Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
45
0.3
0.25 0.7
Pronostico de
Ventas Pronostico de Pronostico de promedio
Periodo promedio movil 3 promedio movil Suavizado
periodos ponderado Exponencial
1 57
2 73
3 86 65
4 75 72.0 74.85 79.7
5 68 78.0 77.8 76.4
6 73 76.3 74.6 70.5
7 79 72.0 72 72.3
8 73 73.3 74.45 77.0
9 65 75.0 74.8 74.2
10 76 72.3 70.9 67.8
11 88 71.3 71.95 73.5
12 70 76.3 78.65 83.7
13 78.0 76.9 74.1
80 80
60 60
40 40
20 20
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 112 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
GRAFICA TOTAL
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Column C Column E
Column C Column F
b 18.79761905
r
Chart Title
600
500
200
100
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
x y
Periodo Demanda x.y X2 Y2
1 57 57.0 1 3249
100
2 78 156.0 4 6084
90
3 82 246.0 9 6724
80
4 73 292.0 16 5329 f(x) = 2.01190
70 R² = 0.197480
5 62 310.0 25 3844
6 65 60
390.0 36 4225
7 78 546.0 49 6084 50
8 90 720.0 64 8100 40
9 30
sumatoria 45 585 2717.0 204 43639 20
promedio 5 73.125 10
0
0 1 2
b 2.0119 r 0.4443876856
r2 0.1974804151
a 63.0655
x y %
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Pronostico
100
90
Error 80
Absoluto
70
8.08
60
10.91
12.90 50
1.89 40
11.13 30
10.14 20
0.85 10
10.84 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
66.73 Demanda Pronostico
Pronostico Ajustado
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9