Dobanda asteptata (u.m.

) Maximax Maximin Hurwicz

Evolutia bursei Probabilitate
Fondul 1 Fondul2 Fondul3 crt.opt crt.pes Alfa 0.6 Alfa0.4

slaba 0.2 50000 25000 40000 50000 25000 30000 10000

moderata 0.6 75000 50000 60000 75000 50000 45000 20000
excelenta 0.2 100000 150000 175000 175000 100000 105000 40000
175000 100000
EXCELENT EXCELENT

Matricea
regretelor

Evolutia bursei
Fondul 1 Fondul2 Fondul3 Regret
maxim
slaba 50000 125000 135000 135000
moderata 25000 100000 115000 115000
excelenta 0 0 0 0
Regret
minimax 0 EXCELENT

Probabilistic
Dobanda asteptata (u.m.)
Evolutia bursei Probabilitate Val
Fondul 1 Fondul2 Fondul3 asteptata

slaba 0.2 50000 25000 40000 33000

moderata 0.6 75000 50000 60000 57000
excelenta 0.2 100000 150000 175000 145000
0.2 0.6 0.2 145000 EXCELENT
 40000
65000
145000
145000
EXCELENT
 Maximax Maximin Hurwicz
Probabilit
Vinzari Zona
ate mall piata crt.opt crt.pes Alfa 0.6Alfa0.4 Valoarea
comerciala optim
sub medie 0.3 100000 200000 50000 200000 50000 120000 20000 140000
medii 0.5 200000 400000 100000 400000 100000 240000 40000 280000
peste medie 0.2 400000 600000 300000 600000 300000 360000 120000 480000
600000 300000 480000
peste peste peste
medie medie medie

Matricea
regretelor

Vinzari Zona
comercial mall piata Regret
a maxim
slaba 300000 400000 250000 400000
moderata 200000 200000 200000
200000
excelenta 0 0 0
0
Regret peste
minimax 0 medie

Probabilistic

Probabilit
Vinzari Zona Val
ate mall piata
comerciala asteptata

sub medie 0.3 100000 200000 50000 140000

medii 0.2 200000 400000 100000
280000
peste medie 0.5 400000 600000 300000
480000
0.3 0.5 0.2 480000
peste
medie
 Vinzari Profit Prob.
100mln 1000000 0.3
50mln 200000 0.5
1mln -2000000 0.2
0 -400000

Hurwicz
Criteriul Criteriul Valoarea
pesimist optimist 0.4 0.6 optima
-2000000 1000000 -800000 600000 -200000

Matricea
regretelor
Vinzari Profit
100mln 0
50mln 0
1mln 1600000
0 0
Regret
minimax 0

Probabilistic

Vinzari Profit Val

Prob. asteptata
100mln 1000000 0.3 100000
50mln 200000 0.5
1mln -2000000 0.2
0 -400000