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Week Sales

1 17
2 21
3 19
4 23
5 18
6 16
7 20
8 18
9 22
10 20
11 15
12 22
13 31
14 34
15 31
16 33
17 28
18 32
19 30
20 29
21 34
22 33
40

35

30

25

20
Column B
15

10

0
Week Sales Pronostico Error de Pronóstico (EF)Valor Absoluto (EF) EF^2
1 17
2 21 17 4 4 16
3 19 21 -2 2 4
4 23 19 4 4 16
5 18 23 -5 5 25
6 16 18 -2 2 4
7 20 16 4 4 16
8 18 20 -2 2 4
9 22 18 4 4 16
10 20 22 -2 2 4
11 15 20 -5 5 25
12 22 15 7 7 49
13 31 5 41 179
14 34
15 31
16 33 EAM= 3.73
17 28 CME= 16.27
18 32 EPAM= 19.24
19 30
20 29
21 34
22 33
EP Abs EP
40
19.05 19.05 35
-10.53 10.53
30
17.39 17.39
-27.78 27.78 25
-12.50 12.50
20
20.00 20.00 Column B
-11.11 11.11 15
18.18 18.18 10
-10.00 10.00
5
-33.33 33.33
31.82 31.82 0
1.1903854 211.68746
Week Sales Pronóstico EF Abs (EF) EF^2 EP Abs (EP)
1 17
2 21 17.00 4.00 4.00 16.00 19.05 19.05
3 19 19.00 0.00 - - - -
4 23 19.00 4.00 4.00 16.00 17.39 17.39
5 18 20.00 -2.00 2.00 4.00 - 11.11 11.11
6 16 19.60 -3.60 3.60 12.96 - 22.50 22.50
7 20 19.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 5.00 5.00
8 18 19.14 -1.14 1.14 1.31 - 6.35 6.35
9 22 19.00 3.00 3.00 9.00 13.64 13.64
10 20 19.33 0.67 0.67 0.44 3.33 3.33
11 15 19.40 -4.40 4.40 19.36 - 29.33 29.33
12 22 19.00 3.00 3.00 9.00 13.64 13.64
13 31 26.81 89.07 141.34
14 34
15 31 EAM= 2.44
16 33 CME= 8.10
17 28 EPAM= 12.85
18 32
19 30
20 29
21 34
22 33
40

35

30

25

20
Column B
15

10

0
Week Sales Pronóstico EF Abs (EF) EF^2 EP Abs (EP)
1 17
2 21
3 19 19 0 0 0 0 0
4 23 20 3 3 9 13.043478 13.043478
5 18 21 -3 3 9 -16.66667 16.666667
6 16 20.5 -4.5 4.5 20.25 -28.125 28.125
7 20 17 3 3 9 15 15
8 18 18 0 0 0 0 0
9 22 19 3 3 9 13.636364 13.636364
10 20 20 0 0 0 0 0
11 15 21 -6 6 36 -40 40
12 22 17.5 4.5 4.5 20.25 20.454545 20.454545
13 31 27 112.5 146.92605
14 34
15 31 EAM= 2.70
16 33 CME= 11.25
17 28 EPAM= 14.69
18 32
19 30
20 29
21 34
22 33
40

35

30

25

20
Column B
15

10

0
Week Sales Pronóstico EF Abs (EF) EF^2 EP Abs (EP)
1 17
2 21
3 19 20 -1 1 1 -5.263158 5.2631579
4 23 19.5 3.5 3.5 12.25 15.217391 15.217391
5 18 22 -4 4 16 -22.22222 22.222222
6 16 19.25 -3.25 3.25 10.5625 -20.3125 20.3125
7 20 16.5 3.5 3.5 12.25 17.5 17.5
8 18 19 -1 1 1 -5.555556 5.5555556
9 22 18.5 3.5 3.5 12.25 15.909091 15.909091
10 20 21 -1 1 1 -5 5
11 15 20.5 -5.5 5.5 30.25 -36.66667 36.666667
12 22 16.25 5.75 5.75 33.0625 26.136364 26.136364
13 31 32 129.625 169.78295
14 34
15 31 EAM= 3.20
16 33 CME= 12.96
17 28 EPAM= 16.98
18 32
19 30
20 29
21 34
22 33
40

35

30

25

20
Column B
15

10

0
Week Sales Pronóstico EF Abs (EF) EF^2 EP Abs (EP)
1 17
2 21 17.00 4.00 4.00 16.00 19.047619 19.047619
3 19 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0
4 23 19.00 4.00 4.00 16.00 17.391304 17.391304
5 18 21.00 -3.00 3.00 9.00 -16.66667 16.666667
6 16 19.50 -3.50 3.50 12.25 -21.875 21.875
7 20 17.75 2.25 2.25 5.06 11.25 11.25
8 18 18.88 -0.88 0.88 0.77 -4.861111 4.8611111
9 22 18.44 3.56 3.56 12.69 16.193182 16.193182
10 20 20.22 -0.22 0.22 0.05 -1.09375 1.09375
11 15 20.11 -5.11 5.11 26.11 -34.0625 34.0625
12 22 17.55 4.45 4.45 19.76 20.205966 20.205966
13 31 30.960938 117.68 162.6471
14 34 0.8VR 0.5VR
15 31 EAM= 2.8146307 3.3628942 2.8146307
16 33 CME= 10.698536 13.612734 10.698536
17 28 EPAM= 14.7861 17.533639 14.7861
18 32
19 30
20 29
21 34
22 33
40

35

30

25

20
Column B
15

10

0
Year Sales t-t prom Y-Y prom (t-t prom)(Y-Y prom) (t-t prom)^2 Pronóstico EF
1 21.6 -4.5 -4.85 21.825 20.25 21.5 0.1
2 22.9 -3.5 -3.55 12.425 12.25 22.6 0.3
3 25.5 -2.5 -0.95 2.375 6.25 23.7 1.8
4 21.9 -1.5 -4.55 6.825 2.25 24.8 -2.9
5 23.9 -0.5 -2.55 1.275 0.25 25.9 -2
6 27.5 0.5 1.05 0.525 0.25 27 0.5
7 31.5 1.5 5.05 7.575 2.25 28.1 3.4
8 29.7 2.5 3.25 8.125 6.25 29.2 0.5
9 28.6 3.5 2.15 7.52500000000001 12.25 30.3 -1.7
10 31.4 4.5 4.95 22.275 20.25 31.4 0
5.5 26.45 90.75 82.5

B1= 1.1
B0= 20.4

34

32

30

28
Column B
26 Linear (Column B)

24

22

20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abs (EF) EF^2 EP Abs (EP)
0.1 0.01 0.462963 0.462963
0.3 0.09 1.3100437 1.3100437
1.8 3.24 7.0588235 7.0588235
2.9 8.41 -13.24201 13.242009
2 4 -8.368201 8.3682008
0.5 0.25 1.8181818 1.8181818
3.4 11.56 10.793651 10.793651
0.5 0.25 1.6835017 1.6835017
1.7 2.89 -5.944056 5.9440559
0 0 0 0
13.2 30.7 50.68143

EAM= 1.32
CME= 3.07
EPAM= 5.07

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