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

802

874

950

1,122

1,099

1,678

$1,153

$1,038

$1,087

-$115

-9.97%

$49

4.67%

$1.03

$0.94

$0.65

2 BR/ 2.Xba

Tow nhouse

148

180

140

1,302

1,267

1,220

$1,327

$1,034

$962

-$293

-22.08%

($72)

-6.96%

$1.02

$0.82

$0.79

3 BR

Flat

140

203

221

1,253

1,336

1,398

$1,047

$1,097

$1,193

$50

4.78%

$97

8.80%

$0.84

$0.82

$0.85

3 BR

Tow nhouse

55

59

70

1,409

1,305

1,392

$1,154

$864

$1,018

-$291

-25.17%

$155

17.89%

$0.82

$0.66

$0.73

4 BR

Flat
1,523

1,623

1,291

1,102

1,101

1,026

$969

$915

$895

-$54

-5.55%

($20)

-2.18%

$0.88

4 BR

Tow nhouse

F - E. St. Tammany

$0.83

$0.87

Efficiencies

Flat

NA

NA

590

NA

NA

$595

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$1.01

1 BR

Flat

673

753

563

748

748

772

$761

$705

$730

-$56

-7.36%

$25

3.55%

$1.02

$0.94

$0.95

1BR

Tow nhouse

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

160

180

110

-$36

-4.50%

($1)

-0.13%

$0.83

$0.82

$0.81

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

52

52

52

930

930

930

$850

$850

$850

$0

0.00%

$0

0.00%

$0.91

$0.91

$0.91

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

395

395

329

1,125

1,125

1,110

$1,113

$1,012

$1,086

-$101

-9.07%

$74

7.31%

$0.99

$0.90

$0.98

2 BR/ 2.Xba

Tow nhouse

108

108

108

1,189

1,201

1,189

$1,004

$986

$991

-$18

-1.79%

$5

0.51%

$0.84

$0.82

$0.83

3 BR

Flat

80

80

80

1,355

1,355

1,355

$1,098

$958

$1,026

-$140

-12.75%

$68

7.10%

$0.81

$0.71

$0.76

3 BR

Tow nhouse

55

55

48

1,409

1,409

1,314

$1,154

$1,129

$1,118

-$25

-2.17%

($11)

-0.97%

$0.82

$0.80

$0.85

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse

961

936

945

$800

$764

$763

Area

Number of Units

Average Size

Average Rent

Reporting Rent

(Square Feet)

(Dollars)

Ave Rent Change


2008 vs. 2009

2009

2010

2008

2009

2010

2008

2009

2010

Dollars

2009

2010

1,125

1,222

1,450

1,076

1,042

1,230

$1,094

$891

$980

-$203

-18.59%

$90

10.06%

$1.02

$0.85

$0.80

Flat

20

20

20

650

650

650

$725

$725

$786

$0

0.00%

$61

8.41%

$1.12

$1.12

$1.21

1 BR

Flat

422

482

572

779

759

777

$870

$744

$811

-$126

-14.48%

$67

9.01%

$1.12

$0.98

$1.04

1BR

Tow nhouse

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

2 BR/ 2.Xba

Tow nhouse

40

3 BR

Flat

60

3 BR

Tow nhouse

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse

Percent

(Cents)

Efficiencies

N - W. St. Tammany

2008

Avg Pr Sq/Ft

2009 vs. 2010


Dollars

Percent

2008

19

19

19

1,183

1,183

1,183

$1,275

$1,050

$1,300

-$225

-17.65%

$250

23.81%

$1.08

$0.89

$1.10

125

23

23

1,060

825

825

$1,044

$627

$647

-$417

-39.94%

$20

3.19%

$0.98

$0.76

$0.78

32

1,250

NA

NA

$1,000

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$0.80

NA

NA

407

479

621

1,119

1,072

2,245

$1,193

$1,064

$1,087

-$129

-10.81%

$23

2.16%

$1.07

$0.99

$0.48

72

32

1,414

1,332

1,250

$1,650

$1,082

$933

-$568

-34.42%

($149)

-13.77%

$1.17

$0.81

$0.75

123

141

1,150

1,316

1,441

$995

$1,235

$1,360

$240

24.12%

$125

10.12%

$0.87

$0.94

$0.94

22

NA

1,200

1,470

NA

$598

$918

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$0.62

Jefferson
Jefferson Total

20,375

21,426

22,139

1,091

1,122

1,124

$951

$929

$914

-$22

-2.36%

($15)

-1.57%

$0.87

$0.83

$0.81

Efficiencies

Flat

1,784

1,762

1,726

483

469

467

$547

$553

$548

$6

1.10%

($5)

-0.90%

$1.13

$1.18

$1.17

1 BR

Flat

10,055

10,282

10,559

729

722

722

$736

$746

$716

$9

1.29%

($30)

-3.98%

$1.01

$1.03

$0.99

1BR

Tow nhouse

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

2 BR/ 2.Xba
3 BR

177

351

396

786

774

787

$762

$745

$751

-$17

-2.17%

$6

0.77%

$0.97

$0.96

$0.95

2,645

2,665

2,803

881

865

892

$799

$821

$787

$22

2.77%

($34)

-4.18%

$0.91

$0.95

$0.88
$0.79

441

537

654

1,011

1,023

1,032

$835

$816

$814

-$19

-2.28%

($3)

-0.31%

$0.83

$0.80

3,657

4,133

4,130

1,085

1,073

1,084

$1,010

$987

$943

-$23

-2.32%

($43)

-4.40%

$0.93

$0.92

$0.87

Tow nhouse

781

778

853

1,211

1,218

1,185

$967

$912

$915

-$56

-5.75%

$4

0.40%

$0.80

$0.75

$0.77

Flat

456

526

626

1,211

1,223

1,226

$1,101

$1,062

$1,036

-$39

-3.52%

($27)

-2.50%

$0.91

$0.87

$0.84

3 BR

Tow nhouse

377

382

382

1,390

1,385

1,378

$1,212

$1,082

$1,053

-$130

-10.73%

($29)

-2.66%

$0.87

$0.78

$0.76

4 BR

Flat

NA

1,466

1,466

NA

$950

$950

NA

NA

$0

0.00%

NA

$0.65

4 BR

Tow nhouse

Efficiencies
1 BR

$0.65

2,120

2,120

2,120

$1,545

$1,545

$1,545

$0

$0

$0

0.00%

$0.73

$0.73

$0.73

4,095

4,097

4,117

970

968

933

$826

$830

$811

$4

0.50%

($18)

-2.20%

$0.85

$0.86

$0.87

Flat

405

405

405

455

455

455

$544

$551

$550

$7

1.29%

($1)

-0.18%

$1.20

$1.21

$1.21

Flat

2,426

2,426

G - Kenner

2,426

799

796

790

$766

$775

$754

$9

1.17%

-2.71%

$0.96

$0.97

$0.95

80

82

80

723

722

723

$607

$603

$603

-$4

-0.66%

$0

0.00%

$0.84

$0.84

$0.83

221

221

243

924

910

893

$828

$837

$797

$9

1.09%

($40)

-4.78%

$0.90

$0.92

$0.89

34

34

1,100

1,100

1,100

$850

$850

$850

$0

0.00%

$0

0.00%

$0.77

$0.77

$0.77

771

771

1,266

1,266

1,227

$1,091

$1,100

$1,047

$9

0.82%

($53)

-4.82%

$0.86

$0.87

$0.85

158

1,525

1,525

1,343

$1,093

$1,092

$1,079

-$1

-0.09%

($13)

-1.19%

$0.72

$0.72

$0.80

1BR

Tow nhouse

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

34

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

771

2 BR/ 2.Xba

Tow nhouse

158

158

3 BR

Flat

3 BR

Tow nhouse

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse

($21)

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

125


TableA11:Continued:NewOrleansApartmentSurvey,MarketRateRentSummary:2008
2010
Area

Number of Units

Average Size

Average Rent

Reporting Rent

(Square Feet)

(Dollars)

Ave Rent Change


2008 vs. 2009

2009

2010

2008

2009

2010

2008

2009

2010

Dollars

(Cents)
2009

2010

7,435

7,335

7,747

1,068

1,074

1,076

$918

$928

$913

$10

1.10%

($15)

-1.61%

$0.86

$0.86

$0.85

Efficiencies

Flat

1,031

1,002

1,001

422

433

431

$533

$544

$549

$11

2.06%

$5

0.92%

$1.26

$1.26

$1.27

1 BR

Flat

3,473

3,437

3,649

650

653

668

$671

$677

$668

$6

0.89%

($9)

-1.33%

$1.03

$1.04

$1.00

1BR

Tow nhouse

630

630

704

$700

$710

$690

$10

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

H - W. Metairie

2008

Avg Pr Sq/Ft

2009 vs. 2010

Percent

Dollars

Percent

2008

1.43%

($20)

1,070

1,044

1,064

906

899

902

$826

$827

$812

$1

0.12%

($15)

-1.81%

$0.91

$0.92

$0.90

261

261

277

952

965

972

$805

$823

$816

$18

2.24%

($7)

-0.85%

$0.85

$0.85

$0.84

$0.98

Flat

876

891

1,051

1,027

1,014

1,013

-$5

-0.55%

($18)

-2.00%

$0.88

$0.89

$0.87

Tow nhouse

302

320

317

1,106

1,119

1,119

$886

$883

$879

-$3

-0.34%

($4)

-0.45%

$0.80

$0.79

$0.79

3 BR

Flat

131

131

139

1,198

1,256

1,218

$1,095

$1,126

$1,062

$31

2.83%

($64)

-5.68%

$0.91

$0.90

$0.87

3 BR

Tow nhouse

285

243

243

1,668

1,646

1,617

$1,209

$1,241

$1,224

$32

2.65%

($17)

-1.37%

$0.72

$0.75

$0.76

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse

2,120

2,120

2,120

$1,545

$1,545

$1,545

$0

$0

$0

0.00%

$0.73

$0.73

$0.73

1,802

1,695

1,739

967

972

959

$922

$864

$853

-$58

-6.29%

($11)

-1.22%

$0.95

$0.89

$0.89

Flat

220

219

184

$543

$10

1.79%

($25)

-4.40%

1 BR

Flat

795

755

756

688

681

664

$733

$724

$693

-$9

-1.23%

($31)

-4.28%

$1.07

$1.06

$1.04

1BR

Tow nhouse

12

12

12

971

971

971

$945

$945

$995

$0

0.00%

$50

5.29%

$0.97

$0.97

$1.02

2 BR/1.X BA

784

407

776

399

875

$558

$751

32

14

154

-1.18%

$0.95

$0.98

$0.86

146

146

202

982

982

990

$851

$805

$815

-$46

-5.41%

$10

1.24%

$0.87

$0.82

$0.82

375

375

174

1,040

1,005

1,069

$978

$962

$922

-$16

-1.64%

($40)

-4.16%

$0.94

$0.96

$0.86

2 BR/ 2.Xba

Tow nhouse

1,175

1,150

3 BR

Flat

3 BR

Tow nhouse

4 BR

Flat

NA

-$195

2.15%

($9)

$1.36

Tow nhouse

$813

$16

$1.40

Flat

$1,008

$760

$1.36

2 BR/2.x BA

NA

$744

$568

2 BR/1.X BA

4 BR

Flat

409

$882

$1.13

2 BR/ 2.Xba

Efficiencies

$900

$1.11

2 BR/2.x BA

I - E. Metairie

$905

-2.82%

11

10

-19.35%

NA

NA

$0.86

$0.71

NA

193

146

239

1,214

1,335

1,258

$1,037

$1,088

$998

$51

4.92%

($90)

-8.27%

$0.85

$0.81

$0.79

18

18

18

1,443

1,443

1,443

$1,443

$1,110

$1,110

-$333

-23.08%

$0

0.00%

$1.00

$0.77

$0.77

3,655

3,547

Tow nhouse

J - River Ridge

3,595

937

938

934

$844

$849

$794

$5

0.57%

($55)

-6.52%

$0.90

$0.91

$0.85

Efficiencies

Flat

96

96

96

484

484

484

$521

$524

$518

$3

0.58%

($6)

-1.15%

$1.08

$1.08

$1.07

1 BR

Flat

1,991

1,903

1,931

771

772

763

$766

$784

$751

$18

2.35%

($33)

-4.21%

$0.99

$1.02

$0.98

1BR

Tow nhouse

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

415

395

415

896

897

885

$823

$835

$798

$12

1.46%

($37)

-4.43%

$0.92

$0.93

$0.90

1,024

1,024

1,024

1,064

1,064

1,060

$1,058

$1,054

$955

-$4

-0.38%

($99)

-9.39%

$0.99

$0.99

$0.90

101

101

101

1,209

1,209

1,209

$901

$901

$826

$0

0.00%

($75)

-8.32%

$0.75

$0.75

$0.68

28

28

28

1,200

1,200

1,200

$995

$995

$913

$0

0.00%

($82)

-8.24%

$0.83

$0.83

$0.76

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

2 BR/ 2.Xba

Tow nhouse

3 BR

Flat

3 BR

Tow nhouse

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse

Area
K - Harvey Canal W
Efficiencies

Number of Units

Average Size

Average Rent

Reporting Rent

(Square Feet)

(Dollars)

Avg Pr Sq/Ft

Ave Rent Change


2008 vs. 2009
Dollars

Percent

2009 vs. 2010


Dollars

(Cents)

2008

2009

2010

2008

2009

2010

2008

2009

2010

Percent

2008

2009

2010

100

NA

867

NA

NA

$900

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$1.04

NA

28

NA

700

NA

NA

$800

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$1.14

NA

64

NA

800

NA

NA

$900

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$1.13

NA

NA

1,100

NA

NA

$1,000

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

$0.91

NA

3,388

4,652

$0.83

Flat

1 BR

Flat

1BR

Tow nhouse

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

2 BR/ 2.Xba

Tow nhouse

3 BR

Flat

3 BR

Tow nhouse

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse

L - Harvey Canal E

4,941

954

1,004

1,005

$904

$832

$831

-$72

-7.92%

($1)

-0.16%

$0.95

$0.83

Efficiencies

Flat

32

40

40

645

565

565

$577

$576

$578

-$1

-0.17%

$2

0.35%

$0.89

$1.02

1 BR

Flat

1,370

1,733

1,797

735

731

727

$745

$714

$714

-$31

-4.16%

$0

0.00%

$1.01

$0.98

$0.98

1BR

Tow nhouse

81

253

300

821

772

751

$794

$722

$715

-$72

-9.07%

($7)

-0.97%

$0.97

$0.94

$0.95

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

-0.77%

$8

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

96

141

NA

1,046

1,065

NA

$787

$774

NA

NA

($13)

-1.65%

NA

$0.75

$0.73

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

611

1,072

1,110

1,029

1,015

1,050

$1,019

$918

$911

-$101

-9.91%

($7)

-0.76%

$0.99

$0.90

$0.87

2 BR/ 2.Xba

Tow nhouse

209

189

277

1,038

1,088

1,070

$948

$869

$877

0.92%

$0.91

$0.80

$0.82

3 BR

Flat

132

241

248

1,220

1,201

1,201

$1,171

$1,035

$1,047

-$136

-11.61%

$12

1.16%

$0.96

$0.86

$0.87

3 BR

Tow nhouse

46

93

93

1,250

1,250

1,250

$1,200

$981

$965

-$219

-18.25%

($16)

-1.63%

$0.96

$0.78

$0.77

4 BR

Flat

NA

1,466

1,466

NA

$950

$950

NA

NA

$0

0.00%

NA

$0.65

$0.65

4 BR

Tow nhouse
31,821

33,266

34,674

1,045

1,028

1,061

$1,030

$934

$972

-$96

-9.31%

$38

4.03%

$0.99

$0.91

$0.92

Flat

2,149

2,168

2,129

543

533

527

$696

$672

$674

-$25

-3.55%

$2

0.36%

$1.28

$1.26

$1.28

1 BR

Flat

14,919

15,011

1BR

Tow nhouse

2 BR/1.X BA

Flat

2 BR/1.X BA

Tow nhouse

Grand Totals
Efficiencies

907

927

927

897

907

906

$775

$769

$777

-$6

-$79

-8.33%

$8

1.04%

$0.86

$0.85

$1.02

$0.86

15,845

741

742

733

$872

$780

$767

-$92

-10.52%

($13)

-1.66%

$1.18

$1.05

$1.05

371

575

710

983

982

989

$1,065

$988

$1,025

-$77

-7.23%

$37

3.75%

$1.08

$1.01

$1.04

4,168

4,414

4,238

942

895

925

$835

$800

$842

-$35

-4.18%

$42

5.21%

$0.89

$0.89

$0.91

837

1,214

1,104

1,063

1,036

1,070

$874

$832

$927

-$42

-4.79%

$95

11.38%

$0.82

$0.80

$0.87

2 BR/2.x BA

Flat

6,522

7,113

7,438

1,092

1,061

1,262

$1,103

$1,036

$1,060

-$67

-6.09%

$24

2.29%

$1.01

$0.98

$0.84

2 BR/ 2.Xba

Tow nhouse

1,474

1,116

1,326

1,256

1,272

1,227

$1,229

$1,103

$1,080

-$126

-10.25%

($23)

-2.12%

$0.98

$0.87

$0.88

3 BR

Flat

930

1,137

1,200

1,294

1,317

1,343

$1,214

$1,160

$1,185

-$54

-4.44%

$26

2.22%

$0.94

$0.88

$0.88

3 BR

Tow nhouse

449

508

655

1,491

1,413

1,470

$1,381

$1,035

$1,185

-$346

-25.04%

$149

14.43%

$0.93

$0.73

$0.81

4 BR

Flat

4 BR

Tow nhouse

Source: Survey of property owners and managers and Internet research compiled by the UNO Institute for Economic Development & Real Estate Research
Note: This table should not be compared to earlier reports. Leasing agents/owners may have provided updated information for prior time periods. Total number of units surveyed may vary due
to properties being added or removed (demolitions or due to agent/owner no longer wanting to participate, non-responsiveness over a three year period), changes in unit counts due to
renovations, or units returning to the market upon Katrina repairs being completed.

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

126


TableA12:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2000
AverageSalePrice2000
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood Excellent

1A

New

$358,000

1B

$300,000 $233,553

All
$358,000

$526,667

$482,426

$46,225

$87,600

$187,939 $370,750 $278,999

$74,808

$96,697

$142,973 $178,683 $271,390 $299,808 $231,563

$81,643

$62,451

$65,880

$123,938 $136,061 $163,279 $194,486 $254,866 $337,031 $229,809

$33,277

$58,244

$85,922

$92,853

$133,525 $200,420 $102,227

$27,786

$33,227

$60,747

$83,850

$119,399

$10,322

$29,334

$43,430

$66,500

$59,383

$24,767

$53,880

$83,722

$90,908

$120,460 $113,362

$98,507

$55,525

$83,867

$97,164

$91,659

$188,600

$188,600

10

$120,556 $140,306

11
12

$79,500

$84,500

$234,748
$91,139

$78,885
$38,576

$35,645

$51,682

$82,548

NoDesignation

$15,850

$70,200

$86,165

$137,429 $199,033 $231,667 $159,314

All

$45,503

$62,046

$99,641

$134,934 $197,506 $193,660 $154,322

Poor

Fair

13

$93,926

$79,900

$143,923 $131,208 $122,417

$380,000 $527,821 $509,833 $521,706

SampleSize,2000
PlanningDistricts

Average VeryGood Excellent

1A
1B

New

All

21

25

30

96

158

12

26

78

29

337

488

34

55

48

152

18

49

18

201

13

307

22

49

104

34

166

380

41

46

75

174

15

18

12

15

56

115

39

243

10
11
12

10

35

77

13
NoDesignation
All

56
18

486

39

52

23

325

479

29

33

13

48

80

102

291

597

169

1,646

71

2,876

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

127


TableA12Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2000
AverageDaysonMarket,2000
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood Excellent

1A

New

116

1B

All
116

79

48

15

135

88

51

60

192

74

97

69

66

46

50

70

55

103

88

55

31

66

73

68

28

54

58

35

63

83

60

24

76

57

44

51

42

54

11

85

76

70

67

71

46

101

71

45

42

20

85

55

31

59

52

10

136

11
12

53

123

68
91

56

46

48

268

268

30

85

75

50

52

120

59

67

153

126

148

NoDesignation

90

42

65

59

48

57

54

All

41

81

64

42

58

99

61

New

All

13

AveragePriceperSquareFoot,2000
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood Excellent

1A
1B

$129.76

$104.26

$70.29

$70.29

$185.45

$173.48

$21.77

$29.84

$62.12

$84.69

$109.52

$61.13

$88.53

$42.91

$55.84

$75.19

$99.07

$112.08

$130.30

$100.94

$19.90

$33.33

$51.91

$65.39

$82.30

$61.15

$56.48

$88.40

$84.99

$95.03

$99.30

$111.80

$120.43

$106.59

$24.90

$42.44

$59.10

$68.25

$73.21

$93.08

$62.51

$26.43

$28.34

$47.80

$57.41

$79.82

$52.81

$56.27

$11.24

$23.02

$35.68

$49.23

$53.39

$19.18

$35.41

$52.25

$58.40

$63.01

$42.41

$52.29

10
11
12

$24.78

$33.87

$51.69

13

$32.64
$74.58

$55.94

$58.76

$56.38

$58.86

$58.86

$55.76

$64.14

$74.18

$58.94

$113.23

$126.86

$128.41

$126.59

Nodesignation

$14.13

$40.63

$67.44

$86.58

$92.40

$102.46

$81.23

All

$28.45

$39.79

$60.08

$74.13

$87.71

$89.39

$74.31

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

128


TableA13:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2004
AverageSalePrice2004
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood Excellent

1A
$714,000

New

All

$578,830

$578,830

$731,197

$702,688

1B

$190,000

$70,350

$112,644 $201,120 $298,094 $411,327 $383,500 $314,082

$77,325

$132,346 $176,555 $269,625 $384,077 $549,017 $326,445

$45,600

$62,552

$260,583 $192,769 $232,136 $235,535 $332,058 $391,768 $303,174

$55,759

$75,752

$101,606 $145,783 $169,201 $121,000 $135,999

$33,477

$53,732

$115,046 $112,945 $186,638

$25,750

$35,252

$54,286

$43,703

$74,966

$101,814 $119,309 $148,314 $132,927 $121,352

10

$63,133

$89,000

$94,765

11
12

$91,537

$152,096 $185,821 $143,980 $126,616

$63,975

$86,213

$120,657
$89,933

$51,957

$104,100 $114,633 $120,483 $102,995

$179,000 $122,483 $211,500

$167,915

$44,389

$70,142

$102,005 $128,489 $179,357 $158,277 $151,138

NoDesignation

$42,367

$72,619

$138,709 $176,033 $213,150 $440,500 $161,736

All

$58,322

$78,557

$130,643 $172,027 $265,892 $276,975 $201,970

Poor

Fair

13

$59,000

$592,212 $620,661 $586,555

SampleSize,2004
PlanningDistricts

Average VeryGood Excellent

1A
5

New

All

16

22

1B

14

24

36

24

127

230

16

25

53

71

311

13

489

13

41

38

33

69

199

13

28

57

175

28

307

13

48

66

69

167

21

42

46

32

78

18

28

19

20

96

17

68

110

101

240

31

567

10

15

15

47

54

56

286

33

479

39

49

11
12

13

37

13
NoDesignation
All

364
219

13

13

15

12

29

77

141

342

487

474

1,583

136

3,163

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

129


TableA13Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2004
AverageDaysonMarket,2004
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood Excellent

1A

New

39
102

All
39

1B

85

33

68

31

73

91
38

64

89

44

32

42

60

48

89

49

12

51

62

64

75

104

62

48

41

41

45

88

47

43

53

64

44

50

144

52

43

40

83

111

80

50

50

70

37

72

24

74
56

59

47

47

61

118

57

10

113

98

32

24

53

16

45

173

47

49

74

57

91

62

11
12

58

35

64

60

109

199

123

NoDesignation

71

60

81

39

84

39

70

All

41

51

58

55

59

97

58

New

All

13

AveragePriceperSquareFoot,2004
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood Excellent

1A
$245.32

$249.45

$290.92

$273.98

1B

$146.15

$44.68

$69.20

$90.98

$130.51

$163.45

$179.14

$131.94

$48.65

$79.40

$97.75

$131.84

$168.92

$181.40

$147.64

$28.30

$42.25

$74.68

$95.27

$110.49

$101.00

$81.46

$148.79

$113.90

$133.94

$131.60

$148.60

$157.49

$143.45

$42.02

$58.49

$70.82

$88.54

$98.02

$95.28

$29.12

$43.51

$86.01

$89.71

$110.61

$21.92

$29.38

$44.14

$60.21

$68.95

$73.23

$43.09

$32.78

$46.62

$62.40

$72.58

$78.00

$92.10

$69.66

10

$29.35

$50.75

$79.01

11
12

$29.16

$48.64

13

$249.45

$84.07
$81.71

$60.80

$71.49

$67.61

$50.35

$63.30

$83.65

$65.27

$75.15

$87.10

$103.55

$79.94

$146.84

$159.69

$147.65

$70.83

$63.79
$71.70

Nodesignation

$28.87

$63.12

$66.89

$98.59

$112.04

$155.52

All

$39.51

$53.39

$78.37

$97.17

$122.12

$124.84

$87.54
$100.67

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

130


TableA14:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2006
AverageSalePrice,2006
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood

1A

Excellent

New

$275,000 $1,665,000

1B

All
$970,000

$845,000 $1,201,700

$1,119,385

$83,000

$193,800 $264,857 $287,459

$438,508

$316,750

$361,093

$101,657 $165,556 $241,947 $390,177

$519,182

$483,900

$359,076

$67,179

$297,579

$193,267

$157,515

$130,963 $197,089 $222,992 $375,838

$459,813

$542,000

$210,740

$57,509

$88,382

$134,881 $214,293

$340,661

$200,000

$123,479

$33,004

$108,828 $147,875 $248,817

$285,568

$174,356

$20,317

$24,000

$25,000

$132,000

$27,411

$60,669

$71,925

$96,127

$113,824

$137,700

10

$41,286

$55,267

$59,250

$105,167

$122,000

11

$99,667

$110,600

12

$77,964

$98,447

NoDesignation

$60,938

All

$84,455

$130,895 $173,130 $265,745

$91,064

$132,021 $205,054

$152,188

$78,509
$69,897
$103,571

$121,112 $154,873

$207,740

$180,477

$178,323

$594,367

$568,649

$824,837

$605,582

$136,690 $159,932 $193,714

$320,031

$390,000

$190,365

$377,093

$301,478

$226,952

Excellent

New

All

13

SampleSize,2006
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood

1A

1B

10

13

10

13

14

38

121

202

91

140

59

123

327

10

750

34

34

19

14

36

140

187

184

69

20

52

513

132

99

28

15

48

28

18

12

18

37

113

12

19

145

161

48

17

21

10

12

11

12

14

30

All

405
32
14

42

13
NoDesignation

13

323

176

349

30

641

15

37

59

21

11

16

65

677

722

307

450

1,062

73

3,291

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

131


TableA14:Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2006
AverageDaysonMarket,2006
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood

1A
1B

Excellent

46

148

New

All
97

268

130

39

42

63

38

62

108

162
57

36

46

70

68

56

79

55

46

86

65

111

76

101

74

61

58

84

50

71

114

64

57

52

58

91

86

56

61

60

52

59

117

76

73

52

98

176

84

72

50

59

74

61

73

10

46

41

66

102

50

11

86

98

12

42

52

60

110

NoDesignation

49

68

58

41

All

53

56

70

67

80

59
52
91

13

58

60

109

61

75

255

106

66

198

65

64

115

62

Excellent

New

All

AveragePriceperSquareFoot,2006
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood

1A

$245.54

$157.08

$201.31

1B

$260.30

$390.62

$360.54

$39.50

$102.12

$126.10

$176.25

$194.66

$151.78

$171.53

$58.41

$78.64

$110.28

$175.73

$206.97

$199.31

$152.16

$50.97

$57.11

$91.98

$128.95

$145.53

$144.46

$92.14

$66.30

$75.20

$89.85

$153.67

$181.72

$162.47

$87.96

$34.29

$46.08

$75.71

$100.31

$133.83

$117.65

$29.44

$72.06

$94.30

$143.16

$188.88

$113.44

$16.37

$19.86

$23.67

$99.47

$22.36

$29.12

$33.45

$41.44

$68.33

$88.78

10

$25.54

$30.86

$37.98

$79.29

$78.53

11

$37.63

$39.44

12

$42.92

$56.17

$39.36
$44.06
$38.27

$74.37

13

$100.67

$59.61

$87.24

$96.75

$107.96

$90.12

$153.28

$151.89

$179.90

$155.57

NoDesignation

$47.45

$65.57

$101.56

$110.50

$198.03

$139.23

$109.14

All

$46.02

$59.68

$84.29

$129.17

$158.56

$132.91

$102.23

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

132


TableA15:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2007
AverageSalePrice,2007
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood

1A

Excellent

New

$850,000

1B

All
$850,000

$700,000 $889,000 $1,485,500

$1,209,889

$93,787

$86,465

$258,679 $384,197

$429,554

$243,643

$333,858

$91,394

$145,120 $213,101 $357,317

$504,630

$468,807

$382,647

$49,074

$62,172

$213,081

$152,000

$131,222

$133,556 $172,477 $207,180 $315,625

$376,525

$381,500

$207,708

$50,965

$70,548

$152,346 $224,179

$234,217

$370,000

$97,089

$31,219

$32,040

$173,500 $229,543

$255,684

$137,360

$31,946

$47,000

$121,000

$120,667

$55,498

$51,463

$68,415

$101,437 $116,554

$153,743

10

$39,179

$53,167

$79,000

$115,000

$130,643

$72,770

11

$102,500 $129,000

$195,000

$257,500

$157,300

12

$49,066

$127,118 $159,537

$209,576

13

$77,916

$132,675 $247,262

$153,595

$183,257

$81,917

$174,408

$435,000 $210,000 $531,364

$571,146

$403,483

$536,243

NoDesignation

$48,750

$77,653

$97,333

$151,175

$377,153

$190,583

$188,867

All

$66,378

$90,871

$157,332 $267,754

$344,178

$245,517

$189,168

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood

Excellent

New

All

SampleSize,2007
PlanningDistricts
1A
1B

10

18

15

17

12

27

90

14

175

33

60

39

79

262

479

34

32

10

13

42

133

118

136

25

69

362

196

169

24

14

74

478

24

20

13

21

19

97

10

17

250

368

54

10

12

11

12

14

22
1

13
NoDesignation
All

26

129

19

846

32

48

101

215

10

410

11

29

46

17

19

61

716

852

236

318

970

68

3,160

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

133


TableA15:Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2007
AverageDaysonMarket,2007
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood

1A

Excellent

New

84

1B

All
84

24

65

198

38

101

44

63

73

61

68

75

67

83

90

84

36

82

57

84

87

127

100

12

86

121

123

164

43

98

202

120

111

96

104

97

90

101

92

73

87

106

137

99

91

56

31

69

83

77

135

75

56

10

61

38

34

109

63

56

11

23

10

79

27

12

55

77

92

102

95

16

102

117

91

149

101

113

121

197

41

83

126

102

94

88

106

91

86

108

91

Excellent

New

All

13
NoDesignation
All

137

112

155

80

96

AveragePriceperSquareFoot,2007
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood

1A
1B

$220.61

$220.61
$364.84

$169.08

$322.92

$413.75

$39.79

$50.91

$128.83

$167.67

$196.73

$146.04

$155.92

$51.52

$68.13

$133.40

$162.72

$189.82

$210.88

$156.25

$33.32

$45.38

$76.24

$94.36

$135.11

$102.84

$78.61

$63.75

$69.79

$91.29

$131.67

$154.77

$160.67

$88.38

$30.90

$39.34

$70.38

$110.89

$113.91

$119.59

$24.03

$23.49

$105.02

$147.58

$172.60

$90.62

$24.88

$39.57

$75.63

$108.33

$45.18

$27.59

$32.53

$44.67
$54.73

10

$25.18

$33.10

11

$43.45

$58.64

12

$35.37

$47.58

13

$71.19

$88.07

$101.78

$51.24

$43.06

$65.22

$84.35

$46.73

$76.74

$135.53

$71.56

$74.48

$88.03

$99.26

$120.11

$89.15

$85.90

$60.17

$149.85

$151.42

$135.73

$146.27

NoDesignation

$27.98

$41.92

$51.86

$103.86

$195.42

$117.55

$103.95

All

$36.09

$43.67

$82.92

$125.80

$146.10

$132.09

$86.49

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

134


TableA16:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2008
AverageSalePrice,2008
PlanningDistricts

Poor

1B

Fair

Average VeryGood Excellent

New

$379,000 $617,000 $548,333 $751,400

All
$639,800

$46,700

$67,570

$66,329

$166,864 $237,933 $305,546 $489,449 $497,500 $384,149

$52,045

$81,909

$129,593 $152,835 $319,500 $316,836 $344,362 $343,214 $242,007

$49,461

$61,793

$118,688 $202,453 $215,930 $210,000 $126,730

$36,409

$68,413

$219,264 $187,618 $269,037 $124,250 $147,375

$18,050

$38,778

$50,693

$64,115

$110,939 $125,967 $155,971 $226,300 $100,392

10

$30,333

$45,160

$59,300

11
12

$34,372

$188,400 $373,796 $472,498 $204,282 $326,147


$121,955 $156,891 $214,440 $123,000 $135,688

$27,868
$116,900 $127,500

$63,298

$122,900

$216,000

$73,803

$107,604 $157,401 $201,547 $166,175 $148,009

13

$192,725

$620,000 $615,000 $547,256

$560,529

NoDesignation

$133,836 $109,514

$85,298

All

$62,104

$86,304

$165,381 $244,612 $320,345 $214,303 $205,490

$166,450 $322,933 $155,433 $198,613

Poor

Fair

SampleSize,2008
PlanningDistricts
1B

Average VeryGood Excellent

New

All
10

15

10

29

61

24

39

40

64

253

423

11

35

11

16

34

112

43

92

17

105

268

69

89

16

26

103

304

16

32

11

17

24

104

10

73

232

18

15

186

10

11

24

43

43

70

128

25

11
12
NoDesignation
All

150

19

13

30

533
22

4
8

316
31

14

39

285

606

161

265

945

73

2,335

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

135


TableA16:Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2008
AverageDaysonMarket,2008
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

1B

Average VeryGood Excellent

56

275

201

New

All
189

62

73

138

117

90

142

106

77

89

98

101

96

133

96

93

109

108

105

89

166

103

135

144

105

92

101

286

126

82

82

115

111

101

203

93

83

64

125

109

171

110

107

47

49

92

73

86

78

10

92

65

60

100

11
12

56
53

79

13
NoDesignation
All

48
85

136

82

75

72

62

61

109

93

132

23

151

152

285

111
148

122

59

204

151

64

262

119

90

87

107

104

103

181

100

New

All

AveragePriceperSquareFoot,2008
PlanningDistricts

Poor

1B

Fair

Average VeryGood Excellent

$176.53

$220.83

$337.93

$435.90

$359.07

$179.46

$126.65

$141.98

$47.34

$42.93

$114.64

$155.96

$36.89

$67.81

$126.65

$150.04

$189.78

$198.52

$157.94

$39.14

$42.56

$75.02

$95.72

$129.84

$83.22

$81.32

$56.34

$69.20

$104.41

$127.28

$150.65

$144.73

$105.23

$30.56

$33.83

$56.45

$98.63

$103.49

$122.81

$63.71

$26.83

$50.52

$99.33

$115.17

$153.52

$95.45

$88.10

$14.70

$26.48

$28.11

$31.26

$48.89

$75.44

$85.88

10

$18.00

$26.87

$34.96

$68.76

$82.31

$62.44

$82.56

$96.88

$115.59

$141.06

$148.88

11
12

$20.28

$31.38
$26.76

$44.46

13

$107.97

$53.02
$38.75

$92.45

$77.19
$113.33

$76.98
$146.54

NoDesignation

$38.77

$51.13

$64.91

$169.84

$173.12

$110.66

$109.01

All

$33.96

$42.96

$84.80

$118.42

$138.46

$121.53

$94.42

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

136


TableA17:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2009
AverageSalePrice,2009
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

1A

Average VeryGood

Excellent

$388,000

$755,000

1B

$539,875

New

All
$571,500

$1,084,750

$929,071

$60,235

$143,986 $240,485 $272,530

$460,528

$230,767 $340,362

$70,368

$115,437 $259,695 $349,779

$431,068

$447,500 $352,093

$23,458

$38,350

$122,908 $176,793

$205,134

$225,000 $142,484

$110,574 $142,531 $230,321 $304,046

$305,032

$325,125 $248,074

$37,364

$54,715

$125,691 $193,995

$181,395

$295,000 $127,094

$34,725

$44,822

$122,995 $211,078

$283,576

$130,286

$13,400

$18,625

$17,100

$127,800

$85,000

$41,581

$60,846

$93,879

$145,529

$157,893

$159,750 $113,348

10

$26,167

$34,900

$48,333

$113,500

$135,633

$58,129

11

$107,640

$300,000

$257,228

$235,865

12

$55,683

$60,421

$107,334 $155,482

$186,924

$133,000 $141,673

$335,500 $390,000 $444,975

$516,139

$685,000 $492,938

NoDesignation

$90,000

$149,500 $290,000 $253,890

$485,860

$147,000 $314,467

All

$48,296

$82,354

$159,642 $255,449

$295,115

$269,895 $213,939

Poor

Fair

Average VeryGood

Excellent

13

$46,810

SampleSize,2009
PlanningDistricts
1A

1B

All

10

14

10

18

17

30

92

176

15

46

47

85

244

441

12

14

28

21

42

118

18

67

17

19

138

12

271

39

56

16

19

113

244

20

26

11

18

18

54

138

39

10

11

12

13
NoDesignation
All

New

23

93

20

248

504

17

40

57

51

117

276

18

26

15

35

191

424

240

281

1,067

39

2,242

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

137


TableA17:Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2009
AverageDaysonMarket,2009
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

1A

Average VeryGood
69

1B

Excellent

New

58

All
64

218

328

118

70

111

105

111

63

104

54

87

118

106

79

96

88

99

85

86

78

116

165

97

105

140

108

109

111

253

123

93

93

71

115

81

82

88

73

104

61

63

146

37

139

99

87

84

96

10

50

126

40

11

43

12

94

110
115

NoDesignation

131

All

85

99

97

13

296

92

104

39

77

70

91

214

88

43

84

85

58

263

178

136

128

128

44

266

205

189

86

84

383

147

104

103

188

102

Excellent

New

All

91

162

118

AveragePriceperSquareFoot,2009
PlanningDistricts

Poor

Fair

1A

Average VeryGood
$95.45

1B

$170.69

$291.14

$384.80

$358.04

$29.88

$67.56

$99.59

$128.94

$188.34

$126.22

$145.11

$44.29

$58.87

$105.99

$146.09

$182.63

$208.59

$150.04

$22.38

$30.99

$69.90

$116.73

$135.57

$102.27

$92.43

$58.72

$58.40

$94.47

$123.98

$136.78

$134.00

$108.54

$23.21

$31.16

$59.18

$96.07

$101.01

$109.26

$24.04

$35.09

$77.51

$129.45

$160.98

$10.44

$16.73

$16.29

$23.17

$29.27

$47.30

10

$13.20

$21.67

$37.25

11

$18.77

12

$26.52

13

$245.93

$69.45
$80.36

$97.15

$138.89

$40.09

$534.79

$85.14

$91.78

$80.82

$72.25

$80.62

$36.30

$93.69

$98.55

$81.62

$37.93

$58.50

$71.91

$90.84

$99.24

$70.96

$85.81

$112.07

$125.57

$130.66

$175.37

$127.43

NoDesignation

$49.18

$53.14

$89.71

$112.11

$191.86

$118.04

$134.12

All

$28.10

$40.55

$73.88

$155.19

$133.89

$133.19

$103.46

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

138


TableA18:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2010
AverageSalePrice,2010
PlanningDistricts
1A

Poor

Fair

Average

VeryGood Excellent

New

$50,000

All
$50,000

1B

$1,000,000 $455,000 $1,235,458

$1,162,893

$31,901

$82,500

$215,706

$405,415

$509,239

$204,125

$390,089

$56,382

$140,194

$213,226

$402,278

$484,130

$582,600

$413,424

$19,809

$34,430

$81,876

$189,098

$186,962

$112,250 $151,814

$218,863

$329,290

$328,779

$349,225

$276,094

$44,836

$66,738

$118,089

$263,640

$219,420

$325,375

$157,961

$27,211

$76,771

$115,408

$189,045

$260,280

$154,363

$9,386

$17,250

$85,000

$18,520

$113,021

$50,384

$64,452

$90,261

$141,555

$155,060

10

$29,357

$35,500

$56,483

$119,000

$120,000

$55,275

$122,500

$140,000

$208,500

$148,375

$92,025

$144,245

$185,167

11
12

$29,475

13

$58,396
$95,000

$144,950

$221,000

$116,531

$128,550

$455,000

$526,782

NoDesignation

$21,000

$68,800

$31,450

$188,500

$390,758

$233,000

$498,806
$235,099

All

$48,015

$80,098

$134,512

$284,005

$348,890

$319,752

$247,043

Poor

Fair

Average

New

All

SampleSize,2010
PlanningDistricts
1A

VeryGood Excellent

1B

12

14

20

25

77

142

11

24

24

68

215

347

25

23

21

26

18

31

25

107

193

28

24

18

20

59

151

21

12

11

27

80

10

25

60

10

11
12

12

40

13
NoDesignation
All

28

21

128

104

264

18

38

39

81

16

212
18

10

25

136

245

179

237

762

24

1,583

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

139


TableA18:Continued:OrleansSalesActivitybyCondition,2010
AverageDaysonMarket,2010
PlanningDistricts
1A

Poor

Fair

Average

VeryGood Excellent

New

44

All
44

1B

426

12

182

132

88

83

97

82

67

87

57

89

73

113

75

130

83

116

148

90

94

82

65

119

49

84

79

157

85

90

73

75

125

106

171

98

37

72

67

62

92

73

133

170

150

142

52

96

140

149

107

10

60

34

61

206

185

85

36

27

99

50

95

105

97

11
12

60

87

133

205

184

141

99

130

76

98

92

107

13
NoDesignation
All

22

187

105

91

106

26

93

134

62

120

93

101

94

New

All

191

AveragePriceperSquareFoot,2010
PlanningDistricts
1A

Poor

Fair

VeryGood Excellent

$35.31

$35.31

1B

$211.51

$250.97

$326.27

$312.69

$25.66

$60.14

$121.53

$159.83

$174.49

$134.20

$148.49

$35.12

$67.19

$108.31

$165.49

$185.32

$223.11

$163.72

$13.44

$24.92

$58.49

$112.69

$121.69

$52.85

$61.29

$103.93

$125.93

$143.60

$148.97

$24.61

$33.03

$52.24

$88.98

$102.29

$141.65

$21.90

$48.66

$82.98

$133.43

$176.22

$105.50

$7.72

$15.58

$56.67

$14.18

$24.64

$29.00

10

$18.84

$21.73

11
12

$17.58

13

Average

$32.95

$47.14

$66.18

$83.81

$73.27

$90.73

$118.09
$69.67

$60.51

$33.05

$49.85

$78.57

$31.93

$71.65

$74.63

$96.98

$78.73

$52.57

$76.90

$90.40

$125.03

$140.93

$65.97

$91.05

$66.18
$135.88

NoDesignation

$17.50

$50.76

$26.34

$104.26

$169.56

$112.07

$111.54

All

$26.58

$40.52

$72.44

$123.03

$142.82

$143.98

$106.10

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

140


TableA19:RoadHomeSmallRentalSummarybyAffordabilityandBedroomSize
CLOSEDORLEANS

NULL
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
PlanningDistrict10
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict12
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict2
0Efficiency
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict3
0Efficiency
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict4
0Efficiency
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
5FiveandmoreBedrooms
PlanningDistrict5
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
PlanningDistrict6
0Efficiency

VeryLow
Income

Moderate
Income

LowIncome

3
2
1
26
5
17
4
24
3
9
8
4
128
2
35
72
15
4
188
1
34
88
54
11
363
10
66
150
106
28
3
42
4
15
23
156
2

VeryLow
Income

4
2
2
4
3
1
21
2
5
6
8
56

12
4
2
6
10

12
19
19
6
47

1
5
3
1
16

11
11
21
4
109

4
6
5
1
38
1
6
25
6

7
53
47
2
19
3
10
6
55

4
2
1
1
15

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

7
2
2
3
30
5
20
5
57
9
16
14
18
194
2
48
96
37
11
251
1
49
105
80
16
510
11
79
228
159
30
3
65
9
26
30
226
2

141


1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict7
0Efficiency
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict8
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict9
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
5FiveandmoreBedrooms
GrandTotal
NOTCLOSEDORLEANS

NULL
0Efficiency
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict1
2TwoBedrooms
PlanningDistrict10
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict11
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict12
0Efficiency
1OneBedroom

16
67
58
13
212
1
28
96
70
17
175
15
76
70
14
391
5
126
208
52

132

22
93
92
17
288
1
45
122
99
21
215
18
95
82
20
533
5
185
281
61
1
2376

VeryLow
Moderate
Income LowIncome
Income
110
28
18
2
14
5
3
41
17
10
48
6
2
7
1
2
1

2
1
8
10
1
4
2
1
4
7
1
1

1
58
37
7
3
10
1
1

Total
156
2
22
68
56
8
3
3
19
7
11
1
1
1
102
3
12

1708

5
19
27
4
73
17
25
27
4
33
1
15
12
5
115
47
59
8
1
536

1
7
7
3

1
2
7
2
4
1
27
12
14
1

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

142


2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict2
0Efficiency
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
5FiveandmoreBedrooms
PlanningDistrict3
0Efficiency
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
5FiveandmoreBedrooms
PlanningDistrict4
0Efficiency
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict5
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict6
0Efficiency
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict7
0Efficiency
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
PlanningDistrict8

23
19
3
252
2
77
113
47
12
1
338
4
35
164
96
38
1
750
15
151
368
180
36
48
11
20
16
1
245
5
19
155
51
15
592
9
81
308
165
29
426

15
20
1
87
23
37
22
5

1
4
1
40
4
14
12
3
7

132
2
20
66
37
7

41

262
4
39
125
85
9
29
5
17
7

91
3
19
41
23
5
29
9
17
3

66
2
4
28
26
6
148
1
20
65
51
11
76

18

3
22
13
3

5
8
3
2
46
8
21
14
3
19

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

39
43
5
379
6
114
162
72
24
1
511
6
58
252
146
48
1
1103
22
209
534
288
50
106
25
54
26
1
329
7
28
191
80
23
786
10
109
394
230
43
521

143


0Efficiency
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
5FiveandmoreBedrooms
PlanningDistrict9
1OneBedroom
2TwoBedrooms
3ThreeBedrooms
4FourBedrooms
5FiveandmoreBedrooms
GrandTotal

33
219
141
32
1
350
13
149
147
40
1
3180

4
10
26
31
5
113

3
10
6

19
80
14

40
2
13
24
1

989

350

4
46
255
178
37
1
503
15
181
251
55
1
4519

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

144


MapofLHFAHousingProjects

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

145

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

146

CityofNewOrleansPlanningDistrictSummaryData
SummaryofPlanningDistrict1
PlanningDistrict1containboththehistoricFrenchQuarter,whichdrawstouristsfromalloverthe
world,andmoremoderndevelopmentssuchastheLouisianaSuperdome,NewOrleansfinancial
district(theCentralBusinessDistrict(CBD))andtheNewOrleansConventionCenter.Betweenthe
touristindustryandthebusinesseslocatedintheCBD,thisdistrictistheprimaryeconomicengineofthe
city.OriginallydevelopedasStMarie,oneofthefirstneighborhoodsoutsideoftheFrenchQuarter,the
CBDbenefitedfrom1970soilboomwhenitquicklybecametheprimarybusinesscenterofNew
Orleans.Today,District1experiencessomeofthehighestlandvaluesinthecity.
ThehistoricarchitectureoftheFrenchQuartercollidesatCanalStreetwiththemodernskyscrapersof
theCBDwhichcontainamixtureofresidentialandcommercialuses.StructuresintheFrenchQuarter
andtheWarehouseDistricttypicallycontainbusinessesatthestreetlevelwithresidencesontheupper
floors.StructuresintheCBDtypicallycontainasingleuseasopposedtothoseintheFrenchQuarter.
Moststructuresareusedcommerciallyforhotels,storesandofficesorresidentiallyforhighendhigh
risesapartments.Therearelimitedaffordablehousingoptionsinthearea.
Builtonthenaturalsiltleveedepositedbytheriver,District1receivedvirtuallynoflooddamagefrom
HurricaneKatrina.Themajorityofthedamagethatoccurredwasaresultofhighwindsandheavyrain.
FewbusinessesintheCBDreported1to3feetofwaterdamageandasmallnumberofrentalunits
reportedflooddamagefromthestorm.Approximately32%oftheunitsindistrict1asustaineddamage
ofwhichonly6unitswerereportedwithsevereflooddamagewhile615reportedminornonflood
relateddamage.1bincurredsimilardamageswith48%oftheunitssustainingdamage,primarilyminor
nonfloodrelateddamagesaswell.26

26

FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

147

HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict1FrenchQuarter&CBD
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

3,930
8%
1,470
7%
5,400
8%
$48,004
0.62
1%

Source:NielsonClaritas,Inc.2010

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict1FrenchQuarter&CBD
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

7,235
602
230
441
1,065
2,231
678
1,962
1939
1,372
4,418
753

Source:NielsonClaritas,Inc.2010andGCR&Associates,Inc.usingdataprovidedbytheLouisianaHousingFinanceAgencyand
LouisianaOfficeofCommunityDevelopment/DisasterRecoveryUnit

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict1FrenchQuarter&CBD
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009

$750,285
17%

Source:UniversityofNewOrleansInstituteforEconomicDevelopmentandRealEstateResearchandGCR&Associates,Inc.
analysisofsoldhomesrecordedbytheNewOrleansMetroAreaAssociationofRealtors.

SurveyResultsCharacteristicsofForRentUnits
PlanningDistrict1FrenchQuarter&CBD
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom

51
$1,400

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

148


MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom
TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

$2,240
0

Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.(online,fieldandphonesurveyconductedSeptemberOctober,2010.)

FEMARecoveryProjects
PlanningDistrict1FrenchQuarter&CBD
ProjectName
LafitteGreenway
GallierHallRenovations

ProjectAddress
TremtoCanalBlvd.
545SaintCharlesAve.

Source:LouisianaOfficeofCommunityDevelopment/DisasterRecoveryUnit(availableatwww.rebuild.la.gov)

RecoveryProjectDescriptions
SaengerTheatreRenewalProject
TheSaengerTheatreoriginallyopenedin1927andhostedbothmotionpicturesandlivetheater.
DamagedbyHurricaneKatrina,thetheaterhasremainedvacantsincethestorm.TheCanalStreet
DevelopmentCorporation(CSDC)developedaplantorestorethetheaterthroughacombinationof
publicandprivatefinancing.ThecityofNewOrleansearmarked$13millioninDisasterCommunity
DevelopmentBlockGrantfundingtosupporttheproject.Thedevelopersareutilizingfundsfrom
severalothersourcesincluding$2millionfromtheLouisianaRecoveryAuthorityand$38millionin
federalandstatestaxcredits.Intotaltheprojectisestimatedtocost$45.8million.27CSDCexpectsthe
theatertoreopenbytheendof2011.
200Carondelet
Builtin1929,theNationalAmericanBankBuildingwasplacedontheNationalRegisterofHistoricPlaces
in1986.TheModernisticstructurewasrecentlyredevelopedintoamixedincomehousing
developmentwithcommercialspaceonthefirstfloorandavarietyofresidentialamenities.Locatedin
theCentralBusinessDistrict,thedevelopmentoffers76onebedroomaffordableunitsforhouseholds
earning60%AMIorless.Thedevelopmentprovidesaffordablehousingincloseproximityto
transportationoptionsandjobs.
ReinventingtheCrescent
ReinventingtheCrescentisa$294millionprojectexpectedtotransformandreclaimsixmilesof
unusedindustrialandcommercialspacealongtheMississippiRiver.Theprojectwilltransformthe
eastbankoftheriverfromJacksonAvenuetotheIndustrialCanal.Designschemesincluderecreational
usessuchasdogparksandbikepaths,entertainmentpavilionsattheMandevilleandPietyWharfsand
publicartexhibitions.$30millionindisasterCDBGfundshavebeenallocatedtotheproject.Thedesign
teamestimatestheprojectwillcreateover24,000newjobsandincentivizeinvestmentinthe

The Times-Picayune, October 21, 2001. Retrieved 11/18/10


http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2010/10/new_orleans_city_council_is_ex.html
27

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

149


residential,commercialandeducationindustriesasaresult.28Althoughtheprojectexperienceddelays
topushbackfromsurroundingneighborhoodassociationswithconcernsregardingparkmaintenance,
parkingsafetyandthelevelofnoiseproducedduringevents,thebidprocessiscompleteand
constructionshouldstartsoon.
930Poydras
Therecentlyopened21storyresidentialhighriseat930Poydrashas250residentialunitsrentingat
$1,500permonthonaverage.The462,000squarefootmixedusedevelopmentincludesretailspaces
onthegroundlevel,a509spaceparkinggarageonthefirst8floorsand12floorsofresidentiallivingon
top.ReginellisPizzarecentlymovedintothefirstfloor.The930PoydrasLLC,BrianGibbsDevelopment
LLCandGibbsConstructionLLC,combinedknownastheGibbsFamilyTrust,paid$3.12millionforthe
landandspentanestimated$60.7millioninthedesignandconstructionofthetower.Althoughthe
projectoriginallyqualifiedforGulfOpportunityZonebonds,theluxuryapartmentbuildingcompleted
constructioninthespringof2010withalternativefundingstreams.29
WorldTradeCenter
Initsheyday,theWorldTradeCenter(WTC)locatedatthefootofCanalStreetwasthecenterof
maritimetradeacrossLatinAmerica,EuropeandtheUS.The404foottalltoweropeneditsdoorsin
1967asthefirstworldtradecenterinthecountry.Todaythetowerstandsmostlyemptywiththeonly
tenantbeingtheWTCIncorporatedBoardofDirectorswhocontinuestonegotiatetheirexistinglease
withthecity.Thegrouprequesteda$1.2millionbuyoutoftheorganizationsleasehold.UnderMayor
Naginsadministrationseveralbidswereconsideredforredevelopingthestructureintoaluxuryhotel.
Otherproposalsincludecreatingacivicmonumenttodrawtouristtothearea.30Therecenteconomic
downturnstifledredevelopmentplans.Demolitionremainsalikelysolutiontothe12yeareffortto
redeveloptheWTC.
BensonTower/SuperdomeEntertainmentComplex
PreviouslyknownastheDominionTowerat1450PoydrasStreet,thenewBensonTowerand
surroundingvacantstructureswererecentlypurchasedbyZeliaLLCfor$42.1million.31Saintsowner
TomBensonandhisfamilymakeupthenewlyformedZeliaLLCgroup.Thegroupisrefurbishingthe26
storytower,the400,000squarefootNewOrleansCentremalland2,000spaceparkinggarageintoa
sportsentertainmentdistrictandstateofficebuilding.Morethan55stateagenciesareexpectedto
moveintothespacebytheendof2010.Theagreementreplacescontractswhichexpireintwoyears

Reinventing the Crescent, Development Plan. Retrieved 11/18/10


http://www.reinventingthecrescent.org/files/documents/Book_Full_001.pdf
29 The Times-Picayune, New Orleans renovation project delays threaten lucrative GO Zone financing, January 06,
2009. Retrieved 11/19/10. http://www.nola.com/news/index.ssf/2009/01/delays_threaten_go_zone_financ.html
30 Gambit New Orleans, Tall Order August 9, 2010. Retrieved online 11/19/10
http://www.bestofneworleans.com/gambit/tall-order/Content?oid=1330789
31 The Times-Picayune, Benson family completes purchase of Dominion Tower. September 15,2009. Retrieved
11/19/10. http://www.nola.com/business/index.ssf/2009/09/benson_family_completes_purcha.html
28

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

150


andrequirethestatetopayescalatingannualsubsidieswhichrecentlyreached$23.5million.32
AlthoughtherentalcontractisbetweenthestateandBensonsfamily,theagreementiscontingenton
theSaintsremaininginNewOrleans.Theplaza,whichwillreplacethevacantNewOrleansCentremall,
willbeusedforeventsconnectedtotheSaints,SuperBowlsandsomeNewOrleansHornetsactivities.
Allearningsfromtheplazaabove$2.3millionwillbesplitevenlybetweenthestateandZeliaLLC.The
newplazawillbringjobandeconomicgrowthwithabuiltinstage,musicandvendorstands,
restaurants,nightclubsandentertainmentvenues.Thisdealisthefirststeptowardsathrivingsports
andentertainmentdistrict

RecentHousingDevelopments
PlanningDistrict1FrenchQuarter&CBD
ProjectName
ConstanceLofts
1041ConstanceSt.
200Carondelet
200CarondeletSt.
Nine27
1026ConstanceSt
St.JoeLofts
400St.JosephSt.
TivoliPlaceApt
1040St.CharlesAve
FischerIV,PartIIIHomeownership
2135LandryBlvd
HoffmanTriangleProject
ScatteredSites
MilesLegacy
ScatteredSites
CornerstoneEstates
ScatteredSites
RaymondJosephDrive
ScatteredSites
LafitteRedevelopmentBlocks13

Description
1.LIHTCandCDBG
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate27Affordable23
1.LIHTCandCDBG
2.Highrise
3.MarketRate114Affordable76
1.LIHTCandCDBG
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate60Affordable16
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate11Affordable50
1.LIHTC
2.Highrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable166
1.HousingTrustFund
2.SingleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate0Affordable26
1.HOME
2.Single&DoubleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate0Affordable5
1.HousingTrustFund
2.Single&DoubleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate0Affordable10
1.HOME
2.Single&DoubleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate0Affordable15
1.HousingTrustFund
2.Single&DoubleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate0Affordable20
1.LIHTCandCDBG

The Times-Picayune, New Orleans Saints, Superdome game plan is multilayered effort for state, February 21, 2010.
Retrieved 11/19/10. http://www.nola.com/business/index.ssf/2010/02/new_orleans_saints_complicated.html

32

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2421MagicSt.

2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable134

Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.analysisofdataprovidedbyLouisianaHousingFinanceAgencyandLouisianaOfficeof
CommunityDevelopment

AssessorData
PlanningDistrict1FrenchQuarter&CBD
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

3,877
1,223
2,654
$105,494
3,809

Source:LouisianaTaxCommission,2010

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict1FrenchQuarter&CBD
TotalResidentialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

1,899
1,818
81
4.27%
7.9%
1,790
1,570
220
11.6%
0.27%

Source:GCRActivityIndexisadeterminationofaddresslevelactivitybasedonutilityusage,maildeliveryservice,garbage
collection,voterregistrationandspotsurveys.

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict1FrenchQuarter&CBD
TotalBusinesses

930
Retail 654
Restaurants 275
GroceryandFood 1
n/a
n/a

TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees
Source:DunandBradstreet,2010

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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SummaryofPlanningDistrict2
District2experiencedresidentialdevelopmentasearlyasthe1830satwhichpointtheextravagant
housesoftheGardenDistrictwerebuiltduringthesametimeperiodasthemodestworkforcehousing
developedinCentralCity.ThetopographyofthedistrictexemplifiesacrosssectionofNewOrleansasa
wholedisplayingthejuxtapositionofeconomicandethnicdiversityasitcorrespondswithgeography.
Affluentsinglefamilystructuresaretypicallylocatedonhighgroundclosertotheriverwhilethe
workforcehousingfoundatthenorthernpointofthedistrictinHoffmanTriangleandZionCitywere
significantlyaffectedbyfloodwaters.
Mostoftheneighborhoodsremainprimarilyresidentialwithafewmajorcommercialthoroughfares.
MagazineStreetandStCharlesAvenueareepitomizedassuccessfulorganicexamplesofmixed
developmentsprizedbyNewUrbanistsacrossthecountry.OrethaCastleHaleyBoulevard,originally
namedDryadesStreet,wasonceaprominentshoppingdistrictsaidtorivalCanalStreetasan
entertainmentandshoppingalternativeforethnicallydiversecommunities.Althoughtheshopping
corridorfellonhardtimesduringtheoilbustofthe1980s,arenewaleffortbeganinthe1990sand
continuestodaythroughtheprogramssuchastheOCHaleyBoulevardMainStreetprojectandParkway
Partnerscommunitygardenprograms.Thelargelylowtomiddleclasspopulationiscomprisedof
primarilyrentersexceptinafewenclavessuchastheGardenDistrict.Threelargepublichousing
developmentsarelocatedwithinthedistrictincludingRivergarden(formallySt.Thomasdevelopment),
GusteandCJPeete(currentlyunderconstruction).
Thehighgroundalongtheriverdidnotincurmuchdamageandhasrecentlyexperiencedincreased
repopulationratesasmanyincomingresidentsmovetohigherground.CentralCityandMilan
repopulatedatamuchslowerpacebecausemanyofthehousingunitswereseverelydamagedbyflood
waters.Acrossthedistrict,approximately50%oftheunitssustaineddamage,justover3,000owner
occupiedunitsweredamagedand6,700rentalunitsweredamaged.33

33

FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06

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153

HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict2GardenDistrict
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
MedianHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

12,218
13%
6,426
12%
18,644
13%
$26,250
2.15
25%

Source:NielsonClaritas,Inc.2010

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict2GardenDistrict
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

21,570
5,506
3,294
2,286
3,204
4,046
977
1,417
1942
1,387
10,730
2,358

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict2GardenDistrict
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009

$340,362
8%

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
PlanningDistrict2GardenDistrict
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom

218
$750
$900

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154


TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.(online,fieldandphonesurveyconductedSeptemberOctober,2010.)

FEMARecoveryProjects
PlanningDistrict2GardenDistrict
ProjectName
BroadandWashingtonStreetscape
SouthClaiborneStreetscape
OrethaCastleHaleyBlvdStreetscape
LyonsCenter

ProjectAddress
S.Broad@FourthtoLouisiana
S.Claiborne@NapoleonAve.toMartinLuther
KingJr.Blvd.
OrethaCastleHaleyBlvd@FelicityMLKBlvd.
624LouisianaAve.

RecoveryProjectDescriptions
OrethaCastleHaleyStreetscape
HistoricOrethaCastleHaleyBoulevarddevelopedasthecommercialcorridorforCentralCityinthe
1830sandpeakedinthe1940swithmorethan200businessesliningtheboulevard.Urban
deteriorationanddisinvestmentnegativelyaffectedtheboulevardstartinginthelate60s.34Todaya
handfulofbusinessesandnonprofitshavededicatedfinancialresourcesinanefforttospark
revitalizationofthecorridorwhichwasearmarkedasanodeofrecoveryintheNewOrleansMaster
Plan.ListedasoneofMayorLandrieus100recoveryprojects,thestreetscapedevelopmentofO.C.
Haleywillassistorganizationsalongtheboulevardwithanticipatedrenewalofthearea.Withan
expected$3millionbudget,theprojectmayincludesidewalkimprovements,bikeways,trafficand
pedestriansignage,landscaping,lightingandpublicartalongOCHaleyBoulevardbetweenFelicity
StreetandMartinLutherKingJr.Boulevard.Theproject,whichiscurrentlyinthedesignphase,will
bringmuchneededpublicinvestmentalongtheblocksofthecorridorthathasseenthemostprivate
investmentsinceHurricaneKatrina.
Muses
LocatedoneblocksouthofO.C.HaleyBoulevardandoneblocknorthofSt.CharlesAvenue,theMuses
mixedincomedevelopmentislocatedintheCentralCityneighborhood.Thetotaldevelopmentcostis
estimatedat$60millionandwasfundedwithacombinationofprivateinvestment,GulfOpportunity
(GOZone)taxcreditsandCommunityDevelopmentBlockGrant(CDBG)funds.Thefirstphaseofthe
developmentconsistingof211apartmentunitsiscompleteandthesecondphaseconsistingofanother
52unitsiscurrentlyunderconstruction.Ofthe263units106arereservedforlowincomerenters.
Another4,000squarefeetofdevelopmentwillbedesignatedforcommercialuse.Disinvestmentinthe

Historical references taken from GNOCDC, Central City/Garden District Neighborhood Snapshot, Retrieved
11/07/10 http://www.gnocdc.org/orleans/6/index.html
34

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areahasbeenextensive,leavingtheneighborhoodfilledwithblightedandvacantproperties.The
particularlotsdevelopedbytheMusesprojecthavebeenvacantsincebefore2005.
1409OrethaCastleHaleyBoulevard
TheNewOrleansRedevelopmentAuthority(NORA),FirstEvangelistHousingandCommunity
DevelopmentCorporationandtheGulfCoastHousingPartnershiphavepartneredtogethertoconstruct
an84,000squarefootmixedusedevelopmentatthecornerofMartinLutherKingJr.Boulevardand
OrethaCastleHaleyBoulevard.Thefourstorystructurewillfillthe1400blockofO.C.Haleywhich
currentlyconsistsofseveralvacantandblightedproperties.NORAwillrelocateitsofficestotheupper
floorsofthestructurewhichwillalsoinclude20,000squarefeetofcommercialspaceand70mixed
incomeapartmentsforseniorsaged55andolder.FirstEvangelistHousingandCommunity
DevelopmentCorporationwillprovideonsiteservicesfortheelderlyresidents.
RiverGardenRedevelopment
DevelopedthroughtheHUDHOPEVIprogram,theformerSt.ThomasHousingDevelopmentbeganits
transformationinOctober2001whenmostoftheunitsweredemolished.NowknownastheRiver
GardenDevelopment,themixedusecommunityislocatedintheLowerGardenDistrict.Thefirstphase
ofconstructionwascompletedpriortoHurricaneKatrinawithatotalprojectcostof$31.4millionfor
296apartments.AfterHurricaneKatrina,38singlefamilyhomeownershiphouses,347mixedincome
apartmentsand57elderlyunitswereconstructed.48%oftheunitsdevelopedthusfararereservedfor
lowincomerentersandhomeowners.Another100offsiteprojectbasedrentalunitsand50affordable
homeownershipunitsareintheplanningstage.
HarmonyOaksDevelopment
FormerlyknownasC.J.Peete,HarmonyOaksisamixedincomedevelopmentfinancedwithGulf
Opportunity(GOZone)taxcredits,CommunityDevelopmentBlockGrant(CDBG)fundsandprivate
investments.LocatedintheCentralCityneighborhood,thedevelopmentislocatedeightblocksfromSt.
CharlesAvenue,afairlypedestrianfriendlycommercialcorridorwithtraditionalstreetcartransit,and
twoblocksfromClaiborneAvenue,alargecommercialthoroughfarewithlimitedpedestrianmobility.
Ofthe510rentalandhomeownershipunits,75%oftheunitsarereservedforlowincomehouseholds.
Fiftyhomeownershipunitswillbedevelopedasinfillhousinginthesurroundingneighborhoodinan
efforttoboostinvestmentinthecommunity.Alloftheonsiteunitsareunderconstructionand
expectedtobecompletebytheendof2011.

RecentHousingDevelopments
PlanningDistrict2GardenDistrict
ProjectName
WorkforceHousingNow
3109&3111St.Thomas

Description
1.HousingTrustFund
2.SingleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate0Affordable3

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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GusteI
1301SimonBolivarBlvdNewOrleans
HandlemanLofts
18241832OrethaCastleHaleyBlvd
RiverGardenElderlyApts
2017LaurelSt
FlintGoodridgeApartments
2425ConstanceSt
RedemptoristApts
2050ConstanceSt
CHSNewOrleansI
VariousLocations
GCHPMLK
1931MLKBlvd
CJPeeteI
2520WashingtonAve
RiverGardenHistoricApts
1801St.Thomas
RiverGardenCSII
18001900St.Thomas
TheMusesII
1731PolymniaStreet
LibertyPlaceApartments
230131Toledano
CrescentGardenHomes
VariousLocations
TheMuses
1731PolymniaStreet

1.LIHTC
2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable82
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable24
1.LIHTC
2.Garden
3.MarketRate0Affordable57
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable89
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable107
1.LIHTC
2.Singlefamily
3.MarketRate63Affordable43
1.LIHTCandCDBG
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate21Affordable49
1.LIHTCandCDBG
2.Lowrise,townhouse
3.MarketRate130Affordable330
1.LIHTC
2.Lowrise,townhouse
3.MarketRate0Affordable37
1.LIHTCandCDBG
2.Lowrise,townhouse
3.MarketRate186Affordable124
1.LIHTCandCDBG
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate41Affordable11
1.LIHTC
2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable34
1.LIHTCandCDBG
2.Single&DoubleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate86Affordable57
1.LIHTCandCDBG
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate135Affordable76

AssessorData
PlanningDistrict2GardenDistrict

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157


TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

8,812
4,078
4,734
$26,829
2,705

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict2GardenDistrict
TotalResidentialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

14,193
11,648
2,545
17.9%
8.02%
1,660
1,331
329
19.81%
3.86%

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict2GardenDistrict
TotalBusinesses

372
Retail 289
Restaurants 79
GroceryandFood 4
$606,197,000.00
4,498

TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees

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158

SummaryofPlanningDistrict3
OriginallyincorporatedinthetownofCarrollton,PlanningDistrict3isinthesouthwesterncornerofthe
cityandisborderedbytheriveronthesouthandJeffersonParishonthewest.Theareawas
incorporatedintoNewOrleansproperin1874.Developmenttrendsinthedistrictaresimilarto
tendenciesfoundindistrictsoneandtwo,witholderresidentialdevelopmentlocatedclosetotheriver
andalongnaturaloccurringridgesintheland.Lowlyinglandwasnotdevelopeduntilthe1920sand
30s.MostoftheneighborhoodsarefilledwithVictorianandCraftsmanstylesinglefamily,twofamily
andsmallmultifamilyresidenceswithafairlyevenmixofowneroccupiedunitsandrentalproperties.
Thedistrictretainstheresidentialqualitiesoriginallyincorporatedintheinitialdevelopmentofthearea
withfewchangesregardinguniversitydevelopmentandlimitedcommercialexpansionalongSouth
CarrolltonAvenue,StCharlesAvenue,MagazineStreet,SouthClaiborneAvenueandMapleStreet.The
areaiswellknownforthenumberofcollegiateestablishmentsincludingTulaneUniversity,Loyola
University,andNewcombCollege,Tulanescollegeforwomenestablishedin1870.35Thereisahealthy
mixofhomeownersandrenterslivinginprimarilymarketratestructureswiththeexceptionsof
HollygroveandDixonareas.RecentrentalsurveysinHollygroveandDixonshowalargepercentageof
availablerentalstockidentifiedasSection8rentalproperties,howevertherearenolargedevelopments
targetinglowincomeresidents.36
Approximately61%ofallthehousingunitsinthedistrictweredamagedbyHurricaneKatrina.37Mostof
thedamageinthedistrictwascausedbyfloodinggenerallyaffectingneighborhoodslocatedfurther
awayfromtheMississippiRiversuchasBroadmoor,Fountainbleau,HollygroveandDixon.Areasacross
theincomespectrumwereaffectedbythestormfromaffluentneighborhoodstolowincomeareas
bothrentalandowneroccupied.Rebuildingintheareawasdrivenbyarobustnetworkof
neighborhoodassociations.

35 Historical references taken from GNOCDC, Uptown District Neighborhood Snapshot, Retrieved 11/07/10
http://www.gnocdc.org/orleans/6/index.html
36 Survey taken September 2010
37 FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06

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HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict3Uptown
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

12,017
12%
14,327
13%
26,344
12%
$38,377
3.04
12%

Source:NielsonClaritas,Inc.2010

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict3Uptown
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

28,363
13,246
3,438
5,890
3,100
1,519
339
400
1939
1,838
15,556
1,130

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict3Uptown
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009

$352,093
8%

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
PlanningDistrict3Uptown
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom

244
$788
$975

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160


TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

10

Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.(online,fieldandphonesurveyconductedSeptemberOctober,2010.)

RecoveryProjects
PlanningDistrict3Uptown
ProjectName
RosaKellerLibrary
Napoleon,BroadandFontainebleauIntersection
Design
HarrellStadium
LatterLibraryRenovations
EarhartBlvdRoadwayImprovements
NapoleonFreretRoadwayImprovements
FreretStStreetscape
Marlyville&FontainbleauRoadRepairs
BroadmoorStreetscape
CarrolltonHollygroveSeniorCenter
WisnerPlayground
SouthCarrolltonAveStreetscape

ProjectAddress
4300SBroadSt.
BroadStreet@NapoleonAve.
2300LeonidasSt.
5120St.CharlesAvenue
EarhartBlvd@HamiltonSt
Napoleon@Freret
FreretSt@NapoleonAve
Marlyville&FontainbleauRoadRepairs
GeneralPershing@BroadSt.toMiroSt.
3300HamiltonSt.
4877LaurelSt.
CarrolltonAve@PalmettoSt

RecoveryProjectDescriptions
LouisianaFreedman
LocatedintheUptownneighborhoodbetweenAudubonandBroadwayStreetsandsouthofEarhart
Boulevard,theLouisianaFreedmenHomewasthefirstLowIncomeTaxCreditfinancemultifamily
housingcomplextobebuiltwithmodularconstruction.Thedevelopmentconsistsof29three
bedroom,twobathapartmentsreservedforlowandmoderateincomefamilies.The$4.7millionin
constructioncostswasfinancedthroughacombinationofLouisianaHousingFinanceAgencysHOME
funds,GulfOpportunityZonecredits,energycreditsandprivateinvestments.38
BroadmoorStreetscape
TheBroadmoorneighborhoodlocatedintheUptownPlanningDistrictsustainedseveredamagedueto
ninefoothighfloodwater.Manyofthepublicamenitiesweredamagedandareinneedofrepair.The
BroadmoorStreetscapeprojectwillfunnel$250,000intothecommunitiespublicthoroughfaressuchas
sidewalks,bikeways,streetsignage,landscaping,lightingandpublicart.Theprojectwillfocusits
resourcesonGeneralPershingStreetbetweenBroadandMiroStreets.

The Urban Institute. Affordable Rental Housing in Healthy Communities, Rebuilding after Hurricanes Katrina and
Rita. May 2007. Retrieved 11/19/10 http://www.urban.org/UploadedPDF/411514_affordable_rental_housing.pdf
38

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RosaF.KellerLibrary
RosaF.KellerLibraryislocatedintheBroadmoorneighborhoodandisanintegralassetforresidents
thatchosetoreturnandrebuildinthecommunity.DuringHurricaneKatrina,thelibraryreceived
approximately2feetofwaterwhichremainedinthebuildingforoveraweek.FEMAidentifiedstorm
relateddamagesresultinginrepaircostsestimatedat53%morethanthereplacementcosts.$15.8
millionhasbeenfunneledfromFEMAtothereplacementcostsofseverallibrariesinNewOrleansandin
2009FEMAannouncedanadditional$2milliondedicatedtothereplacementofRosaKellerLibrary.39
TheLouisianaRecoveryAuthorityandtheCityofNewOrleansalsoearmarkedfundsforlibrary
replacementacrossthecity.IntotaltheRosaKellerLibraryreceived$3.4millioninrecoveryfunds.In
addition,thelibraryalsoreceiveda$2milliongrantfromtheCarnegieCorporationofNewYorkfor
rebuilding,restockingandrefurbishing.40ConstructiononthelibrarybeganinJuneof2010and
estimatedtotakeapproximately370days.
CarrolltonHollygroveSeniorCenter
Locatedat3300Hamilton,theCarrolltonHollygroveSeniorCenterwasfoundedin1977asacommunity
facilityforelderlymembersofthecommunity.Thecenterprovidesavarietyofservicesincludingan
adultdaycareprogramandacommunityhealthcenter.41Hollygrovereceivedanestimatedninefeetin
floodwatersduringHurricaneKatrina.Thecenterisscheduledtoreceiveapproximately$1.8million
fromthecitysrecoveringfundsandiscurrentlyintheplanningphase.

RecentHousingDevelopments
PlanningDistrict3Uptown
ProjectName
ProjectAddress
TudorSquareApartments
3011MilanStreet
PalmettoAptHomes
3980CambronneStreet
LouisianaFreedmen
31033135AudubonSt
WisdomManor
4324GeneralOgdenStreet

Description
1.LIHTC
2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable51
1.LIHTCandHOME
2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate74Affordable50
1.LIHTC
2.Duplex
3.MarketRate0Affordable29
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise

FEMA. Broadmoor Neighborhoods Rosa F. Keller Library Funded for Replacement. September 28, 2009.
Retrieved 11/19/10. http://www.fema.gov/news/newsrelease.fema?id=49592
40 Clinton Global Initiative. "Community Identifies Rosa F. Keller Library as Priority Project." Press Release, Harvard
University, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, June 19, 2007
41 GNOCDC Hollygrove Neighborhood Snapshot. Retrieved 11/19/10.
http://www.gnocdc.org/orleans/3/12/snapshot.html
39

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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3.MarketRate0Affordable32
CypressManorIApts.
8401StroelitzSt
OpportunityHomes
9019Oleander
BlackPearlHomes
7467Leake
A.B.E.Homes
9310&9312BelfastSt
JoGreen
9013&9015Green
La.GeorgiaHousingCollaborative
1319Gen.Ogden
HisWorkHomes
9302&9304Fig

1.LIHTCandCDBG
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable32
1.LIHTC
2.Single&DoubleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate0Affordable54
1.HousingTrustFund
2.SingleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate0Affordable3
1.HousingTrustFund
2.SingleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate5Affordable3
1.HousingTrustFund
2.SingleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate1Affordable4
1.HousingTrustFund
2.SingleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate2Affordable2
1.HousingTrustFund
2.SingleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate3Affordable0

AssessorData
PlanningDistrict3Uptown
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

16,549
9,054
7,495
$32,919
1,377

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict3Uptown
TotalResidentialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses

26,260
22,451
1,061
4.04%
2.75%
1,244
1,031
231

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

163


PercentageInactive 18.6%
ChangeinActivity20082010 5.56%

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict3Uptown
TotalBusinesses

338
Retail 239
Restaurants 93
GroceryandFood 6
$715,494,000.00
3,987

TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees

SummaryofPlanningDistrict4
PlanningDistrict4consistsoftheeightneighborhoodsthatstretchacrossthemiddleofthecityabove
SouthClaiborneAvenuefromMartinLutherKingBoulevardtoElysianFieldsAvenueandHighway610
East.Muchofthedistrictwaslowlyingswamplanduntildrainageprojectsopenedtheareafor
developmentinthelate19thcentury.Developmentofthedistrictfollowedtwoprimarytrends,
proximitytotheFrenchQuarterandtopography.Reflectingarchitecturaldesignsfromtheearly20th
century,residentialstructuresindistrict4includebungalows,shotgunsdoublesandafewdouble
galleries.
Primarilyalowandmiddleincomedistrictwithalargepercentageofrentalunits,approximately64%
ofallunitsintheareaarerenteroccupied.PlanningDistrict4hasthehighestfamilypovertyrateinthe
cityandcontainsfourlargepublichousingdevelopmentsinarangeofredevelopmentstages.42Lafitte,
BWCooperandSt.Bernardhousingdevelopmentsarecurrentlyunderconstruction,whileIbervilleisin
thedesignphase.Althoughmostofthedistrictisresidential,therearelargecorridorsofcommercial
andindustrialuseswhichgenerallycoincidewithlargethoroughfares.
Thedistrictiscomprisedofgenerallylowlayinglandwhichreceivedupto6or7feetofwaterduring
Katrinaandroughly75%ofthehousingstockwasdamaged.43Withhalfoftheunitsinthedistrict
severelydamagedordestroyedbythestorm,severaloutsidedevelopershavetargetedtheareasempty
warehousesandlowrisestructuresformixedincomedevelopments.Othersareusedforartstudios,
MardiGrasdens,andcommercialuses.Manyofthehistoricwarehouses,however,remainvacant
includingtheDixieBreweryandBluePlateMayonnaise.

42
43

Claritas
FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

164

HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict4MidCity
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

13,086
11%
7,267
14%
20,353
12%
$24,286
2.35
28%

Source:NielsonClaritas,Inc.2010

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict4MidCity
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

22,774
6,941
4,859
3,644
3,122
2,437
508
892
1943
714
10,159
4,455

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict4MidCity
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009

$142,484
13%

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
PlanningDistrict4MidCity
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent

283

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MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom
TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

$750
$850
9

Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.(online,fieldandphonesurveyconductedSeptemberOctober,2010.)

RecoveryProjects
PlanningDistrict4MidCity
ProjectName
SaengerTheatreRenewalProject
LouisArmstrongPark&OldFireStation
ClaiborneAvenueStreetscape
NoraNavraLibraryDesignBuild
St.BernardAve
ComiskeyPark&Playground
TulaneAveandJeffDavisPkwyStreetscape
RosenwaldCenter
NOFDEngine26
GertTownCommunityPool
Hunter'sField
BroadSt.andLafitteStStreetscape
BWCooperInfrastructure
BayouRdStreetscape
TremeCenter
VAMedicalCenter
ClaiborneAve
GentillyRoadwayImprovements
TulaneUniversityCommunityHealthClinic
CarrolltonIntersection
NorwoodThompsonPlayground

ProjectAddress
801NRampartSt
901NRampartSt
ClaiborneAve@ClevelandSt.
1902St.BernardAve.
St.BernardAve@ClaiborneAveN.MiroSt.
CornerofS.JeffDavisPkwy&Baudin
TulaneAve@JeffDavisPkwyStreetscape
1120SBroadSt.
436SJeffersonDavisPkwy
7400StroelitzStreet
1600NorthClaiborneAve.
BroadSt.@BienvilleSttoOrleansAve
BWCooperHousingProject
BayouRd@BroadSttoRocheblaveSt
900NVillereSt.
MidCity
ClaiborneAve@EsplanadeAvetoSt.AnthonySt
GentillySt.
711N.BroadStreet
S.CarrolltonAve.@PalmSt.toI10
7200ForsheySt.

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RecoveryProjectDescriptions
VA/LSUHospitalDevelopment
BoththeVAMedicalCenterandLSUCharityHospitalincurredseveredamagesduringHurricaneKatrina.
AfterthestormneitherhospitalreturnedtoNewOrleansleavingveterans,underinsuredandlow
incomepopulationswithoutadequatehealthcare.TheVAreceived$3.3millioninfederalmoneyin
March2010topreparetheconstructionsite.Another$325millioninfederaldisasterrecoveryfunds
and$300millioninVAmajorconstructionfundingwillcovermorethan60%oftheestimated$995
millionfortheVAhospitalalone.ConstructionofanewLSUAcademicMedicalCenterwillcostan
estimated$833million.Combinedthetwoprojectswillcostanestimated$2billion.Thehospitalswill
provideover500bedscombined,hospicecareandstateoftheartmedicalfacilities.
LafitteGreenway
TheproposedLafitteGreenway,alsoknownastheLafitteCorridor,willrunalongwhatwasoncethe
CarondeletBasin.The3.1milelinearparkwillconnecttheFrenchQuarterwithLakePontchartrainvia
BayouSt.John.Theprojectwillcreateacorridorofcontinuousparks,biketrails,recreationalfacilities
andpedestrianpublicgreenspacerunningthroughthecenterofthecity.Currentlyinthebidandaward
phase,the$11.6millionindisasterrecoveryfundswasrecentlyallocatedtotheproject.Setbacksdue
tocontractualissuesbetweenthecityandthedevelopmentfirminitiallyhiredtocompletethecorridor
havedelayedtheproject.AnewRequestforProposalsfromthecitywasissuedinMarch2010.
LafitteHousingDevelopment
ProvidenceCommunityHousingandEnterprisewereselectedtodesigntheredevelopmentstrategies
fortherevitalizationoftheformer896unitLafittedevelopment.ThegrouphasincorporatedtheHOPE
VIdesignstrategiesintheredevelopmentprocessfortheprojectincorporatingtheLafitteResident
Councilsinputinthedesignsandapromisetoprovidecommunitysupportservicesforallresidents.
Whenconstructioniscomplete,theprojectwillfeature1,500homesandapartmentswhichinclude276
publichousingunits,524affordablerentalunitsand600homeownershipunits.Thisplanreducesthe
numberofonsiteunitsfrom900to517whichwillincludebothrentalunitsand61homeownership
units,40ofwhichwillbesoldtohouseholdsearningnomorethan80%oftheHUDareamedian.
NoraNavraNeighborhoodLibrary
Locatedat1902St.BernardAvenue,thenew6,100squarefeetNoraNavraNeighborhoodLibrarywill
includemeetingrooms,WiFi,enterprisespaceandthebasiclibrarycollection.Theoriginallibrarywas
completelydestroyedbyHurricaneKatrina.Thereplacementfacilitywillnotbelocatedontheoriginal
footprintofthelibrary.The$3.2millionprojectiscurrentlyunderconstruction.

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RecentHousingDevelopments
PlanningDistrict4MidCity
ProjectName
ProjectAddress
GCHPEsplanade
2535EsplanadeAvenue
LafitteRedev.OffsiteIII
2528Conti
DorgenoisLofts
2601PerdidoStreets
LafitteOffsiteRehabs
1212Columbus
LafitteRedev.AdjudicatedHousing
1936Conti
LafitteSeniorHousing
700NorthGalvez
2222TulaneApartments
2222TulaneAvenue
ForTheChildren
1603&1605Gentilly
TheMeridian
750S.JeffersonDavisPkwy
ClassicConstructionofNOVentureI
212628AnnetteSt
St.MichaelSeniorHousing(formerlyTulane)
3433TulaneAvenue
TheTerraces
3615TulaneAve
Eleven37Apts
1137EsplandeAvenue
1540House
1540JohnsonSt

Description
1.LIHTCandHOME
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable42
1.LIHTC
2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable95
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable20
1.LIHTC
2.Single&DoubleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate0Affordable46
1.LIHTC
2.Single&DoubleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate0Affordable84
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable100
1.LIHTCandHOME
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable60
1.HousingTrustFund
2.Single&DoubleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate2Affordable5
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable56
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable56
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable60
1.LIHTC
2.Garden
3.MarketRate0Affordable199
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable199
1.HousingTrustFund
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable12

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BWCooperII
3402Earhart
LafitteRedevelopmentBlocks57
2016OrleansAve
CypressManorIIApts.
3613CambronneSt
FalstaffApartments
2600GravierSt
ThePreserve
4301TulaneAve
TheCrescentClub
3000TulaneAve
TheMarquisApts
710BroadStreet
St.BernardII
4050HamburgStreet
St.BernardI
3801St.BernardAve

1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate123Affordable287
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable105
1.LIHTC
2.Garden
3.MarketRate0Affordable48
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate72Affordable75
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate109Affordable74
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate136Affordable91
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate150Affordable100
1.LIHTC
2.Garden
3.MarketRate17Affordable32
1.LIHTC
2.Garden
3.MarketRate156Affordable310

AssessorData
PlanningDistrict4MidCity
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

9,966
3,987
5,979
$16,271
1,439

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict4MidCity
TotalResidentialAddresses

20,387
ActiveAddresses 14,886
InactiveAddresses 5,501
PercentageInactive 26.98%

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

15.06%
2,366
1,601
765
32.33%
3.15%

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict4MidCity
TotalBusinesses
Retail
Restaurants
GroceryandFood
TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees
TotalAnnualWages
AverageAnnualWage

317
238
77
3
$1,008,541,000.00
3,797

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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SummaryofPlanningDistrict5
DevelopmentofPlanningDistrict5evolvedfromearlyentertainmentattractionssuchaslakefront
resorts,theearliestbeingtheredevelopmentofSpanishFortintoaresortareain1823,toearly20th
centurysuburbanstyleneighborhoods.Theareawasnotdevelopedforresidentialpurposesuntilafter
theswampsweredrainedaround1910;howevermostofthehousingstockwasbuiltafterWorldWarII
inthelate1940s,50sand60s.Thedistrictisalsohometothelargestparkinthecity,CityPark,which
wasdevelopedin1872.
DevelopedasasuburbanescapewithaccesstoleisureactivitiesincludingCityPark,countryclubsand
LakePontchartrain,themajorityoftheresidentialstructuresaresinglefamilyhomeswithlimitedmulti
familystructureslocatedaroundDelgadoCommunityCollege.Thedistrictisaprimarilymiddleto
uppermiddleincomecommunity.Mostofthedistrictiscomprisedofresidentialuseswithcommercial
usesdesignatedtomajorthoroughfaresincludingRobertELeeBoulevardandHarrisonAvenue.Both
residentialandcommercialstructureswereseverelyimpactedbyflooddepthsexceedingeightfeetin
somearea.
ThedistrictwasdevastatedwithfloodwatersaftertheLondonAvenueCanalbreachedshortlyafter
HurricaneKatrina.83%ofallhousingunitsinthedistrictsustaineddamageandalloftheowner
occupiedunitsweredamaged.44Overhalfoftheresidentialunitsintheareawereseverelydamagedor
destroyed.AlmostallofthebusinessesinthedistrictreceivedovertwofeetoffloodingandtheWest
EndMarinawasnearlywashedawaybythetidalwave.TheRobertE.LeeShoppingCenterandseveral
smallercommercialdevelopmentshavereturned.

44

FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06

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HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict5Lakeview
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

2,202
10%
5,397
10%
7,599
10%
$66,204
0.88
3%

Source:NielsonClaritas,Inc.2010

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict5Lakeview
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

7,976
4,650
783
1,407
484
281
72
113
1950
52
2,025
171

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict5Lakeview
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009

$248,074
18%

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
PlanningDistrict5Lakeview
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent

42

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

172


MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom
TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

$895
$995
0

Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.(online,fieldandphonesurveyconductedSeptemberOctober,2010.)

RecoveryProjects
PlanningDistrict5Lakeview
ProjectName
CityParkFestivalandRecreationComplex
CityParkRoadrepairs
RobertE.SmithLibraryDesignBuild
FleurdeLisRoadwayImprovements
NewOrleansMuseumofArt
Catina&LouisvilleRoadwayImprovements
DrainPointRepairServices
GernonBrownGymRenovations
NOPDPoliceStables
HarrisonAveBridgeoverBayouSt.John
Improvements
LakeshoreLakeVistaRoadRepairs
MarconiBlvd.Bikeways
HarrisonAveStreetscape
WestRoadway
WestEndPark
WestEndRoadRepairs
MunicipalYachtHarborRepairs

ProjectAddress
1PalmDrive,CityPark
CityParkAve
6301CanalBlvd.
FleurdeLis@VeteransBlvdtoHarrisonAve
1CollinsDibollCircle
Catina@MoutontoRobertELeeandLouisville@
FilmoretoRobertELee
NavarreNeighborhood
1001HarrisonAve.
HarrisonAvenue&MarconiDr.
HarrisonAveBridge@BayouSt.John
Lakeshore@LakeVista
MarconiBlvd@RobertE.LeetoNorfolkSouthern
Railroad
HarrisonAve@WestEndBlvdtoOrleansAve
WestRoadway@LakeMarinaAve
SouthRd
WestEndAve
401N.RoadwaySt.

RecoveryProjectDescriptions
NewOrleansMuseumofArt
LocatedinCityPark,theNewOrleansMuseumofArtwillreceive$5.9millionforrenovationstothe
museumfacilities.Overall,CityParkreceived$43millionindamagesduringHurricaneKatrina.The
parkreceivedlittletonopublicfundinguntilafterthestorm.Dependentondonationsandeventfees,
theparkhascompletedanumberofrecoveryprojectssince2005.Thecurrentrenovationsare
currentlyinthedesignphase.
MunicipalYachtHarborRepairs

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173


Damagedbythestormsurgewhichpushedcontentsfromthemarineserviceyardsandboathousesinto
themarina,theMunicipalYachtHarborisstillinneedofrepair.Afterthestorm,itwasestimatedthat
over125sunkenvesselslayatthebottomofthemarina.45Themarinawasalsofulloffuelfrom
destroyedboatsandchemicalsfromthenearbymarineserviceyards.Cleanupinvolvednotonly
removingdestroyedboatsandremovingchemicalsfromthewater,butrepairingtheinfrastructureof
theharboritself.Threeprojectshavebeenidentifiedandfundedinanefforttorepairtheharbor.
RepairstotheHarborAdministrationBuilding,theBoatHouseandtheHarborfacilitiesincludingpiers,
bulkheadsandrentalslipsareinthedesignandbid/awardphases.Thecombinedcosttothecityis
estimatedat$31million.
CityParkFestivalandRecreationComplex
The1,300acreparksufferedapproximately$43millionindamagesduringHurricaneKatrina.46The
park,whichpriortoKatrinareceivelittletonopublicassistance,isoperatedandmanagedbythenon
profitCityParkImprovementAssociation(CPIA).Sincethestorm,theCPIAhascompletedseveral
recoveryprojectswithfundsfromFEMAandprivateinvestors.NowtheCPIAisfocusingoncreatinga
betterregionalparkwithimprovedamenities.IdentifiedasoneofMayorMitchLandrieus100recovery
projects,the62acresCityParkFestivalandRecreationComplexwillbebuiltwithaprojectedbudgetof
$4million.Theprojectiscurrentlyinthebidandawardphase.

AssessorData
PlanningDistrict5Lakeview
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

7,253
4,302
2,951
$22,681
647

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict5Lakeview
TotalResidentialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses

11,296
8,095
3,201
28.34%
14%
361
262

Mad Mariner, Daily Boating Magazine. Katrinas Marina Damage. January 13, 2008. Retrieved 11/19/10
http://madmariner.com/news/story/NEW_ORLEANS_KATRINA_MARINA_DAMAGE_011008_AP#
46 City Park, New Orleans website. Retrieved 11/19/10
http://neworleanscitypark.com
45

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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InactiveAddresses 99
PercentageInactive 27.42%
ChangeinActivity20082010 0.62%

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict5Lakeview
TotalBusinesses

71
Retail 52
Restaurants 18
GroceryandFood 1
$133,650,000.00
694

TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees

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175

SummaryofPlanningDistrict6
AsignificantforceinthedevelopmentofPlanningDistrict6wasPontchartrainBeach,whichopenedin
1928.TheamusementparklocatedonthesouthshoreofLakePontchartraindrewcrowdsoffamilies
alongElysianFieldsAvenueonthePontchartrainRailroad.Muchofthelandindistrict6wasswampland
untilseveralcanalswerebuiltintheareabetween1900and1945.47DevelopedfollowingWorldWarII,
the8.8squaremilesofthedistrictarezonedprimarilyforresidentialusesandretainthearchitectural
characterofthetime.

Mostofthesinglefamilystructuresthatmakeupthedistrictshousingstockarehomeowneroccupied
withtheexceptionofmidrisemultifamilyrentaldevelopmentsneartheUniversityofNewOrleansand
DillardUniversity.Themostlymiddleincomeneighborhoodsaregenerallyethnicallydiversewithlarge
studentpopulationsandresidentsovertheageof65.Thefourhighereducationfacilitieslocatedinthe
districtprovidedsignificanteconomicenginesinthewakeofHurricaneKatrinaprovidingjobsand
supporttothecommunity.DillardUniversity,SouthernUniversity,TheNewOrleansBaptistTheological
SeminaryandtheUniversityofNewOrleanshavebeenhighlyinvolvedinredevelopingthedistrict.
Approximately84%oftheunitswereinundatedwithfloodwaterofmorethanfourfeetdeep.48Unlike
otherneighborhoodswhichwerebuoyedbystrongneighborhoodassociationsornationalmedia,
Gentillyhasrecoveredslowlywithlimiteddirection.Recentmomentumstemsfromunique
partnershipsbetweengovernmentagencies,nonprofits,residents,banksandtheareauniversities
whichhavecollaboratedtocreateprogramstosupportnewdevelopmentbothresidentialand
commercial.

Historical references taken from GNOCDC, Gentilly District Neighborhood Snapshot, Retrieved 11/09/10
http://www.gnocdc.org/orleans/6/index.html
48 FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06
47

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HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict6Gentilly
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

2,451
3%
7,975
7%
10,426
7%
$46,950
1.2
7%

Source:NielsonClaritas,Inc.2010

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict6Gentilly
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

10,947
7,639
882
1,126
302
162
68
193
1954
31
1,566
1,018

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict6Gentilly
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009

$127,094
7%

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
PlanningDistrict6Gentilly
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent

102

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

177


MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom
TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

$750
$875
0

Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.(online,fieldandphonesurveyconductedSeptemberOctober,2010.)

RecoveryProjects
PlanningDistrict6Gentilly
ProjectName
MosquitoControlAdministrationBuilding
JosephBartholomewConcessions,ClubHouse&
MaintenanceWarehouseBuildingRepairs
PontchartrainPark
JosephBartholomewGolfCourse
MilneBoysHome
Parks&ParkwaysGentillyFacility
NormanMayerLibraryDesignBuild
RobertE.LeeBlvdBikeways
ParkIslandBridgeoverBayouSt.John
FilmoreRoadRepairs
St.AnthonyPathLandscape
GentillyStreetscape
WesleyBarrowStadium
GentillyWoodsRoadRepairs
RobertE.LeeBlvdandParisAve.Roadway
Improvements

ProjectAddress
LeonC.SimonBlvd@ElysianFieldAve.
6514CongressDr.
5721PressDrive,6455PressDrive,482Hayne
Blvd
6514CongressDr.
5420FranklinAve.
2829GentillyBlvd.
2098FoySt.
RobertE.LeeBlvd@St.BernardAvetoParisAve
ParkIslandBridge@BayouSt.John
FilmoreSt
St.AnthonyPath@MirabeautoPelopidas
Gentilly@Caton,Gentilly&ElysianFields
6500PressDr.
GentillyWoodsNeighborhood
RobertE.LeeBlvd@PerlitaDrtoChatham&Paris
Ave.@RobertELee

RecoveryProjectDescriptions
GentillyBoulevardandElysianFieldsAvenue
IdentifiedduringtheUnifiedNewOrleansPlan(UNOP)asaprimaryintersectionoftransitand
commerce,theresidentsofDistrict6requestedtheintersectionberedevelopedintoatowncenter
whichwoulddriverecoveryinthesurroundingneighborhoods.ThetowncenterproposedbyAndres
Duanyintegratedmixedusedevelopmentandgreenspace.Thedesigngainedthesupportofresidents,
businessownersandpublicofficials,butnevercametofruition.Theintersectionisstillconsidereda
targetareaofinvestmentbycityofficials.Approximately$700,000hasbeenearmarkedforstreetscape
improvementsincludingsidewalkrepair,newbikeways,signage,landscapingandpublicart.Retail
storeshavecontinuedtoreturntotheintersectionandmostofthestorefrontsareinuse.Stillthe
designphase,theprojectwillassistinthebeautificationprocessofthehighlytraffickedintersection.

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GentillyWoodsShoppingCenter
With$38millioninfederalrecoveryaid,theNewOrleansRedevelopmentAuthority(NORA)has
purchasedvacantandblightedpropertiesalloverthecity.InOctober2008,NORApurchasedthe
GentillyWoodsShoppingCenterfor$4.3millioninanefforttodirectcommercialandresidential
redevelopmentintotheneighborhood.Theshoppingcenterwasalmostcompletelyoccupiedatthe
timeofthestormwhenthepropertyreceivedanestimated$15millioninflooddamages.
RedevelopmentofthecommercialsiteispartofalargerplantoredevelopthePontillyArea,which
includesthePontillyHousingOpportunityZoneandrenovationstothePontchartrainParkGolfCourse.49
Thesitewillremainastripmall,butwithfaadeimprovementsestimatedat$23.6million.50Basedon
communityinput,theredevelopmentplanwillincorporateadepartmentstoreandafullservice
grocery.PossibletenantsproposedbythedevelopmentfirminDecember2009includedTJMaxxand
MarshallsdepartmentstoresandAlbertsonsgrocery.
PontchartrainParkCombinedInvestments
Builtin1956,PontchartrainParkneighborhoodgolfcoursewasthefirstAfricanAmericangolfcourse
builtinNewOrleans.In1979thegolfcoursewasrenamedJoeM.BartholomewSr.MunicipalGolf
CourseaftertheprominentAfricanAmericangolfcoursearchitectwhodesignedthecourse.51Thepark
andsurroundingneighborhoodwasseverelydamagedduringHurricaneKatrina.Approximately$32.3
millionwasdesignatedforparkrenovationsinMayorLandrieuslistofrecoveryprojects.Currentlyin
thedesignphase,thePontchartrainParkcommunitygolfcoursewillreceive$500,000forrenovations
andenhancementstothecourse.$2.7millionwillbeusedtocompletetherenovationsofthe
concessionbuilding,lightsandparkgrounds.Theprojectiscurrentlyinthebidandawardphase.
NormanMayerLibraryDesignBuild
ClassifiedasthenewMusicBranchtheNormanMayerLibrarylocatedintheGentillydistrictwill
includepubliccomputers,WiFi,communitymeetingroomsandchildrensstorytimeroom.Theoriginal
librarybuiltin1949wascompletelydestroyedbyHurricaneKatrina.52Constructionofthe21,000
squarefootlibrarybeganinDecember2009.The$6.3millionreplacementbranchisexpectedtoopen
inJune2010.
MilneBoysHome

NORA, Gentilly Woods Shopping Center, Project Description. Retrieved 11/22/10


http://www.rebuildrecoveroneneworleans.com/media/docs/Gentilly%20Woods%20Commercial%20Acquisition%20P
roject%20Decription.pdf
50 The Times-Picayune, NORA passes on Wal-mart, sticks with strip-mall plan for Gentilly Woods site. December 17,
2009. Retrieved 11/22/10
http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2009/12/nora_passes_on_wal-mart_mixed-.html
51 GNOCDC Pontchartrain Park Neighborhood Snapshot. Retrieved 11/22/10.
http://www.gnocdc.org/orleans/6/31/snapshot.html
52 The Times-Picayune, City to break ground at Norman Mayer Library in Gentilly Tuesday. December 29, 2009.
Retrieved 11/22/10. http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2009/12/city_to_break_ground_at_norman.html
49

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Establishin1933asaresidentialfacilityfortroubledorneedyboys,theMilneBoysHomenolonger
housesboysbuttheLouisArmstrongManhoodDevelopmentProgramstilloffersafterschoolactivities
fortroubledboys.The11acrecampuswasoncethehometotheColoredWaifsHomeforBoyswhere
LouisArmstronglearnedtoplaythecornet.53ThethreestructuresthatmakeuptheMilneBoysHome
werenotinpeakconditionpriortothestorm,butseverefloodingandstrongwindsdamagedthe
structuresgreatly.Currentlyinthedesignphase,renovationstothehistoricboyshomewillcostan
estimated$12.6million.Multiplebuildingsonthecampuswillberenovatedduringtheprocess.

RecentHousingDevelopments
PlanningDistrict6Gentilly
ProjectName
ProjectAddress
St.JohnBerchmanManor
3400SaintAnthonyAve

Description
1.LIHTCandHOME
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable149
1.LIHTC
2.Garden
3.MarketRate0Affordable56
1.LIHTC
2.Garden
3.MarketRate0Affordable108
1.LIHTC
2.Garden
3.MarketRate88Affordable62

FilmoreParkII
194547WindsorDr
FilmoreParkI
194547WindsorDr
ChateauCarre
3000GentillyBlvd

AssessorData
PlanningDistrict6Gentilly
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

9,630
5,291
4,239
$12,994
239

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict6Gentilly
TotalResidentialAddresses

15,944
ActiveAddresses 10,941
InactiveAddresses 5,003

NY Times. Music Landmark Caught in Tug of Priorities After Storm. March 19, 2006 Retrieved 11/22/10
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/03/19/national/nationalspecial/19waifs.html?pagewanted=print
53

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PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

31.4%
16%
479
293
186
38.83%
0.4%

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict6Gentilly
TotalBusinesses
Retail
Restaurants
GroceryandFood
TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees
TotalAnnualWages
AverageAnnualWage

61
41
18
2
$100,371,000.00
474(noemployeesreportedforeithergrocery
storeatthetimeofthesurvey)

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SummaryofPlanningDistrict7
PlanningDistrict7developedinstagesthroughoutthe19thand20thcenturiesbasedonpopulation
growth,topographyandtechnologicaladvances(specificallypumps).Theslowprogressionof
developmentaccumulatedinadiversityofhousingstyles,ethnicenclavesandincomegroups.Early
developmentbeganwiththeMarigny,BywaterandSt.Rochneighborhoods,whileotherneighborhoods
werenotdevelopeduntiltheearly20thcentury.TheIndustrialCanalandanumberofrailroadsrunning
alongtheeasternsideofthedistrictheavilyimpacteddevelopmentoftheareaaslowlyinglandwas
developedtohouseworkersofthecanal.
Thearearetainsthemixedusedesignoriginallyincorporatedintheorganicexpansionofthecitywith
commercial,industrialandresidentialusesincloseproximityofoneanother.Prevalenthousing
typologiesoftheareaincludeVictorianandCraftsmanshotgundoubles,CreoleCottagesandsmall
bungalows.Thereisahealthymixtureofaffordablehousingandrentaltoownerproperties.Desireand
FloridaHousingDevelopmentswereunderrenovationwhenfloodingfromHurricaneKatrinadestroyed
alltheunits.
FloodwatersinpartsoftheSt.Roch,St.ClaudeandFloridaneighborhoodsreachedovereightfeethigh,
significantlydamagingmuchofthecommunity.54Approximately77%ofthehousingunitsinthedistrict
weredamagedandnearlyhalftheunitswereseverelydamagedordestroyed.55Bothownerandrenter
occupiedunitsweredevastatedbythefloodwaters.TheMarignyandBywaterneighborhoodsreceived
minimaldamagefromhighwindsandnominalflooding.Gentrificationofneighborhoodsonhigher
groundsclosetotheMississippiRivercontinuestoalterthedemographicsandlandvaluesofthese
areaswhilethelowlyinglandinthenorthernpartofthecontinuetostrugglewithhighpovertyrates
anddisinvestment.

UNOP, District 7, Chapter 1: Introduction to the District. Retrieved 11/10/10


http://unifiedneworleansplan.com/home3/districts/7/plans/
55 FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06
54

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HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict7Bywater
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

5,369
13%
4,907
13%
10,276
13%
$26,094
1.18
24%

Source:NielsonClaritas,Inc.2010

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict7Bywater
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

11,721
5,229
1,847
1,407
947
636
189
247
1950
44
5,122
1,471

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict7Bywater
MedianValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinMedianValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20052009

$130,286
8%

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
PlanningDistrict7Bywater
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom

178
$650
$800

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TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

RecoveryProjects
PlanningDistrict7Bywater
ProjectName
ReinventingtheCrescent
St.RochMarket
St.RochandSt.ClaudeRoadwayImprovements
Desire/FloridaMultiServiceCenter
St.RochPool/Park
CongressStreetRoadwayImprovements
StallingsSt.ClaudeCommunityCenter
St.RochAvenueRoadwayImprovements
NOPDFifthDistrictPoliceStation

ProjectAddress
Riverfront
2381StClaudeAve.
St.Roch@St.ClaudeAve.
2727LouisaSt.
1800St.RochAve.
CongressStreet
4300StClaudeAve.
St.RochAve
3900NClaiborne

RecoveryProjectDescriptions
St.RochMarket
Builtin1875,theSt.RochMarketoperatedasanoutdoormarketwithmeatandproducestandsuntil
the1930swhenrefrigeratedcasesandplumbingwereincorporatedintothemarket.Themarketwas
enclosedafterWorldWarIIwhenthebuildingwasscheduledfordemolition,butsavedbypublic
outcry.56AfterHurricaneKatrina,themarketreceivedfundingfromFEMAforanewroofandbasic
structuralrepairs.TheSt.RochMarketisscheduledtoreceiveupto$3millionfortherestorations.
Althoughtheprojectisstillinthedesignphaseandtheenduseofthestructureisnotdetermined,a
recentlyreleasedmarketsurveypreparedbyseveralneighborhoodassociationsandtheSt.ClaudeMain
Streetprogramindicatecommunitystakeholderswouldpreferthehistoricmarketberestoredtoa
sourceoffreshfoodandproduce.57
St.ClaudeAvenueCommercialCorridorImprovements
TheMainStreetprogramalongSt.ClaudeAvenueextendsfromElysianFieldstoPressStreetandoffers
grantsforcommercialfaadeimprovementsandstreetimprovementswhichincludestreetlights,
signageandlandscaping.Theareaisalsoreceiving$1.4millioninroadresurfacingfunds.Thesefunds
willassistintherehabilitationofroadwaysandresurfacingthestreetsaroundSt.RochandSt.Claude.
TheproposedRampartSt.ClaudeStreetcarwillbefundedthroughacombinationoflocalfundsand
supplementalfederalgrants.Fundinghasnotbeensecuredforthisproject.

56
57

Louisiana Landmarks Society. Retrieved 11/22/10 http://www.pitothouse.org/?q=node/12


St. Roch Market Survey. Retrieved 11/22/10 http://www.scribd.com/doc/43035835/St-Roch-Market-Survey-Results

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StallingsSt.ClaudeCommunityCenter
Locatedat4300St.ClaudeAvenue,theStallingsSt.ClaudeCommunityCenterwasdemolishedinMarch
2010afterFEMAdeclaredthecomplexover50%damaged.Theexistingpoolandpoolbuildingwillbe
renovatedwhiletheprimarybuildingswillbereplaced.Thecompleteprojectisestimatedtocost$4.4
millionandwillincludeanewparkinglotandrecreationalfacility.58Thenewcenterwillinclude
basketballcourts,multipurposeactivityroomsandlockerrooms.Beforethestormthefacilityprovided
9thwardresidentsbasketball,volleyball,weightlifting,swimming,ceramics,balletandbingo.
NewDesireCommunity
Theconventionalpublichousingsite,Desirewasinthemiddleoftheredevelopmentprocesswhen
HurricaneKatrinastruck.Completedunitsandthoseunderconstructionwerelostduringthestorm.
Todaythecommunityisbeingredevelopedasamixedincomedevelopmentwithavarietyofhousing
typesincluding285publichousingunitsand140lowincomeandprojectbasedunits.Througha
combinationoffundingincludingHUDHOMEfundsandGOZoneLowIncomeTaxCredits,overhalfthe
unitsarecomplete.Developedinfourstages,AbundanceSquare(73units),TreasureVillage(34units)
andNewSavoyPhaseI(158units)arecomplete.Thefourthphase,comprisedof160units,theNew
SavoyPlacePhaseIIiscurrentlyunderconstruction.59AMultiServiceCenterisintheplanningstages
andwillprovidehealthservicesandcommunitymeetingrooms.Thecommunitycenterisestimatedto
costupto$12.2million.

RecentHousingDevelopments
PlanningDistrict7Bywater
ProjectName
ProjectAddress
3501St.Claude
3501St.Claude
BywaterArtsLoft
3725DauphineSt
AnnunciationInn
1220SpainSt
St.RochInitiative
1428&1430Franklin
NewSavoyPlaceII
3800DesireParkway

Description
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable36
1.LIHTC
2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable37
1.LIHTCandHOME
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable106
1.HousingTrustFund
2.Single&DoubleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate0Affordable7
1.LIHTC
2.Garden
3.MarketRate0Affordable7

58 The Times-Picayune. Demolition begins on NORDs Stallings Center. July 30, 2010. Retrieved 11/22/10
http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2010/03/demolition_begins_on_nords_sta.html
59 HANO website. Retrieved 11/22/10 http://www.hano.org/index.php?q=node/34

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FloridaIIBCentral
3801LawStreet

1.LIHTCandHOME
2.Garden
3.MarketRate0Affordable128

AssessorData
PlanningDistrict7Bywater
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

6,894
2,745
4,149
$11,672
783

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict7Bywater
TotalResidentialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

14,230
9,565
4,665
32.78%
11.58%
1,039
726
313
30.1%
3.53%

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict7Bywater
TotalBusinesses
Retail
Restaurants
GroceryandFood
TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees
TotalAnnualWages
AverageAnnualWage

174
127
45
2
$539,943,000.00
2042

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SummaryofPlanningDistrict8
LocatedeastoftheIndustrialCanal,PlanningDistrict8consistsoftwodistinctneighborhoods,Holy
CrossandtheLower9thWard.TheHolyCrossneighborhoodwasdevelopedmuchearlierthanthe
Lower9thduetoitsvicinitytotheMississippiRiverwhichdepositssettlementsalongthebank,
eventuallybuildingupnaturalleveeprotection.Oneofthelastneighborhoodsdevelopedinthecity,
theLower9thWardwasnotdevelopeduntiltheearly20thcenturybecausethelandwastooswampy.
AfterthedevelopmentoftheIndustrialCanalin1923,residentialandindustrialdevelopmentincreased
alongthewesternedgeofthedistrict.
ThedistrictispredominantlyworkingclassAfricanAmericanfamilies.Thedistrictwasdevelopedasa
predominantlyowneroccupiedsinglefamilyresidentialcommunity.Severaleventsaffectedthe
numberofhomeownersintheareaincludingthedestructioncausedbythe1965HurricaneBetsy,the
financialrestrictionscausedbytheoilcrisesinthe1980sandnewshippingtechnologieslimitingthe
numberofjobsontheIndustrialCanal.60The2000USCensusreportedtheareawascomprisedof56%
homeownersand44%renters.ThedamagecausedbyHurricaneKatrinadirectlyimpactedbothgroups
equally.
FEMAestimated93%ofthehousingunitsinthedistrictweredamagedbythestormofwhich82%were
severelydamagedordestroyed.61ThedevastationintheLower9thWardcausedbytheleveebreach
alongtheIndustrialCanalhasbeenpublicizedasthebiggestmanmadedisasterinUShistory.With
limitedfundstorebuild,manyresidentshavenotreturnedtothearea.Severalhousingcampaignsare
underwayintheneighborhoodsprovidingtechnical,financialandemotionalsupporttoreturning
residents.Theareastillsuffersfromlimitedinfrastructureandservicesincludingprivatelyandpublicly
fundedprogramssuchassupermarkets,healthcareproviders,policeandfiresubstations.
Redevelopmentremainsscatteredthroughoutthedistrictwithareasclosertotheriverrecoveringabit
faster.

Greater New Orleans Community Data Center, Lower 9th Ward District Neighborhood Snapshot. Retrieved
11/10/10. http://www.gnocdc.org/orleans/8/index.html
61 FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06
60

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HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict8Lower9thWard
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

620
2%
846
4%
1466
3%
$27,500
0.17
20%

Source:NielsonClaritas,Inc.2010

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict8Lower9thWard
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

1,642
897
284
204
68
42
7
46
1956
2
303
861

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict8Lower9thWard
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009

$46,810
10%

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
PlanningDistrict8Lower9thWard
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom

39
$502
$800

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TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

RecoveryProjects
PlanningDistrict8Lower9thWard
ProjectName
HolyCrossRoadwayImprovements
LowerNinthWardStreetscape
OliverBushPlayground
Sanchez(CopelinByrd)CenterPool,Gym,
CommunityCenter,andHealthClinice
SamBonartPlayground&Pool
NOFDEngineNos.22and39
LowerNinthWardRoadRepairs

ProjectAddress
DouglassSt.@AndrySt.toN.PetersSt
N.Claiborne@AndrytoLamanche
2500CaffinSt.
1616CaffinAve.
1200ForstallSt.
NClaiborneAve&CaffinAve
LowerNinthWard

RecoveryProjectDescriptions
SanchezCenter
LocatedintheLowerNinthWard,theAndrewP.SanchezSr.MultiServiceCenterwasseverelydamaged
byHurricaneKatrina.In2009FEMAannouncedthestructurewasmorethan50%damagedandcalled
forthedemolitionandreplacementofthestructurewhichalsohousedtheEttaMorrisSeniorCenter,
theCopelin/ThompsonByrdCenterandtheofficesofseveralcommunityorganizations.FEMA
estimatedthedemolitionwillcost$300,000andreplacementofthestructurewillcostanother$9.3
million.Thecityhasdesignatedfundsfortheredevelopmentofthecommunitycenterincluding$1
millionforlandacquisition,$12.4milliontoreplacethegym,healthclinicandpolicesubstation,and
$2.3millionforanewpoolandlockerroom.
MakeItRight
InresponsetothedevastationcausedintheLower9thWardwhentheleveesbreached,actorBradPitt
startedanonprofittorebuildusingsustainablegreentechnologies.Startingin2006,PittsMakeIt
Rightfoundationcommissioned13architecturefirmstodevelopsustainableandaffordablehouses.
Fiveyearsafterthestormnearly50houseshavebeenbuiltintheLower9thWard.62Housesbuiltby
theprogramareenergyefficient,elevatedsinglefamilystructures.Onaveragethesinglefamilyunits
cost$150,000anddoublescost$200,000.ResidentsuseacombinationofRoadHomefunds,grantsand
mortgagefinancingtocontributeonaverage$75,000forthepurchaseofthehomes.MakeItRightalso

The Times-Picayune. Brad Pitt talks about Hurricane Katrina, his Make It Right work and his love for New Orleans.
August 26, 2010. Retrieved 11/22/10
http://www.nola.com/katrina/index.ssf/2010/08/brad_pitt_talks_about_hurrican.html
62

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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offersgapfinancingtoassisthomeownerspurchasehomesintheformofsoftsecondsandaffordable
mortgages.
MLKCharterSchool
AfterHurricaneKatrinaandthebreachedleveesystemdevastatedtheLower9thWard,thecommunity
foughthardtobringbackwhattheyidentifiedasacornerstoneofrecovery,theMartinLutherKing
JuniorSchool.Theschoolreopenedforthe20072008schoolyearasascienceandtechnologycharter
schoolservinggradesKthrough12.InJune2007morethan600studentshadenrolledforthe
approachingschoolyearandbyAugust2010theschoolhadawaitinglistofmorethan400students.
Thecharterschoolwhichcostapproximately$12milliontorenovatewasrebuiltwithFEMArecovery
dollars.Theagencyhasdisbursed$46.8milliontotheRecoverySchoolDistricttorestorefiveschoolsin
theLower9thWard.TodatetheMLKCharterSchoolremainstheonlypublicschoolopeninthedistrict.
OliverBushPlayground
ResidentsoftheLower9thWardarelookingforinvestmentintheirneighborhood.Publicamenitiesare
necessarytoattractnewandreturningresidentstothearea.TheOliverBushrecreationcenteris
locatedneartheintersectionofCaffinandFloridaAvenues.Restorationofthecenterwasoriginallyset
atthepricerangeof$2.7millionto$3.3milliontocompletelyreplacethebasketball,baseballand
tennisareas.Morerecentlythemayorsofficeprojectedtototalrestorationcoststobecloserto
$736,000fortheprojectwhichremainsinthedesignphase.63

RecentHousingDevelopments
PlanningDistrict8Lower9thWard
ProjectName
ProjectAddress
GlobalGreen/DouglasAndry
5413N.Peters
ClassicConstructionofNOVentureII
2201CharbonnetSt
RisingSun
1422CharbonnetSt
Douglas&Andry
5413N.PetersStreet

Description
1.HousingTrustFund
2.Single&DoubleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate6Affordable12
1.LIHTC
2.Duplexes
3.MarketRate0Affordable56
1.LIHTC
2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable33
1.LIHTCandHOME
2.
3.MarketRate6Affordable12

AssessorData

Project NOLA.com 9th Ward may not get money for two city swimming pools. November 11, 2010. Retrieved
11/23/10. http://www.projectnola.com/component/content/article/86-the-lens/115110-9th-ward-may-not-getmoney-for-two-city-swimming-pools

63

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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PlanningDistrict8Lower9thWard
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

1,641
550
1,091
$4,319
80

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict8Lower9thWard
TotalResidentialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

6,029
1,948
4,081
67.7%
41.44%
232
87
145
62.5%
9.17%

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict8Lower9thWard
TotalBusinesses
Retail
Restaurants
GroceryandFood
TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees
TotalAnnualWages
AverageAnnualWage

6
4
2
0
$4,847,000.00
4

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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SummaryofPlanningDistrict9
LocatedontheeastsideoftheIndustrialCanal,PlanningDistrict9,10,and11arecollectivelyknownas
NewOrleansEast.District9isclosesttothecanalandcontainstheearliestdevelopmentsofNew
OrleansEast.Earlyresidentialdevelopmentbeganinthe1920sand30salongtheperimeterofthelake.
Primarilyfishingcamps,developmentincreasedwhenthefirstAfricanAmericanamusementpark,
LincolnBeach,openedin1939.GrowthintheareasignificantlyincreasedafterWorldWarII,when
substantialnumbersofdoubleandsinglefamilyhouseswereconstructedforresidentsusingtheGIBill.
Thedistrictisprimarilysuburbaninnaturewithmostlyresidentialstructuresandverylimited
commercialusewhichisdesignatedalongkeycorridorsincludingChefMenteurHighway,Morrison
RoadandCrowderBoulevard.Thepredominanthousingstyleisslabongraderanchstylestructures
surroundedbylargeyardswithindependentdriveways.District9isprimarilycomprisedofworking
classhomeownersandrenters.ManyofthelandlordsintheareawereapprovedforSection8rentalsin
the1990swhichincreasedthenumberoflowincomerentersinthedistrict.The2000Censusreported
thatapproximately45%oftheunitswererenteroccupied.
Measuringtheeffectsofthestormisdifficultbecausethedistrictexperiencedafairamountofgrowth
inrentalunitsbetweenthe2000Censusandthe2005hurricaneseason.The2006PropertyDamage
EstimatesreleasedbyFEMAreported99%ofthedistrictwasdamagedbythestorm,ofwhich75%were
severelydamageordestroyed.Bothownerandrenteroccupiedunitswereaffectedbythestormwith
11,990owneroccupiedunitswereseverelydamagedordestroyedbyfloodwaterascomparedto7,676
rentalunits.64Theeasternportionofthedistrictrepopulatedmorequicklythanthewesternside.
Neighborhoodsalongthelakesedgeandthosehousesbuiltonhighergroundoratahigherelevation
receivedearlierreinvestment.65

FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06


District 9, 10, & 11 Unified New Orleans Plan for Recovery and Rebuilding, Chapter 3: Recovery Assessment
Overview. Retrieved 11/11/10. http://unifiedneworleansplan.com/home3/districts/9/plans/
64
65

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HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict9NewOrleansEast
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

5,203
3%
10,076
4%
15,279
4%
$48,980
1.76
9%

Source:NielsonClaritas,Inc.2010

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict9NewOrleansEast
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

15,826
9,865
1,460
606
488
1,459
507
1,121
1974
39
247
1,958

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict9NewOrleansEast
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009

$113,348
7%

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
PlanningDistrict9NewOrleansEast
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom

185
$700
$900

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TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

RecoveryProjects
PlanningDistrict9NewOrleansEast
ProjectName
EdgelakeCourt
KingswoodPlayground
NewOrleansEastStreetscapeImprovements
JoeBrownCenterandParkEnhancements
NewOrleansEastRegionalLibraryDesignBuild
NOFDEngine10
DigbyPark
NOPDSeventhDistrictPoliceStation
NewOrleansEastHospitalDevelopment
DiBenedettoPlayground
CrowderBoulevardBikeways

ProjectAddress
EdgelakeCourt@CrowderRdtoHayneBlvd
7200EdgefieldDr.
ReadBlvd@DwyertoLakeforestBlvd
5601ReadBlvd.
5641ReadBlvd
14069MorrisonRoad
6600VirgilianSt.
10101DwyerRoad
5620ReedBlvd
4700PapaniaSt.
CrowderBoulevard@DwyerRdtoUS90

RecoveryProjectDescriptions
LakeForestPlazaMall
Althoughdevelopersreleasedaplanforthe81acreLakeForestPlazaMallsitein2009,development
hasnotbegunandmostoftheplazaremainsvacant.Redevelopmentofthesiteisexpectedtocost
approximately$220million.Developersandresidentsarepushingforamixofcommercialtypes
includingbigboxstorestoanchortheshoppingdistrictandsmallerstoresincludingarenovatedtheater
asinfill.Thepossibledevelopmentmightalsoincludegreenspaceandhotels.Untilthetaxincrement
finance(TIF)districtisapprovedbythestateeconomicdevelopmentoffice,developmentwillnotmove
forward.Developmentofthefirstanchorstoreestimatedatatotalcostof$58million,cannotmove
forwardwithoutthe$42millioninTIFbackedbonds.NegotiationsregardingtheTIFdistricthavebeen
underwaysincemid2009.66
NewOrleansEastHospitalLandAcquisition&Development
AfterseveralfailednegotiationswiththepreviousownersofthePendletonMemorialMethodist
Hospital,thecityrecentlypurchasedthehospitalfor$16.25million.LocatedinNewOrleansEaston
ReadBoulevard,thehospitalhasremainedvacantsinceitwasseverelydamagedbyHurricaneKatrina.
ResidentsinNewOrleansEasthavestruggledwithlimitedemergencycarefacilitiessincethestorm.
TherecentlyannouncedplantorenovatetheMethodistHospitalsitewillcostanestimated$110

The Times-Picayune, Lake Forest Plaza redevelopment plan detailed, August 11, 2009. Retrieved 11/23/10
http://www.nola.com/business/index.ssf/2009/08/lake_forest_plaza_redevelopmen.html#
66

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million.Afullservicehospitalisexpectedtoopenonthesitebyfallof2013andemergencyroom
serviceswillbeavailableasearlyasmid2011.
JoeBrownMultiuseCenterandPark
LocatedinNewOrleansEastonReadBoulevard,theJoeBrownCenterandParkprovidedrecreation
facilitiesincludingapool,baseballfieldsandtenniscourtspriortoHurricaneKatrina.Thefacilitieswere
alsousedforsummersportscampsandcheerleadingcompetitions.Nearlyadozencontractsforpark
improvementsranginginpricefrom$35,000to$4millionareunderway.The135acresparkwillreceive
atotalof$12millioninrecoverydollars.Somecontractsareinthebidandawardphase,howevermost
oftheenhancementsarestillinthedesignphase.Projectswillincludeupgradingthebaseballfields,
parkshelters,lightingandindoorpool.
Nazareth,WalnutSquareandGeorgetownApartments
ThroughacombinationofHUDHomefunds,CommunityDevelopmentBlockGrantRecoveryfundsand
GOZonetaxcredits,Nazareth,WalnutSquareandGeorgetownApartmentssupply601affordable
housingunitsinNewOrleansEast.Thecombinedtotalinvestmentofthesethreepropertiesis
estimatedatmorethan$105million.Thesedevelopmentsincludeincreasedamenitiessuchas
playgrounds,onsitelaundryfacilities,communitycenters,greenspaceandmixedusedevelopment.

RecentHousingDevelopments
PlanningDistrict9NewOrleansEast
ProjectName
ProjectAddress
OldMorrisonHomes
6729W.LaverneStreet
DelilleInn
6924ChefMenteurHwy
NazarathInnI
9630HaynesBlvd
NewSavoyPlacePhaseI
3800DesireParkway
GeorgetownofNewOrleansII
7209E.SuffolkDr
GeorgetownofNOIII
6200Morrison
WalnutSquareApt
8501110ServiceRd

Description
1.LIHTC
2.Single&DoubleFamilyHouses
3.MarketRate0Affordable38
1.LIHTCandHOME
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable51
1.LIHTCandHOME
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate1Affordable149
1.LIHTCandHOME
2.Garden
3.MarketRate0Affordable156
1.LIHTC
2.Garden
3.MarketRate0Affordable119
1.LIHTC
2.Garden
3.MarketRate0Affordable80
1.LIHTC
2.Garden

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3.MarketRate125Affordable84
1.LIHTCandHOME
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable119
1.LIHTCandHOME
2.Garden
3.MarketRate73Affordable49

NazarethInnIIApts
9640HayneBlvd
GeorgetownManor
6211Bridgehampton

AssessorData
PlanningDistrict9NewOrleansEast
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

14,639
7,610
7,029
$13,986
747

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict9NewOrleansEast
TotalResidentialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

21,155
15,789
5,366
25.4%
18.26%
994
644
350
35.2%
7.72%

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict9NewOrleansEast
TotalBusinesses
Retail
Restaurants
GroceryandFood
TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees
TotalAnnualWages
AverageAnnualWage

164
135
27
2
$875,845,000.00
2143

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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SummaryofPlanningDistrict10
AspartofNewOrleansEast,district10facessimilarissueswithsubsidenceasdistricts9and11.Alarge
portionofthedistrictiscomprisedofbrackishmarshesandwetlandswhicharepreservedbytheBayou
SauvageNationalRefuge.Thelimitedlandthatwasdevelopedinthe1960swasbuiltondrained
marshland.Thedistrictiscomprisedofmostlyresidentialsinglefamilystructuresandrurallandscape
withverylimitedcommercialuses.
ThecommunityisprimarilyAfricanAmerican,withalargeactiveVietnamesecommunitywhichmoved
intotheareainthe1970sand80s.67Thiscommunitywasoneofthefirsttobeginarecoveryplanning
processafterHurricaneKatrina.TheMaryQueenofVietNamCommunityDevelopmentCorporation
launchedaneighborhoodplanningprocesswhichincludedsurveyingtheneighborhood,facilitating
communitywidemeetingsandfocusgroupstobetteridentifythevisionofthecommunity.
Bothdistrict9and10grewbetween2000and2005,whichsomewhatskewsdamagereportsforthe
area.ThedistrictwasseverelydamagebyHurricaneKatrina,withreportedly106%ofthemostlyslab
ongraderanchstylehousingunitsincurringdamage.Duetotheincreaseinthenumberofsinglefamily
housingunitsbetween2000and2005,theFEMAdamageassessmentreports117%ofowneroccupied
unitsweredamaged.Whenlookingatactualnumbers,FEMAreported1,781owneroccupiedunitsand
1,713rentalunitsdamagedbythestormofwhich73%wereseverelydamagedordestroyed.68Flooding
causedthemajorityofthedamagewithflooddepthsrangingfrom2to12feetdeep.Thatsaid,by2007
nearly65%ofthehousingunitswereoccupiedand842buildingpermitshadbeenissuedforhurricane
repairs.69

Greater New Orleans Community Data Center, Village d LEast District Neighborhood Snapshot. Retrieved
11/10/10. http://www.gnocdc.org/orleans/8/index.html
68 FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06
69 District 9, 10, & 11 Unified New Orleans Plan for Recovery and Rebuilding, Chapter 3: Recovery Assessment
Overview. Retrieved 11/11/10. http://unifiedneworleansplan.com/home3/districts/9/plans/
67

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HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict10VillagedeLestArea
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

1,157
3%
1,752
8%
2,909
6%
$43,906
0.33
20%

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict10VillagedeLestArea
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

3,021
1,681
218
133
194
240
27
104
1979
444
81
651

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict10VillagedeLestArea
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009

$58,129
44%

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
PlanningDistrict10VillagedeLestArea
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom
TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

15
$400
$725
3

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RecoveryProjects
PlanningDistrict10VillagedeLestArea
ProjectName
AlceeFortierBlvdStreetscape
NewOrleansEastCommunityHealthClinic

ProjectAddress
AlceeFortierBlvd@ChefMenteur
13085ChefMenteurHwy

RecoveryProjectDescriptions
VietVillageUrbanFarmProject
MaryQueenofVietNamCommunityDevelopmentCorporationacquired20acresinNovember2007to
supportthegrowingeconomicdriverinNewOrleansEast,theVietnameseFarmersMarket.Theland
willhousetheVietVillageUrbanFarmwhichwillincorporategardeningandanimalhusbandry.The
farmwillbebuiltinseveralphases.Phase1willinvolvesiteclearing,composting,andconstructionof
irrigationcanals,waterretentionpondsandcommunityplots.Phase2willinvolveexpansionof
communityandcommercialplotsandthefinalphasewillincorporatelivestockareas.The$1.5million
inestimatedcostswillcomefromprivatefoundationsandinkinddonations.Constructionofphase1is
scheduledtobeginin2011.70
BladeDynamicsLtd.
BritishwindturbinecompanyBladeDynamicsLtd.willbeginmanufacturingturbinebladesand
componentsintheMichoudAssemblyFacilityinNewOrleansEast.Thefacilityiscurrentlyusedto
houseseveralNASAprojectsandofficesfortheU.S.CoastGuard,U.S.DepartmentofAgriculture,
LockheedMartin(whichisclosingitsfacilitysoon)andBoeing.Thenewwindturbineblade
manufacturingfacilitywillprovide600newjobsby2015withanaveragesalaryof$48,000annually.
Thetotalcapitalinvestmentofthisprojectisestimatedat$13million.71

RecentHousingDevelopments
PlanningDistrict10VillagedeLestArea
ProjectName
ProjectAddress
GulfwayTerraceApts
14765ChefMenteurHwy
PeltierGardens

Description
1.LIHTC
2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable206
1.LIHTCandHOME

Mary Queen of Viet Nam Community Development Corporation, Inc. Retrieved 11/23/10
http://www.mqvncdc.org/page.php?id=18
71 The Times-Picayune. Wind turbine company to plant 600 jobs in Michoud. August 18, 2010. Retrieved 11/23/10.
http://www.nola.com/business/index.ssf/2010/08/wind_firm_to_plant_600_jobs_in.html
70

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14639Saigon

2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable396

AssessorData
PlanningDistrict10VillagedeLestArea
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

1,810
1,038
772
$22,520
109

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict10VillagedeLestArea
TotalResidentialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

3,086
2,183
903
29.26%
9.22%
178
132
46
25.84%
1.05%

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict10VillagedeLestArea
TotalBusinesses

TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees

46
Retail 37
Restaurants 9
GroceryandFood 0
$76,652,000.00
283

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SummaryofPlanningDistrict11
District11iscomprisedofthreeneighborhoodareas,LakeCatherine,VenetianIslesandIrishBayou.
VenetianIslesandLakeCatherinerepresentthelargesttrackofuninhabitedlandwithintheboundaries
ofthecity.AscomparedtotherestofNewOrleansEast,District11hasamoreruralatmospherewith
veryfeworganizedsubdivisionssecludedbytheBayouSauvageNationalWildlifeRefugeanda
significantnumberofmanufacturingfacilities.LakeCatherinecontainsthreesignificanthistorical
landmarks:BayouSauvageNationalWildlifeRefuge,theFortPikeStateHistoricSiteandFortMacomb.
ThelargestresidentialdevelopmentintheareaistheVenetianIslessubdivisionwhichopenedinthe
late1960s.72VenetianIslessubdivisionispredominantlyslabongrade,ranchstylesinglefamilyhouses.
Otherhousingunitsoutsidethesubdivisionareelevatedfishingcamps.TherestofVenetianIsles
neighborhoodiscomprisedofmanufacturingandindustrialstructuresincludingNASAsMichoud
AssemblyFacilityandFolgersCoffeeCompany.Almostallofthestructuresindistrict11areoutsidethe
leveeprotectionsystemswhichresultedinsignificantdamagetoresidential,commercialandindustrial
structuresin2005.
Althoughtheareaisnothighlyresidential,theowneroccupiedstructuresinthedistrictwereseverely
damagedwith88%ofthe592unitsreportingdamage.73Oftheseunits,80%wereseverelydamagedor
destroyedbythestorm.Thedamagetothesmallnumberofresidentialunitswassogreatthatmany
housesreportedlywerewashedawaybythestormsurge.Repopulationoftheareahasbeenslow
thoughtheindustrialandmanufacturinguseshavereturned.By2007theNASAfacility,Textronandthe
FolgersCoffeeCompanywerebackinoperation.74ThestormsurgedevastatedBayouSauvageNational
WildlifeRefuge,severelydamagingthenaturalresourcesinthearea.FortPikewasalsoseverely
damagedbythestormsurge.

Greater New Orleans Community Data Center, New Orleans East Area District 11 Neighborhood Snapshot.
Retrieved 11/10/10. http://www.gnocdc.org/orleans/8/index.html
73 FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06
74 District 9, 10, & 11 Unified New Orleans Plan for Recovery and Rebuilding, Chapter 3: Recovery Assessment
Overview. Retrieved 11/11/10. http://unifiedneworleansplan.com/home3/districts/9/plans/
72

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HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict11VenetianIsles
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
MedianHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

30
0%
386
3%
416
3%
$58,224
.05
3%

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict11VenetianIsles
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

588
318
4
1
3
5
0
0
1972
9
21
1

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict11VenetianIsles
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009

$235,865
40%

FEMARecoveryProjects
PlanningDistrict11VenetianIsles
ProjectName
NOFDEngine31AlbaRd.

ProjectAddress
4300AlbaRoad

AssessorData

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PlanningDistrict11VenetianIsles
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

298
203
95
$18,399
15

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict11VenetianIsles
TotalResidentialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

504
371
133
26.4%
13.51%
34
18
16
47%
3.23%

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict11VenetianIsles
TotalBusinesses
Retail
Restaurants
GroceryandFood
TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees
TotalAnnualWages
AverageAnnualWage

6
5
1
0
$6,609,000.00
24

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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SummaryofPlanningDistrict12
LocatedontheWestBank,District12iscomprisedofsevenneighborhoodsandtheNewOrleansNavel
SupportBase.TheoldestneighborhoodinthedistrictisOldAlgierswhichdatestothelate18thcentury
andislocateddirectlyacrosstheriverfromtheFrenchQuarter.Theremainingareasweredevelopedin
thelatterhalfofthe20thcentury,followingthepostwarsuburbandevelopmentpatterns.
Thedistrictisdiversebotheconomicallyandculturally,withastrongmiddleclassbaseofwhiteand
black/AfricanAmericanhouseholds.Residentialdevelopmentisequallysplitbetweenrentaland
homeowneroccupiedunits.WiththeexceptionofOldAlgiers,commercialusesarenotintegrated
throughoutneighborhoods,butinsteadareconcentratedalongmajorroadways.Thereareasignificant
numberofmultifamilydevelopmentslocatedadjacenttothesethoroughfares.
Althoughtheleveeswerenotbreachedduringthestorm,approximately66%oftheresidentialunitsin
thedistrictweredamagedduringHurricaneKatrina.75Thisdamagedwascausedprimarilybywindand
rain.Outofthe11,471houseswithreporteddamageafterthestorm,only471receivedflooddamage
andlessthan100wereseverelydamagedordestroyed.Theareawasoneofthefirstpartsofthecityto
reopenandhasquicklyrepopulated.
TheareaisslatedforsignificanteconomicdevelopmentoverthenextfiveyearsastheNewOrleans
NavalSupportBasetransitionsintoFederalCity,whichwillserveastheheadquartersforthe

HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict12Algiers
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

8,829
11%
12,555
14%
21,384
12%
$39,795
2.47
13%

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict12Algiers
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes

75

23,325
12,780
1,711
1,248

FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06

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TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

1,348
2,748
1,055
2,016
1967
2,620
2,438
1,216

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict12Algiers
MedianValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinMedianValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20052009

$141,673
6%

ApartmentSurveyResultsCharacteristicsofForRentUnits
PlanningDistrict12Algiers
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom
TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

116
$700
$900
6

Source:GCR&Associates,Inc.;online,fieldandphonesurveyconductedSeptemberOctober,2010

RecoveryProjects
PlanningDistrict12Algiers
ProjectName
BrechtelMemorialPark,GolfCourse,ClubHouse,
&MaintenanceBuildingRenovations
ArthurMondayCenter
AlgiersRegionalLibraryDesignBuild
WhitneyAve&L.B.LandryBikeways
GeneralMeyerAveStreetscape
CitaHubbellLibrary
CutOffCenter
BehrmanCenterGym,Pool&SoccerStadium
Renovations

ProjectAddress
3700BehrmanPlace
1111NewtonSt.
3014HolidayDr.
WhitneyAve@MardiGrasBlvdtoPatterson
GeneralMeyerAve@HendeeSttoOdeonAve
725PelicanAve.
6600BelgradeSt.
2529GeneralMeyerAve.

RecoveryProjectDescriptions
FederalCityRedevelopment
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206


FederalCityinAlgiershasadaptedtonumerousfederalusessinceitopenedin1903.InMay2005the
NavyandDefenseDepartmentannounceditsplanstoclosetheNavalSupportActivity.However,
insteadofclosingthebase,stateandlocalofficialspersuadedthefederalboardtoconsider
decommissioningcostlypartsofthemilitaryinstitutionandtransformingtheareaintoamixeduse
development.Theinstallationwillincorporatezonebasedurbandesignthatwillprovidescaledlevels
ofsecurityallowingarangeofemployeesfromhighlevelmilitarytocivilianworkerstoliveandworkin
thecommunity.Withbothpublicandmilitaryinvestment,thedevelopmentwillprovide1,400
residentialunits,childcareservices,supermarkets,recreationalfacilities,andeducationalinstitutions
fromelementarytocollegelevels.FederalCityisexpectedtoprovideupto10,000federalandcivilian
jobswhenthedevelopmentisfullyoperational.76
BehrmanCenterandParkEnhancements
LocatedinAlgiers,the60acresparknamedforMayorMartinBehrmanisexpectedtoreceivelarge
investmentsfromthecitysrecoveryfunds.Fiverecoveryprojectshavebeenidentifiedforthepark
includinganewsoccerstadium,gymnasium,poolrepairs,andnewturfforthefootballfield.The
combinedinvestmenttotalsmorethan$16millionandisstillinthedesignphase.77Inthepastthepark
wasutilizedforlocalFridaynightfootballgamesandvarioussportscampssuchastennis,danceand
cheerleading.
BrechtelMemorialPark
Developedinthe1940sthroughtheCivilWorksAdministration,theparkwasnamedafterthefirstParks
DirectorofLouisiana.78The100acresparkiscomprisedofasportsfield,playground,lagoonandgolf
course.The18holeBrechtelMemorialParkGolfCourseopenedin1965.Renovationsofthegolf
course,drivingrange,andclubhousewillcostanestimated$7million.Theprojectisstillinthedesign
phaseandhasnotgonetobid.
AlgiersRegionalLibraryDesignBuild
PriortoHurricaneKatrina,theAlgiersRegionalLibrarywasthelargestbranchoftheNewOrleansPublic
Librarysystem.Duetotheextensiveroofdamagecausedbythestorm,mostofthebooksandlibrary
materialsweredestroyedbyrainwater.Overthelastfiveyearsthebuildingwasusedtosortbook
donations,butinMarch2010thebuildingwasdemolished.Thenewregionallibrarybuildingwill
containachildrensreadingroom,WiFihotspotsandcommunitymeetingrooms.The30,000square
footstructureisexpectedtocostanestimated$8millionincludingdemolitioncosts.Althoughthe
demolitionandsitelevelingiscomplete,constructionhasnotstartedduetodesignchangesandissues
inplanningandzoning.Thebranchisexpectedtobecompletebytheendof2011.

Federal City at Naval Support Activity, New Orleans Louisiana. Retrieved 11/17/10.
http://www.nolafederalcity.com/index.html
77 New Orleans City Council. List of 100 Recovery Projects. Retrieved 11/18/10
http://nolacitycouncil.com/content/docs2010
78 City of New Orleans Press Releases. Accessed 11/18/10
http://www.cityofno.com/pg-1-66-press-releases.aspx?pressid=5487
76

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FischerHousingDevelopment
BuiltontheWestBankin1965,theFischerHousingDevelopmentwasthelastconventionalpublic
housingdevelopmentbuiltinNewOrleans.TheHousingAuthorityofNewOrleansisoverseeingthe
HUDHOPEVItwophaserevitalizationplanforthedevelopment.Thefirstphaseiscompleteand
includes123mixedincomerentalunits,100elderlypublichousingunits,amanagementofficeanda
communitycenter.ThesecondphaseiscurrentlyunderconstructionandispartiallyfundedwithGO
Zonetaxcredits.Thisphaseincorporates124singlefamilyhousingunitsthatwillprovideboth
affordablerentalandhomeownershipopportunities.

RecentHousingDevelopments
PlanningDistrict12Algiers
ProjectName
ProjectAddress
PattersonHomes
PattersonSt
OakVillaII
3600BenderBlvd
FischerIII
2135L.B.LandryBlvd
RenaissancePlace
3601TexasDrive
ElmwoodHomes
ElmwoodParkDr
OrleansPlace
MaumasStreet
IndianaHomes
IndianaAve
OakVilla
TexasDr.&MemorialPkway
ForestParkApartments
3708GardenOaksDrive

Description
1.LIHTC
2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable30
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable80
1.LIHTCandHOME
2.Garden
3.MarketRate0Affordable103
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable307
1.LIHTC
2.SingleFamily
3.MarketRate0Affordable40
1.LIHTC
2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable60
1.LIHTC
2.SingleFamily
3.MarketRate0Affordable60
1.LIHTC
2.Midrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable80
1.LIHTC
2.Lowrise
3.MarketRate0Affordable284

AssessorData
PlanningDistrict12Algiers

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TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

12,525
8,619
3,906
$16,208
419

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict12Algiers
TotalResidentialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

16,054
14,558
1,496
9.32%
0.92%
613
518
95
15.5%
8.84%

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict12Algiers
TotalBusinesses

144
Retail 104
Restaurants 36
GroceryandFood 4
$363,071,000.00
2,004

TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees

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SummaryofPlanningDistrict13
District13,commonlyknownasLowerCoastorEnglishTurn,islocatedatthesouthernmostpointofthe
cityattheedgeoftheBaratariaTerrebonneNationalEstuaryProgram.Thedistricthasauniquemixof
suburbandwellingsandundevelopedgreenspace.Ofthe5,500acresthatmakeupthedistrict,
approximately2200acresareusedforresidentialpurposes.Theotherhalfremainsopenspaceand
wetlands.TheAudubonCenterforResearchofEndangeredSpecies(ACRES)occupiesapproximately
1,200acres.79Leveeprotectionsurroundsthedistrictprovidingbothhurricaneprotectionandadded
greenspace.
Theareadevelopedasahighendsuburbantypedevelopmentwithintheboundariesofthecity,largely
comprisedofluxurysinglefamilyresidences.Accordinglythehouseholdsarepredominantlywealthy,
withahouseholdmedianincomeof$196,000peryear.Theareaissparselypopulated,withlessthan
1,000households,andislargelyzonedforresidentialuses.Asaresult,thereislimitedretailorbusiness
activity.
Thoughthedistrictwassparedfromflooddamage,theareastructuresandhardwoodforestssustained
winddamage.Ofthe1,424homesthatreceiveddamage,95%receivedwinddamageofwhich26
reportedbeingseverelydamagedordestroyed.Residentshaveunitedinanefforttoprotectthearea
fromfuturehurricanedisastergivenitssouthernlocationalongtheMississippiandlowlyinglands.The
districtdoesfallunderFEMAshighriskzonesandisdependentonmanmadeleveesandcanalsfor
protection.80

79 Greater New Orleans Community Data Center, New Aurora/ English Turn District Neighborhood Snapshot.
Retrieved 11/12/10. http://www.gnocdc.org/orleans/8/index.html
80 UNOP-District 13: Introduction to the District, 2005, pg.5
http://willdoo-storage.com/Plans/D13/District_13_Chapter_01_Introduction_to_the_District.pdf

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HouseholdCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict13EnglishTurn
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

28
21%
653
21%
681
21%
$196,429
0.08
1%

HousingCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict13EnglishTurn
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

732
620
0
0
0
0
0
0
2001
401
4
0

HousingCostCharacteristics
PlanningDistrict13EnglishTurn
MedianValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinMedianValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20052009

$492,938
16%

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
PlanningDistrict13EnglishTurn
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom
TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

5
$850
$965
0

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AssessorData
PlanningDistrict13EnglishTurn
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

514
401
113
$39,642
5

GCRActivityIndex
PlanningDistrict13EnglishTurn
TotalResidentialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

566
549
17
3%
0.67%
19
18
1
5.26%
13.79%

AreaBusinesses
PlanningDistrict13EnglishTurn
TotalBusinesses

4
Retail 3
Restaurants 1
GroceryandFood 0
$1,854,000
13

TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees

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St.BernardParishSummaryData
SummaryofArabi,LA
Originallydevelopedinthe19thcenturyasasuburbofNewOrleans,theneighborhoodsofArabiwere
developedonexistingriverfrontplantations.ArabiwasoriginallypartofOrleansParishuntilan1870s
lawprohibitedslaughterhouseswithinNewOrleanscitylimits.FloodwaterduringHurricaneBetsy
overtoppedleveesinundatingmuchofArabiwithfloodwaters;howeverthestormsurgefrom
HurricaneKatrinadevastatedthearea.InSt.BernardParishasawhole,68%oftheresidential
structureswereseverelydamagedordestroyedbyHurricaneKatrina.81Today,approximately54%of
thepreKatrinaactiveaddressesinArabiarenotcurrentlyreceivingmail.Theareacontinuestorecover
witha14.9%increaseinresidentialactiveaddressesbetween2008and2010.82

HouseholdCharacteristics
Arabi
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

437
10%
803
10%
1,240
10%
$38,343
2.27
1%

HousingCharacteristics
Arabi

TotalHousingUnits
1,315
SingleFamilyDetached
972
SingleFamilyAttached
20
Duplexes
101
TriplexesandFourplexes
43
SmallComplex(519units)
37
MediumComplex(2049units)
0
LargeComplex(50+units)
0
MedianAge
1967
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
396
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
65
TotalSubsidizedUnits
N/A

81 FEMA, Katrina, Rita and Wilma Damage Report 2/12/06


82 GCR Activity Index
NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

213

HousingCostCharacteristics
Arabi
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009
EstimatedMedianRent,1bedroom
EstimatedMedianRent,2bedroom

$79,306
N/A
N/A
N/A

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
Arabi
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom
TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

RecoveryProjects
Arabi
ProjectName

ProjectAddress
N/A

RecentHousingDevelopments
Arabi
ProjectName
ProjectAddress

Description
N/A

AssessorData
Arabi
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties

3,194
2,298
896
N/A

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

214


CommercialProperties

178

GCRActivityIndex
Arabi
TotalResidentialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

3,470
1,566
1,904
54%
14.9%
225
141
84
37%
17.2%

AreaBusinesses
Arabi
TotalBusinesses
Retail
Restaurants
GroceryandFood
TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees
TotalAnnualWages
AverageAnnualWage

16
9
7
0
$102,613,000.00
111
N/A
N/A

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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SummaryofChalmette,LA
LocatedontheeastbankoftheMississippiRiver,southofArabi,Chalmettewasnamedafterplantation
ownerI.MartindeLinodeChalmette.TheMississippiRiverGulfOutlet(MRGO),duginthe1960sasan
emergencyoutletandcommercechannel,overflowedduringHurricaneKatrinaandinundatedthe
Chalmettecommunitywithfloodwaters.DuetothedamagecausedtothecanalbyHurricaneKatrina
andcommunityindignation,theMRGOclosedinJulyof2009.Gradualrecoveryprocessesinthearea
havebeenslowwithapproximately44%ofthepreKatrinaaddressesremaininactivein2010.83

HouseholdCharacteristics
Chalmette
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

3,252
14%
4,194
13%
7,446
13%
$41,370
2.4
1.5%

HousingCharacteristics
Chalmette
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

7,819
4,982
254
973
365
341
0
7
1976
2,659
1,289
N/A

HousingCostCharacteristics
Chalmette
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome

$96,363

83
GCR Activity Index
NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

216


ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009
EstimatedMedianRent,1bedroom
EstimatedMedianRent,2bedroom

N/A
N/A
N/A

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
Chalmette
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom
TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

RecoveryProjects
Chalmette
ProjectName

ProjectAddress
N/A

RecentHousingDevelopments
Chalmette
ProjectName
ProjectAddress

Description
N/A

AssessorData
Chalmette
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

9,645
6,648
2,997
N/A
865

GCRActivityIndex
Chalmette
TotalResidentialAddresses

11,694

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

6,547
5,147
44%
13.7%
996
648
348
35%
11.9%

AreaBusinesses
Chalmette
TotalBusinesses
Retail
Restaurants
GroceryandFood
TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees
TotalAnnualWages
AverageAnnualWage

112
78
27
7
$4,521,226,000.00
631
N/A
N/A

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

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SummaryofMeraux,LA
AlsoaffectedbythedestructionoftheMississippiRiverGulfOutletlevee,Merauxwasdevastatedby
HurricaneKatrinafloodwatersandwind.ThoughthecommunityismuchsmallerthanChalmette,ithas
recoveredmorequicklythanitsneighbortothenorth.Ofthe3,444residentialaddressesreceivingmail
priortoHurricaneKatrina,approximately60%oftheaddressesarenowactiveagain.84

HouseholdCharacteristics
Meraux
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

748
26%
1,750
19%
2,498
21%
$52,326
2.6
1.2%

HousingCharacteristics
Meraux
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

2,548
1,719
10
41
56
66
0
75
1977
842
17
N/A

HousingCostCharacteristics
Meraux
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009

$103,697
N/A

84
GCR Activity Index
NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

219


EstimatedMedianRent,1bedroom
EstimatedMedianRent,2bedroom

N/A
N/A

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
Meraux
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom
TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

RecoveryProjects
Meraux
ProjectName

ProjectAddress
N/A

RecentHousingDevelopments
Meraux
ProjectName
ProjectAddress

Description
N/A

AssessorData
Meraux
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

3,223
1,835
1,388
N/A
97

GCRActivityIndex
Meraux
TotalResidentialAddresses

3,444
ActiveAddresses 2,060
InactiveAddresses 1,384

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

220


PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

40%
5.1%
151
84
67
44%
29.3%

AreaBusinesses
Meraux
TotalBusinesses
Retail
Restaurants
GroceryandFood
TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees
TotalAnnualWages
AverageAnnualWage

11
8
3
0
$880,535,000.00
62
N/A
N/A

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

221

SummaryofPoydras,LA
Firstsettledinthe18thCenturyasaSpanishColony,PoydrasislocateddownriverfromVioletonthe
eastbankoftheMississippiRiver.Acrabbingandfishingcommunity,Poydraswasdevastatedby
HurricaneKatrina.Thecommunitycontinuestoreboundwithapproximately70%oftheresidential
addressesreturningtoactivestatusby2010.Mostofthisrecoveryoccurredpriorto2008withthe
changeinactivitybetween2008and2010remaininglowat4.5%change.85

HouseholdCharacteristics
Poydras
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

683
25%
1,963
25%
2,646
25%
$39,229
2.8
1.9%

HousingCharacteristics
Poydras
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

3,065
1,158
5
10
5
6
0
0
2003
1,600
53
N/A

HousingCostCharacteristics
Poydras
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,

$61,101
N/A

85
GCR Activity Index
NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

222


20042009
EstimatedMedianRent,1bedroom
EstimatedMedianRent,2bedroom

N/A
N/A

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
Poydras
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom
TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

RecoveryProjects
Poydras
ProjectName

ProjectAddress
N/A

RecentHousingDevelopments
Poydras
ProjectName
ProjectAddress

Description
N/A

AssessorData
Poydras
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

1,111
403
708
N/A
45

GCRActivityIndex
Poydras
TotalResidentialAddresses

1,169
ActiveAddresses 823

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

223


InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

346
30%
4.5%
69
55
14
20%
7.0%

AreaBusinesses
Poydras
TotalBusinesses
Retail
Restaurants
GroceryandFood
TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees
TotalAnnualWages
AverageAnnualWage

16
11
3
2
$110,174,000.00
80

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224

SummaryofViolet,LA
Locatedapproximately7.5milessoutheastofNewOrleans,VioletwasoriginallypartoftheLivaudais
Plantation.LocatedattheVioletCanal,thecommunitywasdevastatedafterHurricaneKatrina
destroyedtheleveeprotectionsurroundthearea.Approximately34%oftheresidentialaddresses
remainedinactivein2010with9.4%ofthischangeoccurringbetween2008and2010.86

HouseholdCharacteristics
Violet
EstimatedRenters2010
ProjectedChangeinRenters20102015
EstimatedOwners2010
ProjectedChangeinOwners20102015
EstimatedHouseholds2010
EstimatedChangeinHouseholds20102015
MedianHouseholdIncome,2010
AverageHouseholdSize,2010
FamilyPovertyRate,2010

527
12%
1,061
14%
1,628
13%
$32,755
2.9
2.9%

HousingCharacteristics
Violet
TotalHousingUnits
SingleFamilyDetached
SingleFamilyAttached
Duplexes
TriplexesandFourplexes
SmallComplex(519units)
MediumComplex(2049units)
LargeComplex(50+units)
MedianAge
UnitsBuiltAfter2000
UnitsBuiltBefore1940
TotalSubsidizedUnits

1,683
1,173
24
100
44
12
0
0
1979
128
24
N/A

HousingCostCharacteristics
Violet
AverageValue,SingleFamilyHome
ChangeinAverageValue,SingleFamilyHome,
20042009

$71,308
N/A

86

GCRActivityIndex

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

225


EstimatedMedianRent,1bedroom
EstimatedMedianRent,2bedroom

N/A
N/A

CharacteristicsofForRentUnits
Violet
TotalUnitsAvailableforRent
MedianAskingRent,1Bedroom
MedianAskingRent,2Bedroom
TotalUnitsAvailableforRentAcceptingSection8
Vouchers

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

RecoveryProjects
Violet
ProjectName

ProjectAddress
N/A

RecentHousingDevelopments
Violet
ProjectName
ProjectAddress

Description
N/A

AssessorData
Violet
TotalResidentialProperties
PropertieswithHomesteadExemption
ResidentialPropertieswithoutHomestead
Exemption
AverageAssessedValue,ResidentialProperties
CommercialProperties

2,667
1,367
1,300
N/A
67

GCRActivityIndex
Violet
TotalResidentialAddresses

2,733
ActiveAddresses 1,805
InactiveAddresses 928

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

226


PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010
CommercialAddresses
ActiveAddresses
InactiveAddresses
PercentageInactive
ChangeinActivity20082010

34%
9.4%
99
73
26
26%
7.1%

AreaBusinesses
Violet
TotalBusinesses
Retail
Restaurants
GroceryandFood
TotalBusinessEarnings
TotalEmployees
TotalAnnualWages
AverageAnnualWage

11
7
3
1
$96,931,000.00
59
N/A
N/A

NewOrleansMarketAssessmentAnAnalysisofSupplyandDemandDynamics

227

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