Promedios Promedios Efecto

Año Mensuales Tiempo Ventas Moviles Moviles estacional

(n=12) Centrados irracional
1 1 1 170 1
2 2 180 2
3 3 205 3
4 4 230 4
5 5 240 5
6 6 315 6
7 7 360 7
8 8 290 8
9 9 240 9
10 10 240 10
11 11 230 245.455 246.591 0.933 11
12 12 195 247.727 247.727 0.787 12
2 1 13 180 247.727 247.727 0.727
2 14 205 247.727 247.045 0.830
3 15 215 246.364 246.591 0.872
4 16 245 246.818 244.545 1.002
5 17 265 242.273 240.909 1.100
6 18 330 239.545 244.545 1.349
7 19 400 249.545 253.864 1.576
8 20 335 258.182 259.091 1.293
9 21 260 260.000 261.818 0.993
10 22 270 263.636 266.364 1.014
11 23 255 269.091 270.909 0.941
12 24 220 272.727 272.273 0.808
3 1 25 195 271.818 271.591 0.718
2 26 210 271.364 270.682 0.776
3 27 230 270.000 270.682 0.850
4 28 280 271.364 269.545 1.039
5 29 290 267.727 267.273 1.085
6 30 390 266.818 270.682 1.441
7 31 420 274.545 277.727 1.512
8 32 330 280.909 281.818 1.171
9 33 290 282.727 284.545 1.019
10 34 295 286.364 289.091 1.020
11 35 280 291.818 294.318 0.951
12 36 250 296.818
 Indice Valores Y estimada con
Indices Y Estimada
Estacional Desestacionali ajuste CME
Estacionales (Tendencia)
Mensual zados estacional
0.72230 0.72230 235.3597 222.01113089 160.3583 92.961955
0.80281 0.80281 224.2117 224.01366192 179.8410 0.025275
0.86080 0.86080 238.1512 226.01619296 194.5542 109.114032
1.02032 1.02032 225.4190 228.01872399 232.6526 7.036210
1.09252 1.09252 219.6762 230.02125503 251.3021 127.738211
1.39512 1.39512 225.7863 232.02378607 323.7020 75.724835
1.54396 1.54396 233.1664 234.0263171 361.3277 1.762901
1.23198 1.23198 235.3944 236.02884814 290.7817 0.610998
1.00675 1.00675 238.3914 238.03137918 239.6376 0.131340
0.98250 0.98250 244.2744 240.03391021 235.8337 17.358020
0.93700 0.93700 245.4650 242.03644125 226.7874 10.320626
0.79758 0.79758 244.4882 244.03897228 194.6417 0.128350
0.72230 249.2044 246.04150332 177.7154 5.219280
0.80281 255.3522 248.04403436 199.1329 34.422782
0.86080 249.7683 250.04656539 215.2395 0.057372
1.02032 240.1202 252.04909643 257.1713 148.140790
1.09252 242.5592 254.05162746 277.5557 157.646195
1.39512 236.5381 256.0541585 357.2274 741.328924
1.54396 259.0737 258.05668954 398.4297 2.465764
1.23198 271.9211 260.05922057 320.3865 213.554849
1.00675 258.2573 262.06175161 263.8301 14.669812
0.98250 274.8087 264.06428265 259.4436 111.437920
0.93700 272.1460 266.06681368 249.3038 32.446530
0.79758 275.8328 268.06934472 213.8080 38.340901
0.72230 269.9715 270.07187575 195.0725 0.005260
0.80281 261.5803 272.07440679 218.4248 70.977181
0.86080 267.1940 274.07693783 235.9248 35.103439
1.02032 274.4231 276.07946886 281.6900 2.856217
1.09252 265.4421 278.0819999 303.8093 190.697158
1.39512 279.5450 280.08453094 390.7527 0.566573
1.54396 272.0274 282.08706197 435.5317 241.233924
1.23198 267.8626 284.08959301 349.9913 399.652255
1.00675 288.0562 286.09212404 288.0226 3.909928
0.98250 300.2540 288.09465508 283.0535 142.719730
0.93700 298.8270 290.09718612 271.8202 66.909094
0.79758 313.4463 292.09971715 232.9743 289.876046

Brayan Alexis Ortiz Ortiz