DATOS UNIDADES

OOIP 318 MMB

OGIP 3362 MMMPC
PRECIO DEL BARRIL DE ACEITE 54.95 USD/BARRIL
PRECIO DEL GAS 4.69 USD/MMBTU
FRFE ACEITE 38% FRACCIÓN
FRFE GAS 42% FRACIÓN
A 33 KM2
H 186 M
POROSIDAD 5% FRACCIÓN
SW 13% FRACCIÓN
BO 1.2 M3/M3
BG 0.003 MMPC/MB

RESERVAS DE ACEITE 120,840,000 BBL

RESERVA DE GAS 1,412,040,000 PC

INVERSIÓN 30,000,000,000 MXN

1,479,289,940.8284 USD

CÓSTO POR POZO 225,000,000.08 MXN

11,094,674.56 USD

CÓSTO TOTAL DE LOS POZOS 443,786,982.40 USD

IMPUESTO 55%
TASA DE INTERES 12%

PRECIO DEL BARRIL 54.95 USD POR BARRIL

PRECIO DEL GAS NATURAL 4.4 USD POR MMBTU

FACTÓRES DE CONVERSIÓN A USAR

1 USD= 20.28 MXN

1 ft3= 1,000 btu/ ft3

VPN 1,404,569,727,665.64

TIR 64%
EXPLOTACIÓN POSIBLE SOLO HASTA EL
AÑO 2025

PRODUCCIÓN DE ACEITE EN EL AÑO 115,121,000

2025
RESERVA DE ACEITE EN EL AÑO 2025 5,719,000.00

PRODUCCIÓN DE GAS EN EL AÑO 2025 1,268,243,600.00

RESERVA DE GAS EN EL AÑO 2025 211,046,340.83

DIAGRAMA DE TORNADO

BAJO BASE
PRODUCCIÓN 11,000,000 13,000,000
PRECIO 54 70
INVERSIÓN 1,200,000,000 1,350,000,000
COSTO 800,000,000 900,000,000

LIMITE INFERIOR LIMITE SUPERIOR

PRODUCCIÓN 1,480,000,000 1,165,000,000
PRECIO 1,548,000,000 1,210,000,000
INVERSIÓN 1,190,000,000 1,490,000,000
COSTO 1,240,000,000 1,440,000,000

DIAGRAMA DE TORNADO

1,100,000,000 1,200,000,000 1,300,000,000 1,400,000,000 1,500,0

PRODUCCIÓN

PRECIO

INVERSIÓN

COSTO
 54 7.5%

25%

15%
50%
70
11,000,000

7.5%
30% 25% 80

10%
25% 59

40%
13,000,000 50% 20%
70

10%
25% 80

7.5%
59
30% 25%

50% 15%
15,500,000 70

7.5%
25% 80
NÚMERO DE POZOS 40
E TORNADO

ALTO
15,500,000
80
1,500,000,000
1,000,000,000

BASE RANGO RANGO^2 VARIABILIDAD

1,340,000,000 315,000,000 99,225,000,000,000,000 29%
338,000,000 114,244,000,000,000,000 33%
300,000,000 90,000,000,000,000,000 26%
200,000,000 40,000,000,000,000,000 12%
343,469,000,000,000,000 100%

AMA DE TORNADO

300,000,000 1,400,000,000 1,500,000,000 1,600,000,000

 F.E
1,370,000,000
1,010,000,000
1,165,000,000
1,210,000,000
1,335,500,000
1,480,000,000 1,340,000,000
1,370,000,000
1,480,000,000
1,483,000,000
1,601,000,000 1,601,000,000

10%
1,210,000,000

1,340,000,000

1,483,000,000

1,010,000,000

1,165,000,000

7.5%
1,335,500,000
AÑO PRODUCCIÓN EN PRODUCCIÓN EN PRODUCCIÓN EN PRODUCCIÓN EN
BARRILES DE FT3 DE GAS AL BARRILES DE FT3 DE GAS AL DIA
ACEITE AL DIA ( EN CADA ACEITE AL DÍA (POR LOS 40 POZOS)
DÍA( EN CADA POZO) (POR LOS 40
POZO) POZOS)

2018 1,073 10,102 42,920 404,080

2019 1,082 10,683 43,280 427,320
2020 846 11,979 33,840 479,160
2021 973 10,825 38,920 433,000
2022 959 10,493 38,360 419,720
2023 1,076 11,767 43,040 470,680
2024 831 10,033 33,240 401,320
2025 1,045 10,984 41,800 439,360
2026 832 12,311 33,280 492,440
2027 910 12,530 36,400 501,200
2028 771 11,337 30,840 453,480
2029 997 10,496 39,880 419,840
2030 757 11,618 30,280 464,720
2031 1,052 11,758 42,080 470,320
2032 912 10,016 36,480 400,640
2033 1,035 10,261 41,400 410,440
2034 975 12,426 39,000 497,040
2035 797 10,410 31,880 416,400
2036 804 12,347 32,160 493,880
2037 1,045 11,761 41,800 470,440
2038 779 11,206 31,160 448,240
 1

0.9

PROBABILIDAD ACUMULAD (PORCENTAJE)

0.8

PROBABILIDAD 0.7
ACUMULADA 0.6
0.075 0.5
0.225
0.4
0.325
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.6
0.675 0.1

0.825 0

0.925
FLUJO DE EFECTIVO
1
 PRODUCCIÓN EN PRODUCCIÓN PRODUCCIÓN EN PRODUCCIÓN PRECIO DEL
BARRILES DE ACEITE EN ACUMULADA EN FT3 DE GAS EN ACUMULADA EN FT3 BARRIL USD
CADA AÑO (POR LOS 40 BARRILES DE CADA AÑO (POR DE GAS (POR LOS 40
POZOS) ACEITE (POR LOS LOS 40 POZOS) POZOS)
40 POZOS)

15,665,800 15,665,800 147,489,200 147,489,200 54.95

15,797,200 31,463,000 155,971,800 303,461,000 79.52
12,351,600 43,814,600 174,893,400 478,354,400 76.22
14,205,800 58,020,400 158,045,000 636,399,400 57.42
14,001,400 72,021,800 153,197,800 789,597,200 64.92
15,709,600 87,731,400 171,798,200 961,395,400 66.61
12,132,600 99,864,000 146,481,800 1,107,877,200 72.47
15,257,000 115,121,000 160,366,400 1,268,243,600 75.11
12,147,200 127,268,200 179,740,600 1,447,984,200 67.32
13,286,000 140,554,200 182,938,000 1,630,922,200 75.66
11,256,600 151,810,800 165,520,200 1,796,442,400 77.45
14,556,200 166,367,000 153,241,600 1,949,684,000 77.06
11,052,200 177,419,200 169,622,800 2,119,306,800 63.68
15,359,200 192,778,400 171,666,800 2,290,973,600 55.45
13,315,200 206,093,600 146,233,600 2,437,207,200 67.99
15,111,000 221,204,600 149,810,600 2,587,017,800 70.27
14,235,000 235,439,600 181,419,600 2,768,437,400 59.70
11,636,200 247,075,800 151,986,000 2,920,423,400 57.13
11,738,400 258,814,200 180,266,200 3,100,689,600 69.60
15,257,000 274,071,200 171,710,600 3,272,400,200 64.89
11,373,400 285,444,600 163,607,600 3,436,007,800 75.51
E EFECTIVO
PRECIO DEL COSTO DE INVERSIÓN USD INGRESO USD FLUJO DE EFECTIVO
GAS OPERACIONES USD ANTES DE
NATURAL IMPUESTOS USD
USD

4.40 995,603,419 1,479,289,940.8284 649,813,315,710 648,817,712,291.00

3.17 815,417,029 - 495,686,799,344 494,871,382,315.00
3.73 997,767,269 - 652,769,140,752 651,771,373,483.00
2.77 948,508,123 - 437,968,167,036 437,019,658,913.00
3.94 993,569,402 - 604,048,709,488 603,055,140,086.00
2.80 922,795,019 - 482,253,174,656 481,330,379,637.00
4.38 906,631,648 - 641,737,124,522 640,830,492,874.00
4.38 809,676,069 - 702,748,953,270 701,939,277,201.00
3.19 874,328,608 - 574,190,263,504 573,315,934,896.00
2.63 989,927,943 - 481,766,282,760 480,776,354,817.00
3.64 828,250,868 - 602,868,791,070 602,040,540,202.00
3.03 855,744,894 - 465,290,507,172 464,434,762,278.00
2.68 920,171,831 - 455,971,399,296 455,051,227,465.00
3.56 922,679,725 - 611,127,141,640 610,204,461,915.00
3.92 836,225,235 - 573,994,778,848 573,158,553,613.00
2.52 881,355,890 - 378,734,372,570 377,853,016,680.00
4.18 827,313,982 - 759,365,177,100 758,537,863,118.00
3.60 814,023,131 - 548,422,320,106 547,608,296,975.00
3.55 891,593,626 - 641,302,801,240 640,411,207,614.00
2.72 828,247,285 - 468,214,569,330 467,386,322,045.00
3.19 865,369,709 - 521,949,011,434 521,083,641,725.00
FLUJO DE EFECTIVO VPN VPN/VPI
DESPUÉS DE
IMPUESTOS USD

-290,488,680,590.12 -259,364,893,384.04 175.33

222,692,122,041.75 177,528,796,270.53 -
293,297,118,067.35 208,763,095,380.94 -
196,658,846,510.85 124,980,252,235.89 -
271,374,813,038.70 153,985,356,883.77 -
216,598,670,836.65 109,735,627,451.49 -
288,373,721,793.30 130,445,626,776.98 -
315,872,674,740.45 127,575,675,504.65 -
257,992,170,703.20 93,034,563,122.33 -
216,349,359,667.65 69,658,703,566.52 -
270,918,243,090.90 77,882,521,053.07 -
208,995,643,025.10 53,643,976,098.65 -
204,773,052,359.25 46,928,698,434.84 -
274,592,007,861.75 56,186,965,194.50 -
257,921,349,125.85 47,121,266,185.51 -
170,033,857,506.00 27,736,205,405.96 -
341,342,038,403.10 49,714,536,215.36 -
246,423,733,638.75 32,044,841,317.54 -
288,185,043,426.30 33,460,236,540.24 -
210,323,844,920.25 21,803,592,622.21 -
234,487,638,776.25 21,704,084,788.70 -
15,665,800 1
31,463,000 2
28,148,800 3
26,557,400 4
28,207,200 5
29,711,000 6
27,842,200 7
27,389,600 8
27,404,200 9
25,433,200 10
24,542,600 11
25,812,800 12
25,608,400 13
26,411,400 14
28,674,400 15
28,426,200 16
29,346,000 17
25,871,200 18
23,374,600 19
26,995,400 20
26,630,400 21
2025