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Agenda item number: 9

COMMITTEE FINANCE & PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT


OVERVIEW & SCRUTINY COMMITTEE
DATE 23 MARCH 2005

TITLE OF REPORT REVIEW OF STRATEGIC RISKS

RESPONSIBLE Phil Toni – Assistant Director, Financial Planning &


OFFICER Asset Management

1. PURPOSE OF REPORT

1.1 To update members on key risks facing the Council. The aim of the report is
to identify the key risks facing the council and detail how those risks are being
managed.

2. RECOMMENDATIONS

Members are asked to note the report.

3 BACKGROUND

3.1 The report analyses risks facing the Council across its directorates. In
addition, cross-council risks were also analysed.

3.2 The process of developing a risk register was based on a wide definition of
risks going beyond the traditional concept of insurable risks. The following
diagram is illustrative of the range of risks considered as part of this process:

EXTERNAL
Range of Stakeholders
Financial Historic liabilities
Deficient information
Risks gathering
Investment Poor customer service
Dependency on Service continuity Public Image
limited resources planning Strategic
Greater financial Reputation
Resource Allocation
accountability Not meeting KPI’s Media mgmt Risks
Fraud and Corruption
Major change programme
Budget overrun Political Issues

Vision
Loss of key sites Early retirement Corporate
Legislation Skill mix Governance
Sickness & absence
Motor fleet risks Human
Staff retention Rights Act
Employee liability
IT Ethics Best Value
INTERNAL
Natural Disasters Operational
Diversity of needs Risks
Hazard
Political
Risks correctness issues
3.3 Risks were then described in terms of their likelihood and potential impact.
Marsh also produced an evaluation framework which can be used to add to
the commentary. For reference purposes this is set out below:

The following diagram represents the methodology for impact criteria;

Impact Criteria

Financial Reputation Stakeholders Service


Provision
Low 0-3% Budget Contained within Affects only 1 Unable to
over or under the individual group of provide
spend service area stakeholders services for
up to 2 days
Medium 4-6% Budget Affects significant Affects more Unable to
over or under number of service than 1 group of provide
spend areas but with stakeholders services for
short term impact between 2
on public memory and 5 days
High >7% Budget Receives Affects Unable to
over or under significant press multiple provide
spend attention with long groups of services for
term impact on stakeholders more than 5
public memory days
and/or central
govt. intervention

The diagram shows examples of four different criteria for measuring impact
these are:

• Impact on the budget


• Impact on service areas
• Impact on stakeholders
• Impact on service disruption

Moving from the top to the bottom of the diagram we encounter different
levels of severity.

The second set of criteria evaluated was likelihood criteria. This is simply a
measure of the likelihood of an event happening, the MARSH model for
categorising likelihood is set out in the following diagram:

Likelihood Criteria

Low Rare activity or combination


of situations where incident is
unlikely
Medium Frequent activity or where the
conditions for loss occur on a
regular basis
High High likelihood of an incident.
4. ANALYSIS OF RISK ISSUES

4.1 Medway Council, like any other local authority, is faced by a variety of risks in
the running of its operations. The key point that should be drawn from this
report, however, is that these risks are known and managed. The report
shows clearly that in all cases where significant risks have been identified, a
range of risk reducing activities have been put into place to mitigate the
impact of these risks.

4.2 It should also be noted that this report does not represent any kind of bid for
additional funding. Dealing with the risks highlighted within the report has
already been factored into budgets as a key part of addressing these risks
has been the service planning / budget setting process itself. Budgets in
recent years have seen resources put into areas such as ICT, services for
children and adult social services to address risks such as those identified
within the report.

4.3 The appendices within the report identify a number of risks within individual
services. However, the most important risks are those that affect more than
one service or are apparent across the whole organization. A number of
cross cutting themes have been identified from this risk review. These are
detailed in the following paragraphs.

Partnership Working

4.4 It is generally acknowledged that a partnership approach is key to the


successful delivery of local government services. The success of this
approach is contingent on sound governance structures and all partners
accepting shared responsibility for outcomes. This position is the case for all
local authorities.

4.5 In terms of managing the risks implicit in partnership working there are a
number of important mitigation factors. The two key ones are ensuring the
council has staff suitably experienced in partnership working and secondly
sound project management systems.

4.6 The employment of suitably experience staff is an issue that has been widely
identified across the council, with appropriate action being taken to address it.
A good example of this has been the Medway Rennaisance Development Unit
(MRDU). In the case of MRDU, it was identified that the delivery of the
Sustainable Communities strategy relied on having a suitably resourced
project management team.

4.7 In other areas, such as the roads programme, the Council has recognized the
need for suitably resourced outside expertise. This has led to the appointment
of Mouchelle Parkman to assist in the delivery of major roads projects.

4.8 The importance of these kind of arrangements is also highlighted in Appendix


5 in the context of ensuring the utilisation of capital resources.
The Children’s Act

4.9 The Children’s Act will result in major changes to the way all local authorities
deliver services to children. This presents risk in terms of integration of staff
into a new management structure and the integration / development of
infrastructure such as ICT systems.

4.10 Bearing in mind that the changes referred to in the preceeding paragraph
involve a fundamental change to the way children’s services are delivered in
Medway it is widely recognised that getting this process right is extremely
important. For this reason the Council has taken appropriate steps such as
ensuring the process of change goes through an extensive consultation
programme and that adequate time is built into the overall change process to
ensure that it is handled effectively. A well co-ordinated project management
of delivering the new agenda is seen as key to risk reduction.

Human Resource (HR) related Issues

4.11 A further area highlighted by all directorates related to staffing issues such as
recruitment, retention, violence towards staff and sickness.

4.12 These are issues that affect local authorities and Medway is fully aware of
them and active in their management. Across the council, human resource
issues are managed by the Human Resources section. In addition there is a
Human Resources Board, made up of assistant directors representing all
directorates, which contributes to the development of HR Strategy.

4.13 In 2003 a major exercise was carried out to kick-start Workforce Planning.
This linked business planning to HR planning and looked at the medium term
and long-term staffing needs of the Council. This work is the basis for the
Council’s plan to ensure sufficient staffing to meet the delivery of its services
in the longer term. Activities resulting from this,for example, have been
succession planning and the re-scoping of jobs to ensure the skills and
experience specified for roles meets with true requirements. In addition, the
Council recognizes the need to promote itself as the employer of choice, and
has focused on improving its image as an employer in an increasingly
competitive local employment market.

4.14 A successful initiative that has been undertaken over the last three years has
been the internal recruitment agency within the Council. This has saved
money by recruiting temporary staff directly rather than through agencies. It
has also acted as a springboard for the recruitment of permanent staff through
introducing them to the local government service.

4.15 With regard to the issue of staff retention, this has been address through the
council’s overall package of personnel policies. In addition, the Council has
introduced a single job evaluation process to ens ure that staff are paid
consistently across the council.

4.16 Violence to staff has been address through the provision of security in Council
buildings and appropriate training for dealing with difficult customers or
customers in distress. Risk assessments for lone-worker situations are
standard for all services across the Council.

4.17 Staff sickness is a key issue, both in terms of identifying and addressing the
causes of sickness and its impact on services to the public.

4.18 Regular reporting of sickness to managers, return to work interviews with all
staff after periods of sickness and the intervention of occupational health after
prolonged or persistent periods of sickness are now standard across the
Council. Sickness management has a high profile across the Council and is
regular sickness reports are received by the Corporate Management Team,
Directorate Management Teams and individual managers.

4.19 The return to work interview process is an important part of the sickness
management process as it helps to identify the causes of sickness. Where
appropriate, changes can be made to the workplace to alleviate the causes of
sickness.

4.20 The council is also focusing more on the treatment and management of
stress. In 2004 there was a week of publicity and events designed to highlight
stress in the workplace and how individuals can combat stress. Help is also
available through the confidential advice line available to staff.

Business Continuity

4.21 Business continuity (business interruption) issues are an important area for
risk management within any council, or for that matter, any organisation.
Business Continuity risk management is being dealt with as a cross-council
initiative. Marsh are currently finishing off three separate exercises for the
Council.

4.22 The first area of work is the updating of site response plans. Site response
plans have been developed for the Civic Centre, Compass Centre, Municipal
Buildings and generic front-line service delivery points. The plans cover
issues such as:

• Evacuation plans
• Shut down of sites
• Initial communications
• Salvage and
• Damage assessment

4.23 Moving on from this Marsh are also finalising work on the Crisis Management
Plan. The Chief Executive, relevant Directors and Assistant Directors
(depending on the nature and location of the incident) and core support in the
form of IT and buildings management personnel form the Crisis Management
Team. The team are responsible for:

• The deployment of personnel


• The recovery of basic IT and other infrastructure
• Managing external Communications
• Briefing Staff
• Management of the incident until such time as it is re-classified as an
operational matter.

4.24 The final aspect of Marsh’s work with the Council is Service Continuity
Planning. Service Continuity Plans have been developed to assist in the
recovery of key functions within service areas. The two main areas of service
continuity planning have been IT and buildings. All IT systems across all
directorates have been ranked in order of strategic importance / risk of non
availability. These rankings have then been merged by the ICT Strategy
Group to provide an overall priority list. In the event of a major loss of IT this
ranking will form the order for service recovery.

4.25 The process is supported by a full range of back up plans and procedures to
ensure a speedy recovery of service.

4.26 Linked to this work, service locations and accommodation usage has also
been assessed. Service priority for space has been ranked Red-Amber-
Green based on risks to life etc. of a service outage. This has been tied back
to the IT plan as there is no point in having IT systems available for staff to
use in the event of a disaster as a high priority but no accommodation
available to site the service.

4.27 In the event of the loss of all or part of a building the Crisis Management
Team will have the relevant information available to high priority teams into
accommodation currently used by services assessed as having a lower risk to
life etc. through business interruption.

4.28 Further measures such as the use of alternative sites would come into play if
necessitated by the severity of the business interruption.

5. SUMMARY

5.1 It is impossible to eliminate risks. What is important is that appropriate


procedures are in place for their identification and mitigation. This report
demonstrates that systems and processes are in place for this to be carried
out across the council.

5.2 The appendices within the report illustrate the range of risks that have been
identified and the range of existing measures that have been actioned to deal
with the risks.

5.3 Relevant officers from all service directorates will be present at the meeting
should members wish more information on individual risks areas.

6. FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS

6.1 The starting point for the annual budget setting process is the evaluation of
individual service area plans. As in previous years, service plans included an
evaluation of the risks facing each service. Resourcing for the risks facing the
council was built into the budget setting process for 2005/2006 as it drew on
these underlying service plans. This is illustrated by the resourcing put into
areas such as children’s services, adult services and highways. These
additional resources have had the effect of mitigating the risks faced by the
Council.

7 LEGAL IMPLICATIONS

7.1 There are none.

8. BACKGROUND DOCUMENTS

8.1 None

APPENDICES

Appendix 1 – Education and Leisure – Critical Risk Factors


Appendix 2 – Development and Environment – Critical Risk Factors
Appendix 3 – H & CS – Critical Risk Factors
Appendix 4 – F & CS – Critical Risks Factors
Appendix 5 – Cross-Council – Critical Risks Factors
Appendix 1 – Education and Leisure - Critical Risk Factors

Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities


A key function of the LEA A failure to perform in this The need for adequate
and by implication the area would lead to an resourcing will need to be
Council is to deli ver high increased number of taken into account during
quality education services. schools in serious Council re-organisation.
Central to this is providing weakness or special Performance Management
a strategic lead and measures/poor Joint Area arrangements in place
support and challenge to Review outcomes and include rigorous self-
schools. poor Council CPA score. evaluation process against
Likelihood: Low/Medium. Ofsted/Joint Area Review
Impact: High criteria. Completion of
Annual Performance
Assessment for Children’s
Services.
Failure to demonstrate Adult education is a key
Close partnership with
rising standards in adult issue for helping
Learning and Skills Council.
basic skills Medway’s citizens achieve
Review of Adult Basic
their aspirations. It is also
Education Strategy and
central to improving the
Provision to be completed by
economy and
December 2005.
regeneration. Success in
this area is of key strategic
importance.
Likelihood of failure:
Low/Medium.
Impact: Medium
Failure to reduce the Failure to deliver on this A range of strategies to build
number of permanent target will have long-term capacity in schools and
exclusions from schools in adverse implications for strengthen the Behaviour
line with targets. the children who have Support Service. These
been permanently Include:-
excluded and also will Key Stage 3 Attendance and
leave the authority subject Behaviour Strategy,
to scrutiny under future Learning Support Units
Joint Area Review within secondary schools,
inspections of Children’s “Invest to Save” Initiative at
Services. Silverbank Park, promoting
Likelihood: Medium managed transfer of pupils
Impact: High between schools,
Connexions Personal
Advisers.
Fundamental Review of
Exclusions is currently in
progress.
Current figures for 2004-05
show a substantial fall in
numbers of permanent
exclusions.
Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities
Failure to meet targets in Failure to meet national The range of measures to
national strategies for targets for raising support and challenge
raising attainment in attainment (for example at schools on raising
schools. Key Stage 2) will attainment are set out in the
adversely affect the life Education Development
chances of the children Plan; the Primary Strategy,
concerned, including their the Key Stage 3 Strategy
subsequent and the 14-19 Strategy.
opportunities to access a There is a Standards and
fast-changing labour Review process for looking
market. at individual schools in
Likelihood: Medium/High conjunction with the school.
Impact: Medium
Failure to plan adequately This could lead to pupils’ These are set out in the
for pupils with high levels needs being met Medway Inclusion Strategy
of special educational inadequately, or high and SEN Development
needs. levels of expenditure in the Plan 2002-05 and include:
independent/non- delegation of funding to
maintained schools’ Schools so that they can
budget. Planning is plan flexibly to meet pupils’
undertaken through the needs, provision of a wide
Special Educational Needs range of training for schools,
Development Plan and in close working with Social
conjunction with Social Services and Health.
Services and Health.
Likelihood: Medium/High
Impact: Medium
Failure of Inward Substantial external Capacity needs to be
Investment to support funding is being levered in retained to continue to do
Medway’s Cultural and to support Medway’s this.
Leisure Strategy. Cultural and Leisure
Strategies.
Likelihood: Medium
Impact: Medium
Inability to deliver services There are continuing Through the Teacher
due to vacancies of key difficulties in recruiting and Recruitment Team, Medway
staff and the lack of retaining teaching staff in has: developed a wide range
suitably qualified staff. schools and pupil referral of measures to encourage
units, particularly in the Newly Qualified Teachers to
shortage subjects and in locate in Medway Schools;
more difficult-to- recruit Support Graduate and
areas such as behaviour Registered Teacher
management. There are Programmes, has two
also difficulties in recruiting training schools, runs a
to some central services, Returner’s Course and is
including the Behaviour raising awareness of
Support Service and the teaching as a profession
Educational Psychology amongst minority ethnic
Service. communities. The school
Likelihood: Medium Well Being Initiative for Staff
Impact: Medium is in place.
Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities
School Place Planning is Good place planning, Capacity needs to be
ineffective. including reviews of retained in order to undertake
schools, and new build this.
where necessary, is
essential to avoid vacant
places above government
guidelines, or alternatively
children out school.
Likelihood: Low
Impact: Medium
Failure to implement Failure to implement Information, Referral and
tracking of children out of system to track children Tracking systems are being
school. not in school can lead to put in place and close work
children being lost to with relevant agencies.
education, with all the
consequences that entails.
Sustainability of services Changes in the This is being taken into
through changes to the methodology for local account in the budget
Central Government government funding have
Funding Formula. led to potential risks to
centrally-funded services
as opposed to schools and
other services which a re in
the “schools block” of
funding.
Likelihood: Low/Medium
Impact: Medium
Failure to spend capital Medway’s schools capital
Sufficient capacity needs to
project allocations. programme is currently of
be retained to ensure that the
the order of £20m per
Schools’ Capital Programme
annum and Medway has
is managed closely and
an excellent track record
effectively in accordance with
spending its capital
DfES policies and the need to
allocations within the
meet targets for raising
timescales required.
attainment in schools.
Likelihood: Low
Impact: Medium
Planned maintenance Lack of effective planned Effective support to schools
programmes to ensure the maintenance will lead to a from commissioning and
continuing development poor physical environment technical services.
and safety of buildings for children and potentially Under the LEA Asset
infrastructure. health and safety risks. Management Plan, there is a
Likelihood: Low rolling programme of
Impact: Medium condition surveys of school
buildings which are reported
back to schools and are
monitored centrally.
Maintenance Programmes
are planned in the light of
this.
Appendix 2 – DEVELOPMENT AND ENVIRONMENT - Critical Risk Factors

Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities


Reduction in income Likelihood of problems
The directorate has a
due to changing profile in 2005/6 are low but
successful track record of
of parking in potentially increasing to
managing budgets to
redeveloped Chatham. high in future years.
ensure a balanced position
over the year.
Impact potentially on
budgets / service users
Future changes in income
in 2006/07 and beyond.
will be profiled within the
medium term financial plan
and addressed as part of
future budget setting.

Severe weather from Reduce the level of spend


rainfall, wind and bad on the highway
winters will lead to maintenance budget to
budget pressures, e.g. fund any overspend.
gritting costs.
As an alternative, set-off
against other budgets.
Likelihood –Medium
Taken council-wide across
a range of services extra
Impact – High
costs generated by
unusually bad weather
conditions can be balanced
by unexpected savings
elsewhere.

In addition, the Belbin


scheme provides central
government funding for
major natural disasters to
mitigate against their costs.

Failure to deliver Likelihood – Low to


Business and Project plans
projects to time and/or Medium
are in place, a dedicated
spend the ODPM
project board works to
funding Impact potentially high
resolve issues and
on the Council’s
problems and continual
reputation.
dialogue with ODPM helps
to mitigate the risk.
Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities
Implementation of the Potential impact will
Project Boards and
Customer First project depend on level of
dedicated project
and the FLTF Confirm capacity built into FPOC
managers are in place for
system could lead to
each system. This should
additional pressures on
ensure managers can
services as they
feedback issues/problems
respond to demands for
to relevant personnel.
support & information.
To mitigate this risk, and
additional £445,000 in
revenue funding was put
into the 2005/2006 budget
for this area.
Deterioration of the Likelihood of problems
greenspaces, highways in 2005/6 are low but Revenue budget
network, including the potentially increasing for maintained for 2005/2006.
Medway Tunnel, and future years if no action Additional highways capital
other assets. is taken. expenditure provided
within the 2005/2006
Impact potentially high approved budget.
for budgets and service Systems to ensure early
users, and on the identification of problems
reputation of the exist along with regular
Council. monitoring and reporting of
the state of the assets.
Appendix 3 – HEALTH AND COMMUNITY SERVICES - Critical Risk Factors

Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities


The Government expects The review of services Older Persons Plan agreed
LAs to continue to invest for Older People by the to address these issues.
in developing community Health Act Commission Robust project management
alternatives to hospital and CSCI will be procedures are in place to
and permanent care in completed in 2005/06. manage the process.
respect of services for The findings of this
adults. Although the review will impact on the PFI expression of interest
Change Plan has been Council’s CPA has recently been submitted
effective in 2004/05, the assessment. to bid for resources to fund
change needs to be development of the
embedded and further Impact potentially high Woodlands and Shawswood
initiatives developed / on the Council’s sites. The outcome of the
delivered – e.g. reputation and on the bidding process will be know
Woodlands and Shaws budgets / service users in June 2005. Alternative
Wood. in 2005/06 and beyond. plans and funding streams
are also being researched
and developed.

The Stock Option Housing is a key Robust project management


appraisal may lead to a service. Impact of any procedures to be put in
significant reorganisation. failure in business place.
continuity would be
severe
Community Services: Impact high for service Robust project management
Relocation of Registrars users and on the procedures to be put in
entails complex office council’s reputation. place
moves and the
management of an
effective booking system Likelihood low.
for marriages. The non-
availability of the service
/ failure to
provide a booked
ceremony would be
unacceptable to the
public and could result in
failure to achieve the
forecast increase in
income.
Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities
Death or injury of a Likelihood Low Existing Area Child
service user – particularly Protection Committee
a child Impact High (ACPC) procedures give
detailed guidance to all staff
working with vulnerable
children. All staff are trained
in these procedures and are
required to comply with
them.

Regular supervision is
provided for all staff working
in this arena.

Audits of activity are


undertaken to ensure that
proper processes are
complied with.

Adult services has similar


systems in place to
minimise risks to vulnerable
adults
The Council has in both
04/05 and 05/06 has
increased resources to deal
with increased activity.

The pressure on social Likelihood of problems An Older Persons Plan has


care services driven by in 2005/6 are low but been adopted and is being
demographic changes potentially increasing implemented. A Disability
and high expectations therefore requiring Change Plan Board has
continues to increase action in current year to been established to explore
abate future problems. and o versee the
Capacity within the local implementation of new ways
care sector is close to Impact medium for of working and generating
saturation. Any 2005/06 but building – additional, affordable
unexpected demands particularly on budgets capacity
created by an epidemic /
bad weather / Impact potentially high Significant additional
exceptionally hot weather for budgets and service revenue funding provided in
/ the need to move large users, and on the last two financial years
numbers from hospital reputation of the Council (2003/2004 and 2004/2005)
could place unmeetable to mitigate against these
demands on Medway’s risks. Additional funding
care economy also provided within
2005/2006 budget.
Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities
The nature of the work of Likelihood Medium Established programme for
the Directorate presents H&S training is in place,
Health & Safety risks to Impact Low to High supported by three H&S
staff and service users depends on the nature staff. Health & Safety Audits
alike. The Council retains of the incident are undertaken to check
liability for services compliance with policies and
provided on its beha lf by procedures. H&S is
the independent sector. overseen in the Directorate
by service specific H&S
Groups that report to a
Directorate H&S Board.
Dedicated staff provided to
cover H&S issues.
Learning and Development
funding provided by Council
and Department of Health.
The Directorate’s Social
Care Procurement Team
oversees the independent
sectors compliance with
health & safety
requirements.
Staff shortages resulting Likelihood Medium Workforce plan and learning
from problems recruiting & development strategy is
and retaining staff can Impact High being developed in
inhibit care service conjunction with the private
delivery for both the care sector.
Council and private Relationships with the
sector ‘Universities at Medway’ are
being developed.
Effective agency staff
arrangements are used to
ensure services remain safe
and compliant with statutory
requirements.
An absence management
plan has been devised and
is being implemented.

Industrial action – Likelihood Medium Contingency plans to ensure


perhaps associated with Impact unknown – coverage for industrial
potential changes to LG depends on the nature action will be put in place
pension scheme. of action taken. when the nature of any
action is known.
Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities
Loss of a facility (Council Likelihood Low Ensuring compliance with
or private sector) fire regulations as part of
because of fire / flooding Impact High contract compliance
/ loss of registration / reduces this risk. Fire
non-compliance with certificates and equipment
DDA are maintained on all
etc. Council run premises

Failure to effectively Likelihood Low A dedicated project


implement the new manager and team have
Adults Information Impact High been established. The old
System would be costly (V98) and the new
and undermine delivery information systems will be
and management of run in parallel for 3-month.
services Use of V98 could be
extended. The Directorate
ICT Board oversees this
project.

Loss of crematoria Likelihood increasing An Asset Plan for the


‘business’ to new and service is being developed
more modern facilities Impact High on budgets to seek ways to rationalise
being developed close to the portfolio and to invest
Medway more into modern facilities
and buildings.
Loss of Registrars
‘business’ as a
consequence of better
facilities being offered
elsewhere
Independent providers of Likelihood High Procurement team
social care do not accept negotiates prices. Additional
the 2.5% price increase Impact High funding is being made
factored into the 2005/06 available to support the
budget learning and development of
the social care workforce.
This investment should
reduce the need for the
independent care sector to
factor required staff training
into their fee structure.
In the medium to long term
the older persons plan is
being developed.
Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities
Underachievement of Likelihood Medium Marketing plans are being
income across all develped to sustain or
chargeable services – Impact Medium increase income.
bereavement, social
care, interpreters and Revenue budgets will need
Registrars. to be managed to ensure a
balanced position is
achieved across the
directorate.

Service demand places Likelihood High Regular budget monitoring


pressure on existing by service managers and
approved budgets Impact potentially high DMT will ensure the early
identification of problems

Project Boards in place to


develop and implement
cost-reducing service
changes
Appendix 4 – FINANCE AND CORPORATE SERVICES - Critical Risk Factors

Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities


Large scale fraud Poor stewardship of public Established control
money, risk to service procedures in place.
provision and reserves Compliance with Controls
Failure to set sustainable framework.
Operation of procedures
assessed by internal and
external audit.
Established fraud
reporting procedures at
officer and member level.
Daily check on bank
account and bank.
Service demand exceeds Likelihood High Regular budget monitoring
budget provided by service managers and
Impact potentially high DMT will ensure the early
identification of problems

Project Boards in place to


develop and implement
cost-reducing service
changes

(A number of F & CS risks are covered in Appendix 5)


Appendix 5 – CROSS COUNCIL - Critical Risk Factors

Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities


Service delivery may be Likelihood - Medium Robust project
temporarily affected as a management
result of reorganisation Impact – High arrangements are being
and/or the implementation put in place to ensure key
of the recommendations services are not
from the Gershon report. destabilised by the
restructuring and
redeployment of staff.
Regard will need to be
given to the capacity of the
Council’s officers to deliver
these changes as well as
ensuring services are
competently delivered
during what could
potentially be a period of
‘unrest’ on the part of staff
whose jobs may be
deleted or significantly
changed
.
Possible budget Likelihood – Low given
Regular budget monitoring
overspends as a that services will develop
by service managers and
consequence of new budgets to meet their
Directorate Management
demands for respective control totals
Teams will ensure the
statutory/mandatory
early identification of
services Impact - High on the
problems and look for
budgets and service
compensating savings
users.

Failure of partners to Likelihood – Low to Partners are aware of their


accept shared Medium responsibilities through
responsibility leading to effective collaborative
the failure of the council to Impact – High working and SLAs. The
deliver on key projects LSP commitments provide
a clear example of this.

A further control is the


existence of sound project
management systems
overall combined with
cross agency working to
assist in delivering joint
objectives.
Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities
The Council’s CPA score Likelihood - Low Services are monitored
may be affected by the regularly through effective
under-performance of Impact – High performance
individual services. management, e.g. Critical
Success Factors. There is
a clear accountability
across the organisation for
setting and achieving
performance standards.
Normal service delivery Likelihood - Low A comprehensive
would be affected by the Emergency Plan and
need to respond to a large Impact – High periodical practice events
scale civil emergency attempt to minimise
disruption.
Loss of key staff and Use agency staff where
Likelihood - High of not
potential difficulty in needed.
being able to deliver
replacing them due to Continually review and
services to an acceptable
skills shortage. implement new
standard
opportunities of enhance
recruitment activity.
Impact – High on the
Explore and implement
Council’s reputation and
new ways of working and
on service users
generating additional
capacity in Medway.
Refine and continue to
implement existing
workforce plans across the
Council, augmented by the
learning & development
strategy.
Lack of prioritised service Without an agreed priority With assistance from
continuity plan in the event for services to be Marsh risk management
of a major disaster recovered following consultants a plan is being
disaster, resources could developed (focusing on
be misplaced resulting in property, ICT and service
major strategic impacts on delivery) to address
the Authority and the business interruption.
community. This will be available in
June 2005.
Failure to implement/keep This could lead to the Close Monitoring
up to date with legislation failure to receive Management awareness
resources, inappropriate
Networking Attending
use/distribution of
Seminars
resources or liable
compensation claims. Engage consultants for up
to date advice.
Ensure systems are
compliant and lead in
should be suitably long
enough for proper
arrangements to be made.
Risk Potential Impact Risk Reducing Activities
Failure to deliver capital All capital spends are Established and effective
programme there fo r a strategic monitoring procedures
purpose, covering have doubled delivery of
economic development, capital schemes since
regeneration, improved or 2001. Regular reporting to
continuous service Members and
delivery. Failure to management teams is in
achieve that programme place.
could result in the loss of Pro Active monitoring by
that strategic purpose. Financial Planning team.
Reputation risk to Council The development of the
– Risk that ODPM etc. will role of the Capital &
lose faith in Medway as a Property Board to oversee
delivery vehicle for programme development.
regeneration etc. – result Bringing new schemes in
will be loss of grant / to replace abortive works.
borrowing approvals

Lack of change Can result in loss of Develop Personnel


management skills morale increased managers and line
negativity and depletion of managers in change
service provision management skills
Failure of IT Systems Resulting in delays or loss Large investment in ICT
of services throughout the systems in recent years.
Authority, examples of the Opportunities for future
impact could include, investment identified. All
delays in billing leading to single points of failure
cash flow problems, identified and monitoried.
backlog of benefits could Dedicated resources and
increase homelessness effective programme fro
levels resulting in a response in place.
negative impact upon the Regular attendance at IT
local economy. Failure to user groups; encourage
pay suppliers could lead to greater support from
service suspension. partners; keep up to date
with releases of new
software.
Lack of succession Leading to skill gaps, loss Linked to “Strategic Risk -
planning of leadership Loss of key staff
Members” plus need
successful Management
Development process
Violence towards staff Injury, stress, insurance Security systems and
and compensation claims procedures in place
Loss of power supply Lead to the delays and Stand by Generator / UPS
breaks in service delivery for loss of power

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