Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Precipitación
Máxima en 24 horas (mm)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC
1997 35.10 20.70 30.50 8.90 3.10 0.00 1.96 8.50 21.30 15.40 21.10 30.50
1998 13.90 18.50 36.80 14.19 0.00 2.20 0.00 3.80 9.10 33.00 23.50 20.20
1999 29.60 17.00 35.00 11.40 3.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.30 12.70 5.80 21.30
2000 22.70 17.70 29.20 7.30 1.90 3.20 2.00 3.90 5.20 30.30 24.20 18.20
2001 26.60 24.80 16.20 8.80 20.80 0.00 4.60 2.50 4.20 9.80 7.00 11.20
2002 17.20 24.50 18.00 15.20 15.00 5.20 5.00 2.40 8.20 24.00 21.10 16.80
2003 12.90 18.10 31.90 18.50 6.50 2.30 0.01 5.60 14.20 5.30 6.00 23.30
2004 24.20 25.70 11.30 14.20 0.00 1.40 1.60 11.60 7.80 10.40 13.80 17.00
2005 10.80 29.40 23.80 10.10 0.00 0.00 2.60 7.20 1.20 9.50 23.70 26.20
2006 43.50 18.80 11.90 10.90 1.00 8.00 0.01 2.90 3.50 9.20 21.30 40.90
2007 20.60 15.40 26.70 19.70 9.50 1.20 2.40 0.00 9.20 19.80 22.90 19.60
2008 15.60 16.30 9.90 4.90 3.00 1.50 0.00 2.40 1.60 12.00 19.10 25.00
2009 18.10 21.80 15.20 7.00 2.20 0.00 1.20 0.01 3.20 13.60 22.80 15.90
2010 41.00 24.80 20.60 8.70 5.90 1.20 0.00 0.80 5.80 4.50 15.40 14.90
2011 16.90 18.90 18.60 13.00 7.80 3.60 2.80 1.20 13.40 10.60 16.60 27.30
2012 20.30 21.50 20.80 11.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10 6.00 5.60 22.10 21.80
2013 23.20 15.40 17.80 11.00 2.80 5.20 1.20 2.80 3.20 17.00 22.20 27.70
2014 17.00 26.90 11.60 15.50 3.50 0.00 1.80 3.50 3.50 31.80 6.90 48.60
2015 29.90 26.00 15.30 29.70 8.40 0.50 0.80 6.80 7.10 7.40 8.20 35.50
2016 43.90 23.40 22.10 43.90 1.70 8.90 0.80 3.10 2.90 12.20 7.90 31.10
2017 29.70 19.50 26.30 21.00 4.60 0.10 3.10 0.00 3.60 25.20 15.40 25.00
2018 25.00 30.90 26.10 7.00 0.80 3.80 11.20 29.00 2.00 25.80 22.20 16.30
Estación: HUAYHUAHUASI Latitud: 14° 39' 18.6'' Dpto: Cusco
Longitud: 71° 31' 34.1'' Provincia: Espinar
Altitud: 3965 msnm Distrito: Coporaque
Precipitación
Máxima en 24 horas (mm)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC
1997 35.1 20.7 30.5 8.9 3.1 0 2.75333333 8.5 21.3 15.4 21.1 30.5
1998 13.9 18.5 36.8 10.7619048 0 2.2 0 3.8 9.1 33 23.5 20.2
1999 29.6 17 35 11.4 3.8 0 0 0 13.3 12.7 5.8 21.3
2000 22.7 17.7 29.2 7.3 1.9 3.2 2 3.9 5.2 30.3 24.2 18.2
2001 26.6 24.8 16.2 8.8 20.8 0 4.6 2.5 4.2 9.8 7 11.2
2002 17.2 24.5 18 15.2 15 5.2 5 2.4 8.2 24 21.1 16.8
2003 12.9 18.1 31.9 18.5 6.5 2.3 0.01 5.6 14.2 5.3 6 23.3
2004 24.2 25.7 11.3 14.2 0 1.4 1.6 11.6 7.8 10.4 13.8 17
2005 10.8 29.4 23.8 10.1 0 0 2.6 7.2 1.2 9.5 23.7 26.2
2006 43.5 18.8 11.9 10.9 1 8 0.01 2.9 3.5 9.2 21.3 40.9
2007 20.6 15.4 26.7 19.7 9.5 1.2 2.4 0 9.2 19.8 22.9 19.6
2008 15.6 16.3 9.9 4.9 3 1.5 0 2.4 1.6 12 19.1 25
2009 18.1 21.8 15.2 7 2.2 0 1.2 0.01 3.2 13.6 22.8 15.9
2010 41 24.8 20.6 8.7 5.9 1.2 0 0.8 5.8 4.5 15.4 14.9
2011 16.9 18.9 18.6 13 7.8 3.6 2.8 1.2 13.4 10.6 16.6 27.3
2012 20.3 21.5 20.8 11.2 0 0 0 1.1 6 5.6 22.1 21.8
2013 23.2 15.4 17.8 11 2.8 5.2 1.2 2.8 3.2 17 22.2 27.7
2014 20.2 27.6 19.2 13.2 1.2 0 3.2 7.9 7.3 25.2 6.8 31.6
2015 32.3 15.6 22.3 12.6 0 1.6 2.4 4 7.3 5.7 8.2 27
2016 22.3 18.6 7.8 4.6 1.8 0 17.6 0 4.2 18.4 17.7 14
2017 30.8 15.4 22.8 7.8 4.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018 25 30.9 26.1 7 0.8 3.8 11.2 29 2 25.8 22.2 16.3
Estación: SANTA ROSA Latitud: 14° 37' 25.5'' Dpto: Puno
Longitud: 70° 47' 11.5'' Provincia: Melgar
Parámetro: PP. MAXIMA EN 24 HORAS (mm) Altitud: 3986 msnm Distrito: Santa Rosa
Precipitación
Máxima en 24 horas (mm)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC
1997 35.1 20.7 30.5 8.9 3.1 0 2.16285714 8.5 21.3 15.4 21.1 30.5
1998 13.9 18.5 36.8 12.7857143 0 2.2 0 3.8 9.1 33 23.5 20.2
1999 29.6 17 35 11.4 3.8 0 0 0 13.3 12.7 5.8 21.3
2000 22.7 17.7 29.2 7.3 1.9 3.2 2 3.9 5.2 30.3 24.2 18.2
2001 26.6 24.8 16.2 8.8 20.8 0 4.6 2.5 4.2 9.8 7 11.2
2002 17.2 24.5 18 15.2 15 5.2 5 2.4 8.2 24 21.1 16.8
2003 12.9 18.1 31.9 18.5 6.5 2.3 0.01 5.6 14.2 5.3 6 23.3
2004 24.2 25.7 11.3 14.2 0 1.4 1.6 11.6 7.8 10.4 13.8 17
2005 10.8 29.4 23.8 10.1 0 0 2.6 7.2 1.2 9.5 23.7 26.2
2006 43.5 18.8 11.9 10.9 1 8 0.01 2.9 3.5 9.2 21.3 40.9
2007 20.6 15.4 26.7 19.7 9.5 1.2 2.4 0 9.2 19.8 22.9 19.6
2008 15.6 16.3 9.9 4.9 3 1.5 0 2.4 1.6 12 19.1 25
2009 18.1 21.8 15.2 7 2.2 0 1.2 0.01 3.2 13.6 22.8 15.9
2010 41 24.8 20.6 8.7 5.9 1.2 0 0.8 5.8 4.5 15.4 14.9
2011 16.9 18.9 18.6 13 7.8 3.6 2.8 1.2 13.4 10.6 16.6 27.3
2012 20.3 21.5 20.8 11.2 0 0 0 1.1 6 5.6 22.1 21.8
2013 23.2 15.4 17.8 11 2.8 5.2 1.2 2.8 3.2 17 22.2 27.7
2014 17 26.9 11.6 15.5 3.5 0 1.8 3.5 3.5 31.8 6.9 48.6
2015 29.9 26 15.3 29.7 8.4 0.5 0 4.5 4.8 8.2 10.2 32.4
2016 21.6 39.3 5.6 14.5 0 0.8 5.9 3.1 2.9 12.2 7.9 31.1
2017 29.7 19.5 26.3 21 4.6 0.1 3.1 0 3.6 25.2 15.4 25
2018 25 30.9 26.1 7 0.8 3.8 11.2 29 2 25.8 22.2 16.3
JAÉN
Precipitación
Máxima en 24 horas (mm)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC
1997 35.10 20.70 30.50 8.90 3.10 0.00 1.96 8.50 21.30 15.40 21.10 30.50
1998 13.90 18.50 36.80 14.19 0.00 2.20 0.00 3.80 9.10 33.00 23.50 20.20
1999 29.60 17.00 35.00 11.40 3.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.30 12.70 5.80 21.30
2000 22.70 17.70 29.20 7.30 1.90 3.20 2.00 3.90 5.20 30.30 24.20 18.20
2001 26.60 24.80 16.20 8.80 20.80 0.00 4.60 2.50 4.20 9.80 7.00 11.20
2002 17.20 24.50 18.00 15.20 15.00 5.20 5.00 2.40 8.20 24.00 21.10 16.80
2003 12.90 18.10 31.90 18.50 6.50 2.30 0.01 5.60 14.20 5.30 6.00 23.30
2004 24.20 25.70 11.30 14.20 0.00 1.40 1.60 11.60 7.80 10.40 13.80 17.00
2005 10.80 29.40 23.80 10.10 0.00 0.00 2.60 7.20 1.20 9.50 23.70 26.20
2006 43.50 18.80 11.90 10.90 1.00 8.00 0.01 2.90 3.50 9.20 21.30 40.90
2007 20.60 15.40 26.70 19.70 9.50 1.20 2.40 0.00 9.20 19.80 22.90 19.60
2008 15.60 16.30 9.90 4.90 3.00 1.50 0.00 2.40 1.60 12.00 19.10 25.00
2009 18.10 21.80 15.20 7.00 2.20 0.00 1.20 0.01 3.20 13.60 22.80 15.90
2010 41.00 24.80 20.60 8.70 5.90 1.20 0.00 0.80 5.80 4.50 15.40 14.90
2011 16.90 18.90 18.60 13.00 7.80 3.60 2.80 1.20 13.40 10.60 16.60 27.30
2012 20.30 21.50 20.80 11.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10 6.00 5.60 22.10 21.80
2013 23.20 15.40 17.80 11.00 2.80 5.20 1.20 2.80 3.20 17.00 22.20 27.70
2014 17.00 26.90 11.60 15.50 3.50 0.00 1.80 3.50 3.50 31.80 6.90 48.60
2015 29.90 26.00 15.30 29.70 8.40 0.50 0.80 6.80 7.10 7.40 8.20 35.50
2016 43.90 23.40 22.10 43.90 1.70 8.90 0.80 3.10 2.90 12.20 7.90 31.10
2017 29.70 19.50 26.30 21.00 4.60 0.10 3.10 0.00 3.60 25.20 15.40 25.00
2018 25.00 30.90 26.10 7.00 0.80 3.80 11.20 29.00 2.00 25.80 22.20 16.30
PROM. 24.44 21.64 21.62 14.19 4.65 2.20 1.96 4.51 6.80 15.69 16.78 24.29
LA CASCARILLA
Precipitación Máxima en 24 horas (mm)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC
1997 35.1 20.7 30.5 8.9 3.1 0 2.75333 8.5 21.3 15.4 21.1 30.5
1998 13.9 18.5 36.8 10.7619 0 2.2 0 3.8 9.1 33 23.5 20.2
1999 29.6 17 35 11.4 3.8 0 0 0 13.3 12.7 5.8 21.3
2000 22.7 17.7 29.2 7.3 1.9 3.2 2 3.9 5.2 30.3 24.2 18.2
2001 26.6 24.8 16.2 8.8 20.8 0 4.6 2.5 4.2 9.8 7 11.2
2002 17.2 24.5 18 15.2 15 5.2 5 2.4 8.2 24 21.1 16.8
2003 12.9 18.1 31.9 18.5 6.5 2.3 0.01 5.6 14.2 5.3 6 23.3
2004 24.2 25.7 11.3 14.2 0 1.4 1.6 11.6 7.8 10.4 13.8 17
2005 10.8 29.4 23.8 10.1 0 0 2.6 7.2 1.2 9.5 23.7 26.2
2006 43.5 18.8 11.9 10.9 1 8 0.01 2.9 3.5 9.2 21.3 40.9
2007 20.6 15.4 26.7 19.7 9.5 1.2 2.4 0 9.2 19.8 22.9 19.6
2008 15.6 16.3 9.9 4.9 3 1.5 0 2.4 1.6 12 19.1 25
2009 18.1 21.8 15.2 7 2.2 0 1.2 0.01 3.2 13.6 22.8 15.9
2010 41 24.8 20.6 8.7 5.9 1.2 0 0.8 5.8 4.5 15.4 14.9
2011 16.9 18.9 18.6 13 7.8 3.6 2.8 1.2 13.4 10.6 16.6 27.3
2012 20.3 21.5 20.8 11.2 0 0 0 1.1 6 5.6 22.1 21.8
2013 23.2 15.4 17.8 11 2.8 5.2 1.2 2.8 3.2 17 22.2 27.7
2014 20.2 27.6 19.2 13.2 1.2 0 3.2 7.9 7.3 25.2 6.8 31.6
2015 32.3 15.6 22.3 12.6 0 1.6 2.4 4 7.3 5.7 8.2 27
2016 22.3 18.6 7.8 4.6 1.8 0 17.6 0 4.2 18.4 17.7 14
2017 30.8 15.4 22.8 7.8 4.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018 25 30.9 26.1 7 0.8 3.8 11.2 29 2 25.8 22.2 16.3
PROM. 23.76 20.79 21.47 10.76 4.17 1.84 2.75 4.44 6.87 14.45 16.52 21.21
Precipitación
Máxima en 24 horas (mm)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC
1993 35.1 20.7 30.5 8.9 3.1 0 2.16286 8.5 21.3 15.4 21.1 30.5
1994 13.9 18.5 36.8 12.7857 0 2.2 0 3.8 9.1 33 23.5 20.2
1995 29.6 17 35 11.4 3.8 0 0 0 13.3 12.7 5.8 21.3
1996 22.7 17.7 29.2 7.3 1.9 3.2 2 3.9 5.2 30.3 24.2 18.2
1997 26.6 24.8 16.2 8.8 20.8 0 4.6 2.5 4.2 9.8 7 11.2
1998 17.2 24.5 18 15.2 15 5.2 5 2.4 8.2 24 21.1 16.8
1999 12.9 18.1 31.9 18.5 6.5 2.3 0.01 5.6 14.2 5.3 6 23.3
2000 24.2 25.7 11.3 14.2 0 1.4 1.6 11.6 7.8 10.4 13.8 17
2001 10.8 29.4 23.8 10.1 0 0 2.6 7.2 1.2 9.5 23.7 26.2
2002 43.5 18.8 11.9 10.9 1 8 0.01 2.9 3.5 9.2 21.3 40.9
2003 20.6 15.4 26.7 19.7 9.5 1.2 2.4 0 9.2 19.8 22.9 19.6
2004 15.6 16.3 9.9 4.9 3 1.5 0 2.4 1.6 12 19.1 25
2005 18.1 21.8 15.2 7 2.2 0 1.2 0.01 3.2 13.6 22.8 15.9
2006 41 24.8 20.6 8.7 5.9 1.2 0 0.8 5.8 4.5 15.4 14.9
2007 16.9 18.9 18.6 13 7.8 3.6 2.8 1.2 13.4 10.6 16.6 27.3
2008 20.3 21.5 20.8 11.2 0 0 0 1.1 6 5.6 22.1 21.8
2009 23.2 15.4 17.8 11 2.8 5.2 1.2 2.8 3.2 17 22.2 27.7
2010 17 26.9 11.6 15.5 3.5 0 1.8 3.5 3.5 31.8 6.9 48.6
2011 29.9 26 15.3 29.7 8.4 0.5 0 4.5 4.8 8.2 10.2 32.4
2012 21.6 39.3 5.6 14.5 0 0.8 5.9 3.1 2.9 12.2 7.9 31.1
2013 29.7 19.5 26.3 21 4.6 0.1 3.1 0 3.6 25.2 15.4 25
2014 25 30.9 26.1 7 0.8 3.8 11.2 29 2 25.8 22.2 16.3
PROM. 23.43 22.36 20.87 12.79 4.57 1.83 2.16 4.40 6.69 15.72 16.87 24.15
DATOS COMPLETOS DE LAS PRECIPITACIONES DE JAEN Y LA CASCARILLA
JAÉN
Precipitación Máxima en 24 horas (mm)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC MAX P ANUAL
1997 35.10 20.70 30.50 8.90 3.10 0.00 1.96 8.50 21.30 15.40 21.10 30.50 35.10 16.42
1998 13.90 18.50 36.80 14.19 0.00 2.20 0.00 3.80 9.10 33.00 23.50 20.20 36.80 14.60
1999 29.60 17.00 35.00 11.40 3.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.30 12.70 5.80 21.30 35.00 12.49
2000 22.70 17.70 29.20 7.30 1.90 3.20 2.00 3.90 5.20 30.30 24.20 18.20 30.30 13.82
2001 26.60 24.80 16.20 8.80 20.80 0.00 4.60 2.50 4.20 9.80 7.00 11.20 26.60 11.38
2002 17.20 24.50 18.00 15.20 15.00 5.20 5.00 2.40 8.20 24.00 21.10 16.80 24.50 14.38
2003 12.90 18.10 31.90 18.50 6.50 2.30 0.01 5.60 14.20 5.30 6.00 23.30 31.90 12.05
2004 24.20 25.70 11.30 14.20 0.00 1.40 1.60 11.60 7.80 10.40 13.80 17.00 25.70 11.58
2005 10.80 29.40 23.80 10.10 0.00 0.00 2.60 7.20 1.20 9.50 23.70 26.20 29.40 12.04
2006 43.50 18.80 11.90 10.90 1.00 8.00 0.01 2.90 3.50 9.20 21.30 40.90 43.50 14.33
2007 20.60 15.40 26.70 19.70 9.50 1.20 2.40 0.00 9.20 19.80 22.90 19.60 26.70 13.92
2008 15.60 16.30 9.90 4.90 3.00 1.50 0.00 2.40 1.60 12.00 19.10 25.00 25.00 9.28
2009 18.10 21.80 15.20 7.00 2.20 0.00 1.20 0.01 3.20 13.60 22.80 15.90 22.80 10.08
2010 41.00 24.80 20.60 8.70 5.90 1.20 0.00 0.80 5.80 4.50 15.40 14.90 41.00 11.97
2011 16.90 18.90 18.60 13.00 7.80 3.60 2.80 1.20 13.40 10.60 16.60 27.30 27.30 12.56
2012 20.30 21.50 20.80 11.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10 6.00 5.60 22.10 21.80 22.10 10.87
2013 23.20 15.40 17.80 11.00 2.80 5.20 1.20 2.80 3.20 17.00 22.20 27.70 27.70 12.46
2014 17.00 26.90 11.60 15.50 3.50 0.00 1.80 3.50 3.50 31.80 6.90 48.60 48.60 14.22
2015 29.90 26.00 15.30 29.70 8.40 0.50 0.80 6.80 7.10 7.40 8.20 35.50 35.50 14.63
2016 43.90 23.40 22.10 43.90 1.70 8.90 0.80 3.10 2.90 12.20 7.90 31.10 43.90 16.83
2017 29.70 19.50 26.30 21.00 4.60 0.10 3.10 0.00 3.60 25.20 15.40 25.00 29.70 14.46
2018 25.00 30.90 26.10 7.00 0.80 3.80 11.20 29.00 2.00 25.80 22.20 16.30 30.90 16.68
LA CASCARILLA
Precipitación Máxima en 24 horas (mm)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC MAX P ANUAL
1997 35.1 20.7 30.5 8.9 3.1 0 2.753 8.5 21.3 15.4 21.1 30.5 35.10 16.49
1998 13.9 18.5 36.8 10.76 0 2.2 0 3.8 9.1 33 23.5 20.2 36.80 14.31
1999 29.6 17 35 11.4 3.8 0 0 0 13.3 12.7 5.8 21.3 35.00 12.49
2000 22.7 17.7 29.2 7.3 1.9 3.2 2 3.9 5.2 30.3 24.2 18.2 30.30 13.82
2001 26.6 24.8 16.2 8.8 20.8 0 4.6 2.5 4.2 9.8 7 11.2 26.60 11.38
2002 17.2 24.5 18 15.2 15 5.2 5 2.4 8.2 24 21.1 16.8 24.50 14.38
2003 12.9 18.1 31.9 18.5 6.5 2.3 0.01 5.6 14.2 5.3 6 23.3 31.90 12.05
2004 24.2 25.7 11.3 14.2 0 1.4 1.6 11.6 7.8 10.4 13.8 17 25.70 11.58
2005 10.8 29.4 23.8 10.1 0 0 2.6 7.2 1.2 9.5 23.7 26.2 29.40 12.04
2006 43.5 18.8 11.9 10.9 1 8 0.01 2.9 3.5 9.2 21.3 40.9 43.50 14.33
2007 20.6 15.4 26.7 19.7 9.5 1.2 2.4 0 9.2 19.8 22.9 19.6 26.70 13.92
2008 15.6 16.3 9.9 4.9 3 1.5 0 2.4 1.6 12 19.1 25 25.00 9.28
2009 18.1 21.8 15.2 7 2.2 0 1.2 0.01 3.2 13.6 22.8 15.9 22.80 10.08
2010 41 24.8 20.6 8.7 5.9 1.2 0 0.8 5.8 4.5 15.4 14.9 41.00 11.97
2011 16.9 18.9 18.6 13 7.8 3.6 2.8 1.2 13.4 10.6 16.6 27.3 27.30 12.56
2012 20.3 21.5 20.8 11.2 0 0 0 1.1 6 5.6 22.1 21.8 22.10 10.87
2013 23.2 15.4 17.8 11 2.8 5.2 1.2 2.8 3.2 17 22.2 27.7 27.70 12.46
2014 20.2 27.6 19.2 13.2 1.2 0 3.2 7.9 7.3 25.2 6.8 31.6 31.60 13.62
2015 32.3 15.6 22.3 12.6 0 1.6 2.4 4 7.3 5.7 8.2 27 32.30 11.58
2016 22.3 18.6 7.8 4.6 1.8 0 17.6 0 4.2 18.4 17.7 14 22.30 10.58
2017 30.8 15.4 22.8 7.8 4.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30.80 6.78
2018 25 30.9 26.1 7 0.8 3.8 11.2 29 2 25.8 22.2 16.3 30.90 16.68
PROM. 23.76 20.79 21.47 10.76 4.17 1.84 2.75 4.44 6.87 14.45 16.52 21.21
CHONTALÍ
Precipitación Máxima en 24 horas (mm)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC MAX P ANUAL
1997 35.1 20.7 30.5 8.9 3.1 0 2.163 8.5 21.3 15.4 21.1 30.5 35.10 16.44
1998 13.9 18.5 36.8 12.79 0 2.2 0 3.8 9.1 33 23.5 20.2 36.80 14.48
1999 29.6 17 35 11.4 3.8 0 0 0 13.3 12.7 5.8 21.3 35.00 12.49
2000 22.7 17.7 29.2 7.3 1.9 3.2 2 3.9 5.2 30.3 24.2 18.2 30.30 13.82
2001 26.6 24.8 16.2 8.8 20.8 0 4.6 2.5 4.2 9.8 7 11.2 26.60 11.38
2002 17.2 24.5 18 15.2 15 5.2 5 2.4 8.2 24 21.1 16.8 24.50 14.38
2003 12.9 18.1 31.9 18.5 6.5 2.3 0.01 5.6 14.2 5.3 6 23.3 31.90 12.05
2004 24.2 25.7 11.3 14.2 0 1.4 1.6 11.6 7.8 10.4 13.8 17 25.70 11.58
2005 10.8 29.4 23.8 10.1 0 0 2.6 7.2 1.2 9.5 23.7 26.2 29.40 12.04
2006 43.5 18.8 11.9 10.9 1 8 0.01 2.9 3.5 9.2 21.3 40.9 43.50 14.33
2007 20.6 15.4 26.7 19.7 9.5 1.2 2.4 0 9.2 19.8 22.9 19.6 26.70 13.92
2008 15.6 16.3 9.9 4.9 3 1.5 0 2.4 1.6 12 19.1 25 25.00 9.28
2009 18.1 21.8 15.2 7 2.2 0 1.2 0.01 3.2 13.6 22.8 15.9 22.80 10.08
2010 41 24.8 20.6 8.7 5.9 1.2 0 0.8 5.8 4.5 15.4 14.9 41.00 11.97
2011 16.9 18.9 18.6 13 7.8 3.6 2.8 1.2 13.4 10.6 16.6 27.3 27.30 12.56
2012 20.3 21.5 20.8 11.2 0 0 0 1.1 6 5.6 22.1 21.8 22.10 10.87
2013 23.2 15.4 17.8 11 2.8 5.2 1.2 2.8 3.2 17 22.2 27.7 27.70 12.46
2014 17 26.9 11.6 15.5 3.5 0 1.8 3.5 3.5 31.8 6.9 48.6 48.60 14.22
2015 29.9 26 15.3 29.7 8.4 0.5 0 4.5 4.8 8.2 10.2 32.4 32.40 14.16
2016 21.6 39.3 5.6 14.5 0 0.8 5.9 3.1 2.9 12.2 7.9 31.1 39.30 12.08
2017 29.7 19.5 26.3 21 4.6 0.1 3.1 0 3.6 25.2 15.4 25 29.70 14.46
2018 25 30.9 26.1 7 0.8 3.8 11.2 29 2 25.8 22.2 16.3 30.90 16.68
1997 16.49 1997 16.42
(1 9 9 7 -2 0 1 8 )
2005 12.04 2005 12.04
huayhuahuas i
2006 14.33 2006 14.33
1998 14.48
1999 12.49
2000 13.82
2001 11.38
2002 14.38
2003 12.05
2004 11.58
s ant a r os a
(1 9 9 7 -2 0 1 8 )
2005 12.04
2006 14.33
2007 13.92
2008 9.28
2009 10.08
2010 11.97
2011 12.56
2012 10.87
2013 12.46
PR ECIPITA CIO N ES PR O M EDIO A N UA LES
2014 14.22
2015 14.16
2016 12.08
2017 14.46
2018 16.68
1997 35.10 1997 35.10
yaur i
1998 36.80 1998 36.80
2005
(1 9 9 7 -2 0 1 8 )
2005 29.40 29.40
huayhuahuas i
2006 43.50 2006 43.50
1998 36.80
1999 35.00
2000 30.30
2001 26.60
2002 24.50
2003 31.90
2004 25.70
s ant a r os a
(1 9 9 7 -2 0 1 8 )
2005 29.40
2006 43.50
2007 26.70
2008 25.00
2009 22.80
2010 41.00
2011 27.30
2012 22.10
2013 27.70
PR ECIPITA CIO N ES M Á XIM A S A N UA LES
2014 48.60
2015 32.40
2016 39.30
2017 29.70
2018 30.90
precipitaciones mensuales
LA LA Prom.
AÑO JAÉN CASCARI CHONTA Prom. JAÉN CASCARI CHONTA Acumula
LLA LÍ Parcial LLA LÍ do
1993 16.42 16.49 16.44 16.45 291.02 273.24 285.70 283.32
1994 14.60 14.31 14.48 14.46 274.60 256.75 269.26 266.87
1995 12.49 12.49 12.49 12.49 260.00 242.44 254.78 252.41
1996 13.82 13.82 13.82 13.82 247.51 229.94 242.29 239.91
1997 11.38 11.38 11.38 11.38 233.69 216.13 228.47 226.10
1998 14.38 14.38 14.38 14.38 222.32 204.75 217.09 214.72
1999 12.05 12.05 12.05 12.05 207.94 190.37 202.71 200.34
2000 11.58 11.58 11.58 11.58 195.89 178.32 190.66 188.29
2001 12.04 12.04 12.04 12.04 184.30 166.74 179.08 176.70
2002 14.33 14.33 14.33 14.33 172.26 154.69 167.04 164.66
2003 13.92 13.92 13.92 13.92 157.93 140.37 152.71 150.34
2004 9.28 9.28 9.28 9.28 144.02 126.45 138.79 136.42
2005 10.08 10.08 10.08 10.08 134.74 117.18 129.52 127.15
2006 11.97 11.97 11.97 11.97 124.66 107.09 119.43 117.06
2007 12.56 12.56 12.56 12.56 112.69 95.13 107.47 105.09
2008 10.87 10.87 10.87 10.87 100.13 82.57 94.91 92.54
2009 12.46 12.46 12.46 12.46 89.27 71.70 84.04 81.67
2010 14.22 13.62 14.22 14.02 76.81 59.24 71.58 69.21
2011 14.63 11.58 14.16 13.46 62.59 45.63 57.37 55.19
2012 16.83 10.58 12.08 13.16 47.96 34.04 43.21 41.74
2013 14.46 6.78 14.46 11.90 31.13 23.46 31.13 28.58
2014 16.68 16.68 16.68 16.68 16.68 16.68 16.68 16.68
300
ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
f(x) = 1.01307184092976 x + 5.04004072437109
f(x)
R² ==0.999621755802902
1.00296020584612 x + 1.78866019555587
R²
f(x)==0.999964727339013
0.98396795322412 x − 6.82870091992696
250 R² = 0.999395529390753
200
ESTAC
ESTACIONES
ION
150 JAÉN
Linear
(ESTA
CION
100 JAÉN)
50
0 PATRON
0 100 200 300 (ACUMULADO)
50
0 PATRON
0 100 200 300 (ACUMULADO)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC SUMA
1997 35.10 20.70 30.50 8.90 3.10 0.00 1.96 8.50 21.30 15.40 21.10 30.50 197.06
1998 13.90 18.50 36.80 14.19 0.00 2.20 0.00 3.80 9.10 33.00 23.50 20.20 175.19
1999 29.60 17.00 35.00 11.40 3.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.30 12.70 5.80 21.30 149.90
2000 22.70 17.70 29.20 7.30 1.90 3.20 2.00 3.90 5.20 30.30 24.20 18.20 165.80
2001 26.60 24.80 16.20 8.80 20.80 0.00 4.60 2.50 4.20 9.80 7.00 11.20 136.50
2002 17.20 24.50 18.00 15.20 15.00 5.20 5.00 2.40 8.20 24.00 21.10 16.80 172.60
2003 12.90 18.10 31.90 18.50 6.50 2.30 0.01 5.60 14.20 5.30 6.00 23.30 144.61
2004 24.20 25.70 11.30 14.20 0.00 1.40 1.60 11.60 7.80 10.40 13.80 17.00 139.00
2005 10.80 29.40 23.80 10.10 0.00 0.00 2.60 7.20 1.20 9.50 23.70 26.20 144.50
2006 43.50 18.80 11.90 10.90 1.00 8.00 0.01 2.90 3.50 9.20 21.30 40.90 171.91
2007 20.60 15.40 26.70 19.70 9.50 1.20 2.40 0.00 9.20 19.80 22.90 19.60 167.00
2008 15.60 16.30 9.90 4.90 3.00 1.50 0.00 2.40 1.60 12.00 19.10 25.00 111.30
2009 18.10 21.80 15.20 7.00 2.20 0.00 1.20 0.01 3.20 13.60 22.80 15.90 121.01
2010 41.00 24.80 20.60 8.70 5.90 1.20 0.00 0.80 5.80 4.50 15.40 14.90 143.60
2011 16.90 18.90 18.60 13.00 7.80 3.60 2.80 1.20 13.40 10.60 16.60 27.30 150.70
2012 20.30 21.50 20.80 11.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10 6.00 5.60 22.10 21.80 130.40
2013 23.20 15.40 17.80 11.00 2.80 5.20 1.20 2.80 3.20 17.00 22.20 27.70 149.50
2014 17.00 26.90 11.60 15.50 3.50 0.00 1.80 3.50 3.50 31.80 6.90 48.60 170.60
2015 29.90 26.00 15.30 29.70 8.40 0.50 0.80 6.80 7.10 7.40 8.20 35.50 175.60
2016 43.90 23.40 22.10 43.90 1.70 8.90 0.80 3.10 2.90 12.20 7.90 31.10 201.90
2017 29.70 19.50 26.30 21.00 4.60 0.10 3.10 0.00 3.60 25.20 15.40 25.00 173.50
2018 25.00 30.90 26.10 7.00 0.80 3.80 11.20 29.00 2.00 25.80 22.20 16.30 200.10
PRO 24.44 21.64 21.62 14.19 4.65 2.20 1.96 4.51 6.80 15.69 16.78 24.29 158.74
LA CASCARILLA
Precipitación Máxima en 24 horas (mm)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC SUMA
1997 35.10 20.70 30.50 8.90 3.10 0.00 2.75 8.50 21.30 15.40 21.10 30.50 197.85
1998 13.90 18.50 36.80 10.76 0.00 2.20 0.00 3.80 9.10 33.00 23.50 20.20 171.76
1999 29.60 17.00 35.00 11.40 3.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.30 12.70 5.80 21.30 149.90
2000 22.70 17.70 29.20 7.30 1.90 3.20 2.00 3.90 5.20 30.30 24.20 18.20 165.80
2001 26.60 24.80 16.20 8.80 20.80 0.00 4.60 2.50 4.20 9.80 7.00 11.20 136.50
2002 17.20 24.50 18.00 15.20 15.00 5.20 5.00 2.40 8.20 24.00 21.10 16.80 172.60
2003 12.90 18.10 31.90 18.50 6.50 2.30 0.01 5.60 14.20 5.30 6.00 23.30 144.61
2004 24.20 25.70 11.30 14.20 0.00 1.40 1.60 11.60 7.80 10.40 13.80 17.00 139.00
2005 10.80 29.4 23.80 10.10 0.00 0.00 2.60 7.20 1.20 9.50 23.70 26.20 144.50
2006 43.50 18.8 11.90 10.90 1.00 8.00 0.01 2.90 3.50 9.20 21.30 40.90 171.91
2007 20.60 15.40 26.70 19.70 9.50 1.20 2.40 0.00 9.20 19.80 22.90 19.60 167.00
2008 15.60 16.30 9.90 4.90 3.00 1.50 0.00 2.40 1.60 12.00 19.10 25.00 111.30
2009 18.10 21.80 15.20 7.00 2.20 0.00 1.20 0.01 3.20 13.60 22.80 15.90 121.01
2010 41.00 24.80 20.60 8.70 5.90 1.20 0.00 0.80 5.80 4.50 15.40 14.90 143.60
2011 16.90 18.90 18.60 13.00 7.80 3.60 2.80 1.20 13.40 10.60 16.60 27.30 150.70
2012 20.30 21.50 20.80 11.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10 6.00 5.60 22.10 21.80 130.40
2013 23.20 15.40 17.80 11.00 2.80 5.20 1.20 2.80 3.20 17.00 22.20 27.70 149.50
2014 20.20 27.60 19.20 13.20 1.20 0.00 3.20 7.90 7.30 25.20 6.80 31.60 163.40
2015 32.30 15.60 22.30 12.60 0.00 1.60 2.40 4.00 7.30 5.70 8.20 27.00 139.00
2016 22.30 18.60 7.80 4.60 1.80 0.00 17.60 0.00 4.20 18.40 17.70 14.00 127.00
2017 30.80 15.40 22.80 7.80 4.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.40
2018 25.00 30.90 26.10 7.00 0.80 3.80 11.20 29.00 2.00 25.80 22.20 16.30 200.10
PRO 23.76 20.79 21.47 10.76 4.17 1.84 2.75 4.44 6.87 14.45 16.52 21.21 149.04
CHONTALÍ
Precipitación Máxima en 24 horas (mm)
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC SUMA
1997 35.1 20.7 30.5 8.9 3.1 0 2.16286 8.5 21.3 15.4 21.1 30.5 197.263
1998 13.9 18.5 36.8 12.7857 0 2.2 0 3.8 9.1 33 23.5 20.2 173.786
1999 29.6 17 35 11.4 3.8 0 0 0 13.3 12.7 5.8 21.3 149.9
2000 22.7 17.7 29.2 7.3 1.9 3.2 2 3.9 5.2 30.3 24.2 18.2 165.8
2001 26.6 24.8 16.2 8.8 20.8 0 4.6 2.5 4.2 9.8 7 11.2 136.5
2002 17.2 24.5 18 15.2 15 5.2 5 2.4 8.2 24 21.1 16.8 172.6
2003 12.9 18.1 31.9 18.5 6.5 2.3 0.01 5.6 14.2 5.3 6 23.3 144.61
2004 24.2 25.7 11.3 14.2 0 1.4 1.6 11.6 7.8 10.4 13.8 17 139
2005 10.8 29.4 23.8 10.1 0 0 2.6 7.2 1.2 9.5 23.7 26.2 144.5
2006 43.5 18.8 11.9 10.9 1 8 0.01 2.9 3.5 9.2 21.3 40.9 171.91
2007 20.6 15.4 26.7 19.7 9.5 1.2 2.4 0 9.2 19.8 22.9 19.6 167
2008 15.6 16.3 9.9 4.9 3 1.5 0 2.4 1.6 12 19.1 25 111.3
2009 18.1 21.8 15.2 7 2.2 0 1.2 0.01 3.2 13.6 22.8 15.9 121.01
2010 41 24.8 20.6 8.7 5.9 1.2 0 0.8 5.8 4.5 15.4 14.9 143.6
2011 16.9 18.9 18.6 13 7.8 3.6 2.8 1.2 13.4 10.6 16.6 27.3 150.7
2012 20.3 21.5 20.8 11.2 0 0 0 1.1 6 5.6 22.1 21.8 130.4
2013 23.2 15.4 17.8 11 2.8 5.2 1.2 2.8 3.2 17 22.2 27.7 149.5
2014 17 26.9 11.6 15.5 3.5 0 1.8 3.5 3.5 31.8 6.9 48.6 170.6
2015 29.9 26 15.3 29.7 8.4 0.5 0 4.5 4.8 8.2 10.2 32.4 169.9
2016 21.6 39.3 5.6 14.5 0 0.8 5.9 3.1 2.9 12.2 7.9 31.1 144.9
2017 29.7 19.5 26.3 21 4.6 0.1 3.1 0 3.6 25.2 15.4 25 173.5
2018 25 30.9 26.1 7 0.8 3.8 11.2 29 2 25.8 22.2 16.3 200.1
PRO 23.43 22.36 20.87 12.79 4.57 1.83 2.16 4.40 6.69 15.72 16.87 24.15 155.84
ANALISIS DE
REGRESIÓN POLINOMIAL
f(x) = 0.009812924710369 x² − 77.6988991484807 x + 153953.976263864
R² = 1 DE 2°
PRECIPITACION MEDIA
145
3900 3910 3920 3930 3940 3950 3960 3970 3980 3990 4000
ALTITUD
Altura media :
Hm = 542 m.s.n.m.
PRECIP. MAX.
AÑO
ANUALES ESTACION ARIAL AMOJÚ
1997 88.51
1998 92.80 120
1999 88.26
110
2000 76.41
2001 67.08 100
2002 61.78 90
PRECIPITACIONES MAXIMAS
2003 80.44
80
2004 64.81
2005 74.14 70
2006 109.69 60
2007 67.33
50
2008 63.04
24 HORAS
2009 57.49 40
2010 103.39 30
2011 68.84
20
2012 55.73
2013 69.85 10
2014 122.55 0
2015 89.52 97 98 99 0 0 0 1 02 03 04 0 5 0 6 07 08 0 9 1 0 11 12 13 1 4 15 1 6 17 1 8
2016 110.70
1 9 1 9 19 20 20 2 0 2 0 2 0 20 20 2 0 2 0 20 20 2 0 2 0 2 0 20 2 0 20 2 0 20
2017 74.89 TIEMPO (años)
0
97 98 99 0 0 0 1 02 03 04 0 5 0 6 07 08 0 9 1 0 11 12 13 1 4 15 1 6 17 1 8
1 9 1 9 19 20 20 2 0 2 0 2 0 20 20 2 0 2 0 20 20 2 0 2 0 2 0 20 2 0 20 2 0 20
TIEMPO (años)
2018 77.92
DISTRIBUCION NORMAL PRECIPITACION MAXIMA 24 HORAS
ESTACIONJAÉN
DISTR. NORMAL
0.023
0.022
0.021
0.020
0.019
0.018
0.017
0.016
0.015
0.014
f(X)
0.013
0.012
0.011
0.010
0.009
0.008
0.007
0.006
0.005
45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120
PP ordenados
(𝑥−𝜇)/𝑠)^2 )
−1)/2 ((𝑥−𝜇)/𝑠) 〗 ^2 ) 〗 𝑑𝑥
ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION LOG - NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS
ESTACION JAÉN
1.80
1.70
1.60
1.50
1.40
1.30
1.20
f(X)
1.10
1.00
0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
3.80 3.90 4.00 4.10 4.20 4.30 4.40 4.50 4.60 4.70 4.80
Y=ln(x)
((𝑥−𝜇)/𝑠)^2 )
−1)/2 ((𝑥−𝜇)/𝑠) 〗 ^2 ) 〗 𝑑𝑥
ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION LOG - NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS
ESTACION JAÉN
AÑO
PP max PP max
y=ln(x-a) F(x) f(x)
𝑓(𝑥)=1/(𝑆√2𝜋) 𝑒^((−1)/2 ((𝑥−𝜇)/𝑠)^2 )
(mm) ordenados
1997 88.51 122.55 5.097 0.983 0.292
1998 92.80 110.70 5.022 0.945 0.756 𝐹(𝑥)=∫_(−∞)^(+∞)▒ 〖 1/(𝑆√2𝜋) 𝑒^( 〖 (−1)/
1999 88.26 109.69 5.015 0.940 0.813
2000 76.41 103.39 4.973 0.897 1.225
2001 67.08 92.80 4.896 0.771 2.063 𝑎=( 〖 (𝑋 〗 _𝑚𝑖𝑛∗𝑋_𝑚𝑎𝑥−𝑋 ̅^2))/( 〖 (𝑋 〗
2002 61.78 89.52 4.872 0.717 2.306
2003 80.44 88.51 4.864 0.6991 2.374
2004 64.81 88.26 4.862 0.694 2.390
𝑍=(𝑋−𝜇)/𝑆
2005 74.14 80.44 4.800 0.533 2.710 Tabla F(X)
2006 109.69 77.92 4.779 0.476 2.715
2007 67.33 76.41 4.766 0.442 2.690
2008 63.04 74.89 4.753 0.407 2.645
2009 57.49 74.14 4.746 0.390 2.615
2010 103.39 69.85 4.708 0.295 2.352
2011 68.84 68.84 4.699 0.274 2.270
2012 55.73 67.33 4.685 0.243 2.135
2013 69.85 67.08 4.683 0.238 2.112
2014 122.55 64.81 4.662 0.196 1.885
2015 89.52 63.04 4.645 0.166 1.698
2016 110.70 61.78 4.633 0.146 1.561
2017 74.89 57.49 4.590 0.089 1.102
2018 77.92 55.73 4.572 0.071 0.927
GRAFICO
2.60
2.10
f(x)
1.60
1.10
0.60
0.10
50 54 58 62 66 70 74 78 82 86 90 94 98 02 06 10
4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 5. 5. 5.
LN(x-a)
0.10
50 54 58 62 66 70 74 78 82 86 90 94 98 02 06 10
4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 5. 5. 5.
LN(x-a)
1)/2 ((𝑥−𝜇)/𝑠)^2 )
𝑚𝑎𝑥−𝑋 ̅^2))/( 〖 (𝑋 〗 _𝑚𝑖𝑛+𝑋_𝑚𝑎𝑥−2𝑋 ̅))
ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL
ESTACION JAÉN
Calculo de variables probabilisticas:
P exc = F (x > X)
y 1
F ( x X ) 1 e e Fórmulas a usar para calcular el tiempo de
Tr
retorno mediante la distribución de Gumbel.
xu
y
a
Parámetros, según n
a = Sx / Sn = 17.163
u = x-yn*a= 71.194
% de no
excedencia
AÑO PP max PP max y = (x - u)/a Tr 1-1/Tr
(mm) ordenados
1997 88.51 122.55 2.992 20.439 0.951
1998 92.80 110.70 2.302 10.502 0.905
1999 88.26 109.69 2.243 9.932 0.899
2000 76.41 103.39 1.876 7.039 0.858
2001 67.08 92.80 1.259 4.045 0.753
2002 61.78 89.52 1.068 3.437 0.709
2003 80.44 88.51 1.009 3.273 0.694
2004 64.81 88.26 0.994 3.234 0.691
2005 74.14 80.44 0.539 2.262 0.558
2006 109.69 77.92 0.392 2.036 0.509
2007 67.33 76.41 0.304 1.916 0.478
2008 63.04 74.89 0.216 1.807 0.447
2009 57.49 74.14 0.171 1.756 0.431
2010 103.39 69.85 -0.078 1.513 0.339
2011 68.84 68.84 -0.137 1.465 0.317
2012 55.73 67.33 -0.225 1.400 0.286
2013 69.85 67.08 -0.240 1.390 0.281
2014 122.55 64.81 -0.372 1.306 0.234
2015 89.52 63.04 -0.475 1.250 0.200
2016 110.70 61.78 -0.548 1.215 0.177
2017 74.89 57.49 -0.798 1.122 0.109
2018 77.92 55.73 -0.901 1.093 0.085
GRAFICO
DISTR. GUMBEL
120
110
100
PP.ORDENADO
90
80
70
60
50
40
1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5
Tr
60
50
40
1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5
Tr
ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION LOG - PEARSON III
ESTACIÓN JAÉN
DATOS:
Ln (x) Promedio = 4.361
S: Desviación Estandar = 0.220
GRÁFICO
0.70
0.60
0.50
F(Z)
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
-1.80 -1.60 -1.40 -1.20 -1.00 -0.80 -0.60 -0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40
Z
0.20
0.10
0.00
-1.80 -1.60 -1.40 -1.20 -1.00 -0.80 -0.60 -0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40
Z
AJUSTE DE BONDA PARA PRECIPITACION MAX. 24h (mm)
ESTACION JAÉN
· CHI CUADRADO = Si la muestra es extensa mayor a 100 datos de una serie hidrológica, para su análisis es razonable agruparlos.
En conclusión esta prueba se realiza para datos agrupados.
· SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV = Para numeros de datos menores que 100, con lo que agruparlos se cometerian grandes errores, por lo que se trabajaria sin agruparlos
PASOS :
Ordenar de mayor a menor o viceversa, Asignando una probabilidad empirica u observada (la de Weibull), porque elimina errores de frontera.
Obtener la probabilidad teorica para cada valor de la variable observada "x".
Obtener las diferencias en valor absoluto entre las probabilidades simuladas.
Determinar la maxima desviacion absoluta y se compara con el valor critico de la probabilidad de Kolmogorov, obtenida de la tabla correspondiente
al 5 % de significacion.
43.59
Valor critico de la prueba SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV para varios valores de NA y niveles de significacion "𝛼"
Escogemos el valor menor del ajuste de bonda, en este caso escogeremos la Distribución
Gumbel
PRECIPITACION MAX. 24h (mm) DE LA DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL POR EL AJUSTE DE BONDAD
PRECIPITACION MAX. 24h (mm) PARA DIFERENTES PERIODOS DE RETORNO
Parámetros de la Distribución Gumbel
𝑷_𝟐=𝒚∗𝒂+𝒖 𝑷_𝟏𝟎=𝒚∗𝒂+𝒖
Reemplazamos: Reemplazamos:
Tr = 2 Años Tr = 10 Años
y= 0.367 y= 2.250
P2 = 77.48 mm P10 = 109.82 mm
Periodo de retorno = 20 años Periodo de retorno = 25 años
Fórmula a emplear: Fórmula a emplear:
𝒚=−𝒍𝒏(−𝒍𝒏(𝟏−𝟏/𝑻𝒓) 𝒚=−𝒍𝒏(−𝒍𝒏(𝟏−𝟏/𝑻𝒓)
𝑷_𝟐𝟎=𝒚∗𝒂+𝒖 𝑷_𝟐𝟓=𝒚∗𝒂+𝒖
Reemplazamos: Reemplazamos:
Tr = 20 Años Tr = 25 Años
y= 2.970 y= 3.199
P2 = 122.17 mm P2 = 126.09 mm
Periodo de retorno = 50 años Periodo de retorno = 100 años
Fórmula a emplear: Fórmula a emplear:
𝒚=−𝒍𝒏(−𝒍𝒏(𝟏−𝟏/𝑻𝒓) 𝒚=−𝒍𝒏(−𝒍𝒏(𝟏−𝟏/𝑻𝒓)
𝑷_𝟓𝟎=𝒚∗𝒂+𝒖 𝑷_𝟏𝟎𝟎=𝒚∗𝒂+𝒖
Reemplazamos: Reemplazamos:
Tr = 50 Años Tr = 100 Años
y= 3.902 y= 4.600
P2 = 138.16 mm P2 = 150.15 mm
Periodo de retorno = 200 años Periodo de retorno = 500 años
Fórmula a emplear: Fórmula a emplear:
𝒚=−𝒍𝒏(−𝒍𝒏(𝟏−𝟏/𝑻𝒓) 𝒚=−𝒍𝒏(−𝒍𝒏(𝟏−𝟏/𝑻𝒓)
𝑷_𝟐𝟎𝟎=𝒚∗𝒂+𝒖 𝑷_𝟓𝟎𝟎=𝒚∗𝒂+𝒖
Reemplazamos: Reemplazamos:
Tr = 200 Años Tr = 500 Años
y= 5.296 y= 6.214
P2 = 162.09 mm P2 = 177.84 mm
CUADRO RESUMEN
PERIODO DE RETORNO PRECIPITACION MAX 24 HH
2 77.48
10 109.82
20 122.17
25 126.09
50 138.16
100 150.15
200 162.09
500 177.84
INTENSIDAD DE LLUVIA A PARTIR DE LAS PRECIPITACIONES MAX 24 HH
Fórmula usada:
Pd = Precipitacion total (mm)
𝑰=𝑷_𝒅/𝒅
I = Intensidad (mm/horas)
d = Tiempo de duracion en minutos
TIEMPO DE DURACIÓN INTENSIDAD (mm/horas)
HH 2 10 20 25 50 100 200 500
5 minut. 225.71 319.89 355.88 367.30 402.46 437.37 472.15 518.03
15 minut. 99.02 140.33 156.12 161.13 176.56 191.87 207.13 227.26
30 minut. 58.88 83.44 92.83 95.81 104.98 114.09 123.16 135.13
45 minut. 43.44 61.56 68.49 70.69 77.45 84.17 90.87 99.70
60 minut. 35.01 49.62 55.20 56.97 62.42 67.84 73.23 80.35
REGRESIONES I-D-F
GRAFICO
Intensidad (mm/hr)
REGRESIÓN T= 10 años
375.0
335.0
215.0
175.0
135.0
95.0
55.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Duración (min)
I Vs. t Power (I Vs. t)
95.0
55.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Duración (min)
I Vs. t Power (I Vs. t)
GRAFICO
Intensidad (mm/hr)
REGRESIÓN T= 20 años
420.0
380.0
340.0
f(x) = 1189.95542682181 x^-0.75
300.0 R² = 1
260.0
220.0
180.0
140.0
100.0
60.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Duración (min)
I Vs. t Power (I Vs. t)
GRAFICO
Intensidad (mm/hr)
REGRESIÓN T= 25 años
420.0
380.0
340.0 f(x) = 1228.12635198787 x^-0.75
300.0 R² = 1
260.0
220.0
180.0
140.0
100.0
60.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Duración (min)
I Vs. t Power (I Vs. t)
180.0
140.0
100.0
60.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Duración (min)
I Vs. t Power (I Vs. t)
GRAFICO
Intensidad (mm/hr)
REGRESIÓN T= 50 años
470.0
420.0
370.0 f(x) = 1345.71290146676 x^-0.75
320.0
R² = 1
270.0
220.0
170.0
120.0
70.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Duración (min)
I Vs. t Power (I Vs. t)
GRAFICO
Intensidad (mm/hr)
470.0
420.0
f(x) = 1462.43121032195 x^-0.75
370.0 R² = 1
320.0
270.0
220.0
170.0
120.0
70.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Duración (min)
320.0
270.0
220.0
170.0
120.0
70.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Duración (min)
I Vs. t Power (I Vs. t)
GRAFICO
Intensidad (mm/hr)
500.0
260.0
200.0
140.0
80.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Duración (min)
I Vs. t Power (I Vs. t)
GRAFICO
Intensidad (mm/hr)
2 754.70 -0.750
10 1069.62 -0.750
20 1189.96 -0.750
25 1228.13 -0.750
50 1345.71 -0.750
100 1462.43 -0.750
200 1578.72 -0.750
500 1732.15 -0.750
Promedio = 1295.18 -0.750
En funcion del cambio de variables, se realiza otra regresión potencia entre las columnas del periodo de retorno (T) y el término
constante de regresión (d), para obtener valores de la ecuación:
d K T m
N° X Y LN(X) LN(Y) LN(X)*LN(Y) (LNX)^2
1 2 754.70 0.69 6.63 4.59 0.48
2 10 1069.62 2.30 6.98 16.06 5.30
3 20 1189.96 3.00 7.08 21.21 8.97
4 25 1228.13 3.22 7.11 22.90 10.36
5 50 1345.71 3.91 7.20 28.18 15.30
6 100 1462.43 4.61 7.29 33.56 21.21
7 200 1578.72 5.30 7.36 39.02 28.07
8 500 1732.15 6.21 7.46 46.34 38.62
SUMA = 8 907 10361.43 29.24 57.11 211.87 128.32
Ln(K) = 6.61
K= 738.79
m= 0.146
GRAFICO
C o n stan te d e R eg resió n d
2250
2150
2050
1950
1850
1750 f(x) = 738.789253886556 x^0.146038288494953
1650 R² = 0.968839583474821
1550
1450
1350
1250
1150
1050
950
850
750
1650 R² = 0.968839583474821
1550
1450
1350
1250
1150
1050
950
850
750
0 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 320 360 400 440 480 520
Período de Retorno (años)
CURVAS IDF
700
650
2 AÑOS
600
10 AÑOS
550 20 AÑOS
25 AÑOS
500
50 AÑOS
450 100
AÑOS
INTENSIDAD(mm/hr)
400 200
AÑOS
350 500
AÑOS
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
TIEMPO(min)
I= 17.46 mm/horas
CALCULO DEL CAUDAL MÁXIMO
METODO RACIONAL:
Formula a emplearse:
Q = 0.278*C*I*A
Datos:
C = Coef de escorrentia 0.38
I = Intendidad (mm/Hr) = 17.46
A = Area de la cuenca (km2) = 0.494
𝑪=(𝑨_𝟏∗𝑪_𝟏+𝑨_𝟐∗𝑪_𝟐+𝑨_𝟑∗𝑪_𝟑+𝑨_𝟒∗𝑪_𝟒)/(𝑨_𝟏+𝑨_𝟐+𝑨_𝟑+𝑨_𝟒 )
C= 0.38
Caudal máximo:
Q= 0.48 m3/seg