Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.90342638
Coeficiente d 0.81617922
R^2 ajustado 0.80782373
Error típico 45.376465
Observacione 24

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 201129.106 201129.106 97.6817889 1.49366E-09
Residuos 22 45298.5187 2059.02358
Total 23 246427.625

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Intercepción 271.065217 19.1193956 14.1774993 1.51933E-12 231.414018 310.716417 231.414018
Variable X 1 13.2247826 1.33807895 9.88340978 1.49366E-09 10.4497767 15.9997885 10.4497767

Análisis de los residuales

Observación
Pronóstico para YResiduos
1 284.29 5.71
2 297.514783 2.48521739
3 310.739565 14.2604348
4 323.964348 28.0356522
5 337.18913 -85.1891304
6 350.413913 -35.413913
7 363.638696 61.3613043
8 376.863478 -101.863478
9 390.088261 -69.0882609
10 403.313043 16.6869565
11 416.537826 8.46217391
12 429.762609 55.2373913
13 442.987391 47.0126087
14 456.212174 63.7878261
15 469.436957 20.5630435
16 482.661739 42.3382609
17 495.886522 14.1134783
18 509.111304 18.8886957
19 522.336087 7.66391304
20 535.56087 -0.56086957
21 548.785652 -8.78565217
22 562.010435 -17.0104348
23 575.235217 -40.2352174
24 588.46 -48.46
Superior 95.0%
310.716417
15.9997885
 Regresión lineal-linear regression
AÑO Periodo (x) Demanda (y) Pronostico de demanda
1995 1 290 284.295 -5.705
1996 2 300 297.52 -2.48
1997 3 325 310.745 -14.255
1998 4 352 323.97 -28.03
1999 5 252 337.195 85.195
2000 6 315 350.42 35.42
2001 7 425 363.645 -61.355
2002 8 275 376.87 101.87
2003 9 321 390.095 69.095
2004 10 420 403.32 -16.68
2005 11 425 416.545 -8.455
2006 12 485 429.77 -55.23
2007 13 490 442.995 -47.005
2008 14 520 456.22 -63.78
2009 15 490 469.445 -20.555
2010 16 525 482.67 -42.33
2011 17 510 495.895 -14.105
2012 18 528 509.12 -18.88
2013 19 530 522.345 -7.655
2014 20 535 535.57 0.57
2015 21 540 548.795 8.795
2016 22 545 562.02 17.02
2017 23 535 575.245 40.245
2018 24 540 588.47 48.47
 Chart Title
600
f(x) = 13.2247826086957 x + 271.065217391304
500 R² = 0.81617921815522
400

300 Column C
Axis Title Linear (Column C)
200

100

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Axis Title

700

600

500

400
Demanda (y)
300 Pronostico de demanda

200

100

0
mn C
(Column C)

e demanda