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The art and science of making decisions about investment mix and policy,
matching investments to objectives, asset allocation for individuals and
institutions, and balancing risk against. Performance.
Portfolio management is all about strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats
in the choice of debt vs. equity, domestic vs. international, growth vs. safety, and
many other tradeoffs encountered in the attempt to maximize return at a given
appetite for risk.
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A logical starting point is to create a product strategy - markets, customers,
products, strategy approach, competitive emphasis, etc. The second step is to
understand the budget or resources available to balance the portfolio against. Third,
each project must be assessed for profitability (rewards), investment requirements
(resources), risks, and other appropriate factors.
The weighting of the goals in making decisions about products varies from
company. But organizations must balance these goals: risk vs. profitability, new
products vs. improvements, strategy fit vs. reward, market vs. product line, long-
term vs. short-term. Several types of techniques have been used to support the
portfolio management process:
Heuristic models
Scoring techniques
Visual or mapping techniques
These are typically presented in the form of a two-dimensional graph that shows
the trade-off's or balance between two factors such as risks vs. profitability,
marketplace fit vs. product line coverage, financial return vs. probability of
success, etc.
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The chart shown above provides a graphical view of the project portfolio risk-
reward balance. It is used to assure balance in the portfolio of projects - neither too
risky or conservative and appropriate levels of reward for the risk involved. The
horizontal axis is Net Present Value, the vertical axis is Probability of Success. The
size of the bubble is proportional to the total revenue generated over the lifetime
sales of the product.
While this visual presentation is useful, it can't prioritize projects. Therefore, some
mix of these techniques is appropriate to support the Portfolio Management
Process. This mix is often dependent upon the priority of the goals.
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Portfolio management involves 6 steps in an ongoing process:
1. Determine Objectives/Constraints
2. Formulate a Strategy
3. Design an Investment Policy
4. Implement Asset Allocation
5. Monitor Performance
6. Evaluate Performance
Why is it an ongoing process? Because life is not static. People move, they change
jobs, they get married, they get divorced, they get remarried, they have children,
they make large purchases, they make wise decisions, they make unwise decisions,
they are faced with windfalls and tragedies. Each of those (and many, many other)
events will affect how they manage their portfolio.
Every individual has different needs and wants. The first step to successfully
manage your investment needs is to identify them by drafting an investment plan.
This plan should state your goals. It is simply a mission statement of what you
endeavor to achieve. Be as specific as you can, so that you can determine what to
invest in, and how your portfolio will be structured to realise your dream.
Knowing yourself is critical to creating and managing a portfolio that will do what
you want it to do. This knowledge will help you set realistic future financial goals
and will help you to decide how much risk to include in your investment strategy
There are several constraints that may work against your desire to build up a
healthy nest egg. These are all challenges of having money. Unfortunately, many
of them are unavoidable… but that doesn't mean that they're not manageable. The
best thing to do is know that they exist and develop strategies to help you over
come them. Some of the considerations include evaluating your Risk & Return
Profile, Investment Time Horizon, Liquidity Requirement, Legal and Taxation
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Structure, etc.
And also, do you remember the popular saying, "Don't put all your eggs in
one basket" ? The reason why you should achieve diversification in your portfolio
is that the value of different asset classes tends to behave and perform very
differently. Some assets move in tandem or in a similar direction with each other,
while others move in opposite directions. What may surprise you is that for the
same rate of return, you can actually combine different asset classes to achieve this
expected return. Thus the secret to successful portfolio management is to create a
portfolio by investing in different types of asset classes, that generate the lowest
risk factor to achieve your investment objectives.
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10-15 percent of budgets to more strategic projects. In developing and bringing
new products to market, the best performers — those who have applied rigorous
process and technology to their research and development and go-to-market
activities — can reduce time to market by more than 30 percent.
Firstly, unlike a project that has a life span that is often misnamed life cycle
(a project doesn't "cycle", it starts and it finishes), a project portfolio is an
entity that does have a true life cycle. That's because the portfolio does get
reviewed and its process repeated throughout the year and certainly on an
annual basis.
Secondly, project practitioners will be familiar with the sequence: Prepare;
Plan; Execute (and deliver) as it applies to a single project. However,
portfolio management starts much earlier in the game and, downstream, must
actively deploy project outcomes and rigorously garner the expected
improvements.
Thirdly, the outcomes of portfolio projects are not just deliverables, they are
enablers - enablers of future benefits derived through "harvesting".
Fourthly, the harvesting activity includes the reaping of the benefits,
gathering data on the actual benefits realized, assessing value and feeding the
findings back into the preparation phase of the portfolio process. All of this is
to establish continuous improvement, and thus completing the portfolio
cycle.
Fifthly, not many organizations conduct this entire process as just described,
especially including rigorous harvesting. This is simply because of the
difficulties of managing across major organizational boundaries in traditional
"stovepipe" structures.
In a sense, the four major phases of portfolio management described above may
be likened to four levels of organizational maturity. Only those organizations that
actually conduct all four phases successfully, and are truly effective in modifying
the input strategies as in "continuous learning", have reached the highest level of
project management organizational maturity
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The Portfolio Management Process
Planning,
Which includes- Investment Objectives and Constraints, Formulating the
IPS (which includes making the investment strategy- active, passive or semi-
active), Perceiving the Capital Market Expectations, and Strategic Asset
Allocation.
Execution
Selection of specific assets for the portfolio, interacts constantly with the
feedback step. Tactical Asset Allocation- Responding to changes in the short
term capital market expectations rather than to investor circumstances.
Transaction costs (both explicit and implicit) need to be taken into account).
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(below average, above average etc.) and risk objective quantifies the risk tolerance.
Risk can be measured by absolute methods such as Variance, Std. Deviation, VaR
or by relative methods such as Tracking Error. We need to synthesize both the
willingness and the ability of the investor to take on risk. Return Objective:
Specify a return measure such as total nominal return, determine the investor’s
stated return desire, the investor’s RRR, and specify an objective in terms of the
return measure in the first step. Although an absolute return objective is sometimes
set (e.g.- 10%), the reality of the markets suggest that a relative return objective
may be more plausible. The investment constraints are limitations on the ability to
make use of particular investments.
They can be liquidity (need for cash in excess of new contributions), time horizon,
tax concerns, legal and regulatory factors and unique circumstances (ethical
objectives or social responsibility considerations, health needs, support of
dependents, avoidance of nondomestic shares etc.)
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opportunities with similar returns, good investor will always choose the investment
with the least risk as there is no benefit to choosing a higher level of risk unless
there is also an increased level of return.
Given the same level of expected return, an investor will choose the investment
with the lowest amount of risk.
Investors measure risk in terms of an investment's variance or standard deviation.
For each investment, the investor can quantify the investment's expected return and
the probability of those returns over a specified time horizon.
Investors seek to maximize their utility.
Investors make decision based on an investment's risk and return, therefore, an
investor's utility curve is based on risk and return.
The Efficient Frontier
Markowitz' work on an individual's investment behavior is important not only
when looking at individual investment, but also in the context of a portfolio. The
risk of a portfolio takes into account each investment's risk and return as well as
the investment's correlation with the other investments in the portfolio.
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