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Jan W. Dash, PhD Director climate Initiative, UU-UNO Visiting Research Scholar, Fordham U. Adjunct professor, Courant institute, NYU Head, Strategic risk research, Bloomberg LP. "Climate change is the biggest global health threat of the 21st century"
Jan W. Dash, PhD Director climate Initiative, UU-UNO Visiting Research Scholar, Fordham U. Adjunct professor, Courant institute, NYU Head, Strategic risk research, Bloomberg LP. "Climate change is the biggest global health threat of the 21st century"
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Jan W. Dash, PhD Director climate Initiative, UU-UNO Visiting Research Scholar, Fordham U. Adjunct professor, Courant institute, NYU Head, Strategic risk research, Bloomberg LP. "Climate change is the biggest global health threat of the 21st century"
Copyright:
Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Formatos disponibles
Descargue como PDF, TXT o lea en línea desde Scribd
UN Committee on Sustainable Development NY (CoNGO) Visiting Research Scholar, Fordham U. Adjunct Professor, Courant Institute, NYU Head, Strategic Risk Research, Bloomberg LP .
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 1
Outline ! Climate Change Basics " Science " Impacts " Risk Management ! Women and Climate Change ! Conclusions
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 2
Global Temperature Data There IS Global Warming Data GISS/NASA. Last decade hottest in over 100 yrs
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 3
Human Behavior Risk - Future
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 4
Impacts - Progressively Severe ! Water shortages (glaciers/snow packs melting worldwide), ! Crop failures (including the US), ! Fires (increasingly frequent huge wildfires), ! Droughts (during the summer), ! Disease (human and plant), ! Flooding (huge precipitation increases when it rains) ! Species extermination (polar bear just most visible), ! Extreme weather (destabilized Jet Stream), ! Sea level rise (glaciers into ocean, US Navy scenarios), ! Heat waves (over 100 F days become common), ! Acidified oceans (attacks base of food chain), ! Mass migrations (millions across US borders), ! Increased conflict (destabilizing wars - US Pentagon), ! Economic disruption (global financial/economic collapse) 4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 5 Disease Risk
“Climate change is the
biggest global health threat of the 21st century” Lancet : "Managing the health effects of climate change"
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 6
US National Security Risk
Climate change: threat
to America’s national security Pentagon, Navy, senior US military
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 7
Food Shortage Risk ! US crops - corn, soybeans, cotton - can decline 80% if temp up enough ! International too. Women = farmers Schlenker and Roberts, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sciences
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 8
Contrarian disinformation risk
! Contrarian / denier pseudoscience
" Supported by fossil fuel, think tanks ! Contrarian goals " Stop climate legislation and regulation " Stop mitigation of global warming " Stop green energy, energy efficiency…
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 9
International Negotiation Risk - Climate Conferences
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 10
Main negotiation issue Risk: Cumulative vs. Current Emissions
! Developed Countries (US, EU …)
" Responsible for most of existing CO2 ! Developing Countries " Developing emissions will dominate in future " China now #1 for today’s CO2 emissions " Per-capita emissions lower than for developed ! Science => Already near limit ~ 400 ppm
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 11
Millennium Development Goals
! MDGs apply to poorest countries
" All 192 countries (including US) signed " Goal 1: Eradicate Extreme Poverty, Hunger " Goal 3: Empower women " Goal 4: Reduce Child Mortality Rate " Goal 6: Combat malaria and other diseases " Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability ! Climate Change = threat to MDGs
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 12
Women: Positive Role helping to counter Climate Change ! Women accept science more than men ! Women want to act more than men ! Powerful Motivations: " Survival " Water and Food for Children " Peace ! Vulnerability of Women and Children in War " Justice " Intergenerational Equity = Grandchildren
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 13
Increased U.S. Recognition of Essential Role of Women
• Promote participation of women all levels
• Secy. Clinton Intl. Fund - Women, Girls: " Promote climate change solutions " Example: Replace old cook stoves = bad for health, environment (black carbon)
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 14
References
! Women and children vulnerability
" IPCC Report Volume II, Chapter 17 ! UN Economic Social Council " Document - Women and climate change, policies and strategies ! UN Committee Sustainable Develop. " Climate Statement: Copenhagen, Cancun, Durban Conferences
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 15
UU-UNO Climate Portal climate.uu-uno.org
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 16
Wrap-Up ! Recent global warming trend of climate change - Human caused. " Impacts will be increasingly severe " Mitigation - ameliorate impacts = justice / intergenerational equity / survival ! Women, Children most vulnerable ! Women have a central role to play
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 17
Bottom Line ! We all have pictures of children. We want to say to them: We did our best ! We can all help make a real difference ! We CAN still mitigate global warming! " We need to stay optimistic! " We need to ACT! " YOU can help! ! Thank you
4/21/11 Copyright Jan W. Dash 18
You can help Children and Grandchildren will thank you