Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
INFORME FINAL
del Esquema Oquendo, Santa Rosa y el Naranjal (Sectores 251,252,256 y 257)
Cuadro N°1
HOJA DE INGRESO DE DATOS
MICROMEDICION (%)
Cuadro N° 2
PROYECCION DE LA DEMANDA DE AGUA POTABLE
0.956317
POBLACION
POBLACI
VIVIENDAS PERDIDAS Volumen
AÑO ON
OTROS SERVIDA SERVIDAS DE AGUA Requerido
(unidades) POTABLE (%) Qp Qmd Qmh (m3)
CONEX. MEDIOS (hab) Qp (m3/año)
(t/seg) (lt/seg) (lt/seg)
(*)
2,022 1 1,025 95.05% 4.95% 974 195 25.00% 1.810 57,080 2.353 3.26 5,286
2,023 2 1,040 95.05% 4.95% 989 198 25.00% 1.840 58,026 2.392 3.31 5,422
2,024 3 1,056 95.05% 4.95% 1,003 201 25.00% 1.860 58,657 2.418 3.35 5,562
2,025 4 1,072 95.05% 4.95% 1,019 204 25.00% 1.890 59,603 2.457 3.40 6,906
2,026 5 1,088 95.05% 4.95% 1,034 207 25.00% 1.920 60,549 2.496 3.46 7,083
2,027 6 1,104 95.05% 4.95% 1,049 210 25.00% 1.950 61,495 2.535 3.51 7,262
2,028 7 1,121 95.05% 4.95% 1,065 213 25.00% 1.980 62,441 2.574 3.56 7,445
2,029 8 1,137 95.05% 4.95% 1,081 216 25.00% 2.010 63,387 2.613 3.62 7,634
2,030 9 1,154 95.05% 4.95% 1,097 219 25.00% 2.040 64,333 2.652 3.67 7,827
2,031 10 1,172 95.05% 4.95% 1,114 223 25.00% 2.070 65,280 2.691 3.73 9,031
2,032 11 1,189 95.05% 4.95% 1,130 226 25.00% 2.100 66,226 2.730 3.78 9,260
2,033 12 1,207 95.05% 4.95% 1,147 229 25.00% 2.130 67,172 2.769 3.83 9,495
2,034 13 1,225 95.05% 4.95% 1,165 233 25.00% 2.160 68,118 2.808 3.89 9,736
2,035 14 1,244 95.05% 4.95% 1,182 236 25.00% 2.200 69,379 2.860 3.96 9,986
2,036 15 1,262 95.05% 4.95% 1,200 240 25.00% 2.230 70,325 2.899 4.01 10,239
2,037 16 1,281 95.05% 4.95% 1,218 244 25.00% 2.260 71,271 2.938 4.07 11,649
2,038 17 1,300 95.05% 4.95% 1,236 247 25.00% 2.300 72,533 2.990 4.14 11,945
2,039 18 1,320 95.05% 4.95% 1,255 251 25.00% 2.330 73,479 3.029 4.19 12,247
2,040 19 1,340 95.05% 4.95% 1,273 255 25.00% 2.370 74,740 3.081 4.27 12,560
2,041 20 1,360 95.05% 4.95% 1,293 259 25.00% 2.400 75,686 3.120 4.32 12,882
(* ) OTROS MEDIOS se refiere a abastecimientopor acarreo o por cualquier medio en el que no se extraiga agua potable del sistema
2,019 Base 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 13,000.00 13,000.00
2,020 A 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 13,000.00 13,000.00
2,021 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 64.22 13,000.00 12,935.78
2,022 1 57,080.16 1.81 0.00 -179.46 233.30 323.03 311.06 3,875.00 1,410.99 100.00 5,385.99 13,000.00 7,614.01
2,023 2 58,026.24 1.84 0.00 -184.02 239.23 331.24 318.97 3,975.00 1,446.84 100.00 5,521.84 13,000.00 7,478.16
2,024 3 58,656.96 1.86 0.00 -188.74 245.36 339.73 327.15 4,078.00 1,483.95 100.00 5,661.95 13,000.00 7,338.05
2,025 4 59,603.04 1.89 0.00 -234.44 304.77 421.99 406.36 5,063.00 1,843.26 100.00 7,006.26 13,000.00 5,993.74
2,026 5 60,549.12 1.92 0.00 -240.39 312.51 432.70 416.68 5,193.00 1,890.04 100.00 7,183.04 13,000.00 5,816.96
2,027 6 61,495.20 1.95 0.00 -246.47 320.41 443.65 427.21 5,324.00 1,937.85 100.00 7,361.85 13,000.00 5,638.15
2,028 7 62,441.28 1.98 0.00 -252.70 328.51 454.86 438.01 5,458.00 1,986.83 100.00 7,544.83 13,000.00 5,455.17
2,029 8 63,387.36 2.01 0.00 -259.07 336.79 466.33 449.05 5,597.00 2,036.91 100.00 7,733.91 13,000.00 5,266.09
2,030 9 64,333.44 2.04 0.00 -265.66 345.36 478.19 460.48 5,738.00 2,088.73 100.00 7,926.73 13,000.00 5,073.27
2,031 10 65,279.52 2.07 0.00 -306.54 398.50 551.77 531.34 6,621.00 2,410.14 100.00 9,131.14 13,000.00 3,868.86
2,032 11 66,225.60 2.10 0.00 -314.29 408.58 565.72 544.77 6,789.00 2,471.07 100.00 9,360.07 13,000.00 3,639.93
2,033 12 67,171.68 2.13 0.00 -322.28 418.96 580.10 558.62 6,961.00 2,533.89 100.00 9,594.89 13,000.00 3,405.11
2,034 13 68,117.76 2.16 0.00 -330.47 429.61 594.85 572.81 7,138.00 2,598.29 100.00 9,836.29 13,000.00 3,163.71
2,035 14 69,379.20 2.20 0.00 -338.90 440.57 610.02 587.43 7,321.00 2,664.57 100.00 10,085.57 13,000.00 2,914.43
2,036 15 70,325.28 2.23 0.00 -347.52 451.78 625.54 602.37 7,507.00 2,732.34 100.00 10,339.34 13,000.00 2,660.66
2,037 16 71,271.36 2.26 0.00 -395.36 513.97 711.65 685.29 8,541.00 3,108.48 100.00 11,749.48 13,000.00 1,250.52
2,038 17 72,532.80 2.30 0.00 -405.41 527.03 729.74 702.71 8,758.00 3,187.50 100.00 12,045.50 13,000.00 954.50
2,039 18 73,478.88 2.33 0.00 -415.71 540.42 748.28 720.56 8,979.00 3,268.48 100.00 12,347.48 13,000.00 652.52
2,040 19 74,740.32 2.37 0.00 -426.34 554.24 767.41 738.99 9,208.00 3,352.06 100.00 12,660.06 13,000.00 339.94
2,041 20 75,686.40 2.40 0.00 -437.21 568.37 786.98 757.83 9,444.00 3,437.52 100.00 12,981.52 13,000.00 18.48
lps ( 00 lps Captación Cero Santa Catalina )
Cuadro N° 7
Area
Area Drenaje A 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
(Ha)
AD-01 107.29 7.88 7.97 8.43 9.07 9.73 10.43 11.12 11.24 11.37 11.50
AD-02 y
394.17 20.61 20.72 18.87 18.98 19.08 19.18 19.31 19.48 19.59 19.70
AD-03
AD-04 144.76 2.48 2.53 2.31 2.51 2.71 2.92 3.14 3.19 3.24 3.29
TOTAL 646.21 30.97 31.22 29.61 30.56 31.52 32.53 33.57 33.92 34.20 34.49
Cuadro N° 7
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
11.64 11.83 11.96 12.09 12.22 12.38 12.51 12.64 12.77 12.90 13.03
19.80 19.94 20.05 20.15 20.26 20.38 20.52 20.62 20.74 20.85 20.99
3.34 3.39 3.44 3.49 3.54 3.59 3.64 3.69 3.74 3.79 3.84
34.78 35.16 35.45 35.73 36.02 36.35 36.67 36.96 37.25 37.54 37.86
Cuadro N° 5
Sector 01 Area (Ha) 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99
RP-01 Población (hab) 10,776 10,928 11,079 11,230 11,381 11,532 11,683 11,835 11,986
Qp (lps) 16.50 16.83 17.03 15.83 16.38 16.95 17.56 18.15 18.74
Qmd (lps) 21.45 21.88 22.14 20.58 21.29 22.04 22.83 23.60 24.36
Qmh (lps) 33.00 33.66 34.06 31.66 32.76 33.90 35.12 36.30 37.48
Volumen (m3) 406 414 418 392 404 416 429 442 455
Sector 02 y 03 Area (Ha) 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48
RE-01 Población (hab) 18,192 18,299 18,406 18,513 18,621 18,730 18,840 18,950 19,061
Qp (lps) 43.37 43.54 43.78 32.91 33.09 33.28 33.46 33.69 33.98
Qmd (lps) 56.38 56.60 56.91 42.78 43.02 43.26 43.50 43.80 44.17
Qmh (lps) 86.74 87.08 87.56 65.82 66.18 66.56 66.92 67.38 67.96
Volumen (m3) 987 990 996 761 765 769 773 778 784
Sector 04 Area (Ha) 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19
RE-02 Población (hab) 3,122 3,180 3,239 3,297 3,355 3,413 3,472 3,530 3,588
Qp (lps) 5.28 5.38 5.46 4.37 4.55 4.74 4.93 5.12 5.31
Qmd (lps) 6.86 6.99 7.10 5.68 5.92 6.16 6.41 6.66 6.90
Qmh (lps) 10.56 10.76 10.92 8.74 9.10 9.48 9.86 10.24 10.62
Volumen (m3) 164 166 168 144 148 152 156 161 165
TOTAL Area (Ha) 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66
SECTORES Población (hab) 32,090 32,407 32,724 33,040 33,357 33,675 33,995 34,315 34,635
01, 02, 03 y 04 Qp (lps) 65.15 65.75 66.27 53.11 54.02 54.97 55.95 56.96 58.03
Qmd (lps) 84.70 85.48 86.15 69.04 70.23 71.46 72.74 74.05 75.44
Qmh (lps) 130.30 131.50 132.54 106.22 108.04 109.94 111.90 113.92 116.06
Volumen (m3) 1557 1570 1582 1297 1317 1337 1358 1381 1404
Oferta (m3) #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
Déficit / Superávit #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
Cuadro N° 5
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99 105.99
12,137 12,288 12,439 12,591 12,742 12,893 13,044 13,195 13,346 13,498 13,649 13,800
19.34 19.96 20.38 20.71 20.94 21.17 21.40 21.67 21.91 22.13 22.36 22.59
25.14 25.95 26.49 26.92 27.22 27.52 27.82 28.17 28.48 28.77 29.07 29.37
38.68 39.92 40.76 41.42 41.88 42.34 42.80 43.34 43.82 44.26 44.72 45.18
468 481 490 497 502 507 512 518 523 528 533 538
478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48 478.48
19,172 19,284 19,397 19,510 19,624 19,739 19,854 19,971 20,087 20,205 20,323 20,442
34.16 34.36 34.54 34.78 34.96 35.16 35.35 35.55 35.78 35.97 36.17 36.37
44.41 44.67 44.90 45.21 45.45 45.71 45.96 46.22 46.51 46.76 47.02 47.28
68.32 68.72 69.08 69.56 69.92 70.32 70.70 71.10 71.56 71.94 72.34 72.74
788 792 796 801 805 809 814 818 823 827 831 836
150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19 150.19
3,646 3,705 3,763 3,821 3,879 3,938 3,996 4,054 4,112 4,171 4,229 4,287
5.51 5.72 5.86 5.96 6.04 6.13 6.22 6.30 6.39 6.48 6.57 6.66
7.16 7.44 7.62 7.75 7.85 7.97 8.09 8.19 8.31 8.42 8.54 8.66
11.02 11.44 11.72 11.92 12.08 12.26 12.44 12.60 12.78 12.96 13.14 13.32
169 174 177 179 180 182 184 186 188 190 192 194
734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66 734.66
34,955 35,277 35,599 35,922 36,245 36,570 36,894 37,220 37,545 37,874 38,201 38,529
59.01 60.04 60.78 61.45 61.94 62.46 62.97 63.52 64.08 64.58 65.10 65.62
76.71 78.05 79.01 79.89 80.52 81.20 81.86 82.58 83.30 83.95 84.63 85.31
118.02 120.08 121.56 122.90 123.88 124.92 125.94 127.04 128.16 129.16 130.20 131.24
1425 1447 1463 1477 1487 1498 1510 1522 1534 1545 1556 1568
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
B. SISTEMA DE ALCANTARILLADO
COMPONENTES DE INVERSION 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Total
1. Obras Provisionales y Preliminares 19,808.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19,808.02
2. Movimiento de Tierras 188,387.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 188,387.02
3. Tuberias, Camaras de Inspeccion, Dados 143,437.60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 143,437.60
4. Conexiones Domiciliarias, Pruebas y varios 337,510.47 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 337,510.47
IMPACTO AMBIENTAL (0.05%) GLB 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00
INTERVENCION SOCIAL (0.05%) GLB 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00
SUPERVISION (6%) GLB 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00
1. Obras Provisionales y Preliminares 4600.00 11,841.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16,441.27 1. Obras Provisionales y Prelim 4600.00
2. Movimiento de Tierras 106598.65 2,949.24 3,821.33 18,935.05 24,062.76 0.00 0.00 156,367.03 2. Movimiento de Tierras 106598.65
3. Tuberias, Camaras de Inspeccion, Dados 60,875.10 3,220.74 26,323.03 9,785.44 7,335.49 11,375.83 3,045.84 121,961.47 3. Tuberias, Camaras de Inspe 60875.10
4. Conexiones Domiciliarias, Pruebas y varios 77727.84 5,125.03 204,124.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 286,976.87 4. Conexiones Domiciliarias, Pr 77727.84
0.01 249,801.59 23,136.28 234,268.36 28,720.49 31,398.25 11,375.83 3,045.84 581,746.64 A.H. EL MILAGRO
6903.60 58,174.66 1. Obras Provisionales y Prelim 11,841.27
271071.18 58,174.66 2. Movimiento de Tierras 2,949.24
277974.78 698,095.98 3. Tuberias, Camaras de Inspe 3,220.74
125,657.28 4. Conexiones Domiciliarias, Pr 5,125.03
823,753.26 A.H. VICTOR RAUL
1. Obras Provisionales y Prelim 0.00
2. Movimiento de Tierras 3,821.33
3. Tuberias, Camaras de Inspe 26,323.03
4. Conexiones Domiciliarias, Pr 204,124.00
A.H. LOS DELFINES
1. Obras Provisionales y Prelim 0.00
2. Movimiento de Tierras 18,935.05
3. Tuberias, Camaras de Inspe 9,785.44
4. Conexiones Domiciliarias, Pr 0.00
H.U.P. LUIS ALBERTO SANCHEZ
1. Obras Provisionales y Prelim 0.00
2. Movimiento de Tierras 24,062.76
3. Tuberias, Camaras de Inspe 7,335.49
4. Conexiones Domiciliarias, Pr 0.00
Cuadro N° 1
Ingresar sólo la información a) y b) en base a los resultados del Estudio de mercado contenido en el perfil del proyecto:
Base 959,631
A 995 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ###
0 1,010 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ###
1 1,025 100.0% 195 0 195 0 42,811 57,080 15,952 ###
2 1,040 100.0% 198 0 198 0 43,453 58,026 16,192 ###
3 1,056 100.0% 201 0 201 0 44,105 58,657 16,434 ###
4 1,072 100.0% 204 0 204 0 44,767 59,603 16,681 ###
5 1,088 100.0% 207 0 207 0 45,438 60,549 16,931 ###
6 1,104 100.0% 210 0 210 0 46,120 61,495 17,185 ###
7 1,121 100.0% 213 0 213 0 46,812 62,441 17,443 ###
8 1,137 100.0% 216 0 216 0 47,514 63,387 17,705 ###
9 1,154 100.0% 219 0 219 0 48,227 64,333 17,970 ###
10 1,172 100.0% 223 0 223 0 48,950 65,280 18,240 ###
11 1,189 100.0% 226 0 226 0 49,684 66,226 18,513 ###
12 1,207 100.0% 226 0 226 0 49,684 66,226 18,513 ###
13 1,225 100.0% 226 0 226 0 49,684 66,226 18,513 ###
14 1,244 100.0% 226 0 226 0 49,684 66,226 18,513 ###
15 1,262 100.0% 226 0 226 0 49,684 66,226 18,513 ###
16 1,281 100.0% 226 0 226 0 49,684 66,226 18,513 ###
17 1,300 100.0% 226 0 226 0 49,684 66,226 18,513 ###
18 1,320 100.0% 226 0 226 0 49,684 66,226 18,513 ###
19 1,340 100.0% 226 0 226 0 49,684 66,226 18,513
20 1,360 100.0% 226 0 226 0 49,684 66,226 18,513
Cuadro N° 2 no imprimir
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Inversión Factor de
Población Producción de % de Consumo Total a Costos de OM a Total Costos a Actualización
Años
Total agua (m3/año) Pérdidas (m3/año) precios precios privados precios privados
privados (S/.) 11%
Cuadro N° 2 no imprimir
10 11 12
Valor Actual
Precios Privados
Costos de
Inversión OM Consumos
Precios Privados (Soles)
(Soles)
5,537,052 0 #REF!
#REF! #REF! 0
#REF! #REF! 0
#REF! #REF! 31,302
#REF! #REF! 28,668
#REF! #REF! 26,108
#REF! #REF! 23,900
#REF! #REF! 21,873
#REF! #REF! 20,013
#REF! #REF! 18,307
#REF! #REF! 16,743
#REF! #REF! 15,309
#REF! #REF! 13,995
#REF! #REF! 12,791
#REF! #REF! 11,523
#REF! #REF! 10,381
#REF! #REF! 9,352
#REF! #REF! 8,426
#REF! #REF! 7,591
#REF! #REF! 6,838
#REF! #REF! 6,161
#REF! #REF! #REF!
Subsidio
(S/mes)
por conexión
#REF!
#REF!
omediciòn segùn el estudio de demanda del caso
Cuadro N° 3
ALTERNATIVA SOLUCION
I + II ETAPA
I. Curva de la Demanda y Beneficios Económicos para NUEVOS USUARIOS
nuevos usuarios
Variable cantidad Variable precio
cantidad (m3.) Precio (S/./m3)
12.0
10.93
Recursolib-
rados
10.
8.0 7.50
Areadbnficos
m
S
P
3
)
(
/
.
/
6.0
4.0
2.0 1.82
0.
0.
0 2 4 6 8 10 24 16 8
5.38
3.6
Q(m3/usarioe)
Sistema Alcantarillado
Demanda Con Proyecto
(m3/año) Precios PrivadPrecios Sociales (S/.)
Año 0.155 0.132
Base 0.00 0.00 0.00
A 0.00 0.00 0.00
0 0.00 0.00 0.00
1 119,901.95 18,563.62 15,812.21
2 121,700.93 18,842.14 16,049.45
3 123,525.62 19,124.65 16,290.08
4 125,379.43 19,411.66 16,534.56
5 127,259.76 19,702.78 16,782.53
6 129,168.03 19,998.23 17,034.18
7 131,105.65 20,298.21 17,289.71
8 133,072.05 20,602.66 17,549.03
9 135,067.66 20,911.63 17,812.20
10 137,094.92 21,225.49 18,079.55
11 139,150.27 21,543.71 18,350.60
12 141,237.17 21,866.81 18,625.81
13 143,357.08 22,195.02 18,905.38
14 145,506.45 22,527.79 19,188.83
15 147,689.76 22,865.82 19,476.76
16 149,905.49 23,208.87 19,768.96
17 152,153.13 23,556.86 20,065.37
18 154,436.16 23,910.32 20,366.45
19 156,752.10 24,268.88 20,671.86
20 159,104.45 24,633.08 20,982.08
COSTOS INCREMENTALES-
COSTOS O Y M AGUA - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M AGUA - CON PROYECTO
AGUA
COSTOS INCREMENTALES-
COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - SIN PROYECTO COSTOS O Y M ALCANT - CON PROYECTO
ALC
Cuadro N° 2
1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Valor Actual
Factor de Precios Privados
Consumo sin Actualización
Inversión Total a Consumos sin
Producción de considerar Costos de OM a Total Costos a precios Costos de Inversión
Años Población Total precios privados considerar perdidas
agua (m3/año) perdidas precios privados privados OM Precios
(S/.)
(m3/año) 9% Privados (Soles)
(m3/año)
Cuadro N° 5
1 2 3 3a 3b 3c 4a 4b 4c 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nº Familias Conectadas al Servicio Beneficios Brutos (S/.año) Costos de
Población Inversión Total a Factor de Valor actual del
Población Producción de Operación y Flujo neto a descuento
Años Conectada precios sociales flujo neto a
Total Antiguas Nuevas Total Antiguas Nuevas Total agua (m3/año) mantenimiento precios sociales
(%) (S/.) precios sociales
incrementales 9%
Cuadro N° 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Inversión Costos de
Producción Volumen Tarifa Total a Operación y
Población Porcentaje de Beneficios Total Costos a Beneficio
Años de agua Facturado precios mantenimiento
Total Pérdidas 1.41 Financieros precios privados Financiero Neto
(m3/año) (m3/año) privados a precios
(S/. m3) (S/.) privados
0 4,795,729 4,795,729 -4,795,729
1 995 0 0% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 1,004,354 #REF! #REF! #REF!
2 1,010 0 0% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 767,875 #REF! #REF! #REF!
3 1,025 57,080 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 683,623 #REF! #REF! #REF!
4 1,040 58,026 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 364,575 #REF! #REF! #REF!
5 1,056 58,657 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 370,445 #REF! #REF! #REF!
6 1,072 59,603 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 214,539 #REF! #REF! #REF!
7 1,088 60,549 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 221,704 #REF! #REF! #REF!
8 1,104 61,495 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 228,924 #REF! #REF! #REF!
9 1,121 62,441 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 200,309 #REF! #REF! #REF!
10 1,137 63,387 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 174,360 #REF! #REF! #REF!
11 1,154 64,333 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 907,453 #REF! #REF! #REF!
12 1,172 65,280 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 163,538 #REF! #REF! #REF!
13 1,189 66,226 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 164,058 #REF! #REF! #REF!
14 1,207 66,226 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 97,508 #REF! #REF! #REF!
15 1,225 66,226 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 98,294 #REF! #REF! #REF!
16 1,244 66,226 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 98,294 #REF! #REF! #REF!
17 1,262 66,226 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 46,760 #REF! #REF! #REF!
18 1,281 66,226 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 47,279 #REF! #REF! #REF!
19 1,300 66,226 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! #REF!
20 1,320 66,226 25% #REF! 1.41 #REF! 0 #REF! #REF! #REF!
Consorcio Tres C
Instalación del Sistema de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado
INFORME FINAL
del Esquema Oquendo, Santa Rosa y el Naranjal (Sectores 251,252,256 y 257)
Cuadro N° 8 no imprimir
RUBROS 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Volumen Consumido (m3/año) #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
Tarifa /S/ m3) 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.18 1.18
Ingresos por Tarifas #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
Otros
Costos de O y M situación con proyecto #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
III SALDO OPERATIVO 0 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
IV GASTOS DE CAPITAL 5,537,052 1,963,610 967,155 973,213 975,444 947,709 719,109 724,305
Presupuesto de inversiones 5,537,052 1,409,985 413,530 419,588 421,820 394,084 165,485 170,681
Reposición activos existentes*** 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625 553,625
V INGRESOS DE CAPITAL 4,983,347 1,268,987 413,530 419,588 421,820 394,084 165,485 170,681
Fondos Electroandes y otros 4,983,347 1,268,987 413,530 419,588 421,820 394,084 165,485 170,681
Cuadro N° 8 no imprimir
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
VANP #REF!
TIR #REF!
Cuadro N° 14
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Inversión Costos de
Producción Volumen Tarifa Total a Operación y
Población Porcentaje de Beneficios Total Costos a Beneficio
Años de agua Facturado precios mantenimiento
Total Pérdidas 1.46 Financieros precios privados Financiero Neto
(m /año)
3
(m3/año) privados a precios
(S/. m3) (S/.) privados
0 9,595,048 9,595,048 -9,595,048
1 #REF! #REF! 0% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
2 #REF! #REF! 0% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
3 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
4 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
5 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
6 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
7 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
8 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
9 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
10 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! 2,611,478 Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
11 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
12 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
13 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
14 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
15 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
16 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
17 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
18 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
19 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
20 #REF! #REF! 25% #REF! 1.46 #REF! Err:508 Err:508 #REF!
Consorcio Tres C
Instalación del Sistema de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado
INFORME FINAL
del Esquema Oquendo, Santa Rosa y el Naranjal (Sectores 251,252,256 y 257)
Base
A
0 740,545.33 740,545.3 0
1 - 15,812.2 15,812.2 974 974
2 - 16,049.4 16,049.4 15 989
3 - 16,290.1 16,290.1 14 1,003
4 - 16,534.6 16,534.6 16 1,019
5 - 16,782.5 16,782.5 15 1,034
6 - 17,034.2 17,034.2 15 1,049
7 - 17,289.7 17,289.7 16 1,065
8 - 17,549.0 17,549.0 16 1,081
9 - 17,812.2 17,812.2 16 1,097
10 - 18,079.5 18,079.5 17 1,114
11 - 18,350.6 18,350.6 16 1,130
12 18,625.8 18,625.8 0 1,130
13 18,905.4 18,905.4 0 1,130
14 19,188.8 19,188.8 0 1,130
15 19,476.8 19,476.8 0 1,130
16 19,769.0 19,769.0 0 1,130
17 20,065.4 20,065.4 0 1,130
18 20,366.4 20,366.4 0 1,130
19 20,671.9 20,671.9 0 1,130
20 20,982.1 20,982.1 0 1,130
740,545
COSTO PER CAPITA DEL SUBCOMPONENTE DE ALCANTARILLADO REDES Alternativa Seleccionada: Análisis de Sensibilidad en las
ALTERNATIVA SOLUCION Variables Principales
(A PRECIOS PRIVADOS)
Inversión en Redes y VAC = 1,078,502
Conexiones ( S/.) Operación Y Población Población PROMEDIO POBL. BENEFICIADA = 1,052
Años Mantenimiento TOTAL COSTOS ( S/.) Beneficiada Beneficiada
( S/.) Incrementada TOTAL COSTO PER CAPITA = 870.47
INVERSION TOTAL
ALCANTARILLADO ESCENARIOS DE SENSIBILIDAD
0.1
0.2
Cuadro N°27
Flujo de caja social (A - B - C ) -50,128 182,119 184,925 187,729 190,530 193,328 196,124 198,916 201,706 204,493 208,272 211,052 211,052 211,052 211,052 211,052 211,052
Factor de Actualización 1.000 0.877 0.769 0.675 0.592 0.519 0.456 0.400 0.351 0.308 0.270 0.237 0.208 0.182 0.160 0.140 0.123
Tasa de descuento 0.14
VP de los flujos - 50,128 159,753 142,294 126,712 112,809 100,409 89,351 79,494 70,710 62,883 56,180 49,939 43,806 38,426 33,707 29,568 25,937
VAN 1,171,850
TIR 364.8%
ANALISIS DE RIESGO
SIMULACIÓN DE MONTECARLO
incremento en costos
Probabilidad de ocurrencia
30% 50% 20%
Incremento de nivel de inversion 8% 10% 6%
Incremento en costos de O y M 8% 10% 4%
COSTOS
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Inversión -50,128 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Costos de operación y mantenimiento 0 -11,931 -12,110 -12,291 -12,476 -12,663 -12,853 -13,046 -13,241 -13,440 -13,642 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846
-50,128 -11,931 -12,110 -12,291 -12,476 -12,663 -12,853 -13,046 -13,241 -13,440 -13,642 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846
Consorcio Tres C
Estudio de Factibilidad del Proyecto de Mejoramiento y Ampliación
INFORME FINAL de los Sistemas de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Junín
Cuadro N°28
1 27 8% 30 10% 13 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
2 95 6% 50 10% 86 0% -53,136 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
3 62 10% 81 4% 76 0% -55,141 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
4 4 8% 24 8% 49 0% -54,138 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
5 87 6% 90 4% 11 0% -53,136 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
6 4 8% 95 4% 21 0% -54,138 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
7 56 10% 17 8% 48 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
8 95 6% 56 10% 64 0% -53,136 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
9 97 6% 81 4% 28 0% -53,136 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
10 48 10% 75 10% 12 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
11 90 6% 9 8% 97 0% -53,136 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
12 62 10% 76 10% 56 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
13 23 8% 77 10% 92 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
14 8 8% 48 10% 54 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
15 68 10% 71 10% 87 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
16 28 8% 100 4% 9 0% -54,138 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
17 64 10% 36 10% 77 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
18 30 10% 93 4% 35 0% -55,141 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
19 4 8% 98 4% 80 0% -54,138 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
20 73 10% 49 10% 55 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
21 36 10% 63 10% 11 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
22 16 8% 35 10% 20 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
23 91 6% 56 10% 31 0% -53,136 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
24 36 10% 67 10% 2 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
25 8 8% 15 8% 14 0% -54,138 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
26 70 10% 85 4% 5 0% -55,141 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
27 81 6% 98 4% 19 0% -53,136 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
28 5 8% 93 4% 2 0% -54,138 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
29 40 10% 8 8% 51 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
30 46 10% 53 10% 34 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
31 52 10% 63 10% 61 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
32 14 8% 72 10% 76 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
33 63 10% 3 8% 89 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
34 43 10% 47 10% 25 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
35 44 10% 9 8% 49 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
36 12 8% 64 10% 15 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
37 64 10% 74 10% 63 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
38 35 10% 24 8% 39 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
39 5 8% 79 10% 68 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
40 25 8% 88 4% 38 0% -54,138 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
41 17 8% 3 8% 75 0% -54,138 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
42 7 8% 8 8% 14 0% -54,138 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
43 95 6% 13 8% 22 0% -53,136 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
44 83 6% 61 10% 51 0% -53,136 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
45 78 10% 41 10% 31 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
46 84 6% 87 4% 70 0% -53,136 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
47 59 10% 20 8% 17 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
48 33 10% 30 10% 78 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
49 75 10% 85 4% 44 0% -55,141 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
50 32 10% 84 4% 85 0% -55,141 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
51 73 10% 32 10% 29 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
52 70 10% 16 8% 24 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
53 99 6% 88 4% 21 0% -53,136 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
54 93 6% 73 10% 75 0% -53,136 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
55 28 8% 70 10% 9 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
56 31 10% 19 8% 10 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
57 78 10% 3 8% 6 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
58 88 6% 83 4% 54 0% -53,136 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
59 43 10% 33 10% 2 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
60 54 10% 13 8% 42 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
61 24 8% 15 8% 92 0% -54,138 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
62 75 10% 11 8% 37 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
63 46 10% 43 10% 56 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
64 15 8% 50 10% 63 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
65 41 10% 93 4% 64 0% -55,141 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
66 5 8% 100 4% 95 0% -54,138 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
67 69 10% 31 10% 74 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
68 21 8% 1 8% 26 0% -54,138 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
69 24 8% 8 8% 96 0% -54,138 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
70 19 8% 44 10% 65 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
71 52 10% 31 10% 58 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
72 51 10% 6 8% 43 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
73 58 10% 77 10% 75 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
74 95 6% 78 10% 5 0% -53,136 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
75 17 8% 31 10% 20 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
76 61 10% 15 8% 78 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
77 51 10% 78 10% 61 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
78 96 6% 26 8% 49 0% -53,136 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
79 60 10% 81 4% 24 0% -55,141 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
80 70 10% 85 4% 19 0% -55,141 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
81 4 8% 76 10% 56 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
82 48 10% 69 10% 31 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
83 15 8% 47 10% 49 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
84 71 10% 81 4% 89 0% -55,141 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
85 84 6% 9 8% 44 0% -53,136 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
86 6 8% 10 8% 48 0% -54,138 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
87 9 8% 15 8% 72 0% -54,138 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
88 93 6% 81 4% 72 0% -53,136 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
89 57 10% 10 8% 67 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
90 66 10% 23 8% 53 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
91 50 10% 16 8% 60 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
92 11 8% 47 10% 56 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
93 75 10% 18 8% 82 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
94 73 10% 5 8% 86 0% -55,141 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
95 44 10% 58 10% 54 0% -55,141 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
96 31 10% 94 4% 77 0% -55,141 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
97 29 8% 83 4% 25 0% -54,138 -12,408 -12,594 -12,783 -12,975 -13,169 -13,367 -13,568 -13,771 -13,978 -14,187
98 89 6% 28 8% 71 0% -53,136 -12,885 -13,079 -13,275 -13,474 -13,676 -13,881 -14,089 -14,301 -14,515 -14,733
99 95 6% 48 10% 24 0% -53,136 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
100 9 8% 51 10% 52 0% -54,138 -13,124 -13,321 -13,521 -13,723 -13,929 -14,138 -14,350 -14,566 -14,784 -15,006
TABLA DE FRECUENCIAS
Frecuencia
Limite Inferior Límite Superior Marca de Clase Frecuencia Probabilidad Promedio del Rango (Marca Clase-Van)2 F*(Marca Clase-Van)2
Acumulada
1,016,516 1,022,490 1,019,503 91 0.91 91 927,748 ### ### n=numero de datos 100
1,022,490 1,028,464 1,025,477 7 0.07 98 71,783 ### ### rango=Lmax-Lmin 5,974
1,028,464 1,034,438 1,031,451 0 0 98 0 ### 0.00 c=numero de intervalos 5
1,034,438 1,040,413 1,037,426 0 0 98 0 ### 0.00 amplitud= 1194.842
1,040,413 1,046,387 1,043,400 0 0 98 0 ### 0.00
98 999,531 5319816875415 ###
Consorcio Tres C
Estudio de Factibilidad del Proyecto de Mejoramiento y Ampliación
INFORME FINAL de los Sistemas de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Junín
Cuadro N°28
Consorcio Tres C
Estudio de Factibilidad “Mejoramiento y Ampliación del Sistema
de Agua Potable y Alcantarillado de la Ciudad de Jauja”
A
FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS Y COSTOS DEL PROYECTO
0 1 2 3
A. Total deBeneficios 4,983,347 #REF! #REF! #REF!
B. Total de costos de inversión 5,537,052 1,963,610 967,155 973,213
C. Total de costos de operación y manten incr. 0 #REF! #REF! #REF!
Costos de Operación y Mantenimiento 0 #REF! #REF! #REF!
VAN #REF!
TIR #REF!
ANALISIS DE RIESGO
SIMULACIÓN DE MONTECARLO
incremento en costos
Probabilidad de ocurrencia
30% 50% 20%
Incremento de nivel de inversion 8% 10% 6%
Incremento en costos de O y M 8% 10% 4%
COSTOS
0 1 2 3
Inversión -5,537,052 -1,963,610 -967,155 -973,213
Costos de operación y mantenimiento 0 #REF! #REF! #REF!
-5,537,052 #REF! #REF! #REF!
Cuadro N°25
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
975,444 947,709 719,109 724,305 730,175 735,707 687,726
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-975,444 -947,709 -719,109 -724,305 -730,175 -735,707 -687,726
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
11 12 13 14 15 16
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
1,759,730 741,465 705,935 631,333 631,698 631,698
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
11 12 13 14 15 16
-1,759,730 -741,465 -705,935 -631,333 -631,698 -631,698
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
A
FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS Y COSTOS DEL PROYECTO
0 1 2 3
A. Total de Beneficios 0 194,050 197,035 200,021
B. Total de costos de inversión 50,128 0 0 0
C. Total de costos de operación y manten incr. 0 11,931 12,110 12,291
Costos de Operación y Mantenimiento 0 11,931 12,110 12,291
VAN 1,171,850
TIR 364.8%
ANALISIS DE RIESGO
SIMULACIÓN DE MONTECARLO
incremento en costos
Probabilidad de ocurrencia
30% 50% 20%
Incremento de nivel de inversion 8% 10% 6%
Incremento en costos de O y M 8% 10% 4%
COSTOS
0 1 2 3
Inversión -50,128 0 0 0
Costos de operación y mantenimiento 0 -11,931 -12,110 -12,291
-50,128 -11,931 -12,110 -12,291
Cuadro N°27
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
203,006 205,991 208,977 211,962 214,947 217,933 221,913
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12,476 12,663 12,853 13,046 13,241 13,440 13,642
12,476 12,663 12,853 13,046 13,241 13,440 13,642
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-12,476 -12,663 -12,853 -13,046 -13,241 -13,440 -13,642
-12,476 -12,663 -12,853 -13,046 -13,241 -13,440 -13,642
11 12 13 14 15 16
224,899 224,899 224,899 224,899 224,899 224,899
0 0 0 0 0 0
13,846 13,846 13,846 13,846 13,846 13,846
13,846 13,846 13,846 13,846 13,846 13,846
11 12 13 14 15 16
0 0 0 0 0 0
-13,846 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846
-13,846 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846 -13,846