Datos

Precio de venta unitar $ 98

Costo administrativo $ 45,000
Costo de publicidad $ -

(+) Ingresos totales (+)

(-) Costos variables (-)
(-) Costos fijos (-)
(=) Utilidad (=)

Simulación
Distribuciones de probablidad para las variables desconocidas

Costo de mano de obra directa MOD Distribución de probabilidad discreta

Costo de las piezas Distribución de probabilidad uniforme
Demanda Distribución de probabilidad normal

Costo de MOD Costo Probabilidad

21 0.05
22 0.2
13 0.3
24 0.18
25 0.15
26 0.12
Costo de las piezas Mínimo Máximo
21 26

Demanda Media Desviación

1200 300

Ensayo Número aleatorio Costo de MOD Costo piezas probabilidad Demanda

1 0.0531 22 21.26544079 0.202025848
2 0.8640 25 25.319912175 0.005423712
3 0.5099 13 23.54963853 0.970012138
4 0.8622 25 25.310970525 0.316710576
5 0.0596 22 21.29812525 0.458473883
6 0.5957 24 23.978553405 0.807524162
7 0.9735 25 25.867719425 0.975196105
 8 0.7872 25 24.935977955 0.749427858
9 0.8732 25 25.365923985 0.244605415
10 0.1834 22 21.91695134 0.482076053
11 0.2344 22 22.171970545 0.143528814
12 0.4111 13 23.055461115 0.05540272
13 0.8604 25 25.30211113 0.44723778
14 0.8179 25 25.08958322 0.665873618
15 0.3216 13 22.60811943 0.665642628
16 0.7464 25 24.73204355 0.904542392
17 0.2668 13 22.333857135 0.382426914
18 0.4391 13 23.195417505 0.444452755
19 0.5819 24 23.90962566 0.278357043
20 0.3078 13 22.539074595 0.256345797
21 0.9795 25 25.897435515 0.10740249
22 0.1224 22 21.612178725 0.11201036
23 0.6752 24 24.375803065 0.946439604
24 0.5860 24 23.929999055 0.401369737
25 0.0853 22 21.426417755 0.518207592
26 0.7975 25 24.987414235 0.149063696
27 0.3977 13 22.988558595 0.738699239
28 0.0664 22 21.33178705 0.47932049
29 0.2534 13 22.26697948 0.34334544
30 0.8534 25 25.266914395 0.7971034
31 0.5776 24 23.88792276 0.238756633
32 0.4132 13 23.066058305 0.298534032
33 0.8113 25 25.05653152 0.59822174
34 0.8841 25 25.42050416 0.452686402
35 0.3727 13 22.86330632 0.883222531
36 0.9622 25 25.81123467 0.998060923
37 0.0605 22 21.302609535 0.387662861
38 0.2599 13 22.29959109 0.680273195
39 0.2447 22 22.223731375 0.531051535
40 0.9040 25 25.52020261 0.01490543
41 0.5403 13 23.701320235 0.166658394
42 0.4427 13 23.213256415 0.315229133
43 0.2386 22 22.19275841 0.666707785
44 0.4344 13 23.172015005 0.17934971
45 0.7871 25 24.935262065 0.417070805
46 0.1630 22 21.814786525 0.09232033
47 0.8076 25 25.037850645 0.686008207
48 0.1509 22 21.754621835 0.286389904
49 0.4768 13 23.38376721 0.980751873
50 0.1298 22 21.648891205 0.270131719
51 0.2462 22 22.231094855 0.672419435
52 0.1852 22 21.92581295 0.768401018
53 0.4956 13 23.478154165 0.701511828
54 0.6325 24 24.162628225 0.204263694
55 0.4818 13 23.409009135 0.196254139
 56 0.5119 13 23.55929745 0.873730678
57 0.4903 13 23.451467775 0.374644684
58 0.7181 24 24.59069434 0.458387005
59 0.1605 22 21.802613105 0.045880581
60 0.6304 24 24.152115385 0.828335529
61 0.6200 24 24.10003255 0.488007231
62 0.7115 24 24.55762423 0.563667176
63 0.0887 22 21.44367655 0.275618561
64 0.7546 25 24.773100305 0.437943011
65 0.2651 13 22.325608375 0.385580328
66 0.8825 25 25.41252746 0.195232067
67 0.7400 25 24.69982178 0.416115747
68 0.1230 22 21.615149675 0.746855674
69 0.4126 13 23.063121815 0.271628947
70 0.8146 25 25.073071445 0.505040633
71 0.2136 22 22.06798635 0.964012185
72 0.6292 24 24.14596367 0.47603219
73 0.3693 13 22.84626655 0.845774071
74 0.0287 21 21.143301655 0.2769478
75 0.7304 25 24.651957835 0.81517237
76 0.4213 13 23.106522065 0.815259266
77 0.4985 13 23.49243855 0.233079516
78 0.8155 25 25.077516215 0.521361317
79 0.6781 24 24.3905981 0.428177323
80 0.9585 25 25.792535565 0.775023753
81 0.2285 22 22.142688 0.873875494
82 0.7036 24 24.517843925 0.435307777
83 0.6487 24 24.24374026 0.671427606
84 0.6324 24 24.16217989 0.670148754
85 0.2150 22 22.07499835 0.813779513
86 0.4468 13 23.23381153 0.738130278
87 0.7017 24 24.50869207 0.948668483
88 0.3603 13 22.801606065 0.582145195
89 0.1209 22 21.604496365 0.966877877
90 0.0685 22 21.342332345 0.469170809
91 0.0098 21 21.04920002 0.640376197
92 0.8987 25 25.493685955 0.670058509
93 0.7496 25 24.747757685 0.770726649
94 0.2636 13 22.31793203 0.431177573
95 0.8424 25 25.212141595 0.739292485
96 0.2695 13 22.34735582 0.112187842
97 0.1938 22 21.96885075 0.598306965
98 0.6251 24 24.12543141 0.201184597
99 0.8362 25 25.181125785 0.023234115
100 0.3174 13 22.58707758 0.511972133
101 0.7736 25 24.86820626 0.875975035
102 0.6172 24 24.086214735 0.750753986
103 0.0642 22 21.320813165 0.19571428
104 0.2193 22 22.096400455 0.747191795
105 0.7666 25 24.833243285 0.712207358
106 0.9970 25 25.985139345 0.496409939
107 0.5453 13 23.72662672 0.479044553
108 0.6903 24 24.451397815 0.016730586
109 0.7201 24 24.60025371 0.39369712
110 0.7878 25 24.93883584 0.845839317
111 0.3997 13 22.998510755 0.655400277
112 0.9290 25 25.64477586 0.65305505
113 0.1639 22 21.81931751 0.912581491
114 0.2269 22 22.13430347 0.347216785
115 0.7169 24 24.584308645 0.789421032
116 0.0511 22 21.2555909 0.617683226
117 0.6851 24 24.425513745 0.821502986
118 0.6419 24 24.20926037 0.11553731
119 0.3883 13 22.94168031 0.623202249
120 0.9920 25 25.959786225 0.912576677
121 0.1249 22 21.624310395 0.970108912
122 0.4201 13 23.10052896 0.561524222
123 0.2011 22 22.005655795 0.61202453
124 0.8586 25 25.2927739 0.042533654
125 0.7764 25 24.882215425 0.654539346
126 0.9446 25 25.72305847 0.794271553
127 0.7882 25 24.941103045 0.772987248
128 0.7020 24 24.50989357 0.304268946
129 0.3093 13 22.54643136 0.210872347
130 0.2447 22 22.223629145 0.040627499
131 0.9915 25 25.95730258 0.768201179
132 0.9667 25 25.83348229 0.339150266
133 0.6913 24 24.45671668 0.699543434
134 0.9605 25 25.802564295 0.536913297
135 0.7796 25 24.89804244 0.266581238
136 0.1419 22 21.709617225 0.016965071
137 0.2626 13 22.31320171 0.973599946
138 0.2553 13 22.276501005 0.181880903
139 0.9485 25 25.742686885 0.641104785
140 0.2962 13 22.48113366 0.901264521
141 0.2964 13 22.48210395 0.049675565
142 0.8006 25 25.00305185 0.649491838
143 0.2945 13 22.472307645 0.409650179
144 0.2088 22 22.04390455 0.197360756
145 0.5283 13 23.6414048 0.812474314
146 0.1959 22 21.979445235 0.193737521
147 0.6777 24 24.38836425 0.113302322
148 0.8348 25 25.17422229 0.815980989
149 0.5860 24 23.929879955 0.971053652
150 0.3887 13 22.943472135 0.827403422
151 0.9142 25 25.571240945 0.606887926
152 0.5690 24 23.844783705 0.018880032
153 0.2213 22 22.10657082 0.998565333
154 0.2875 13 22.437546125 0.682615304
155 0.3080 13 22.5400495 0.57941381
156 0.1519 22 21.75969811 0.026762536
157 0.0640 22 21.31985449 0.079888436
158 0.8196 25 25.097804625 0.676142014
159 0.3658 13 22.828922655 0.348887557
160 0.0874 22 21.43712731 0.596266496
161 0.1358 22 21.678980195 0.955748991
162 0.5483 13 23.741254005 0.034489024
163 0.1570 22 21.784964255 0.73682368
164 0.3915 13 22.95755317 0.27677548
165 0.1622 22 21.81081318 0.573145681
166 0.7644 25 24.82181086 0.872681927
167 0.1028 22 21.513991135 0.396148085
168 0.6934 24 24.46683407 0.756509217
169 0.4719 13 23.35932027 0.549303407
170 0.6075 24 24.03728843 0.964808137
171 0.5898 24 23.94899209 0.11989889
172 0.9981 25 25.99046131 0.765247815
173 0.5119 13 23.559484755 0.732286868
174 0.3700 13 22.849763515 0.507769782
175 0.4273 13 23.13667935 0.777227254
176 0.1662 22 21.83088238 0.076567629
177 0.3866 13 22.933171955 0.731710392
178 0.4068 13 23.03410437 0.220990547
179 0.3895 13 22.947454015 0.328768585
180 0.3931 13 22.96558513 0.657844701
181 0.1935 22 21.96753218 0.950623478
182 0.1207 22 21.60349669 0.825252377
183 0.6239 24 24.11955593 0.482543081
184 0.0473 21 21.23635423 0.364613093
185 0.9604 25 25.80187272 0.390765086
186 0.3007 13 22.503436035 0.281766004
187 0.4236 13 23.118177195 0.089516356
188 0.5030 13 23.515219075 0.466372578
189 0.9941 25 25.970554265 0.966514773
190 0.3974 13 22.987156395 0.029037923
191 0.3972 13 22.986140625 0.176864885
192 0.9912 25 25.95577266 0.101539022
193 0.1577 22 21.788360765 0.895027533
194 0.8785 25 25.392448265 0.993406969
195 0.0479 21 21.239439565 0.381089193
196 0.3046 13 22.523058655 0.939812122
197 0.2951 13 22.4753886 0.434391144
198 0.5150 13 23.574877515 0.089940452
199 0.8769 25 25.38433571 0.409479243
200 0.9032 25 25.515751915 0.397674203
201 0.0065 21 21.03242935 0.309573406
202 0.0853 22 21.42670832 0.135609901
203 0.3781 13 22.890418595 0.397692953
204 0.6967 24 24.483309935 0.065044528
205 0.6680 24 24.34005119 0.166022732
206 0.5162 13 23.58105064 0.087240392
207 0.4070 13 23.0351837 0.717709195
208 0.4271 13 23.135555855 0.864368757
209 0.0247 21 21.123592225 0.52671044
210 0.3906 13 22.9528563 0.241096995
211 0.0298 21 21.148983405 0.342194918
212 0.4674 13 23.33681799 0.686489269
213 0.8070 25 25.03482064 0.528696999
214 0.7322 25 24.66110727 0.54754123
215 0.7441 25 24.720620485 0.861749936
216 0.1885 22 21.94262755 0.289367489
217 0.5504 24 23.752136515 0.722871493
218 0.0332 21 21.16610996 0.282622285
219 0.1822 22 21.911153315 0.230220779
220 0.3902 13 22.95087793 0.481877483
221 0.4625 13 23.312511865 0.996329524
222 0.9044 25 25.52203656 0.906548617
223 0.4790 13 23.395096225 0.348264395
224 0.7267 24 24.63366965 0.233115152
225 0.2781 13 22.390741965 0.641804606
226 0.0891 22 21.4452611 0.562131932
227 0.3718 13 22.858898455 0.56731948
228 0.3473 13 22.736549605 0.139168958
229 0.3482 13 22.741016815 0.680503469
230 0.3177 13 22.5886832 0.064686022
231 0.8184 25 25.092201985 0.821988448
232 0.4621 13 23.310667045 0.920065118
233 0.4782 13 23.3908273 0.466729356
234 0.2530 13 22.265088695 0.783643342
235 0.8051 25 25.025350455 0.074108893
236 0.1624 22 21.81211181 0.645334259
237 0.3417 13 22.708620485 0.071460866
238 0.0411 21 21.20561805 0.54505108
239 0.2043 22 22.021502695 0.671296283
240 0.7996 25 24.99777836 0.158504453
241 0.3029 13 22.514300365 0.775118083
242 0.8368 25 25.1841232 0.031507907
243 0.9656 25 25.82794122 0.742332107
244 0.7199 24 24.5995989 0.38508676
245 0.0147 21 21.07349848 0.36475932
246 0.5749 24 23.87461111 0.537862977
247 0.2833 13 22.41626494 0.086109009
248 0.5595 24 23.79753632 0.829606904
249 0.2523 13 22.261381515 0.660459055
250 0.1848 22 21.924003675 0.046298969
251 0.2704 13 22.35182409 0.130645049
252 0.7884 25 24.94177155 0.752450624
253 0.3845 13 22.922349735 0.23977198
254 0.6418 24 24.2092105 0.86250114
255 0.2212 22 22.105951415 0.397190218
256 0.2407 22 22.203352495 0.970528685
257 0.2535 13 22.267391685 0.923017707
258 0.7411 25 24.70571959 0.811994287
259 0.3978 13 22.989226785 0.244798442
260 0.6710 24 24.355054245 0.259598372
261 0.1548 22 21.77389224 0.618868839
262 0.8194 25 25.097191945 0.450360257
263 0.5096 13 23.54777595 0.416237235
264 0.7675 25 24.83745901 0.764106196
265 0.0208 21 21.10408685 0.247552729
266 0.1654 22 21.82702441 0.058275816
267 0.9863 25 25.931273945 0.014372736
268 0.3942 13 22.970967815 0.204566388
269 0.2298 22 22.148794585 0.500209203
270 0.1455 22 21.7273901 0.174681891
271 0.6449 24 24.22471254 0.678474152
272 0.7642 25 24.821087245 0.294169463
273 0.0348 21 21.174094275 0.029236231
274 0.0819 22 21.40955444 0.951285393
275 0.1689 22 21.84442683 0.202833572
276 0.6654 24 24.327131495 0.88211106
277 0.7414 25 24.707249515 0.972682774
278 0.7925 25 24.962412625 0.583885639
279 0.7124 24 24.56220601 0.239611646
280 0.0772 22 21.3858458 0.796630697
281 0.7571 25 24.785659525 0.950014058
282 0.3207 13 22.60335359 0.42458918
283 0.7427 25 24.713563775 0.46578505
284 0.3527 13 22.76326589 0.74767149
285 0.1229 22 21.614712625 0.90358852
286 0.2721 13 22.360721985 0.056784408
287 0.8707 25 25.35333649 0.035115683
288 0.0832 22 21.41624247 0.077671951
289 0.0623 22 21.311729525 0.745504809
290 0.3087 13 22.543527675 0.008600785
291 0.4674 13 23.33691906 0.978058624
292 0.6253 24 24.12631455 0.06287841
293 0.3586 13 22.792795915 0.923507713
294 0.6014 24 24.00700967 0.462182996
295 0.9694 25 25.847030875 0.543142833
296 0.3214 13 22.60698707 0.077554174
297 0.3768 13 22.884020755 0.031644329
298 0.2664 13 22.33224351 0.963928254
299 0.8776 25 25.38804505 0.507794849
300 0.4283 13 23.141427435 0.253581958
301 0.1644 22 21.82190485 0.433244552
302 0.2454 22 22.227187 0.940296887
303 0.8198 25 25.09897339 0.977615435
304 0.8426 25 25.21318506 0.449935216
305 0.4266 13 23.132756325 0.684783219
306 0.7374 25 24.68720387 0.099275803
307 0.9496 25 25.74789279 0.624134727
308 0.5705 24 23.852696645 0.07765987
309 0.0270 21 21.13484084 0.502012607
310 0.1304 22 21.652093065 0.088491236
311 0.9198 25 25.598810345 0.173784884
312 0.2500 13 22.250101085 0.570909511
313 0.9888 25 25.94419711 0.15976542
314 0.6972 24 24.48585877 0.313401306
315 0.5464 13 23.731959255 0.314076613
316 0.1655 22 21.82766923 0.007381539
317 0.0750 22 21.374875345 0.786628625
318 0.6133 24 24.066699735 0.894611845
319 0.6413 24 24.206535765 0.204161924
320 0.9619 25 25.80934041 0.542730709
321 0.7945 25 24.972639125 0.572249229
322 0.6390 24 24.19477853 0.499290443
323 0.6335 24 24.16728702 0.5073486
324 0.9245 25 25.622599475 0.567862593
325 0.6868 24 24.434189165 0.194925256
326 0.9960 25 25.98006695 0.638896242
327 0.3685 13 22.84236995 0.877158149
328 0.4486 13 23.243091725 0.922687508
329 0.5115 13 23.557378295 0.32391989
330 0.0432 21 21.215804025 0.318341658
331 0.8445 25 25.22261794 0.004402562
332 0.7152 24 24.576060365 0.801650505
333 0.7748 25 24.87417769 0.090413982
334 0.9531 25 25.76550071 0.538143458
335 0.9289 25 25.644627405 0.418507812
336 0.5457 13 23.72863787 0.154221489
337 0.7472 25 24.73609876 0.661053844
338 0.1510 22 21.755033405 0.658171255
339 0.7215 24 24.60737574 0.99569803
340 0.5073 13 23.536472865 0.676579396
341 0.3044 13 22.52178156 0.773658925
342 0.6510 24 24.255200885 0.678314154
343 0.9788 25 25.89378961 0.189014047
344 0.0292 21 21.1459976 0.431779578
345 0.3527 13 22.76372024 0.731628168
346 0.5182 13 23.590774745 0.716852927
347 0.2669 13 22.33441702 0.575914147
348 0.7428 25 24.71391834 0.080796428
349 0.9701 25 25.85036855 0.333502452
350 0.6484 24 24.242060875 0.905403842
351 0.9098 25 25.54910133 0.067456168
352 0.6329 24 24.16456539 0.188406831
353 0.5776 24 23.888102995 0.149102761
354 0.2028 22 22.01402466 0.019022562
355 0.9485 25 25.742597555 0.551902213
356 0.0319 21 21.159440575 0.146329354
357 0.4484 13 23.2419806 0.947708489
358 0.2997 13 22.498654465 0.392690635
359 0.0202 21 21.101053735 0.891730741
360 0.2004 22 22.001973745 0.274798047
361 0.8116 25 25.05801697 0.332050205
362 0.4407 13 23.20332502 0.535890422
363 0.4852 13 23.42597259 0.197538785
364 0.2178 22 22.089059335 0.006491126
365 0.1606 22 21.802961875 0.936473799
366 0.7316 25 24.658217965 0.230232573
367 0.5453 13 23.726374415 0.111520878
368 0.3229 13 22.6144154 0.179339228
369 0.4917 13 23.45836689 0.39847875
370 0.0633 22 21.316453175 0.700521082
371 0.0264 21 21.13198814 0.80008781
372 0.4816 13 23.40801143 0.327204576
373 0.7407 25 24.70345283 0.923834319
374 0.0044 21 21.02177745 0.38968458
375 0.6601 24 24.300414255 0.700993413
376 0.1909 22 21.954444385 0.654016316
377 0.4607 13 23.30336939 0.434672887
378 0.1950 22 21.97520393 0.875162683
379 0.6785 24 24.392337305 0.982300891
380 0.2560 13 22.279849715 0.617960553
381 0.9503 25 25.75148106 0.202461421
382 0.6139 24 24.069551105 0.532899027
383 0.1773 22 21.886592965 0.559356446
384 0.9175 25 25.587621605 0.157117152
385 0.5564 24 23.78201649 0.450825767
386 0.1939 22 21.96931326 0.496338842
387 0.3042 13 22.520940135 0.029570387
388 0.3637 13 22.81863602 0.57984213
389 0.5778 24 23.88894853 0.433392666
390 0.6912 24 24.456107135 0.746003738
391 0.2661 13 22.33053222 0.612578898
392 0.7182 24 24.591026855 0.878333391
393 0.0295 21 21.14752671 0.345393905
394 0.4469 13 23.234333095 0.393806771
395 0.5182 13 23.59110361 0.117179999
396 0.6076 24 24.03795929 0.219555077
397 0.3311 13 22.655582775 0.560298621
398 0.9704 25 25.851884025 0.676346163
399 0.8379 25 25.189715585 0.105614558
400 0.6615 24 24.30763282 0.114640083
401 0.0962 22 21.48117894 0.298082709
402 0.0613 22 21.306696565 0.901795491
403 0.1334 22 21.667173885 0.947946362
404 0.3211 13 22.605451165 0.299812895
405 0.5469 13 23.73436155 0.893990307
406 0.8545 25 25.272591465 0.673229338
407 0.3491 13 22.745624505 0.61562361
408 0.2166 22 22.083107585 0.239419838
409 0.6299 24 24.149507625 0.385605331
410 0.1029 22 21.5143221 0.82332053
411 0.9085 25 25.542579025 0.590878224
412 0.8831 25 25.415583915 0.177757409
413 0.4093 13 23.0463866 0.941375563
414 0.5621 24 23.81031851 0.960571526
415 0.2243 22 22.12129716 0.696616972
416 0.5101 13 23.550543815 0.96645767
417 0.0800 22 21.40003882 0.392497539
418 0.1757 22 21.878564175 0.856379244
419 0.0401 21 21.20037511 0.498587431
420 0.1346 22 21.673008355 0.42089348
421 0.4674 13 23.336881655 0.730310242
422 0.3107 13 22.553535965 0.600378889
423 0.8511 25 25.25546627 0.662814509
424 0.3500 13 22.750088615 0.764414245
425 0.6937 24 24.468378695 0.413138757
426 0.4765 13 23.382307225 0.617200173
427 0.6423 24 24.211670365 0.897251129
428 0.1335 22 21.66759109 0.589704659
429 0.2442 22 22.22124871 0.509659629
430 0.6472 24 24.235868185 0.696237396
431 0.4386 13 23.192808475 0.943432664
432 0.4528 13 23.264186555 0.886510427
433 0.6181 24 24.090563565 0.596603091
434 0.3380 13 22.689872275 0.819315313
435 0.8564 25 25.281907545 0.282965782
436 0.5391 13 23.695280815 0.373637914
437 0.0329 21 21.16470596 0.92422163
438 0.7035 24 24.51754412 0.942010729
439 0.4459 13 23.229654585 0.370492092
440 0.7274 24 24.636773375 0.257238614
441 0.3359 13 22.679740285 0.299818973
442 0.8219 25 25.10940691 0.567111819
443 0.4926 13 23.463017175 0.371254641
444 0.0009 21 21.004653015 0.502690132
445 0.7326 25 24.66291877 0.016841362
446 0.8001 25 25.000530855 0.619074264
447 0.4185 13 23.092536005 0.969694486
448 0.5507 24 23.753653695 0.165452116
449 0.4473 13 23.23638567 0.004630321
450 0.8794 25 25.396844065 0.545872799
Precio de venta unitario x Demanda
(Costo unitario MOD + Costo unitario piezas)x Demanda
(Costo administrativo + Costo de publicidad)
Utilidad

a+r(b-a)

Intervalo de números aleatorios Estadísticas resumidas del mo

- 0.05
0.05 0.25 Utilidad media
0.25 0.55 Desviación estándar
0.55 0.73 Utilidad mínima
0.73 0.88 Utilidad máxima
Número de pérdidas
Probabilidad de pérdida

Demanda Utilidad
949.677911711156 $ 6,980
435.727217097321 -$ 24,224
1764.29160840916 $ 63,416
1056.9248688296 $ 5,404
1168.71623323052 $ 18,931
1460.64266359195 $ 28,063
1788.99913365527 $ 39,320
1401.80711636535 $ 22,376
992.530634745139 $ 2,278
1186.51686047197 $ 19,170
880.620429513311 $ 2,402
721.624997247861 -$ 299
1160.20703787422 $ 10,339
1328.56416544891 $ 18,652
1328.37378382733 $ 37,880
1592.36293712437 $ 31,860
1110.26610017882 $ 24,576
1158.09322105815 $ 26,575
1023.68124591804 $ 6,277
1003.60428718271 $ 17,686
827.861740002361 -$ 6,006
835.228190390454 $ 426
1683.38113015759 $ 38,536
1125.05901247855 $ 11,332
1213.69665626775 $ 21,236
887.862745175378 -$ 2,371
1391.80211539597 $ 41,308
1184.44227607324 $ 19,751
1078.99504736201 $ 22,689
1449.39582955239 $ 24,184
986.907651325611 $ 4,456
1041.41355924322 $ 19,499
1274.62408854616 $ 16,110
1164.33690004877 $ 10,399
1557.37539608325 $ 51,770
2066.37188526271 $ 52,510
1114.3753061745 $ 15,953
1340.53886412831 $ 39,052
1223.37402383035 $ 20,788
548.22168899048 -$ 18,971
909.763596887897 $ 10,767
1055.67541918676 $ 20,227
1329.25211665362 $ 26,523
924.646156575949 $ 12,169
1137.18215886316 $ 9,658
802.019659309454 -$ 1,542
1345.37007506786 $ 19,527
1030.81131814364 $ 10,917
1820.8594005315 $ 67,194
1016.27559888064 $ 10,236
1333.98114890162 $ 26,727
1420.07734122659 $ 31,790
1358.62609961283 $ 38,585
952.05363467466 $ 2,448
943.476768001305 $ 13,110
1543.26148988476 $ 49,819
1104.12704083813 $ 22,957
1168.65054504615 $ 12,742
694.146042266813 -$ 7,379
1484.2824647908 $ 28,988
1190.9802171024 $ 14,430
1248.0820442643 $ 16,708
1021.22779463143 $ 10,714
1153.14405168098 $ 10,613
1112.74288698805 $ 24,740
942.367212480303 -$ 155
1136.44785882019 $ 9,891
1399.38830795573 $ 31,106
1017.63185190124 $ 18,029
1203.79059882003 $ 12,694
1739.78166640161 $ 48,830
1181.96562682733 $ 13,926
1505.54276382226 $ 48,575
1022.4201650522 $ 12,109
1469.13579063416 $ 26,030
1469.23352325539 $ 45,936
981.377172405367 $ 15,362
1216.07114786874 $ 13,277
1145.69505809032 $ 11,837
1426.64826854776 $ 22,348
1543.47113833018 $ 38,127
1151.1370042739 $ 11,961
1333.15759243149 $ 21,333
1332.09718701162 $ 21,389
1467.5731120566 $ 34,139
1391.27753580333 $ 40,934
1689.62343083431 $ 38,622
1262.21534104247 $ 33,508
1751.03020870876 $ 50,248
1176.79368091842 $ 19,321
1307.83935978891 $ 28,175
1332.0224196344 $ 18,279
1422.37260977582 $ 23,633
1147.9869165426 $ 26,958
1392.34971093319 $ 21,537
835.507545185121 $ 7,347
1274.69019229669 $ 23,873
948.780762526974 $ 2,320
602.665457041715 -$ 16,181
1209.00425785991 $ 30,457
1546.52966900492 $ 29,437
1403.05930357441 $ 25,032
942.891138374267 $ 6,557
1399.70364794831 $ 30,449
1367.95344831671 $ 20,890
1197.30027903867 $ 11,291
1184.23449166801 $ 27,562
562.048278629678 -$ 17,151
1119.09123973407 $ 10,283
1505.62519114391 $ 27,362
1319.98251471587 $ 36,841
1318.07450765678 $ 17,418
1607.04731494246 $ 42,071
1082.14633919561 $ 13,291
1441.3241908813 $ 26,224
1289.8205167691 $ 25,610
1476.3324091449 $ 28,188
840.721420222945 -$ 3,140
1294.17058788493 $ 35,314
1607.03822689831 $ 30,595
1764.71900479374 $ 50,958
1246.45043984778 $ 32,155
1285.37987128314 $ 24,403
683.396339179751 -$ 12,397
1319.28152697738 $ 18,481
1446.39975334543 $ 23,381
1424.61624012112 $ 23,465
1046.35150990157 $ 6,784
958.980580971864 $ 14,892
676.964926227023 -$ 8,595
1419.88071287562 $ 21,795
1075.56500430233 $ 5,731
1356.92634992874 $ 22,227
1227.79810181131 $ 12,949
1013.0442800851 $ 3,729
563.729726719676 -$ 14,395
1780.96565461943 $ 66,643
927.533890158756 $ 13,178
1308.42402091388 $ 16,833
1586.63712551035 $ 54,195
705.597746853885 -$ 888
1315.1846691422 $ 18,125
1131.46651882066 $ 25,748
944.674162311156 $ 5,971
1466.11533974155 $ 44,959
940.738366719764 $ 5,819
837.254547870868 -$ 3,462
1470.04635793149 $ 25,306
1768.95287042105 $ 43,572
1483.18619965103 $ 47,041
1281.36509638194 $ 15,774
576.765060245182 -$ 16,072
2094.42010886354 $ 67,875
1342.50739993895 $ 38,991
1260.1182274777 $ 33,707
620.80190152172 -$ 11,328
778.253283297792 -$ 2,445
1337.08124882307 $ 19,049
1083.50232779672 $ 22,363
1273.10851474571 $ 24,464
1711.00591552287 $ 47,944
654.43094477952 -$ 4,910
1390.075064592 $ 30,363
1022.26574700229 $ 18,424
1255.31657019951 $ 23,025
1541.74820127696 $ 29,279
1121.0009732384 $ 16,079
1408.53529908749 $ 24,769
1237.17048003589 $ 31,260
1742.8299662233 $ 42,077
847.352283022152 -$ 2,589
1416.98571315462 $ 21,612
1385.92323576471 $ 40,152
1205.84315599771 $ 29,943
1428.85870499561 $ 43,394
771.436714973417 -$ 3,212
1385.39823537291 $ 40,987
969.344358989312 $ 15,066
1067.00519402732 $ 21,210
1321.97640582179 $ 37,008
1695.27874321508 $ 46,600
1480.6706392943 $ 35,543
1186.86840585318 $ 14,202
1096.15348190885 $ 16,126
1116.80234648884 $ 7,711
1026.71902312013 $ 19,166
796.878217302321 $ 4,312
1174.68254652987 $ 27,225
1749.56167860631 $ 37,281
631.462506104045 -$ 5,841
921.786288421426 $ 12,164
818.150721795302 -$ 6,511
1576.11506092354 $ 40,444
1943.61125114954 $ 47,531
1109.2135729524 $ 16,850
1665.95950426124 $ 59,084
1150.43836967669 $ 26,931
797.663454026994 $ 3,997
1131.33457202734 $ 8,869
 1122.1884678841 $ 8,286
1050.88203025274 $ 13,815
869.922652261003 $ 2,475
1122.20304991538 $ 24,700
745.874760779072 -$ 8,067
908.999381211468 $ 141
792.616166371656 $ 3,682
1372.81490059461 $ 40,066
1530.04795133283 $ 49,656
1220.10097345159 $ 23,175
989.166542456715 $ 16,375
1078.05595373877 $ 15,211
1345.77702631176 $ 37,985
1221.59845662925 $ 13,594
1235.83549628648 $ 14,739
1526.46455186732 $ 28,697
1033.42995884711 $ 10,865
1377.41795172774 $ 24,212
1027.47927225897 $ 12,368
978.564013215487 $ 7,929
1186.36738555158 $ 28,613
2004.29042111873 $ 78,640
1595.93913369253 $ 30,772
1082.99685297684 $ 21,718
981.412118707307 $ 3,449
1308.98598571091 $ 36,955
1246.91299703222 $ 23,025
1250.86614709329 $ 32,730
874.781810080191 $ 9,467
1340.73213937807 $ 38,473
745.025152048789 $ 1,498
1476.89084764936 $ 25,755
1621.65291297474 $ 55,039
1174.95178640109 $ 27,388
1435.36711728992 $ 45,048
766.243403947459 -$ 8,240
1311.82622416829 $ 26,085
760.500895328666 $ 2,373
1233.9502202383 $ 23,847
1333.04862486055 $ 26,956
899.812975781941 -$ 1,807
1426.74264292536 $ 44,151
642.276030275563 -$ 14,289
1395.16557124306 $ 20,813
1112.35562041187 $ 9,951
1096.27022436434 $ 16,311
1228.51540277755 $ 16,580
790.466559437546 $ 4,470
1485.78389766616 $ 29,590
1324.11488928793 $ 38,073
695.445011893705 -$ 7,393
862.9958633609 $ 9,065
1404.66652102256 $ 22,506
987.889129405705 $ 16,326
1527.48766575716 $ 31,055
1121.81200498544 $ 15,459
1766.58630232825 $ 50,036
1627.69999652575 $ 57,110
1465.58077756212 $ 25,779
992.714962263515 $ 16,559
1006.6247711929 $ 4,974
1290.75338944604 $ 24,993
1162.57463688001 $ 10,691
1136.54128638644 $ 24,843
1415.87206217699 $ 23,192
995.336661043937 $ 10,635
729.175964900826 -$ 5,498
543.912114307672 -$ 19,399
952.373784276556 $ 14,075
1200.15731825369 $ 19,630
919.252782271321 $ 4,890
1339.03087673458 $ 21,651
1037.62658776524 $ 4,992
632.358297179627 -$ 9,698
1697.23398389225 $ 47,653
950.537204543887 $ 6,477
1555.68183923303 $ 32,275
1776.53160237285 $ 40,794
1263.55320708694 $ 15,698
987.734294800763 $ 3,831
1448.89398817898 $ 34,130
1693.4969844511 $ 36,651
1142.94993468175 $ 26,316
1174.2391283363 $ 11,700
1400.15406792237 $ 42,141
1590.68200366521 $ 41,510
725.293847792843 $ 432
656.875327920833 -$ 13,702
773.72800758926 -$ 2,767
1398.12317518077 $ 31,461
485.28877956462 -$ 14,691
1804.56270835702 $ 66,275
740.684738064333 -$ 8,059
1628.72052093021 $ 56,318
1171.51932472231 $ 13,568
1232.50640987164 $ 13,116
773.484822573311 $ 3,260
642.852556900839 -$ 5,069
1739.46346108292 $ 64,008
1205.86200968038 $ 12,413
1001.02193720428 $ 16,922
1149.56408711313 $ 17,281
1667.18121354213 $ 44,649
1802.04516211814 $ 41,320
1162.25249245584 $ 10,540
1344.33500899576 $ 38,170
814.293286480223 -$ 5,659
1294.90749733168 $ 16,187
773.703075727237 -$ 6,201
1201.51346370336 $ 22,123
794.96865643197 -$ 1,795
918.20592581441 -$ 1,476
1253.60705488136 $ 33,664
901.373262364376 -$ 2,585
1054.13036889432 $ 7,194
1054.70165010159 $ 19,620
468.558167399502 -$ 19,617
1438.43334869617 $ 33,575
1575.43009234296 $ 33,666
951.945932413263 $ 2,401
1232.19469021114 $ 13,148
1254.63103473084 $ 15,257
1199.46642102708 $ 14,740
1205.5263751014 $ 15,075
1251.28052351588 $ 14,282
942.033452002831 $ 1,693
1306.65301548994 $ 16,439
1548.26916418516 $ 51,237
1627.01508002924 $ 55,479
1062.97042271546 $ 20,312
1058.29766052836 $ 14,036
414.141246836908 -$ 25,213
1454.2594214901 $ 26,875
798.536975878887 -$ 6,570
1228.7272833425 $ 13,038
1138.28630000073 $ 8,904
894.451627717673 $ 9,804
1324.60229142957 $ 18,930
1322.243179024 $ 26,725
1988.22086243932 $ 53,203
1337.44644949144 $ 37,204
1425.28529783529 $ 44,049
1338.89693428851 $ 21,603
935.53937530558 -$ 930
1148.44641191641 $ 19,145
1385.32339973207 $ 41,217
1372.05534198214 $ 39,257
1257.4355147266 $ 33,798
780.079667496548 -$ 7,333
1070.92133318091 $ 5,494
1593.89165997744 $ 34,309
751.497578965184 -$ 9,341
934.86526500557 $ 1,589
887.91321527424 -$ 505
577.689526046779 -$ 13,813
1239.1406260132 $ 13,559
884.307891417227 $ 4,380
1686.90895780091 $ 59,180
1118.30606439649 $ 24,896
1570.73547909486 $ 42,802
1020.49035604404 $ 10,104
1069.72231517982 $ 6,285
1227.02569367562 $ 30,826
944.866415526526 $ 13,179
454.723264012252 -$ 20,485
1657.74876553736 $ 44,845
978.57565910009 $ 2,306
834.456107058619 $ 6,130
924.634145077721 $ 12,684
1122.81400600609 $ 24,100
1357.76993650286 $ 29,248
1452.58047743456 $ 36,153
1065.70638816243 $ 20,639
1629.40350098821 $ 33,695
1115.95763350351 $ 17,469
1358.17794538337 $ 22,501
1318.85598321956 $ 26,278
1150.65313553536 $ 25,991
1545.34200753314 $ 38,487
1831.13202065618 $ 45,838
1290.03864708723 $ 35,911
950.141548369836 -$ 107
1224.76779703266 $ 16,153
1244.8013330024 $ 22,360
898.086931700701 -$ 2,420
1162.92740382366 $ 13,400
1197.24681270548 $ 19,688
633.856385052714 -$ 5,397
1260.44688793462 $ 33,376
1149.67704877283 $ 12,612
1398.59002836011 $ 24,292
1285.81406865688 $ 35,581
1550.00875600959 $ 31,584
1080.66414794507 $ 15,358
1119.1767466989 $ 24,127
843.239255344178 $ 6,782
967.890980886792 $ 3,358
1245.51791088928 $ 32,651
1337.25168171648 $ 18,049
824.942151512098 -$ 5,559
839.335443325651 -$ 3,291
1041.02314296093 $ 11,755
1587.55506755676 $ 41,829
1687.57785158675 $ 46,691
1042.51838338398 $ 20,047
1574.40956120925 $ 51,457
1334.65439411846 $ 18,700
1288.20201143879 $ 35,196
987.548991426957 $ 8,246
1112.76250113225 $ 10,472
1478.42812578702 $ 35,553
1268.94140242906 $ 15,221
922.816422668345 -$ 1,088
1669.92785907832 $ 58,458
1727.20715246299 $ 41,688
1354.4085480487 $ 27,974
1749.3319269588 $ 62,495
1118.15536322813 $ 16,051
1519.25774463394 $ 37,224
1198.93776216184 $ 21,900
1140.11751922071 $ 16,939
1384.12546586276 $ 40,349
1276.29837977821 $ 34,700
1326.04701087981 $ 18,311
1416.1722708509 $ 43,157
1134.15652236959 $ 11,177
1289.44068686638 $ 34,452
1579.81285462981 $ 33,656
1268.03559494355 $ 23,895
1207.26463967357 $ 19,925
1354.08277634148 $ 22,385
1675.27785806471 $ 58,544
1562.45313175387 $ 51,459
1273.36928658168 $ 18,553
1473.82766124759 $ 46,834
1027.78393472403 $ 4,044
1103.32995811365 $ 22,639
1630.21631930393 $ 46,024
1671.56379522599 $ 37,713
1100.83490663734 $ 22,999
1004.43536762302 $ 4,582
1042.52362912842 $ 19,970
1250.70773462325 $ 14,897
1101.44033205027 $ 22,779
1202.022963611 $ 22,308
562.845127370993 -$ 17,794
1290.91511242437 $ 16,963
1762.89670906419 $ 64,136
908.311754208649 $ 639
419.31623346313 -$ 19,102
1234.57218638901 $ 13,770
 stadísticas resumidas del modelo de simulación

tilidad media $ 20,481

esviación estándar $ 18,130
tilidad mínima -$ 25,213
tilidad máxima $ 78,640
Número de pérdidas 59
robabilidad de pérdida 0.131111111
Datos
Precio de venta unitar $ 249
Costo administrativo $ 400,000
Costo de publicidad $ 600,000

(+) Ingresos totales (+) Precio de venta unitario x Demanda

(-) Costos variables (-) (Costo unitario MOD + Costo unitario piezas)x Demanda
(-) Costos fijos (-) (Costo administrativo + Costo de publicidad)
(=) Utilidad (=) Utilidad

Simulación
Distribuciones de probablidad para las variables desconocidas

Costo de mano de obra directa MOD Distribución de probabilidad discreta

Costo de las piezas Distribución de probabilidad uniforme a+r(b-a)
Demanda Distribución de probabilidad normal

Costo de MOD Costo Probabilidad Intervalo de números aleatorios

- -
- -
- -
- -
- -

Costo de las piezas Mínimo Máximo

 Demanda Media Desviación

Ensayo Número aleatorio Costo de MOD Costo piezas Demanda Utilidad

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Estadísticas resumidas del modelo de simulación

Utilidad media
Desviación estándar
Utilidad mínima
Utilidad máxima
Número de pérdidas 0
Probabilidad de pérdida 0