CUADRO Nº : FLUJO DE CAJA (Precio Social)

PROYECTO PRODUCCION DE CUY EN HUAMANQUIQUIA

FECHA Abril del 2007

PRIMERA ALTERNATIVA

AÑO INVERSION OPERAC. MANTEN. EGRESO BENEFICIO FLUJO

S/. S/. S/, TOTAL VBPI NETO
0 ### - 5,119.37 - 17,494.14 1,163,704.41 - 47,420.84 - 1,211,125.25
1 108,781.16 45,369.51 114,981.18 269,131.84 593,922.01 324,790.17
2 105,673.08 45,369.51 114,981.18 266,023.77 593,922.01 327,898.24
3 - 45,369.51 114,981.18 160,350.69 593,922.01 433,571.33
4 - 45,369.51 114,981.18 160,350.69 593,922.01 433,571.33
5 - 45,369.51 114,981.18 160,350.69 593,922.01 433,571.33
6 45,369.51 114,981.18 160,350.69 593,922.01 433,571.33
7 45,369.51 114,981.18 160,350.69 593,922.01 433,571.33

TSD 11%
VAN 648,180.25
TIR 25.1%
B/C 1.31

SEGUNDA ALTERNATIVA

AÑO INVERSION OPERAC. MANTEN. EGRESO BENEFICIO FLUJO

S/. S/. S/, TOTAL VBPI NETO
0 268,871.26 12,230.17 - 17,494.14 263,607.29 37,040.51 - 226,566.77
1 89,679.01 12,230.17 27,350.01 129,259.19 109,001.51 - 20,257.67
2 79,471.32 12,230.17 27,350.01 119,051.51 144,982.01 25,930.51
3 - 12,230.17 27,350.01 39,580.18 144,982.01 105,401.83
4 - 12,230.17 27,350.01 39,580.18 144,982.01 105,401.83
5 - 12,230.17 27,350.01 39,580.18 144,982.01 105,401.83
6 - 12,230.17 27,350.01 39,580.18 144,982.01 105,401.83
7 - 12,230.17 27,350.01 39,580.18 144,982.01 105,401.83

TSD 11%
VAN 92,399.88
TIR 19.3%
B/C 1.16
FA FLUJO FAC FAB
0.90 ACTUALIZ
1.00 (1,211,125.25) 1,163,704.41 (47,420.84)
0.90 292,603.76 242,461.12 535,064.88
0.81 266,129.57 215,910.86 482,040.43
0.73 317,023.62 117,247.04 434,270.66
0.66 285,606.86 105,627.96 391,234.83
0.59 257,303.48 95,160.33 352,463.81
0.53 231,804.94 85,730.03 317,534.96
0.48 208,833.28 77,234.26 286,067.53

648,180.25 2,103,076.00 2,751,256.25

FA FLUJO FAC FAB

0.90 ACTUALIZ
1.00 (226,566.77) 263,607.29 37,040.51
0.90 (18,250.16) 116,449.72 98,199.56
0.81 21,045.78 96,624.87 117,670.66
0.73 77,068.91 28,940.69 106,009.60
0.66 69,431.45 26,072.69 95,504.14
0.59 62,550.86 23,488.91 86,039.77
0.53 56,352.12 21,161.18 77,513.31
0.48 50,767.68 19,064.13 69,831.81

92,399.88 595,409.48 687,809.36

 ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD
PROYECTO : PRODUCCION DE CUY EN HUAMANQUIQUIA

1.- VARIACION DE PRECIOS DE INSUMOS

100% Variacion
INDICADOR ALT 01 ALT 02
-30%
VAN Social 648,180.25 92,399.88 -20%
TIR Social 25.15 19.26 -10%
B/C Social 1.31 1.16 0%
10%
20%
30%

1.- VARIACION DE PRECIOS DE VENTA

100% Variacion
INDICADOR ALT 01 ALT 02
-30%
VAN Social 648,180.25 92,399.88 -20%
TIR Social 25.15 19.26 -10%
B/C Social 1.31 1.16 0%
10%
20%
30%

3.- VARIACION DE RENDIMIENTOS

100% Variacion
INDICADOR ALT 01 ALT 02
-30%
VAN Social 648,180.25 92,399.88 -20%
TIR Social 25.15 19.26 -10%
B/C Social 1.31 1.16 0%
10%
20%
30%
VANS 01 VANS 02
1,518,610.35 346,332.49
1,243,321.52 261,947.81
953,178.15 177,303.60
648,180.25 92,399.88
328,327.81 7,236.64
(6,379.17) (78,186.12)
(355,940.68) (163,868.40)

VANS 01 VANS 02
(609,147.69) (259,710.15)
(190,038.38) (142,340.14)
229,070.94 (24,970.13)
648,180.25 92,399.88
1,067,289.56 209,769.89
1,486,398.87 327,139.90
1,905,508.19 444,509.91

VANS 01 VANS 02
(609,147.69) (259,710.15)
(190,038.38) (142,340.14)
229,070.94 (24,970.13)
648,180.25 92,399.88
1,067,289.56 209,769.89
1,486,398.87 327,139.90
1,905,508.19 444,509.91
RESULTADOS DE ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD
1.- VARIACION DE PRECIOS DE INSUMOS

2,000,000
Variación VANS 01 VANS 02
-30% 1,518,610 346,332
-20% 1,243,322 261,948 1,500,000
-10% 953,178 177,304
0% 648,180 92,400
10% 328,328 7,237 1,000,000
VANS 01
20% (6,379) (78,186)
VANS 02
30% (355,941) (163,868)
500,000

-
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30%

(500,000)

1.- VARIACION DE PRECIOS DE VENTA

2,500,000

Variación VANS 01 VANS 02 2,000,000

-30% (609,148) (259,710)
-20% (190,038) (142,340) 1,500,000
-10% 229,071 (24,970)
0% 648,180 92,400 1,000,000
VANS 01
10% 1,067,290 209,770 VANS 02
500,000
20% 1,486,399 327,140
30% 1,905,508 444,510
-
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30%
(500,000)

(1,000,000)

3.- VARIACION DE RENDIMIENTOS

2,500,000
Variación VANS 01 VANS 02
-30% (609,148) (259,710) 2,000,000
-20% (190,038) (142,340)
-10% 229,071 (24,970) 1,500,000
0% 648,180 92,400
1,000,000
10% 1,067,290 209,770 VANS 01
20% 1,486,399 327,140 VANS 02
500,000
30% 1,905,508 444,510
-
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30%
(500,000)

(1,000,000)
 VANS 02
500,000

-
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30%
(500,000)

(1,000,000)
 VANS 01
VANS 02

30%

VANS 01
VANS 02

% 30%

VANS 01
VANS 02

% 30%
 VANS 02

% 30%