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1. Introduction 2
6. References
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1. Introduction
This paper addresses the questions allocated to group 1 of the Quality job creation through
network support advisory workgroup to the Social Cohesion Research and Development Division
of the Council of Europe. Namely:
1. How are the foundations of the responsible social economy to be promoted and propagated in
“mainstream” policies in order to create jobs through community support?
2. How are these foundations to be made better known to the citizens?
3. How can we sustain creativity, particularly among the younger generations, and approximate
their knowledge with that of others in order to devise forward-looking projects?
These questions belong to different domains. Questions 2 and 3 concern a specific policy issue,
that of promoting the socially responsible economy. While not necessarily easy, they can in
principle be addressed “locally”, by making changes on a specific domain of policy. Question 1, on
the other hand, addresses a general issue, that of integration between policies, and of how new
goals, new stakeholders and new courses of action are incorporated in policy making in general. In
other words, it asks how it is that policy makers learn.
In what follows I propose an approach that could yield insights on all three questions; framing
policy not as a top-down activity guided by impersonal rationality, à la Weber, but rather as
coevolution in an environment characterized by pervasive feedback loops among a myriad
interdependent agents, in this sense similar to an ecosystem. What a policy maker does prompts
other agents in the system (businesses, consumers, NGOs) to change their own courses of action;
changed agents behavior changes the landscape in which the policy maker operates; in a changed
landscape, the policy maker itself will be incentivized – or even forced – to adjust its own behavior;
this in turn will have an impact on other agents and so on, ad infinitum. In such a setting, feedback
loops from policy to the society and back take center stage.
The role of the Advisory workgroup is intended as doing research to be translated into policy
recommendations. The paper is therefore framed as a research proposal to be submitted to the
Division and the workgroup itself. This approach addresses directly question 1, for it sketches a
rough model of a learning policy maker; but it also illuminates questions 2 and 3. Section 2 argues
that public authorities find it difficult to understand the socially responsible economy; this difficulty
accounts for the lack of a consensus as to whether and how to make room for it in the policy
agenda is. Section 3 looks at learning processes in public authority in theory and in practice, and it
proposes an adaptive stance both for the research and the recommendations. Section 4 outlines
an agenda for research. Section 5 addresses the implications of taking an adaptive stance for the
second and third question outlined above.
Emergent
Despite its aggregate size having grown to respectful proportion, the social economy looks devoid
of structure to the casual observer. There is no key player to supply infrastructure and drive the
ecosystem the same way that Google organizes information on the web and makes advertising-
based revenue models possible, or Amazon supplies an e-commerce backbone. There is no
unifying ideology, and no obvious leader. It is seen as a radically bottom-up, headless, swarming
movement. Most of us are accustomed to thinking in terms of organizations: we find this movement
hard to grasp, and all too easy to dismiss as irrelevant or unmanageable. Organization thinking, it
should be noted, has been extremely successful in inspiring modern government institutions: the
mainstream model is still largely the Weberian bureaucracy, and Weberian bureaucracies do not
handle diversity well, nor do they like it. General De Gaulle’s famous quote about it being
impossible to “govern a nation with two hundred and forty-six kinds of cheese” can be taken as the
opinion of an expert.
This situation poses researchers with a challenge they have not yet been able to win. In many
cases it is difficult even to identify the relevant unit of analysis. A recent example from Italy: in
2008, a company producing organic cheese experienced a debt crisis in connection to a sharp
increase in the price if milk. The banks refused to refinance the debt: but its customers (final
consumers, organized into solidarity purchasing groups – there are about one thousand such
groups in Italy) engineered an injection of €150.000 fresh cash simply by paying for cheese in
advance. This not only avoided bankruptcy for the company, but led to the halving its stock of debt
towards the banking system. The whole process unfolded in only three weeks (Social Money,
2010). While businesses are the natural unit of analysis for economic research, in such a story it is
not entirely appropriate to concentrate on the company itself. It might be argued that the
consumers are the real driving force behind this financial innovation: and this raises a seirous
methodological issue, since it is very difficult to investigate a case study based on hundreds of
consumers organized into 25 different purchase groups. Emergence is at work: a myriad
independent economic agents, interacting, give rise to an unexpected result. The result itself is like
a cloud, or a standing wave: it is real, but it is not on the same level of reality as its constituent
molecules of H2O. And it is impossible to understand the cloud by examining the properties of the
atoms (Anderson, 1972): a molecule of H2O looks exactly the same, whether or not is part of a
cloud. The cloud is simply invisible at the molecular level. In a similar fashion, an emergent new
economic system may well be undetectable by looking at the individual businesses that are part of
it.
Some of the experiences related within the group seem to fit the emergence framework. For
example, the Ærø story was started out by a local island community trying to hold its ground in the
face of population decrease. All relevant agents are local and have local goals: local farmers invest
in wind turbines and solar heating facilities simply to consume the energy locally, thereby reducing
their purchase of energy produced elsewhere; the Energy and Environment Office pushes the
vision of Ærø as renewable energy island, trying to create local jobs by engaging in the energy
production industry (Schmidt, 2010a). However, when one looks up from the local level it turns out
that the geographic pattern of energy production in Denmark has gone from very concentrated to
quite dispersed over the 1996-2006 period. This was certainly unintended for by the Ærø islanders,
and by other local communities pursuing similar goals; and still, from different people pursuing their
own local goals (and probably learning from each other in the process: the Ærø solar facility was
seen by over 30,000 tourists over the past 15 years) an effect emerges at the national level.
Seen as threatening
Unit costs of social enterprises are typically low, over and above fiscal incentives: low overheads
give them a competitive edge. This poses a potentially serious threat to incumbent businesses,
which might be tempted to use their influence to put in place regulatory barriers against what they
perceive as unfair competition. In a similar fashion, software corporations resent the open source
movement: after all, how can you compete with somebody who releases for free a product that
competes against yours?
Another example is mobile Internet access provision. The debate on Internet neutrality going on in
America has shown clearly that mobile operators and other TelCos are campaigning to regulate
do-it-yourself mobile networks out of the market. At&T alone has 700 lobbyists in Washington DC;
they cannot be expected to paint a fair picture of the technical and legal solutions advocated by the
free internet activists. And they don’t: rather, they do their best to portray these solutions as
unsecure, almost anarchistic. Regulatory capture might be at work here (Leveque, 1996).
1“La seconde exigence est de sʼattaquer aux pratiques dʼinstrumentalisation de lʼéconomie sociale solidaire
par les pouvoirs publics qui ont parfois lieu sous couvert dʼune notion floue de partenariat”.
2 http://www.criticalcity.org, visited in October 2010.
Emergence, irreducibility to textbook economics, framing issues and potential threat make the
socially responsible economy a problem that is perhaps harder than most to break down and
integrate into the policy agenda. We now turn to the other side of the same problem: by which
processes, and with which tools, do public authorities incorporate new concerns into their normal
mode of operation? How do governments learn new things?
3See for example the hackdays of Rewired State in the UK: http://www.rewiredstate.org/, visited in October
2010
parties (often the regulated themselves) to map out the territory they are supposed to regulate.
This raises issues of regulatory capture.
Recent developments in the literature – drawing from findings in complexity science, behavioral
economics, game theory, network science – have proposed to frame policy as a fundamentally
two-way street. More precisely, policy is to be seen as a coevolutionary process: government and
society, through repeated interactions, adapt to each other, just like, in the natural world, the
interaction of gazelles and leopards over a long enough period of time has pushed both species to
become fast runners. In such a context even best practice policy might lead to unforeseen
outcomes, which might be described as emergent phenomena. For example, the printing press is
invented to improve the efficiency of the diplomacy of the Archbishop of Mainz, Elector of the Holy
Roman Empire, and one of its earliest uses is to print out indulgences in large quantities to fund
the Elector’s activities; in the hands of Martin Luther, printing enables the Protestant Reformation
and the subsequent complete demise of indulgences. In another example, improving the road
infrastructure to achieve economic growth might aggravate global warming and create urban
sprawl as a feasible alternative to inner city living (Lane, 2010).
All of these consequences were completely unforeseen by the initiators of the processes: many
scientists claim that, like evolution in biology, emergence in the social world is unpredictable even
in principle. The failing grip of European governments on the matter that this group is asked to
address – making sure that everyone has access to quality jobs – is itself an emergent
phenomenon; policies towards ever-greater access to the job market have been designed and
deployed by just about every European country and onto all categories of workers – and failed, as
emergent phenomena of social exclusion proved stronger than the mighty European welfare state
paradigm. This suggests the models we have been using to guide policy might be flawed, and
recommend extreme caution.
I submit that we conceptualize policy as an adaptation process, and the interplay of government
agencies, business, the protagonists of the socially responsible economy and civil society as a
complex adaptive system. The concept itself is rooted in complexity science: it can be described by
Whitt’s (2009) “rough formula”:
agents + networks + evolution = emergence
Consequently, I propose that our research takes an adaptive stance. This means both thinking
about policy as adaptation, rather than in a Weberian-top-down-rational way, and recommending
policy that makes sense in a coevolving world. Following Whitt, such policy should be:
• cautious. The starting assumption should be that all decisions are based in models, and all our
models are wrong. A strong dose of humility about the limits to our knowledge is probably a good
idea; policy makers should engage in reassessing evidence, considering alternatives, planning
for contingencies.
• macroscopic. The adaptive policy maker tries never to lose sight of the big picture. Composition
fallacies are among the oldest and direst fallacies in social sciences.
• incremental. Taking small steps seems like a reasonable response in the face of emergence-
driven uncertainty. Adaptive policies are experiments, each one building on the results of the
previous ones.
• experimental. Different solutions might be tried in different pilot areas, and the results
compared. Such an approach allows for small scale testing of even relatively bold solutions: the
cost of failing locally is limited, and successful solutions can be scaled up.
• contextual. As usual, there is no one-size-fits all solution.
• reversible. When at all possible, policy makers should design for reversibility. This includes
review checkpoints and “sunsetting by default”, or embedding a default termination date for any
policy: policies have a tendency to entrench and outlive their usefulness.
• accountable. Policymakers should state their beliefs and objectives in a testable form, monitor
performances and honor reputational bets. Falsificability by empirical analysis is the prerequisite
of scientific knowledge: without it, no learning is possible. Adaptation is still possible without
learning (evolution in the natural world being the prime example), but it moves at a much slower
pace.
• sustainable. Adaptive policy making is constrained by the environment in which the policy maker
moves. Its permission structure, legitimation, openness and flexibility all contribute to how far, or
how long, the policy maker will be able to sustain an adaptive path. It is critical to control for
things like institutional architecture and policy style – which vary a lot across Europe – when
designing policy.
The mantra of adaptive policy making is to think of economic and social agents as driven by
evolutionary forces that reward the fittest. Policy, then, works best by shaping the fitness
landscape, and letting agents work their way through it towards the desired outcome. It is a policy
that enables and incentivizes agents to give input, rather than forcing outcomes top-down.
4 http://whatdotheyknow.com/
A first step towards a general theory might be to look at some of the examples above. One that I
have some knowledge of is the environment in Italy. Since the environmentalist movement pushed
it onto the political agenda, it followed a trajectory that can be plausibly divided into stages.
• Disconfort. The existing institutions felt the pressure to intervene, but it was not at all clear what
was appropriate for whom to do. Adaptation was happening – policies were being decided upon
and deployed. But it was constrained: since a legal framework had not yet developed around the
environment; and since existing policy towards environment-related issues (like urban hygiene)
dated back to the fascist era, all the action happened at the level of policy hacks. Existing
agencies were recruited to deal with new problems. Sometimes these hacks were quite
straightforward – as in the case of traditional urban hygiene functions being expanded to a
modern urban waste management approach; sometimes, however, they were quite contrived –
as in the case of air and water quality monitoring being allocated to the National Health Service,
which was clearly unprepared for the task, was highly decentralized (not necessarily a good thing
when dealing with pollutants that tend to travel across administrative borders, carried by the
winds) and, what’s more, did not want it.
• Concentration. A more or less organic attempt to rebuild the State’s toolbox for tackling
environmental issues took place in the 1980s. They were explicitly mirrored into the legal system
and the structure of government organization. Important new laws on waste management, water
quality and landscape quality were issued by Parliament; a Ministry of the Environment was
instituted in 1986 as the locus of coordination of environmental policy (some Regions had
already opened that road, using their local autonomy to institute regional Departments of the
Environment, with an appointed political head at the top reporting to the Regional President).
These new institutions had their principal focus on the issue: their appearance opened new paths
for adaptation and coevolution.
• Mainstreaming. Towards the end of 1990s it had become clear that the human activities with the
most environmental impact were not, and would not be, regulated under environmental
regulation, and that the Ministry of the Environment had no grasp over them. Responsibility over
energy policy was allocated to the Ministry of the Economy, and later (2006) to the “spinoff”
Ministry of Economic Development; that over transport policy to the Ministry of Infrastructures
(2001). The green economy theme, too, seems on its way to be subsumed under the label of
innovation policy, so its regulating authority should be the Ministry of economic development. The
approach to environmental concerns that seems to have emerged in the latter period is to
incorporate environmental quality targets and standards in all policies, even if they are not
primarily directed at environmental protection, so that a larger number of agents engage with
them.
Can this impressionistic three-stages periodization carry through to other examples and be
generalized onto a model? We do seem to find some generality in the discomfort stage. New items
on the agenda are more or less regularly initially pushed in the direction of existing government
agencies, and this seems to be driven by the metaphor that society utilizes to look at the new
problem. The telephone is seen as a kind of postal service. The environment is seen as a kind of
public hygiene. The Internet is seen as a kind of telephone network. In all of these cases, the
policy maker in charge of the source of the metaphor was recruited to take charge of the new
issue.
I suggest we look at a (necessarily small) number of examples of how new problems were
integrated into the policy agenda. We should adopt a historical perspective, and use categories
from complexity science (adaption) and New Institutional Economics (institutions); also, we should
look at them across different European countries, to get a sense for how constitutional architecture
and policy styles both constrain and enable adaptation. The expected result of this part of the work
is building a model that convincingly describes this process, or a small number of different
models applying to different situations.