Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
1 65
2 62 PONDERACIONES
3 70 0.167
4 48 0.25
5 63 0.25
6 52 0.333
7 56.756
FORMULA= (52)(0.333)+(63)(0.25)+(48)(0.25)+(70)(0.167)
α= 0.1
β= 0.2
FORMULAS
Pronostico suavizado, Ft
F2=0.1(70)+(1-0.1)(65+0)=65.5
F3=0.1(68.5)+(1-0.1)(65.5+0.1)=65.89
F4=0.1(64.8)+(1-0.1)(65.89+0.16)=65.93
F5=0.1(71.7)+(1-0.1)(65.93+0.14)=66.63
F6=0.1(71.3)+(1-0.1)(66.63+0.25)=67.32
F7=0.1(72.8)+(1-0.1)(67.32+0.34)=68.17
Tendencia suavizada, Tt
T2=0.2(65.5-65)+(1-0.2)0=0.165.6
T3=0.2(65.89-65.5)+(1-0.2)0.1=0.1666.05
T4=0.2(65.93-65.89)+(1-0.2)0.16=0.1466.07
T5=0.2(66.63-65.93)+(1-0.2)0.14=0.2567.18
T6=0.2(67.32-66.63)+(1-0.2)0.25=0.3467.66
T7=0.2(68.17-67.32)+1(0.2)0.34=0.4468.61
Ft Tt