R1=97% R2=93% R3=85% R4=95% R5=99% R6=90%

RS= (R1,2)(R4,7)(R3,4,5)(R67,,8)(R9,10)(R11)
RS= (R1*R2)[1-(1-R3)(1-R4)(1-R5)][1-(1-R6)(1-R7)(1-R8)][1-(1-R9)(1-R10
RS= (0.97*0.91)[1-(1-0.85)(1-0.95)(1-0.99)][1-(1-0.90)(1-0.95)(1-0.93)][1-(1
RS= 0.8556857 85.57%

F(t)= 1- e^(-λ.t)
F(t) = 0.92
t= 50 días

0,92 = 1 - e^(-λ.50)
1/ 0,080 = e^(λ.50)
ln(1/0,080) = ln.e^(λ.50)
λ = 0,051
Frecuencia = 1/λ 19.6078431
 R7=95% R8= 93% R9= 87% R10=92% R11= 98%

(1-R8)][1-(1-R9)(1-R10)][R11]
90)(1-0.95)(1-0.93)][1-(1-0.87)(1-0.92)][0.9
 DISTRIBUCION NORMAL
J t(i) MR=F(t) R(t) z=f-1(t) x=t(i)
1 1275 0.03271028 0.96728972 -1.84237333 1275
2 1404 0.07943925 0.92056075 -1.40885346 1404
3 1547 0.12616822 0.87383178 -1.14469277 1547
4 1978 0.1728972 0.8271028 -0.94277815 1978
5 1989 0.21962617 0.78037383 -0.77345638 1989
6 2222 0.26635514 0.73364486 -0.62387409 2222
7 2459 0.31308411 0.68691589 -0.48712715 2459
8 2548 0.35981308 0.64018692 -0.35895846 2548
9 3129 0.40654206 0.59345794 -0.23644921 3129
10 3256 0.45327103 0.54672897 -0.1174013 3256
11 3457 0.5 0.5 0 3457
12 3547 0.54672897 0.45327103 0.1174013 3547
13 3731 0.59345794 0.40654206 0.23644921 3731
14 3802 0.64018692 0.35981308 0.35895846 3802
15 3873 0.68691589 0.31308411 0.48712715 3873
16 4169 0.73364486 0.26635514 0.62387409 4169
17 4538 0.78037383 0.21962617 0.77345638 4538
18 5188 0.8271028 0.1728972 0.94277815 5188
19 6241 0.87383178 0.12616822 1.14469277 6241
20 6311 0.92056075 0.07943925 1.40885346 6311
21 6714 0.96728972 0.03271028 1.84237333 6714

DISTRIBUCION EXPONENCIAL
0
f(x) = − 0.000530051961965 x + 0.8935178422288 2.5
-0.5 R² = 0.928185386065631
2
1.5 f(x) = 0.000573927
-1 R² = 0.9511124770
1
-1.5
0.5
-2
0
-2.5 -0.51000 2000

-3 -1
-1.5
-3.5
-2
-4
-2.5

La mejor opcion seria la distribución normal ya que su coeficiente R2 es mas

aproximado a 100 % con mejor eficacia para poder hallar los parametros.

p- value >0.1, nos da a conocer que la hipótesis nula de distribución de la normal es
alta.
La mejor opcion seria la distribución normal ya que su coeficiente R2 es mas
aproximado a 100 % con mejor eficacia para poder hallar los parametros.

p- value >0.1, nos da a conocer que la hipótesis nula de distribución de la normal es
alta.
DISTRIBUCION NORMAL DISTRIBUCION EXPONENCIAL KOLMOGOROV SMIRNOV
Y x y=ln ft pi zi P(zi)
-1.8423733259593 1275 -0.03325722175648 0.047619048 -1.37649409 0.08433436
-1.4088534561425 1404 -0.08277228628386 0.095238095 -1.29647944 0.09740518
-1.1446927672747 1547 -0.13486739816727 0.142857143 -1.20778104 0.11356575
-0.9427781453451 1978 -0.18982628244802 0.19047619 -0.94044529 0.1734946
-0.7734563763915 1989 -0.2479822026051 0.238095238 -0.93362233 0.17524937
-0.6238740855254 2222 -0.30973020967354 0.285714286 -0.78909976 0.21502685
-0.487127154231 2459 -0.37554342824312 0.333333333 -0.64209611 0.26040539
-0.3589584559153 2548 -0.44599508919373 0.380952381 -0.58689221 0.27863805
-0.2364492129757 3129 -0.52178892856326 0.428571429 -0.22651617 0.41039999
-0.1174012973141 3256 -0.6038020802241 0.476190476 -0.14774206 0.44127317
0 3457 -0.69314718055995 0.523809524 -0.02306808 0.49079798
0.1174012973141 3547 -0.79126503651847 0.571428571 0.032756087 0.51306545
0.2364492129757 3731 -0.90006789636727 0.619047619 0.146885503 0.5583888
0.3589584559153 3802 -1.02217059316817 0.666666667 0.190924571 0.57570766
0.48712715423098 3873 -1.16128339563089 0.714285714 0.234963639 0.59288152
0.6238740855254 4169 -1.3229247471873 0.761904762 0.418563133 0.66223228
0.7734563763915 4538 -1.51582841331179 0.80952381 0.647442232 0.74132711
0.9427781453451 5188 -1.75505810237763 0.857142857 1.050616798 0.85328269
1.14469276727469 6241 -2.07013914901752 0.904761905 1.703759593 0.955787
1.4088534561425 6311 -2.53276267096564 0.952380952 1.747178393 0.9596968
1.84237332595925 6714 -3.42006586596654 1 1.997146623 0.97709537

DISTRIBUCION NORMAL MEDIA 3494.19048

DESV.ESTAN 1612.20488
2.5
2
KS c 0.12140419
1.5 f(x) = 0.000573927108587 x − 2.00541063685196
R² = 0.951112477055958
1 Exponencial
0.5 R2 0.92818539
0 Normal
-0.51000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 R2 0.95111248
-1
-1.5
-2
-2.5

mal es
mal es
OROV SMIRNOV
P(zi)-pi P(zi)-pi-1
0.03671531 0.08433436
0.00216708 0.04978613
0.02929139 0.01832765
0.01698159 0.03063746
0.06284587 0.01522682
0.07068743 0.02306839
0.07292794 0.02530889
0.10231433 0.05469528
0.01817144 0.02944761
0.03491731 0.01270174
0.03301154 0.01460751
0.05836312 0.01074407
0.06065882 0.01303977
0.09095901 0.04333996
0.12140419 0.07378514
0.09967248 0.05205343
0.06819669 0.02057765
0.00386017 0.04375888
0.05102509 0.09864414
0.00731585 0.0549349
0.02290463 0.02471442

α 0.1 0.05 0.01

Cα 0.819 0.895 1.035

kn 4.7580609 4.7580609 4.7580609

0.17212894 0.18810184 0.21752559

ks t 0.18810184 Error max permitido

p-value >0.1