𝑦 =𝑎 + 𝑏 𝑥

𝛴𝑥𝑦 − 𝑛𝑥̅ 𝑦̅
𝑏=
𝛴𝑥 2 − 𝑛𝑥̅ 2
𝑎 = 𝑦̅ − 𝑏𝑥̅

𝛴𝑦 2 − 𝑎𝛴𝑦 − 𝑏𝛴𝑥𝑦
𝑆𝑦,𝑥 = √
𝑛−2

𝑛𝛴𝑥𝑦 − 𝛴𝑥𝛴𝑦
𝑟=
√[𝑛𝛴𝑥 2 − (𝛴𝑥)2 ][𝑛𝛴𝑦 2 − (𝛴𝑦)2 ]
𝑦 =𝑎 + 𝑏1 𝑥1 + 𝑏2 𝑥2
𝛴 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎 𝑒𝑛 𝑙𝑜𝑠 𝑛 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑜𝑑 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑜𝑠
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑜 𝑚ó𝑣𝑖𝑙 =
𝑛
𝛴(𝑃𝑜𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑒𝑙 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑜 𝑛)(𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎 𝑒𝑛 𝑒𝑙 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑜 𝑛)
𝑃𝑚𝑝=
𝛴 𝑃𝑜𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑠
𝐹𝑡 = 𝐹𝑡 − 1 + 𝑎(𝐴𝑡−1 − 𝐹𝑡−1)

𝛴|𝑅𝑒𝑎𝑙 − 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜|
𝑀𝐴𝐷 =
𝑛
𝛴(𝐸𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑠 𝑑𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜)2
𝑀𝑆𝐸 =
𝑛
|𝑅𝑒𝑎𝑙𝑖 − 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑜𝑖 |
∑𝑛𝑖=1
𝑅𝑒𝑎𝑙𝑖
𝑀𝐴𝑃𝐸 =
𝑛
𝐹𝐼𝑇𝑡 = 𝐹𝑡 + 𝑇𝑡
𝐹𝑡 =∝ (𝐴𝑡−1 ) + (1+∝)(𝐹𝑡−1 + 𝑇𝑡−1 )
𝑇𝑡 = 𝛽(𝐹𝑡 − (𝐹𝑡−1 ) + (1 − 𝛽)𝑇𝑡−1
𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑜 = 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑜𝑠 𝑚𝑒𝑠𝑒𝑠
𝛴 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑜
𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑜 𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑎𝑙 =
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑚𝑒𝑠𝑒𝑠
𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑜
Í𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙 =
𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑜 𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑎𝑙