Año Pmax (mm) Pmax ordenada de < a > Z

1977 795 270 -1.8818

1978 530 310 -1.6491
1979 566 357 -1.3758
1980 587 432 -0.9396
1981 848 448 -0.8465
1982 480 480 -0.6604
1983 803 505 -0.5150
1984 595 530 -0.3696
1985 357 566 -0.1602
1986 571 571 -0.1311
1987 816 587 -0.0381
1988 663 595 0.0085
1989 310 610 0.0957
1990 807 615 0.1248
1991 610 620 0.1539
1992 620 663 0.4040
1993 432 795 1.1717
1994 830 803 1.2182
1995 615 807 1.2415
1996 505 816 1.2938
1997 448 830 1.3752
1998 270 848 1.4799

Promedio 593.55
D. Estandar 171.94

Analisis de Frecuencia
Tr (años) Prob > Ocurrencia Prob < No ocurrencia Z

2 0.5 0.5 0.0000

5 0.2 0.8 0.8416
10 0.1 0.9 1.2816
20 0.05 0.95 1.6449
50 0.02 0.98 2.0537
100 0.01 0.99 2.3263
500 0.002 0.998 2.8782
 DISTRIBUCION NORMAL DISTRIBU

Prob < No ocurrencia Prob > Ocurrencia Tr (años) Log Pmax Log Pmax ordenado de < a >

0.0299 0.9701 1.0309 2.9004 2.4314

0.0496 0.9504 1.0521 2.7243 2.4914
0.0844 0.9156 1.0922 2.7528 2.5527
0.1737 0.8263 1.2102 2.7686 2.6355
0.1986 0.8014 1.2479 2.9284 2.6513
0.2545 0.7455 1.3414 2.6812 2.6812
0.3033 0.6967 1.4353 2.9047 2.7033
0.3558 0.6442 1.5524 2.7745 2.7243
0.4364 0.5636 1.7742 2.5527 2.7528
0.4478 0.5522 1.8111 2.7566 2.7566
0.4848 0.5152 1.9411 2.9117 2.7686
0.5034 0.4966 2.0136 2.8215 2.7745
0.5381 0.4619 2.1651 2.4914 2.7853
0.5497 0.4503 2.2205 2.9069 2.7889
0.5611 0.4389 2.2786 2.7853 2.7924
0.6569 0.3431 2.9144 2.7924 2.8215
0.8793 0.1207 8.2875 2.6355 2.9004
0.8884 0.1116 8.9627 2.9191 2.9047
0.8928 0.1072 9.3269 2.7889 2.9069
0.9021 0.0979 10.2181 2.7033 2.9117
0.9155 0.0845 11.8302 2.6513 2.9191
0.9306 0.0694 14.3995 2.4314 2.9284

Promedio 2.75
D. Estandar 0.14

Pmax ajustada a la normal

593.5455
738.2518
813.8924
876.3577
946.6622
993.5322
1088.4097
DISTRIBUCION LOG NORMAL DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL SIN C

Z Prob < Prob > Tr (años) Y

-2.3191 0.0102 0.9898 1.0103 -1.8363

-1.8875 0.0295 0.9705 1.0304 -1.5380
-1.4465 0.0740 0.9260 1.0799 -1.1874
-0.8508 0.1974 0.8026 1.2460 -0.6279
-0.7372 0.2305 0.7695 1.2995 -0.5085
-0.5217 0.3010 0.6990 1.4305 -0.2698
-0.3631 0.3583 0.6417 1.5583 -0.0833
-0.2121 0.4160 0.5840 1.7124 0.1032
-0.0068 0.4973 0.5027 1.9892 0.3717
0.0207 0.5082 0.4918 2.0335 0.4090
0.1070 0.5426 0.4574 2.1863 0.5284
0.1493 0.5593 0.4407 2.2693 0.5881
0.2271 0.5898 0.4102 2.4379 0.6999
0.2526 0.5997 0.4003 2.4981 0.7372
0.2779 0.6094 0.3906 2.5604 0.7745
0.4873 0.6870 0.3130 3.1948 1.0953
1.0545 0.8542 0.1458 6.8579 2.0800
1.0858 0.8612 0.1388 7.2057 2.1397
1.1013 0.8646 0.1354 7.3869 2.1695
1.1360 0.8720 0.1280 7.8137 2.2366
1.1891 0.8828 0.1172 8.5328 2.3411
1.2562 0.8955 0.1045 9.5666 2.4754

Promedio 593.5455
D. Estandar 171.9376
Yn 0.5772
Sn 1.2826
a 0.0075
b 516.1695
DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL SIN CORREGIR DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL CORREGIDA DIS

Prob < Prob > Tr (años) Y Porb < Prob > Tr (años) Log Pmax

0.0019 0.9981 1.0019 -1.4968 0.0115 0.9885 1.0116 2.9004

0.0095 0.9905 1.0096 -1.2467 0.0308 0.9692 1.0318 2.7243
0.0377 0.9623 1.0392 -0.9527 0.0748 0.9252 1.0809 2.7528
0.1536 0.8464 1.1814 -0.4836 0.1975 0.8025 1.2461 2.7686
0.1896 0.8104 1.2340 -0.3835 0.2305 0.7695 1.2996 2.9284
0.2699 0.7301 1.3697 -0.1834 0.3008 0.6992 1.4302 2.6812
0.3373 0.6627 1.5089 -0.0270 0.3579 0.6421 1.5575 2.9047
0.4058 0.5942 1.6828 0.1293 0.4153 0.5847 1.7104 2.7745
0.5018 0.4982 2.0072 0.3545 0.4958 0.5042 1.9835 2.5527
0.5146 0.4854 2.0603 0.3858 0.5067 0.4933 2.0270 2.7566
0.5546 0.4454 2.2450 0.4859 0.5406 0.4594 2.1765 2.9117
0.5738 0.4262 2.3465 0.5359 0.5570 0.4430 2.2575 2.8215
0.6086 0.3914 2.5549 0.6297 0.5870 0.4130 2.4213 2.4914
0.6198 0.3802 2.6299 0.6610 0.5967 0.4033 2.4795 2.9069
0.6307 0.3693 2.7079 0.6923 0.6063 0.3937 2.5398 2.7853
0.7157 0.2843 3.5179 0.9612 0.6822 0.3178 3.1467 2.7924
0.8826 0.1174 8.5148 1.7868 0.8458 0.1542 6.4844 2.6355
0.8890 0.1110 9.0064 1.8369 0.8527 0.1473 6.7900 2.9191
0.8920 0.1080 9.2635 1.8619 0.8561 0.1439 6.9487 2.7889
0.8987 0.1013 9.8707 1.9182 0.8634 0.1366 7.3207 2.7033
0.9083 0.0917 10.9004 2.0057 0.8741 0.1259 7.9427 2.6513
0.9193 0.0807 12.3929 2.1183 0.8867 0.1133 8.8271 2.4314

Promedio 593.5455
D. Estandar 171.9376
n 22.0000
Yn 0.5268
Sn 1.0754
a 0.0063
b 509.3194
 DISTRIBUCION LOG GUMBEL CORREGIDA

Log Pmax ordenado < a > Y Prob < Prob > Tr (años) Ajustes a distrib
900
2.4314 -1.9671 0.0008 0.9992 1.0008
2.4914 -1.5030 0.0112 0.9888 1.0113 800
2.5527 -1.0288 0.0610 0.9390 1.0649
2.6355 -0.3882 0.2289 0.7711 1.2969 700
2.6513 -0.2660 0.2713 0.7287 1.3722
2.6812 -0.0342 0.3553 0.6447 1.5511 600

Precipitacion max (mm)

2.7033 0.1364 0.4179 0.5821 1.7179
2.7243 0.2987 0.4763 0.5237 1.9094 500
2.7528 0.5195 0.5517 0.4483 2.2304
400
2.7566 0.5490 0.5613 0.4387 2.2794
2.7686 0.6419 0.5908 0.4092 2.4437
300
2.7745 0.6873 0.6048 0.3952 2.5301
2.7853 0.7710 0.6297 0.3703 2.7003
200
2.7889 0.7984 0.6376 0.3624 2.7594
2.7924 0.8256 0.6453 0.3547 2.8196 100
2.8215 1.0509 0.7049 0.2951 3.3892
2.9004 1.6609 0.8270 0.1730 5.7796 0
1.0000
2.9047 1.6945 0.8322 0.1678 5.9592
2.9069 1.7112 0.8347 0.1653 6.0505
2.9117 1.7484 0.8403 0.1597 6.2601
2.9191 1.8056 0.8484 0.1516 6.5972 Normal
2.9284 1.8777 0.8582 0.1418 7.0510 Gumbel_Corregida

Promedio 2.7538
D. Estandar 0.1390
n 22.0000
Yn 0.5268
Sn 1.0754
a 7.7355
b 2.6857
 Ajustes a distribuciones de probabilidad continuas

0 10.0000 100.0000

Tr (años)

Normal Log-Normal Gumbel_Sin_corregir

Gumbel_Corregida Log_Gumbel_Corregida