Fed Snapshot Sep 2011

SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Fifth District
Summary Labor Market Business Conditions Household Conditions Real Estate Market District District District District District D.C. D.C. D.C. D.C. Maryland Maryland Maryland Maryland North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina 1 2 3 4 4 1 2 4 5 1 2 4 5 1 2 4 5
South Carolina
Summary Labor Market Household Conditions Real Estate Market South Carolina South Carolina South Carolina South Carolina 1 2 4 5
District of Columbia
Summary Labor Market Household Conditions Real Estate Market
Virginia
Summary Labor Market Household Conditions Real Estate Market Virginia Virginia Virginia Virginia West Virginia West Virginia West Virginia West Virginia 1 2 4 5 1 2 4 5
Maryland
West Virginia
North Carolina
Sources & Notes

Data Sources Notes Sources 1 Sources 2
Contact Information
Jake Blackwood (804) 697-8927 Jake.Blackwood@rich.frb.org
Sonya Ravindranath Waddell (804) 697-2694 Sonya.Waddell@rich.frb.org

TABLE OF CONTENTS
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

FIFTH DISTRICT
September Summary
The Fifth District economy remained sluggish in recent months, with some improvement in labor markets, but generally weak conditions among area businesses and in residential real estate markets. Labor Markets: Employment conditions improved slightly in Fifth District labor markets in July, with District firms adding 5,000 jobs (0.0 percent) to the economy after two months of job losses. Conditions continue to improve on a year-over-year basisthe District reported 36,200 more jobs this July than in July 2010. The private sector dominated the year-over-year improvement as the government sector reported a decline of 59,100 jobs since July 2010. Meanwhile, the District unemployment rate rose to 8.4 percent in July from 8.3 percent in June. Business Conditions: Conditions for Fifth District businesses generally weakened in August, according to our most recent surveys. The composite index for manufacturing dropped from -1 to -10, posting its fourth straight month in negative territory. The decrease reflected a decline in all three component indexesshipments, new orders, and employmentand only the employment index remained above zero. Service sector conditions were more mixed, with the services firm revenues index improving slightly, but a steep decline into negative territory in the retail revenues index. The index for employment in the overall service sector also edged down below zero. The survey measure of prices indicated a slight acceleration of growth in raw materials, finished goods, services, and retail prices. Housing Markets: New residential permit levels in the District were down 0.9 percent in July and 1.5 percent from July 2010, although housing starts rose 18.3 percent in the same month and 1.8 percent over the year. Recent data indicate continued sluggishness in residential sales as existing home sales decreased 5.1 percent in the second quarter and 14.8 percent since the second quarter of 2010. Meanwhile, home value depreciation remained a challenge across District markets. Overall, the District posted a 1.8 percent decline in house prices in the second quarter and District homes depreciated 4.0 percent since the second quarter of 2010. This was the fourteenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year decline in District house prices.
A Closer Look atExisting Home Sales

Existing Home Sales in Q2-2011 (SAAR, all units) United States: 4,860,000 units Fifth District: 420,000 units Highest Level of Existing Home Sales (SAAR, all units) United States: 7,207,000 units in Q3-2005 Fifth District: 717,600 units in Q2-2005 Percent Change from Q1-2011 to Q2-2011 United States: -5.4 percent Fifth District: -5.1 percent Trend: In July 2011, U.S. existing home sales declined 3.5 percent. Historically, the trend in Fifth District existing home sales has generally tracked the national trend.
Fifth District Existing Home Sales

7,500 7,000 United States, Thousands 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 FIFTH DISTRICT 1 United States (monthly) Fifth District (quarterly) SAAR, through July 2011 750 700 Fifth District, Thousands 650 600 550 500 450 400 350
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Fifth District Payroll Employment Performance
Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011 Fifth District - Total Construction and Natural Resources -2.5 Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government -2.2 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 -0.4 0.8 1.1 -0.8 0.4 2.4 1.2 1.1
Labor Market Conditions

Payroll Employment (SA)
United States - Total Fifth District - Total
Construction and Natural Resources Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government
FIFTH DISTRICT
Period July July July July July July July July July July July July
Level (000s) 131,190.0 13,325.4 659.5 1,049.2 2,306.2 240.5 673.5 1,992.5 1,851.7 1,317.0 642.5 2,592.8 July 11 9.1 8.4
MoM % Change YoY % Change 0.09 0.97 0.04 0.27 -0.14 -2.53 0.19 1.24 0.37 1.15 0.42 -0.78 -0.13 0.39 0.26 2.36 0.33 0.76 0.21 1.14 0.42 -0.36 -0.82 -2.23 June 11 9.2 8.3 July 10 9.5 8.8
0.3
Unemployment Rate (SA)

United States Fifth District
Fifth District Unemployment Rate

Through July 2011 11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States Fifth District
Civilian Labor Force (SA)

Period July July Period July July
Level (000s) 153,228 14,952 Level 1,755,235 149,696
MoM % Change YoY % Change -0.13 -0.26 -0.11 0.15 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.77 -12.58 0.85 -11.41
Initial Unemployment Claims (NSA)

FIFTH DISTRICT 2
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

3-Month Moving Average through August 2011
FIFTH DISTRICT
Business Conditions
30.0
Composite Manufacturing Index
Manufacturing Survey (SA) Composite Index Shipments New Orders Number of Employees Expected Shipments - Six Months Raw Materials Prices (SAAR) Finished Goods Prices (SAAR) Service Sector Survey (SA)
Service Sector Employment Services Firms Revenues Retail Revenues Big-Ticket Sales
Expected Retail Demand - Six Months
August 11 -10 -17 -11 1 17 4.16 1.46 August 11 -5 10 -32 -40 -23 0.93 1.66 Period June June June June Period June June June June Level ($mil) 2,723.23 681.47 3,489.82 2,517.46 Level ($mil) 1,749.83 524.71 1,955.14 2,011.85
July 11 -1 -1 -5 4 35 3.41 1.18 July 11 0 6 11 -25 3 0.86 0.75
August 10 -7 -12 -10 3 17 2.05 1.01 August 10 -8 -4 -11 -16 -20 0.54 1.02
20.0 10.0 Index Levels 0.0 -10.0 -20.0 -30.0 -40.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year-over-Year Percent Change through June 2011 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 -20.0 -40.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Norfolk Port District Exports
Services Firm Prices Retail Prices
District Imports
Baltimore, Maryland Wilmington, North Carolina Charleston, South Carolina Norfolk, Virginia
MoM % Change YoY % Change 15.7 2.4 -14.8 4.7 15.1 30.5 7.0 -0.2 MoM % Change YoY % Change -8.4 35.5 -15.1 -0.9 5.1 19.4 -2.1 22.1
District Exports
Baltimore, Maryland Wilmington, North Carolina Charleston, South Carolina Norfolk, Virginia
FIFTH DISTRICT 3
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Fifth District Real Personal Income
7.0 Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q1:11 United States Fifth District
Household Conditions
Real Personal Income (SA)
United States Fifth District Period Q1:11 Q1:11 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Level ($mil) 11,468,488 1,129,400 Level 367,486 24,612 QoQ % Change 0.86 0.79 QoQ % Change 3.87 -0.69 YoY % Change 3.12 2.81 YoY % Change -9.84 -11.75
FIFTH DISTRICT
6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0
Non-Business Bankruptcies
Real Estate Conditions

Total Private Building Permits (NSA)
United States Fifth District United States Fifth District United States Fifth District Period July July Period July July Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Level 51,248 7,837 Level (000s) 604 90 Level 316 359 Level (000s) 4,860 420 MoM % Change YoY % Change -17.92 1.64 -0.91 -1.55 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.47 9.82 18.34 1.82 QoQ % Change -1.86 -3.97 QoQ % Change -5.39 -5.06 YoY % Change -4.48 -1.81 YoY % Change -12.75 -14.77
FIFTH DISTRICT
-3.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 -10.0 United States -20.0 -30.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Fifth District
Fifth District Existing Home Sales
Total Private Housing Starts (SAAR)
House Price Index (1980=100)
Total Existing Home Sales (SAAR)

FIFTH DISTRICT 4
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
September Summary
Economic conditions in the District of Columbia were mixed in recent months, with payroll employment showing some improvement, but continued challenges in the housing market. Labor Market Conditions: Payroll employment in the District of Columbia grew 0.4 percent (3,100 jobs) in July, enabling the jurisdiction to claim 1,100 additional jobs (0.2 percent) since July 2010. Although the largest monthly increase was in the government sector (1,300 jobs), government employment contracted over the year. Labor market conditions in the greater Washington, D.C. MSA were also positive, with metro-area firms adding 10,600 jobs (0.4 percent) in July and 5,200 jobs (0.2 percent) since July 2010. All of the (not seasonally adjusted) year-over-year job losses in the Washington D.C. MSA were in the government sectorthe metro areas private sector added 3,000 jobs since July 2010. Household Conditions: Despite some gains in payroll employment, the D.C. unemployment rate edged up 0.4 percentage point to 10.8 percent in Julyits highest level since October 1983. This jump reflects 1,400 additional unemployed workers as well as a 1,500-worker decline in the labor force. The Washington, D.C. MSA unemployment rate inched up in July as well. In the second quarter, the share of mortgages with payments more than 90 days past due rose to nearly 3 percent, reflecting an increase in both the prime and subprime 90+ day delinquency rates. Housing Markets: D.C. issued 19 new residential permits in Julydown from 617 permits issued in June and 101 permits issued in July 2010. Housing starts also fell in July and over the year. Furthermore, in the second quarter, existing home sales decreased 8.0 percent, leaving the series with an 11.5 percent year-over-year decline. On a more positive note, D.C. house prices rose 2.0 percent in the second quarter and 2.0 percent over the year, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year appreciation. In the Washington, D.C. MSA, residential permit levels were up in July and over the year but continued weakness in the housing market manifested itself in house prices, which fell 0.5 percent in the second quarter and 2.3 percent over the yearthe sharpest year-over-year depreciation since the first quarter of 2010.

Existing Home Sales in Q2-2011 (SAAR, all units) United States: 4,860,000 units District of Columbia: 9,200 units Highest Level of Existing Home Sales (SAAR, all units) United States: 7,207,000 units in Q3-2005 District of Columbia: 14,400 units in Q2-2004 Percent Change from Q1-2011 to Q2-2011 United States: -5.4 percent District of Columbia: -8.0 percent Trend: In July 2011, U.S. existing home sales declined 3.5 percent. Historically, the trend in District of Columbia existing home sales has generally tracked the national trend.
District of Columbia Existing Home Sales

7,500 7,000 United States, Thousands 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA 1 United States (monthly) District of Columbia (quarterly) SAAR, through July 2011 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 District of Columbia, Thousands
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

D.C. Payroll Employment Performance
Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011
United States - Total Fifth District - Total District of Columbia - Total
Construction and Natural Resources Manufacturing (NSA) Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government
Washington, D.C. MSA - Total
Period July July July July July July July July July July July July July July
Level (000s) 131,190.0 13,325.4 715.2 11.0 1.1 26.0 18.7 26.8 151.1 111.6 58.6 63.3 247.0 2,982.4
MoM % Change YoY % Change 0.09 0.97 0.04 0.27 0.44 0.15 1.85 0.92 -8.33 -8.33 -0.76 -5.45 0.54 0.00 0.37 1.90 0.07 1.34 0.90 3.53 -0.68 -2.01 1.61 -2.16 0.53 -0.44 0.36 0.18
District of Columbia - Total Construction and Natural Resources Manufacturing (NSA) Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government -10.0 -8.0 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 -2.2 -0.4 -2.0 0.0 -8.3 -5.5
0.2 0.9
0.0 1.9 1.3 3.5
2.0
4.0
D.C. Total Employment Performance
United States
1.0
Fifth District
0.3
District of Columbia
0.2
Washington, D.C. MSA 0.0
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA 2
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

D.C. Unemployment Rate
Through July 2011 12.0
United States Fifth District District of Columbia Washington, D.C. MSA July 11 9.1 8.4 10.8 5.9 Period July July July July Period July July July Level (000s) 153,228 14,952 331 3,071 Level 1,755,235 149,696 2,175 June 11 9.2 8.3 10.4 5.8 July 10 9.5 8.8 9.8 6.1
11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0
United States District of Columbia

United States Fifth District District of Columbia Washington, D.C. MSA
MoM % Change YoY % Change -0.13 -0.26 -0.11 0.15 -0.45 -0.57 0.03 0.19 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.77 -12.58 0.85 -11.41 -3.85 9.74

United States Fifth District District of Columbia
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 -3.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States District of Columbia
D.C. Labor Force
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

D.C. Real Personal Income
12.0 Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q1:11 United States District of Columbia
United States Fifth District District of Columbia Period Q1:11 Q1:11 Q1:11 Period 2011 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level ($mil) 11,468,488 1,129,400 39,012 Level (000s) 104.3 Level 367,486 24,612 238 Q2:11 3.42 2.21 11.26 2.95 2.05 13.08 QoQ % Change 0.86 0.79 1.07 QoQ % Change --QoQ % Change 3.87 -0.69 1.28 Q1:11 3.58 2.33 11.88 2.82 1.91 11.49 YoY % Change 3.12 2.81 2.75 YoY % Change 2.56 YoY % Change -9.84 -11.75 -22.98 Q2:10 4.54 3.29 13.94 3.38 2.41 13.96
10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0
Median Family Income

Washington, D.C. MSA
United States Fifth District District of Columbia United States All Mortgages Conventional Subprime District of Columbia All Mortgages Conventional Subprime
Mortgage Delinquencies (% 90+ Days Delinquent)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
D.C. Mortgage Delinquencies

6.0 5.0 United States 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 District of Columbia Percent 90+ Days Delinquent through Q2:11
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Washington, D.C. MSA Building Permits
120.0 Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011
United States Fifth District District of Columbia Washington, D.C. MSA Period July July July July Period July July July Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level 51,248 7,837 19 2,055 Level (000s) 604.0 89.7 0.2 Level (000s) 4,860.0 420.0 9.2 MoM % Change YoY % Change -17.92 1.64 -0.91 -1.55 -96.92 -81.19 20.18 69.41 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.47 9.82 18.34 1.82 -96.28 -80.36 QoQ % Change -5.39 -5.06 -8.00 YoY % Change -12.75 -14.77 -11.54
100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 -20.0 -40.0 -60.0 -80.0


2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
D.C. Existing Home Sales

Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 -20.0 -40.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States District of Columbia
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

D.C. House Price Index (FHFA)
30.0 Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11
House Price Index (1980=100, NSA)
United States Fifth District District of Columbia Washington, D.C. MSA (1995=100) Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Level 316 359 571 214 Level ($000s) 341 Level ($000s) 290 Q2:11 73.2 Q2:11 10.0 QoQ % Change -1.86 -3.97 1.98 -0.54 QoQ % Change 15.64 QoQ % Change 18.37 Q1:11 81.2 Q1:11 10.1 YoY % Change -4.48 -1.81 1.98 -2.29 YoY % Change 2.71 YoY % Change 0.35 Q2:10 72.2 Q2:10 11.4
13.0 12.0 11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 -5.0 -10.0
United States District of Columbia
Median Home Sales Price - NAR (NSA)

Median Home Sales Price - NAHB

Housing Opportunity Index (%)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Commercial Vacancy Rates (%)

Office Vacancies Washington, D.C. MSA
Washington, D.C. MSA Office Vacancy Rate

Through Q2:11
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

MARYLAND
September Summary
Recent reports on the Maryland economy indicated mixed, but generally weak, conditions. Although labor markets exhibited some positive signs, household and residential real estate conditions softened overall. Labor Market Conditions: Firms in Maryland added 8,100 jobs (0.3 percent) to the economy in July, enabling a gain of 3,600 jobs (0.1 percent) since July 2010the first year-over-year job gain in the state since March. Employment rose across sectors of the Maryland economy in July, with only two sectors experiencing job losses: education and health services (1,000 jobs) and government (2,300 jobs). Most of the year-over-year increase was in professional and businesses services, which added 10,300 jobs in the year. Although metro-level conditions were mixed, most of the states metro areas posted monthly and year-over-year employment gains. Household Conditions: Despite the payroll gains in July, the unemployment rate in Maryland edged up 0.2 percentage point to 7.2 percent. The rise reflected an increase of 5,400 unemployed workers in the state as well as a labor force decline of almost 8,000 people. Metro-level unemployment rates were also up slightly in July in all but the Hagerstown MSA. In more positive news, the share of Maryland mortgages with payments more than 90 days past due edged down to 4.6 percent in the second quarter from 4.8 percent in the first quarter. The 90+ day delinquency rate dropped to 3.1 percent in the prime market and 15.3 percent in the subprime market. Housing Markets: The number of new residential permits issued in Maryland increased 45.4 percent in July, although permit levels were still down 3.0 percent from July 2010. Housing starts, on the other hand, were up both in the month (73.6 percent) and over the year (0.3 percent). Second quarter existing home sales decreased 7.8 percent, leaving the state with 12.8 percent fewer home sales than in the second quarter of 2010. Further evidence of a struggling housing market came in the FHFA house price index, which showed a depreciation of 2.4 percent in Maryland home values in the second quarter and a year-over-year house price decline of 5.2 percent. Although residential permitting activity varied among the states MSAs, home values continued to depreciate across Maryland metro areas on a quarterly and a year-over-year basis.

Existing Home Sales in Q2-2011 (SAAR, all units) United States: 4,860,000 units Maryland: 76,000 units Highest Level of Existing Home Sales (SAAR, all units) United States: 7,207,000 units in Q3-2005 Maryland: 141,200 units in Q4-2004 Percent Change from Q1-2011 to Q2-2011 United States: -5.4 percent Maryland: -7.8 percent Trend: In July 2011, U.S. existing home sales declined 3.5 percent. Historically, the trend in Maryland existing home sales has generally tracked the national trend.
Maryland Existing Home Sales

7,500 7,000 United States, Thousands 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 MARYLAND 1 United States (monthly) Maryland (quarterly) SAAR, through July 2011 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 Maryland, Thousands
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Maryland Payroll Employment Performance

United States - Total Fifth District - Total Maryland - Total
Construction and Natural Resources Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government
MARYLAND
Baltimore-Towson MSA - Total Bethesda-Frederick Metro Div. - Total Cumberland MSA - Total Hagerstown MSA - Total Salisbury MSA - Total
Period July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July
Level (000s) 131,190.0 13,325.4 2,522.2 138.2 113.2 441.1 44.7 141.8 396.7 400.0 231.2 118.7 496.6 1,280.7 561.5 39.2 95.6 52.4
MoM % Change YoY % Change 0.09 0.97 0.04 0.27 0.32 0.14 0.73 -4.23 0.00 -1.14 0.34 0.41 1.82 2.76 0.50 -0.49 0.71 2.67 -0.25 -0.15 1.18 0.74 1.63 3.22 -0.46 -1.27 0.58 0.50 -0.55 0.16 2.08 0.26 0.10 -1.95 0.19 0.38
Maryland - Total Construction and Natural Resources Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government -6.0 -4.0 -1.3 -2.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.5 -4.2 -1.1
0.1
0.4 2.8 2.7 0.7 3.2
2.0
4.0
Maryland Total Employment Performance

Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011 United States Fifth District Maryland Baltimore-Towson MSA Bethesda-Frederick Metro Div. Cumberland MSA Hagerstown MSA Salisbury MSA -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 -1.9 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.0
MARYLAND 2
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Maryland Unemployment Rate

United States Fifth District Maryland Baltimore-Towson MSA Bethesda-Frederick Metro Div. Cumberland MSA Hagerstown MSA Salisbury MSA July 11 9.1 8.4 7.2 7.6 5.5 8.8 9.3 9.1 Period July July July July July July July July Period July July July Level (000s) 153,228 14,952 2,983 1,398 639 49 117 63 Level 1,755,235 149,696 26,723 June 11 9.2 8.3 7.0 7.5 5.4 8.7 9.4 8.9 July 10 9.5 8.8 7.4 7.8 5.7 9.2 9.9 9.1
MARYLAND
10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States Maryland

United States Fifth District Maryland Baltimore-Towson MSA Bethesda-Frederick Metro Div. Cumberland MSA Hagerstown MSA Salisbury MSA
MoM % Change YoY % Change -0.13 -0.26 -0.11 0.15 -0.26 0.14 0.05 0.21 -0.41 0.57 -0.61 1.03 -0.43 -1.52 -0.79 0.16 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.77 -12.58 0.85 -11.41 -11.59 -12.12
Maryland Labor Force

3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 -2.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States Maryland Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011

United States Fifth District Maryland
MARYLAND 3
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Maryland Real Personal Income
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q1:11 7.0
United States Fifth District Maryland Period Q1:11 Q1:11 Q1:11 Period 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level ($mil) 11,468,488 1,129,400 258,533 Level (000s) 84.5 111.9 52.3 65.0 63.5 Level 367,486 24,612 6,844 Q2:11 3.42 2.21 11.26 4.58 3.05 15.33 QoQ % Change 0.86 0.79 0.79 QoQ % Change ----------QoQ % Change 3.87 -0.69 1.48 Q1:11 3.58 2.33 11.88 4.77 3.19 15.89 YoY % Change 3.12 2.81 2.83 YoY % Change 2.80 2.10 0.19 -3.56 2.92 YoY % Change -9.84 -11.75 -11.31 Q2:10 4.54 3.29 13.94 4.79 3.32 16.17
MARYLAND
6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 -3.0
United States Maryland

Baltimore-Towson MSA Bethesda-Frederick Metro Div. Cumberland MSA Hagerstown MSA Salisbury MSA
United States Fifth District Maryland United States All Mortgages Conventional Subprime Maryland All Mortgages Conventional Subprime
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Maryland Mortgage Delinquencies

Percent 90+ Days Delinquent through Q2:11 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
MARYLAND 4
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Maryland Building Permits

United States Fifth District Maryland Baltimore-Towson MSA Cumberland MSA Hagerstown Salisbury MSA Period July July July July July July July Period July July July Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level 51,248 7,837 1,092 346 10 50 3 Level (000s) 604.0 89.7 89.7 Level (000s) 4,860.0 420.0 76.0 MoM % Change YoY % Change -17.92 1.64 -0.91 -1.55 45.41 -3.02 33.08 -20.82 100.00 150.00 6.38 2.04 -62.50 -62.50 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.47 9.82 18.34 1.82 18.34 1.82 QoQ % Change -5.39 -5.06 -7.77 YoY % Change -12.75 -14.77 -12.84
MARYLAND
120.0 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 -20.0 -40.0 -60.0 -80.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


Maryland Existing Home Sales

50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 -10.0 -20.0 -30.0 -40.0 -50.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States Maryland Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11
MARYLAND 5
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Maryland House Price Index (FHFA)
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11 25.0

United States Fifth District Maryland Baltimore-Towson MSA (1995=100) Bethesda-Frederick Metro Div. (1995=100) Cumberland MSA (1995=100) Hagerstown MSA (1995=100) Salisbury MSA (1995=100) Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level 316 359 407 201 209 170 156 178 Level ($000s) 235 90 139 Level ($000s) 225 310 96 136 138 QoQ % Change -1.86 -3.97 -2.37 -2.47 -1.01 -0.97 -7.29 -1.35 QoQ % Change 10.40 10.90 14.78 QoQ % Change 2.27 6.53 18.52 -4.90 2.22 YoY % Change -4.48 -1.81 -5.17 -5.04 -2.38 -6.09 -11.87 -9.36 YoY % Change -6.72 -14.35 -7.21 YoY % Change 0.00 3.33 0.00 -12.26 -7.38
MARYLAND
20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 -5.0 -10.0

Baltimore-Towson MSA Cumberland MSA Hagerstown MSA
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Baltimore-Towson MSA Median Home Sales Price (NAR)

Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 -10.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Baltimore-Towson MSA Bethesda-Frederick Metro Div. Cumberland MSA Hagerstown MSA Salisbury MSA
MARYLAND 6
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Baltimore-Towson MSA Office Vacancy Rate
18.0 Through Q2:11

Baltimore-Towson MSA Bethesda-Frederick Metro Div. Cumberland MSA Hagerstown MSA Salisbury MSA Q2:11 75.7 72.7 90.4 88.6 85.0 Q2:11 16.2 15 17.8 17 Q1:11 75.7 74.6 96.5 88.7 86.1 Q1:11 16.4 14.3 18.3 16.7 Q2:10 73.7 73.8 95.2 83.5 86.5 Q2:10 17.0 14.8 19.0 16.1
MARYLAND
17.0 16.0 15.0 14.0 13.0 12.0 11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Office Vacancies Baltimore-Towson MSA Suburban Maryland (Washington, D.C. MSA) Industrial Vacancies Baltimore-Towson MSA Suburban Maryland (Washington, D.C. MSA)
Baltimore-Towson MSA Industrial Vacancy Rate

22.0 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Through Q2:11
MARYLAND 7
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

NORTH CAROLINA
September Summary
The North Carolina economy weakened in recent months, with struggling labor and housing markets. Labor Markets: North Carolina suffered its third consecutive month of payroll losses in July as the state shed 4,100 jobs (0.1 percent). In the private sector, however, only the financial activities industry reported losses in July (1,500 jobs); most of the decline was in the public sector, with local government employment, in particular, falling 2.7 percent (11,800 jobs). Despite Julys losses, the state still reported a 4,400 job employment gain since July 2010only the government and construction sectors reported notable losses over the year. Employment conditions in July varied across the states major metro areas. Household Conditions: The unemployment rate in North Carolina edged back up to its August 2010 level of 10.1 percent in July. The rise in the unemployment rate reflects an additional 7,600 unemployed workers in North Carolina. Drilling down, unemployment rates edged up 0.1 or 0.2 percentage point in every major MSA. In more positive news, the share of North Carolina mortgages with payments more than 90 days past due inched down slightly in the second quarter, reflecting a decrease in both the prime and subprime 90+ day delinquency rates. Housing Markets: New residential permit levels in North Carolina dropped 14.9 percent in July and 19.1 percent over the preceding year. Housing starts, on the other hand, were up slightly in the month (1.5 percent), but still down 16.3 percent over the year. Challenges in North Carolinas housing markets were further reflected in existing home sales, which fell 3.7 percent in the second quarter after two quarters of increase. Existing home sales in the state were down 17.1 percent from the second quarter of 2010. Meanwhile, according to FHFA, North Carolina house prices declined 1.9 percent in the second quarter and 4.2 percent over the yearthe ninth consecutive quarter of year-over-year decline and the sharpest since the second quarter of 2010. Metro-level housing market conditions were generally weak, with new permit levels falling in most North Carolina MSAs and house prices continuing to decline on a quarterly and yearover-year basis in almost every metro area.

Existing Home Sales in Q2-2011 (SAAR, all units) United States: 4,860,000 units North Carolina: 135,600 units Highest Level of Existing Home Sales (SAAR, all units) United States: 7,207,000 units in Q3-2005 North Carolina: 244,000 units in Q1-2007 Percent Change from Q1-2011 to Q2-2011 United States: -5.4 percent North Carolina: -3.7 percent Trend: In July 2011, U.S. existing home sales declined 3.5 percent. Historically, the trend in North Carolina existing home sales has generally tracked the national trend.
North Carolina Existing Home Sales

7,500 7,000 United States, Thousands 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 NORTH CAROLINA 1 United States (monthly) North Carolina (quarterly) SAAR, through July 2011 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 North Carolina, Thousands
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

North Carolina Payroll Employment Performance
NORTH CAROLINA
United States - Total Fifth District - Total North Carolina - Total
Natural resources and Mining Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government
Asheville MSA - Total Charlotte MSA - Total Durham MSA - Total Fayetteville MSA - Total Greensboro-High Point MSA - Total Raleigh-Cary MSA - Total Wilmington MSA - Total Winston-Salem MSA - Total
Period July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July
Level (000s) 131,190.0 13,325.4 3,868.1 5.7 169.4 434.9 722.3 68.6 203.4 496.7 537.6 404.6 154.0 670.9 166.1 796.1 276.1 130.6 342 506.4 138 205.9
North Carolina - Total
0.1 0.0 -3.6 0.5 1.4 0.4 2.4 2.7 0.0 3.4 -1.7 -4.3 -5.0 -4.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0
MoM % Change YoY % Change 0.09 0.97 0.04 0.27 -0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.12 -3.59 0.30 0.53 0.26 1.45 0.44 0.44 -0.73 2.42 0.73 2.67 0.11 -0.04 0.17 3.37 -0.13 -1.66 -1.61 -4.32 -0.06 -0.24 -0.70 -0.70 -0.79 -1.57 1.01 1.95 -0.12 0.23 0.32 1.63 0.88 0.58 -0.19 0.83
Natural resources and Mining Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government
North Carolina Total Employment Performance

Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011 United States Fifth District North Carolina Asheville Charlotte MSA Durham MSA -1.6 Fayetteville MSA Greensboro-High Point MSA Raleigh-Cary MSA Wilmington MSA Winston-Salem MSA -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 0.2 1.6 2.0 -0.7 -0.2 0.3 0.1 1.0
NORTH CAROLINA 2
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

North Carolina Unemployment Rate
Through July 2011
NORTH CAROLINA
United States Fifth District North Carolina Asheville MSA Charlotte MSA Durham MSA Fayetteville MSA Greensboro-High Point MSA Raleigh-Cary MSA Wilmington MSA Winston-Salem MSA July 11 9.1 8.4 10.1 8.0 10.8 7.5 9.7 10.4 8.2 10.3 9.5 Period July July July July July July July July July July July Period July July July Level (000s) 153,228 14,952 4,501 206 854 261 159 360 564 177 237 Level 1,755,235 149,696 60,223 June 11 9.2 8.3 9.9 7.9 10.7 7.3 9.6 10.2 8.0 10.0 9.4 July 10 9.5 8.8 10.3 8.5 11.5 7.6 9.2 10.9 8.5 10.1 10.0
12.0 11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0
United States North Carolina

United States Fifth District North Carolina Asheville MSA Charlotte MSA Durham MSA Fayetteville MSA Greensboro-High Point MSA Raleigh-Cary MSA Wilmington MSA Winston-Salem MSA
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
MoM % Change YoY % Change -0.13 -0.26 -0.11 0.15 -0.06 -0.01 -0.15 -1.20 0.28 -0.87 -0.15 -0.87 0.70 1.27 0.47 -0.69 0.18 0.39 0.74 -0.34 0.68 -0.04 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.77 -12.58 0.85 -11.41 7.59 -7.30
North Carolina Labor Force

3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 -2.0 -2.5 Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011

United States Fifth District North Carolina
United States North Carolina 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
NORTH CAROLINA 3
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

North Carolina Real Personal Income
7.0 Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q1:11 United States North Carolina
NORTH CAROLINA
United States Fifth District North Carolina Period Q1:11 Q1:11 Q1:11 Period 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level ($mil) 11,468,488 1,129,400 309,417 Level (000s) 57.6 67.5 67.8 52 54.6 78.8 61.2 Level 367,486 24,612 5,823 Q2:11 3.42 2.21 11.26 3.10 1.67 11.65 QoQ % Change 0.86 0.79 0.52 QoQ % Change --------------QoQ % Change 3.87 -0.69 0.21 Q1:11 3.58 2.33 11.88 3.12 1.71 11.81 YoY % Change 3.12 2.81 2.44 YoY % Change 3.97 0.45 1.95 -0.95 -5.86 1.42 2.34 YoY % Change -9.84 -11.75 -10.28 Q2:10 4.54 3.29 13.94 3.82 2.40 12.77
6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 -3.0 2000 2001

Asheville MSA Charlotte MSA Durham MSA Fayetteville MSA Greensboro-High Point MSA Raleigh-Cary MSA Winston-Salem MSA
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
United States Fifth District North Carolina United States All Mortgages Conventional Subprime North Carolina All Mortgages Conventional Subprime
North Carolina Mortgage Delinquencies

6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States North Carolina Percent 90+ Days Delinquent through Q2:11
NORTH CAROLINA 4
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

North Carolina Building Permits
NORTH CAROLINA
United States Fifth District North Carolina Asheville MSA Charlotte MSA Durham MSA Fayetteville MSA Greensboro-High Point MSA Greenville MSA Hickory MSA Jacksonville MSA Raleigh-Cary MSA Wilmington MSA Winston-Salem MSA Period July July July July July July July July July July July July July July Period July July July Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level 51,248 7,837 2,583 191 525 137 213 112 20 22 156 485 139 219 Level (000s) 604.0 89.7 29.6 Level (000s) 4,860.0 420.0 135.6 MoM % Change YoY % Change -17.92 1.64 -0.91 -1.55 -14.95 -19.05 91.00 61.86 -12.65 11.70 -37.16 -60.29 63.85 -55.99 -35.26 -45.63 -28.57 -31.03 -38.89 -40.54 -20.41 -17.46 -35.25 29.68 -11.46 -9.15 52.08 10.61 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.47 9.82 18.34 1.82 1.55 -16.28 QoQ % Change -5.39 -5.06 -3.69 YoY % Change -12.75 -14.77 -17.11
40.0 20.0 0.0 -20.0 -40.0 -60.0 -80.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 -10.0 -20.0 -30.0 -40.0
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11
North Carolina Existing Home Sales
Existing Home Sales (SAAR)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
NORTH CAROLINA 5
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

North Carolina House Price Index
Year-over-year Percent Change through Q2:11 15.0
NORTH CAROLINA
House Price Index (1980=100) United States Fifth District North Carolina Asheville MSA (1995=100) Charlotte MSA (1995=100) Durham MSA (1995=100) Fayetteville MSA (1995=100) Greensboro-High Point MSA (1995=100) Greenville MSA (1995=100) Hickory MSA(1995=100) Jacksonville MSA (1995=100) Raleigh-Cary MSA (1995=100) Wilmington MSA (1995=100) Winston-Salem MSA (1995=100)
Charlotte MSA Durham MSA Greensboro-High Point MSA Raleigh-Cary MSA Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level 316 359 306 213 157 167 156 146 152 158 211 156 189 150 Level ($000s) 211 --130 --Level ($000s) 193 183 190 139 144 225 137 QoQ % Change -1.86 -3.97 -1.89 -1.58 -2.86 -0.20 0.59 -0.83 2.12 -2.20 -0.30 -1.88 -3.00 -0.35 QoQ % Change 8.20 --12.19 --QoQ % Change 10.29 7.65 3.83 1.46 13.39 12.50 10.48 YoY % Change -4.48 -1.81 -4.18 -4.35 -4.93 -2.38 1.10 -3.11 -1.65 -4.81 -1.79 -3.14 -6.24 -2.57 YoY % Change 6.03 ---3.28 --YoY % Change 9.66 12.27 4.97 2.96 4.35 9.76 2.24
10.0 5.0 0.0 -5.0 -10.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Charlotte MSA Median Home Sales Price (NAR)

15.0 12.0 9.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 -3.0 -6.0 -9.0 -12.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11

Asheville MSA Charlotte MSA Durham MSA Fayetteville MSA Greensboro-High Point MSA Raleigh-Cary MSA Winston-Salem MSA
NORTH CAROLINA 6
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Charlotte MSA Office Vacancy Rate
Through Q2:11
NORTH CAROLINA
Asheville MSA Charlotte MSA Durham MSA Fayetteville MSA Greensboro-High Point MSA Raleigh-Cary MSA Winston-Salem MSA Q2:11 61.4 65.8 71.7 76.9 71.7 71.2 82.0 Q2:11 20.7 19.9 20.7 Q1:11 64.5 70.1 72.3 74.0 81.4 77.6 82.9 Q1:11 20.3 19.4 19.8 Q2:10 64.9 72.9 72.4 80.9 81.3 76.1 83.2 Q2:10 20.9 18.8 --22.0 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 2006 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0

Office Vacancies Raleigh/Durham Charlotte Industrial Vacancies Raleigh/Durham
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Raleigh/Durham CSA Office Vacancy Rate

Through Q2:11
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
NORTH CAROLINA 7
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

SOUTH CAROLINA
September Summary
Recent reports on the South Carolina economy were mixed, with persistently soft conditions overall, but some positive signs in labor and housing markets. Labor Markets: Firms in South Carolina added 1,400 jobs (0.1 percent) to the economy in July, contributing to a 17,300 job expansion (1.0 percent) in the state since July 2010a year-over-year expansion that occurred in spite of year-over-year loss of 15,800 jobs in the government sector. July marked the twelfth consecutive month of year-over-year employment gain in the state. Labor market conditions were also generally positive in South Carolinas metro areas. Household Conditions: Despite the payroll gains, the South Carolina unemployment rate rose 0.4 percentage point to 10.9 percent in Julythe highest rate thus far in 2011. The increased jobless rate reflects an additional 10,300 unemployed workers in the Palmetto state. Every metro area in South Carolina also experienced an increase in its unemployment rate. In more positive news, the share of South Carolina mortgages with payments more than 90 days past due fell for the fifth consecutive quarter, leaving the 90+ day mortgage delinquency rate at 3.1 percent in the second quarter. The decline was driven by a drop in the subprime delinquency rate, which fell to 10.0 percent. The prime rate rose slightly in the second quarter, to just under 2 percent. United States, Thousands Housing Markets: New residential permit levels in South Carolina contracted 7.3 percent in July, although permitting activity remained 3.1 percent above year-ago levels. Housing starts were up both in the month (10.6 percent) and over the year (6.7 percent). Also encouraging was the most recent data on home sales, which indicate that existing home sales in South Carolina increased 2.3 percent in the second quarter, although on a year-over-year basis, sales continued to fall (17.5 percent). Meanwhile, home values continued to depreciate, as house prices in the state fell 2.7 percent in the second quarterthe sharpest drop since the third quarter of 2009 and 4.3 percent over the preceding year. Among the states MSAs, residential permitting activity was mixed, but only the Sumter metro area posted appreciation in home values.

Existing Home Sales in Q2-2011 (SAAR, all units) United States: 4,860,000 units South Carolina: 70,000 units Highest Level of Existing Home Sales (SAAR, all units) United States: 7,207,000 units in Q3-2005 South Carolina: 121,200 units in Q4-2005 Percent Change from Q1-2011 to Q2-2011 United States: -5.4 percent South Carolina: 2.3 percent Trend: In July 2011, U.S. existing home sales declined 3.5 percent. Historically, the trend in South Carolina existing home sales has generally tracked the national trend.
South Carolina Existing Home Sales

SAAR, through July 2011 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 SOUTH CAROLINA 1 United States (monthly) South Carolina (quarterly) 130 120 South Carolina, Thousands 110 100 90 80 70 60 50
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

South Carolina Payroll Employment Performance
Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011 South Carolina - Total 1.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
United States - Total Fifth District - Total South Carolina - Total
Natural Resources and Mining (NSA) Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government
Anderson MSA - Total Charleston MSA - Total Columbia MSA - Total Florence MSA - Total Greenville MSA - Total Myrtle Beach MSA - Total Spartanburg MSA - Total Sumter MSA - Total
Level (000s) 131,190.0 13,325.4 1,828.8 4.2 77.4 217.5 352.5 25.7 96.3 222.3 219.5 212.4 66.9 334.1 61.2 289.8 345.0 85.3 299.2 124.3 116.6 38.1
MoM % Change YoY % Change 0.09 0.97 0.04 0.27 0.08 0.96 0.00 5.00 0.00 -1.02 0.60 4.67 0.37 2.23 0.78 0.39 -1.03 -0.93 -0.18 2.96 1.39 3.29 -0.79 2.36 0.15 -1.76 -0.42 -4.52 -2.1 3.4 0.94 1.79 0.4 0.6 4.41 3.27 0.9 1.2 3.50 7.43 0.0 -0.6 2.14 3.53
Natural Resources and Mining (NSA) Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government -4.5 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.8 2.4 -0.9 3.0 3.3 0.4 2.2 -1.0
5.0 4.7
6.0
South Carolina Total Employment Performance

Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011 United States Fifth District South Carolina Anderson MSA Charleston MSA Columbia MSA Florence MSA Greenville MSA Myrtle Beach MSA Spartanburg MSA Sumter MSA -2.0 0.0 2.0 -0.6 3.5 4.0 6.0 8.0 1.2 7.4 0.6 3.3 1.8 0.3 1.0 3.4 1.0
SOUTH CAROLINA 2
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

South Carolina Unemployment Rate
SOUTH CAROLINA
United States Fifth District South Carolina Anderson MSA Charleston MSA Columbia MSA Florence MSA Greenville MSA Myrtle Beach MSA Spartanburg MSA Sumter MSA July 11 9.1 8.4 10.9 10.4 9.4 9.7 12.0 9.4 11.7 11.2 12.0 Period July July July July July July July July July July July Period July July July Level (000s) 153,228 14,952 2,162 87 325 371 95 313 136 134 46 Level 1,755,235 149,696 27,305 June 11 9.2 8.3 10.5 10.1 9.0 9.2 11.6 9.0 11.5 10.6 11.6 July 10 9.5 8.8 11.0 10.9 9.2 9.2 11.5 9.5 12.0 11.2 11.8
12.0 11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0
United States South Carolina
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

United States Fifth District South Carolina Anderson MSA Charleston MSA Columbia MSA Florence MSA Greenville MSA Myrtle Beach MSA Spartanburg MSA Sumter MSA
MoM % Change YoY % Change -0.13 -0.26 -0.11 0.15 0.19 0.07 -0.34 2.35 0.43 0.84 0.32 0.11 1.28 0.21 0.03 -0.38 0.82 2.34 -0.60 -0.96 0.22 0.66 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.77 -12.58 0.85 -11.41 10.74 -17.68
South Carolina Labor Force

Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 -3.0 -4.0 -5.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States South Carolina

United States Fifth District South Carolina
SOUTH CAROLINA 3
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

South Carolina Real Personal Income
SOUTH CAROLINA
United States Fifth District South Carolina Period Q1:11 Q1:11 Q1:11 Period 2011 2011 2011 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level ($mil) 11,468,488 1,129,400 139,735 Level (000s) 62.2 63.6 58.3 Level 367,486 24,612 1,950 Q2:11 3.42 2.21 11.26 3.13 1.96 9.97 QoQ % Change 0.86 0.79 0.87 QoQ % Change ------QoQ % Change 3.87 -0.69 -5.89 Q1:11 3.58 2.33 11.88 3.15 1.92 10.42 YoY % Change 3.12 2.81 2.79 YoY % Change 0.16 1.92 0.52 YoY % Change -9.84 -11.75 -12.12 Q2:10
6.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 -3.0 2000 2001

Charleston MSA Columbia MSA Greenville MSA
United States Fifth District South Carolina United States All Mortgages Conventional Subprime South Carolina All Mortgages Conventional Subprime
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
South Carolina Mortgage Delinquencies

Percent 90+ Days Delinquent through Q2:11 United States 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 South Carolina
4.54 3.29 13.94 3.98 2.68 11.80
SOUTH CAROLINA 4
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

South Carolina Building Permits
SOUTH CAROLINA
United States Fifth District South Carolina Anderson MSA Charleston MSA Columbia MSA Florence MSA Greenville MSA Myrtle Beach MSA Spartanburg MSA Sumter MSA Period July July July July July July July July July July July Period July July July Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level 51,248 7,837 1,229 20 235 235 36 137 122 42 33 Level (000s) 604.0 89.7 14.1 Level (000s) 4,860.0 420.0 70.0 MoM % Change YoY % Change -17.92 1.64 -0.91 -1.55 -7.32 3.10 -47.37 25.00 -1.67 -13.60 -19.24 -24.68 0.00 24.14 -9.87 15.13 -29.48 25.77 7.69 -14.29 26.92 -5.71 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.47 9.82 18.34 1.82 10.61 6.67 QoQ % Change -5.39 -5.06 2.34 YoY % Change -12.75 -14.77 -17.45
60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 -20.0 -40.0 -60.0 -80.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

South Carolina Existing Home Sales

30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 -10.0 -20.0 -30.0 -40.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States South Carolina Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11

SOUTH CAROLINA 5
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

South Carolina House Price Index (FHFA)
Year-over-year Percent Change through Q2:11
SOUTH CAROLINA
United States Fifth District South Carolina Anderson MSA (1995=100) Charleston MSA (1995=100) Columbia MSA (1995=100) Florence MSA (1995=100) Greenville MSA (1995=100) Myrtle Beach MSA (1995=100) Spartanburg MSA (1995=100) Sumter MSA (1995=100) Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level 316 359 309 161 221 161 157 163 170 148 192 Level ($000s) 198 148 147 115 Level ($000s) 188 142 140 QoQ % Change -1.86 -3.97 -2.71 -4.69 -1.98 -3.88 -3.33 -0.16 -3.76 -1.02 7.80 QoQ % Change 7.96 9.08 6.78 6.30 QoQ % Change 5.03 1.43 -1.41 YoY % Change -4.48 -1.81 -4.33 -3.21 -5.42 -4.97 -5.81 -1.36 -6.79 -2.86 10.01 YoY % Change 0.30 4.01 -2.07 -5.36 YoY % Change 1.62 4.41 -6.04
15.0 12.0 9.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 -3.0 -6.0 -9.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Charleston MSA Columbia MSA Greenville MSA Spartanburg MSA
Charleston MSA Median Home Sales Price (NAR)

Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11 15.0 12.0 9.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 -3.0 -6.0 -9.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Charleston MSA Columbia MSA Greenville MSA
SOUTH CAROLINA 6
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Charleston MSA Office Vacancy Rate
Through Q2:11
SOUTH CAROLINA
Charleston MSA Columbia MSA Greenville MSA Q2:11 67.6 81.5 79.3 Q2:11 15.4 13.5 Q1:11 68.2 85.3 77.9 Q1:11 15.0 13.5 Q2:10 67.8 85.3 74.9 Q2:10 16.9 14.7
24.0 22.0 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 2007

Office Vacancies Charleston Industrial Vacancies Charleston
2008
2009
2010
2011
Charleston MSA Industrial Vacancy Rate

Through Q2:11 16.0 15.0 14.0 13.0 12.0 11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
SOUTH CAROLINA 7
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

VIRGINIA
September Summary
Economic conditions in Virginia were generally downbeat in recent months, despite scattered positive signs in housing markets and among state households. Labor Markets: Firms in Virginia cut another 1,200 jobs (0.0 percent) in July for the third consecutive month of decline. Although a number of industries posted declines in employmentincluding manufacturing, information services, and professional and business servicesthe contraction was primarily driven by cuts in government (4,600 jobs) and construction (3,000 jobs). Despite Julys losses Virginia continued to post employment gains on a year-over-year basis. At the metro level, only the Richmond and Roanoke MSAs reported job decreases in July, although the Blacksburg MSA also posted year-over-year contraction. Household Conditions: Virginias unemployment rate inched up to 6.1 percent in July from 6.0 percent in June. This rise reflected an increase of 2,900 unemployed workers in the state as well as a 3,400-person decrease in the states labor force. Nonetheless, the unemployment rate was still well below its 6.8 percent mark in July 2010. Unemployment rates were largely stableor moved only very slightly across the states MSAs in July. More positively, the share of Virginia mortgages with payments more than 90 days past due decreased for the sixth consecutive quarter, dropping to 2.3 percent in the second quarter. The decline reflected a drop in both the prime and subprime 90+ day delinquency rates. Housing Markets: New residential permit levels in Virginia expanded 37.1 percent in July and 22.7 percent over the year. Housing starts were also up in the month (63.6 percent) and over the year (26.9 percent). In less positive news, existing home sales in Virginia were down 7.5 percent in the second quarter and 11.9 percent since the second quarter of 2010. Depreciating home values continued to plague the Virginia housing market in the second quarter as house prices fell 1.5 percent in the quarter and 3.3 percent over the yearthe fifteenth straight quarter of year-over-year depreciation in the state. Metro-level housing markets also suffered in recent months as residential permitting activity was mixed, but generally downbeat, and home values depreciated in most metro areas.

Existing Home Sales in Q2-2011 (SAAR, all units) United States: 4,860,000 units Virginia: 104,000 units Highest Level of Existing Home Sales (SAAR, all units) United States: 7,207,000 units in Q3-2005 Virginia: 191,200 units in Q4-2004 Percent Change from Q1-2011 to Q2-2011 United States: -5.4 percent Virginia: -7.5 percent Trend: In July 2011, U.S. existing home sales declined 3.5 percent. Historically, the trend in Virginia existing home sales has generally tracked the national trend.
Virginia Existing Home Sales

SAAR, through July 2011 7,500 7,000 United States, Thousands 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 VIRGINIA 1 United States (monthly) Virginia (quarterly) 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90
Virginia, Thousands
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Virginia Payroll Employment Performance

United States - Total Fifth District - Total Virginia - Total
Natural Resources and Mining Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government
VIRGINIA
Blacksburg MSA - Total Charlottesville MSA - Total Lynchburg MSA - Total Northern Virginia - Total Richmond MSA - Total Roanoke MSA - Total Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA - Total Winchester MSA - Total
Level (000s) 131,190.0 13,325.4 3,641.2 10.3 178.6 232.8 627.0 72.1 177.5 662.0 459.4 338.2 184.5 698.8 67.6 102.5 106.3 1,308.5 590.9 153.1 734.4 56.6
Virginia - Total
MoM % Change YoY % Change 0.09 0.97 0.04 0.27 -0.03 0.23 0.00 -0.96 -1.65 -2.93 -0.26 0.87 0.48 0.85 -0.83 -4.76 0.80 -0.45 -0.21 1.80 0.64 0.31 0.59 -1.02 -0.16 -0.43 -0.65 0.30 0.90 -0.59 2.09 3.96 0.38 3.10 0.26 0.05 -0.54 -2.49 -0.84 -0.97 0.23 0.01 0.89 4.04
0.2 -1.0 -2.9 0.9 0.9 -4.8 -0.4 1.8 0.3 -1.0 -0.4 0.3 -6.0 -5.0 -4.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0
Natural Resources and Mining Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government
Virginia Total Employment Performance

Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011 United States Fifth District Virginia Blacksburg MSA Charlottesville MSA Lynchburg MSA Northern Virginia Richmond MSA -2.5 Roanoke MSA Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA Winchester MSA -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 -1.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 0.1 3.1 -0.6 4.0 0.3 0.2 1.0
VIRGINIA 2
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Virginia Unemployment Rate
Through July 2011

United States Fifth District Virginia Blacksburg MSA Charlottesville MSA Lynchburg MSA Northern Virginia (NSA) Richmond MSA Roanoke MSA Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA Winchester MSA July 11 9.1 8.4 6.1 6.7 5.0 6.7 4.6 6.9 6.3 6.8 6.4 Period July July July July July July July July July July July Period July July July Level (000s) 153,228 14,952 4,201 79 110 126 1,534 648 157 827 67 Level 1,755,235 149,696 26,873 June 11 9.2 8.3 6.0 6.7 5.0 6.7 4.8 6.8 6.4 6.8 6.4 July 10 9.5 8.8 6.8 7.9 5.8 7.7 5.1 7.6 7.2 7.3 7.4
VIRGINIA
11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States Virginia

United States Fifth District Virginia Blacksburg MSA Charlottesville MSA Lynchburg MSA Northern Virginia (NSA) Richmond MSA Roanoke MSA Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA Winchester MSA
MoM % Change YoY % Change -0.13 -0.26 -0.11 0.15 -0.08 0.56 0.00 -0.63 0.91 2.32 0.40 2.19 1.19 0.79 0.08 -1.21 -0.06 0.00 0.35 0.39 0.15 2.30 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.77 -12.58 0.85 -11.41 -5.80 -13.95
Virginia Labor Force

Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States Virginia

United States Fifth District Virginia
VIRGINIA 3
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Virginia Real Personal Income
United States Fifth District Virginia Period Q1:11 Q1:11 Q1:11 Period 2011 2011 2011 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level ($mil) 11,468,488 1,129,400 327,603 Level (000s) 74.6 62.4 69.9 Level 367,486 24,612 8,546 Q2:11 3.42 2.21 11.26 2.28 1.33 10.66 QoQ % Change 0.86 0.79 0.98 QoQ % Change ------QoQ % Change 3.87 -0.69 -0.90 Q1:11 3.58 2.33 11.88 2.41 1.44 10.89 YoY % Change 3.12 2.81 3.10 YoY % Change 0.95 --2.49 YoY % Change -9.84 -11.75 -11.34 Q2:10 4.54 3.29 13.94 3.21 2.21 13.32
VIRGINIA
8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
United States Virginia

Richmond MSA Roanoke MSA Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA
United States Fifth District Virginia United States All Mortgages Conventional Subprime Virginia All Mortgages Conventional Subprime
2009
2010
2011
Virginia Mortgage Delinquencies

Percent 90+ Days Delinquent through Q2:11 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States Virginia
VIRGINIA 4
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Virginia Building Permits

United States Fifth District Virginia Charlottesville MSA Danville MSA Harrisonburg MSA Lynchburg MSA Richmond MSA Roanoke MSA Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA Winchester MSA Period July July July July July July July July July July July Period July July July Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level 51,248 7,837 2,729 81 10 24 31 224 23 657 18 Level (000s) 604.0 89.7 31.2 Level (000s) 4,860.0 420.0 104.0 MoM % Change YoY % Change -17.92 1.64 -0.91 -1.55 37.07 22.71 20.90 -72.26 -9.09 0.00 -14.29 -33.33 -32.61 -50.79 -12.84 -46.92 -23.33 -45.24 33.00 73.35 -37.93 -50.00 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.47 9.82 18.34 1.82 63.65 26.94 QoQ % Change -5.39 -5.06 -7.47 YoY % Change -12.75 -14.77 -11.86
VIRGINIA
60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 -20.0 -40.0 -60.0 -80.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Virginia Existing Home Sales

Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 -10.0 United States -20.0 -30.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Virginia

VIRGINIA 5
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Year-over-year Percent Change through Q2:11

United States Fifth District Virginia Blacksburg MSA (1995=100) Charlottesville MSA (1995=100) Danville MSA (1995=100) Harrisonburg MSA (1995=100) Lynchburg MSA (1995=100) Richmond MSA (1995=100) Roanoke MSA (1995=100) Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA (1995=100) Winchester MSA (1995=100) Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Level 316 359 396 192 206 163 183 179 184 181 214 177 Level ($000s) --185 Level ($000s) 178 180 QoQ % Change -1.86 -3.97 -1.45 -0.18 -5.27 0.63 -0.11 -1.94 -1.93 -1.79 -3.05 -0.42 QoQ % Change --3.88 QoQ % Change 1.71 1.12 YoY % Change -4.48 -1.81 -3.30 1.79 -5.57 1.00 -3.73 -3.29 -5.97 -2.08 -5.79 -1.39 YoY % Change ---11.95 YoY % Change -6.32 -6.25
VIRGINIA
Virginia House Price Index (FHFA)
25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 -5.0 -10.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States Virginia

Richmond MSA Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA Median Home Sales Price (NAR)

Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 -5.0 -10.0 -15.0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Richmond MSA Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA
VIRGINIA 6
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Richmond MSA Office Vacancy Rate
Through Q2:11 20.0

Richmond MSA Roanoke MSA Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA Q2:11 81.3 77.9 80.1 Q2:11 13.3 18.1 15.9 12.0 Q1:11 82.4 83.2 79.8 Q1:11 13.7 18.4 15.9 12.6 Q2:10 78.3 76.1 75.4 Q2:10 14.2 19.4 15.5 12.9
VIRGINIA
19.0 18.0 17.0 16.0 15.0 14.0 13.0 12.0 11.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Office Vacancies Northern Virginia Richmond Industrial Vacancies Northern Virginia Richmond
Richmond MSA Industrial Vacancy Rate

Through Q2:11 13.0 12.0 11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
VIRGINIA 7
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

WEST VIRGINIA
September Summary
The West Virginia economy weakened somewhat in recent months, with declines in employment and continued sluggish conditions in the states residential real estate markets. Labor Markets: In July, West Virginia firms shed the 2,300 jobs (0.3 percent) that had been added to the economy in June. Most of Julys losses were in the local government sector, which cut 4,000 jobs in the month. Despite the 7,600 government jobs lost since July 2010, the state economy still gained 1,500 jobs (0.2 percent) on a year-over-year basis. Metro-level labor market conditions varied among the states MSAs. Household Conditions: West Virginia was the only Fifth District jurisdiction to post a decline in its unemployment rate in July. The jobless rate fell from 8.5 percent to 8.1 percent in the month as the state reported 2,900 fewer unemployed workers and a labor force decline of 6,000 workers. Unemployment rates also edged down across the states metro areas. In the second quarter, the share of West Virginia mortgages with payments more than 90 days past due rose slightly, driven by a small increase in the prime 90+ day delinquency rate, even though the subprime rate was slightly below its first quarter level. Housing Markets: Residential permitting activity in West Virginia contracted slightly (1.1 percent) in July, but expanded 46.8 percent since July 2010. Housing starts, on the other hand, were up both in the month (18.4 percent) and over the year (52.5 percent). The continued drag on West Virginia housing markets was clear in the latest sales data, which indicated an 11.3 percent decline in existing home sales in the second quarter and a 12.5 percent year-over-year decline. Furthermore, house prices fell 2.7 percent in the second quarter and 3.6 percent over the year, for the sharpest year-over-year depreciation in almost 30 years. Metro-level conditions were mixed. New residential permit levels were down in July, but up over the year in many of the states metro areas. Home values depreciated in all but the Parkersburg MSA in the second quarter, but on a year-over-year basis, the Charleston MSA was the only area to see a rise in house prices.

Existing Home Sales in Q2-2011 (SAAR, all units) United States: 4,860,000 units West Virginia: 25,200 units Highest Level of Existing Home Sales (SAAR, all units) United States: 7,207,000 units in Q3-2005 West Virginia: 40,800 units in Q2-2005 Percent Change from Q1-2011 to Q2-2011 United States: -5.4 percent West Virginia: -11.3 percent Trend: In July 2011, U.S. existing home sales declined 3.5 percent. Historically, the trend in West Virginia existing home sales has generally tracked the national trend.
7,500 7,000 United States, Thousands 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500
West Virginia Existing Home Sales SAAR, through July 2011
United States (monthly) West Virginia (quarterly) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
42 40 38 36 34 32 30 28 26 24 22 20
WEST VIRGINIA 1
West Virginia, Thousands
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

West Virginia Payroll Employment Performance

United States - Total Fifth District - Total West Virginia - Total
Natural Resources and Mining Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information (NSA) Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government
WEST VIRGINIA
Charleston MSA - Total Huntington MSA - Total Morgantown MSA - Total Parkersburg MSA - Total
Period July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July July
Level (000s) 131,190.0 13,325.4 749.9 32.2 32.5 49.7 137.3 10.7 27.7 63.7 123.6 72.0 55.1 145.4 150.7 113.4 65.0 70.4
MoM % Change YoY % Change 0.09 0.97 0.04 0.27 -0.31 0.20 0.00 5.23 2.20 -0.91 0.20 0.61 0.73 1.93 1.90 0.94 -2.12 -1.07 0.79 4.43 -0.32 2.15 -0.69 -0.28 0.36 0.00 -2.35 -4.97 0.20 1.82 0.18 -0.79 -0.46 -0.46 0.43 2.33
West Virginia - Total Natural Resources and Mining Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Information (NSA) Financial Activities Professional and Business Services Education and Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government -5.0 -6.0 -4.0
0.2 5.2 -0.9 0.6 1.9 0.9 -1.1 4.4 2.1 -0.3 0.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
West Virginia Total Employment Performance

Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011 United States Fifth District West Virginia Charleston MSA Huntington MSA -0.8 Morgantown MSA Parkersburg MSA -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 -0.5 2.3 2.5 0.3 0.2 1.8 1.0
WEST VIRGINIA 2
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

West Virginia Unemployment Rate

United States Fifth District West Virginia Charleston MSA Huntington MSA Morgantown MSA Parkersburg MSA July 11 9.1 8.4 8.1 7.3 8.3 5.9 8.4 Period July July July July July July July July July July Level (000s) 153,228 14,952 775 136 129 63 76 Level 1,755,235 149,696 6,397 June 11 9.2 8.3 8.5 7.7 8.4 6.1 8.5 July 10 9.5 8.8 9.0 8.1 8.7 6.1 9.5
WEST VIRGINIA
10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0
United States West Virginia

United States Fifth District West Virginia Charleston MSA Huntington MSA Morgantown MSA Parkersburg MSA
MoM % Change YoY % Change -0.13 -0.26 -0.11 0.15 -0.77 -0.60 -0.07 0.89 -0.39 -0.39 -0.47 -0.78 0.13 0.26 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.77 -12.58 0.85 -11.41 -5.72 -11.40
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
West Virginia Labor Force

Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 -3.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States West Virginia

United States Fifth District West Virginia
WEST VIRGINIA 3
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

West Virginia Real Personal Income
United States Fifth District West Virginia Period Q1:11 Q1:11 Q1:11 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Level ($mil) 11,468,488 1,129,400 55,099 Level 367,486 24,612 1,211 Q2:11 3.42 2.21 11.26 2.52 1.30 9.70 QoQ % Change 0.86 0.79 0.72 QoQ % Change 3.87 -0.69 -6.70 Q1:11 3.58 2.33 11.88 2.46 1.25 9.77 YoY % Change 3.12 2.81 3.24 YoY % Change -9.84 -11.75 -20.01 Q2:10 4.54 3.29 13.94 3.29 1.99 11.93
WEST VIRGINIA
7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 -3.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States West Virginia
United States Fifth District West Virginia United States All Mortgages Conventional Subprime West Virginia All Mortgages Conventional Subprime
West Virginia Mortgage Delinquencies

Percent 90+ Days Delinquent through Q2:11 6.0 5.0 United States 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 West Virginia
WEST VIRGINIA 4
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

West Virginia Building Permits
Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011 125.0

United States Fifth District West Virginia Charleston MSA Huntington MSA Morgantown MSA Parkersburg MSA Period July July July July July July July Period July July July Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Q2:11 Period Q2:11 Level 51,248 7,837 185 13 9 35 7 Level (000s) 604.0 89.7 2.1 Level (000s) 4,860.0 420.0 25.2 Level 316 359 214 156 170 177 161 Level ($ 000s) 135 MoM % Change YoY % Change -17.92 1.64 -0.91 -1.55 -1.07 46.83 18.18 8.33 -25.00 350.00 -5.41 1650.00 -12.50 -22.22 MoM % Change YoY % Change -1.47 9.82 18.34 1.82 18.44 52.52 QoQ % Change -5.39 -5.06 -11.27 QoQ % Change -1.86 -3.97 -2.71 -2.11 -1.27 -3.98 0.86 QoQ % Change 10.23 YoY % Change -12.75 -14.77 -12.50 YoY % Change -4.48 -1.81 -3.56 1.22 -1.68 -1.83 -1.71 YoY % Change 2.05
WEST VIRGINIA
100.0 75.0 50.0 25.0 0.0 -25.0 -50.0 -75.0 -100.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


West Virginia Existing Home Sales

Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q2:11 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 -10.0 -20.0 -30.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 United States West Virginia

United States Fifth District West Virginia Charleston MSA (1995=100) Huntington MSA (1995=100) Morgantown MSA (1995=100) Parkersburg MSA (1995=100)

Charleston MSA
WEST VIRGINIA 5
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

Bankruptcy Filings
Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts Haver Analytics http://www.uscourts.gov/library.html
Sources
Payroll Employment / Unemployment
Bureau of Labor Statistics Haver Analytics http://www.bls.gov
Months' Supply of Home / Pending Home Sales Index

National Association of Realtors Haver Analytics http://www.realtor.org
Civilian Labor Force

Bureau of Labor Statistics Haver Analytics http://www.bls.gov
Mortgage Delinquencies
Mortgage Bankers Association of America Haver Analytics http://www.mortgagebankers.org
Median Home Sales Price - NAR

Unemployment Insurance Claims

U.S. Department of Labor Haver Analytics http://www.dol.gov
Private Building Permits

U.S. Census Bureau Haver Analytics http://www.census.gov

National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Haver Analytics http://www.nahb.org
District Imports / Exports

U.S. Census Bureau Haver Analytics http://www.census.gov
Private Housing Starts

Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi Haver Analytics http://www.bk.mufg.jp/english/index.html
Housing Opportunity Index

Personal Income
Bureau of Economic Analysis Haver Analytics http://www.bea.gov
Existing Home Sales

Commercial Vacancy Rates

CB Richard Ellis and Grub & Ellis Haver Analytics http://www.cbre.com and http:/www.grubb-ellis.com

House Price Index

Federal Housing Finance Agency Haver Analytics http://www.ofheo.gov
SOURCES 1
SNAPSHOT
SEPTEMBER 2011

7
Notes
1
Manufacturing & Service Sector Surveys

Each index equals the percentage of responding firms reporting increase minus the percentage reporting decrease. All firms surveyed are located within the Fifth Federal Reserve District.
Median Asking Price

Asking price of single family homes and condos.
Median Home Sales Price - NAR

Single family homes.
The weighted average of the shipments (33 percent), new orders (40 percent) and employment (27 percent) indexes.
Manufacturing Composite Index

Total Home Sales.
The number of mortgages 90 days past due as a percent of the total number of mortgages at the end of the period. The delinquency rate does not include loans in the process of foreclosure. 4
Mortgage Delinquency Rate
10
Building Permits & Housing Starts

Data on District of Columbia building permits and housing starts are often volitle, leading to disproportionately large percentgage changes. 11
Weighted repeat sales index, measuring the average price changes in repeat sales or refinancings on the same single family properties. Based on transactions involving conforming, conventional mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.
House Price Index
Pending Home Sales Index

Measure of signed real estate contracts for existing single-family homes, condos, and co-ops.
Share of homes sold considered to be affordable to a family earning the area's median income.
Housing Opportunity Index
Months' Supply of Homes

Monthly sum of active listings, or inventory, over the quarter divided by sum of sales of the three months.
Average Monthly Inventory

Average of weekly inventory of single family homes and condos. SA - Seasonally Adjusted NSA - Not Seasonally Adjusted SAAR - Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate SOURCES 2

Fed Snapshot Sep 2011

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SNAPSHOT

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

Sources & Notes

Sonya Ravindranath Waddell (804) 697-2694 Sonya.Waddell@rich.frb.org

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

A Closer Look atExisting Home Sales

Fifth District Existing Home Sales

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

Labor Market Conditions

Unemployment Rate (SA)

Fifth District Unemployment Rate

Civilian Labor Force (SA)

Period July July Period July July

Level (000s) 153,228 14,952 Level 1,755,235 149,696

Initial Unemployment Claims (NSA)

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

Composite Manufacturing Index

July 11 -1 -1 -5 4 35 3.41 1.18 July 11 0 6 11 -25 3 0.86 0.75

Norfolk Port District Exports

Services Firm Prices Retail Prices

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0

Real Estate Conditions

Fifth District Existing Home Sales

Total Private Housing Starts (SAAR)

House Price Index (1980=100)

Total Existing Home Sales (SAAR)

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

A Closer Look atExisting Home Sales

District of Columbia Existing Home Sales

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

Washington, D.C. MSA - Total

0.0 1.9 1.3 3.5

Year-over-Year Percent Change through July 2011

D.C. Total Employment Performance

Washington, D.C. MSA 0.0

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

United States District of Columbia

Civilian Labor Force (SA)

Initial Unemployment Claims (NSA)

D.C. Labor Force

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

Median Family Income

Mortgage Delinquencies (% 90+ Days Delinquent)

D.C. Mortgage Delinquencies

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

Total Private Housing Starts (SAAR)

Total Existing Home Sales (SAAR)

D.C. Existing Home Sales

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

United States District of Columbia

Median Home Sales Price - NAR (NSA)

Median Home Sales Price - NAHB

Housing Opportunity Index (%)

Commercial Vacancy Rates (%)

Washington, D.C. MSA Office Vacancy Rate

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

A Closer Look atExisting Home Sales

Maryland Existing Home Sales

A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY

Labor Market Conditions

0.4 2.8 2.7 0.7 3.2