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TRANSNATIONAL
CORPORATIONS
United Nations
New York and Geneva, 2005
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
Division on Investment, Technology and Enterprise Development
The determinants of liberalization of FDI
policy in developing countries:
a cross-sectional analysis, 1992-2001
Stephen J. Kobrin*
The data
Country sample
Ownership
more 2 9 11 1 18 6 47
less 0 0 0 0 1 3 4
Sectoral
more 21 40 14 14 94 37 220
less 0 2 1 1 1 3 7
Approval
more 9 6 8 5 18 6 52
less 0 0 1 0 2 1 4
Operational
More 29 11 20 6 63 33 164
Less 0 0 1 1 1 2 5
Foreign exchange
more 10 6 1 2 15 12 46
less 2 1 0 1 1 2 7
Promotion
more 64 37 19 14 107 83 328
less 1 6 0 2 1 7 22
Guarantees
more 13 33 24 8 27 21 126
less 0 0 0 0 1 0 1
Regulations
more 6 5 3 4 20 8 46
less 0 2 0 0 1 4 7
Total
more 154 147 100 54 362 206 1029
less 3 11 3 4 14 22 57
Multivariate analysis
own 1.0000
sec 0.3721 1.0000
0.0000
app 0.2685 0.2846 1.0000
0.0036 0.0020
ops 0.3414 0.4085 0.4655 1.0000
0.0002 0.0000 0.0000
forex 0.2719 0.4387 0.4466 0.5577 1.0000
0.0032 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
prom 0.2632 0.3771 0.2173 0.5066 0.4386 1.0000
0.0043 0.0000 0.0191 0.0000 0.0000
guar 0.2209 0.3083 0.0771 0.1323 0.2747 0.3128 1.0000
0.0172 0.0008 0.4110 0.1568 0.0028 0.0006
regs 0.3504 0.4483 0.2367 0.3732 0.5463 0.2005 0.2437 1.0000
0.0001 0.0000 0.0105 0.0000 0.0000 0.0310 0.0084
Independent variables8
scores for each country in the Polity IV file. Each ranges from 1 – 10 and,
as is the convention, Authoritarian is subtracted from Democratic to compute
a variable with a range of –10 to +10.
Total lGDP lGDP/Cap open sch FDI/GDP grFDI grGDP minexs ex-US dem
Total 1.0000
lGDP 0.6277 1.0000
0.0000
lGDP/Cap -0.0086 0.3847 1.0000
0.9318 0.0001
open -0.0958 -0.1454 0.4509 1.0000
0.3803 0.1896 0.0000
sch 0.2066 0.3153 0.6449 0.2678 1.0000
0.0319 0.0015 0.0000 0.0138
FDI/GDP -0.0891 0.0482 0.2871 0.6152 0.0868 1.0000
0.3830 0.6480 0.0055 0.0000 0.4027
grFDI 0.3960 0.5715 0.3040 0.4734 0.1680 0.4768 1.0000
0.0001 0.0000 0.0038 0.0000 0.1095 0.0000
grGDP 0.1670 0.1928 -0.0054 0.1857 -0.2913 0.2871 0.4196 1.0000
0.0871 0.0547 0.9575 0.0907 0.0028 0.0050 0.0000
minexs -0.0052 -0.0202 0.0265 -0.0540 -0.0112 0.0115 -0.1001 -0.1097 1.0000
0.9666 0.8721 0.8328 0.6875 0.9281 0.9273 0.4204 0.3808
ex-US -0.0595 0.1020 0.0849 0.0565 -0.0032 0.1460 0.2408 0.1198 -0.1558 1.0000
0.5863 0.3589 0.4452 0.6253 0.9769 0.1798 0.0264 0.2775 0.2153
dem 0.1399 0.1959 0.1447 -0.0565 0.1636 0.0377 0.0960 -0.1494 0.0797 0.3311 1.0000
0.1566 0.0642 0.1736 0.6254 0.1093 0.7285 0.3763 0.1485 0.5313 0.0029
91
Standard errors are shown below the coefficient in parenthesis
country’s overall propensity to liberalize, using either GDP or
population as a measure it alone accounts for 39% of the variance
of Total.11 The secondary enrollment ratio as a proxy for human
resource capabilities and trade openness are both highly
significant and positive. GDP/Capita is significant and negative.
The coefficient of the control variable (FDI/GDP) is not
significant.
Discussion
Conclusions
References