Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
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2011 AFOSR SPRING REVIEW
2313FX PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW
NAME: Dr. Joseph Lyons
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Why Socio-Cultural Modeling?
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Strategy
• Minerva projects
– Terrorism, Governance, & Development
– Emotion and Intergroup Relations
• Precautionary Mechanisms (Mort Lab Task)
• Dynamic Trust Model (Stokes Lab Task)
• Avenues of Influence (Sutton Lab Task)
• Cultural Dimensions (Saucier)
• Sacred Values (Atran)
• Computational Methods (Zucker)
• Reality Mining (Pentland)
• Young Investigator Program (Juarez)
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Minerva: Terrorism, Governance,
and Development
• Eli Berman, (UCS), Jake Shapiro (Princeton), Col. Joe Felter, (Army
and Stanford)
• Objective:
– To understand the impact of policies, security assistance, and
other infrastructure (i.e., education, agriculture, etc.)
development on attitudes and behavior – (i.e., violence)
• Stability Operations are a major part of DoD strategy
• Previous research has shown that interventions sometimes have
unpredicted and deleterious outcomes
– Sometimes increased aid is related to heightened violence
• DoD investment huge > 30 Billion – impact unclear
• Currently working in Afghanistan, Iraq, Columbia, Northern Ireland,
and Philippines
• This research can support new policies based on empirical data
– Already having an influence on COIN strategy 13
Minerva: Emotion and Intergroup
Relations
• Dr. David Matsumoto (San Francisco State U), and Dr.
Mark Frank (U of Buffalo, SUNY)
• Objective:
– To understand the role of emotions (anger,
contempt, and disgust) in predicting violence
• Approach:
– Linguistic analysis of text
– Analysis of video content (key leaders)
– Controlled laboratory experiments
• Induce emotive states and measures outcomes
• Apply results to group scenarios to predict group
behavior
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Precautionary Mechanisms (Mort
Lab Task)
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