MO

Dias em Nº de casos
Datas xi * yi xi²
sequência (xi) confirmados (yi)

1 8-mar 1 1 1 1
2 9-mar 2 1 2 4
3 10-mar 3 1 3 9
4 11-mar 4 1 4 16
5 12-mar 5 1 5 25
6 13-mar 6 1 6 36
7 14-mar 7 1 7 49
8 15-mar 8 1 8 64
9 16-mar 9 1 9 81
10 17-mar 10 1 10 100
11 18-mar 11 1 11 121
12 19-mar 12 4 48 144
13 20-mar 13 5 65 169
14 21-mar 14 7 98 196
15 22-mar 15 7 105 225
16 23-mar 16 7 112 256
17 24-mar 17 9 153 289
18 25-mar 18 11 198 324
19 26-mar 19 11 209 361
20 27-mar 20 11 220 400
21 28-mar 21 14 294 441
22 29-mar 22 17 374 484
23 30-mar 23 17 391 529
24 31-mar 24 18 432 576
25 1-abr 25 18 450 625
26 2-abr 26 18 468 676
27 3-abr 27 22 594 729
28 4-abr 28 23 644 784
29 5-abr 29 28 812 841
30 6-abr 30 31 930 900
31 7-abr 31 32 992 961
32 8-abr 32 37 1184 1024
33 9-abr 33 37 1221 1089
34 10-abr 34 45 1530 1156
35 11-abr 35 48 1680 1225
36 12-abr 36 48 1728 1296
37 13-abr 37 50 1850 1369
38 14-abr 38 72 2736 1444
39 15-abr 39 82 3198 1521
40 16-abr 40 89 3560 1600
41 17-abr 41 110 4510 1681
42 18-abr 42 132 5544 1764
43 19-abr 43 159 6837 1849
44 20-abr 44 171 7524 1936
45 21-abr 45 210 9450 2025
46 22-abr 46 243 11178 2116
47 23-abr 47 324 15228 2209
48 24-abr 48 413 19824 2304
49 25-abr 49 501 24549 2401
50 26-abr 50 554 27700 2500
51 27-abr 51 643 32793 2601
52 28-abr 52 777 40404 2704
53 29-abr 53 957 50721 2809
54 30-abr 54 1044 56376 2916
55 1-mai 55 1226 67430 3025
56 2-mai 56 1372 76832 3136
57 3-mai 57 1441 82137 3249
58 4-mai 58 1538 89204 3364
59 5-mai 59 1606 94754 3481
60 6-mai 60 1703 102180 3600
61 7-mai 61 1867 113887 3721
62 8-mai 62 2033 126046 3844
63 9-mai 63 2172 136836 3969
64 10-mai 64 2258 144512 4096
65 11-mai 65 2343 152295 4225
66 12-mai 66 2580 170280 4356
67 13-mai 67 2761 184987 4489
68 14-mai 68 2972 202096 4624
69 15-mai 69 3212 221628 4761
70 16-mai 70 3593 251510 4900
71 17-mai 71 3816 270936 5041
72 18-mai 72 4031 290232 5184
73 19-mai 73 4316 315068 5329
74 20-mai 74 4437 328338 5476
75 21-mai 75 4916 368700 5625
76 22-mai 76 5302 402952 5776
77 23-mai 77 5630 433510 5929
78 24-mai 78 6214 484692 6084
∑ 3081 80406 5450022 161239
Média 1030.84615384615
xi yi xiyi xi²
MODELAGEM MÁTEMÁTICA PARA AJUSTE DE CURVA DE CONTA

Ajuste Função Inversa

Dias Y=1/yi XY X² y ajustado

8-mar 1 1 1 -1.05345655425E-07
9-mar 1 2 4 -5.26728261199E-08
10-mar 1 3 9 -3.51152170593E-08
11-mar 1 4 16 -2.63364126618E-08
12-mar 1 5 25 -2.10691300657E-08
13-mar 1 6 36 -1.75576083527E-08
14-mar 1 7 49 -1.50493785664E-08
15-mar 1 8 64 -1.31682062313E-08
16-mar 1 9 81 -1.17050721958E-08
17-mar 1 10 100 -1.05345649692E-08
18-mar 1 11 121 -9.57687723942E-09
19-mar 0.25 3 144 -8.77880413211E-09
20-mar 0.2 2.6 169 -8.10351150342E-09
21-mar 0.14285714285714 2 196 -7.52468925068E-09
22-mar 0.14285714285714 2.1428571 225 -7.02304329861E-09
23-mar 0.14285714285714 2.2857143 256 -6.58410309079E-09
24-mar 0.11111111111111 1.8888889 289 -6.1968029076E-09
25-mar 0.09090909090909 1.6363636 324 -5.85253607824E-09
26-mar 0.09090909090909 1.7272727 361 -5.54450786262E-09
27-mar 0.09090909090909 1.8181818 400 -5.26728246865E-09
28-mar 0.07142857142857 1.5 441 -5.01645949323E-09
29-mar 0.05882352941176 1.2941176 484 -4.78843860655E-09
30-mar 0.05882352941176 1.3529412 529 -4.58024562311E-09
31-mar 0.05555555555556 1.3333333 576 -4.389402055E-09
1-abr 0.05555555555556 1.3888889 625 -4.21382597237E-09
2-abr 0.05555555555556 1.4444444 676 -4.05175574229E-09
3-abr 0.04545454545455 1.2272727 729 -3.90169071446E-09
4-abr 0.04347826086957 1.2173913 784 -3.76234461721E-09
5-abr 0.03571428571429 1.0357143 841 -3.63260859566E-09
6-abr 0.03225806451613 0.9677419 900 -3.51152164223E-09
7-abr 0.03125 0.96875 961 -3.39824675032E-09
8-abr 0.02702702702703 0.8648649 1024 -3.29205153917E-09
9-abr 0.02702702702703 0.8918919 1089 -3.19229240144E-09
10-abr 0.02222222222222 0.7555556 1156 -3.09840144829E-09
11-abr 0.02083333333333 0.7291667 1225 -3.00987569247E-09
12-abr 0.02083333333333 0.75 1296 -2.92626803421E-09
13-abr 0.02 0.74 1369 -2.84717970883E-09
14-abr 0.01388888888889 0.5277778 1444 -2.7722539269E-09
15-abr 0.01219512195122 0.4756098 1521 -2.70117049276E-09
 16-abr 0.01123595505618 0.4494382 1600 -2.63364123034E-09
17-abr 0.00909090909091 0.3727273 1681 -2.56940607829E-09
18-abr 0.00757575757576 0.3181818 1764 -2.508229743E-09
19-abr 0.0062893081761 0.2704403 1849 -2.44989881867E-09
20-abr 0.00584795321637 0.2573099 1936 -2.39421929998E-09
21-abr 0.0047619047619 0.2142857 2025 -2.34101442658E-09
22-abr 0.00411522633745 0.1893004 2116 -2.29012280854E-09
23-abr 0.00308641975309 0.1450617 2209 -2.24139679128E-09
24-abr 0.00242130750605 0.1162228 2304 -2.19470102473E-09
25-abr 0.00199600798403 0.0978044 2401 -2.14991120785E-09
26-abr 0.00180505415162 0.0902527 2500 -2.10691298364E-09
27-abr 0.00155520995334 0.0793157 2601 -2.0656009643E-09
28-abr 0.001287001287 0.0669241 2704 -2.02587786879E-09
29-abr 0.00104493207941 0.0553814 2809 -1.98765375801E-09
30-abr 0.00095785440613 0.0517241 2916 -1.95084535504E-09
1-mai 0.00081566068515 0.0448613 3025 -1.91537543946E-09
2-mai 0.00072886297376 0.0408163 3136 -1.88117230658E-09
3-mai 0.00069396252602 0.0395559 3249 -1.84816928362E-09
4-mai 0.00065019505852 0.0377113 3364 -1.81630429594E-09
5-mai 0.00062266500623 0.0367372 3481 -1.78551947733E-09
6-mai 0.00058719906048 0.0352319 3600 -1.75576081934E-09
7-mai 0.00053561863953 0.0326727 3721 -1.72697785506E-09
8-mai 0.0004918839154 0.0304968 3844 -1.6991233735E-09
9-mai 0.00046040515654 0.0290055 3969 -1.6721531612E-09
10-mai 0.00044286979628 0.0283437 4096 -1.64602576803E-09
11-mai 0.0004268032437 0.0277422 4225 -1.62070229465E-09
12-mai 0.00038759689922 0.0255814 4356 -1.59614619926E-09
13-mai 0.00036218761318 0.0242666 4489 -1.57232312163E-09
14-mai 0.00033647375505 0.0228802 4624 -1.54920072277E-09
15-mai 0.00031133250311 0.0214819 4761 -1.52674853836E-09
16-mai 0.00027831895352 0.0194823 4900 -1.50493784494E-09
17-mai 0.00026205450734 0.0186059 5041 -1.48374153724E-09
18-mai 0.00024807740015 0.0178616 5184 -1.46313401587E-09
19-mai 0.00023169601483 0.0169138 5329 -1.44309108413E-09
20-mai 0.00022537750732 0.0166779 5476 -1.42358985325E-09
21-mai 0.00020341741253 0.0152563 5625 -1.40460865519E-09
22-mai 0.00018860807243 0.0143342 5776 -1.38612696235E-09
23-mai 0.00017761989343 0.0136767 5929 -1.36812531347E-09
24-mai 0.00016092693917 0.0125523 6084 -1.35058524533E-09
∑ 13.0432348345344 107.96186 161239

a1 -9492561.00252573
a0 0.57406003888118
E CURVA DE CONTAGIO POR CORONAVÍRUS
𝒚=𝟏/
(𝒎𝒙+𝒃)
Ajuste Função Exp

(yi-ym)² (yi-Y ajustado)^2 Dias Y=ln(y) XY X²

1060583.1005917 1.00000021069132 8-mar 0 0 1
1060583.1005917 1.00000010534565 9-mar 0 0 4
1060583.1005917 1.00000007023044 10-mar 0 0 9
1060583.1005917 1.00000005267283 11-mar 0 0 16
1060583.1005917 1.00000004213826 12-mar 0 0 25
1060583.1005917 1.00000003511522 13-mar 0 0 36
1060583.1005917 1.00000003009876 14-mar 0 0 49
1060583.1005917 1.00000002633641 15-mar 0 0 64
1060583.1005917 1.00000002341014 16-mar 0 0 81
1060583.1005917 1.00000002106913 17-mar 0 0 100
1060583.1005917 1.00000001915375 18-mar 0 0 121
1054413.0236686 16.0000000702304 19-mar 1.386294 16.63553 144
1052360.331361 25.0000000810351 20-mar 1.609438 20.92269 169
1048260.9467456 49.0000001053457 21-mar 1.94591 27.24274 196
1048260.9467456 49.0000000983226 22-mar 1.94591 29.18865 225
1048260.9467456 49.0000000921774 23-mar 1.94591 31.13456 256
1044169.5621302 81.0000001115425 24-mar 2.197225 37.35282 289
1040086.1775148 121.000000128756 25-mar 2.397895 43.16211 324
1040086.1775148 121.000000121979 26-mar 2.397895 45.56001 361
1040086.1775148 121.00000011588 27-mar 2.397895 47.95791 400
1033976.1005917 196.000000140461 28-mar 2.639057 55.4202 441
1027884.0236686 289.000000162807 29-mar 2.833213 62.33069 484
1027884.0236686 289.000000155728 30-mar 2.833213 65.16391 529
1025857.331361 324.000000158018 31-mar 2.890372 69.36892 576
1025857.331361 324.000000151698 1-abr 2.890372 72.25929 625
1025857.331361 324.000000145863 2-abr 2.890372 75.14967 676
1017770.5621302 484.000000171674 3-abr 3.091042 83.45815 729
1015753.8698225 529.000000173068 4-abr 3.135494 87.79384 784
1005700.408284 784.000000203426 5-abr 3.332205 96.63393 841
999692.33136095 961.000000217714 6-abr 3.433987 103.0196 900
997693.63905326 1024.00000021749 7-abr 3.465736 107.4378 961
987730.17751479 1369.00000024361 8-abr 3.610918 115.5494 1024
987730.17751479 1369.00000023623 9-abr 3.610918 119.1603 1089
971892.63905326 2025.00000027886 10-abr 3.806662 129.4265 1156
965986.56213018 2304.00000028895 11-abr 3.871201 135.492 1225
965986.56213018 2304.00000028092 12-abr 3.871201 139.3632 1296
962059.17751479 2500.00000028472 13-abr 3.912023 144.7449 1369
919385.94674556 5184.0000003992 14-abr 4.276666 162.5133 1444
900309.02366864 6724.00000044299 15-abr 4.406719 171.8621 1521
887074.17751479 7921.00000046879 16-abr 4.488636 179.5455 1600
847957.63905326 12100.0000005653 17-abr 4.70048 192.7197 1681
807924.40828402 17424.0000006622 18-abr 4.882802 205.0777 1764
760115.71597633 25281.0000007791 19-abr 5.068904 217.9629 1849
739335.40828402 29241.0000008188 20-abr 5.141664 226.2332 1936
673788.40828402 44100.0000009832 21-abr 5.347108 240.6198 2025
620701.56213018 59049.000001113 22-abr 5.493061 252.6808 2116
499631.4852071 104976.000001452 23-abr 5.780744 271.6949 2209
381733.86982249 170569.000001813 24-abr 6.023448 289.1255 2304
280736.94674556 251001.000002154 25-abr 6.216606 304.6137 2401
227382.25443787 306916.000002335 26-abr 6.317165 315.8582 2500
150424.63905326 413449.000002656 27-abr 6.466145 329.7734 2601
64437.869822485 603729.000003148 28-abr 6.65544 346.0829 2704
5453.2544378698 915849.000003805 29-abr 6.863803 363.7816 2809
173.02366863906 1089936.00000407 30-abr 6.950815 375.344 2916
38085.023668639 1503076.0000047 1-mai 7.111512 391.1332 3025
116385.94674556 1882384.00000516 2-mai 7.224025 404.5454 3136
168226.17751479 2076481.00000533 3-mai 7.273093 414.5663 3249
257205.02366864 2365444.00000559 4-mai 7.338238 425.6178 3364
330801.94674556 2579236.00000574 5-mai 7.381502 435.5086 3481
451790.79289941 2900209.00000598 6-mai 7.440147 446.4088 3600
699153.25443787 3485689.00000645 7-mai 7.532088 459.4574 3721
1004312.331361 4133089.00000691 8-mai 7.617268 472.2706 3844
1302232.1005917 4717584.00000726 9-mai 7.683404 484.0544 3969
1505906.5621302 5098564.00000743 10-mai 7.722235 494.223 4096
1721747.7159763 5489649.0000076 11-mai 7.759187 504.3472 4225
2399877.6390533 6656400.00000824 12-mai 7.855545 518.4659 4356
2993432.331361 7623121.00000868 13-mai 7.923348 530.8643 4489
3768078.2544379 8832784.00000921 14-mai 7.99699 543.7953 4624
4757432.1005917 10316944.0000098 15-mai 8.074649 557.1508 4761
6564632.331361 12909649.0000108 16-mai 8.186743 573.072 4900
7757081.9467456 14561856.0000113 17-mai 8.246958 585.534 5041
9000923.1005917 16248961.0000118 18-mai 8.30177 597.7274 5184
10792235.792899 18627856.0000125 19-mai 8.370084 611.0162 5329
11601884.023669 19686969.0000126 20-mai 8.397734 621.4323 5476
15094420.408284 24167056.0000138 21-mai 8.50025 637.5188 5625
18242755.177515 28111204.0000147 22-mai 8.575839 651.7638 5776
21152216.100592 31696900.0000154 23-mai 8.635865 664.9616 5929
26865083.792899 38613796.0000168 24-mai 8.73456 681.2957 6084
195480176.15385 278366392.000257 ∑ 359.3056 19113.15 161239

Desvio padrão 1593.33097202483 a1 0.1244472 m Modelo𝑦=0,734048𝑒^(0,

Calculado:
Erro Padrão 1913.822270801 a0 -0.30918 ∗𝑥)

Coeficiente de
-0.424013408813268 b 0.7340483
correlação
O modelo possui mérito pois seu erro-padrão
MELHOR AJUS
 y=𝑏𝑒^𝑚𝑥
te Função Exponencial

y ajustado (yi-ym)² (yi-Y ajustado)^2 Dias Y=1/y

0.83132595952 1060583.100592 0.965873603689435 8-mar 1
0.94149507761 1060583.100592 0.996365579015521 9-mar 1
1.06626404602 1060583.100592 0.995883366973691 10-mar 1
1.20756766857 1060583.100592 0.964426967563945 11-mar 1
1.36759715347 1060583.100592 0.901996380786284 12-mar 1
1.54883409257 1060583.100592 0.808591606640706 13-mar 1
1.75408894368 1060583.100592 0.684212645127212 14-mar 1
1.98654461256 1060583.100592 0.528859496245802 15-mar 1
2.24980581054 1060583.100592 0.342532159996476 16-mar 1
2.5479549531 1060583.100592 0.125230636379234 17-mar 1
2.88561546629 1060583.100592 -0.123045074605924 18-mar 1
3.26802348258 1054413.023669 2.597705027041 19-mar 0.25
3.70110903807 1052360.331361 3.28748094132001 20-mar 0.2
4.19158803011 1048260.946746 4.94628266823111 21-mar 0.1428571
4.74706636131 1048260.946746 4.57411020777428 22-mar 0.1428571
5.37615788498 1048260.946746 4.17096355994955 23-mar 0.1428571
6.08861798096 1044169.56213 5.73684272475689 24-mar 0.1111111
6.89549483313 1040086.177515 7.27174770219632 25-mar 0.0909091
7.8093007547 1040086.177515 6.77567849226784 26-mar 0.0909091
8.84420621771 1040086.177515 6.24863509497144 27-mar 0.0909091
10.0162595959 1033976.100592 8.69061751030712 28-mar 0.0714286
11.3436360282 1027884.023669 11.1016257382749 29-mar 0.0588235
12.8469192625 1027884.023669 10.4816597788747 30-mar 0.0588235
14.5494208494 1025857.331361 10.8307196321067 31-mar 0.0555556
16.4775416368 1025857.331361 10.1488052979707 1-abr 0.0555556
18.6611811703 1025857.331361 9.43591677646679 2-abr 0.0555556
21.134201348 1017770.56213 12.692054067595 3-abr 0.0454545
23.9349515199 1015753.869822 12.9172171713552 4-abr 0.0434783
27.1068631753 1005700.408284 17.1114060877476 5-abr 0.0357143
30.6991234386 999692.3313609 19.274620816772 6-abr 0.0322581
34.7674378184 997693.6390533 19.4068613584286 7-abr 0.03125
39.374894038 987730.1775148 23.5081277127172 8-abr 0.027027
44.5929403427 987730.1775148 22.5784198796378 9-abr 0.027027
50.502493454 971892.6390533 29.6177378591906 10-abr 0.0222222
57.1951933529 965986.5621302 31.6260816513755 11-abr 0.0208333
64.774824349 965986.5621302 30.6034512561924 12-abr 0.0208333
73.358924474 962059.1775148 31.5498466736414 13-abr 0.02
83.0806081539 919385.9467456 52.4652679037226 14-abr 0.0138889
94.0906304273 900309.0236686 61.3497149464358 15-abr 0.0121951
 106.559724717 887074.1775148 67.203187801781 16-abr 0.011236
120.681250409 847957.6390533 87.0256864697584 17-abr 0.0090909
136.674191295 807924.408284 107.817210950368 18-abr 0.0075758
154.786551373 760115.7159763 133.577761243609 19-abr 0.0062893
175.299200667 739335.408284 144.307337349483 20-abr 0.005848
198.530230708 673788.408284 182.005939267989 21-abr 0.0047619
224.839887205 620701.5621302 213.673566999126 22-abr 0.0041152
254.636156407 499631.4852071 293.310220542896 23-abr 0.0030864
288.381091789 381733.8698225 380.915899899298 24-abr 0.0024213
326.597979152 280736.9467456 467.490605068332 25-abr 0.001996
369.879451264 227382.2544379 519.034336049998 26-abr 0.0018051
418.896677875 150424.6390533 606.547092844297 27-abr 0.0015552
474.409773604 64437.86982249 739.028875451227 28-abr 0.001287
537.279585105 5453.25443787 917.479683870789 29-abr 0.0010449
608.4810403 173.0236686391 1002.89951810298 30-abr 0.0009579
689.118266669 38085.02366864 1183.28837814781 1-mai 0.0008157
780.441713062 116385.9467456 1327.64626400527 2-mai 0.0007289
883.867540518 168226.1775148 1394.97317567536 3-mai 0.000694
1000.99958281 257205.0236686 1490.26911315808 4-mai 0.0006502
1133.65421723 330801.9467456 1556.53407645344 5-mai 0.0006227
1283.88853134 451790.7928994 1651.76806556142 6-mai 0.0005872
1454.0322224 699153.2544379 1813.97108048204 7-mai 0.0005356
1646.72372419 1004312.331361 1978.14312121529 8-mai 0.0004919
1864.95112147 1302232.100592 2115.28418776118 9-mai 0.0004604
2112.09848644 1505906.56213 2199.39428011969 10-mai 0.0004429
2391.99835593 1721747.715976 2282.47339829084 11-mai 0.0004268
2708.99116282 2399877.639053 2517.52154227462 12-mai 0.0003876
3067.99254357 2993432.331361 2696.53871207103 13-mai 0.0003622
3474.56956545 3768078.254438 2905.52490768008 14-mai 0.0003365
3935.02705554 4757432.100592 3143.48012910175 15-mai 0.0003113
4456.50537029 6564632.331361 3522.40437633606 16-mai 0.0002783
5047.09112162 7757081.946746 3743.297649383 17-mai 0.0002621
5715.94257685 9000923.100592 3956.15994824257 18-mai 0.0002481
6473.43167668 10792235.7929 4238.99127291478 19-mai 0.0002317
7331.30487392 11601884.02367 4357.79162339961 20-mai 0.0002254
8302.86528673 15094420.40828 4834.56099969708 21-mai 0.0002034
9403.17899135 18242755.17751 5218.29940180718 22-mai 0.0001886
10649.3086531 21152216.10059 5544.00682972991 23-mai 0.0001776
12060.5781186 26865083.7929 6125.68328346528 24-mai 0.0001609
195480176.1538 78138.5132647904 ∑ 13.043235

,734048𝑒^(0,234447Desvio padrão 1593.33097202483 a1 1.749209

Erro Padrão 32.0645962461942 a0 0.056431

Coeficiente de
0.999600273977637 b=a1/m 0.098709
correlação
 m=1/a0 17.7209
s seu erro-padrão é menor que seu desvio-padrão.
MELHOR AJUSTE
 MODELAGEM MÁTEMÁTICA PARA AJU
𝒚=𝒎𝒙/(𝒃+𝒙)

Ajuste Função R

XY X² y ajustado (yi-ym)² (yi-Y ajustado)^2

1 1 16.128846219139 1060583.10059 228.881987922358
0.5 0.25 16.887435869645 1060583.10059 252.410618512069
0.3333333333333 0.1111111 17.156408906305 1060583.10059 261.029548747725
0.25 0.0625 17.294134249614 1060583.10059 265.498810944455
0.2 0.04 17.377835976669 1060583.10059 268.233511278681
0.1666666666667 0.0277778 17.434088704256 1060583.10059 270.079271539337
0.1428571428571 0.0204082 17.474492710809 1060583.10059 271.408910078507
0.125 0.015625 17.504918828877 1060583.10059 272.412345547808
0.1111111111111 0.0123457 17.528656939053 1060583.10059 273.196500208892
0.1 0.01 17.547693832333 1060583.10059 273.826171168619
0.0909090909091 0.0082645 17.563300255699 1060583.10059 274.342915360426
0.0208333333333 0.0069444 17.576326829653 1054413.02367 184.316650185556
0.0153846153846 0.0059172 17.587364417644 1052360.33136 158.441742982563
0.0102040816327 0.005102 17.596836246931 1048260.94675 112.292938444272
0.0095238095238 0.0044444 17.605053422006 1048260.94675 112.467158083602
0.0089285714286 0.0039063 17.612249748119 1048260.94675 112.619844716451
0.0065359477124 0.0034602 17.618604335104 1044169.56213 74.2803406850656
0.0050505050505 0.0030864 17.624256707686 1040086.17751 43.8807769293209
0.0047846889952 0.0027701 17.629317168779 1040086.17751 43.9478461242618
0.0045454545455 0.0025 17.633874069056 1040086.17751 44.0082851640894
0.0034013605442 0.0022676 17.637999009223 1033976.10059 13.2350367911105
0.0026737967914 0.0020661 17.641750629827 1027884.02367 0.411843870883038
0.002557544757 0.0018904 17.645177416636 1027884.02367 0.416253898937431
0.0023148148148 0.0017361 17.648319807561 1025857.33136 0.123678957754328
0.0022222222222 0.0016 17.651211795888 1025857.33136 0.121653211327608
0.0021367521368 0.0014793 17.653882164951 1025857.33136 0.119797555739118
0.0016835016835 0.0013717 17.656355449416 1017770.56213 18.8672479818213
0.0015527950311 0.0012755 17.65865269131 1015753.86982 28.5299910720539
0.0012315270936 0.0011891 17.660792040157 1005700.40828 106.899221236885
0.0010752688172 0.0011111 17.662789233481 999692.331361 177.881191030555
0.0010080645161 0.0010406 17.664657984602 997693.639053 205.502030698424
0.0008445945946 0.0009766 17.666410297949 987730.177515 373.787690767268
0.000819000819 0.0009183 17.668056727204 987730.177515 373.72403070261
0.0006535947712 0.0008651 17.669606588037 971892.639053 746.950404052688
0.0005952380952 0.0008163 17.671068134462 965986.56213 919.844108104435
0.0005787037037 0.0007716 17.67244870589 965986.56213 919.760367496857
0.0005405405405 0.0007305 17.673754850392 962059.177515 1044.98612547254
0.000365497076 0.0006925 17.674992428555 919385.946746 2951.20644763759
0.0003126954346 0.0006575 17.676166701396 900309.023669 4137.55553022664
0.0002808988764 0.000625 17.677282405127 887074.177515 5086.93004511803
0.00022172949 0.0005949 17.678343815 847957.639053 8523.28820074138
0.0001803751804 0.0005669 17.679354800055 807924.408284 13069.2099189318
0.0001462629808 0.0005408 17.680318870244 760115.715976 19971.2522746159
0.0001329080276 0.0005165 17.681239217149 739335.408284 23506.642407989
0.0001058201058 0.0004938 17.682118749276 673788.408284 36986.1674487676
8.9461442118E-05 0.0004726 17.682960122758 620701.56213 50767.7684590427
6.5668505385E-05 0.0004527 17.683765768149 499631.485207 93829.6353539825
5.0443906376E-05 0.000434 17.684537913871 381733.869822 156274.31456437
4.0734856817E-05 0.0004165 17.685278606802 280736.946746 233593.119915384
3.6101083032E-05 0.0004 17.685989730391 227382.254438 287632.71761147
3.0494312811E-05 0.0003845 17.686673020651 150424.639053 391016.756897982
2.475002475E-05 0.0003698 17.687330080309 64437.8698225 576555.73070057
1.9715699612E-05 0.000356 17.687962391355 5453.25443787 882307.103996505
1.7738044558E-05 0.0003429 17.688571326203 173.023668639 1053315.14862645
1.4830194276E-05 0.0003306 17.689158157636 38085.0236686 1460015.0905138
1.3015410246E-05 0.0003189 17.68972406768 116385.946746 1834156.32349588
1.2174781158E-05 0.0003078 17.690270155558 168226.177515 2025810.58706986
1.121025963E-05 0.0002973 17.690797444812 257205.023669 2311340.07137399
1.0553644173E-05 0.0002873 17.691306889709 330801.946746 2522724.50460972
9.786651008E-06 0.0002778 17.691799381 451790.792899 2840263.73107365
8.7806334349E-06 0.0002687 17.692275751123 699153.254438 3419939.05896656
7.9336115386E-06 0.0002601 17.692736778893 1004312.33136 4061463.36519175
7.3080183577E-06 0.000252 17.693183193758 1302232.10059 4641037.86093785
6.9198405669E-06 0.0002441 17.69361567964 1505906.56213 5018972.69562656
6.5662037493E-06 0.0002367 17.694034878442 1721747.71598 5407047.8314299
5.8726802913E-06 0.0002296 17.694441393221 2399877.63905 6565409.7756672
5.4057852714E-06 0.0002228 17.694835791081 2993432.33136 7525723.22397532
4.9481434566E-06 0.0002163 17.695218605819 3768078.25444 8727916.74136852
4.5120652625E-06 0.00021 17.695590340327 4757432.10059 10203580.6615712
3.9759850503E-06 0.0002041 17.695951468806 6564632.33136 12782799.0394435
3.690908554E-06 0.0001984 17.696302438775 7757081.94675 14427110.9789073
3.4455194465E-06 0.0001929 17.696643672925 9000923.10059 16106603.8299062
3.1739180113E-06 0.0001877 17.696975570819 10792235.7929 18475408.889817
3.0456419909E-06 0.0001826 17.697298510448 11601884.0237 19530236.3673928
2.7122321671E-06 0.0001778 17.697612849674 15094420.4083 23993366.2759626
2.4816851635E-06 0.0001731 17.697918927544 18242755.1775 27923848.4840267
2.3067518627E-06 0.0001687 17.698217065519 21152216.1006 31497931.3027296
2.0631658868E-06 0.0001644 17.698507568591 26865083.7929 38394152.1851077
3.133835682194 1.6321954 195480176.154 275545112.161413

Desvio padrão 1593.33097202483

Erro Padrão 1904.09915211136

Coeficiente de
-0.409580846420734
correlação
TICA PARA AJUSTE DE CURVA DE CONTAGIO POR CORONAVÍRUS
𝒚=𝒎𝒙+𝒃
Ajuste Função Linear
14000
Gráfico Ajuste de Cur
Dias Y=yi XY X² a0+a1*xi (yi-ym)² (yi-Y ajustado)^2
8-mar 1 1 1 -1183.355404
12000 1060583.101 1402697.7231962
9-mar 1 2 4 -1125.843675 1060583.101 1269776.66859072
10-mar 1 3 9 -1068.331947
10000
1060583.101 1143470.81187922
11-mar 1 4 16 -1010.820218 1060583.101 1023780.15306167
12-mar 1 5 25 -953.308489 1060583.101 910704.692138098

Quantidade de casos
8000
13-mar 1 6 36 -895.7967602 1060583.101 804244.429108487
14-mar 1 7 49 -838.2850314 1060583.101 704399.363972841
15-mar 1 8 64 -780.7733026
6000 1060583.101 611169.496731161
16-mar 1 9 81 -723.2615739 1060583.101 524554.827383445
17-mar 1 10 100 -665.7498451
4000
1060583.101 444555.355929696
18-mar 1 11 121 -608.2381163 1060583.101 371171.082369911
19-mar 4 48 144 -550.7263875 1054413.024 307721.365029311
2000
20-mar 5 65 169 -493.2146588 1052360.331 248217.846202309
21-mar 7 98 196 -435.70293 1048260.947 195985.884214126
22-mar 7 105 225 -378.1912012
0 1048260.947 148372.261484872
29-fev 10-mar 20-mar 30-mar 9-abr 19-abr
23-mar 7 112 256 -320.6794724 1048260.947 107373.836649583
24-mar 9 153 289 -263.1677436
-2000 1044169.562 74075.2806828551
25-mar 11 198 324 -205.6560149 1040086.178 46939.8287798717
26-mar 11 209 361 -148.1442861 1040086.178 25326.9037962585 Dias
27-mar 11 220 400 -90.63255732 Curva Real
1040086.178 Ajuste Função Exponencia
10329.1767066107
28-mar 14 294 441 -33.12082854 Ajuste função R 2220.37248215944
1033976.101 Ajuste Função Linear
29-mar 17 374 484 24.39090024 1027884.024 54.6254063428715
30-mar 17 391 529 81.90262902 1027884.024 4212.35125326033
31-mar 18 432 576 139.4143578 1025857.331 14741.4462785549
1-abr 18 450 625 196.9260866 1025857.331 32014.5444558478
2-abr 18 468 676 254.4378153 1025857.331 55902.8405271061
3-abr 22 594 729 311.9495441 1017770.562 84070.7381393155
4-abr 23 644 784 369.4612729 1015753.87 120035.413622475
5-abr 28 812 841 426.9730017 1005700.408 159179.456071036
6-abr 31 930 900 484.4847305 999692.3314 205648.400759847
7-abr 32 992 961 541.9964592 997693.6391 260096.388434242
8-abr 37 1184 1024 599.508188 987730.1775 316415.461583375
9-abr 37 1221 1089 657.0199168 987730.1775 384424.697218844
10-abr 45 1530 1156 714.5316456 971892.6391 448272.624419164
11-abr 48 1680 1225 772.0433743 965986.5621 524238.807936039
12-abr 48 1728 1296 829.5551031 965986.5621 610828.379220297
13-abr 50 1850 1369 887.0668319 962059.1775 700680.881070912
14-abr 72 2736 1444 944.5785607 919385.9467 761393.344558078
15-abr 82 3198 1521 1002.090289 900309.0237 846566.140753762
 16-abr 89 3560 1600 1059.602018 887074.1775 942068.277801719
17-abr 110 4510 1681 1117.113747 847957.6391 1014278.09942152
18-abr 132 5544 1764 1174.625476 807924.4083 1087067.88276639
19-abr 159 6837 1849 1232.137205 760115.716 1151623.45982713
20-abr 171 7524 1936 1289.648933 739335.4083 1251375.43607421
21-abr 210 9450 2025 1347.160662 673788.4083 1293134.37147931
22-abr 243 11178 2116 1404.672391 620701.5621 1349482.74377988
23-abr 324 15228 2209 1462.18412 499631.4852 1295463.09028671
24-abr 413 19824 2304 1519.695848 381733.8698 1224775.70098829
25-abr 501 24549 2401 1577.207577 280736.9467 1158222.74929349
26-abr 554 27700 2500 1634.719306 227382.2544 1167954.2183837
27-abr 643 32793 2601 1692.231035 150424.6391 1100885.76436229
28-abr 777 40404 2704 1749.742764 64437.86982 946228.48406914
29-abr 957 50721 2809 1807.254492 5453.254438 722932.701749622
30-abr 1044 56376 2916 1864.766221 173.0236686 673657.189732674
1-mai 1226 67430 3025 1922.27795 38085.02367 484802.983514444
2-mai 1372 76832 3136 1979.789679 116385.9467 369408.293504777
3-mai 1441 82137 3249 2037.301407 168226.1775 355575.368530794
4-mai 1538 89204 3364 2094.813136 257205.0237 310040.868679244
5-mai 1606 94754 3481 2152.324865 330801.9467 298470.858126457
6-mai 1703 102180 3600 2209.836594 451790.7929 256883.332800555
7-mai 1867 113887 3721 2267.348323 699153.2544 160278.779379418
8-mai 2033 126046 3844 2324.860051 1004312.331 85182.2895688084
9-mai 2172 136836 3969 2382.37178 1302232.101 44256.2858702752
10-mai 2258 144512 4096 2439.883509 1505906.562 33081.610808382
11-mai 2343 152295 4225 2497.395238 1721747.716 23837.8894163241
12-mai 2580 170280 4356 2554.906966 2399877.639 629.660332677694
13-mai 2761 184987 4489 2612.418695 2993432.331 22076.4041275057
14-mai 2972 202096 4624 2669.930424 3768078.254 91246.0287409696
15-mai 3212 221628 4761 2727.442153 4757432.101 234796.307298677
16-mai 3593 251510 4900 2784.953882 6564632.331 652938.529523565
17-mai 3816 270936 5041 2842.46561 7757081.947 947769.207852561
18-mai 4031 290232 5184 2899.977339 9000923.101 1279212.25943181
19-mai 4316 315068 5329 2957.489068 10792235.79 1845551.95265116
20-mai 4437 328338 5476 3015.000797 11601884 2022081.73426637
21-mai 4916 368700 5625 3072.512525 15094420.41 3398446.06882556
22-mai 5302 402952 5776 3130.024254 18242755.18 4717478.64022711
23-mai 5630 433510 5929 3187.535983 21152216.1 5965630.47431859
24-mai 6214 484692 6084 3245.047712 26865083.79 8814677.68971556
∑ 80406 5450022 161239 195480176 64699367.5896256
média 1030.846
a1 57.511729 m Desvio padrão 1593.33097202483
a0 -1240.8671 b Erro Padrão 922.663247498537
Coeficiente
de 0.669023381999072
correlação
O modelo possui mérito pois seu erro-padrão é menor que seu desvio-padrão.
US

Ajuste de Curvas

9-abr 19-abr 29-abr 9-mai 19-mai 29-mai

Dias
ste Função Exponencial Ajuste Função Inversa
ste Função Linear
 MODELAG
AJUSTE DE MODELO EXPONENCIAL PARA SERGIPE E COMPARATIVO COM ALAGOAS

Datas Dias em Nº de casos xi * yi xi² y ajustado

sequência (xi) confirmados (yi)

1 8-mar 1 0 0 1 -1035.06394
2 9-mar 2 0 0 4 -987.0386365
3 10-mar 3 0 0 9 -939.0133327
4 11-mar 4 0 0 16 -890.9880288
5 12-mar 5 0 0 25 -842.962725
6 13-mar 6 0 0 36 -794.9374212
7 14-mar 7 0 0 49 -746.9121174
8 15-mar 8 1 8 64 -698.8868136
9 16-mar 9 1 9 81 -650.8615098
10 17-mar 10 4 40 100 -602.836206
11 18-mar 11 5 55 121 -554.8109022
12 19-mar 12 6 72 144 -506.7855984
13 20-mar 13 6 78 169 -458.7602946
14 21-mar 14 10 140 196 -410.7349907
15 22-mar 15 10 150 225 -362.7096869
16 23-mar 16 10 160 256 -314.6843831
17 24-mar 17 15 255 289 -266.6590793
18 25-mar 18 16 288 324 -218.6337755
19 26-mar 19 16 304 361 -170.6084717
20 27-mar 20 16 320 400 -122.5831679
21 28-mar 21 16 336 441 -74.55786408
22 29-mar 22 16 352 484 -26.53256027
23 30-mar 23 16 368 529 21.492743543
24 31-mar 24 19 456 576 69.518047353
25 1-abr 25 20 500 625 117.54335116
26 2-abr 26 23 598 676 165.56865497
27 3-abr 27 25 675 729 213.59395878
28 4-abr 28 27 756 784 261.61926259
29 5-abr 29 32 928 841 309.6445664
30 6-abr 30 32 960 900 357.66987021
31 7-abr 31 36 1116 961 405.69517402
32 8-abr 32 36 1152 1024 453.72047783
33 9-abr 33 39 1287 1089 501.74578164
34 10-abr 34 42 1428 1156 549.77108545
35 11-abr 35 42 1470 1225 597.79638926
36 12-abr 36 44 1584 1296 645.82169307
37 13-abr 37 44 1628 1369 693.84699688
38 14-abr 38 45 1710 1444 741.8723007
39 15-abr 39 46 1794 1521 789.89760451
40 16-abr 40 48 1920 1600 837.92290832
41 17-abr 41 53 2173 1681 885.94821213
42 18-abr 42 71 2982 1764 933.97351594
43 19-abr 43 83 3569 1849 981.99881975
44 20-abr 44 86 3784 1936 1030.0241236
45 21-abr 45 92 4140 2025 1078.0494274
46 22-abr 46 117 5382 2116 1126.0747312
47 23-abr 47 124 5828 2209 1174.100035
48 24-abr 48 144 6912 2304 1222.1253388
49 25-abr 49 153 7497 2401 1270.1506426
50 26-abr 50 159 7950 2500 1318.1759464
51 27-abr 51 197 10047 2601 1366.2012502
52 28-abr 52 280 14560 2704 1414.226554
53 29-abr 53 337 17861 2809 1462.2518578
54 30-abr 54 447 24138 2916 1510.2771617
55 1-mai 55 517 28435 3025 1558.3024655
56 2-mai 56 601 33656 3136 1606.3277693
57 3-mai 57 730 41610 3249 1654.3530731
58 4-mai 58 772 44776 3364 1702.3783769
59 5-mai 59 898 52982 3481 1750.4036807
60 6-mai 60 998 59880 3600 1798.4289845
61 7-mai 61 1214 74054 3721 1846.4542883
62 8-mai 62 1438 89156 3844 1894.4795921
63 9-mai 63 1588 100044 3969 1942.5048959
64 10-mai 64 1771 113344 4096 1990.5301998
65 11-mai 65 1800 117000 4225 2038.5555036
66 12-mai 66 2032 134112 4356 2086.5808074
67 13-mai 67 2268 151956 4489 2134.6061112
68 14-mai 68 2494 169592 4624 2182.631415
69 15-mai 69 2868 197892 4761 2230.6567188
70 16-mai 70 3135 219450 4900 2278.6820226
71 17-mai 71 3343 237353 5041 2326.7073264
72 18-mai 72 3566 256752 5184 2374.7326302
73 19-mai 73 3967 289591 5329 2422.757934
74 20-mai 74 4277 316498 5476 2470.7832379
75 21-mai 75 4734 355050 5625 2518.8085417
76 22-mai 76 4922 374072 5776 2566.8338455
77 23-mai 77 5131 395087 5929 2614.8591493
78 24-mai 78 5314 414492 6084 2662.8844531
∑ 3081 63485 4406554 161239
Média 813.91025641026
a1 48.02530381011
a0 -1083.089244089
O modelo não possui mérito pois seu erro-padrão é maior que seu desvio-p
 MODELAGEM MÁTEMÁTICA PARA AJUSTE DE CURVA DE CONTA
COMPARATIVO COM ALAGOAS
(yi-ym)^2 (yi-Y ajustado)^2 Dias
662449.905489809 438839877283.457 8-mar
662449.905489809 438839877283.457 9-mar
662449.905489809 438839877283.457 10-mar
662449.905489809 438839877283.457 11-mar
662449.905489809 438839877283.457 12-mar
662449.905489809 438839877283.457 13-mar
662449.905489809 438839877283.457 14-mar
660823.084976989 436685827993.335 15-mar
660823.084976989 436685827993.335 16-mar
655954.623438527 430271220389.393 17-mar
654335.802925707 428148799657.4 18-mar
652718.982412886 426034237410.325 19-mar
652718.982412886 426034237410.325 20-mar
646271.700361604 417654185354.272 21-mar
646271.700361604 417654185354.272 22-mar
646271.700361604 417654185354.272 23-mar
638257.597797502 407353613643.304 24-mar
636660.777284681 405316572443.861 25-mar
636660.777284681 405316572443.861 26-mar
636660.777284681 405316572443.861 27-mar
636660.777284681 405316572443.861 28-mar
636660.777284681 405316572443.861 29-mar
636660.777284681 405316572443.861 30-mar
631882.31574622 399251249785.807 31-mar
630293.495233399 397244678793.726 1-abr
625539.033694938 391270308409.446 2-abr
622379.392669297 387324990074.769 3-abr
619227.751643656 383409570836.068 4-abr
611383.649079553 373750838832.289 5-abr
611383.649079553 373750838832.289 6-abr
605144.367028271 366156135847.621 7-abr
605144.367028271 366156135847.621 8-abr
600485.90548981 360536486312.288 9-abr
595845.443951348 354981743824.287 10-abr
595845.443951348 354981743824.287 11-abr
592761.802925707 351314393905.077 12-abr
592761.802925707 351314393905.077 13-abr
591222.982412886 349491406889.771 14-abr
589686.161900066 347675520525.536 15-abr
Ajuste Funç
Y=ln(y) XY
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
1.3862943611 13.862943611
1.6094379124 17.703817037
1.7917594692 21.501113631
1.7917594692 23.2928731
2.302585093 32.236191302
2.302585093 34.538776395
2.302585093 36.841361488
2.7080502011 46.036853419
2.7725887222 49.906597
2.7725887222 52.679185723
2.7725887222 55.451774445
2.7725887222 58.224363167
2.7725887222 60.996951889
2.7725887222 63.769540612
2.9444389792 70.6665355
2.9957322736 74.893306839
3.1354942159 81.522849614
3.2188758249 86.909647271
3.295836866 92.283432248
3.4657359028 100.50634118
3.4657359028 103.97207708
3.5835189385 111.08908709
3.5835189385 114.67260603
3.6635616461 120.89753432
3.7376696183 127.08076702
3.7376696183 130.81843664
3.7841896339 136.23082682
3.7841896339 140.01501645
3.8066624898 144.65317461
3.8286413965 149.31701446
586618.520874425 344064975958.894 16-abr 3.8712010109 154.84804044
578984.418310322 335161587106.801 17-abr 3.9702919136 162.78196846
551915.649079553 304532516717.735 18-abr 4.262679877 179.03255484
534229.802925707 285312807075.754 19-abr 4.4188406078 190.01014614
529853.341387245 280653436000.51 20-abr 4.4543472963 195.99128104
521154.418310322 271506043775.401 21-abr 4.521788577 203.48048597
485683.905489809 235775219706.949 22-abr 4.7621739348 219.060001
475976.161900066 226435279984.966 23-abr 4.8202815656 226.55323358
448779.751643656 201274037652.868 24-abr 4.9698132996 238.55103838
436802.367028271 190662669726.19 25-abr 5.0304379214 246.49145815
428907.443951348 183825228190.702 26-abr 5.0689042022 253.44521011
380578.264464168 144689906355.36 27-abr 5.2832037287 269.44339017
285060.161900066 81099740611.8277 28-abr 5.6347896032 293.00905936
227443.392669297 51577313591.2607 29-abr 5.8200829304 308.46439531
134623.13625904 18003235541.4045 30-abr 6.1025585946 329.53816411
88155.7003616042 7680541801.07105 1-mai 6.2480428745 343.6423581
45330.7772846812 2000752975.93718 2-mai 6.3985949345 358.32131633
7040.93113083499 39827851.7381422 3-mai 6.5930445341 375.80353845
1756.46959237344 969180.378307934 4-mai 6.64898455 385.6411039
7071.08497698881 38106978.133125 5-mai 6.8001700683 401.21003403
33889.0336949375 1081820097.52152 6-mai 6.9057532763 414.34519658
160071.802925707 25235801550.3827 7-mai 7.1016759716 433.20223427
389488.008053912 150582808750.641 8-mai 7.2710085383 450.80252937
599214.931130835 357157948812.86 9-mai 7.3702306418 464.32453043
916020.777284681 835852655265.089 10-mai 7.4792996378 478.67517682
972372.982412886 942011914189.845 11-mai 7.4955419439 487.21022635
1483742.62343853 2195466371610.59 12-mai 7.6167758087 502.70720337
2114376.98241289 4461004353589.2 13-mai 7.7266536648 517.68579554
2822701.54651545 7953570605422.7 14-mai 7.8216431262 531.87173258
4219284.67472058 17778169574861.7 15-mai 7.9613702017 549.33454392
5387457.5977975 28990929837152.8 16-mai 8.0503844531 563.52691171
6396294.93113084 40869834393749.5 17-mai 8.1146238864 576.13829594
7573997.95677186 57311440012112.6 18-mai 8.1791997984 588.90238549
9941974.93113084 98764001639219.4 19-mai 8.2857654205 604.8608757
11992990.5721565 143729253115209 20-mai 8.3610071082 618.71452601
15367103.5977975 236002399659333 21-mai 8.4625257901 634.68943426
16876401.3413872 284646815166856 22-mai 8.501470231 646.11173755
18637263.8542078 347156374696848 23-mai 8.5430558509 657.81530052
20250807.7003616 409880015171381 24-mai 8.5781001263 669.09180985
157583970.371795 1.70087209707545E+015 ∑ 344.36837841 18077.90022

a1 0.113187 m Modelo Calculado:

Desvio padrão 1430.57508358127 a0 -0.0559

Erro Padrão 4730739.47857527 b 0.945634 𝑦=0,9456𝑒^(0,1132∗𝑥)

 Coeficiente de
-10793432.4505122
correlação

o é maior que seu desvio-padrão. O modelo possui mérito pois seu erro
DE CONTAGIO POR CORONAVÍRUS
Ajuste Função Exponencial
y=𝑏𝑒^𝑚𝑥
7000
X² y ajustado (yi-ym)² (yi-Y ajustado)^2

1 1.0589603346 662449.90548981 1.12139699024271 6000

4 1.1858672995 662449.90548981 1.4062812520201
9 1.3279829339 662449.90548981 1.7635386727364 5000
16 1.4871298614 662449.90548981 2.21155522465319
25 1.6653491308 662449.90548981 2.77338772735939
36 1.8649263923 662449.90548981 3.47795044886291 4000

49 2.0884212113 662449.90548981 4.36150315565965

64 2.3386998938 660823.08497699 1.79211740557234 3000
81 2.6189722474 660823.08497699 2.62107113773271
100 2.9328327464 655954.62343853 1.13884594714091
121 3.284306631 654335.80292571 2.94360373645978 2000

144 3.6779015304 652718.98241289 5.39214130258745

169 4.1186652731 652718.98241289 3.53942035471664 1000
196 4.6122506249 646271.70036161 29.0278433293822
225 5.1649877851 646271.70036161 23.3773431180028
256 5.7839655713 646271.70036161 17.7749463037776 0
29-fev 10-mar 20-mar 30-mar
289 6.4771223325 638257.5977975 72.6394437346687
324 7.2533477582 636660.77728468 76.5039254381405
361 8.1225968881 636660.77728468 62.0534797872775 estad
400 9.0960177846 636660.77728468 47.6649704310275
29-fev 10-mar 20-mar 30-mar
441 10.186094506 636660.77728468 33.8014970920841
6000
484 11.406807214 636660.77728468 21.0974199659355
529 12.773811469 636660.77728468 10.4082924377925
576 14.304639009 631882.31574622 22.0464148376517 5000
625 16.018922596 630293.4952334 15.8489772997834
676 17.938647803 625539.03369494 25.6172860648993
729 20.088434979 622379.3926693 24.1234709588067 4000
784 22.495855001 619227.75164366 20.2873221679954
841 25.191782873 611383.64907955 46.3518204448467
900 28.21079369 611383.64907955 14.3580844572249 3000
961 31.591606066 605144.36702827 19.4339370751279
1024 35.377578696 605144.36702827 0.387408280169882
1089 39.617266426 600485.90548981 0.381017841119654 2000
1156 44.365042973 595845.44395135 5.59342826235953
1225 49.681798254 595845.44395135 59.0100244124727
1296 55.635719304 592761.80292571 135.389963720938 1000
1369 62.303164766 592761.80292571 335.005840445192
1444 69.769644185 591222.98241289 613.535273072344
1521 78.130914666 589686.16190007 1032.39567729363 0
29-fev 10-mar 20-mar 30-mar
 1000

0
29-fev 10-mar 20-mar 30-mar
1600 87.494208948 586618.52087443 1559.79254043649
1681 97.979610659 578984.41831032 2023.16537505591
1764 109.72159438 551915.64907955 1499.3618714456
1849 122.87075028 534229.80292571 1589.67672770869
1936 137.5957154 529853.34138725 2662.11784769381
2025 154.08533645 521154.41831032 3854.58900229161
2116 172.55109173 485683.90548981 3085.92379209382
2209 193.22980332 475976.16190007 4792.76566706735
2304 216.38667432 448779.75164366 5239.83061918877
2401 242.31869008 436802.36702827 7977.82839736678
2500 271.35842697 428907.44395135 12624.4161117358
2601 303.8783177 380578.26446417 11422.9747949319
2704 340.29542771 285060.16190007 3635.53860292015
2809 381.07680402 227443.3926693 1942.76465271155
2916 426.74546508 134623.13625904 410.246184879901
3025 477.88710843 88155.700361604 1529.81828659179
3136 535.15762228 45330.777284681 4335.21870447158
3249 599.29149714 7040.931130835 17084.7127191797
3364 671.11124573 1756.4695923735 10178.5407378937
3481 751.53795155 7071.0849769888 21451.1316347102
3600 841.60308178 33889.033694938 24459.9960274084
3721 942.46171574 160071.80292571 73733.039817145
3844 1055.4073587 389488.00805391 146377.129156962
3969 1181.8885311 599214.93113084 164926.525158791
4096 1323.5273456 916020.77728468 200231.776467094
4225 1482.1403105 972372.98241289 101034.7822235
4356 1659.7616266 1483742.6234385 138561.406621901
4489 1858.6692756 2114376.9824129 167551.641957561
4624 2081.4142348 2822701.5465155 170227.013664059
4761 2330.8531936 4219284.6747206 288526.691675991
4900 2610.18519 5387457.5977975 275430.584782628
5041 2922.9926385 6396294.9311308 176406.183722012
5184 3273.2872738 7573997.9567719 85680.7400922411
5329 3665.5616013 9941974.9311308 90865.1081811609
5476 4104.8465134 11992990.572157 29636.8229316069
5625 4596.77581 15367103.597798 18830.4783339648
5776 5147.6584515 16876401.341387 50921.7367229546
5929 5764.5594714 18637263.854208 401397.603771079
6084 6455.3905843 20250807.700362 1302772.46600944
161239 157583970.3718 4029270.79950951

delo Calculado: Desvio padrão 1430.57508358127

Erro Padrão 230.253601592196
Coeficiente de
^(0,1132∗𝑥) correlação
0.974430960268338
pois seu erro-padrão é menor que seu desvio-padrão.
 Curvas reais dos dois estados

Curva real de Alagoas

Curva real de Sergipe

20-mar 30-mar 9-abr 19-abr 29-abr 9-mai 19-mai 29-mai

estado de Sergipe
20-mar 30-mar 9-abr 19-abr 29-abr 9-mai 19-mai 29-mai
7000

6000

5000

4000 Curva Real de Sergipe

Curva Ajuste
Exponecial
3000

2000

1000

0
20-mar 30-mar 9-abr 19-abr 29-abr 9-mai 19-mai 29-mai
 1000

0
20-mar 30-mar 9-abr 19-abr 29-abr 9-mai 19-mai 29-mai
lagoas

ergipe

a Real de Sergipe
a Ajuste
necial